Cnotes NL 2024-2025 Schedule, Best Bets, Opinons, News !

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 6​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NYJ at MIN		NYJ +2.5 U 41.0	+500 +500
CLE at WAS	01:00 PM	CLE +3.0 O 43.5	+500 +500
CAR at CHI	01:00 PM	CAR +4.0 U 40.5	+500 +500
IND at JAC	01:00 PM	JAC -3.0 U 45.5	+500 +500
MIA at NE	01:00 PM	NE +1.0 U 35.5	+500 +500
BAL at CIN	01:00 PM	BAL -2.5 O 48.5	+500 +500
BUF at HOU	01:00 PM	HOU -1.0 U 47.0	+500 +500
LV at DEN	04:05 PM	DEN -2.5 O 35.0	+500 +500
ARI at SF	04:05 PM	ARI +7.5 O 49.0	+500 +500
NYG at SEA	04:25 PM	SEA -7.5 U 42.5	+500 +500
GB at LA	04:25 PM	LA +3.0 O 49.5	+500 +500
DAL at PIT	08:20 PM	PIT -2.5 O 43.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/06/2024.................7 - 10 - 0.................41.17%..................- 20.00
10/03/2024..................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..................-11.00

TOTALS......................7 - 12 - 0.................36.84%...................- 31.00

***************************************************

SEPT.TOTALS.............48 - 46 - 2..................51.06%...................- 19.50

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 NFL spreads:
— 49ers (-3) @ Seattle
— Bears (-1) vs Jaguars (@ London)
— Commanders @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Cardinals @ Green Bay (-5)
— Texans (-6.5) @ New England
— Buccaneers @ New Orleans (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“We’re not a championship-level team right now. We’re not. I like to think that we’ll come back and improve throughout the season to get to that point, but right now we are not and we have to get better.”
QB Joe Burrow, after the Bengals’ 1-4 start

Monday’s quiz
Who managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series?

Sunday’s quiz
Former NFL QB Jay Cutler threw for 8,697 yards in his college days, playing for Vanderbilt.

Saturday’s quiz
Before the NHL’s Calgary Flames moved to Calgary in 1980, they called Atlanta home.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..​

Vikings 23, Jets 17
Jets’ first four drives: 12 plays, 19 yards, 2 punts, 2 INTs.
Jets averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
Jets scored 24-24 points in wins, 19-9-17 in losses.
Under Saleh, Jets are 17-27 ATS as an underdog.
Vikings’ first TD was a 63-yard pick-6 by Van Ginkel.
Minnesota won first five games, scoring 27.8 ppg.
Vikings have outscored opponents 86-24 in first half.
Minnesota’s only TD drive was only 53 yards.

Bears 36, Panthers 10
Bears scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
Chicago averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.
Home team won all five Chicago games (favorites 4-1 ATS)
Bears outgained Carolina, 424-292.
Carolina scored a TD on their second drive of the game.
Rest of game, Panthers ran 52 plays for 236 yards, 3 points.
Carolina is 8-17-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1

Ravens 41, Bengals 38 OT
Bengals led 38-28 with 8:54 left in regulation.
Ravens forced OT with a 56-yard FG with 1:40 left.
Jackson was 26-42/348 passing, with four TD’s.
Baltimore won last two games, scoring 28-35-41 points.
Burrow was 30-39/392 passing, with five TD’s.
Chase caught 10 passes for 193 yards, with two TD’s.
Last three games, Bengals scored 33-34-38 points.
Cincinnati is 1-4, with losses by 6-1-5-3 points.

Dolphins 15, Patriots 10
Dolphins drove 80 yards, scored only TD with 4:24 left.
Last three games, Miami scored three touchdown on 44 drives.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 5-2 ATS in AFC East road games.
Dolphins’ team total: under 5-0
Patriots were 17-56 on third down in losing last four games.
NE has scored only five TD’s on their first 50 drives.
NE is 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots are 30-43 since Tom Brady left town.

Commanders 34, Browns 13
Commanders won/covered last four games, scoring 38-42-34 points in last three.
QB Daniels threw for 238 yards, ran for 82 more.
Last four games, Commanders scored 14 TD’s, kicked 12 FG’s on 34 drives.
Washington converted 29 of last 52 third down plays.
Cleveland was outgained 434-212 in this game.
Browns were 1-13 on third down, Washington 8-17.
Last three games, Browns averaged 223.3 yards/game.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13 points in its 1-4 start.

Jaguars 37, Colts 34
Jaguars drove 39 yards, kicked 49-yard FG with 0:21 left for the win.
Jaguars led 20-10 after the third quarter.
QB Lawrence threw for 371 yards, two TD’s on his 25th birthday.
Jaguars averaged 10.9 yards/pass attempt.
Colts drove 82 yards, tied game 34-34 with 2:40 left.
39-year old backup QB Flacco was 33-44/359 passing, with 3 TD passes.
Colts were 7-14 on third down, Jaguars 3-10.
Colts are 0-10 SU/0-9-1 ATS in last ten visits to Jacksonville.

Texans 23, Bills 20
Fairbairn kicked a 59-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
Texans have wins by 2-6-4-3 points.
Houston outgained the Bills, 425-276.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 14-8 as an NFL starter.
Josh Allen completed only 9-30 passes, for 131 yards.
Last two games, Buffalo threw for only 42-56 yards in the first half.
Texans were 8-16 on third down, Buffalo 3-14.
WR Diggs caught six passes for 82 yards against his old team.

Famous birthdays, October 7th
John Mellencamp, 73
Simon Cowell, 65
Toni Braxton, 58
Priest Holmes, 51
Evan Longoria, 39
Chase Daniel, 38
Mookie Betts, 32
Jesus Sanchez, 27
Tutu Atwell, 25

Broncos 34, Raiders 18
Denver’s only first half TD was a 100-yard pick-6 by Surtain.
Broncos in second half: 29 plays, 162 yards, 21 points.
Broncos outscored last four opponents 43-14 in second half.
Win snaps a nine-game losing skid against the Raiders.
Raiders first two drives: 17 plays, 138 yards, 10 points.
Raiders rest of game: 49 plays, 166 yards, 8 points.
O’Connell replaced Minshew at QB in second half.
Raiders were 7-15 on third down, Denver 3-12.

Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
Cardinals drove 75 yards, kicked 35-yard FG with 1:40 left for the win.
49ers led 23-10 at halftime, 23-13 with 12:00 left.
Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
49ers were 6-11 on third down, Arizona 3-10.
49ers in first half: 41 plays, 239 yards, one TD, 3 FG’s.
49ers in second half: 25 plays, 130 yards, 3 turnovers.
49ers gave up 19-13 points in their wins, 23-27-24 in losses.
San Francisco is already 0-2 in NFC West games.

Packers 24, Rams 19
Rams led at halftime, for first time this year.
Packers first 2 drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 124 yards, 14 points.
Rams first 2 drives of 2nd half: 13 plays, 71 yards, two turnovers.
Packers have 14 takeaways in five games (+7 turnovers)
Last 4 games, Rams allowed a TD on opponents’ first drive of 2nd half.
Rams were 8-16 on third down, Packers 1-8.
Rams averaged only 4.9 yards/pass attempt.
McVay is 1-5 coaching against Green Bay.

Giants 29, Seahawks 20
Seattle’s 47-yard game-tying FG was blocked, run back for TD by Giants with 0:55 left.
Giants were 7-16 on third down, Seattle 3-11.
Giants outgained the Seahawks, 420-333.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Seattle’s first TD was a 102-yard fumble return in first quarter.
Seahawks didn’t score an offensive TD until there was 2:13 left in game.
Score was 10-10 at halftime.
NFC West teams are 4-9-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Cowboys 20, Steelers 17
Start of game was delayed 90 minutes by a lightning storm.
Dallas drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:26 left.
Dallas outgained Steelers 445-226, but had 3 turnovers and had FG blocked
Cowboys were 9-15 on third down, Pittsburgh 3-12.
Tolbert caught seven passes for 87 yards and a TD.
Steelers allowed 10-6-10 points in wins; 24-20 in losses.
Pittsburgh averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
Pittsburgh’s team total: under 4-1
QB Fields is 13-30 as an NFL starter (3-2 with Steelers).

— Phillies 7, Mets 6
Nick Castellanos hit a walk-off single in the 9th inning.
Mets had tied game with two runs in top of 9th.
Series heads to Queens for Game 3 on Tuesday.

— Padres 10, Dodgers 2
San Diego hit six home runs, tied series 1-1.
Yu Darvish allowed one run, three hits over 7 IP.
Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight playoff games.
Game 3 is in San Diego Tuesday.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Monday, October 7

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, OCTOBER 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NO at KC	08:15 PM	NO +5.0 O 43.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/07/2024.................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%.................- 11.00
10/06/2024................7 - 10 - 0.................41.17%..................- 20.00
10/03/2024..................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%..................-11.00

TOTALS.......................7 - 14 - 0..................33.33%...................- 42.00

***************************************************

SEPT.TOTALS.............48 - 46 - 2..................51.06%...................- 19.50

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 NFL spreads:
— Chargers (-3) @ Denver
— Steelers (-3) @ Las Vegas
— Lions (-3.5) @ Dallas
— Falcons (-6) @ Carolina
— Bengals (-3.5) @ Giants
— Bills (-2.5) @ Jets

Quote of the Day
“We are preparing for the highest evacuations we have ever seen, most likely since 2017.”
Kevin Guthrie, Florida’s director of emergency management

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series.

Sunday’s quiz
Former NFL QB Jay Cutler threw for 8,697 yards in his college days, playing for Vanderbilt.

************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Chiefs 26, Saints 13
Chiefs in first half: 47 plays, 272 yards, one TD, 3 FG’s.
Chiefs led 16-7 at half, only 2nd game they’ve led at halftime.
Kansas City outgained the Saints, 460-220.
Chiefs/Vikings are NFL’s only 5-0 teams.
New Orleans lost its last three games, 12-24-13 points.
Saints ran ball only 15 times for 46 yards.
QB Carr got KO’d late in game; check status for next week.
NFC South teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Tigers 3, Guardians 0
Kerry Carpenter broke a scoreless tie with a 9th inning HR.
Tarik Skubal allowed three baserunners in 7 shutout IP.
Former Tiger Boyd got the first 14 outs for Cleveland.
Series heads to Detroit, tied 1-1.

— Detroit has an odd team, lot of platooning; three of their top five hitters Monday didn’t even start in Game 1 of the series.
Tigers are first team EVER to make the playoffs in a 162-game season that didn’t have any players with any of these things:
150+ hits
75+ RBI
25+ home runs
25+ stolen bases

— Royals 4, New York 2
Royals scored all four of their runs in the 4th inning.
Four KC relievers got the last 15 outs, allowing only one run.
New York’s payroll is $302,491,525; Jon Berti is playing 1B in a playoff game?
Series heads to Kansas City, tied 1-1.

— Kansas City’s payroll, by the way, is $113,530,905.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers are heading to New Orleans today, to avoid Hurricane Milton, which is supposed to hit the Florida gulf coast starting Wednesday. Bucs play the Saints Sunday in the Superdome.

— Famous birthdays, October 8th:
Chevy Chase, 81
Sigourney Weaver, 75
Enos Cabell, 75
Mike Morgan, 65
Tony Eason, 65
Matt Damon, 54
Olmedo Sáenz, 54
Monty Williams, 53
Nick Allen, 26

— Vanderbilt upset Alabama Saturday night; now they’re trying to capitalize on it:
The $chool is auctioning item$ from $aturday’$ game:
$1,005- 4-inch piece of a goal post
$4,035- 8-inch piece of a goal post
$2,830- Game helmet signed by Vandy coach Clark Lea
$500 or $1,000- Footballs used in the game.
$1,500- End zone pylons.

— Army and Navy are a combined 10-0 in football for first time since 1945.

— NHL starts tonight, except for the two games Devils-Sabres played in Europe (New Jersey won both of those).
NHL players with the most power play goals last year:
27- Sam Reinhart
21- Leon Draisaitl
19- Kirill Kaprizov
19- Steven Stamkos
18- Chris Kreider

— Coming into this season, only four NHL teams have had the same head coach more than three years:
Jon Cooper, 12 years with Tampa Bay
Mike Sullivan, nine years with Pittsburgh
Jared Bednar, eight years with Colorado
Rod Brind’Amour, six years with Carolina
10 NHL teams have a new coach this season; 12 more teams have a coach in their second year with that team.

— There are 12 unbeaten teams left in college football:
Army, BYU, Indiana, Iowa State
Liberty, Miami, Navy, Ohio State
Oregon, Penn State, Pittsburgh, Texas

— SMU’s football team is off to a fast 5-1 start, in their first year as an ACC member, with ACC wins over Florida State/Louisville. Mustangs’ only loss was 18-15 to BYU.
In its last three games, SMU is +7 in turnovers; Mustangs were 11-3 last year, are heading towards their sixth winning season in a row.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 NFL spreads:
— Chargers (-3) @ Denver
— Steelers (-3) @ Las Vegas
— Lions (-3.5) @ Dallas
— Falcons (-6) @ Carolina
— Bengals (-3.5) @ Giants
— Bills (-2.5) @ Jets

Quote of the Day
“We are preparing for the highest evacuations we have ever seen, most likely since 2017.”
Kevin Guthrie, Florida’s director of emergency management

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series.

Sunday’s quiz
Former NFL QB Jay Cutler threw for 8,697 yards in his college days, playing for Vanderbilt.

************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Chiefs 26, Saints 13
Chiefs in first half: 47 plays, 272 yards, one TD, 3 FG’s.
Chiefs led 16-7 at half, only 2nd game they’ve led at halftime.
Kansas City outgained the Saints, 460-220.
Chiefs/Vikings are NFL’s only 5-0 teams.
New Orleans lost its last three games, 12-24-13 points.
Saints ran ball only 15 times for 46 yards.
QB Carr got KO’d late in game; check status for next week.
NFC South teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Tigers 3, Guardians 0
Kerry Carpenter broke a scoreless tie with a 9th inning HR.
Tarik Skubal allowed three baserunners in 7 shutout IP.
Former Tiger Boyd got the first 14 outs for Cleveland.
Series heads to Detroit, tied 1-1.

— Detroit has an odd team, lot of platooning; three of their top five hitters Monday didn’t even start in Game 1 of the series.
Tigers are first team EVER to make the playoffs in a 162-game season that didn’t have any players with any of these things:
150+ hits
75+ RBI
25+ home runs
25+ stolen bases

— Royals 4, New York 2
Royals scored all four of their runs in the 4th inning.
Four KC relievers got the last 15 outs, allowing only one run.
New York’s payroll is $302,491,525; Jon Berti is playing 1B in a playoff game?
Series heads to Kansas City, tied 1-1.

— Kansas City’s payroll, by the way, is $113,530,905.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers are heading to New Orleans today, to avoid Hurricane Milton, which is supposed to hit the Florida gulf coast starting Wednesday. Bucs play the Saints Sunday in the Superdome.

— Famous birthdays, October 8th:
Chevy Chase, 81
Sigourney Weaver, 75
Enos Cabell, 75
Mike Morgan, 65
Tony Eason, 65
Matt Damon, 54
Olmedo Sáenz, 54
Monty Williams, 53
Nick Allen, 26

— Vanderbilt upset Alabama Saturday night; now they’re trying to capitalize on it:
The $chool is auctioning item$ from $aturday’$ game:
$1,005- 4-inch piece of a goal post
$4,035- 8-inch piece of a goal post
$2,830- Game helmet signed by Vandy coach Clark Lea
$500 or $1,000- Footballs used in the game.
$1,500- End zone pylons.

— Army and Navy are a combined 10-0 in football for first time since 1945.

— NHL starts tonight, except for the two games Devils-Sabres played in Europe (New Jersey won both of those).
NHL players with the most power play goals last year:
27- Sam Reinhart
21- Leon Draisaitl
19- Kirill Kaprizov
19- Steven Stamkos
18- Chris Kreider

— Coming into this season, only four NHL teams have had the same head coach more than three years:
Jon Cooper, 12 years with Tampa Bay
Mike Sullivan, nine years with Pittsburgh
Jared Bednar, eight years with Colorado
Rod Brind’Amour, six years with Carolina
10 NHL teams have a new coach this season; 12 more teams have a coach in their second year with that team.

— There are 12 unbeaten teams left in college football:
Army, BYU, Indiana, Iowa State
Liberty, Miami, Navy, Ohio State
Oregon, Penn State, Pittsburgh, Texas

— SMU’s football team is off to a fast 5-1 start, in their first year as an ACC member, with ACC wins over Florida State/Louisville. Mustangs’ only loss was 18-15 to BYU.
In its last three games, SMU is +7 in turnovers; Mustangs were 11-3 last year, are heading towards their sixth winning season in a row.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 6

Thursday, October 10

Sunday, October 13

Monday, October 14

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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San Francisco vs Seattle
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Jacksonville vs Chicago
Jacksonville is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona vs Green Bay
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Tampa Bay vs New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Indianapolis vs Tennessee
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis

Washington vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

Houston vs New England
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Cleveland vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Pittsburgh vs Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

LA Chargers vs Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

Detroit vs Dallas
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Atlanta vs Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 10 games at home

Cincinnati vs NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Buffalo vs NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 6

Thursday’s game
49ers (-3) @ Seahawks
49ers (2-3)
49ers lost three of their last four games SU.
49ers are 0-2 on road, losing 23-17 at Vikings, 27-24 at Rams.
49ers are 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games as a road favorite.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1-1


49ers outscored last three opponents 57-20 in first half.
49ers were outscored 44-20 in 2nd half of last three games.
QB Purdy is 23-8 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is 8-5-1 ATS last 14 NFC West road games.
49ers are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.


Seahawks (3-2)
Seattle lost last two games, giving up 42-29 points.
QB’s they beat so far: Nix, Brissett, Thompson. Not great.
Seahawks are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Team total: over 5-0
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1


QB Smith is 33-39 as an NFL starter, 21-20 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC West home games.
Seahawks are 18-14 in last 32 games coming off a loss.
Seattle has converted 11 of last 32 third down plays.
Over is 4-1 in their games this season.


49ers won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
SF won 31-13/21-13 in its last two visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Eagles release Devin White: Possible landing spots for former Pro Bowl linebacker​

White signed a one-year deal with Philadelphia this offseason​

[IMG alt=" Bryan DeArdo
"]https://sportshub.cbsistatic.com/i/r/2019/08/26/996f45bb-293f-4bfe-8f17-a9c710e56048/thumbnail/80x80/7c43e590fcd26f66caac4bd01d55162b/deardo-bryan-700.png[/IMG]

By Bryan DeArdo

6 hrs ago•2 min read

Getty Images
The Philadelphia Eagles have released veteran linebacker Devin White, who signed a one-year deal this offseason. The former Pro Bowler never appeared in a regular-season game for the Eagles.
White was signed to give the Eagles a productive player and veteran presence in the middle of their defense. But those things never happened after White lost his position battle with Nakobe Dean. Younger linebackers and special teams contributors Ben VanSumeren and Jeremiah Trotter Jr. also kept him off the field during his brief time in Philadelphia.

