Melniko Summer Picks

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Lady Rockstar scratched in R3.
Adding a replacement pick -
R7 - #8 Catalina Crush (6-1)
 

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8/11 Results

SAR
R1 - #5 Brees (8-1)
R2 - #1 Chasing Daylight (8-1)
R3 - #2 Lady Rockstar (6-1) scratch
R6 - #6 Marsalis (5-2) winner paid $7.50
R7 - #8 Catalina Crush (6-1) 3rd
R8 - #2 Carl Spackler (3-1) winner paid $6.70

GP
R1 - #7 Bold Advance (4-1)
R6 - #1 Bird Wildcat (8-1)

DMR
R8 - #9 All The Kings Men (5-1) winner paid $13.40

160/276
Summer total - 4,120/4,219 (1.02)
 

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8/12

SAR
R3 - #4 Icy Reply (5-1) even with the flop at two turns, the pedigree says it fits and I guess Irad thinks so, too.
R7 - #8 Love Reigns (5-2) will be even money at best, but looks like nothing less than a solid single in all horizontals.
R8 - #5 Edified (7-2) banking on Rhyme Schemes to bounce which makes this well-bred colt logical.
R10 - #4 What's Up Doc (8-1) in six starts has yet to finish out of the money and now switches to a lesser known barn - got to try him at what will likely be double digits.
R11 - #6 Solib (4-1) won her first try in the Maker barn, then acted up in next pair. She definitely has shown improvement since the trainer switch, though, and with Saez aboard today I think the odds of her being rank again are much less.
 

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8/12 continued

stinking it up today at Saratoga, so why not add a couple of late picks from Colonial?

CNL
R8 - #6 Major Dude (6-1)
R10 - #6 Master Piece (12-1)
R11 - #9 Tequilera (5-1)
 

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8/13

MTH
R2 - #3 Spanish Pharoah (10-1) first foal out of stakes winning dam, February colt holds a slight maturity edge over the major players. With Paco elsewhere and both Pletcher and Brown with entries, the price should be uber juicy - and Marin has been hot.
R4 - #4 Proven Hope (3-1) back on the brown stuff where he belongs. Race should set up nicely for him to pounce in the stretch.

SAR
R1 - #7 Clearly A Test (5-2) I love rooting for the Louisiana-bred and I always look twice at Camejo training for Brittlyn. Showed late interest in debut, so if the jock can coax her to the front early, she could be gone.
R6 - #1 Crazy Cami (7-2) Maker finally heating up, and we all know how scorching hot T-Gaff is right now. The rail has been friendly in sprints - add in the blinkers and it looks like all systems go.
R7 - #8 Business Model (15-1) the race looks like it will be set up for a closer. You can have the Linda Rice horse at somewhere around 5-2 or this one at double digits. I'm no coward.
R9 - #1 HP Moon (3-1) this time you'd have to kill me to keep me from backing the Rice horse. This is my pick of the day and will pretty much be the key to either having a winning or losing day overall.
 

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8/13

MTH
R2 - #3 Spanish Pharoah (10-1) first foal out of stakes winning dam, February colt holds a slight maturity edge over the major players. With Paco elsewhere and both Pletcher and Brown with entries, the price should be uber juicy - and Marin has been hot.
R4 - #4 Proven Hope (3-1) back on the brown stuff where he belongs. Race should set up nicely for him to pounce in the stretch.

SAR
R1 - #7 Clearly A Test (5-2) I love rooting for the Louisiana-bred and I always look twice at Camejo training for Brittlyn. Showed late interest in debut, so if the jock can coax her to the front early, she could be gone.
R6 - #1 Crazy Cami (7-2) Maker finally heating up, and we all know how scorching hot T-Gaff is right now. The rail has been friendly in sprints - add in the blinkers and it looks like all systems go.
R7 - #8 Business Model (15-1) the race looks like it will be set up for a closer. You can have the Linda Rice horse at somewhere around 5-2 or this one at double digits. I'm no coward.
R9 - #1 HP Moon (3-1) this time you'd have to kill me to keep me from backing the Rice horse. This is my pick of the day and will pretty much be the key to either having a winning or losing day overall.
Just 1 winner, but it was a good one as Business Model in Race 7 did just what I thought he'd do (at 11-1), and stormed home down the center of the track. Paid $25.20.

120/252.00
Summer total - 4,400/4,471 (1.02)
 

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8/14

TDN
R1 - #1 Dream Music (8-1) lone speed from the rail.
R2 - #6 Accurate (9-2) gets a jockey upgrade after just missing at this distance and level in last.
R7 - #7 Costume Jewelry (5-1) race seems to favor a late running type. The only thing that will upset the applecart is if the track gets wet. Then I would switch to #2 Can I Go Too (4-1).
R8 - #3 Out My Dear (12-1) has done her best work at this track. I love the move back to a sprint today in third off the rest.
 

