thanks man, appreciate it, far easier than I thought but i understimated my capping on this one, and hence the one unit bet, nice winner with west ham too, but I am so very fucking pissed off because i was off to my cottage house for a few hours where I dont have a dsl line but i got three dial up ones, which for some devilish coincidence were all down, just as I d written a lengthy piece on a greek league under at 2.37 (paok larisa) over at pinnacle which I am sure most of you, if not all, got accounts with, where i layed out how their past 10 games for each team had gone 5-5 o/u, how their total over % were 53 and 57% respectively, how paok was fielding an offensive formation, how the field was in mint condition, how the defense...i mean it must have been over three paragraphs...and a nice little earner it was with the game ending at 2-1...but it bust my balls that i kept trying to connect just as I was about to post it here and none of the three dial ups worked...ssshhh...
word of advice, if anyone chooses to play panathinaikos at the handicap go easy on them because their wacco italian coach might field a squad that is not very much to my liking leaving some players, i consider make or break a game, out. Let's hope the rest of the bets go through, i get a little edgy when i am on a great roll, not just a good one, as i am right now because, you know, what comes up, must come down, and you can't win em all, to tell you the truth i prefer doing just well than very well, keeps with the normalcy of things, in any case i am 100% confident of my selections, and to recap...
Main Record
13-1-3 +42.705%
Pending:
Roma over empoli at 1.4 pinnacle for 7.5%
(as i speculated this one has dropped to an average of 1.35 with pinnacle still offering one of the best lines at 1.377)
Panathinaikos over Kalithea at 1.12
Ajax over Roosendal at 1.12
Feyenoord at 1.2
Combined at 1.51 (round up) for 7.5% at vcbet (btw you can get comparable prices elsewhere)
Thrasivoulos - Aris
eurobet(coral's europian branch) away win at 2.9 for 3%
gamebookers draw at 2.8 for 3%
Betting Record 2
8-3 +13.105% ( 5-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
Pending:
Ajax -2 at 1.85 bet365.
word of advice, if anyone chooses to play panathinaikos at the handicap go easy on them because their wacco italian coach might field a squad that is not very much to my liking leaving some players, i consider make or break a game, out. Let's hope the rest of the bets go through, i get a little edgy when i am on a great roll, not just a good one, as i am right now because, you know, what comes up, must come down, and you can't win em all, to tell you the truth i prefer doing just well than very well, keeps with the normalcy of things, in any case i am 100% confident of my selections, and to recap...
Main Record
13-1-3 +42.705%
Pending:
Roma over empoli at 1.4 pinnacle for 7.5%
(as i speculated this one has dropped to an average of 1.35 with pinnacle still offering one of the best lines at 1.377)
Panathinaikos over Kalithea at 1.12
Ajax over Roosendal at 1.12
Feyenoord at 1.2
Combined at 1.51 (round up) for 7.5% at vcbet (btw you can get comparable prices elsewhere)
Thrasivoulos - Aris
eurobet(coral's europian branch) away win at 2.9 for 3%
gamebookers draw at 2.8 for 3%
Betting Record 2
8-3 +13.105% ( 5-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
Pending:
Ajax -2 at 1.85 bet365.
1st final of the day is in and it's an easy blow out win <TABLE style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" borderColor=#cccccc cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width=440 border=1><TBODY><TR bgColor=#fdfefe><TD width=25>FT'</TD><TD align=right width=140>Feyenoord </TD><TD id=res52 width=45>4 : 0</TD><TD align=left width=140> Sparta</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>:thumbsup2: thanks Jack
and aris wins thrasyvoulos 0-1 so another good bet with this one, let's just wait another twenty minutes or so for Roma holding on to their 1-0 for them to break an unbeaten record streak that only 4 teams have ever managed in their italian seria a career, the last being in 1957!, judging by the italians mentality (I was in rome this christmas/new year) empoly are going to be good hosts and won't try extra hard to spoil the others day, but lets just wait and see. Feels good though when the teams one has suggested are so far on a 16-0 this weekend, a bit fucking unreal really.
good thing I avoided roma on the handicap, 1-0 final. (Reminder to self here to look over the Ionikos game and why I missed an excellent over, why i was mislead...)
Update.
