Just 1 winner, but it was a good one as Business Model in Race 7 did just what I thought he'd do (at 11-1), and stormed home down the center of the track. Paid $25.20.8/13
MTH
R2 - #3 Spanish Pharoah (10-1) first foal out of stakes winning dam, February colt holds a slight maturity edge over the major players. With Paco elsewhere and both Pletcher and Brown with entries, the price should be uber juicy - and Marin has been hot.
R4 - #4 Proven Hope (3-1) back on the brown stuff where he belongs. Race should set up nicely for him to pounce in the stretch.
SAR
R1 - #7 Clearly A Test (5-2) I love rooting for the Louisiana-bred and I always look twice at Camejo training for Brittlyn. Showed late interest in debut, so if the jock can coax her to the front early, she could be gone.
R6 - #1 Crazy Cami (7-2) Maker finally heating up, and we all know how scorching hot T-Gaff is right now. The rail has been friendly in sprints - add in the blinkers and it looks like all systems go.
R7 - #8 Business Model (15-1) the race looks like it will be set up for a closer. You can have the Linda Rice horse at somewhere around 5-2 or this one at double digits. I'm no coward.
R9 - #1 HP Moon (3-1) this time you'd have to kill me to keep me from backing the Rice horse. This is my pick of the day and will pretty much be the key to either having a winning or losing day overall.
2 seconds and 2 thirds - just couldn't get one home yesterday.8/16
DEL
R3 - #4 I'm Your Papi (10-1) gets an 8 pound relief with the switch to Alicea. Has looked awful since return from long layoff, but if he runs back to form in third off the bench he can own this field. I'll be watching the tote board.
R5 - #5 Touisset (7-2) I'm going with the speed here. It's going to be a white knuckle finish, though.
R7 - #1 Stacks Of Silver (8-1) came back last month after a long layoff and flashed speed from the rail before packing it in. He's back on the rail today with that run behind him and should improve. Capuano has very strong stats with his runners going 2nd off the bench.
SAR
R2 - #2 Don't Tell Amy (3-1) drops to what should be her proper level and returns to the surface she's bred for, all while getting a 5% jockey on her back (which will protect our odds a bit).
R5 - #4 Shinsun (4-1) needs pace to cut into, but it should be there today. Saez just has to hustle from the 10-hole and they aren't going to let him get away.
R8 - #7 Orange Freeze (5-1) another one who will need honest fractions and is likely to get them. I'm obviously worried about the traffic, but have plenty of confidence in Prat to navigate the stretch.