Jack's select plays.

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a 25% percent guaranteed profit (if olympiakos win, zero losses else) if anyone wants to get out right now, I am not.
 

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Rivaldo on the foul and all the prices dissappear, mine too, going out at 3.2. let's see.
 

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Goal...with Rivaldo's fouling prowess reaching close to 70% to score it's suisidal for anyone to stay in this one. I actually got out at around 3, so around another 60% of profit on our stake, +3% of our bankroll if olympiakos keep their lead in the next five minutes.
 

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sorry for that, maybe I should have been more clear in my descriptions. At half time I layed Olympliakos at 2.2 at betfair for 5% of bankroll, and at around the 70 something minute I bet them at around 3.0 for the same price, getting out so to speak of the bet and trading, the end result, olympiakos 1-0, meant I paid the bettor who matched my stake (doing the bookmakers bussiness) 5% times 1.2, and got payed 5% times 2.0. If olympiakos had either drawn or lost, I d have won my stake of 5% for my lay and lost the equal (well give or take the commisions) of 5% for my betting them at 3.0. Maybe your initial confusion is due to my mistypind the above senario in my first post and later correcting it.
 

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Since I ve already put 5% down for Panathinaikos at 1.65 at the afforementioned shit books, I will be betting a further 5% at 10bet -3/4 1.98 (new account over there, fill me in on the details if anyone's betting there), hefty bet but I am feeling pretty confident, I am actually not betting this until tommorow morning when I get a good angle on the refs too so I ll have this one covered squarely.

Aek at 1.35 and Iraklis at 1.6 at expekt (2.16) for 5%.

(bball) Panathinaikos over Aek 1.05, Olympiakos at 1.2 Aek at 1.35 for 5%

Olympiakos at 1.2 Panathinaikos at 1.65 for 7.5%

Levadiakos pk over Xanthi at 1.86 (betfair, 10bet) for 5%

I ll also be adding some european bets to my pallete, I ll count this towards another record/bankroll and most if not all will be flat 5% or 2.5% (one and two units respectively) bankroll bets. So here's what I got so far.

1 unit bets.
Feyenoord over Breda at 1.67 (betclass, or unibet/eurobet at 1.65)

2 unit bets.
S. Liege over Beveren at 1.83 (betfred)
Groningen over Roosendal at 1.75 (centrebet, amongst others)
FC Penafiel +2 over Benfica at 1.79 pinnacle
0.66% on exact 3-0 at 8.5 for benfica betsense.
(yes, yes i know i am taking the pits of the portuguese league with 15-40 goals over title contenders benfica with 33-19 goals, but, trust me, I got an angle on this one...)


These are all on a smaller bankroll than my betting record propre which mainly focuses on my home league, and I ll be trying out a few new things too here (time permitting alas...)
 

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for those who decided to join me on the Iraklis bet a very easy win in on the making with them leading 2-0, and dominating the game as if they were a 1.1 not a 1.6 favourite. Easy.
 

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S. Liege over Beveren at 1.83 (betfred) won.
man. united 2 unit play at 1.57 betfair won.

Clear 2 goal margin victories for both. I hope some of you were on these.

Main Record
7-1-2 +19.55%
Bets
6-1-2 16.5%
Trades
1-0 3%

Pending
Panathinaikos for 5% at 1.65
Panathinaikos for 5% -3/4 at 1.98
Aek at 1.35 and Iraklis at 1.6(WON) at expekt (2.16) for 5%.
(bball) Panathinaikos over Aek 1.05, Olympiakos at 1.2 Aek at 1.35 for 5%
Olympiakos at 1.2 Panathinaikos at 1.65 for 7.5%
Levadiakos pk over Xanthi at 1.86 (betfair, 10bet) for 5%

Betting Record 2
2-0 +7%

Pending:
1 unit (2.5%) bets.
Feyenoord over Breda at 1.67 (betclass, or unibet/eurobet at 1.65)
2 unit (5%) bets.
Groningen over Roosendal at 1.75 (centrebet, amongst others)
FC Penafiel +2 over Benfica at 1.79 pinnacle
0.66% on exact 3-0 at 8.5 for benfica betsense.
man city 1.93 betfair

bol to all.

