Melniko Winter Thread

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10/29 SATURDAY

AQUEDUCT seems to be going through a stretch where the favorites are hitting, due for a change today?
R1 - #10 Pimenova (4-1) can make every post a winning one.
R2 - #1A Golden Purchase (20-1) sprinting is more in his wheelhouse - low pct. connections insure price will be right.
R3 - #2 Luni Sima (6-1) has shown an affinity for the one-turn mile.
R4 - #7 El De Chimi (9-2) he's got the speed, does he have the heart to hold it?
R5 - #3 Morello (4-1) Baby Yoda will be tough to beat, but this guy won a Gr 3 on this course in March.
R6 - #7 Stop War (7-2) seems like I'm landing on a lot of speed horses today, pray the track is kind to frontrunners this afternoon.
R7 - #6 Icy Stare Down (12-1) high percentage angles for Cox all over this one.
R8 - #2 Boston Post Road (9-5) I can't find any reasonable scenario where this one loses.
R9 - #4 Jaxon Traveler (7-2) you give a horse like this to Irad? its almost unfair.
R10 - #10 Frenchboro (10-1) hard to tell how good he is, I'll be watching the tote.

HORSESHOE INDIANA
R7 - #10 Tizzy Jojo (12-1) back to sprinting, she's sitting on a big one.
R8 - #5 Too Bad Justice (8-1) burned a lot of money since return, but better odds on tap today make him playable - the Eggleston double.

investing $48.00
Let's go!
 

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10/29 SATURDAY results

AQUEDUCT seems to be going through a stretch where the favorites are hitting, due for a change today?
R1 - #10 Pimenova (4-1)
R2 - #1A Golden Purchase (20-1)
R3 - #2 Luni Sima (6-1)
R4 - #7 El De Chimi (9-2)
R5 - #3 Morello (4-1)
R6 - #7 Stop War (7-2)
R7 - #6 Icy Stare Down (12-1)
R8 - #2 Boston Post Road (9-5) winner $3.30 $2.40
R9 - #4 Jaxon Traveler (7-2)
R10 - #10 Frenchboro (10-1)

HORSESHOE INDIANA
R7 - #10 Tizzy Jojo (12-1) placed $2.60
R8 - #5 Too Bad Justice (8-1) placed $2.80

Still chalky at Aqueduct and the speed wasn't holding - made for an ugly day. I should have posted the whole Indy card - killed it there.

44/11.10
running total - 692/493.40
 

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10/30 NO-CHALK SUNDAY I'm no dummy, avoiding the speed horses today!

AQUEDUCT
R1 - #7 Naughty Nan (12-1)
R2 - #3 Agility (10-1)
R3 - #6 My Boy Tate (6-1)
R4 - #4 Dr. Blute (4-1)
R5 - #8 Therapist (8-1)
R6 - #1 Leeloo (12-1)
R7 - #5 Gambling Girl (7-2)
R8 - #5 Runaway Rumour (7-2)
R9 - #1 Sharp Starr (10-1)
R10 - #6 Shadow Dragon (6-1)

investing $40
 

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10/30 NO-CHALK SUNDAY results

AQUEDUCT
R1 - #7 Naughty Nan (12-1)
R2 - #3 Agility (10-1)
R3 - #6 My Boy Tate (6-1) winner $15.20 $7.70
R4 - #4 Dr. Blute (4-1) winner $8.40 $4.20
R5 - #8 Therapist (8-1)
R6 - #1 Leeloo (12-1)
R7 - #5 Gambling Girl (7-2)
R8 - #5 Runaway Rumour (7-2) winner $9.20 $4.10
R9 - #1 Sharp Starr (10-1) placed $8.60
R10 - #6 Shadow Dragon (6-1)

40/57.40
running total - 732/550.80 (0.75)
 

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10/31 MONDAY

PARX
R1 - #3 Not In The Mood (10-1)
R2 - #4 Nice Of Me (8-1)
R3 - #5 No Salt (3-1)
R4 - #8 Red Pepper Grill (5-1)
R5 - #4 Gavichi (10-1)
R6 - #4 Onlygodcanjudgeme (7-2)
R7 - #6 Lord Uhtred (3-1)
R8 - #4 High Velocity (10-1)
R9 - #1 Colonel Juan (10-1)
R10 - #9 Espernsita (9-2)
R11 - #1 One Wild Woman (5-1)

investing $44.00
 

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10/31 MONDAY results

PARX
R1 - #3 Not In The Mood (10-1) placed $7.00
R2 - #4 Nice Of Me (8-1) winner $9.40 $4.80
R3 - #5 No Salt (3-1) winner $3.80 $2.60
R4 - #8 Red Pepper Grill (5-1)
R5 - #4 Gavichi (10-1)
R6 - #4 Onlygodcanjudgeme (7-2) winner $8.20 $4.20
R7 - #6 Lord Uhtred (3-1)
R8 - #4 High Velocity (10-1)
R9 - #1 Colonel Juan (10-1)
R10 - #9 Espernsita (9-2)
R11 - #1 One Wild Woman (5-1) placed $3.20

