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"i had a hundy but i bet a grand"
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Poor Hungary keeper...looks like target practice out there...tuned out after 40' mark...you look good on the Dutch end of yer par...cheers
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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split 'em yesterday -0.24 off 2u staked. up a monster +0.01u this week

YTD 311-26-227 +82.13 (692.54)

pending:
FC Dallas over 2.5 2u to win 1.7u
Chicago .5u to win 1.32u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Chi 3-2 so +3.02 off 2.5 risked

YTD 313-26-227 +85.15 (695.04)
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Tue qualifiers

1:00pm Russia u2.5 .54u to win .5u

7:30pm Chile .60u to win 1u
 

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Aren't they expecting a tie between Chile and Ecuador? Both will advance with a draw and the odds show:

Chile +138
Ecuador +850
Tie -149

Have you ever seen odds like that for a draw?
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Aren't they expecting a tie between Chile and Ecuador? Both will advance with a draw and the odds show:

Chile +138
Ecuador +850
Tie -149

Have you ever seen odds like that for a draw?

yes but that's why it's a very small bet for me getting one of the best teams in the world at odds that are normally way too high. certainly if match is tied late neither team will risk their spot but i don't expect them to just dunk it around for 0-0 like everyone else assumes. but yes the assumption is these teams have already agreed to a draw and, sure, i see odds like that every week in italy in final 1/4 of the season. i'm taking a shot with chile which happens to be the team i have 70/1 to win the WC as well. we'll see...only staked it to win 1u anyway
 

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yes but that's why it's a very small bet for me getting one of the best teams in the world at odds that are normally way too high. certainly if match is tied late neither team will risk their spot but i don't expect them to just dunk it around for 0-0 like everyone else assumes. but yes the assumption is these teams have already agreed to a draw and, sure, i see odds like that every week in italy in final 1/4 of the season. i'm taking a shot with chile which happens to be the team i have 70/1 to win the WC as well. we'll see...only staked it to win 1u anyway

Thanks for the quick reply. GL on Tuesday!
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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all are this afternoon or night except u21

parlay Bosnia + Romania + Belgium + Iceland +1/2 .5u to win .75u
Poland +2 goals 1u to win .65u
Bosnia u21 .5u to win .52u


pending:
Russia u2.5 .54u to win .5u
Chile .60u to win 1u
 

Always looking
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Do you think Holland goes in to Turkey and play 75-80% and win or they just lay down?
 

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Do you think Holland goes in to Turkey and play 75-80% and win or they just lay down?

The Dutch are in a must win situation themselves as they want to be in top 8 on FIFA rankings to get them a top seed for World Cup so i don't believe they'll lay down at all. Since a draw will do Turkey no good I do like the over in that game and still might bet it. One of those matches that at 1-1 neither team is satisfied and losing 2-1 is as good as drawing 1-1 so they will go all out in 2H. So, my hope is for 0-0 HT or a 1-goal match and I will hit the over for 2H and will post here (would be around 2:50-2:55 EST). We'll see if it works out...


Here is the Dutch seeding overview and the chart on what happens to each team after today's results. It will be nearly impossible for Netherlands to get seeded with a draw or loss but with a victory and just one other result (uru not win, col not win, swiss not win, or italy not win) their 1136 points will put them in top 8.

NETHERLANDS
A win away in Turkey could book their place if either Italy lose, or Colombia or Uruguay* fail to win. However, if Switzerland beat Slovenia they will definitely overtake Netherlands; in this event the Dutch would need two of Italy to lose and Colombia or Uruguay* to fail to win.
A draw in Turkey would make it difficult for Netherlands to be seeded as they would definitely be ranked below Italy and Colombia. They would then need Uruguay to fail to qualify, plus Switzerland and England fail to win.
With a defeat in Turkey, Netherlands would again be certain to be ranked below Italy and Colombia. The Dutch would require Uruguay to fail to qualify, Switzerland lose and also England, Portugal, United States and Chile to fail to win.

finalsdrawrankings2_576x324.jpg


 

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hey roll, looks like a lot of poland betting in the last couple hours, i now see poland +1.5 -132 and +2 -238. Any thoughts on both to score in this game at +125?
 

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hey roll, looks like a lot of poland betting in the last couple hours, i now see poland +1.5 -132 and +2 -238. Any thoughts on both to score in this game at +125?

yeah i like that. the reason i took poland is because i think blasz or lew will score and really don't see liverpool netting 4x

really big odds move. wow. was moving away from me (i saw +2 -143) but now huge move the other way. england back 4 isn't very strong, keeper is a joke, and they have no idea wtf to do at right back. poland aren't world beaters but blasz and lew are world class players maybe even above anyone on england right now. so, yes, i like bts
 

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line just came down a lot so going to take a bit on pregame and see how 1H goes with thoughts of adding a HT bet

Turkey over 2.5 .6u to win .5u
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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HT bet

Portugal u5 .62u to win .5u

(don't see any reason for Portugal to go for something like 6-0. Russia is winning at HT so Portugal can't catch them and with no Ronaldo another 4 goals seems unlikely. Visitors have zero shots in 1H)
 

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you watch the portugal game? what an embarrassment for portugal, so many opportunities. i'll take the winner regardless though.

looking like you're going to get your 1-0 in holland you wanted. i'm already on game over for a bunch so i'll pass on the 2h.
 

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