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Friday’s 6-pack:
— Bronx 2, Boston 1 (10)- Juan Soto had a walk-off single.
— Brewers 3, Giants 0- Frankie Montas tossed 6 shutout IP.
— Rangers 5, Mariners 4- Texas scored three runs in top of the 8th.
— Rockies 4, Tigers 2- Detroit was -300 with Skubal pitching.
— Cardinals 6, Reds 1- Sonny Gray struck out nine in 6 IP>
— Rays 5, Guardians 2- Cleveland had one hit in the last seven innings.

Quote of the Day
“Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn’t end.”
Coughlin’s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Friday’s quiz
Who replaced Marv Levy as coach of the Buffalo Bills?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Robert Wuhl plays the Bulls’ pitching coach.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Bunning is the only major league pitcher to throw a no-hitter, and later become a US Senator after his playing days were done.

***********************************************

Friday’s Den: Looking ahead to a football weekend……..

Bills 31, Dolphins 10
Buffalo had three TD drives: 37-85-49 yards.
Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.
Buffalo is 14-3-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Bills are 20-9-3 ATS in last 32 games on natural grass.
Awful night for Miami; bad loss, QB Tagovailoa left with a concussion.
Before he left, Tagovailoa threw a horrific pick-6 that made score 31-10.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo won 11 of last 12 series games.

— Tagovailoa’s concussion looked fairly severe; Miami’s other two QB’s are Skylar Thompson, Tim Boyle, who have a combined seven NFL starts (1-6). Not good.
Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000; this year isn’t looking too good, either.

— Arizona State 31, Texas State 28
Texas State outgained ASU 400-347, but they turned ball over three times (minus-2)
Game was tied 21-21 at halftime.
Texas State QB McCloud threw for 268 yards and four TD’s in a losing cause.

Pac-12 is back in business, kind of; Oregon State, Washington State hung around, will now be joined by San Diego State, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State. More teams are on the way; there are murmurs that UNLV/Nevada have to be a package deal, but the Pac-12 might not be interested in adding the Wolf Pack.
Memphis, Rice, Tex-San Antonio and North Texas are rumored to be in the mix, further screwing up every kid’s grades in Geography. (do they still teach Geography?)
Cal/Stanford/SMU in the ATLANTIC Coast Conference
Memphis and two Texas schools in the PACIFIC-12.
Oy.

Famous birthdays, September 13:
Jacqueline Bisset, 80
Rick Wise, 79
Kathleen Lloyd, 76
Rick Dempsey, 75
Jim Cleamons, 75
Mike Pagel, 64
Brad Johnson, 56
AJ McCarron, 34
Troy Reeder, 30

One quick question for every NFL game this weekend:

— Chargers @ Carolina- Panthers lost their last three games by a combined score of 82-10; they were down 30-3 at halftime last week. Would they ever bench QB Bryce Young?

— Buccaneers @ Lions- Detroit won a playoff game LY for first time since 1991; is this the year they get to their first Super Bowl?
Lions won NFL titles in 1952, 1953, 1957, but that was before there were Super Bowls.

— Saints @ Cowboys- New Orleans scored five TD’s last week, averaged 8.0 yards/pass attempt; Cowboys held the Browns to 2.7 yards/pass attempt last week, can they shut down the Saints’ offense this week?

— Jets @ Titans- Tennessee lost last week without giving up an offensive TD; they had a punt blocked for a TD and their suspect of a QB threw a pick-6. Jets have a good defense; will they score more points than the Jets’ offense?

— Seahawks @ Patriots- All three of Seattle’s TD’s last week were on plays of 23+ yards; New England held Cincinnati to one TD. Will the Seahawks be just as explosive in their road opener?

— Giants @ Commanders- Minnesota’s defense outscored the Giants’ offense 7-6 last week; at $40M a year, how much rope does QB Daniel Jones get, before backup Drew Lock gets a look?

— 49ers @ Vikings- QB Sam Darnold played really well last week; what happens if Darnold has a great year and Minnesota makes a run to the playoffs? Would they keep rookie JJ McCarthy or look to pick up some draft capital and trade him?

— Colts @ Packers- Jordan Love’s injury is the big question here; Malik Willis, Sean Clifford are the backups. Green Bay is in a position very close to Miami’s right now unless Love can get back on the field fairly soon.

— Raiders @ Ravens- How much is Baltimore going to use RB Derrick Henry? 13 carries for 46 yards doesn’t seem like a lot. 41 passes for Lamar Jackson seems like a lot.

— Browns @ Jaguars- The whole Deshaun Watson debacle is a huge ??? for the entire league. You see Tua Tagovailoa get knocked silly (again) and you understand why teams don’t want to have guys with fully guaranteed contracts.

— Steelers @ Broncos- What went on between Sean Payton/Russell Wilson in Denver? Seems like they didn’t get along too well. Wilson won’t start for Pittsburgh this week, but he must have a pretty good handle on the Broncos’ offense, right?

— Bengals @ Chiefs- Carson Wentz has one of the best jobs in America; he is Patrick Mahomes’ backup. Wentz has already banked $128M in his career, has a Super Bowl ring. Now he gets to learn from the best. Will he ever get another shot at being an NFL starter?

— Rams @ Arizona- Sean McVay’s offensive line has a lot of injury concerns; can they keep Matthew Stafford in one piece? Pretty important question for this week; they get LT Alaric Jackson back next week.

— Bears @ Texans- Rookie QB Williams didn’t do too well in his NFL debut; how will he do in his first road start, against a playoff team from last year?

— Falcons @ Eagles- Atlanta used the 8th pick in the draft on QB Michael Penix; how long before they give him some playing time? Falcons gained 226 yards last week; they lost without giving up a TD (Steelers kicked six FG’s). How much patience do they have?
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Highest-paid CB’s in the NFL:
$24.1M/year— Jalen Ramsey, Mia
$24M— Patrick Surtain, Den
$21M— Jaire Alexander, GB
$20.3M— AJ Terrell, Atl
$19.5M— Marlon Humphrey, Belt
$19.4M— Marshon Lattimore, NO

Tweet of the Day
“Be a good listener. Your ears will never get you in trouble.”
Frank Tyger

Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, what well-known actor played the Egghead?

Friday’s quiz
Wade Phillips replaced Marv Levy as coach of the Buffalo Bills.

