Looking ahead to next season

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There was almost a mutiny at UW last year while Willingham was burning redshirts for no good reason other than to try and find lightening in a bottle. His decisions only prolong the problems at UW as I suspect Sarkisian will be forced to try and get back some of those kids redshirts this year.

Interesting thing is I suspect that if this year doesn't go well for UW that some of those guys may just transfer and use the RS for their eligibility year.


Belloti made some curious redshirt decisions throughout his career, some have bit him in the Butt. Most notoriously was his decision to play Dennis Dixon for a few series as a freshman in an effort to asses what he had in him (they were considering a move to WR). They lost that RS and never got it back. Oh what could have been were Dixon around for 2008 season...

Yes that's too bad. But I think Dennis was lucky to be around for the '07 season. It's a wonder that Gary Crowton didn't run him off. I remember that Dixon and Crowton were at odds against each other a little bit too much. Unless the player is a real screw-up, that falls on the coach. Lucky for Dixon that Crowton was given his walking papers and moved on to LSU. That was Bellotti's call. "Oh what could have been if Crowton were released earler and Kelly was found a year sooner."

(Just thinking of the future with Kelly at the helm now. I've also become a big believer in skill position players who take up baseball during the off season!:))

By the way, this is about where Crowton's time gets stale on his current job. Possibly he's got another year in him at LSU. History tells us that 7 different jobs in 15 years isn't a very good indication that he will last much longer. Who's to say what might happen in an offense-challenged conference. Florida's about the only SEC school that's really gotten over the offensive hump (Crowton or no Crowton)... and nobody really knows what they will be capable of when Tebow leaves after this season.
 

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I have never really taken a long hard look at the final team statistics for any given year before. I usually wait till July or Aug and find some ready references. I did just look over the 2008 stats and some things do pop up.
O.U. was rated #1 on total off and #57 on total def. With 9 coming back on Def this year not counting Ryan Reynolds at LB OU should be able to do better in 09 although they are in a pass happy conference. Miss St. was near the bottom on Off and right in the middle on Def. With a new HC who brings the Florida game plan with him, a little more success on off would not be a quantum leap and any relief off of the Def could make them more productive. Like O.U., Oregon was lopsided being #7 on total off and #79 on total Def. So they need to improve on Def to get over the hump. Surprisingly Arizona and California look pretty well balanced and if either side improves so might their records. Arizona was #26 on off and #35 on Def, Cal was #22 on Off and #27 on Def. These two teams could be up there in 2009. Obviously Wash and Wash St. were the two worst overall and have no where to go but up. LY the Big 12 had 3 of the worst 10 defenses (K St, T A&M, Iowa St) and the Pac 10 has the two W's in there also. Something about the teams that start with the letter O (Offensively minded perhaps), but Okla St. was #9 on Off and #70 on Def.
Obviously Forida was the overall best and USC was probably 2nd.
Nothing concrete comes of this but if you decide to go over the stats yourself you will probably be surprised at some of what you find. I never knew OU was "that bad" on defense. Injuries can impact statistics but they are measuring sticks and a beginning point to start. Rivals.com has good stats that are easy to get to and to print. Good source for info.
 

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I need some validation before putting this on the circled/revenge game thread. LY N Car beat GT at home 28-7. Here are the stats from that game. Total Yards - GT 423 - NC 314, FD's GT 20- NC 13, TO's GT 3 - NC 0. This year the game is at GT. GT has 9 back on Off with a QB and 7 back on Def. NC has 6 back on Off with a QB and 9 back on Def. This game has to be a high priority game for GT. Does anyone have a feel for this matchup. I love the GT coach and I know they will be sky high for this one but I also respect the NC coach but will his players be as motivated or have such an easy time this year. Interested to hear some input. Also LY NC had an off week and two weeks to prepare for the GT game.
 

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You can print a copy of the entire 2009 NCAA Football schedule by going to philsteele.com. It lists games week by week and the entire season is posted. First time I have seen it in this format.
 

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This thread is a few months old, in case it was never clarified since January, Nebraska has always had a large roster, due to the walk-on program. During the Osborne-Solich era it was over 200. Most are on the practice roster, which means they are human targets for the first string.
 

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I attended spring practice at Alabama last Friday & Saturday for the annual coach's clinic so I'll give some insight into what they have for next year.

Defensive Line

Bama is looking very solid along the front line. Lorenzo Washington and Luther Davis appear to be the starters right now at end. Both are tall,big, and physical. They play the run really well, but Davis is a little better at getting behind the line and making plays. All-American Terence Cody has probably dropped 10-15 lbs. and is moving very well. With 6 months to condition before the season he could very well be down to 340 by the first game. He has great lateral movement for a big man, but I still don't see him participating very much during passing downs. He can't bull rush the center quickly enough to collapse the pocket. Still, he is likely the best 2-gap DT in the country and if he stays healthy he'll be nearly impossible to run the ball against.

