GoSooners Plays For Week 4

[GoSooners]

I guess I can't disagree with the Nevada play, but after watching Mizzou manhandle teams with better athletes than Nevada I don't think I can play it...

GL on the picks GS...

I understand your thinking. This is strictly a system play for me or else i wouldn't be playing it myself. I want to see how good these home running dogs do this week. Some probable running dogs (PRD) playing at home this week are:


Nevada
Va Tech
Wyoming
Purdue
ULM
Miss St.
North Texas

I originally had the two Oregon teams as the running dogs. But OSU is no longer the dog, and Oregon being the better running team in this spot is a little iffy with Cal RB Best on the other side..

 

[VoiceofReason101]

stop stealing my plays GS, just kidding, good looking card my friend and nice hit last night :toast:

 

[fonz5000]

I understand your thinking. This is strictly a system play for me or else i wouldn't be playing it myself. I want to see how good these home running dogs do this week. Some probable running dogs (PRD) playing at home this week are:


Nevada
Va Tech
Wyoming
Purdue
ULM
Miss St.
North Texas

I originally had the two Oregon teams as the running dogs. But OSU is no longer the dog, and Oregon being the better running team in this spot is a little iffy with Cal RB Best on the other side..

Oh yeah... Sorry GS... I forgot you were sticking to that this week.

 

[GoSooners]

stop stealing my plays GS, just kidding, good looking card my friend and nice hit last night :toast:

I just hope we can both steal a few games from the books this week..BOL VOR

 

[nd2000]

Gs...Don't take Mississippi State, even if it is on your list.

 

[GoSooners]

Gs...Don't take Mississippi State, even if it is on your list.

I might take your advice on this one since I think MSU is very overrated thanks to a win over Vandy. Plus LSU ALWAYS seems to be a more focused team when they go on the road. BOL tomorrow :toast:

 

[fadethepublic1]

Gs...Don't take Mississippi State, even if it is on your list.

Formula has LSU only winning by 2 w/Miss St as the rushing dog. I like this play especially after watching LSU play. Why are you taking LSU? Aloha from Hawaii.

 

[nd2000]

Formula has LSU only winning by 2 w/Miss St as the rushing dog. I like this play especially after watching LSU play. Why are you taking LSU? Aloha from Hawaii.

Because they have dominated over Mississippi State over the years and i certainly don't feel that this year's version of the Bulldogs has closed the gap any. Last year, LSU was favored by 24 over these guys, and as i mentioned in my thread, this is the LEAST amount of points that LSU has given them in several years, but the talent gap is still very wide.

Any formula that has Miss State only 2 points worse than LSU needs to be checked. No offense.

Mississippi State was also a 9-point underdog to Vanderbilt. Despite the fact that they won the game, that should pretty much tell you what oddsmakers think of Mississippi State's talent level.

 

[fadethepublic1]

Because they have dominated over Mississippi State over the years and i certainly don't feel that this year's version of the Bulldogs has closed the gap any. Last year, LSU was favored by 24 over these guys, and as i mentioned in my thread, this is the LEAST amount of points that LSU has given them in several years, but the talent gap is still very wide.

Any formula that has Miss State only 2 points worse than LSU needs to be checked. No offense.

sorry. i meant to say i have bulldogs losing by 10 pts. i think as long as turnovers don't kill them, this game should go as planned. but GL to you on your play. Aloha from Hawaii.

 

[soxfan+]

ps who the the hell has missouri played?

 

[nd2000]

sorry. i meant to say i have bulldogs losing by 10 pts. i think as long as turnovers don't kill them, this game should go as planned. but GL to you on your play. Aloha from Hawaii.

This sounds like a game you should pass on. If you are projecting a ten point loss, and the line is only +12.5, you don't have much margin for error.

 

[fadethepublic1]

This sounds like a game you should pass on. If you are projecting a ten point loss, and the line is only +12.5, you don't have much margin for error.

you do realize the line opened at 14? I got it in at 14.5. Either way even if they lose by 14 I feel good bout my play. 4 points is a lot to be getting because of vegas' soft line. Aloha from Hawaii.

 

[nd2000]

you do realize the line opened at 14? I got it in at 14.5. Either way even if they lose by 14 I feel good bout my play. 4 points is a lot to be getting because of vegas' soft line. Aloha from Hawaii.

Well that's a lot better then. I would not have played LSU if the line was -14 or higher, even though i think they are capable of winning real big here. How about a 13 point LSU win and we both grab the cash:toast:.

