October Soccer

[rolltide]

wow, you must be nostradamus. match just ended and you posted 18 min ago like it was FT. (and btw i don't have a current sat bet....)

i'll put that match as one of the 5 worst ever played in this league. shit ref, shit field, sog 4-2 ... embarrassing display

YTD 321-27-231 +87.19 (704.71)

 

[indiana]

R./T...........we'll get-em tomorrow..........I thought for sure it was in the bag with the early score.........BOL with all your action this week end.............indy

 

[rolltide]

United 1H 1u to win 1.2u

- statistically the best bet in this match is 1H under 1 goal as Soton haven't conceded or scored away in 1H and united are just 1/0 in 1h in their first 3 games but playing a hunch here. While I'm not quite sure at Moyes' choice in defense today I like the attack a lot and see them dominating midfield. Soton 2nd in PL in shots on goal allowed but are sitting at an unsustainable .10 shots on goal per shot attempted and will regress toward the league norm of .30 in the next few weeks. Under Sir Alex no team in the PL were better at starting than United....and it wasn't close. In the past 60 home games they've outscored opponents 71-12 in 1H with a 42-14-4 first half record

 

[rolltide]

other england 10am

L1 Leyton Orient - top v bottom, highest scorers vs worst defense, in-form vs out of form ..... .77u to win .70u
L2 Oxford - basically same reasoning as Orient .... .75u to win .70u

 

[brokerstip]

Wow, Munich down 1-0 at half as a -1200 favorite. They look awful

 

[rolltide]

and still -120 to win the game....with zero shots on goal so far. haven't been watching but i don't remember a home match for bayern where they didnt get a single SOG in a half

 

[brokerstip]

2 quick goals for Munich to take 2-1 lead

 

[rolltide]

my united nightmare continues....outplayed in b2b games at home vs wba and soton. incredible. at least they led at HT

2-1 today +1.15 off 2.52 staked

YTD 323-27-232 +88.34 (707.23)

had some thoughts on sea/dal over but can't figure the sounders out these days. might have some stuff tonight....

 

[rolltide]

same worries about a big MLS hc as i had yesterday but at least i have a more competent offense. if you discount matches vs dc you have toronto with 1 away goal since may. chicago have worked too hard in 2h of the year to get in a spot where they win and they're in the playoffs and that's what they have tonight. also 1h stuff as i expect them to come out fired up. if tied at ht i'll hit them again

Chicago -1.25 1.1u to win 1u
Chicago 1H .55u to win .5u

 

[rolltide]

2H bet 0-0 HT

Chicago 1u to win .77u

 

[rolltide]

won 2h with Chi 1-0 but pretty rough losing the match bets overall. 80th they hit the crossbar, 84th hit the post (2nd time), and 90th put a 1 vs keeper wide.....

1-2 -0.33 off 2.65 risked


YTD 324-27-234 +88.01 (709.88)

 

[rolltide]

England 11am

Villa vs Spurs over 2.25 .5u to win .4u

- Villa 2nd in league in hitting the target with nearly 40% of their shots and not playing a whole lot of defense either. Not only are they 13th in shots allowed but 31% of them are on target and Spurs are #1 in EPL in shots taken (131). Spurs' issues have been hitting the net with a league worst 15% SOG per shots taken and this will absolutely rise to a normal percentage as they're sitting in the Stoke City range right now. Spurs playing some damn strong defense, 2nd in league in shots allowed, but they've also benefitted from a joke schedule playing 5 teams (out of 7 games) expected to sit in bottom of table. Villa 6-2 overs at home L8, Spurs 6-3 overs L9 away. Spurs have scored in every trip to Villa park since 2004, 9 straight, and only way i see this under is 1-1. Again no Benteke so just small bet

 

[rolltide]

Venez 4:30

Lara/Llaneros under 2.25 .58u to win .5u

 

[rolltide]

half loss and a loss today so -0.83 off 1.08 staked

YTD 324-27-236 +87.18 (710.96)

see how the lineups look for LA/SJ...should be in a half hour or so

 

[rolltide]

LA will all the boys going tonight....San Jose lose all playoff tiebreakers (wins, goals scored for starters) so only a victory will keep them alive which means if LA score once, which they will at home, then SJ must get a pair. Despite SJ's recent defensive surge they can't expect a clean sheet in LA who've scored the most home goals in MLS. H2H show some wild matches and 6/7 reaching at least 3 goals. Can either lay -133 on the 2.5 line or evens on 2.75 and I'll opt for the latter

SJ/LA over 2.75 goals 1u to win 1u

 

[busmu]

LA will all the boys going tonight....San Jose lose all playoff tiebreakers (wins, goals scored for starters) so only a victory will keep them alive which means if LA score once, which they will at home, then SJ must get a pair. Despite SJ's recent defensive surge they can't expect a clean sheet in LA who've scored the most home goals in MLS. H2H show some wild matches and 6/7 reaching at least 3 goals. Can either lay -133 on the 2.5 line or evens on 2.75 and I'll opt for the latter

SJ/LA over 2.75 goals 1u to win 1u

Can you explain the difference between 2.5 line vs. 2.75 line? Thanks

 

[rolltide]

Can you explain the difference between 2.5 line vs. 2.75 line? Thanks

2.5 means 3 goals you win full bet

2.75 goals your stake is split b/w 2.5 and 3 goals....so effectively i have .5u on over 2.5 goals, .5u on over 3 goals. if match ends with 3 goals i win my o2.5 portion but push my over 3 portion

 

[busmu]

Thanks, I've been wanting to ask that question.

 

[rolltide]

a lot of good 1H chances....has to be all-out 2h offense for sj

SJ/LA 2H over 1.25 goals 1.5u to win 1.2u

 

[rolltide]

0-0 FT shocked and disgusted. -2.50....miserable ending to a miserable weekend