Come on Guru this is nonsense. The Storm is the premiere franchise in the AFL. We are the Patriots of the AFL. 5-1 in the Arenabowl. Orlando's record in the Bowl??????? A spectacular 2-4. We just polished off the defending Arenabowl champs and covered a two TD spread. Yes, both at home.
Let's not forget that the Preds are probably a little overvalued. That part I am serious about. Power ratings have the Storm around a two point fav before Home Field is factored in. Which going by the sets I have seen is around 2.25. If we use these numbers Predators are no better than -1 and that is being generous. However, I tend to think that home field is worth more in general in the AFL and especially in Orlando (all those name tags tend to create a distraction.) I would be willing to give the Preds as much as five full points for home field. This is a huge rivalry and the home crowd does get rowdy for the only team to ever win a championship in Disney town. So lets assume we only give the Storm two points for straight up advantage and the Preds five for home. Orlando -3. But is this really a good number?
I know you are confident in your kicker. What was his name again? But do you think that it is rational handicapping to say that any kicker will have success against the Storm based on a poor performance that happened to end with a couple of good kicks? Or just is it false confidence to assume automatic success by a yet to be signed kicker will do well against your arch rival?
Do you really think that the Orlando victories were equal to the Storm's? How did they win that first one? How well did Bonner play in the second one? I am not making assumptions, I just want you to rationalize your Preds a little more before you recklessly advise innocent bystanders to bet with your heart.
The truth is that the Storm are probably at least three points better than the Preds. But I would make Orlando -2 1/2 at home. Pinnacle has it at -4 right now. I am not ready to bet it. I am not that confident in my AFL abilities. I am more confident in yours. So I am going to lay off this game instead of backing the greatest franchise in the AFL against their hated rival. I hope you are happy Guru.