 

[linebets]

Texas A&M (-14) over UAB **

I had UAB listed as a possible running dogs. But the problem I have with them is they are pretty much a one dimensional team going up for the first time this season against a two dimensional BCS team who is an even better running team. The Aggies defense didn't look good last week against Utah State. But USU had a good QB/RB combination that can hurt you both ways. I don't think UAB is as big of a threat on offense. They are also worse on defense. They gave up over 500 yards on defense against Troy last week in a 2 TD loss. Texas A&M WR Fuller will be out for this game. But freshman WR Nwachukwu should be an adequate repacement. He caught 3 TD passes and had a 39 yard run in place of Fuller last week. And this UAB defense shouldn't offer much resistance in the passing game. Because of last weeks closer than expected game vs Utah State I believe we are getting a little more line value this week. The Aggies are going from being 19 point favorites against a better team last week to -14 vs UAB. I also think the worse thing you can do to a college team is to give them a bye week in the second week of the season after they get rolling with a big first game win. And I believe that the 2 weeks off hurt the Aggies last week. I look for Texas A&M to look much sharper this week, and to get their offense rolling before they go into Big 12 play. Since their opening win against a bad Rice team, UAB has now reverted back to their old ways with losses against SMU and Troy. It won't get any better this week.

By the way the USU A&M game wasnt as close as the score indicated... a&m was winning 17-38 with about 5 minutes left in the game, they pulled out most if not all of the defense and USU scored at about the 5 minute mark and kicked an onsides kick and got the ball. A&M's defense looked terrible and the main problem was the QB/RB combo, as you said. A&M was over pursuing the ball. The fact is Nwachukwu "EZ" isnt the tallest WR out there but i think he works harder than most of the rest out there. EZ said his favorite thing to do is for JJ to throw the ball up and let ez try to come down with the ball. With fuller out, Tannehill is more than likely going to be hitting the field a lot more than he has been. Another huge + for A&M. The downside is A&M defense, also the lack of depth on defense. Michael's will be back on the field and i think he will have one hell of a rushing day. I like A&M at 14 any more may be too much.. GL GS

also like nevada tonight

 

[linebets]

forgot to mention... Ark A&M next weekend, worried A&M will be doing the ole look ahead. 2 star seems safe

 

[GoSooners]

forgot to mention... Ark A&M next weekend, worried A&M will be doing the ole look ahead. 2 star seems safe

linebets...In my opinion the Aggies are too young of a team to afford any kind of lookahead. I tend to look for these kinds of things in the more experienced teams who tend to take things for granted against the weaker teams. After last week's poor defensive outing I would think Sherman will be emphasizing tightening things up this week in preparation for Arkansas and then their Big 12 opener. I still like the Aggies rush defense to make a better showing here than they did coming off a bye week.. And I don't think UAB will have that much of an an answer through the air like USU had last week.. The main thing is we have a bad defensive team going on the road for the second straight week playing the best offensive team that they've faced this season. So the Aggies should win this in a realtively high scoring game like last week.

 

[GoSooners]

Well that's a lot better then. I would not have played LSU if the line was -14 or higher, even though i think they are capable of winning real big here. How about a 13 point LSU win and we both grab the cash:toast:.

Guys...if it means anything my numbers have it at LSU -14. So it's right on the original line. But the public has bet this game into a more playable spot for LSU.

 

[GoSooners]

Plays so far:

UCF (+10.5) over East Carolina **
Army (+9.5) over Iowa State **
Stanford (-7.5) over Washington ***
Southern Miss (+14) over Kansas **
Texas A&M (-14) over UAB **
South Carolina (+4.5) over Ole Miss * W
Nevada (+7.5) over Missouri *


Guys...This Nevada play is a one star play, not two. I'm not downgrading it. I just gave it one more star than I should have. ALL of my home running dogs system plays are just one star plays like the one last night with SC.

 

[fadethepublic1]

where's the Purdue play I was expecting from you bro? I was hoping you'd be on it too. Aloha from Hawaii.

 

[GoSooners]

where's the Purdue play I was expecting from you bro? I was hoping you'd be on it too. Aloha from Hawaii.

fade...Purdue will be a home running dog one star system play for me. I'll put it in later tonight or tomorrow morning with the rest of my plays. I like Purdue, but I don't love them in this spot. I have to say though that I like Purdue's chances of covering a little better with "Sunshine" having a turf toe injuriy for ND. Thise kinds of injuries tend to be painful and drag on for the duration of the season.