Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Detroit +4 -102 (vs Azo)
So last year Detroit was 7-1 SU at Ford Field with their only loss being by 3 points. Now they are 4 point pups. Remember that fumble on Seattle's 6" line with 1:51 to go as the Lions were about to take a 17-13 lead by the highest paid receiver in the game against the SB loser in their unforgiving park on Sunday night for all the world to see? Remember that? Did you ever hear of a "pride of lions"? You're gonna see 'em today in Detroit.
 
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Tampa Bay -1 -105 (vs Jax)
So the Bucs had a kicker named F*cksya, er I mean Burnsya, er I mean Brindza. Well he's gone. The weight is lifted. Bucs by a winning field goal in this Battle of the Bottom in FLA.
 

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NFL 10-11-15

Cleveland +6 1/2 (109)
Washington +7 (107)
Detroit +4 (103)
Dallas +8 1/2 (108)
Oakland +4 (105)

Thursday NFL 1-0
NFL YTD 20-14-1 +560

Friday 2015 NCAAF 0-2 (209)
YTD
27-28 NCAAF (254) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (279)
 

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Net for week(-$210) Net total(-$563)
The Steelers Push cost me a break even week. Too much on Arizona just winning their game cost me more. Mistake putting too much against what I still considered a decent SL team. Horrible contesting week in Mock Hiltons. Only win was the Lucky New Orleans win.
1 U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
1/2 U Open 6 Teaser Balt(-.5) Betpop
U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
Closed the open 6 Pointer with NYG (-.5) as Betpop dropped to 6.5 on Giants.
1.5 U Ariz -2.5(-115) Betpop
1/2 U Jax +3 Betpop
1U Rams (+10)(-115) Betpop- Love their -105 Friday Nights. Bought up 1/2 point to 10.
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1/2 U Seattle +3.5 DSI
1/2 U Buffalo P DSI
 

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TAM -1
BAL -6
KC -9.5
STL +9
SEA +3.5

Props:
GB -3 +100 1Q
CIN -.5 +100 2Q

Interesting that NOTHING has moved more than a half-point since 11AM really. But get up to take a piss last night and miss MIA-FSU go from 51 to 54. Now where did that game land? Did I say FML in here yet today?
 

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Detroit +4 -102 (vs Azo)
So last year Detroit was 7-1 SU at Ford Field with their only loss being by 3 points. Now they are 4 point pups. Remember that fumble on Seattle's 6" line with 1:51 to go as the Lions were about to take a 17-13 lead by the highest paid receiver in the game against the SB loser in their unforgiving park on Sunday night for all the world to see? Remember that? Did you ever hear of a "pride of lions"? You're gonna see 'em today in Detroit.

Pretty sure I was in college the last time a visitor covered in that Series. Home Team = +11 straight ATS DET vs ZONA.
 
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wabash,

Thanks for posting your thoughts re the ponies. I had the 16-1 horse in the last race. Thought he was going to get home. Collected the exacta. But it would have been 3x the price if the #6 hung on.

Good luck.
 

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Kansas City -10 +102 (vs Chi)
Since 1999, Home Favs of 7+ off an away loss with the opposition off a win as a home dog, are 34-0 SU and 28-6 ATS. (Credit Kenman from Talksport)

If you get any more league wide systems like this please post. Despite this Shit-Show of a game.
 

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Net for week(-$210) Net total(-$563)
1 U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
Closed the open 1/2 U 6 Pointer with NYG (-.5) as Betpop dropped to 6.5 on Giants. (L)
1.5 U Ariz -2.5(-115) Betpop (W)
1/2 U Jax +3 Betpop(L)
1U Rams (+10)(-115) Betpop- Love their -105 Friday Nights. Bought up 1/2 point to 10. (L)

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1/2 U Seattle +3.5 DSI (W)
1/2 U Buffalo P DSI (W)

What a Frustrating day. +27, Net (-536), with 1U Giants (-.5) open 6.5 Teaser remaining which I'll close in a different week. Ravens Double digit lead not enough. Rams 2 Turnovers in GB End Zone.
 
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Terrible day yesterday with no winners. Just missed with #6 Battleback John at 14-1 in last race that would have given me a profitable day. He paid $9.00/6.00 for second so wasn't a total loss. Had one other second place finisher(the shipper from Peru)that paid $4.40/3.40. A few I like today at Keeneland along with my NFL plays...

Race 4...#2 Cherry Wine 10-1 ML Tried the dirt last out when adding Lasix and showed improvement. Goes back to his preferred surface, the turf, today with 2nd time Lasix.

Race 6...#9 Congrats Given 12-1 ML Connections thought enough of this 2 year old colt to try him in a Grade 3 stakes at Arlington in his first race 2 months but he got bumped at the break and never got going in that race. Came back last month at Churchill and ran 3rd in a straight Maiden race behind the classy colt Bandwidth. Should move forward today with blinkers added at a nice price.

Race 8...#6 Eagle 7-2 ML Had a very successful 2 year old campaign last year with 2 wins(one over the Keeneland track) a second and a third from 4 starts. Ran 3rd in Grade 2 behind El Kabeir last November and came back as the favorite in Grade 3 Lecomte in first start as a 3 year old losing to International Star. Went to the sidelines after that race and came back last month to run 6th in a sprint at Churchill. Stretches back out now to his preferred distance(1 1/16 miles) for his second start off layoff.

Race 9...#12 Purim's Danawa 12-1 won at first asking in style last month at Churchill going 6 furlongs on the dirt. By Purim, this filly is bred to go long on the turf, so the switch to the turf and stretching out to a route should suite her fine.


NFL plays...

Baltimore -6
Atlanta -7
Oakland +4


YTD results...

Horses ROI(after 30 races)...Win $2.59, Place $2.31, Show $1.86
exotic plays -$18

NFL 2-1



good luck to everyone today...

Had 1 winner at Keeneland yesterday(Eagle paid $6.60/3.80/2.40) and a 3rd place finish that should have won. Cherry Wine had a terrible stretch run having to check twice before finally getting to the outside and still got up for third only a length behind the winner. Paid $6.00 for show.

Had 3 losers in NFL.

YTD results...

Horses ROI(after 34 races)...Win $2.48, Place $2.15, Show $1.89
exotic plays -$18

NFL 2-4
 

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