Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[wabashwonders]

21-1 long shot wins race 5 in a 4 horse photo finish. My choice was in the mix and ended up in a deadheat for 3rd paying 2.80.


Race 6...#2 Etruscan is a Bernardini colt trained by Larry Jones who has been running well at Delaware with a win and 2 seconds there in last 3 races. If he transfers that form here he will be tough to beat at decent odds. 6-1 right now


#6 Etruscan WPS

also going to play late pick 4(.50)

2,4,6/4/4,9,10/4,5,9,10. Costing $18

 

[wabashwonders]

Ran out in race 6 and pick 4 dead already.

race 7...#4 Aurora's Kid ran his best race of his career last out when trying dirt for first time losing by just 1 1/2 lengths to next out allowance winner Golden Moon. Corey Lanerie picks up the mount. 5-1 right now.

#4 Aurora's Kid WPS


race 8...#9 Quality Bird is in good form and tried turf last out for first time finishing 3 beaten just over a length. Second try on turf will be a winner.

#9 Quality Bird WPS

 

[ScottL]

"eschew" Thought you couldn't sneeze outa that nose?

Hey, could be worse. Could be constipated and unable to forgo.

 

[ScottL]

28-38 Football
Wash Huskies +17.5

-$1050 MLB
KC -1.5 +165

 

[MantisToboggan]

NCAAF - 4-3 (+0.7)
NFL - 8-7 (+0.3)

UDub +17.5

 

[MantisToboggan]

Held the lead to the stretch and then faltered in race 2.

race 3...#7 Richie the Bull won at first asking in May on poly track at Arlington. Been training well all summer and adds Lasix for his second start. 6-1 odds right now.


#7 Richie the Bull WPS

Nice hit. Thanks for sharing.

 

[wabashwonders]

Ran out in race 6 and pick 4 dead already.

race 7...#4 Aurora's Kid ran his best race of his career last out when trying dirt for first time losing by just 1 1/2 lengths to next out allowance winner Golden Moon. Corey Lanerie picks up the mount. 5-1 right now.

#4 Aurora's Kid WPS


race 8...#9 Quality Bird is in good form and tried turf last out for first time finishing 3 beaten just over a length. Second try on turf will be a winner.

#9 Quality Bird WPS

Ran out in race 7, but got the win at 5-1 odds in race 8 paying $12.40/5.40/3.80.

Didnt stay for the last race. results for today...

8-2-2-1 Paid $28.00/22.40/20.10

Lost $18 on late pick 4 but still a profitable day

 

[wabashwonders]

My results for posted plays in this thread thru today...

25 races played...8-3-1. 32% win rate.

ROI...Win $3.10, Place $2.23, Show $1.85

-$18 on exotic plays

2-1 NFL

 

[vitterd]

Baseball 94-79(+15,995)

ncaaf 14-19(-6400)

nfl 14-16(-3600)

Astros/KC over 7.5

Colts/Hou under 41

 

[PatsFan1283]

Primetime Prop

Gore U 61.5rushing -130

Hate the -130 but this is solid. Veteran back like that off a 22 touch OT game on Sunday, I think they will manage his reps more, maybe play Josh Robinson more. Also think Texans run D is a little underrated right now. They held Charles to 57 and Stewart to 62 yards in games they trailed the whole way. Held Doug Martin to 46 in a game they had the lead. This sets up as a game they should have the lead.

 

[ScottL]

Thanks for everything Wabash. Hope you get hot.

 

[mountain]

Thursday 10-8-15
NFL
Colts +5 (109)

Monday NFL 1-0
NFL YTD 19-14-1 +460

2015 NCAAF YTD
27-26 (45) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (70)

 

[Michelangelo]

NFL
21-14-1 +640

Thursday:

Indy +5 -110 (@ Hou)

Week 5 teams with a better SU record as Div Rd Dogs are 4-2 ATS since 2007.

GL

 

[ScottL]

My online book prop list didn't even have Gore's name. 1 rushing prop for Foster. POS book.

Stroman opened -180 vs Hamels. That is outrageous. About 55 cents worth of "gotta win!" in that line.

 

[vitterd]

MLB Playoffs 0-0

Texas +217 (@ Tor)

Good play there. I went 1.5(+112) not posted. Wish I took +217.

Surprised Price was that high....Texas good fastball hitting team and Gallardo has pitched solid against Toronto this year.

 

[Michelangelo]

Thanks. Gallardo pitched his best game of the year at Toronto back on 6/27. Personally, I think Price is overrated. He often has less than stellar outings. Got lucky. I'll take it for my only Playoff bet thusfar. Good luck.

 

[ScottL]

Price, Scherzer, and Kershaw definitely better in the first 162.

 

[vitterd]

Thanks. Gallardo pitched his best game of the year at Toronto back on 6/27. Personally, I think Price is overrated. He often has less than stellar outings. Got lucky. I'll take it for my only Playoff bet thusfar. Good luck.

I was a little gunshy because of Gallardo losing the strike zone sometimes. Was a bit scared of walks followed by bombs from that Toronto lineup. Pissed at myself for leaving that payoff on the table.

 

[vitterd]

Please don't let me take anymore NFL unders.....flags and Hail Marys always get me.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Primetime Prop

Gore U 61.5rushing -130

Hate the -130 but this is solid. Veteran back like that off a 22 touch OT game on Sunday, I think they will manage his reps more, maybe play Josh Robinson more. Also think Texans run D is a little underrated right now. They held Charles to 57 and Stewart to 62 yards in games they trailed the whole way. Held Doug Martin to 46 in a game they had the lead. This sets up as a game they should have the lead.

This wasn't even close. He went way over. Colts moved the ball fine and were up the whole game.