No Problem..It was simply the best bet for larger ML dogs of the 3 this week but I made no play on it in my thread.
I never said it didn't count.
I never said it didn't count.
Duke -3 (-125) over UCF
Duke ML -165 over UCF.
This line moved from UCF -2.5 to Duke -3.5. A 6 point movement.
The Best way to play this is the ML.
For this who dont like ML plays I would still play Duke at -3 but its not worth the risk when the ML is far better.
UCF had three starters leave through the portal. 2 on defense and 1 on offense. Thats the main reason for the line movement IMO.
Duke does have solid numbers. although vs bowlers they re -2 in scoring on average.
There are some real good indicators that Duke could play extremely well..
It reflects in how good they were against North Carolina back in week 7 when they barely lost 38-35 as a 7 point dog.
Reason why Im lookin g at that game is because NC had QB Drake Maye in that game. He is spectacular - with Season numbers like 4,115 yds and a QB rating of 160 while putting up 35 TD's and only 7 ints.
I dont think UFC QB Pumlee is any comparison to Maye.
UCF had a solid defense but are losing 2 great players.
UCF will be without wideout Ryan O'Keefe, linebacker Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste and defensive back Davonte Brown as the trio has transferred.
UCF will also be adjusting to new defensive play caller Addison Williams, who was promoted after defensive coordinator Travis Williams left for Arkansas.
Coach Elko for Duke has turned around this program and should win this.
Elko quickly got the program back on the right track in his first season. Duke had a winning record in ACC play (5-3) for the first time since 2014. Elko was named ACC Coach of the Year and is a semifinalist for the George Munger Coach of the Year award.
My Play Duke.
5:30PM
Arkansas -2 and ML -140 over Kansas.
Both teams can win this.
They only edge I see is that Kansas defense has crumbled in the last 3 games of the season.
They've allowed 43, 55 and 47 points. Considering that their scoring averages with 10 bowlers this season is 32 on offense and 38 on defense, those last three games make the numbers much worse. The average is 48 pts per game allowed for those 3 games.
Arkansas has also plaved a few better teams - as they played Alabama, LSU and Ole Miss. Those three teams averaged 33 points against Arkansas.
MY Play. ML -140
The person that called him out was me. He counted Arkansas as a ATS winner on this post. Two games, same day, one very clear was a ML play. Seemed off, but thought it could be a mistake. He was a guy i was following but looks like he does some shady stuff.
Duke ML -165 over UCF.
This line moved from UCF -2.5 to Duke -3.5. A 6 point movement.
The Best way to play this is the ML.
For this who dont like ML plays I would still play Duke at -3 but its not worth the risk when the ML is far better.
UCF had three starters leave through the portal. 2 on defense and 1 on offense. Thats the main reason for the line movement IMO.
Duke does have solid numbers. although vs bowlers they re -2 in scoring on average.
There are some real good indicators that Duke could play extremely well..
It reflects in how good they were against North Carolina back in week 7 when they barely lost 38-35 as a 7 point dog.
Reason why Im lookin g at that game is because NC had QB Drake Maye in that game. He is spectacular - with Season numbers like 4,115 yds and a QB rating of 160 while putting up 35 TD's and only 7 ints.
I dont think UFC QB Pumlee is any comparison to Maye.
UCF had a solid defense but are losing 2 great players.
UCF will be without wideout Ryan O'Keefe, linebacker Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste and defensive back Davonte Brown as the trio has transferred.
UCF will also be adjusting to new defensive play caller Addison Williams, who was promoted after defensive coordinator Travis Williams left for Arkansas.
Coach Elko for Duke has turned around this program and should win this.
Elko quickly got the program back on the right track in his first season. Duke had a winning record in ACC play (5-3) for the first time since 2014. Elko was named ACC Coach of the Year and is a semifinalist for the George Munger Coach of the Year award.
My Play Duke.
5:30PM
Arkansas -2 and ML -140 over Kansas.
Both teams can win this.
They only edge I see is that Kansas defense has crumbled in the last 3 games of the season.
They've allowed 43, 55 and 47 points. Considering that their scoring averages with 10 bowlers this season is 32 on offense and 38 on defense, those last three games make the numbers much worse. The average is 48 pts per game allowed for those 3 games.
Arkansas has also plaved a few better teams - as they played Alabama, LSU and Ole Miss. Those three teams averaged 33 points against Arkansas.
MY Play. ML -140
The person that called him out was me. He counted Arkansas as a ATS winner on this post. Two games, same day, one very clear was a ML play. Seemed off, but thought it could be a mistake. He was a guy i was following but looks like he does some shady stuff.
0-4. I wouldn't argue, making idiotic comments anymore. Listen and you'll learn something
I guess he missed any edge today with his 0-4 lol. Sad part is I hope nobody loses a penny on this crap
You made no play on it but you posted it? Do you bet what you post? ? you did say it didn't count cause you didn't post it in your thread.
You didn't pay attention. You must have followed G Man ?
I’m not bashing the guys picks, just the BS he calls out on here about vegas and how it works. It’s plain silly. And like the OP states. If what he said is true, he sucks at picking the winning side of it
and exploited or anyone else… he’s not a good college football capper. Pm me if you want the truth on that, this season for him was the exception not the rule. Much like the blackjack gambler hitting a 12 vs a 5
and exploited or anyone else… he’s not a good college football capper. Pm me if you want the truth on that, this season for him was the exception not the rule. Much like the blackjack gambler hitting a 12 vs a 5
then that's your mistake, people who think they're going to earn a living or supplement their income are in for a rude awakening
gambling is much better when you're just having fun
Doc it appears you haven't played double deck BJ or are just a basic strategy player. If you can't count cards you are wasting your money. Do you know about Deviations? Playing Deviations are times where you will deviate from basic strategy because the composition of the cards has changed due to the true count changing.
Nah, just an analogy.
I played blackjack for fun when I was younger. I know basic strategy and a basic high low count. Casinos around here all changed their rules 10 years ago or so and made the game so player unfriendly I quit.
now when I go into a casino I don’t even walk by the pits. Sports book and Poker Room only places I stop in when I go now days
I played blackjack for fun when I was younger. I know basic strategy and a basic high low count. Casinos around here all changed their rules 10 years ago or so and made the game so player unfriendly I quit.
now when I go into a casino I don’t even walk by the pits. Sports book and Poker Room only places I stop in when I go now days
No it doesn't if you have a plan.
Lou is correct imo. People play to many games. And they don't have a plan. Those type keep the books in buisness
Funny thing is our resident expert actually mocked someone that has a posted winning record and bragged about how many games he’s posted over multi sports.
Guess I’m confused are you suppose to win money or see how many games you can bet. Being a loser over a large amount of games is better than being a winner over a lesser amount??
also the… who can teach me anything comment…. Good grief. Lol. But hey he managed to sit a game out today, so maybe he’s taking some advice.
Guess I’m confused are you suppose to win money or see how many games you can bet. Being a loser over a large amount of games is better than being a winner over a lesser amount??
also the… who can teach me anything comment…. Good grief. Lol. But hey he managed to sit a game out today, so maybe he’s taking some advice.