44/43.20
running total - 776/594 (0.77)
 

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11/2 WEDNESDAY tough card, but I'm going to give it a try

R1 - #1 Bet On Drama (3-1) has been a money burner, banking on the blinkers making a difference.
R2 - #4 Isabella Smile (10-1) best efforts have been when going sprint to route - not much to beat, so I'm drawn by the price.
R3 - #4 Murricane (6-1) may be overmatched, but looks to have the best closing kick in a race where speed should break down.
R4 - #6 Ageless Endeavor (4-1) despite Andy Hernandez.
R5 - #3 Stormy Bonnie (10-1) lone speed, competent bug boy.
R6 - #1 Yellow Dress (7-2) Linder can get them ready off the break, hoping for a fair price.
R7 - #1 Mythreebutterflies (9-2) back to back on Linder as I cross my fingers and hope the two favorites falter.
R8 - #3 Birchmount Rd (6-1) throwing out the last debacle as a fluke.
R9 - #1 Jamminwithbrandon (8-1) Best Bet
R10 - #2 Flashing Diamond (2-1) in great form, tough to beat here but may not be the post time favorite.
R11 - #7 Creme Caramel (5-1) would like a good start for a change.

investing $48
 

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11/2 WEDNESDAY results

PARX

R1 - #1 Bet On Drama (3-1) placed $2.20
R2 - #4 Isabella Smile (10-1)
R3 - #4 Murricane (6-1) placed $5.60
R4 - #6 Ageless Endeavor (4-1)
R5 - #3 Stormy Bonnie (10-1)
R6 - #1 Yellow Dress (7-2)
R7 - #1 Mythreebutterflies (9-2) placed $2.40
R8 - #3 Birchmount Rd (6-1) winner $6.60 $3.80
R9 - #1 Jamminwithbrandon (8-1)
R10 - #2 Flashing Diamond (2-1) 3rd
R11 - #7 Creme Caramel (5-1) winner $6.00 $3.80

48/30.40
running total - 824/624.40 (0.76)
 

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11/3 THURSDAY

HORSESHOE INDY
R1 - #3 Victors Deal (4-1)
R2 - #1 Ruby Sky (5-2)
R3 - #4 Shiny Shoes (5-1)
R4 - #2 Big Paper (9-2)
R5 -#3 Bella's Prayer (10-1)
R6 - #7 Royal Blush (4-1) for skoda.
R7 - #7 Distorted Pro (9-5)
R8 - #4 Dossier (4-1)

CHURCHILL
R3 - #6 Atkins (5-1)
R7 - #11 Street Swagg (6-1)

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6th- #7 Royal Blush (4-1) for skoda.?

For everyone tomorrow at Keenland in the 4th.

#5 Huntertown.. 30-1 ATB ?
 

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11/3 THURSDAY results

HORSESHOE INDY
R1 - #3 Victors Deal (4-1) winner $9.80 $4.20
R2 - #1 Ruby Sky (5-2)
R3 - #4 Shiny Shoes (5-1)
R4 - #2 Big Paper (9-2) placed $5.20
R5 -#3 Bella's Prayer (10-1) 3rd
R6 - #7 Royal Blush (4-1) placed $3.00
R7 - #7 Distorted Pro (9-5) winner $4.80 $2.60
R8 - #4 Dossier (4-1)

CHURCHILL
R3 - #6 Atkins (5-1)
R7 - #11 Street Swagg (6-1) winner $8.72 $4.78

40/43.10
running total - 864/667.50 (0.77)
 

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11/4 FRIDAY

GULFSTREAM
R1 - #2 Artifact (6-1)
R2 - #8 Littleladyisawoman (6-1)
R3 - #6 Dunnigan (7-2)
R4 - #7 Kentucky Pride (9-2)
R5 - #7 Soveriegn of Speed (9-2)
R6 - #6 Wand (9-2)
R7 - #4 Cheerful Charlie (4-1)
R8 - #10 Tamarindo (20-1)
R9 - #6 Kaeko (6-1)
R10 - #8 Silent Chaos (4-1)

