Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Dec 11, 2006
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MLB

Was +7628 on 9/23. Lost almost 2/3 of that in the last 10 days. I learned something important for the future of my "process" which concludes today. The crown of the past 10 days came yesterday when I had Texas -107 (3x) and Texas -1' +186 (2x). They led by 4 going into the top of the 9th where they proceeded to give up 5 for an 10-11 loss. Only game I bitched about all year. What a disappointing 10 days.


yest 3-6 -573
YTD 348-424 +2851

Final multi unit bet record:

2x 25-22 +1160
3x 17-20 -1591
5x 1-0 +500


Sunday:


Bos +109 (@ Cle)
TBy +128 (vs Tor)
Minny +156 (vs KCy)
SDo +297 (@ LAD)
Wash +153 (@ NYM)
Azo +126 (vs Hou)


Thanks
 
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Adding this one in now even though the start is at 8:30.

Dallas +3 +105 (@ N'Awlins)
Breeze, sneeze. Get the brown paper bags out. The Saints musta been consorting with the devils 'cause they've lost their wings. The Aints are 0-6 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 SuperDome games. The Cowpokes, meanwhile, are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. No Romo? No Bryant? No sweat.
 

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Sunday 10-4 NFL

Miami +2 (105)
Houston +5 1/2 (105)
TB + 3 (100)
NYG + 5 1/2 (108)

Saturday 4-6 (225)
2015 NCAAF YTD

27-26 (45) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (70)

NFL YTD
YTD 14-9-1 +485

Adding:

SF + 7 1/2 (110)
Cleveland +6 (118)
Minnesota + 7 1/2 (110)
Rams +7 (105)
The Boys +3 (+105)
 
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Weather is nicer at Keeneland today and the track is listed as good and will probably be fast before day is done. Not a lot of time so short write ups today...

race 2...#6 Macho Brew 4-1 ML. First time on dirt, 2nd time Lasix.

race 4...#11 Farz 4-1 ML Added Lasix last start, his first in 6 months, and ran a close up 5th beaten 2 lengths. Should improve off that effort.

race 6...#8 Fruit Ludt 4-1 ML adds blinkers and cuts back from route to sprint.

Race 7...#2 Cinder 10-1 ML First time Lasix after running 7th in her first start at Saratoga last month. Bullet work at Keeneland last week.

race 8...#2 Sallisaw 8-1 ML Grade 3 Bourbon, a Win and your in race for Breeders Cup later this month. 2 year old stretching out for first time on the turf after a win in first start and a 4th in Grade 1 Hopeful, both at Saratoga. Out of a Dynaformer mare so bred for turf and the distance. This race is televised on NBC at 5:10.

Race 10...#10 Pretty Priceless 9-2 ML. First time Lasix in his 5th start.


Good old luck to everyone today...
Today's results...

race 2...Macho Brew 1ST. 9.20/4.40/3.40

race 4...Farz 1ST 8.20/4.20/3.40

race 6...Fruit Ludt 1ST 9.20/5.40/3.00

race 7...Cinder Out

race 8...Sallisaw Out

race 10...Pretty Priceless 2ND 7.80/5.40


ROI to date after 14 races...Win $3.54 Place $2.39 Show $1.87


NFL results 2-1
 

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Picked up a trinket in MLB yesterday and now down $1050. Went 2-4 in the NFl and now 27-38 in Football this Season. Also lost a Middle when the NOR kicker missed a FG that Pavian would have made blindfolded. Had 2.5 to 4 in the Philly game too and they let WASH drive 90 yards at the end.

Speaking of bad beats and robberies here is the boxscore of the Lions last visit to Seattle. This was in 2009 and SEA was -11 and trailed 0-17. Note the time and method of the last score. 61 yards down the sideline, and no one tried to push the fucker out of bounds!