Devin White
PHI • LB • #45
View Profile
Still just 26 years old, White will now look to make an impact somewhere else. By releasing him now, the Eagles have given White a chance to find a new home before teams start to ramp up trade talk ahead of the Nov. 5 deadline.
There should be a decent market for White, a 2021 Pro Bowler who played an integral role in the Buccaneers' championship season back in 2020. A former No. 5 overall pick, White was a productive tackler who was also capable of getting to quarterbacks and forcing turnovers in Tampa.

During the Buccaneers' Super Bowl season, White set career highs with 140 tackles and nine sacks while also forcing and recovering a fumble. Last year, he tallied a career-high two interceptions in what was ultimately his final year in Tampa Bay.
Here are five possible landing spots for White.

Bengals​

Cincinnati's defense has been historically bad this year and the biggest reason for its 1-4 start. The Bengals have two long-term starters at linebacker in Logan Wilson and Germaine Pratt, but Cincinnati should be turning over every stone possible in an attempt to fix the defense, which is why White could be an option here. If anything, he would provide depth and competition to a defense that could use both.

Jets​

New York make sense given C.J. Mosley's ongoing toe injury that has sidelined him for the Jets' last three games. The Jets, based on owner Woody Johnson's decision to fire Robert Saleh on Tuesday, are clearly in win-now mode, which makes the signing of White make even more sense.

Lions​

Detroit suffered a hit to its defense lately when linebacker Derrick Barnes sustained a season-threatening injury against the Cardinals back in Week 3. While Barnes had mostly been used on the outside, White's addition would give Detroit some flexibility on defense when it comes to personnel. White could also provide a pass rush to a defense that is trying to find a complement in that area to Aidan Hutchinson.

Jaguars​

Foyesade Oluokun's foot injury that landed him on injured reserve has created a pretty big void in the middle of Jacksonville's defense. While Oluokun is expected to play again this year, the Jaguars could benefit from signing White in the interim. He would also provide depth whenever Oluokun is ready to re-enter the lineup.

Buccaneers​

A possible Tampa reunion? That can't ruled out as the Buccaneers recently placed promising linebacker SirVocea Dennis on injured reserve. Unlike the other teams on this list, White knows the Buccaneers' defensive system and wouldn't need an acclimation period.

 

[CNOTES]

Jets fire Robert Saleh: Identifying potential ripple effects following New York cutting ties with head coach​

New York moved on from Saleh after a 2-3 start to 2024​

[IMG alt=" Tyler Sullivan
"]https://sportshub.cbsistatic.com/i/r/2019/07/30/a999b8fa-9429-42fb-8bee-3761f1417ee0/thumbnail/80x80/ce5583e50d3f2b9f0db37b3ebbefd034/tyler-sullivan-700.png[/IMG]

By Tyler Sullivan

12 hrs ago•4 min read

USATSI
The New York Jets have pulled the plug on Robert Saleh. After a 2-3 start to the 2024 season, the organization has fired its head coach after three-plus seasons on the job.
While not the most jaw-dropping piece of news to come out of the NFL in its history as Saleh's seat had been warming up, it is a jarring development for a club that was looked at by some folks to be a legit contender in the AFC East and the conference at large entering the year. But there's the rub. New York was never able to live up to its talent level under Saleh, particularly on the offensive side of the ball, and that proved to be his demise.
But what's next? What ripple effects could this firing have on the Jets going forward? We'll dive into some of the immediate and big-picture questions below surrounding New York following Saleh's departure.

Does this impact a potential Davante Adams trade?​

The major story surrounding the Jets before this news of Robert Saleh's firing was a looming blockbuster trade for current Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams. CBS Sports Lead NFL Insider Jonathan Jones reported over the weekend that an Adams trade is on the horizon, and the Jets are at the top of his list to reunite with his former Packers quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. While GMs across the league told Jones that their belief was that Adams would ultimately end up with the Jets, Jones also noted that it isn't exactly a lock with teams like the New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers also in the mix.

Does this change at head coach alter the mindset of New York's front office? Are they still inclined to maximize future assets to build up this team? On the other side, does Adams view this situation as an attractive landing spot, or is he better served looking at other options?

Is Joe Douglas next?​

Whenever a head coach is fired, it's a logical step to take in asking about the status of the general manager. After all, Douglas did hire Saleh to be his head coach in 2021, so the failures of his tenure fall at least in part on his shoulders. And, as much as he is lauded for executing a trade for Aaron Rodgers and finding stars like Garrett Wilson, Sauce Gardner, and others via the NFL Draft, Douglas hasn't been perfect. His selection of Zach Wilson at No. 2 overall in 2021 set the franchise back years, and he recently had the miscue of trading for pass rusher Haason Reddick, who has yet to show up amid a contract dispute that extends back to when he was with the Eagles.
It was reported before the start of the regular season that Douglas was entering the final year of his contract and had yet to sign an extension with the organization. With that in mind, something will need to give as it relates to Douglas. Will ownership allow a lame-duck GM the power to make long-term decisions beyond 2024? Will they extend him and give him another shot at finding a head coach? It's all very murky for Douglas at the moment.

How does Aaron Rodgers assess this situation?​

Maybe the biggest question of them all, right? While Saleh himself was reportedly blindsided by this firing, one would have to think that Rodgers was given a heads-up -- or outright asked to give his blessing -- on the move. Of course, Rodgers isn't going to take his ball and go home in the middle of this campaign, but it's a fascinating question to ponder whether or not he views this situation with the Jets as a legitimate opportunity to win.
If the season continues down its current trajectory even post-Saleh's firing and the offense continues to be lackluster, does a then 41-year-old Rodgers take a step back and mull retirement? If New York is on the precipice of a rebuild with a new head coach and possibly a new general manager in 2025, is that something he wants to sign up for?

Do the Jets upset the Bills in Week 6?​

You might be surprised by this question, given the turmoil the Jets are currently in, but teams do typically get a boost in the immediate aftermath of their head coach being fired. Of the 39 teams whose head coaches either resigned or were fired during the season since 2000, there has been a sizable jump in winning percentage, according to Sportico.

