Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[vitterd]

Saturday Oct 3rd

Akron+2.5
GTech -7
Air Force+5.5
Alabama+1.5
Illinois++6.5
Miss St+6
Notre Dame+1.5

adding: Colorado +7

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Saturday:

TBy +106 (vs Tor)
Bos +165 (@ Cle)
GM 2 Wash +106 (@ NYM)
Azo +156 (vs Hou)
SDo +230 (@ LAD)

Thanks

 

[ScottL]

Steam??? I better get on those.

Kidding......I saw the Illinois move and glad I got them early in the week. If I'm Scott L I go for a middle here no?

Middles don't exist anymore. 3 online places get hit and the rest copy the moves within seconds. Local guys are protected because they open at 11:30, close at 1, come back from 3-3:30 and 6:30-7:30. Somehow nothing ever gets steamed when they're open. Weird huh?

 

[PatsFan1283]

Steam??? I better get on those.

Kidding......I saw the Illinois move and glad I got them early in the week. If I'm Scott L I go for a middle here no?

No, you should let it ride if it was just a regular bet and you didn't really anticipate the middle coming.

 

[ScottL]

"Hi, I'm Louisville Charlie Strong, and I have Direct TV."

"And I'm Texas Charlie Strong, and I have cable."

 

[The Guesser]

Recap of where I stand now and some additional bets:

-$353
1U Closed 6 Point Teaser with Ariz(-.5) at Betpop(-105)
1U Open 6 Point Teaser Ariz (-.5) Betpop((-105)
2U Steelers (+3) (-115) Hollywood Sportsbook (Fuckin PUSH)
1U Pitt (+10)(Win) and SD (-.5) Betpop(-120) 7 Point Teaser
1U Buff (-5) Betmania
3/4 U Houston +7(-120) on a 1/2 point Buy Betpop- Think Houston will play a very competitive game at Atlanta, possibly even winning it.
1/2 U Minn (+7) Betpop- Same with Minn at Denver. Will probably place a small, untracked ML parlay on these 2 for fun.

1/2 U Bears (+3.5) -115 Heritage. This is strictly a bet that Cutler is playing. From all I've researched, I think he is, and this is a line that shouldn't exist if Cutler is playing, rather than the Pathetic Claussen.

 

[ScottL]

16 NCAAF Finals written down so far. 14 are Unders. Dreary wet windy day in the USA, or just poor play calling/oddsmaking???

 

[vitterd]

adding: Colorado +7

Adding:

new mex st +11.5

boise/Hawaii under 57

 

[ScottL]

Made $100 last night.

133 Louiv +3
138 Wisc -5.5
147 Kan ST +7
151 Ariz ST +13
160 Georgia Pick
188 Mizzou -3
MLB TAM +105 and OAK +150

From the original "Barman's Rays" thread, the first capping thread and stat posted here in the Poly Room.
The Angle: Play the D-Rays in the SECOND GAME of a Home Series if they did not win the first game by at least 4 Runs. It was 83-28 when first posted. Tonight was the final bet for this year and it went 16-9. It is now 112-43. By the way I'm following the Cubs on this Angle as well as TAM was 96-34 with Maddon when it applied. But it's only 9-8 this year for the Cubs.

 

[vitterd]

Sunday October 4

Carolina -3

bears/oak over 44

kc/cinn over 45

jets/Mia under 42

 

[mountain]

Sunday 10-4 NFL

Miami +2 (105)
Houston +5 1/2 (105)
TB + 3 (100)
NYG + 5 1/2 (108)

Saturday 4-6 (225)
2015 NCAAF YTD
27-26 (45) Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: (70)

NFL YTD
YTD 14-9-1 +485

 

[MantisToboggan]

NCAAF - 4-3 (+0.7)
NFL - 4-5 (-1.5)

Houston +6
NYG +5.5
KC +3.5
STL +7

GL guys.

 

[Acebb]

NCAAF record is 5-3-1 (+$170)
My MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)

Increasingly concerned about weather so I put on of those tiny umbrellas over my little hat and here is what we got (all at -$110):

CENTRAL MICHIGAN + 3
MARSHALL -17½
UL Monroe +6
INDIANA +22½
UNLV +6

Good luck on this rainy day!

Nice day (in the black for this thread) with 2 SU dog winners and Indy almost shocking the world. You gotta feel for the IU center who botched that last snap. That was a fun game to watch.
I should have jumped on the Iowa money train with the others, that was pretty much a no-sweat game. I liked K-State a lot (overwhelming trends) but saw Lang was on them and backed away.

NCAAF record is 9-4-1 (+$460)
My MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)

 

[vitterd]

Nice day (in the black for this thread) with 2 SU dog winners and Indy almost shocking the world. You gotta feel for the IU center who botched that last snap. That was a fun game to watch.
I should have jumped on the Iowa money train with the others, that was pretty much a no-sweat game. I liked K-State a lot (overwhelming trends) but saw Lang was on them and backed away.