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Robert Wuhl plays the Bulls’ pitching coach.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a fall Friday……..

— UNLV 23, Kansas 20
UNLV scored winning TD with 2:00 left, ending an 18-play, 75-yard drive.
UNLV QB Sluka ran for 113 yards, completed only 7-18 passes.
Rebels threw a 27-yard TD pass on last play of second quarter.
UNLV is 3-0 for first time since 1984, when Randall Cunningham was QB.

— Kansas State 31, Arizona 7
K-State ran ball for 235 yards, Arizona 56.
Dylan Edwards ran a punt back 71 yards for a TD.
Loss ended Arizona’s nine-game winning streak.

— Tigers 1, Orioles 0
Four Detroit pitchers combined to throw a one-hitter.
Gunnar Henderson’s 9th inning triple was Baltimore’s only hit.
Kerry Carpenter homered on Zach Eflin’s 3rd pitch of the game.

— Bronx 5, Red Sox 4
Boston led this game 4-0 in 7th inning.
Aaron Judge hit a grand slam for the game-winning hit.
Bronx has a 3-game lead in the AL East.

— Mariners 5, Rangers 4
Julio Rodriguez hit a 3-run homer in the 8th inning.
Rangers led this game 4-0 in 7th inning.
Jacob deGrom made his first start since April 28, 2023; he threw 61 pitches.

— A’s 2, White Sox 0
Rookie P Basso got 16 outs, didn’t give up a run, got his first MLB win.
Oakland is 28-22 since the All-Star break.
White Sox were shut out for the 18th time this season.

Famous birthdays, September 14th:
Larry Brown, 84
Alvin Scott, 69
Tim Wallach, 67
David Bell, 52
Chad Bradford, 50
Brandon Hicks, 39
Jimmy Butler, 35
Deshaun Watson, 29

— Royals 8, Pirates 3
Kansas City scored six runs in the second inning.
34-year old Salvador Perez has 27 home runs, 104 RBI
Loss snaps Pittsburgh’s 4-game winning streak.

— Blue Jays 4, Cardinals 3 (11)
Alejandro Kirk knocked in the game-winning run.
St Louis was 2-19 with runners in scoring position.
Cardinals 2B Thomas Saggese hit his first MLB home run.

— Reds 8, Twins 4
Elly De La Cruz hit his 24th home run, his first career grand slam.
Minnesota lost for 7th time in its last ten games.
Twins lead Detroit for the last AL playoff spot, by 2.5 games.

Movie of the Day: The Company Men (2010)— A major company downsizes, and the lives of three men are affected in different ways.
Great cast: Ben Affleck, Tommy Lee Jones, Kevin Costner, Craig T Nelson, Mario Bello.
Kind a sad movie with something of an upbeat ending. Good movie, though.

— Padres 5, Giants 0
Dylan Cease struck out 10 in six shutout IP.
Fernando Tatis Jr hit a 2-run home run.
Giants were shut out for the second game in a row.

— Brewers 2, Diamondbacks 1
Rhys Hoskins hit a 2-run homer for the Brewers.
Milwaukee leads the NL Central by 10 games.
Freddie Peralta allowed 10 baserunners in 5 IP, but only one run.

— Mets 11, Phillies 3
Jose Quintana tossed seven shutout IP.
Mets won for 12th time in last 14 games.
Phillies still lead NL East by seven games.

— Nationals 4, Marlins 1
DJ Herz allowed only one run in 5 IP.
Luis Garcia homered for first time in 101 AB’s vs lefty pitchers.
Three of Washington’s four runs were unearned.

— Rockies 9, Cubs 5
Hunter Goodman homered twice, including an 8th inning grand slam.
Cubs are now six games behind the Mets for the NL’s last playoff spot.

— Braves 6, Dodgers 2
Braves led this game 5-0 in second inning.
Schwellenbach threw 6 IP, giving up two runs.
Atlanta is a game behind the Mets for the NL’s last playoff spot.
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Stanford @ Syracuse (-9.5)
— Illinois @ Nebraska (-8.5)
— Kansas @ West Virginia (-2.5)
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-5)
— USC (-6) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-1.5)

Tweet of the Day
“We’re not gonna be working heavy in free agency. We’ve got guys on the field right now who need to improve their game. A lot of young players who just need to make adjustments to be more productive.”
White Sox general manager Chris Getz

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, what actor/comedian played Lady Gaga’s father?

Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, Vincent Price played the Egghead.

Friday’s quiz
Wade Phillips replaced Marv Levy as coach of the Buffalo Bills.

*************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..

— Georgia 13, Kentucky 12
#1 team in the country has a very narrow escape.
Kentucky led 9-6 after three quarters.
Georgia scored only TD of game with 12:20 left.

— LSU 36, South Carolina 33
Gamecocks led 17-0 early in second quarter.
LSU drove 55 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:12 left.
Gamecocks ran for 243 yards, but missed a 49-yard FG at the gun.
South Carolina turned ball over three times, had 123 penalty yards.

— Memphis 20, Florida State 12
Seminoles were 13-1 last year, are 0-3 so far this year:
L21-24 vs Georgia Tech (-10)
L13-28 Boston College (-16.5)
L12-20 Memphis (-7)
Mike Norvell is a good coach, but he is squarely on the hot seat now; this is his contract situation going forward:
2024- $10M
2025- $10,150,000
2026- $10,300,000
2027- $10,450,000
2028- $10,600,000
2029- $10,750,000
2030- $10,900,000
2031- $11,050,000

— Meanwhile, in Gainesville……..
Texas A&M 33, Florida 20
Aggies led this game 20-0 at halftime.
A&M averaged 10.5 yards/pass attempt.
Gators lost their first two I-A games, 41-17/33-20; they’ve now lost their last seven I-A games, with only win in that span 45-7 over I-AA Samford.
Safe to say, the natives are restless in northern Florida.

— Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 34
WVU led 34-24 with 3:30 left in the game.
Pitt had TD drives of 75-77 yards to pull out a dramatic win.
Teams combined to convert only 4 of 22 third down plays.
These rivals didn’t play from 2012-21, kind of an expen$ive deci$ion.