Before the change, those teams averaged a 27% win percentage, but that jumped to 41% in the first game after the change and to 37% for the rest of the season. Meanwhile, the winning percentage against the spread jump from 36% pre-change to 54% in the first game post-change and 50% for the rest of the season.
According to SportsLine's consensus odds, the Jets are currently a 2.5-point home underdog for the "Monday Night Football" matchup against the Buffalo Bills in Week 6.
If New York outright wins this upcoming game, they would be in first place in the AFC East. A fitting way to end this already wild week.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 college football spreads:
— Washington @ Iowa (-2.5)
— Texas (-14) vs Oklahoma (@ Dallas)
— Penn State (-5.5) @ USC
— Arizona @ BYU (-4.5)
— Ohio State (-3) @ Oregon
— Ole Miss (-3.5) @ LSU

Quote of the Day
“This is probably the best team I’ve had in 25 years. I just felt that the best way to go forward was a new direction. Taking Jeff Ulbrich and making him the interim head coach, I thought that would get the most out of this team and give us the best chance that we all want to have, which is going to the playoffs.”
Jets owner Woody Johnson

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Dodgers’ manager, last time they missed the playoffs?

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Monday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Jets fired coach Robert Saleh after the team lost 23-17 to the Vikings in England; Jets were 20-36 in Saleh’s 3+ years as head coach. DC Jeff Ulbrich is the interim coach.
This is complicated; Week 6 is early to fire a coach. Jets’ last two losses were by a total of seven points. Jets owner Woody Johnson used to be an ambassador to England, maybe he didn’t like seeing his team lose in front of friends. Who knows why rich people do things?
Jets obviously signed QB Aaron Rodgers before last season, but he tore his achilles on the 4th play of the season, so Saleh got a Mulligan for last year. Not this year.
Another odd part of this is that most NFL teams have their bye week after they play over the pond, but the Jets’ bye isn’t until the week before Thanksgiving- they host the Bills on Monday night this coming week.

— Mets 7, Phillies 2
Sean Manaea allowed five baserunners, one run in 7 strong IP.
Pete Alonso homered, walked twice, scored two runs.
Game 4 is Wednesday in Queens.

— Padres 6, Dodgers 5
All the scoring in this game was in the first 2.5 innings.
San Diego bullpen allowed only one baserunner in four scoreless IP.
Padres scored all six of their runs in the second inning.
Game 4 is in San Diego Wednesday.

— Last month, Dodger P Walker Buehler and his wife were at Santa Anita racetrack; they were confronted by a group of people there, and apparently one of the people stole a watch from Buehler- the watch is said to be worth $100,000. The crime is still under investigation.
Dodgers were playing in Colorado that weekend, but Buehler wasn’t going to pitch so he and some other players got the weekend off. Maybe he should’ve gone.

— Liberty 31, Florida International 24, OT
5-0 Flames were favored by 15.5 points.
FIU scored two TD’s in last 6:23 to force overtime.
Liberty ran ball for 281 yards (5.6 yards/carry).

— Cruddy weather in Florida has moved the Memphis-South Florida game from Friday night to Saturday in Tampa.

— RIP to former MLB pitcher Luis Tiant, who passed away at age 83; Tiant was 229-172 in his 19-year career, where he pitched for six different teams.
He led the AL with a 1.60 ERA in 1968, the Year of the Pitcher; after MLB lowered the mounds that winter, Tiant went 9-20, 3.71 the next year, then Cleveland traded him to the Twins.
In 1972, Tiant went 15-6, 1.91 for the Red Sox, again leading the AL in ERA; he helped Boston make it to the ’75 World Series. He was 3-0, 2.86 in four postseason starts.
RIP, sir.

— Famous birthdays:
Jackson Browne, 76
Robert Wuhl, 73
Scott Bakula, 70
Mike Singletary, 66
Kenny Anderson, 54
Dexter McCleon,. 51
Darius Miles, 43
Derek Holland, 38
Starling Marte, 36

— New England Patriots are going to give rookie QB Drake Maye his first NFL start this week, at home against Houston.
Patriots lost their last four games, scoring total of 26 points in last three. This seems kind of early to be throwing a rookie QB to the wolves, but the other rookie QB’s in the NFL are doing well, so maybe Maye will do alright.

— Saints QB Derek Carr has an oblique injury, figures to miss a couple games; Jake Haener is the Saints’ backup QB- this week figures to be his first start. Haener has thrown 8 passes in his three NFL cameo appearances. Rookie Spencer Rattler would be Haener’s backup.

— Green Bay WR Romeo Doubs got suspended for last week’s game for conduct detrimental to the team. The suspension cost him $54,422; he is expected back this week.

— NBA training camps are underway; LA Clippers made a wise move, hiring Jeff Van Gundy as an assistant coach. Sounds like he will be their defensive coordinator.
ESPN is off the rails; not sure why they fired Van Gundy and Mark Jackson as game analysts, but they did, so now Van Gundy is back coaching, which is good for the Clippers.

— Cincinnati Reds did a smart thing last week and hired Terry Francona as their new manager; they fired all three of their hitting coaches Tuesday.
Reds were 77-85 this week, ramming 16th in runs scored, 26th in batting average. How do you finish 16th in runs scored playing in their hitting-friendly ballpark?
Reds were 15-28 in one-run games this year; they were shut out 16 times, losing four 1-0 games.

— One event I’ve circled on the calendar are baseball’s Winter Meetings, which will be in Dallas December 8-11. Looking forward to seeing which players move where this winter, with an eye on making my fantasy team better for next year.

— College basketball is only four weeks away; I’ve started prep work for that, which is harder than ever because of the ridiculous amount of players transferring, but it will be fun to watch college basketball again.

— Speaking of which, my new TV was delivered Tuesday morning. My last TV was a warrior, 10 or 11 years, including the pandemic year when it was on almost constantly. The last week was odd, with no TV, watching games on my laptop. YouTube TV is a good thing to have.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 6

Sunday’s games
Jaguars vs Bears (-2.5) (@ London)
Jaguars (1-4)
Jaguars got first win LW; Lawrence threw for 371 yards.
In five games, Jaguars are 14-54 on third down.
Last four games, Jaguars were outscored 74-32 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1


Jacksonville has been outscored 35-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a dog on the road.
QB Lawrence is 22-35 as an NFL starter.
Last 10 years, Jaguars are 9-30 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Jaguars won three of their last four games in England.
Jaguars are 12-19 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.


