looks like newcastle is leaving a ton of players behind but still have cisse, obertan and Gutierrez so maybe enough class to at least not lose - so Newcastle pk might be an option but we do see english sides not take EUROPA seriously and perhaps lose out to concentrate on a CL spot for next year. And Liverpool at those odds has zero value...i imagine hearts won't put up much of a fight but how someone could back liverpool to win by 2+ on the road is beyond me rightn now. My three leans were Newcastle pk, Inter Milan win, and Molde -0.25 but in the end no actual bets and i see afternoon baseball so perhaps better bets out there today....all i know about baseball is the Blue Jays suck.
One play today though
Thursday August 23rd
Spain Super Cup aka El Classico #11 since 2010
Barcelona v Real Madrid
over 3 goals +100 - 1.00 to win 1 unit
once in awhile i do bet hoping it hits purely because it means i watched another classic soccer match...i think stats prove the over is a good play but any matches like most of us saw last year will suffice for me. Last season Barca won 2-1 in the Copa Del Rey and 3-1 in La Liga in Madrid, they drew 2-2 in the Copa Del Rey and Madrid won 2-1 in Barcelona. They also met in the Super Cup with Barcelona winning 3-2. So 5 matches with 5 over 2.5s in which three matches saw 4+ goals. (actually last 6 H2H have been overs). Certainly Barcelona have continued their goalfest this season beating Real Sociedad 5-1 with Messi scoring twice. (many friendlies went over as well). Real Madrid not so stellar i guess but starting a new campaign vs Valencia was always going to be tricky....certainly plenty of 5+ goal matches in their friendlies. Super Cup is a two leg affair for some reason and the last 5 years and 10 matches 9 have gone over and 8 have been over 3.5s. Not sure it matters but 7 of the last 10 Super Cup featuring Madrid and Barca have been overs but they've only met once since 1997.
Looks like Spanish sides like to display the talents of Spanish football (mostly from an Argentinian and Portuguese) in the Super Cup. And certainly these two sides play very wide open against each other. Pepe should be a noticable absence from Madrid and perhaps gives Barca the slight edge at home. I do think 2-1 Barca but 2-2 3-2 2-3 wouldn't shock me. At least 3 goals looks good enough to play for me.
Overall Record:
39-33-3 +3.63 units
August:
34-26-2 +7.33 units