Upsets of the Week:
UNLV (+10.5) 23, Kansas 20
Toledo (+10.5) 41, Mississippi State 17
Georgia State (+10) 36, Vanderbilt 32
Memphis (+7) 20, Florida State 12
Washington State (+5.5) 24, Washington 19


— Washington State 24, Washington 19
Coogs stopped Washington on 1-yard line with 1:07 left.
Apple Cup was played in the Seahawks’ stadium, lot earlier than usual.
Washington gained 452 yards, but had 16 penalties for 135 yards.
Coogs beat Washington for just third time in last 15 meetings.
— Oregon 49, Oregon State 14
Teams that got left behind went 1-1 vs their arch-rivals this weekend.
Ducks led by only 22-14 at halftime.
Ducks outgained the Beavers, 546-309.
Oregon had lost its previous two visits to Corvallis.

— Indiana 42, UCLA 13
Curt Cignetti is the new coach at Indiana; he is a really good coach.
Cignetti was 52-9 the last five years at James Madison.
Indiana was 9-12 on third down, Bruins 2-8
Total yardage: 430-238, Indiana.
Hoosiers overcame having 14 penalties for 127 yards.

— Auburn 45, New Mexico 19
Auburn’s new starting QB Hank Brown passed for 235 yards and 4 TD’s.
Auburn’s starting QB last week (Payton Thorne) was complaining this week about gamblers bugging him after Auburn lost games; he threw 4 INT’s last week. Then he got benched.

Famous birthdays, September 15th:
Tommy Lee Jones, 78
Oliver Stone, 78
LeRoy Irvin, 67
Dan Marino, 63
Earnest Byner, 62
Sherman Douglas, 58
Jason Terry, 47
Mike Dunleavy Jr, 44
Tyler Fitzgerald, 27

— Central Florida 35, TCU 34
UCF threw a 20-yard TD pass with 0:36 left for the winning score.
Arkansas transfer Jefferson threw for 230 yards, 3 TD’s.
TCU led 31-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Horned Frogs blocked two field goals and an extra point.

— Eastern Michigan 37, Jacksonville State 34 OT
EMU led this game 31-20 after three quarters.
Gamecocks kicked a 51-yard FG to tie game with 0:34 left.
Eagles were 10-19 on third down, Jax State was 3-12.

— Buffalo 34, UMass 3
Marquis Cooper had a 105-yard pick-6 for Buffalo.

— Texas 56, Tex-San Antonio 7
Texas QB Ewers was 14-16/185 passing before he got hurt.
Backup QB Manning (Peyton’s nephew) was 9-12/223, with 4 TD passes.
UTSA lost its last two games 49-10/56-7; they’re not good.

— How conferences did in non-league games this week:

AAC 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog

ACC 2-2 ATS as favorite, 2-2 as underdog

Big X 7-4 ATS as favorite, 1-0 as underdog

Big 18 3-3 ATS as favorite, 0-2 as underdog

Conference USA 1-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog

Mid-American 2-0 ATS as favorite, 1-3 as underdog

Mountain West 2-0 ATS as favorite, 3-6 as underdog

SEC 5-5 ATS as favorite

Sun Belt 1-2 ATS as favorite, 3-2 as underdog
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Sunday, September 15


bURp19Q.png
 

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2024 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST WEEK 2: 9/10/24 – 9/16/24
OFFICIAL LINES/ODDS FOR WEEK 2WEEK 2 PICKS BY # OF TEAMS SELECTED
HOME TEAM IN CAPS

DOLPHINS -2.5 vs. Bills
RAVENS -9.5 vs. Raiders
Chargers -6 vs. PANTHERS
COWBOYS -6 vs. Saints
LIONS -7 vs. BUCCANEERS
Colts -3 vs. PACKERS
JAGUARS -3 vs. Browns
49ers -6 vs. VIKINGS
Seahawks -3.5 vs. PATRIOTS
NY Jets -3.5 vs. TITANS
COMMANDERS -1.5 vs. NY Giants
CARDINALS -1. vs. Rams
CHIEFS -5.5 vs. Bengals
Steelers -2.5 vs. BRONCOS
TEXANS -6 vs. Bears
EAGLES -6.5 vs. Falcons


HOU 410
DAL 320
MIN 305
JAX 288
KC 246
LAR 232
NE 230
GB 226
CAR 212
PIT 177
LV 176
TB 173
LAC 173
DEN 170
NYJ 166
BAL 163




TOP 5 YTD RECORD
2-3-0
DET 160
PHI 159
IND 156
CIN 150
TEN 149
WAS 145
ATL 144
NYG 138
ARI 134
SF 116
SEA 113
CLE 89
NO 82
MIA 64
CHI 58
BUF 46




RECORD LAST WEEK
2-3
 

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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYG at WAS01:00 PMWAS -1.0
U 43.0
+500 +500
SEA at NE01:00 PMSEA -3.0
U 38.5
+500 +500
NYJ at TEN01:00 PMNYJ -4.0
U 41.0
+500 +500
IND at GB01:00 PMGB +2.5
O 41.0
+500 +500
CLE at JAC01:00 PMCLE +3.0
U 41.5
+500 +500
SF at MIN01:00 PMMIN +5.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
NO at DAL01:00 PMDAL -6.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
TB at DET01:00 PMTB +7.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
LV at BAL01:00 PMLV +9.5
O 41.0
+500 +500
LAC at CAR01:00 PMLAC -4.5
U 39.0
+500 +500
LA at ARI04:05 PMLA +1.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
PIT at DEN04:25 PMDEN +2.5
U 36.5
+500 +500
CIN at KC04:25 PMCIN +6.5
U 47.5
+500 +500
CHI at HOU08:20 PMHOU -5.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS SEPTEMBER !

09/15/2024............................15 - 4 - 2...............................78.94%.............................+ 53.00
09/12/2024...............................1 - 1 - 0..............................50.00%..............................- 0.50
09/09/2024...............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%..............................- 11.00
09/08/2024...............................5 - 11 - 0...........................31.25%...............................- 41.00
09/06/2024................................0 - 2...................................00.00%..............................- 11.00
09/05/2024................................0 - 2...................................00.00%..............................- 11.00

TOTALS.....................................21 - 22 - 2............................48.83%.............................- 21.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for Week 2:
— Patriots @ NJ Jets (-7)
— Chargers @ Pittsburgh (-1.5)
— Bears @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
— Texans (-4) @ Minnesota
— Giants @ Cleveland (-6.5)
— Eagles (-3.5) @ New Orleans

Quote of the Day
“It doesn’t feel great losing.”
Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, what actor played A’s manager Art Howe?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.

