Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 12

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You play... to win... the game
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Things just aren't going our way tonight...

Orlando's gonna win by 5

Georgia covers for us though... but aside from that, it's been a rough start once again to the week.
 

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Don't trust Americas line but they show a Georgia cover and Orlando up by 5 with game almost over?
 

You play... to win... the game
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Georgia covered and for some reason Orlando got another TD... I don't get it... but it's 72-60 with 14 seconds left, so if the Preds can hang tight, Chris Sanders is gonna lead us to a cover.
 

You play... to win... the game
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Considering the Preds lost Joe, that's a hell on an effort. I'll still chalk this one in the "we kinda lucked out" category... night saver indeed... made today a winner unless we do something later in this SJ/Dal 2nd half. I'll be watching this game closely.
 

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Got DAL-SJ on TV. Let me know if you need updates. I can do some, but I'm in the basement with my laptop for this game and it's harder to type.
 

You play... to win... the game
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Gametracker will do for now... I'm probably just gonna go to bed soon... I'm exhausted from a long day on campus. I'll let you know if I've got any specific questions.
 

You play... to win... the game
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83 points by San Jose? Crew can't be stopped right now. Very scary for the rest of the league. Anyway, here's how last night went.

Friday Card
Georgia (-17.5) vs. Grand Rapids W (+2.38 units)
Orlando (-6) vs. New York W (+4.76 units)
Orlando/New York under 101.5 L (-4 units)
Orlando/New York under 49 first half L (-2.5 units)

So we basically kicked some money around yesterday and it all ended up back right where it started thanks to Orlando's BS cover...

YTD
Against the opening line: 32-15-1
Against that same closing line: 29-18-1

Sides Record: 24-17 (+29.54 units)
Totals Record: 22-13 (+23.56 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
1st half: 1-3 (-3.59 units)
2nd half: 10-10 (+1.85 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 4-5 (+2.99 units)

Composite Record

YTD: 62-51 (54.88%)
Net: +51.90 units
Actual ATS (Sides + Totals + 1st halfs + 2nd halfs): 57-43 (57% on the dot)

Units Wagered: 320.5 units
Units Won: 51.9 units
Net %: 16.19% profit per unit wagered

Saturday Card
New Orleans/Columbus under 101.5 (3 units -105): Since I never did a preview of this or any of the other ones.... New Orleans comes into this game off a bye week with a nasty taste in their mouth having just lost to Austin on the road. Columbus is just bad. Period. Andy Kelly and gang have tried to slow the offense down of late, and I'm not sure why. I'm a bit afraid that this game does turn shoot out on us, as perhaps Coach Neu took the time to reinstate the better offense for his team. But if not, all the better for us in this one. New Orleans will win this game either way and win it handlely, though if you believe in streaks being broken and such, 3 covers for the favorites and 3 overs thus far, meaning something's due to go under this week you'd think... you'd think.... anyway, the way my bases luck has bounced poorly lately after a great start, it's time for a rebound somewhere else, and perhaps this is the springboard to another solid AFL weekend.
 

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Guru,

If you feel NO will win this game handily, why are you playing the under and not the side?

Thank you for your response.
 

You play... to win... the game
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New Orleans hasn't covered in weeks and looks lost on offense. Also, Columbus is bound to cover someone on the road this season, and New Orleans seems prime candidacy. Also, I have a problem playing a line at 14 or 14.5 when I could have gotten it at 8 or 9 at open. I hate laying that much of a point differential.
 

You play... to win... the game
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2-0 New Orleans... game starts with Matt D'Orazio getting sacked for a safety.
 

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Great, one play, New Orleans TD... not a good start with 9 points in 2 plays.
 

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Jamaar Ward is a massive beast... Guy's gotta be 6'7" 380.... Columbus has given him the ball several times in this one... Goalline stand for New Orleans after 3 Ward runs and a D'Orazio sweep.

BJ Cohen is a beast as well... two tackles in the goalline stand and the safety. New Orleans is probably gonna be up 16-0 getting the ball in the 2nd half. 9:45 left in the 1st.
 

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As if one mascot isn't enough, New Orleans has two of them... and about 75 VooDoo Dolls as well (cheerleaders)
 

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Gametracker is really wrong right now. New Orleans is dinking and dunking their way down the field. Voodoo dominating. Thabiti Davis isn't playing. Voodoo around midfield with about 7:00 left in the quarter.
 

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