MLB system (My contribution to therx)

[Novato]

I will post tomorrows games because I will not have time to do it during the day.

B
Chicago Cubs 19-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -120
Risking 23.11 to Win 19.26 USD


B
Kansas City Royals 19-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -150
Risking 34.29 to Win 22.86 USD

Good luck everyone!!

 

[roxess]

Good luck

 

[Novato]

B
Chicago Cubs 19-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -120
Risking 23.11 to Win 19.26 USD LOST


B
Kansas City Royals 19-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -150
Risking 34.29 to Win 22.86 USD WON

A = 4-2
B = 1-1
C = 0-0

LOOSING DAYS = - 1
-.25

YTD +11.63

SUNDAY GAME

C
Chicago Cubs 20-July-2008 11:05 AM PST
Money Line for Game -128
Risking 41.10 to Win 32.11 USD

According to my system I should bet the cubs Run Line -1.5 (+133) but I don't have time to do my maths so that's why I bet the mone line.
Good luck everyone!!

 

[roxess]

Go Cubs

 

[roxess]

Nice job, clean sweep for the weeekend.arty:

 

[nikeairx]

so the C plays are the last play of ur system to declare a win or loss??

 

[Novato]

so the C plays are the last play of ur system to declare a win or loss??

YES, This is a three game chase system, so if I loose a C game that means that I loose a series game

 

[Novato]

For this game yesterday I need it to bet the Money Line to win back what I loose for 12 Dlls and the Run Line +133 what I loose for 6 dlls but I couldn't do the math because I was going to go to sea world so that's why I bet the Money line.

C
Chicago Cubs 20-July-2008 11:05 AM PST
Money Line for Game -128
Risking 41.10 to Win 32.11 USD
WON

WINING DAYS = + 1
+32.11

A = 4-2
B = 1-1
C = 1-0


YTD +54


Run Line Atlanta Braves (+1.5) vs Florida Marlins for Game -209 18.81 9.00

Run Line Pittsburgh Pirates (+1.5) vs Houston Astros for Game -141 12.69 9.00

Run Line Milwaukee Brewers (+1.5) vs St Louis Cardinals for Game -191 17.19 9.00


Run Line Los Angeles Dodgers (+1.5) vs Colorado Rockies for Game -169 15.21 9.00

Run Line Toronto Blue Jays (+1.5) vs Baltimore Orioles for Game -191 17.19 9.00

Run Line Detroit Tigers (+1.5) vs Kansas City Royals for Game -191 17.19 9.00


Lets try to have another winning day here, good luck everyone!!

 

[nikeairx]

so these are all A plays?

 

[Novato]

so these are all A plays?

I'm sorry, I forgot to write that.
All these plays are A

Thanks nikeairx

 

[topspinelite]

hey novato,

does playing this system on the ML produce alot more losers? The juice would be significantly better.

 

[Novato]

hey novato,

does playing this system on the ML produce alot more losers? The juice would be significantly better.

That's what I think a couple of years a go but at the end will happen 2 things:
1.- You will loose more series
2.- You will go even or win/loss a couple dlls.

So when I did my research from the last years (2001 - 2004) I found that if we bet just Money Lines they will win a few series with more juice but we will not bounce back with that juice the series that we loose.

I know that sometimes those plays have a lot of chalk but we will save the series because of that +1.5 Run line. I prefer to risk the chalk than the 3 game series.

Good luck everyone!!

 

[roxess]

Good luck, do you figure about 50 percent wins on your first nite of these series would put you in pretty good shape for the other series wins. Take little pressure off the nerves if you can win about half of the games your betting the first nite.

 

[Novato]

Good luck, do you figure about 50 percent wins on your first nite of these series would put you in pretty good shape for the other series wins. Take little pressure off the nerves if you can win about half of the games your betting the first nite.

Yep, most of the times I won the series in the first 2 games, if I win this next series I will be ready to loose 1 series and go even or with a few bucks in my pocket, we will see.!!

Good luck!!

YTD
6-0 (+54)

 

[Novato]

5-1 For today, not bad!! ope:

WINING DAYS = + 2


A = 9-3
B = 1-1
C = 1-0


YTD +99
11-0
(1 series left)

WON
Run Line Atlanta Braves (+1.5) vs Florida Marlins for Game -209 18.81 9.00
WON
Run Line Pittsburgh Pirates (+1.5) vs Houston Astros for Game -141 12.69 9.00
WON
Run Line Milwaukee Brewers (+1.5) vs St Louis Cardinals for Game -191 17.19 9.00

WON
Run Line Los Angeles Dodgers (+1.5) vs Colorado Rockies for Game -169 15.21 9.00
LOST
Run Line Toronto Blue Jays (+1.5) vs Baltimore Orioles for Game -191 17.19 9.00
WON
Run Line Detroit Tigers (+1.5) vs Kansas City Royals for Game -191 17.19 9.00

 

[Novato]

B
Toronto Blue Jays 22-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -108
Risking 28.29 to Win 26.19 USD

Good luck everyone!!

 

[FrodoBaggins]

7/22/08 Plays

Novato,

Great job with the system. I have been following the last few days.

I had a question though. Would the Phillies +1.5 not fit the system as an "A" play?

 

[Novato]

Novato,

Great job with the system. I have been following the last few days.

I had a question though. Would the Phillies +1.5 not fit the system as an "A" play?

Hi FrodoBaggins,

Yes, Phillies is a system "A" play today but I didn't posted because I have my complete schedule in my outlook office and I have just come in. I will wait the line movement in my favor to place the Run Line +1.5. And Toronto is also going to change the run line to +1.5.
From now on I will place my bets at 12:00 pm PT unless we have early games so I can get better odds.

Thanks!! and enjoy the ride Frodo!!

 

[DeltaU46]

Novato,

I am very interested in your system and am thinking about following. I just have a couple of questions. You said you only play this system for two months, what months do you play? What is the reason for only playing these months? Also, what are the filters you use?

Thanks for the info and GL!

:toast:

 

[Novato]

Novato,

I am very interested in your system and am thinking about following. I just have a couple of questions. You said you only play this system for two months, what months do you play? What is the reason for only playing these months? Also, what are the filters you use?

Thanks for the info and GL!

:toast:

I only play this system the last 2 months of the regular season (August and September) but I have seen also that I can start in the las 2 weeks of July.
I bet in these months because as I mentioned before they start the race of being in the top of their divisions, that's why you don't see that often a swept when they play against the same division team, you will normally see 6-9 swept from 130-150 series and that is an advantage for us.

If a team get swept in this 2 months is because of the following filters:
1.- Teams with a bad loosing streak (6 games or more)
2.- Playing against teams with a good winning streak (6 games or more)
3.- Bad teams (.380 or less) playing against teams with high winning % (.580 or more)
4.- And the last week of the regular season when teams rest their best players because those games doesn't mean anything to them.

These are the most important filters that I use to avoid a loosing series.
Hope you understand all this. My English is not as good as I wanted to be.
Good luck!!