Bears (3-2)
Bears scored 24-24-36 points in their wins, 13-16 in losses.
Last two games, Chicago scored eight TD’s on 20 drives.
Bears have outscored opponents 63-32 in second half.
Team total: under 2-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-0


Under Eberflus, Bears are 5-3-1 ATS as favorites.
Chicago is 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Chicago was +5 in turnovers.
Last nine years, Bears are 6-3 ATS in pre-bye games.


Bears won four of six series games.
Five of the six games were decided by 13+ points.


Texans (-7) @ Patriots
Texans (4-1)
Texans have wins by 2-6-4-3 points.
Their only loss was 34-7 at 5-0 Minnesota.
Last three games, Texans were outscored 44-20 in 2nd half.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2


Since 2016, Texans are 2-9-2 ATS as road favorites (0-2 TY).
Houston is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 14-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston doesn’t have a takeaway in last three games (minus-5 TO’s).
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.


Patriots (1-4)
New England lost last four games, outscored 54-26 in first half.
Patriots have scored only five TD’s on their first 50 drives.
Patriots are 30-43 since Tom Brady left town.
Team total: under 3-1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2


NE is 1-9-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
New England scored total of 26 points in their last three games.
Patriots were 11-40 on third down in those games.
Patriots are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye gets his first NFL start here.


New England won seven of last nine series games.
This is Texans’ first visit to Foxboro since 2018.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.


Commanders @ Ravens (-6.5)
Commanders (4-1)
Commanders won/covered last four games, scoring 38-42-34 points in last three.
First time since 1991 that Washington scored 38+ points in consecutive games.
Last four games, Commanders scored 14 TD’s, kicked 12 FG’s on 34 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Commanders are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
Washington converted 29 of last 52 third down plays.
Commanders are 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Washington is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 4-1 in Washington games this year.


Ravens (3-2)
Baltimore won last three games, scoring 28-35-41 points.
Ravens have outscored opponents 75-45 in first half.
Ravens have run ball for 211.1 yards/game.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1


Ravens are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 63-25 as an NFL starter.
Baltimore is 16-17 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Ravens are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.


Teams split their last six series games.
Teams split their two meetings in Baltimore.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Browns @ Eagles (-8.5)
Browns (1-4)
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13 points in its 1-4 start.
Browns are 12-66 on 3rd down so far, 9-15 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215 yards so far.
Team total: under 5-0
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1


Browns are 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
QB Watson is 38-35 as an NFL starter, 9-8 with Browns.
Cleveland is 11-4-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games vs NFC teams (0-3 TY).
Browns have averaged 2.7/4.8/3.3/4.3/3.0 yards/pass attempt.


Eagles (2-2)
Eagles have turned ball over eight times in four games (minus-6).
Eagles lost their only home game, 22-21 to Atlanta.
Philly has outscored opponents 24-10 in last 2:00 of each half.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1


Philly won/covered its last three post-bye games.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 38-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Philly converted 18 of last 40 third down plays.


Eagles won four of last five series games.
Browns lost 29-10/30-10 in last two visits to Philly.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.


Cardinals @ Packers (-5)
Cardinals (2-3)
Arizona scored 28-24 points in splitting two road games (2-0 ATS)
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a win.
In its two wins, Arizona outscored foes 31-7 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


QB Murray is 30-40-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Last three games, Arizona converted 8-30 on third down (14-24 first two games).
Last three games, opponents are 21-35 on third down.
Over is 4-1 in Arizona games this year.


Packers (3-2)
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Packers have 14 takeaways in five games (+7 turnovers)
Green Bay outscored last three foes 46-16 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Green Bay is 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Green Bay is 16-12-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Packers were 5-20 on third down.
Green Bay is 26-16-1 ATS in last 43 home games.
Over is 3-2 in their first five games.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
This is Cardinals’ first visit to Lambeau since 2018.
Under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.


Buccaneers @ Saints (-2)
Buccaneers (3-2)
Buccaneers went to New Orleans on Tuesday to avoid a hurricane.
Bucs scored 33-30 points in their last two games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Bucs are 6-4 ATS in last nine NFC South road games.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2


Bucs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 45-50 as an NFL starter, 13-11 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 11-9-2 in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 17-10 in last 27 Tampa Bay road games.
Bucs are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.


Saints (2-3)
New Orleans lost its last two games, by 3-2-13 points.
Saints scored 47-44 points in wins, 12-24-13 in losses.
New Orleans has outscored opponents 89-52 in first half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Saints are 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Last week, Saints ran ball only 15 times, for 46 yards.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Carr is 74-91 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 9-11-2 ATS in las t22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,


Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
Bucs are 4-3 SU/ATS in last nine trips to Bourbon Street.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.


Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts (2-3)
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Indy lost its two road games, 16-10 at Packers, 37-34 at Jaguars.
Just like LY, Indy is better off with its backup QB than Richardson.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2


Last two weeks, Colts converted 15-29 third down plays.
Indy is 6-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Flacco is 113-89 as an NFL starter, 5-10 since 2020.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.


Titans (1-3)
QB Rudolph came off bench, led Titans to win in last game.
Tennessee is minus-7 in turnovers, have had two punts blocked.
Titans are 12-10-2 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-1-1


Tennessee won its last eight post-bye games (7-0-1 ATS)
Titans outgained three of four opponents, led three games at half.
Tennessee was 0-5 ATS LY in games coming off a win.
QB Levis is 4-9 as an NFL starter; Rudolph is 8-5-1.
Tennessee has averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6 yards/pass attempt.


Tennessee is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Colts are 9-3 SU/ATS in last 12 visits to Nashville.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.


Chargers (-3) @ Broncos
Chargers (2-2)
Chargers lost their last two games, scoring 10-10 points.
QB Herbert has had a sore ankle; check status.
Bolts are 18-25-2 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 2-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1


Chargers are 6-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five post-bye games.
Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
QB Herbert is 32-35 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-0 in their first four games.


Broncos (3-2)
Denver won last three games, giving up 7-9-18 points.
Broncos outscored last four opponents 43-14 in second half.
Denver is only 17-69 on third down conversions.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Denver is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Last four opponents scored four TD’s on 45 drives.
Denver is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Broncos are 10-16 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Three of Denver’s last four games stayed under the total.