Saturday’s quiz
In the old Batman TV series, Vincent Price played the Egghead.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 26, Bengals 25

Butker kicked 51-yard FG with 0:03 left for a dramatic win.
Bengals led 16-10 at halftime.
Chiefs turned ball over three times (-2), were only 1-8 on third down.
Last 4+ years, KC is 15-18 ATS as a home favorite.

In two games, Bengals have only three TD’s on 17 drives.
Cincinnati is only 8-24 on third down conversions.
WR Chase (in a contract dispute), has caught 10 balls for 97 yards in 2 games.
Last 4+ years, Cincinnati is 18-10-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Steelers 13, Broncos 6
Steelers held first two opponents to 226/295 yards in two road wins.
Pittsburgh was +3 in turnovers last week, +2 this week.
First two opponents converted 4-21 third down plays.
Steelers are 18-9-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Rookie QB Nix does NOT look ready to play in the NFL.
Denver was held to 231/295 TY in two games; they’re 7-30 on third down.
In this game, Broncos ran ball 19 times for only 64 yards.
Broncos are 9-18-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Cardinals 41, Rams 10
Arizona’s first three drives: 20 plays, 219 yards, 21 points.
Cardinals led 24-3 at halftime.
Cardinals ran for 231 yards, outgained LA, 489-245.
Arizona averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.

Arizona was 7-11 on third down, Rams were 2-11.
Last 2+ years, LA is 4-8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Rams had won their previous nine visits to Arizona.
Rookie WR Harrison had 130 RY, all in first quarter.

Texans 19, Bears 13
In two games, Chicago has one offensive TD on 21 drives.
In two games, Bears gained 148/205 yards, on 119 plays.
Bears have converted 8-30 third down plays.
This week, the 3 rookie QB’s combined for one offensive TD on 30 drives.

Houston’s first three drives: 24 plays, 158 yards, 13 points,
Texans overcame 12 penalties for 115 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 12-7 as an NFL starter.
Houston is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.

Vikings 23, 49ers 17
49ers had 15-play, 83-yard drive that took 9:18, but they were stopped on downs
Darnold then threw a 97-yard TD pass to Justin Jefferson.
Vikings averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
Ty Chandler ran ball 10 times for 82 yards.

Minnesota was 7-12 on third down, 49ers 2-10.
RB Mason ran ball 20 times for 100 yards and a TD.
Both teams turned ball over twice.
49ers are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.

Saints 44, Cowboys 19
Saints’ first six drives: 39 plays, 379 yards, six TD’s.
New Orleans led this game 35-16 at halftime.
RB Kamara ran for 115 yards, three TD’s.
In their two games, Saints are 12-21 on third down.

Dallas scored on five of first six drives, but only one TD, four FG’s.
Zimmer’s defense allowed 14.2 yards/pass attempt.
In their two games, Cowboys are only 10-32 on third down.
Over is 32-17 in last 49 Dallas home games.

Buccaneers 20, Lions 16
Lions ran 83 plays for 463 yards.
Tampa Bay ran 47 plays for 216 yards.
With 0:53 left, Lions were stopped on downs on Bucs’ 6-yard line.
With 0:02 left, Lions were stopped on downs on Bucs’ 26-yard line.

Bucs were 2-10 on third down, Detroit 7-13.
Under Bowles, Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 44-48 as an NFL starter, 12-9 with Buccaneers.
Last 3+ years, under is 17-9 in Tampa Bay road games.

Famous birthdays, September 16th:
Mickey Rourke, 72
Lenny Clarke, 71
Wilbert Montgomery, 70

Robin Yount, 69
Eric Hipple, 67
Orel Hershiser, 66

Jennifer Tilly, 66
Tim Raines, 65
Sam Howell, 24

Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Chargers ran for 176 yards last week, 219 yards in this game.
Chargers were 9-16 on third down, Carolina 1-12.
Bolts are 2-0 for the first time since 2012.
Charger defense has allowed one TD on 23 drives this season.

Panthers lost their first two games by a combined 73-13.
Carolina was outgained 728-352 in those two games.
2nd year QB Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter.
Panthers averaged only 2.5 yards/pass attempt.

Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Raiders outscored Baltimore 13-0 over final 9:24 of game.
Raiders’ first 7 drives: 34 plays, 113 yards, six points.
Raiders’ last 4 drives: 29 plays, 206 yards, 20 points.
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 20-12 ATS as a road underdog.

Baltimore is 0-2 for first time since 2015.
Ravens led 9-6 at halftime; five field goals.
Ravens ran for 151 yards, were only 3-11 on third down.
Since 2021, Ravens are 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.

Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Cleveland’s first three drives: 36 plays, 182 yards, 13 points.
Cleveland’s last four drives: 29 plays, 115 yards, 3 points.
In two games, Browns are 4-29 on 3rd down, 6-8 on 4th down.
QB Watson is 37-32 as an NFL starter, 8-5 with Browns.

Jaguars’ first five drives: 33 plays, 124 yards, three points.
Jaguars are now 0-7 against Deshaun Watson.
In two games, Jaguars are 5-19 on 3rd down conversions.
QB Lawrence is 21-33 as an NFL starter.

Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 OT
Seattle kicked 38-yard FG with 0:58 left, to force OT.
Seahawks drove 51 yards, kicked walk-off 31-yard FG in OT.
Seattle scored TD’s on 2 of first 3 drives, led 17-13 at halftime.
QB Smith is 32-37 as an NFL starter, 20-18 with Seattle.

Patriots held Bengals to 224 TY in LW’s 16-10 upset win.
First two games, NE ran ball for 355 yards, threw for only 245
Last 2+ years, New England is 1-8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Patriots QB Brissett is 19-31 as an NFL starter.

Packers 16, Colts 10
Colts in first half: 15 plays, 78 yards, zero points.
Colts gained 237 yards on last five drives, but threw 2 INTs, missed a FG.
Indy was 2-9 on third down, Packers were 10-17.
2nd-year QB Richardson is 2-4 as an NFL starter.

Packers’ first two drives: 19 plays, 124 yards, 10 points.
Green Bay’s only TD drive was 82 yards on 11 plays.
Green Bay is 20-9 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
Packers ran ball for 261 yards (4.9 yards/carry).

