October Soccer

[rolltide]

add a bit on the over in turkey. nice 1H, many many chances...rvp goal offside, another oranje chance just wide right and then turkey started playing decent. they need 2 goals or it's all over....now over 2.5 is -112 so didn't gain anything by taking prematch bet

2H Turkey over 2.5 .38u to win .34u (now have 1u staked on over 2.5)

Portugal

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

Find out half time line o/u on the oranj n turkey n hit the over....if turkey had a shred of technical ability they would be up 5-1 now...they will strike for a goal in 2nd half...Dutch have their Sunday morning pub team out there....robben, van pussy and sneijder should never be allowed on same pitch at same time...they all hate each other...sneijder thinks he's the bees knees, van pussy thinks he should score all goals and robben doesn't even acknowledge either on pitch therefore never passes to either....lens is a beast...he will knock one in...van der vaart should be good for one as well, they(the big 3) hate him as a whole n he goes into robben mode, head down no pass just shoot....

 

[brokerstip]

that was a quick goal

 

[rolltide]

Dutch have their Sunday morning pub team out there

not too many pub teams have RVP, Robben, and Sneijder in attack ....not sure who you think would normally be starting (insert head scratch) if this is the pub team

 

[brokerstip]

i hope this pub team puts one more in the net

 

[brokerstip]

pub team doesn't look like they are wanting to score, it's all up to turkey in the last 5'

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

not too many pub teams have RVP, Robben, and Sneijder in attack ....not sure who you think would normally be starting (insert head scratch) if this is the pub team

Referring to everyone other than big 3......

 

[rolltide]

worst thing that could happen was the early 2H dutch goal which completely demotivated Turkey and caused the dutch to go into midfield passing mode....bet lost

was looking for 2H under in scotland but got posted at 2.5 -185 which is too much. Need Belgium to close out the parlay and the Poles to hang in there.

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

Freddie mercury did make 2 ridiculous saves....and as always a classic Dutch fuck up..as robben lines free kick up sneijder comes from side to take it himself ... Feel violated n dirty not hitting that second half over....turkey has pretty much zero technical ability

 

[brokerstip]

...

 

[rolltide]

not sure what "..." means but ok

oh well what a difference a few minutes makes. 5 min left I'm staring at two wins and FT I'm left with a loss and a push ... th joys of intl football

add Concacaf 9:30

Panama 1H pk 1u to win .95u

 

[brokerstip]

i couldn't figure out how to delete my post, so i just edited it. it was complaining about a game in the last minutes

 

[rolltide]

my usa thoughts...


Panama vs USA
- taking a 1H bet only as Panama not only need a victory but also Costa Rica to beat Mexico, something they rarely do even at home. Panama are one stupid draw vs Jamaica away from controlling their own destiny and playing New Zealand for the right to go to Rio but instead need a win and help so I think they'll come out flying. This is a team that hasn't been losing at HT in a meaningful match in over 8 years while the US have struggled to get it going on the road. In Mexico they were lucky not to be 2 goals down at HT, in Costa Rica were down 2-0 before 15th minute, and just haven't gotten off to good starts on the road. Tonight is basically an experimental squad which I really don't value one way or another except that we're missing every veteran midfielder that is a calming influence on the road...Dempsey, Donovan, Bradley, Jones....and they'll need to possess the ball to limit the pressure on their makeshift defense that is playing without any of their favored four. Panama have some strong MLS-quality strikers with guys like Tejada, Blas Perez, and Gomez but their mf is pretty awful when it comes to creating so goals are not their strong suit. Still, I'm willing to play them for 1H on the road and see if this experimental USA can adjust to a road match in Central America.

Panama 1H pk (current odds +106)

 

[rolltide]

HT bet

Argentina .33u to win 1u

match tied and Argentina far better team even with B/C squad. Uruguay will get into locker room and see Chile up 2 goals and know they have no chance at overturning 4 goal lead Ecuador have on them. Great value here IMO

 

[rolltide]

a couple of small late adds, games in an hour

Costa Rica to score .5u to win .4u (mex has their number but CR won't lay down today and have scored in 32/35 home games)
Jamaica +0.50 .5u to win .5u (line moved from pk to a half goal despite Hondo only needing 1 point. jamaica using younger squad and building is all but empty but judging by match vs USA last Friday this isn't a team that will go down without a fight)

 

[rolltide]

insane night watching the qualifiers. usa hands mexico their only lifeline....

wrapping up the day:

+0.50 Russia u (.54)
+1.00 Chile (.6)
-0.50 parlay
+0.00 Poland (1)
+0.52 Bosnia u21 (.5)
-1.00 Turkey over
+0.50 Portugal u (.62)
+0.95 Panama 1h (1)
-0.33 Arg 2h
+0.40 CR goal (.5)
+0.50 Jamaica 1x

7-1-3 +2.54 (7.87)

YTD 320-27-230 +87.69 (703.13)

 

[rolltide]

brazil 8pm

criciuma over 2.5 .58u to win .5u

 

[rolltide]

Cri 1-3 so +.5u Wed...

YTD 321-27-230 +88.19 (703.71)

 

[rolltide]

Had to wait for lineups and 8 of DC's starting 11 are 24 years or younger while Bieler still not healthy for KC and Collin misses through suspension. KC are playing good football but are just not finishing chances as they're 3rd in shots attempted per possession but just 11th in SOG/possession. KC is in a position to set the all time MLS mark for least amount of shots/game allowed in a season while DC are horrible both offensively and defensively. I'm going to snag the "+" money on a big SKC win. Match in 30 minutes. Predict 3-0 KC

Sporting KC -1.5 1u to win 1.19u

• Sporting Kansas City ‏@SportingKC3m
  #SportingKC XI vs @dcunited: Nielsen (C); Myers, Opara, Besler, Sinovic; Rosell, Joseph, Feilhaber; Sapong, Dwyer, Saad #SKCvDC
  Expand
  ​
  
  
• More
  
  
  ​
  
  
• D.C. United ‏@dcunited4m
  #dcu starting XI: Hamid; Iapichino, Kitchen, Woolard, Korb; Pontius, Jeffrey, Neal, DeLeon; Silva, Doyle
  
  ​

 

[stander]

KC must have relay laid back after that early goal. Get it back tomorrow Roll. Big Sat coming up.