MLB system (My contribution to therx)

[DeltaU46]

That makes sense, thanks Novato!

One more question, last night you played Toronto on the run line, but tonight you are playing on the moneyline. Why is that? Perhaps I missed something about the system.

Thanks!

 

[Novato]

That makes sense, thanks Novato!

One more question, last night you played Toronto on the run line, but tonight you are playing on the moneyline. Why is that? Perhaps I missed something about the system.

Thanks!

I play Money Lines if the team is a dog, an Run Line +1.5 if it's underdog.
I also bet Run lines -1.5 if the team is a dog with a -120 or more.

 

[Novato]

ADDING:

"A"
Philadelphia Phillies 22-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -148
Risking 13.32 to Win 9.00 USD

Good luck everyone!!

 

[DeltaU46]

I play Money Lines if the team is a dog, an Run Line +1.5 if it's underdog.
I also bet Run lines -1.5 if the team is a dog with a -120 or more.

:think2:

Not quite sure I understand. So if the team is a dog, you will play them on the moneyline as well as run line (+1.5), so two bets on the game?

Also, if the team is a favorite you will play money line and run line, again having two bets?

Sorry, just a tad confused.

 

[Novato]

:think2:

Not quite sure I understand. So if the team is a dog, you will play them on the moneyline as well as run line (+1.5), so two bets on the game?

Also, if the team is a favorite you will play money line and run line, again having two bets?

Sorry, just a tad confused.

Sorry to confused you, here are a few examples:

Todays games:
Phillies +1.5 Run Line (Because they are underdog)
Toronto -108 Money Line (Because they are a dog)

Last sunday Chicago Cubs was a dog with -120, that means that I need it to bet the Run Line -1.5 but I didn't have the time to do my math, you can check the post that I did on sunday or monday about this.

Let me know if you have a more clear idea.

 

[DeltaU46]

Sorry to confused you, here are a few examples:

Todays games:
Phillies +1.5 Run Line (Because they are underdog)
Toronto -108 Money Line (Because they are a dog)

Last sunday Chicago Cubs was a dog with -120, that means that I need it to bet the Run Line -1.5 but I didn't have the time to do my math, you can check the post that I did on sunday or monday about this.

Let me know if you have a more clear idea.

I'm looking at 5dimes right now and Philly is +151 on the money line and -150 on +1.5 run line.

Toronto is +106 on money line and -195 on +1.5 run line. Wouldn't you play Toronto on the run line since they are in the same situation as Philly?

 

[DeltaU46]

I think I might have figured it out:

You will play +1.5 run line if the team is an underdog.

You will play the money line if the team is a favorite (-110 for example) if they are an underdog on the -1.5 run line, correct?
i.e. +130 for -1.5 run line.

However, if the team is a favorite (-110) and also the favorite on the run line -1.5 at -120, you would bet +1.5 at -190 or whatever it might be?

Sorry if this is confusing.

 

[Duby99]

I believe what he meant was....and correct me if im wrong.....

If a team is underdog +100 or more he will bet the +1.5.

But if a team is favorite -101 to -120 he will bet the moneyline.

And if a team is favorite more than -120 he will bet the -1.5 line.

So far so good Novato....Keep going!!!

 

[Novato]

I believe what he meant was....and correct me if im wrong.....

If a team is underdog +100 or more he will bet the +1.5.

But if a team is favorite -101 to -120 he will bet the moneyline.

And if a team is favorite more than -120 he will bet the -1.5 line.

So far so good Novato....Keep going!!!

You got it right Duby,
If you have toronto +1.5 Runline you should bet it. Pinnacle has the run line -1.5 for toronto that's why I took the ML.
But if you have notice like yesterday, all underdogs won except toronto, I take the Run Lines +1.5 just to be more sure to win that series.

Hope you understand now, any other question please let me know

 

[DeltaU46]

Thanks Novato, I'm looking forward to joining the system with Friday's new series'!

:toast:

 

[DeltaU46]

I believe what he meant was....and correct me if im wrong.....

If a team is underdog +100 or more he will bet the +1.5.

But if a team is favorite -101 to -120 he will bet the moneyline.

And if a team is favorite more than -120 he will bet the -1.5 line.

So far so good Novato....Keep going!!!

Thanks for the clarification!

:toast:

 

[Novato]

Thanks Novato, I'm looking forward to joining the system with Friday's new series'!

:toast:

7 Games for Friday!!

 

[roxess]

Clean sweep again, let's go get em for the weekendope:

 

[Novato]

WINING DAYS = + 3

YTD +117
13-0

A = 9-3
B = 3-1
C = 1-0


"B" WON
Toronto Blue Jays 22-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -108
Risking 28.29 to Win 26.19 USD

"A" WON
Philadelphia Phillies 22-July-2008 4:10 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -148
Risking 13.32 to Win 9.00 USD

SO FAR SO GOOD

We have 7 series starting Friday, so we have 2 days vacations :toast:

Good luck everyone!!

 

[Novato]

Good Luck If it works we will all be rich

If you get rich with this system that I developed don't forget about me :nohead:

I accept paypal donations

 

[Duby99]

Im assuming we are not playing the Hou-Mil series cause according to your filters:

2.- Playing against teams with a good winning streak (6 games or more)

and Milwaukee have won 8 straight games.

Is this about right? Thanks and GL

 

[Novato]

Im assuming we are not playing the Hou-Mil series cause according to your filters:

2.- Playing against teams with a good winning streak (6 games or more)

and Milwaukee have won 8 straight games.

Is this about right? Thanks and GL

Yes Duby, you are doing your homework!! good job.
But I still looking at some factors to see if we can go and take this series. I will post at 12:00 pm PST

 

[Novato]

WINING DAYS = + 3

YTD +117
13-0

A = 9-3
B = 3-1
C = 1-0


First of all I will like to clarify a few things so every body understand this.

This year I'm using a different variation for betting teams with more than -120 and I'm betting 6 dlls for my normal bets (Money Line-101 to -120) with out this new variation and 3 dlls for the Run Line -1.5 when a team has more than -120 like Arizona today.

Also, today I'm going to go and bet the Houston Run line +1.5.
I know that I said that we don't bet teams with high winning streak but 95% of the time this rule doesn't work unless the other team is less than .380 winning %. I'm seeing Houston today to step up and have a closing game. Milwaukee won 8 games on the road and they now come back to have some rest at home without a day off. Both pitching match ups for this 3 games series are almost even and also there is no injury report for these two teams so I see a closing game here. Houston in the other hand have 1 day rest with a clear mind looking for a division victory.

TODAY'S BETS ARE: "A"


Atlanta Braves 25-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -173
Risking 15.57 to Win 9.00 USD


Houston Astros 25-July-2008 5:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -147
Risking 13.23 to Win 9.00 USD


Arizona D-Backs 25-July-2008 7:15 PM PST
Run Line -1.5 for Game +122
Risking 3.00 to Win 3.66 USD


Arizona D-Backs 25-July-2008 7:15 PM PST
Money Line for Game -138
Risking 8.28 to Win 6.00 USD


Chicago White Sox 25-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -180
Risking 16.20 to Win 9.00 USD


New York Yankees 25-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -170
Risking 15.30 to Win 9.00 USD


Minnesota Twins 25-July-2008 4:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -121
Risking 10.89 to Win 9.00 USD


Texas Rangers 25-July-2008 7:05 PM PST
Run Line +1.5 for Game -201
Risking 18.09 to Win 9.00 USD

 

[DeltaU46]

A very nice night is shaping up Novato, glad I joined the system tonight!

:toast:

 

[roxess]

Nice jobope: