Lines are tighter during the playoffs. I'd agree with Lou if your playing all 6 games your not serious about winning money.
Not a big enough one to play all
Or at the very least vary the bets
Playing lots of games is one thing if you have 100 options and bet 10-20 but betting 6 playoff games when there is 6 is not really a good idea
Go bet every college basketball game on the board too
Not really different.I mean since there is an edge in every game why not, right?
NFL has some pretty tight lines
A game can easily go either way with a back door or a bad TO day
Some games you are bound to be doing more guessing than others
Your NFL record suggests if there is an edge on every game, you're not good at finding it.
Lou has jokes today ?
Im not challenging your own beliefs.
Tighter? Not tue. Explain Tighter.
Thats only the public perception thinking that it is..
They sure weren't tighter on the Georgia/TCU game. 70% were on TCU.
53% on Jags
67% on Buffalo.
63%on SF
72% on Cincy
Back to the ol conditioned gambler bit I see… geez
agreed exploited, if there is an edge in everything, just go bet the entire college basketball board.
there is a reason why vegas makes you wager 110 to win 100. That gives them the edge right off the top. It’s like in poker, a small pair is always a favorite against Ace/king. Although the percentages are small, it’s often referred to as a coin flip. Well it’s a coin flip that wins 52 of 100 times. That’s the built in vegas edge.
Vegas knows sometimes people will get hot, even the public, but long term they know the coin flips always are tilted to their side.
I can only laugh at the other analogy posted, and Agree with big Lou, If there is an edge, I’d start by looking at the opposite of what loud mouths that play eveey game on the board pick. Whether it’s this board, social media, or touts.
agreed exploited, if there is an edge in everything, just go bet the entire college basketball board.
there is a reason why vegas makes you wager 110 to win 100. That gives them the edge right off the top. It’s like in poker, a small pair is always a favorite against Ace/king. Although the percentages are small, it’s often referred to as a coin flip. Well it’s a coin flip that wins 52 of 100 times. That’s the built in vegas edge.
Vegas knows sometimes people will get hot, even the public, but long term they know the coin flips always are tilted to their side.
I can only laugh at the other analogy posted, and Agree with big Lou, If there is an edge, I’d start by looking at the opposite of what loud mouths that play eveey game on the board pick. Whether it’s this board, social media, or touts.
Ok. GL with all 6 games.
- I think some posters are going w Jax because it feels like LAC is the square bet, god forbid, you cannot be looked at as a square around here!
- A bit of a miracle for Jax to be in this game, outplayed on both sides of the ball by injury riddled & scrub QB led Titans in a game that counted but that freak long defensive TD put them in
- Jax played one decent offense its last 5 games, Tennessee twice, Houston, Jets, and a disinterested unmotivated Dallas team
- I say Vegas WANTS you to take the 2 1/2 or 3
NFL? Youre right.... But today is another day.
But it sure worked well on College and Baseball.
And being 4th best in the "Pick" Fouum thread here overall, isnt bad either.
If you cant find an edge then dont play the game.
Otherwise prove your points on how many games played or not played..Not just a statement with no logic...that cant be proven simply on the remark.
If you or anyone else cant find an edge that doesnt mean youre right.
Lines are posted without risk by Vegas because they have posted all lines in their favor...
The Public bets on THEIR Line.
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2 winning seasons out of the last 9. Shows more that a “hot streak” occurred. If you couldn’t hold on 16 or double on a hard 12 and get hit and win occasionally there wouldn’t be any blackjack games going.
the trick is people have to THINK what they are doing is right and actually wins. And most people remember the wins and not the losses.
it’s like the golfer who shoots 90 at the course but talks non stop about the birdie he made on hole 4. It’s the birdie that gets him back to the course. And the birdie he talks about. But reality is, he’s not going to be a better golfer the next day unless he does something different.
long list of people that tried to post every game and can’t produce winners. It’s not sustainable. And for the people that think they can.. or had hot streak and think it’s real.. it’s nothing more than the amateur golfer talking about the birdie on hole 4, or the time the guy at the blackjack table played it by gut and doubled that 12 and hit a 9 because he felt is coming
the trick is people have to THINK what they are doing is right and actually wins. And most people remember the wins and not the losses.
it’s like the golfer who shoots 90 at the course but talks non stop about the birdie he made on hole 4. It’s the birdie that gets him back to the course. And the birdie he talks about. But reality is, he’s not going to be a better golfer the next day unless he does something different.
long list of people that tried to post every game and can’t produce winners. It’s not sustainable. And for the people that think they can.. or had hot streak and think it’s real.. it’s nothing more than the amateur golfer talking about the birdie on hole 4, or the time the guy at the blackjack table played it by gut and doubled that 12 and hit a 9 because he felt is coming
If I want to have fun I'll put on a jersey and scream "Go Team" at the television, which I never do. Handicapping is about hard work, research and dedication.
Read his wild card writeups if you want to see a joke. Apparently the Eagles, Cowboys and Giants play in the NFC North and somehow DeShaun Watson and the Browns are the reason that Baltimore won't win today.
GL Brendan.
My eyes ain't what they used to be. How much is the bet and who is the bet on? Looks like Seahawks?