Linebacker

The starting linebacker corp is flat out sick. McClain and Hightower inside are headhunters. McClain was making plays everywhere and Hightower is probably the biggest hitter on the team. Hightower especially is an imposing individual. He looked like Brock Lesner out on the practice field. He's about 6'5 250 of solid muscle with legs like telephone poles. He's very loose for a guy his size and they had him at rush end several times throughout practice. They rotated several guys in and out at OLB, but there were several good options for them. Jerrell Harris, Corey Reamer, and Courtney Upshaw all have different skill sets so I imagine they'll swap them based on the situation. All three are solid and had their moments both days. Depth is the only real concern here. Besides the first 5 or 6, there's a huge dropoff to a bunch of slow white guys and walk-ons. There's a talented freshman class coming in that will need to be prepared to play immediately. As far as the starters go, this should be one of the best LB units in college football.

Secondary

The secondary is solid but not as impressive as the front seven. Kareem Jackson is a good cover corner and Arenas has some of the best hip movement I've seen. His only liability is his size, but the coaches found a way to work around it last year. The safety Woodall was really active, but seemed to lack alot of top end speed. He plays physical and should be solidified at his spot all year. The other safety spot was a rotation with all the players having their strengths and weaknesses. Sharieff doesn't have the body of a safety and Barron got confused on the coverages several times. BJ Scott was easily the best athlete of the group, but it was obvious he lacked experience at the position. Still, the starting three are solid players and should be just as effective as they were last season. I especially expect big things from Kareem Jackson.

Offensive Line

There's going to be a noticable dropoff from last season's group as far as I could tell. They will likely be bigger and might be as effective at run-blocking, but pass blocking was difficult for them. The replacement for Andre Smith was James Carpenter who was pretty solid and definitely the biggest lineman on the team. Vlachos is scrappy as hell at center and should be a serviceable replacement for Caldwell. For whatever reason, the OL coach Pendry can't teach these guys to pass block. Most looked stiff and slow on their feet when dropping back out their stance. Teams with quick and agile DL are going to cause problems for Alabama which is terrible considering their breaking in a new QB. There are supposed to be changes on the OL throughout the offseason, but I came away underwhelmed with their performance as a whole. They look the part and appeared to have a pissed off attitude about them but it didn't seem to help them in pass blocking at all.

Receivers/Tight Ends

I went in thinking that this would be a liability, but was actually pleasantly surprised. To get it out of the way, Julio Jones is just a damn freak of nature. He's bigger than half of the linebackers on the team. He never lets the ball get into his body and runs extremely clean routes. CB's can't matchup with his size and safeties can't catch him. He's going to be hell for opposing DC's to plan for. Besides him, Earl Alexander appeared to be the best bet to start on the other side. He's long and lean and has good hands. He's had injury problems so that's not really a safe bet. Maze is quick and will see alot of action. Hanks can make some plays, but his size is going to be a problem for him. Colin Peek is a good passcatching TE and the two other backups weren't much of a dropoff. This receiveing corp is going to definitely be upgraded from last year.

Running Backs

Good solid corp with lots of depth. Upchurch is, IMO, the best of the bunch. He's the most athletic of the bunch and by far the best pass blocker which unfortunately will be needed. Ingram will split time and will be about the same as last year. Grant is athletic and should be good as a third back. There's alot of utility with the unit overall. They all have various skill sets and if blended properly should be very effective.

Quarterback

Ugh is about all I can say. Star Jackson will not be the starter and likely won't be 2nd string. He was way too inconsistent throwing into double coverage many times and throwing post corners when he was supposed to throw skinny posts. It was obvious he was frustrating the receivers and one of them called him out on it in the middle of practice. It's disappointing because he has better arm strength and athleticsm than any of the others. McElroy is fairly inconsistent in his own right. He can make a beautiful throw and then a headscratcher on the next play. I'm afraid his statline from yesterday's scrimmage of 4TD's and 2 INT's will be the norm for him. Even when he had time to throw, he made some poor decisions.

Given their relatively easy schedule, I think Alabama should win at least 9-10 games. There is really not alot of difference between this year's squad and last year's except for a downgrade at OL and an upgrade on defensive experience. I think they'll matchup well with teams that will be relying on heavily on offense like LSU and Ole Miss. The opener with VT should be an all out war. There's no reason why Alabama shouldn't finish in the top 5 in every defensive statistical category. How far the team can go will likely depend on how they can balance the strength of the defense with the play of the quarterback. I see alot of turnovers from the QB spot which will put the defense in tight situations. Alabama will surely struggle against teams that play the pass well and rush the quarterback.
 

