I believe I answered my own question. You play at Pinny. I believe the problem I had with the run line were with teams that started out as the dog but got bet to the favorite. If early the run line would have been +1.5 but when they moved tot he favorite it became -1.5. Close enough anyway.
I place all my bets at pinnacle sports, I notice today that I made a mistake with my bets, I place Seattle -1.5 and I want it at +1.5 or something between -101 to -120, fortunately they won by two runs!!! :lol:
WINNING DAYS = - 1 (We went 5-5 even but because the big chalk we have a losing day)
YTD $+225
25-0 (5 PENDING SERIES)
A = 21-8
B = 3-1
C = 1-0
TODAY'S GAMES ALL "A"
LOST
Detroit Tigers 28-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -104
Risking 9.36 to Win 9.00 USD
LOST
New York Mets 28-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -112
Risking 10.08 to Win 9.00 USD
WON
Chicago Cubs 28-July-2008 5:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -145
Risking 13.05 to Win 9.00 USD
WON
Cincinnati Reds 28-July-2008 5:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -162
Risking 14.58 to Win 9.00 USD
LOST
Arizona D-Backs 28-July-2008 7:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -204
Risking 18.36 to Win 9.00 USD
WON
San Francisco Giants 28-July-2008 7:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -130
Risking 11.70 to Win 9.00 USD
WON
Baltimore Orioles 28-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -140
Risking 12.60 to Win 9.00 USD
LOST
Tampa Bay Rays 28-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -211
Risking 18.99 to Win 9.00 USD
WON
Seattle Mariners 28-July-2008 5:05 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +155
Risking 9.00 to Win 13.95 USD
LOST
Chicago White Sox 28-July-2008 5:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -191
Risking 17.19 to Win 9.00 USD
I will post my plays later today
YTD $+225
25-0 (5 PENDING SERIES)
A = 21-8
B = 3-1
C = 1-0
OK, today we have another "A" system bet starting today:
"A"
Philadelphia Phillies 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +106
Risking 3.00 to Win 3.18 USD
"A"
Philadelphia Phillies 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -149
Risking 8.94 to Win 6.00 USD
And these are the series that we have for "B"
New York Mets 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +126
Risking 6.00 to Win 7.56 USD
New York Mets 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -130
Risking 16.90 to Win 13.00 USD
Arizona D-Backs 29-July-2008 7:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -201
Risking 54.99 to Win 27.36 USD
Detroit Tigers 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +130
Risking 6.00 to Win 7.80 USD
Detroit Tigers 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -121
Risking 15.13 to Win 12.50 USD
Tampa Bay Rays 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -168
Risking 47.04 to Win 28.00 USD
Chicago White Sox 29-July-2008 5:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -176
Risking 46.11 to Win 26.20 USD
Good luck everyone!!!
25-0 (5 PENDING SERIES)
A = 21-8
B = 3-1
C = 1-0
OK, today we have another "A" system bet starting today:
"A"
Philadelphia Phillies 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +106
Risking 3.00 to Win 3.18 USD
"A"
Philadelphia Phillies 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -149
Risking 8.94 to Win 6.00 USD
And these are the series that we have for "B"
New York Mets 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +126
Risking 6.00 to Win 7.56 USD
New York Mets 29-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -130
Risking 16.90 to Win 13.00 USD
Arizona D-Backs 29-July-2008 7:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -201
Risking 54.99 to Win 27.36 USD
Detroit Tigers 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +130
Risking 6.00 to Win 7.80 USD
Detroit Tigers 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -121
Risking 15.13 to Win 12.50 USD
Tampa Bay Rays 29-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -168
Risking 47.04 to Win 28.00 USD
Chicago White Sox 29-July-2008 5:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -176
Risking 46.11 to Win 26.20 USD
Good luck everyone!!!
Ok first of all I will like to let you know that I'm betting this year with one variation (Run line -1.5 for teams with more than -120) so I'm betting 6 dlls for the Money line and 3 dlls for the Run line -1.5. I want to know if it's better to bet the next year the Run line -1.5 or half and half and go even in case that series win by just one run. That's why I'm betting Philly at -149 Money line and Run Line -1.5
Hope you get the point, if not please let me know!!
If you would like to follow us, you should bet the "B" too, better yet because you didn't loose what we bet in games "A" just bet at your own level, bet to win what ever you want it to win for games "B" if you loose today just double up our "C" games.
If you bet our "A" game then do the same thing if we loose that one too.
Good luck what ever you decide!!
And welcome aboard
Did a little looking to see if I could find an affect of the run lines. All data is from this year and from yesterday and back. All teams were within their division. It is not comparing apples to apples but all I have. The line is the visitor's line.
visitor is <= -120 there were 9 games decided by 1 run which would have been loses. There were 3 in July. So you have to compare that to the better juice by taking -1.5 runs.
Visitor 0 to <-120 there were 16 games lost by 1 run 5 of them in July.
Visitor 0 to 119 there were 17 games lost by 1 run of which 5 were in July.
Visitor >= 120 there were 56 games lost by 1 run of which 24 were in July.
So the +1.5 run log when the visitor is plus money is a no brainer here.
visitor is <= -120 there were 9 games decided by 1 run which would have been loses. There were 3 in July. So you have to compare that to the better juice by taking -1.5 runs.
Visitor 0 to <-120 there were 16 games lost by 1 run 5 of them in July.
Visitor 0 to 119 there were 17 games lost by 1 run of which 5 were in July.
Visitor >= 120 there were 56 games lost by 1 run of which 24 were in July.
So the +1.5 run log when the visitor is plus money is a no brainer here.