Jets 24, Titans 17
RB Allen scored game-winning TD on 20-yard run with 4:31 left.
Jets’ first three drives: 12 plays, 20 yards, three punts.
Jets rest of game: 44 plays, 245 yards, 24 points.
Rodgers is 160-86-1 as an NFL starter.

In its first two games, Tennessee was outscored 38-7 in second half.
Titans are first team since 2012 to have punt blocked in each of their first two games.
QB Levis is 3-8 as an NFL starter.
Titans slip to 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog.

Commanders 21, Giants 18
Washington had seven drives, kicked seven field goals.
Commanders ran for 215 yards, outgained Giants, 425-304.
Rookie QB Daniels threw for 226 yards, ran for 44 more.
Washington is 15-9-2 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Giants’ kicker got hurt on opening kickoff, missed rest of game.
Giants scored 3 TD’s, were 0-2 on 2-point plays, 0-1 on PAT’s.
Only eight of the Giants’ 51 plays came on third down (4-8).
QB Jones is 23-39-1 as an NFL starter.
 

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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at PHI08:15 PMATL +5.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS SEPTEMBER !

09/16/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0..............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
09/15/2024............................15 - 4 - 2...............................78.94%..........................+ 53.00
09/12/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0..............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
09/09/2024..............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%...........................- 11.00
09/08/2024.............................5 - 11 - 0.............................31.25%............................- 41.00
09/06/2024................................0 - 2................................00.00%............................- 11.00
09/05/2024................................0 - 2.................................00.00%...........................- 11.00

TOTALS..................................22 - 23 - 2............................48.88%............................- 22.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Padres 3, Astros 1- Yu Darvish tossed six shutout IP.
— White Sox 8, Angels 4- Chicago (36-115) has won three in a row
— Royals 7, Tigers 6- Detroit led 5-1 after four innings.
— Cardinals 4, Pirates 0- Andre Pallante struck out nine in 7 IP.
— Rockies 3, Arizona 2- Winning run scored on a throwing error.
— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Cousins threw 7-yard TD pass with 0:34 left.

Quote of the Day
“I think everything’s on the table. Ultimately, my goal is to be in that batter’s box, in the field every single day. Whether that’s moving to a corner or DHing more, I’ll leave it up to the front office to come up with a plan. Where I’m at and what’s happened the last few years, I’m definitely going to try to explore every option that can keep me out there.”
Mike Trout

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kirk Cousins play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie A Star is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Trends all for 30 MLB teams…….

Trends for all 30 MLB teams…….(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.

— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.

— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.

— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.

— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.

— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.

— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.

— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.

— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.

— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

— Cardinals are 1-11 in their last dozen home series openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

— San Diego is 9-1 in extra-inning games.
Padres are 8-1 in last nine road series openers.

— San Francisco is 33-30 in day games, 39-48 in night games.
Giants are 2-8 in last 12 ten home games.

— Washington is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.

Famous birthdays, September 17th
Phil Jackson, 79
Junior Bridgeman, 72
Mark Brunell, 54
Dan Haren, 44
Alexander Ovechkin, 39
Marcus Semien, 34
Jose Ramirez, 32
Patrick Mahomes, 29
James Wood, 22

— Orioles are 2-7 in game after their last nine wins.
Last five Baltimore games stayed under.

— Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games.
Boston is 58-49 vs righty starters, 17-26 vs lefties; last two years, they were 47-31 vs lefties.

— White Sox are 6-43 since the All-Star break.
Chicago is 2-17 in its last 19 series openers.

— Guardians are 22-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.

— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

— Houston won its last four games.
Last two years, Houston was 70-33 vs lefty starters; this year, they’re 21-21.

— Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
Royals are 69-50 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.

— Angels lost seven of their last eight games.
They’re 2-11 in their last 13 series openers.

— Minnesota is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.

— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Oakland is 9-1 in its last ten series openers.

— Mariners are 13-9 since they changed managers,
Seattle is 7-19 in last 26 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Under is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.

— Texas lost five of its last six games.
Rangers are 16-22 vs lefty starting pitchers.

— Toronto is 4-1 in its last five games.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
 

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WEEK 3

Thursday, September 19
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Sunday, September 22
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Monday, September 23
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NFL
Week 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New England vs NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing New England

Houston vs Minnesota
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

Philadelphia vs New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Green Bay vs Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay

NY Giants vs Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Giants's last 17 games
NY Giants is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Chicago vs Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Indianapolis's last 25 games

LA Chargers vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Denver vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Denver
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Carolina vs Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Carolina's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Las Vegas is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Miami vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Detroit vs Arizona
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

San Francisco vs LA Rams
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Baltimore vs Dallas
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

Kansas City vs Atlanta
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home

Jacksonville vs Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Buffalo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington vs Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
Cincinnati is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Thursday’s game
Patriots
@ Jets (-6.5)
Patriots (1-1)
Patriots ran ball for 170-185 yards in splitting first two games.
Opponents ran ball for 70-46 yards.
Team total: over 1-0-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


New England is 10-12 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
Last three years, Patriots are 0-3 SU/ATS in home openers.
New England is 10-8 ATS in last 18 AFC East road games.
Patriots QB Brissett is 19-31 as an NFL starter.


Jets (1-1)
Jets split first two games, both on road (over 2-0)
Jets were held to 266/265 yards in first two games.
Jets converted 11 of 22 third down plays.
49ers outrushed them 180-68 Monday night.
Team total: over 1-0-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Under Saleh, Jets are 11-15 ATS at home
Since 2021, Jets are 5-11-1 ATS coming off a win.
Rodgers is 160-86-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.


New England won 23 of last 26 series games.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State.
Under is 5-0 in last five meetings.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— USC (-5.5) @ Michigan
— Utah @ Oklahoma State (-2)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Oklahoma
— Kansas State (-6.5) @ BYU
— Florida (-6) @ Mississippi State
— Arkansas @ Auburn (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I’ve kind of been in every scenario. I’ve come up as a rookie, I’ve had some success. I’ve been a veteran who’s been more of a leader, and I’ve kind of been a guy who’s struggled with injuries and seen his play decline. I’ve gone through the whole gauntlet of what a player could go through. So I feel like I can understand where all the guys are at mentally and what they’re thinking.”
White Sox interim manager Grady Sizemore

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the NFL’s Chargers, who caught the most passes?