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XS: Great report. Maybe the spring game will clear up the picture a little.
I am afraid that VT is going to be really tough and their defense will reek havok on a green QB and an OL that hasn't had time to gel. But you never know. The edge at QB has become a major factor lately and weakness at that position has cost some teams dearly. All in all you guys hung with Florida LY and I still say if that guy had not stepped out of bounds catching a kick he should have let go, you guys were in a position to take control at that point.
Thanks for the info and welcome to the club.
 

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XS: Great report. Maybe the spring game will clear up the picture a little.
I am afraid that VT is going to be really tough and their defense will reek havok on a green QB and an OL that hasn't had time to gel. But you never know. The edge at QB has become a major factor lately and weakness at that position has cost some teams dearly. All in all you guys hung with Florida LY and I still say if that guy had not stepped out of bounds catching a kick he should have let go, you guys were in a position to take control at that point.
Thanks for the info and welcome to the club.

Thanks Russ. I could have caught McElroy on a bad day because all reports were glowing from the Wednesday scrimmage even though he did throw 2 picks. Everyone will be able to evaluate him during the spring game since it's being aired by ESPN.

I have to disagree with you on the SECCG though. IMO, the game was lost in the 3rd Q when we were down 20-17. We drove down the field inside the 10 yard line and looked like we were going to take the lead. Our OC called 3 consecutive horrible plays capped off by some ridiculous QB sprint out pass play that we hadn't run all year long. We were then forced to kick a FG and lost all the momentum we had built after halftime. If they would have punched it in then we would have had the lead and all the pressure would have turned back on Florida.
 

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XS: Great report. Maybe the spring game will clear up the picture a little.
I am afraid that VT is going to be really tough and their defense will reek havok on a green QB and an OL that hasn't had time to gel. But you never know. The edge at QB has become a major factor lately and weakness at that position has cost some teams dearly. All in all you guys hung with Florida LY and I still say if that guy had not stepped out of bounds catching a kick he should have let go, you guys were in a position to take control at that point.
Thanks for the info and welcome to the club.
The passing game of Tyrod Taylor is going to have to get much much better before I even consider VT any kind of title contender. And I believe that with the overnight improvements of GT, NCST and North Carolina that VT will really have their work cut out for them to even make the ACC title game, much less win their conference. I also think Miami is going to be a strong darkhorse this year. If you count the number of studs on their teams, Miami out-studs VT by quite a bit. It's just a matter of how much you trust Randy Shannon. So far, as far as coach hiring goes, he's done very well. This team is a real threat. And with the exception of their game with Texas, I worry about the Sooners going to Miami more than any other game next season.
 

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GS: Both Florida teams beat VT LY. That conference is probably as competitive as any right now. Tyrod threw a whopping 2 TD's LY along with 7 Int. so he is no where near where he needs to be to lead this team to the championship. I do think that they are a team that no one wants to play and that most teams prepare a little harder for. I have to admit that Taylor can run though (738 yds LY for a 5.0 avg). Maybe he will develop along the lines of a Pat White and continue to improve on his passing.
I think Miami will not be easy for OU but I think Miami will continue to get better as the season progresses. If OU beats them and they do continue to get better OU's strength of schedule carries more weight. I hope this years schedule for OU turns out to be a positive and not a negative.
 

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I was going over some statistics on the top 50 performances Ly in Passing Efficiency, Rushing, and Receiving. I was drawn to the performance of Colin Keapernick of Nevada. He was 44th in pass eff. (208/383 for 2859 yds, 22 TDs & 7 Int). He was also 46th in rushing (161 carries for 1130 yds and 17 TDs). So this guy played in 13 games, averaged 306.85 yds a game and 3 TDs a game. I think that is pretty damned impressive. I have only seen him play a couple of times because of the West Coast handicap of prime TV time. I also see that his team mate Vai Taua was the 8th leading rusher LY accounting for 1521 yds a game and 15 TD's.
I guess Colin doesn't get the national exposure but I can guarantee you I will be following him this year. I have not done a breakdown on the entire team yet but I know they return 8 on off (including Kaepernick) and 5 on defense. I will breakdown that conference and that team later on.
 

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I think anyone who watched O.U. play LY witnessed some of the worst special teams play ever, especially against kick off returns. I did not realize how bad it was until I saw a list of the best individual all purpose game performances LY. Using just KOR's this is what I came up with:

Mardy Gilyard, Cincinnati had 246 yards on KOR's against OU
Cyrus Gray, Texas A & M had 261 yards on KOR's against OU
Deon Murphy, Kansas St had 181 yards on KOR's against OU

Now OU did well against Florida but with their stable of athletes those numbers are absolutely terrible. 3 players account for 688 yards on KOR's in three games.