Main Record
15-1-3 +48.405%
Pending:
Panathinaikos -1 3/4 at 1.99 for 7.5%
(As I said be cautious with this one if you decide to bet it, it's started to rain here too, and it looks like it's going to be pouring for a good while and that's not a good sign when you are aiming at overcoming a big handicap, should have checked the weather report, my ommision, but a man's only got one brain and sometimes they forget...)
Panathinaikos over Kalithea at 1.12 Pending
Ajax over Roosendal at 1.12 WON
Feyenoord at 1.2 WON
Combined at 1.51 (round up) for 7.5%
Betting Record 2
9-3 + 17.355% ( 6-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
Update.
Main Record
15-1-3 +48.405%
Pending:
Panathinaikos -1 3/4 at 1.99 for 7.5%
(As I said be cautious with this one if you decide to bet it, it's started to rain here too, and it looks like it's going to be pouring for a good while and that's not a good sign when you are aiming at overcoming a big handicap, should have checked the weather report, my ommision, but a man's only got one brain and sometimes they forget...)
Panathinaikos over Kalithea at 1.12 Pending
Ajax over Roosendal at 1.12 WON
Feyenoord at 1.2 WON
Combined at 1.51 (round up) for 7.5%
Betting Record 2
9-3 + 17.355% ( 6-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
although on the next bet I will suggest the odds have become considerable lower for my side than the opening ones, and it's not my style to bet underpriced sides, i still find value in it, it's R. AA. Louvièroise - Beerschot Germinal Antwerpen game in belgim. Louvieroise is implicated in one of, no, THE, most notorious betting/corruption scandal in the belgian league, they ve lost 3 of their past six games, and drawn the other two, they have only won twice at home, and are missing 4 very important players, they played like shit in their last game and lost, while germinal have gone 4-0-2 in their past games, and have, and that's a common admission demonstrated signs of getting much better, playing good football, and having been strengthened in the transfer period. What more can a bettor want to chose the Beerschot Germinal pk at 1.72(bet365) a handicap that had dropped to 1.57 at betfair, where currently no ones even trading? Well, not much. Pinnacles -1/4 at 2.02 is worthwhile too.
So, boys and gals. we are taking a normal bet (i.e. two units) for the lads over at germinal to not lose to pathetic, corrupt la louviere.
(Another factor here about the local league swaying us towards the away win, if you were an official in belgium would you really want louverioise currently at one before the last to be figuring in your league in the next year considering all the shit that has gone down? Or would you want them to quietly move down, and in a very hush hush way, tray erasing the damages of this scandal. It's a no brainer. So, by this syllogism we know who's side the refs are going to be on.) bol.
So, boys and gals. we are taking a normal bet (i.e. two units) for the lads over at germinal to not lose to pathetic, corrupt la louviere.
(Another factor here about the local league swaying us towards the away win, if you were an official in belgium would you really want louverioise currently at one before the last to be figuring in your league in the next year considering all the shit that has gone down? Or would you want them to quietly move down, and in a very hush hush way, tray erasing the damages of this scandal. It's a no brainer. So, by this syllogism we know who's side the refs are going to be on.) bol.
Risking. I dislike to win wagers, you can't bet with a set amount to win, regardless of the odds, in every decent staking criteria, take the kelly for example, you are betting according to the edge you have over the bookmaker in every bet (the hypothetical edge) that should be the determining factor, that and your risk management strategy), it doesn't make much sense to double your stake for a 1.5 what you would have for a 2.0 bet say, if your expected advantage is about the same, do you know what i mean?
Beerschot Germinal -1/4 at 1.94 currently at 10bet, dropping by 5% in what, twenty minutes?
Beerschot Germinal -1/4 at 1.94 currently at 10bet, dropping by 5% in what, twenty minutes?
panathinaikos coach proves himself a huge stubborn dickhead again, he was losing 0-2 last week as some will remember, and made a couple of substitutions with mantzios and leontiou to turn it to 4-2, he keeps going on all week about fielding an attacking formation, including these two players, and what does he do, he fields almost the same formation at the one that lead to the 0-2...i was afraid of that and i d said it here, what's the result, twenty minutes into the game and no chances for panathinaikos, fucking asshole...let's hope he gets a grip sooner than later.
olympiakos predictably finish this off with a 2-0, almost impossible to turn things around now, whoever rode this one at betfair should be content. Heavy chalk but well worth it, game proved so. Panathinaikos manage a 2-0 win to cover our handicap, in a game that i d pretty much writen off, and how's the goal scored by an excellent vertical pass by non other than Leontiou the player i have been screaming my lungs in this thread and elsewhere that italian coach malezani should have start with, and who entered the game on the 86th minute...ssshhh...sometimes i think there are very few people involved in soccer with half a brain, esp. the coaches, i mean where you were in class at school who d want to becoma a coach? Most morons right?