Tuesday’s quiz
Kirk Cousins played his college football at Michigan State.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Falcons 22, Eagles 21- Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins makes $45M a year; Monday night, he showed why he’s worth that much.
He drove the Falcons 70 yards in six plays, throwing the game-winning TD pass against the Eagles with 0:34 left in a 22-21 Atlanta win in Philadelphia Monday night.
Cousins was 20-29/241 passing, with two TD’s. Very clutch performance

— Miami Dolphins put QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) on IR; he is out until at least Week 8- they signed QB Tyler Huntley off of Baltimore’s practice squad.

— There are 16 games on the Week 3 NFL schedule; 10 of the 16 games are AFC-NFC matchups, which seems like a lot. NFL likes to hoard the glitzier divisional games until later in the season, or into their Amazon package.
There are also two Monday night games this week, which is unusual; no idea why, but Jaguars-Bills, Commanders-Bengals are on the docket Monday.

— Weeks 2-6, the Thursday night Amazon NFL game is a divisional rivalry; then in Week 7, it is Denver at New Orleans, Sean Payton’s return to Bourbon Street.

— Carolina Panthers are benching 2nd-year QB Bryce Young, will start veteran Andy Dalton this week in Las Vegas against the Raiders.
Young is 2-16 as an NFL starter; he needs to sit-watch-learn for a while. Carolina hasn’t led in the 4th quarter in any of its last 20 games, the 2nd-longest streak ever.
Dalton is 36 years old, is 83-78-2 as an NFL starter; he started once for Carolina last year. His glory days were with the Bengals, where he played for coach Marvin Lewis, who is now an assistant coach with the Raiders, Carolina’s opponent this week.

— Let’s review the 2023 trade between the Bears/Panthers:
Carolina got:
The #1 pick in the draft- they took QB Bryce Young
Chicago got:
WR DJ Moore
1st round pick in 2023 (OL Darnell Wright)
2nd round pick in 2023 (CB Tyrique Stevenson
2024 1st round pick (QB Caleb Williams)
2025 2nd round pick
Carolina Panthers are owned by hedge fund trader David Tepper, the wealthiest owner in the NFL. Tepper sent the Panthers’ GM packing last year; we’ll see how fast they can clean up the mess that guy left behind.

— Not only are the Tennessee Titans off to an 0-2 start, they’re first team since 2012 to have a punt blocked in each of their first two games. Tennessee is also minus-4 in turnovers; they’ve been outscored 38-7 in the second half of their games.

Famous birthdays, September 18th
Frankie Avalon, 84
Billy Gambrell, 83
Billy Sims, 69
Ryne Sandberg, 65
Holly Robinson Peete, 60
Toni Kukoc, 56
Jason Sudeikis, 49
Kevin Dotson, 28
Andre Pallante, 26

— From 2005-23, Pitt Panthers trailed 72 games by 10+ points in the 4th quarter; they lost all 72 of those games.
So far this season, Pitt trailed both Cincinnati/West Virginia by 10+ points in the 4th quarter, but won both games, behind QB Eli Holstein, whose thrown for 939 yards in three games.

— In Week 1, Cincinnati was the most popular pick in the Circa survivor pool in Las Vegas; they lost. 4,895 of the 14,206 people in the pool got KO’d when the Bengals lost
In Week 2, Baltimore was the most popular pick; they lost too. 2,304 people got knocked out when the Ravens lost. After two weeks, half the people are out of the pool already.
Handicapping the NFL is difficult; underdogs were 8-7 SU/10-4-1 ATS in Week 2.

— Packers at Tennessee game this week has an unexpected interesting subplot; QB Mailk Willis was a 3rd round pick by the Titans in the 2022 draft, out of Liberty (he had been a backup at Auburn before that).
Willis played in 11 games for the Titans, starting three (1-2); he completed 53% of his passes, with no TD’s, 3 INT’s. He ran the ball 32 times for 144 yards and a TD.
Last month, Willis was traded to Green Bay for a 7th round draft pick; 27 days after the trade, he is starting against his old team. Should be interesting.

— Kansas City Chiefs are bringing back RB Kareem Hunt; he spent the last five years with the Browns, after running for 1,327/824 yards in his first two NFL seasons, with the Chiefs. With Isiah Pacheco out injured for a while, Chiefs needed another RB.

— Astros 4, Padres 3
Jose Altuve fouled a ball off his toe, but the umpire called the ball fair and Altuve was out. He took his shoe/sock off to show the umpire that his toe was hurt— he got ejected.
Josh Hader got four outs for Houston; he never pitched more than an inning for San Diego.
This was San Diego’s 52nd sellout this season.

— Reds 6, Braves 5
Atlanta led 5-1 in 4th inning, 5-2 in 6th inning.
Reds used seven pitchers to get 27 outs.

— Marlins 11, Dodgers 9
Jesus Sanchez was 5-5 with three RBI.
Shohei Ohtani hit his 48th home run.
Dodgers lead in NL West is down to 3.5 games.

— A’s 4, Cubs 3
Shea Langeliers homered twice, has 28 for the season.
A’s were 50-112 last year; they’re 66-86 this year.

— Tigers 3, Royals 1 (10)
Detroit is 24-10 in its last 34 games.
Royals were 56-106 last year; they’re 82-70 this year.

— Rockies 8, Diamondbacks 2
Ezequiel Tovar was 3-5, with two runs, 2 RBI
Arizona lost four of its last five games.

— If the baseball playoffs starter today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Padres-Diamonfbacks-Mets
AL: New York, Guardians, Houston. Wild Cards: Orioles-Royals-Twins
Mets lead Atlanta by two games for the last NL playoff spot.
Twins lead Detroit by 1.5 games for the last AL playoff spot.
 

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 2

Sunday’s games
Chargers
@ Steelers (-2)
Chargers (2-0)
Chargers won first two games, allowing one TD on 23 drives.
Chargers outscored their opponents 22-6 in second half.
Since 2019, Bolts are 14-16-5 ATS coming off a win.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Since 2019, Chargers are 8-9-2 ATS as road underdogs.
Chargers outrushed first two opponents, 395-161.
Since 2019, Chargers are 8-25-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
QB Herbert is 32-33 as an NFL starter.
Under is 2-0 in their first two games.