I once again have to mention Percy Harvin when it comes to All Purpose yardage. It stands out to me that in the Florida loss to Mississippi that he accounted for 82 yds rushing and 186 yds receiving (268 yds total.) Mark my words, he will be sorely missed and perhaps irreplaceable.
 

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OMG - there must be something in the water. Okie State gave up 319 yards in KOR's to one player in one game, Leonard Johnson from Iowa State. They also gave up 196 yds to DeMarco Murray of Oklahoma and 178 yards to Patrick Edwards of Houston. 3 players - 693 yds in three games.
The state of Oklahoma going to have to get a bailout from Obama to turn these figures around. AIG and OKOR were both bad investments in 2008.
 

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The passing game of Tyrod Taylor is going to have to get much much better before I even consider VT any kind of title contender. And I believe that with the overnight improvements of GT, NCST and North Carolina that VT will really have their work cut out for them to even make the ACC title game, much less win their conference. I also think Miami is going to be a strong darkhorse this year. If you count the number of studs on their teams, Miami out-studs VT by quite a bit. It's just a matter of how much you trust Randy Shannon. So far, as far as coach hiring goes, he's done very well. This team is a real threat. And with the exception of their game with Texas, I worry about the Sooners going to Miami more than any other game next season.


Besides @ Ole Miss, the VT game is the scariest one on the schedule. I've noticed that Nick Saban's defense have alot of trouble with mobile QB's. Not so much in terms of rushing the ball, but in the ablility to scramble and buy time. Saban is the master of disguising coverages yet I think when QB's can scramble and get out of the pocket it helps them read the combo coverages and find the one-on-one matchups.
 

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I think anyone who watched O.U. play LY witnessed some of the worst special teams play ever, especially against kick off returns. I did not realize how bad it was until I saw a list of the best individual all purpose game performances LY. Using just KOR's this is what I came up with:

Mardy Gilyard, Cincinnati had 246 yards on KOR's against OU
Cyrus Gray, Texas A & M had 261 yards on KOR's against OU
Deon Murphy, Kansas St had 181 yards on KOR's against OU

Now OU did well against Florida but with their stable of athletes those numbers are absolutely terrible. 3 players account for 688 yards on KOR's in three games.

I once again have to mention Percy Harvin when it comes to All Purpose yardage. It stands out to me that in the Florida loss to Mississippi that he accounted for 82 yds rushing and 186 yds receiving (268 yds total.) Mark my words, he will be sorely missed and perhaps irreplaceable.

I have said it before and I will say it again. Florida will not win it all without Harvin.
 

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I have said it before and I will say it again. Florida will not win it all without Harvin.

Harvin was a special player no doubt, but this defense is going to be so good that the offense isn't going to have to be that explosive this year to roll most teams.
 

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I think anyone who watched O.U. play LY witnessed some of the worst special teams play ever, especially against kick off returns. I did not realize how bad it was until I saw a list of the best individual all purpose game performances LY. Using just KOR's this is what I came up with:

Mardy Gilyard, Cincinnati had 246 yards on KOR's against OU
Cyrus Gray, Texas A & M had 261 yards on KOR's against OU
Deon Murphy, Kansas St had 181 yards on KOR's against OU

Now OU did well against Florida but with their stable of athletes those numbers are absolutely terrible. 3 players account for 688 yards on KOR's in three games.

I once again have to mention Percy Harvin when it comes to All Purpose yardage. It stands out to me that in the Florida loss to Mississippi that he accounted for 82 yds rushing and 186 yds receiving (268 yds total.) Mark my words, he will be sorely missed and perhaps irreplaceable.


What exactly is your sick obsession with Florida? You bring them up in every post. It's pretty pathetic man, give it a rest.

Also, UF will average no less than 4 points per game than last year. Percy will be missed but far from irreplaceable.
 

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Flsunman: Well the obsession is not exactly as you percieve it. The obsession is to see if I (or really anyone) can even mention Florida or a player from Florida without one of you floridians taking offense or getting offensive. I was merely giving Harvin his due and how Florida does without him is purely speculation at this point. He will not be missed in many games but he will be missed when and if the pressure is on whether you want to admit it or not. If I was to ask you if you would have preferred he'd have stayed I am quite sure you would say yes. By the same token who would not want a proven player of his caliber. So you choose to take my comment as a negative about a Florida team that could well go undefeated and call it an obsessioin. I say you are obsessed with defending a team that does not need to be defended by you or anyone else. They will begin the season at no.1 and they deserve it. I think it is you that needs to loosen up.
 

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