NCAAF record is 9-4-1 (+$460)
My MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)

Dont let Lang take you off something. He is not the fade he used to be.....somebody else has been making his picks for over a year now and seems to be around 50/50

 

[Acebb]

Joe I'll keep score on this as you may have a crystal ball. Don't know where you're getting 21 games. I only have 10 Totals CLOSING at 70 or higher so far.
Week A = 1-0
Week 1 = 1-1
Week 2 = 3-1
Week 3 = 2-0-1
Total = 7-2-1 so far

It appears this went 1-2 yesterday? Baylor over, but Wash State and Texas going under. The WKU total was hanging around 70 but dipped to 69.5

Conversely, games with low totals - 45 or less- went 7-1 Under.

 

[Acebb]

Dont let Lang take you off something. He is not the fade he used to be.....somebody else has been making his picks for over a year now and seems to be around 50/50

I hear ya, vitt. I gotta stop even looking at his picks. Synder is one of the best dog coaches in the history of the game and they have dominated that series lately. Easy $.

 

[Acebb]

Notes on today's games:

NY JETS vs. MIAMI (at Wembley Stadium, London)
Philbin 10-6 ATS last 16 in dog role. But, Miami on current 1-7 ATS run and Philbin is 0-5 ATS in 2nd of 2 division games & 0-3 vs the Jets

JACKSONVILLE at INDIANAPOLIS
Andrew Luck OUT

HOUSTON at ATLANTA
O’Brien 3-5-1 as dog since last year and Texans 6-10-1 ATS as dogs since 2013. Favorite 13-6 recently in Houston games. Atlanta 0-17-1 ATS since 1981 when playing at home off 3 straight wins.

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY
Newton 2-6 as road chalk since 2012. Bucs 2-8 ATS last 10 at Raymond James. Panthers are on an 8-1 SU run and Panthers are 11-1 ATS as October division chalks. Tampa 1-3 last 4 in this series.

NY GIANTS at BUFFALO
Since late 2005, Bills are 5-14 ATS in game after facing Miami. Coughlin is 6-0 ATS off Thursday night game. Giants 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC East and Bills 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 games in this series

OAKLAND at CHICAGO
Bears 4-12-2 last 16 ATS at home. Raiders are -61 1⁄2 pts ATS in their last 4 road games. Jon Fox 6-1-1 ATS against Oakland

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON
Redskins covered both games last year and 4 of last 6 vs. Philly. Chip on 2-5 ATS run (-42 pts). Philly 1-6 run off SU dog win. Washington 431-225 Rushing yard edge for the season (outgained each of their 1st 3 opponents despite their 1-2 record) but 6-13 last 19 ATS at FedEx.

KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
Cincy 13-3-1 last 17 ATS at Paul Brown Stadium. Though only 4-5-1 last ten as chalk. Bengals’ 12-2-1 SU and 11-3 ATS in the last 15 non-division games at home. KC is on a 12-5 ATS run (Reid 7-2 ATS last nine as pick or dog,) & the visitor is 24-4 ATS in Chief games. KC also 7-1 off NFC game

CLEVELAND at SAN DIEGO
Chargers 4-6 vs. spread last ten at Qualcomm and 1-8 ATS record at home in games off back-to-back away games. Dog on dog 8-2-2 ATS run in Cleveland games

GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Packers 6-2 ATS last eight as road chalk.
Kaepernick is in off his worst game-ever: 67 yds, no TDs, 4 picks. San Fran has a 90-25 pt deficit since its opening week win over the Vikings. SF have dropped 8 of last 9 ATS

ST. LOUIS at ARIZONA
Cards 11-3-1 ATS last 15 at home. Fisher 5-12 ATS away since 2013. AZ 4-0 last 4 in series and 6-2 in the last 8 vs. Rams

MINNESOTA at DENVER
Denver 17-8 ATS in regular season home games since Manning joined team. Minny on a 14-4 ATS run in non-division games.

DALLAS at NEW ORLEANS
Saints no wins or covers last 6 at Superdome. Cowboys 9-1 vs. line away since last season. Visitor on a 12-3 ATS run in Saint contests but Saints 8-3 last 11 in this series.

 

[Acebb]

Week 4 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants (3-2 Last Week, 11-4 ATS YTD)
1	Arizona -7	By 573
2	Carolina -3	By 542
3	NY Giants +5	By 483
4	Jacksonville +9	By 403
5	Cincinnati -4	By 402

The Giants & Cards fit some very strong trends and look solid.

Good luck guys.

 

[vitterd]

I hear ya, vitt. I gotta stop even looking at his picks. Synder is one of the best dog coaches in the history of the game and they have dominated that series lately. Easy $.

Scott seems to know the money service fades. Looks like only a few left that are solid go against. From what I see most are 50/50 about.

 

[ScottL]

I have a zillion systems and trends I won't have time to post today. I have all this MLB shit to update and I probably won't even bet it today.

Anyway I went 4-2 in FB yesterday and 2-0 (+$250) in MLB. It sure beats my 0-11 last Saturday. Did I really go 0-11? Isn't that impossible?
MLB -$1065 / FB 25-34

Paid the 120 usury rate and went FISHing +3 for openers. Won't get to see one play of this game.