Broncos are 8-3 in last eleven series games.
Chargers lost their last five visits to Denver (0-4-1 ATS).
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.


Steelers (-3) @ Raiders
Steelers (3-2)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Last two games, Pittsburgh was outscored 23-6 in first half.
Since 2021, Steelers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1


Last two games, opponents converted 17-30 on third down.
QB Fields is 13-30 as an NFL starter (3-2 with Steelers).
Pittsburgh is 14-9 in its last 23 games coming off a loss.
Steelers are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 4-1 in their games this season.


Raiders (2-3)
Raiders have nine turnovers in five games (minus-7).
Las Vegas is 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games following a loss.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2


Since 2019, Raiders are 9-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Overall, Raiders are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 home games.
Opponents have converted only 18 of 60 third down plays.
QB Minshew is 17-25 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
Steelers won 23-18 in Vegas LY; they lost last four visits to Oakland.
Under is 4-0 in last four series games.


Lions (-3.5) @ Cowboys
Lions (3-1)
Lions are 8-4 SU/10-2 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
Detroit has converted 22 of 44 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 13 of 41 third down plays.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1


Lions outscored last two opponents 46-17 in first half.
Detroit won its only road game 20-13 (-3) at Arizona.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 15-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their games this season.
Lions have outscored opponents 17-3 in last 2:00 of each half.


Cowboys (3-2)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28 in losses.
Road team won/covered all five of their games.
Dallas is 21-15 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Since 2018, Dallas is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-48 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-2 in Dallas games this season.


Cowboys last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
Lions are 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.


Falcons (-6) @ Panthers
Falcons (3-2)
Atlanta’s three wins are by 1-2-6 points.
Falcons scored 22-26-36 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Falcons won their only road game, 22-21 at Philly.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Last two years, Atlanta was 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Falcons are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 11-6 ATS in last 17 NFC South road games.
QB Cousins is 80-72-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 16-52 on third down, opponents 33-68.


Panthers (1-4)
Carolina’s four losses are by 37-23-10-26 points.
Carolina is 0-2 at home (26-3 to Chargers, 34-24 to Bengals)
Panthers have been outscored 105-45 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1


Carolina is 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six NFC South home games.
Over is 4-1 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 30-64 on third down.
Dalton is 84-84-2 as an NFL starter, mostly with Cincinnati.


Teams split their last eight meetings.
Falcons lost 9-7/25-15 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.


Bengals (-3.5) @ Giants
Bengals (1-4)
Cincy is 1-4, with losses by 6-1-5-3 points.
Last four games, Bengals scored 25-33-34-38 points.
Last two games, Bengals scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1-1


Bengals are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
QB Burrow is 35-28-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 19-11-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss
Last four games, Bengal defense has allowed 26-38-24-41 points.
Bengals are 9-2-2 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.


Giants (2-3)
Giants are 0-2 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants didn’t score a TD on 19 drives in their two home games.
Big Blue blocked FG for a TD to clinch last week’s win in Seattle.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Four of their five games stayed under the total.
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-5-1 ATS coming off a win
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Jones is 25-40-1 as an NFL starter.
Opponents are only 20-59 on third down.


Giants won three of last four series games (wins by 2-1-3 points).
Bengals lost 21-20/26-23 in last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.


Monday’s game
Bills (-2.5) @ Jets
Bills (3-2)
Bills scored 34-31-47 points in their wins; 10-20 in losses.
Last 2 games, Buffalo has converted 6 of 27 third down plays.
Bills scored 13 TD’s on first 26 drives, three TD’s on last 22 drives.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Buffalo is 15-12 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 4-6 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
QB Allen is 71-37 as NFL starter.
Bills are 15-5-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Josh Allen completed only 9 of 30 passes LW; is he healthy?


Jets (2-3)
Jets fired their coach Tuesday; does it hurt their defense?
Jets scored 24-24 points in wins, 19-9-17 in losses.
Jets’ played in England Sunday, didn’t take their bye this week.
Team total: over 2-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2


Jets are 17-27 ATS last 44 games as an underdog.
Jets are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 15-18 ATS last 33 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 6-10 ATS last 16 AFC East home games.
Rodgers is 161-88-1 as an NFL starter.


Buffalo won seven of last nine series games.
Bills lost 20-17/22-16 in last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

 

[ozzy44]

Best NFL Week 6 betting trends​

The trend: The 49ers have beaten the Seahawks by at least eight points in five straight games.

The trend: The Bears have held 11 straight opponents to 21 points or less.

The trend: Kyler Murray hasn't won consecutive starts since October of the 2021 season.

The trend: The Titans are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games following a bye.

The trend: Houston has gone Under the first-half total in 10 of 11 road games since the start of last season.

The trend: These teams have gone Under in five straight games against each other. TBvs.NO

The trend: The Browns have gone Under their team total in every game this season.

The trend: These teams have a combined 8-2 record to the Over. Bal vs. WAS

The trend: The Chargers have gone Under in all of their games this season.

The trend: Justin Fields has only thrown one interception in his last seven games.

The trend: The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.

The trend: The Panthers are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games.

The trend: The Bengals have crossed the 50-point mark in four straight games.

The trend: The Bills have gone Under the total in 15 of their last 19 road games.

 

[ozzy44]

Top NFL Things To Know​

Foot Long​

Big Underdogs Start Quick
NFL underdogs of 6+ points are now 11-8 SU and 16-2-1 ATS (89%) through five weeks — covering the spread by 7.8 PPG.

This is the first time since 1960 dogs of 6+ are over .500 SU thru 5 weeks, with also the best ATS win pct.

Dogs of 6+ are 11-8 SU through five weeks. For comparison, dogs of 6+ were 4-16 SU through five weeks last year and were 27-109-1 SU (20%) between 2019-23 through the first five weeks of the season. Dogs of 6+ haven’t been above .500 SU through four weeks since 1983.

Dogs Are Home​

Record in Week 6
We have ten games with home underdogs in Week 6 of the NFL.

If we close with ten, it would be tied for the most in a single week since 1972 – the only week in the Super Bowl era we had more than 10 home dogs. The last week with ten came back in Week 17 of 2020. We haven’t had a week with 10+ home dogs before Week 10 since Week 4 of 2004.

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The Good and The Bad​

Jets Move on From Saleh
The New York Jets fired Robert Saleh after their loss in London vs. Vikings. 38 teams have fired their coach during the regular season since 2003. Those teams have gone 17-21 straight up (SU) and 22-16 against the spread (ATS).