Jack.
 

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my greek boy Anastasiou is playing over there on a recent 8 million euros transfer, plus I never liked the irritating united with all the folklore, vainglory and the gum chewing scot. All that, coupled with my bet, means I m all for them too, has there been much of a price movement? Because I haven't detected a lot. In any case I am estimating that they are overpriced by 5-10% here so it's well worth it.

It really pains me to see that I am on the wrong side of the line movement, which does not happen often..., in not one but two greek bets, which I went heavy one, with panathinaikos trading at a ridicilous 1.8 at betfair and aek at 1.4something, and 5dimes offering both of them (but not the draws or losses) at comparable prices. It's true that most bookmakers have retained their low prices, but you bet I am pissed off at missing 10-15% percent off these bets...welll...winning them will dampen the pain for sure... I still can't see why the price movement, new absencies or changes in refs have not happened, it rained last night so that might affect pitch conditions but very marginally because it's as dry as it gets right now, so that's out too...possibly people have been influence by the bigger teams' in greece recent or not so recent mishaps but that still doesn't cut it for me, and although it's clear that no other but the sharper player usually move the lines here, i can't see this as anything else but an erroneous public reaction.

In any case, 1.8 FOR PANATHINAIKOS IS WAY OVERPRICED AND REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME IT WOULD BE A CRIME NOT TO BET IT. I AM WHOLEHEARTEDLY SUGGESTING IT, BUT BET IT WITHIN YOUR MEANS.

two dutch games are in:

1 unit (2.5%) bets.
Feyenoord over Breda at 1.67 (betclass, or unibet/eurobet at 1.65) Lost, with breda managing to turn a 1-3 deficit to a 3-3 draw in the last couple of minutes, that doesn't happen that often, so -2.5% for this one.
2 unit (5%) bets.
Groningen over Roosendal at 1.75 (centrebet, amongst others) WON +3.75%
Aggregate of +1.25%

I am off to see if I can find anything worht trading at betfair for the paok game cureently on the 15th minute.

Betting Record 2
3-1 +8.25% ( 3-0 5% bets, 0-1 2.5% bets)

Pending:
2 unit (5%) bets.
FC Penafiel +2 over Benfica at 1.79 pinnacle
0.66% on exact 3-0 at 8.5 for benfica betsense.
man city 1.93 betfair
 

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Levadiakos pk over Xanthi at 1.86 (betfair, 10bet) for 5%
Loss, -5%, admittedly I was wrong about this one, and I ll have to re-evaluate how I weighted in the factors here...
 

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Congrats to us both inspades, my boy Samaras scored for the 3-2 victory. Aek are also leading 1-0.

Betting Record 2
4-1 +12.9% ( 4-0 5% bets, 0-1 2.5% bets)

Pending:
2 unit (5%) bets.
FC Penafiel +2 over Benfica at 1.79 pinnacle
(that's moved against me too...at 1.82 pinnacle)
0.66% on exact 3-0 at 8.5 for benfica betsense.
 

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JackDee said:
Congrats to us both inspades, my boy Samaras scored for the 3-2 victory. Aek are also leading 1-0.

Betting Record 2
4-1 +12.9% ( 4-0 5% bets, 0-1 2.5% bets)

Pending:
2 unit (5%) bets.
FC Penafiel +2 over Benfica at 1.79 pinnacle
(that's moved against me too...at 1.82 pinnacle)
0.66% on exact 3-0 at 8.5 for benfica betsense.

Yeah, nice win with Man City. I am having a very good day so far, but could be having a monster day except for a 90 minute goal by Sunderland. I was heavy on Tottenham.

I lost a push on a 90 minute goal in the Betis/Deportivo match as well.

IS
 

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Great call on PANATHINAIKOS. Overcame a 2-0 deficit, looks like it makes up for the Breda loss.

Thanks.

IS
 

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