Investing $40
 

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11/4 FRIDAY

GULFSTREAM results

R1 - #2 Artifact (6-1)
R2 - #8 Littleladyisawoman (6-1)
R3 - #6 Dunnigan (7-2)
R4 - #7 Kentucky Pride (9-2)
R5 - #7 Soveriegn of Speed (9-2) placed $5.80
R6 - #6 Wand (9-2)
R7 - #4 Cheerful Charlie (4-1) placed $4.80
R8 - #10 Tamarindo (20-1)
R9 - #6 Kaeko (6-1) 3rd
R10 - #8 Silent Chaos (4-1) placed $6.00

40/16.60
running total - 904/684.10 (0.76)
 

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11/6 SUNDAY hangover day

AQUEDUCT
R1 - #7 Words of Praise (6-1) Pletcher, Brown, Clement, and Maker all with runners dropping to claiming ranks for the first time. I'll take Rosario on the speed horse.
R2 - #1 Mercante (2-1) logical favorite - working like a champ.
R3 - #6 Rosie's Alibi (7-2) had a pretty easy go of it to break her maiden at Parx - stepping way up here, but bred to improve with the added distance.
R4 - #5 Scramble (7-2) has shown plenty of interest in first two tries, now brings a bullet to the party.
R5 - #4 Smokin Hot Kitty (6-1) Kitten's Joy filly has improved with every race. Now stretches out and drops in class.
R6 - #6 Nabakov (4-1) won his last on 9/17 and hasn't raced since - but has FIVE published works in that time. I see a big run coming.
R7 - #4 Cascais (5-1) troubled trip in a sloppy debut, a good start and he could make every post a winning one.
R8 - #1 Tapple Cider (12-1) I've backed her in her last two tries and lost, but willing to go one more with the addition of JC to the team.
R9 - #4 Champion's Dream (3-1) obviously didn't care for the slop in the Champagne - rebounds today.
R10 - #3 More Than Work (7-2) hasn't been seen since February at The Fairgrounds - raced well there on a turf track that favored closers. His style plays better here - as long as he's fit.

WOODBINE
R1 - #7 Newport Agent (10-1) improving (66,74,80,82) - no reason to think he's hit his ceiling.
R4 - #7 Classy Whisper (10-1) always in the mix - I'm taking anything better than 5-1.
R9 - #5 Green Fleet (12-1) claimed by a brutal trainer so the odds will stay high, but Stein stays so I will, too.

investing $52.00
 

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11/6 SUNDAY results

AQUEDUCT
R1 - #7 Words of Praise (6-1) placed $4.70
R2 - #1 Mercante (2-1)
R3 - #6 Rosie's Alibi (7-2) 3rd
R4 - #5 Scramble (7-2) placed $2.90
R5 - #4 Smokin Hot Kitty (6-1) placed $6.90
R6 - #6 Nabakov (4-1) placed $3.60
R7 - #4 Cascais (5-1) winner $10.20 $5.90
R8 - #1 Tapple Cider (12-1)
R9 - #4 Champion's Dream (3-1) winner $4.70 $2.70
R10 - #3 More Than Work (7-2) scratch

WOODBINE
R1 - #7 Newport Agent (10-1) 4th
R4 - #7 Classy Whisper (10-1)
R9 - #5 Green Fleet (12-1) 4th

too many second places finishes - could have been a nice day.
48/41.60
running total - 952/725.70 (0.76)
 

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11/7 MONDAY

PARX
R1 - #6 Vanishing Faith (6-1)
R2 - #4 R Tenderoni (5-2)
R3 - #8 Classic Union (8-1)
R4 - #8 Jokemeister (5-1)
R5 - #9 Drunken Bridge (3-1)
R6 - #7 Celtic Tiger (8-1)
R7 - #2 Explain (6-1)
R8 - #1 Prince Filip (5-1)
R9 - #5 Yodel E A Who (9-2)
R10 - #10 Sailor Again (12-1)

investing $40
 

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11/7 MONDAY results

PARX
R1 - #6 Vanishing Faith (6-1)
R2 - #4 R Tenderoni (5-2)
R3 - #8 Classic Union (8-1)
R4 - #8 Jokemeister (5-1) 3rd
R5 - #9 Drunken Bridge (3-1)
R6 - #7 Celtic Tiger (8-1) winner $14.80 $5.60
R7 - #2 Explain (6-1) winner $7.40 $3.60
R8 - #1 Prince Filip (5-1) winner $7.00 $3.40
R9 - #5 Yodel E A Who (9-2)
R10 - #10 Sailor Again (12-1) 3rd

40/41.80
running total - 992/767.50 (0.77)
 

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Great Job here Mel
Great thread.
Lots of close calls
Respect
Thank you, YY, you're right - a lot of near misses. Looking forward to making a run back toward the black once Fairgrounds opens.
 

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