Those teams had a 100-256-3 SU record (28%) prior to the head coaching change. They also compiled a 132-221-5 ATS (37.4%) record prior to the coaching change.

The Jets will try to become the 3rd team to make playoffs with an interim coach with 2021 Raiders and Rich Bisaccia and 1961 Oilers and Wally Lemm.

Since 2000, 12 head coaches have been fired within the first five games of the season, including Robert Saleh this year. Those teams are 6-5 SU and ATS, including 5-2 SU and ATS since 2010.

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Rookie Life​

Starting Early
Through five weeks, Rookie QBs are 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS. It is the 2nd-most combined wins by rookie QBs in the first five weeks of a season in history, only trailing 1987. Since Commanders/Bengals on MNF, rookie QBs have won and covered 7 straight games.

Last year, rookie QBs started 3-8-1 ATS through four weeks and 5-9-1 ATS through five weeks of the season.

Daniels is the third rookie quarterback since 1950 to start and win four of his team’s first five games, joining Joe Ferguson from 1973 with Buffalo and Dak Prescott from 2016 with Dallas.

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Ice Cold​

Public Bettors Struggle
The betting public (51%+ of tickets) are 28-46-2 ATS this season, with a $100 bettor down $2,056 – the worst start for the betting public through four weeks in the last 20 years.

Public by week:
+ Week 5: 6-8 ATS
+ Week 4: 5-8-1 ATS
+ Week 3: 6-10 ATS
+ Week 2: 5-10-1 ATS
+ Week 1: 6-10 ATS

Looking overall at how the public fared ATS in the NFL last year, they went 139-115-9 ATS, with a $100 bettor up $1,063 — the best single regular season for the public in the Bet Labs database dating back to 2003.

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Low, Low, Low​

Totals Hit Bottom
How low is too low? A few very low totals on the board this week. NFL totals of 37 or less are 33-12-1 (73%) to the under since 2020.

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Tight Lines​

Small Spread Early Season
The average point spread for an NFL favorite through four weeks is sitting around -4.0 PPG this season. That is the lowest mark for any season through the first five weeks since 1960.

There has been only one double-digit favorite this week, the fewest through five weeks in the Super Bowl era.

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Undefeated Rest​

5-0 Teams On Bye
The Minnesota Vikings are the story of the NFL through five weeks. They are 5-0 SU/ATS full game. 5-0 SU/ATS in first half, 5-0 SU/ATS in the 1st quarter and their team totals are 5-0 to the over. The 2024 Vikings and 2007 Patriots are the lone teams to start a year 5-0 SU/ATS and 5-0 1H ATS in the last 20 years.

Not only is it a great start, but an unexpected one. Minnesota had a preseason win total of 6.5. The only teams since 1990 to start 5-0 SU with a win total below 7 are the 2024 Vikings, 2009 Broncos and 1999 Rams.

The Chiefs are also 5-0 SU. In the last 20 years, they are the 5th team to start 5-0 SU as reigning champions.

2024 Chiefs 5-0 SU
2019 Patriots 8-0 SU
2015 Patriots 10-0 SU
2011 Packers 13-0 SU
2007 Colts 7-0 SU

The Chiefs joined the 1990 49ers as the only teams in NFL history to start 5-0 after winning back-to-back Super Bowls.

 

[ozzy44]

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 33-35 SU & 39-27-2 ATS (59.1%) in the last 68.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3.5 at SEA)

There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 23-20 SU but 14-27-2 ATS (34.1%). Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 & later are 37-25 SU and 36-24-2 ATS (60%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (FADE): SEATTLE (+3.5 vs. SF)

Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 4-18 SU and 7-15 ATS (31.8%) in their last 22, scoring just 14.5 PPG. In terms of totals, 16 of the L20 (80%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
System Matches: FADE SEATTLE (+3.5 vs. SF), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 49)

A long-running trend of Thursday night home-field advantage being crucial in divisional games has turned lately, with these hosts going 17-16 SU but 13-20 ATS (39.4%) since the start of the 2019 season. Prior to that, divisional hosts were on an amazing 17-2-1 ATS run.
System Match (FADE): SEATTLE (+3.5 vs. SF)

There has been a wild trend that has developed over the last 4+ seasons regarding TNF road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday, as they have rebounded incredibly with a 17-18 SU and 23-11-1 ATS (67.6%) record.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3.5 at SEA)

Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last five seasons, going 24-30 SU and 19-34-1 ATS (35.8%).
System Match (FADE): SEATTLE (+3.5 vs SF)

More on totals, there have been 30 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or greater, they went Under at a 22-8 rate (73.3%).
System Match: PLAY UNDER in SF-SEA (*if the total gets to 50 or more, currently at 49)

Good TNF Team Trends
Seattle 9-5 SU and 8-4-2 ATS in the last 14
System Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (+3.5 vs. SF)

 

[ozzy44]

These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

For Monday Night Football, the last 20 games featuring a home underdog have seen Under the total go 17-2-1 (89.5%), games producing just 35.5 PPG.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-NYG (o/u at 41)

Pre-bye week system #7
Play on any team heading into their bye week when favored on the road/neutral vs. a non-conference foe (Record: 28-7-1 SU and 24-11-1 ATS since ’09, 68.6%, +11.9 Units, 34% ROI, Grade 65)
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (-2 vs. JAX)

Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5-points or more have won just 17 games, going 17-110 SU and 49-75-3 ATS (39.5%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON, NEW ENGLAND

Post-bye week ROAD FAVORITE subsystem:
Road favorites vs. divisional opponents. (Record: 32-16 ATS since 2002, 66.7%, +14.4 Units, 30% ROI, Grade 68)
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-3 at DEN)

NFL Streaks Betting System #4: NFL teams that have won their last three games ATS with a point margin of +10 or less in that stretch have gone just 15-39 SU & 12-38-4 ATS (24%) in game #4 since ’03.
System Match (FADE): INDIANAPOLIS (+1 at TEN)

The Lions have gone 15-5 Under the total in post-bye week games since 2004
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DET-DAL (o/u at 52)

NY Giants nine straight Unders on Sunday Night Football, scoring 11.3 PPG
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CIN-NYG (o/u at 48)

*Favorites are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 of SF-SEA series in Seattle
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-3.5 at SEA)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the MAKINEN BETTORS RATINGS projections: DALLAS +3 vs DET (+5.2 difference)