Steelers (2-0)
Steelers won first two games, allowing one TD on 18 drives.
Pittsburgh is +5 in turnovers in its first two games.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Steelers have only one TD on 21 drives (8 field goals).
QB Fields is 12-28 as an NFL starter (2-0 with Steelers).
Pittsburgh is 10-6-1 in its last 17 games coming off a win.
Steelers are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Steelers outrushed first two opponents, 278-153.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Chargers are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Bears
@ Colts (-1.5)
Bears (1-1)
Bears split first two games, scoring one offensive TD on 21 drives.
Chicago was outgained 554-353 in those games.
Rookie QB Williams averaged 3.0/3.0 yards/pass in his two games.
Team total: under 1-0-1
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Bears are 10-15-1 ATS in last 26 games as road underdogs.
Chicago has converted 8-30 third down plays.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Chicago is 4-7-2 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Bears have been outscored 33-13 in first half of games.


Colts (0-2)
Colts lost their first two games by total of eight points.
Indy have completed only 26-53 passes, but for 16 yards/reception.
Colts have been outscored 22-7 in first half of games.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Indy is 17-13-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Richardson is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Colts are 9-11-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 8-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
First two games, Indy was outgained by 79.5 yards/game.


Colts won four of last six series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in Indianapolis.
Colts (-7) beat Chicago 29-17 in Super Bowl in 2006.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Texans (-2.5) @ Vikings
Texans (2-0)
Texans won first two games, by total of eight points.
Houston outgained its opponents by 114/105 yards.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Since 2016, Texans are 2-8-2 ATS as road favorites.
Houston is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 12-7 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 13-11-2 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Houston is 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC opponents.


Vikings (2-0)
Minnesota won first two games, giving up two TD’s on 21 drives.
Vikings outscored first two opponents 27-10 in first half.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


QB Darnold is 23-35 as an NFL starter, 2-0 with Vikings.
Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Vikings are 12-10-3 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.


Vikings won/covered all five meetings.
Texans lost 31-13/28-21 in two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2 in series games.


Giants @ Browns (-6.5)
Giants (0-2)
Giants lost first two games, scoring three TD’s on 18 drives.
Giants didn’t allow a TD last week, but gave up seven FG’s.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


In their two games, Giants were outgained by 72-121 yards.
Under Daboll, Giants are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Daboll, Giants are 7-2-1 ATS vs AFC opponents.
QB Jones is 23-39-1 as an NFL starter.
Giants have been outscored 26-9 in second half of games.


Browns (1-1)
Cleveland split its first two games, scoring 17-18 points.
Browns are 4-29 on 3rd down so far, 6-8 on 4th down.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Browns were 6-0 ATS as home favorites LY (7-12-1 from 2020-22)
QB Watson is 38-32 as an NFL starter, 9-5 with Browns.
Cleveland is 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Cleveland is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Over is 3-0 in Browns’ last three road openers.


Giants won four of six series games.
Giants won two of last three visits to Cleveland.
Under is 4-2 in series games.


Eagles @ Saints (-2.5)
Eagles (1-1)
Short week/travel for Eagles after their Monday night loss.
Eagles’ first two games were decided by total of six points.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0


First two games, Philly gave up 163/152 yards rushing.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-9 ATS as an underdog.
QB Hurts is 37-21 as an NFL starter.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Opponents have converted only 5-20 third down plays.


Saints (2-0)
Saints won their first two games, scoring 47-44 points.
New Orleans has 11 touchdowns on 20 drives.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


First two games, Saints averaged 8.3/14.2 yards/pass.
First two games, Saints ran ball for 180/190 yards.
Last 3+ years, New Orleans is 8-14-2 ATS coming off a win.
QB Carr is 74-88 as an NFL starter.
Under is 16-7 in their last 23 road games.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Eagles’ last visit to New Orleans was in 2018.
Eagles lost last three visits here; their last win in NO was 2007.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.


Broncos @ Buccaneers (-6.5)
Broncos (0-2)
Denver lost first two games, by 6-7 points.
Rookie QB Nix averaged 3.3/6.2 yards/pass attempt in his first 2 NFL starts.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Denver is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
Denver is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games vs NFC opponents.
First two games, Broncos were outrushed, 287-163
Broncos are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Under is 15-10 in their last 25 road games.


Buccaneers (2-0)
Tampa Bay won its first two games, scoring six TD’s on 18 drives.
Bucs are 11-23 on third down in two games.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Bucs are 4-1-1 ATS in las tis games as a home favorite.
QB Mayfield is 44-48 as an NFL starter, 12-9 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 10-8-1 in last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
Last three years, under is 16-9 in Tampa Bay road games.
Bucs won in Detroit LW, despite being outgained 463-216.


Denver won four of last five meetings.
Broncos won 27-7/16-13 in last two visits to Tampa.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.


Packers @ Titans (-3)
Packers (1-1)
QB Willis was 12-14/144 in his first start for Packers LW.
Willis was 1-2 as a starter for Tennessee in 2022.
Titans traded Willis to Green Bay August 26.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Green Bay is 20-9 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
First two games, Packers ran ball for 163/261 yards.
Under is 16-9 in Green Bay’s last 25 true road games.
Former Boston College HC Hafley is Green Bay’s new DC.
First two games, opponents are 6-23 on third down.


Titans (0-2)
Titans have been outscored 38-7 in second half of games.
Tennessee had a punt blocked in both games.
Titans are minus-4 in turnovers, plus the two blocked punts.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-0-1


Tennessee is 13-15 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.
Titans outgained both its opponents, by 101-35 yards.
Tennessee is 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
QB Levis is 3-8 as an NFL starter.
Titans have an all-new coaching staff.


Titans won five of last seven series games.
Packers are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in last three visits to Tennessee.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.


Panthers @ Raiders (-5)
Panthers (0-2)
Carolina is switching QB’s, from 2nd year QB Young to veteran Dalton
Dalton is 83-82-2 as an NFL starter, mostly with Cincinnati.
Former Bengals HC Marvin Lewis is a Raiders assistant.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0


Dalton started one game for the Panthers last year.
Carolina lost first two games this year, 47-10/26-3.
Panthers are 1-8-1 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
Last 3+ years, Carolina is 5-11 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Panthers are 2-22 on third down, opponents 16-29.


