Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Friday 10-9-15

Southern Miss +3 (+105)
NC State +2 (109)

2015 NCAAF YTD
27-26 (45) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (70)

Thursday NFL 1-0
NFL YTD 20-14-1 +560
 

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Oct 29, 2010
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Saturday Oct 10th

kansas +45
northwestern+7
missouri+4.5
gtech +7
syracuse+2
uconn+2.5
wiscy+1.5
ok st+6.5
mia-flor +8.5
 

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Cole Hamels is a +174 dog in a playoff game???
He's 7-4 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 career playoff outings, including 5-1 and 2.01 ERA on the road.

Is he that over-matched by the Blue Jays lineup?
 

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Cole Hamels is a +174 dog in a playoff game???
He's 7-4 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 career playoff outings, including 5-1 and 2.01 ERA on the road.

Is he that over-matched by the Blue Jays lineup?

One thing about Hamels....he's prone to give up the long ball.....that could be trouble against those bombers in the middle of that lineup.....especially with all the right handed power bats in that lineup. I'm not laying that big price with Toronto but not sure Hamels is the way to go today. GL
 

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Cole Hamels is a +174 dog in a playoff game???
He's 7-4 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 career playoff outings, including 5-1 and 2.01 ERA on the road.

Is he that over-matched by the Blue Jays lineup?

It is no doubt an outrageous number here based on need in a 5 Game Series. Jays should be no more than -130. They've lost 5 of their last 6 games also. Stromam is good but he's a month off injury and getting a David Price price.
==============================================================================
Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Blue Jays on Thursday and likes the Texas Rangers on Friday.

The deficit is 935 sirignanos.
==============================================================================
LOL
 

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Butthole's clench up at homeplate after a Home team goes down 0-1 in a short series. Added angst if visitor scores early again in Game #2. If TEX or HOU scores first I'd expect the lead to never be relinquished. Not to mention that Cueto Sucks. And while HOU sub500 on the Road they have put together a few impressive Road Winning streaks this Season. I think I'm off the AL today though.

Edit: Betting group just hit TEX. 10-15 cent drop.
 

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One thing about Hamels....he's prone to give up the long ball.....that could be trouble against those bombers in the middle of that lineup.....especially with all the right handed power bats in that lineup. I'm not laying that big price with Toronto but not sure Hamels is the way to go today. GL

Yeah, I looked at Hamels vs. Toronto and it is ugly (but small sample).

It is no doubt an outrageous number here based on need in a 5 Game Series. Jays should be no more than -130. They've lost 5 of their last 6 games also. Stromam is good but he's a month off injury and getting a David Price price.
==============================================================================
Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Blue Jays on Thursday and likes the Texas Rangers on Friday.

The deficit is 935 sirignanos.
==============================================================================
LOL

I think you're spot on Scott, I was expecting to see +125 at most. I think it is a crazy # but I'll avoid the game since MQ likes TX and I've learned to stay away from games where I think the line makes absolutely zero sense.
 

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Friday MLB = STL -108 / NCAAF = OVER 44.5 vt-ncst

I've been keeping track of Friday NCAAF Home Teams because they're so poor. Yet I've only made 2 Plays on this Angle all Season. And these Homers keep losing on Fridays, now 2-7 ATS this Season and on a longterm 42-74 ATS Run.
 

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Net for week(-$210) Net total(-$563)
The Steelers Push cost me a break even week. Too much on Arizona just winning their game cost me more. Mistake putting too much against what I still considered a decent SL team. Horrible contesting week in Mock Hiltons. Only win was the Lucky New Orleans win.
1 U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
1/2 U Open 6 Teaser Balt(-.5) Betpop
Closed the open 6 Pointer with NYG (-.5) as Betpop dropped to 6.5 on Giants.
1.5 U Ariz -2.5(-115) Betpop
1/2 U Jax +3 Betpop
 

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U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
Closed the open 6 Pointer with NYG (-.5) as Betpop dropped to 6.5 on Giants.
1.5 U Ariz -2.5(-115) Betpop
1/2 U Jax +3 Betpop
1U Rams (+10)(-115) Betpop- Love their -105 Friday Nights. Bought up 1/2 point to 10.
 
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My Plays today at Keeneland...


Race 3...#4 Dad Are We Here 7-2 ML Returns to the dirt after running on turf all summer. His last race on dirt was here at Keeneland in the spring, a race he won at same distance against similar company. He was claimed from Doug Mathews in that race and reclaimed back by Mathews 2 races back.

Race 5...#7 Dogtown 8-1 ML Set a very face pace last time out when blinkers were added, gave way in the stretch but came back to get second. That was at a mile and now cuts back to 6 furlongs with a favorable outside post.

Race 8...#6 Salama 8-1 ML I am a sucker for the mystery horses out of Peru that make their first starts in USA and get Lasix for the first time. Especially the ones that have been winning and running well, which this one has with 5 wins, a second and 2 thirds from 8 starts. Shows 6 steady works here at Keeneland since arriving in August and leading rider Julien Leparoux picks up the mount.

Race 9...#7 Blond Me 8-1 ML Irish bred filly made her first start in USA last month running 2nd in Grade 2 Sands Point at Belmont. The 1st and 3rd place finishers(Sentiero Italia and Miss Temple City) from that race are also entered here. Second time Lasix.


Race 10...#6 Battleback John 12-1 ML Hasn't done much lately running his last 4 races on the turf. Returns to the dirt today where he has a second and 2 thirds from 5 starts earlier this year. Most in the field have been racing on turf and unproven on dirt, with the exception of #1A Kings Knight who will probably go off as favorite.



Good good luck to everyone today...
 

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Line move must mean John Wolford scratched for Wake today?

Of course, local books who open at 11 protected from this (3 point Side, 2 point Total) move again.
 

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Needed 14 2H points to win OVER at Va Tech last night. Loss likely due to refs ignoring blatent PI on VT in the EZ on 4D #parforthecourse. Hit the MLB Play.

MLB -$1050 = STL -133

FB = 29-39 = 325 Illinois +10 / 335 Ball +10 / 346 Air Farce -21 / 375 Ga Tech +7.5 / 408 Unlv +3.5 / 411-412 OVER 44.5 haw-sdst
 
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NCAAF - 6-3 (+2.7)
NFL - 8-7 (+0.3)

Wisconsin -2.5
FAU -4
Ga Tech +7.5
Utah St -11.5
Utah -7.5
Mizzou +5.5
Iowa St +12


Good luck.
 

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NCAAF record is 9-4-1 (+$460)
My MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)

I think this is a bad card my #'s are giving me almost all chalk and I am guessing Vegas takes some $ back.

Today’s plays:

OREGON -16½ (-108)
Clemson -7 (-113)
MICHIGAN -10 (-108)
LOUISIANA TECH -13 (-108)
KANSAS STATE +9 (-108)

:smoking:
 

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