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8/14 Results

TDN
R1 - #1 Dream Music (8-1)
R2 - #6 Accurate (9-2) 2nd
R7 - #7 Costume Jewelry (5-1) 2nd
R8 - #3 Out My Dear (12-1) 3rd

close, but no cigar
80/0
summer total - 4,480/4,471 (0.99)
 

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8/15

TDN
R1 - #1 Hitch City (8-1) I went with rail speed yesterday in the opener and got beat. Going back to the well again because I'm a glutton for punishment.
R2 - #1 Serve Revenge Cold (7-2) big class drop for a gelding that has cashed before at this level.
R8 - #8 Jodhpur (9-2) ran 2nd at 20-1 to a next-out winner in debut. Solid connections signal an improved effort here.
 

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8/15 Results

TDN
R1 - #1 Hitch City (8-1) 2nd
R2 - #1 Serve Revenge Cold (7-2) winner paid $4.60
R8 - #8 Jodhpur (9-2)

60/46.00
Summer total - 4,540/4,517 (0.99)
 

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8/16

DEL
R3 - #4 I'm Your Papi (10-1) gets an 8 pound relief with the switch to Alicea. Has looked awful since return from long layoff, but if he runs back to form in third off the bench he can own this field. I'll be watching the tote board.
R5 - #5 Touisset (7-2) I'm going with the speed here. It's going to be a white knuckle finish, though.
R7 - #1 Stacks Of Silver (8-1) came back last month after a long layoff and flashed speed from the rail before packing it in. He's back on the rail today with that run behind him and should improve. Capuano has very strong stats with his runners going 2nd off the bench.

SAR
R2 - #2 Don't Tell Amy (3-1) drops to what should be her proper level and returns to the surface she's bred for, all while getting a 5% jockey on her back (which will protect our odds a bit).
R5 - #4 Shinsun (4-1) needs pace to cut into, but it should be there today. Saez just has to hustle from the 10-hole and they aren't going to let him get away.
R8 - #7 Orange Freeze (5-1) another one who will need honest fractions and is likely to get them. I'm obviously worried about the traffic, but have plenty of confidence in Prat to navigate the stretch.
 

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8/16

DEL
R3 - #4 I'm Your Papi (10-1) gets an 8 pound relief with the switch to Alicea. Has looked awful since return from long layoff, but if he runs back to form in third off the bench he can own this field. I'll be watching the tote board.
R5 - #5 Touisset (7-2) I'm going with the speed here. It's going to be a white knuckle finish, though.
R7 - #1 Stacks Of Silver (8-1) came back last month after a long layoff and flashed speed from the rail before packing it in. He's back on the rail today with that run behind him and should improve. Capuano has very strong stats with his runners going 2nd off the bench.

SAR
R2 - #2 Don't Tell Amy (3-1) drops to what should be her proper level and returns to the surface she's bred for, all while getting a 5% jockey on her back (which will protect our odds a bit).
R5 - #4 Shinsun (4-1) needs pace to cut into, but it should be there today. Saez just has to hustle from the 10-hole and they aren't going to let him get away.
R8 - #7 Orange Freeze (5-1) another one who will need honest fractions and is likely to get them. I'm obviously worried about the traffic, but have plenty of confidence in Prat to navigate the stretch.
2 seconds and 2 thirds - just couldn't get one home yesterday.
120/0
summer total - 4,660/4,517 (0.97)
 

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8/17

DEL
R1 - #4 Rack Gin (10-1)
R4 - #3 Comedy Act (8-1)
R5 - #9 Hits Different (6-1)

SAR
R3 - #2 Barrage (5-1)
R4 - #2 Dr Perry (9-5)
R6 - #4 Image of Quality (8-1)
R7 - #8 No Deli (8-1)
 

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8/17 Results

DEL
R1 - #4 Rack Gin (10-1)
R4 - #3 Comedy Act (8-1)
R5 - #9 Hits Different (6-1) 3rd

SAR
R3 - #2 Barrage (5-1) winner paid $8.70
R4 - #2 Dr Perry (9-5) 3rd
R6 - #4 Image of Quality (8-1)
R7 - #8 No Deli (8-1) 2nd (paid $7.00, damn)

140/87.00
Summer total - 4,800/4,604 (0.96)
 

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8/18

DMR
R2 - #1 Sweet Mother Mary (8-1)
R4 - #7 Santos To Wilson (4-1)
R5 - #6 Unfaithful Ways (5-2)
R7 - #1 Symphony Perfect (6-1)
R8 - #5 UR Pressed (4-1)
 

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8/18 Results

DMR
R2 - #1 Sweet Mother Mary (8-1) winner paid $23.80
R4 - #7 Santos To Wilson (4-1) winner paid $10.00
R5 - #6 Unfaithful Ways (5-2) 2nd
R7 - #1 Symphony Perfect (6-1)
R8 - #5 UR Pressed (4-1) 2nd

100/338.00
Summer total - 4,900/4,942 (1.01)
 

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