Raiders (1-1)
Raiders (+9) scored on 5 of last 6 drives, upset Ravens 26-23 LW.
Las Vegas was 6-2 ATS LY in game following their wins.
Raiders have converted only 9-26 third down plays.
Last two years, Raiders are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Raiders gave up 176/151 rushing yards in their two games.
First two games, Las Vegas was outrushed by 71.5 yards/game.
Las Vegas is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
Since start of 2020, Raiders are minus-32 in turnovers in 69 games.
QB Minshew is 16-23 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.


Raiders won five of last seven meetings.
Raiders’ last four series wins were all by 4 or fewer points.
Carolina is 1-2 SU/2-1 ATS in last three road series games.


Dolphins @ Seahawks (-5.5)
Dolphins (1-1)
Backup QB Thompson replaces injured Tagvailova (concussion)
Thompson is 1-1 as an NFL starter; those games were in 2022.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in last nine road openers.
Miami is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
Dolphins have only three TD’s on 21 drives this year.
Miami has been outscored 41-17 in first half of games.


Seahawks (2-0)
Seattle won its first two games, by 6-3 points.
Seahawks are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as home favorites.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0


QB Smith is 32-37 as an NFL starter, 20-18 with Seattle.
Seahawks held first two opponents to 3.0/4.2 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks are 11-19-2 in last 32 games coming off a win.
Seattle is 11-7-3 ATS last 21 games vs AFC opponents.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Dolphins are 1-2 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Seattle.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.


Lions (-3) @ Cardinals
Lions (1-1)
Lions split first two games, decided by total of 7 points.
Last week, Detroit was in red zone seven times, scored only 16 points.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Lions are 13-26 on third down, opponents 7-22.
Goff is 27-25-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Detroit is 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.


Cardinals (1-1)
Arizona split its first two games, scoring 28-41 points.
Cardinals have 7 touchdowns on 17 drives.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


QB Murray is 29-38-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home dog.
In two games, Arizona is 14-24 on third down.
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.


Detroit is 4-0-1 SU in last five series games.
Lions are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Arizona.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Ravens @ Cowboys (-1.5)
Ravens (0-2)
Baltimore lost its first two games, by 7-3 points.
Ravens are 0-2 for the first time since 2015.
Ravens are 16-4 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0


Since 2017, Ravens are 15-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s last six regular season games.
QB Jackson is 60-25 as an NFL starter.
Last 4+ years, Baltimore is 12-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Ravens are 11-7 ATS in last 18 road games.


Cowboys (1-1)
Cowboys lost 44-19 at home LW, giving up 14.2 yards/pass attempt.
Last three years, Dallas is 11-3 ATS coming off a loss.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total:over 1-1


Dallas is 16-8 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite.
QB Prescott is 76-47 as an NFL starter.
Dallas is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cowboys are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 32-17 in last 49 Dallas home games.


Baltimore won five of last six series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in Dallas.
Over is 4-0-1 in last five series games.


49ers (-7) @ Rams
49ers (1-1)
49ers split first two games, getting upset 23-17 at Minnesota LW.
49ers have converted only 8-23 third down plays.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-0-1


49ers are 9-6 ATS in last fifteen games off a loss.
QB Purdy is 22-6 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, San Francisco is 15-11-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last five years, 49ers are 10-4-1 ATS in NFC West road games.


Rams (0-2)
Rams have pretty severe injury problems all over the roster.
Arizona outgained them 489-245 in last week’s 41-10 loss.
Under McVay, Rams are 23-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Rams have been outrushed 394-136 in two games.
Rams are 7-23 on third down, opponents 13-32.
LA is 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine NFC West home games.
Rams lost last two home openers, 31-10/30-23.
QB Stafford is 28-20 as Rams’ QB (was 74-93-1 with Detroit).


49ers are 9-2 SU/8-2-1 ATS in last ten series games.
49ers are 5-1 SU/5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to LA.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Chiefs (-4).@ Falcons
Chiefs (2-0)
Chiefs pulled out pair of close home wins, 27-20/26-25.
Kansas City won both games despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0


Last 4+ years, KC is 13-16-1 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Mahomes is 91-25 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 regular season games vs NFC teams.
Last six years, Chiefs are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in road openers.
Over is 16-9 in their last 25 road games.


Falcons (1-1)
Short week for Atlanta after their dramatic win late Monday night.
Falcons are 4-18 on third down, opponents 14-30.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Atlanta scored five of last six times they had ball Monday night.
Last two years, Falcons were 4-0-1 ATS as a home underdog.
New QB Cousins is 78-71-2 as an NFL starter.
Raheem Morris is 22-39 as an NFL head coach.


Kansas City won last two meetings, 17-14/29-28.
Chiefs are 2-1 SU/ATS in last three visits to Atlanta.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Monday’s games
Jaguars
@ Bills (-5)
Jaguars (0-2)
Jaguars lost first two games, scoring three TD’s on 20 drives.
In two games, Jaguars are 5-19 on third down.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0


Jacksonville’s two losses are by 3-5 points.
First two games, Lawrence averaged only 5.8/5.8 yards/pass attempt.
QB Lawrence is 21-33 as an NFL starter.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 10-9 ATS as an underdog.


Bills (2-0)
Bills won their first two games, scoring 34-31 points.
Buffalo outscored first two opponents 31-11 in second half.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Buffalo is 4-6 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 24-18-2 ATS in last 44 games coming off a win
QB Allen is 70-35 as NFL starter.
Bills have scored 65 points despite being 6-18 on third down.


Jaguars won three of last four series games.
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Buffalo.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Commanders @ Bengals (-8)
Commanders (1-1)
Washington split first two games with rookie QB Daniels starting.
Commanders won 21-18 LW; they kicked seven FG’s on seven drives.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1


Commanders are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Washington ran for 215 yards LW, converted 7-14 third down plays.
Washington is 6-4 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC opponents.
Commanders are 16-9-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.


Bengals (0-2)
Bengals are 0-2 for the third year in a row.
Bengals lost first two games by total of seven points.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: under 1-0-1


Bengals are 9-4-2 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
QB Burrow is 34-26-1 as an NFL starter.
Last 4+ years, Cincinnati is 17-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
WR Chase, in a contract dispute, has caught 10 balls for only 97 yards.
Opponents have converted only 7-23 third down plays.


Bengals are 3-1-1 SU in last five meetings.
Washington is 0-1-1 SU/1-1 ATS in last two visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
 

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