Scoring Summary

1st Quarter - 6:18
Detroit TD Seattle 0 - Detroit 7
Brandon Pettigrew 7 yd. pass from Matthew Stafford (Jason Hanson kick)
1st Quarter - 5:19
Detroit TD Seattle 0 - Detroit 14
Bryant Johnson 29 yd. pass from Matthew Stafford (Jason Hanson kick)
1st Quarter - 0:43
Detroit FG Seattle 0 - Detroit 17
Jason Hanson 41 yd. field goal
2nd Quarter - 10:47
Seattle TD Seattle 7 - Detroit 17
Julius Jones 3 yd. run (Olindo Mare kick)
2nd Quarter - 3:00
Seattle FG Seattle 10 - Detroit 17
Olindo Mare 37 yd. field goal
2nd Quarter - 0:02
Seattle FG Seattle 13 - Detroit 17
Olindo Mare 37 yd. field goal
3rd Quarter - 9:24
Seattle FG Seattle 16 - Detroit 17
Olindo Mare 24 yd. field goal
3rd Quarter - 2:32
Seattle TD Seattle 22 - Detroit 17
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 2 yd. pass from Matt Hasselbeck (pass failed)
4th Quarter - 10:09
Seattle FG Seattle 25 - Detroit 17
Olindo Mare 20 yd. field goal
4th Quarter - 8:04
Detroit FG Seattle 25 - Detroit 20
Jason Hanson 50 yd. field goal
4th Quarter - 0:22
Seattle TD Seattle 32 - Detroit 20
Josh Wilson 61 yd. interception return (Olindo Mare kick)
 
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yest 4-2 +200
YTD 21-13-1 +743

Tough loss in the StupidDome last night. What were the odds of not getting at least a push with New Orleans lining up for a chip shot FG with under a minute to go? Shit happens.

Monday:

Seattle -10 -103 (vs Det)

So the nonDivisional Home Favorites that were 47-36 since 2001 went 3-3 yesterday. The last one goes tonight. That being Seattle. Edge Seattle.

Add the fact that with Russell Wilson behind center, Seattle is 7-0 SU and ATS in Home spotlight games.

They are also 23-2 SU and 19-6 in all Russell Wilson's regular season Home games.

Detroit? They just aren't much on Offense or Defense. Stafford has 5 TDs and 6 turnovers. Minnesota ran for 199 yds on them two weeks ago.

And Seattle has a shiny new weapon by the name of Thomas Rawls who is averaging 6.1 y/p/c with most of his work coming last week vs Chicago.

Cam Chancellor will be back at safety for his second week. Jimmy Graham finally got worked into the offense last week. And Marshawn Lynch won't be there screwing up short yardage situations (ha).

Shawks easy.
 

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Monday 10-5-15

Staying away

yesterday NFL 4-5 (125)

NFL YTD
YTD 18-14-1 +360


2015 NCAAF YTD

27-26 (45) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (70)
 

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Baseball 93-79(+14,995)

ncaaf 14-19(-6400)

nfl 13-15 (-3500)

When are we doing the NBA boss?

Someone needs to pay for Aaron Rodgers and Randall Cobb doing nothing this weekend. And I can't really do anything to the Mangenius otherwise I would've 8 years ago, so I'm thinking you....
 

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When are we doing the NBA boss?

Someone needs to pay for Aaron Rodgers and Randall Cobb doing nothing this weekend. And I can't really do anything to the Mangenius otherwise I would've 8 years ago, so I'm thinking you....

Tomorrow is fine with me
 

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-$353
1U Closed 6 Point Teaser with Ariz(-.5) at Betpop(-105) (LOSS)
1U Open 6 Point Teaser Ariz (-.5) Betpop((-105) (LOSS)
2U Steelers (+3) (-115) Hollywood Sportsbook (Fuckin PUSH)
1U Pitt (+10)(Win) and SD (-.5) Betpop(-120) 7 Point Teaser (WIN)
1U Buff (-5) Betmania (LOSS)
3/4 U Houston +7(-120) on a 1/2 point Buy Betpop- Think Houston will play a very competitive game at Atlanta, possibly even winning it. (LOSS)
1/2 U Minn (+7) Betpop- Same with Minn at Denver. Will probably place a small, untracked ML parlay on these 2 for fun.
(WIN)
1/2 U Bears (+3.5) -115 Heritage. This is strictly a bet that Cutler is playing. From all I've researched, I think I think he is, and this is a line that shouldn't exist if Cutler is playing, rather than the Pathetic Claussen. (WIN)
Net for week(-$210) Net total(-$563)
The Steelers Push cost me a break even week. Too much on Arizona just winning their game cost me more. Mistake putting too much against what I still considered a decent SL team. Horrible contesting week in Mock Hiltons. Only win was the Lucky New Orleans win.
1 U Open 6.5 Teaser NYG (-.5) Betpop
1/2 U Open 6 Teaser Balt(-.5) Betpop
 

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