In any case, if i ve counted everything right, the roll continues, happily with a 7-0 so far this week, one game pending with the belgians, let's go 8-0, although a 7-1 wouldn't tarnish the record that much, or would it? (you get more demanding when things go well...)
Collectively all the teams i have bet this weekend have gone 19-0 goals for, I dont think it's happened to me before. Unfuckingbelievable really.
:toast:
In any case, if i ve counted everything right, the roll continues, happily with a 7-0 so far this week, one game pending with the belgians, let's go 8-0, although a 7-1 wouldn't tarnish the record that much, or would it? (you get more demanding when things go well...)
Collectively all the teams i have bet this weekend have gone 19-0 goals for, I dont think it's happened to me before. Unfuckingbelievable really.
:toast:
en fuego...but Belgian Germinal sadly conceed a last minute goal on the 90th to compromise their 0-1 win, to a 1-1, but return our stake, and turn a 21-0 of the teams I bet for the weekend to a 21-1, possibly a fiting finalle though with a goal on the 90th. Still, I got to give it to myself that i chose the lesser odds of the pk, instead of the higher ones of the -1/4 ball and hence no loss here. If were in my night out drinking days, i d already be off with the cash to some strip joint or a bar downtown, but seeing those days are over, for the time being, I should probably buy some jewelry for my girfriend because this has been an all betting Sunday.
Main Record
18-1-3 +58.9425%
Betting Record 2
9-1-3 + 17.335% ( 6-1-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
Main Record
18-1-3 +58.9425%
Betting Record 2
9-1-3 + 17.335% ( 6-1-1 5% bets, 3-2 2.5% bets)
Bayern -0.25 at 2.0 for 2 units.
Can't find any value in the rest of the cl games, some american oriented books (such as carib) have ridicoulously high prices for some overs that are possibly worth a punt but i can't be arsed to open an account over there and the limits are probably going to be too low in any case. Very hectic day this was at work so, I am on my second aspirin and still got a pounding headache, so i might come up with something more tommorow with a clear head, but bayern for the time being look solid and i dont expect the line to last too long.
bol boys, talk to you all soon.
Can't find any value in the rest of the cl games, some american oriented books (such as carib) have ridicoulously high prices for some overs that are possibly worth a punt but i can't be arsed to open an account over there and the limits are probably going to be too low in any case. Very hectic day this was at work so, I am on my second aspirin and still got a pounding headache, so i might come up with something more tommorow with a clear head, but bayern for the time being look solid and i dont expect the line to last too long.
bol boys, talk to you all soon.
dropped a unit tonight on the german clowns and some belgian ref clown, and as you can read elsewhere i am not at all pleased. I m looking at villareal for tommorow, i like juventus but laying a goal away on them is something i got to think over, and...
Marseille Bolton Under at 1.6 for 1 unit.
Greek League Sunday
Palermo -1 at 1.83 for 6%
Olympiakos pk at 1.55 over paok interwetten for 7.5% (if you bet there before and won anything to write home about they ll have cut your limits, i have my, some, ways)
I also starting a new betting record, sorta the off the record thing actually were i will be trying a few things out, be very cautious with it if anything infulences you, it is like a said a very trial and error thing.
i am taking werder over at 2.1, ajax over at 2.4 (all betfair) for 2% each.
Marseille Bolton Under at 1.6 for 1 unit.
Greek League Sunday
Palermo -1 at 1.83 for 6%
Olympiakos pk at 1.55 over paok interwetten for 7.5% (if you bet there before and won anything to write home about they ll have cut your limits, i have my, some, ways)
I also starting a new betting record, sorta the off the record thing actually were i will be trying a few things out, be very cautious with it if anything infulences you, it is like a said a very trial and error thing.
i am taking werder over at 2.1, ajax over at 2.4 (all betfair) for 2% each.
