NFL
Week 12
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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh vs Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Minnesota vs Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Tennessee vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City vs Carolina
Kansas City is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
Detroit vs Indianapolis
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Detroit
New England vs Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New England
Tampa Bay vs NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
Dallas vs Washington
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver vs Las Vegas
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Arizona vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco vs Green Bay
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia vs LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
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Week 12
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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh vs Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Minnesota vs Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Tennessee vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City vs Carolina
Kansas City is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
Detroit vs Indianapolis
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Detroit
New England vs Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New England
Tampa Bay vs NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
Dallas vs Washington
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver vs Las Vegas
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Arizona vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco vs Green Bay
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia vs LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Marquette 76, Purdue 58- Kam Jones had 17 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists.
— Belmont 90, Oral Roberts 80- Bruins trailed by 17 early in second half.
— Michigan State 83, Samford 75- Samford is #7 in country in tempo.
— Celtics 120, Cavaliers 117- First loss for Cleveland, in their 16th game.
— Nets 116, Hornets 115- Brooklyn starters were +52, subs minus-47.
— Mavericks 132, Pelicans 91- New Orleans is 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS on road.
Quote of the Day
“Those eight years taught me a lot because I really focused on trying to be the assistant or the bench coach that I would want and I wasn’t great at it…….I get bored with some of the nonsense that anybody can do, so I want to be around people, I want to help people, and Counsell was so great at kind of letting me know where I was having an effect. But yeah, I’m way more natural, I think, doing this.”
Brewers’ manager Pat Murphy, NL Manager of the Year
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), what was the last team to win a college basketball national championship?
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
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Hawks (7-8):
— 3-1 SU in their last four games.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over 11-4
Celtics (11-3):
— 7-2 SU last nine games.
— 5-3 ATS as a road favorite, 2-4 as home favorite.
— over 3-0 last three games.
Nets (5-9):
— lost five of their last six games SU.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Hornets (5-8):
— lost six of last nine games SU.
— 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
Bulls (6-9)
— 3-7 SU in last ten games.
— 5-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-2-1 on road
Cavaliers (15-0):
— 15-0 SU (4-2 ATS last six games).
— 6-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-0 as an underdog.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Mavericks (7-7):
— won last two games, after an 0-4 skid.
— 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 6-2 at home.
Nuggets (7-5):
— lost last two games, scoring 94-90 points (check Jokic’s status).
— 0-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
Pistons (7-9):
— 6-4 last ten games SU.
— 7-3 ATS as underdogs.
— under 7-1 on road
Warriors (10-3):
— won 8 of last 10 games SU.
— 6-2 ATS on the road.
— 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 7-1 last eight games
Rockets (10-5):
— won five of last six games SU
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— under 5-2 on road
Pacers (6-8):
— 1-3 SU in their last four games.
— 4-2 ATS as an underdog.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
Clippers (8-7):
— won six of last nine games SU
— 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-4):
— 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS last five games
— 5-1 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS on road.
— over 7-5 last 12 games.
Grizzlies (8-6):
— 6-3 SU last nine games.
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-2 last six games
Heat (6-7):
— 3-5 SU last eight games.
— 5-3 ATS on the road
— over 5-2 last seven games.
Famous birthdays, November 20th:
Veronica Hamel, 81
Louie Dampier, 80
Rick Monday, 79
Richard Masur, 76
Bo Derek, 68
Callie Thorne, 55
Joey Galloway, 53
JD Drew, 49
Tarik Skubal, 28
Bucks (5-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 2-5 ATS on the road.
— under 9-3 last 12 games.
Timberwolves (8-6)
— 5-3 SU last eight games.
— 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Pelicans (4-10):
— lost 10 of last 12 games SU
— 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won last three games, scoring 124 ppg.
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Thunder (11-3):
— 4-3 SU last seven games, after a 7-0 start.
— 4-1 ATS on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
Magic (9-6):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-5 as road underdog.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
76ers (2-11):
— lost last four game SU; 1-6 ATS last seven
— 0-4 ATS as favorite, 2-4 as road underdogs.
— under 6-1 last seven
Suns (9-6):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Trailblazers (6-8):
— won/covered last three games.
— 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Kings (8-7):
— 3-4 SU/2-5 in last seven games.
— 3-6 ATS at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
Spurs (6-8):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Raptors (3-12):
— 1-7 SU in last eight games.
— 10-5 ATS, all as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games
Jazz (3-10):
— 3-4 SU in seven games SU, after an 0-6 start
— 2-4 ATS as home underdog, 4-3 as road dog.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
Wizards (2-11):
— 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS last nine games
— 3-10 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— Marquette 76, Purdue 58- Kam Jones had 17 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists.
— Belmont 90, Oral Roberts 80- Bruins trailed by 17 early in second half.
— Michigan State 83, Samford 75- Samford is #7 in country in tempo.
— Celtics 120, Cavaliers 117- First loss for Cleveland, in their 16th game.
— Nets 116, Hornets 115- Brooklyn starters were +52, subs minus-47.
— Mavericks 132, Pelicans 91- New Orleans is 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS on road.
Quote of the Day
“Those eight years taught me a lot because I really focused on trying to be the assistant or the bench coach that I would want and I wasn’t great at it…….I get bored with some of the nonsense that anybody can do, so I want to be around people, I want to help people, and Counsell was so great at kind of letting me know where I was having an effect. But yeah, I’m way more natural, I think, doing this.”
Brewers’ manager Pat Murphy, NL Manager of the Year
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), what was the last team to win a college basketball national championship?
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
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Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends……..
NBA trends (thru Monday, November 18)Hawks (7-8):
— 3-1 SU in their last four games.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over 11-4
Celtics (11-3):
— 7-2 SU last nine games.
— 5-3 ATS as a road favorite, 2-4 as home favorite.
— over 3-0 last three games.
Nets (5-9):
— lost five of their last six games SU.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Hornets (5-8):
— lost six of last nine games SU.
— 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
Bulls (6-9)
— 3-7 SU in last ten games.
— 5-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-2-1 on road
Cavaliers (15-0):
— 15-0 SU (4-2 ATS last six games).
— 6-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-0 as an underdog.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Mavericks (7-7):
— won last two games, after an 0-4 skid.
— 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 6-2 at home.
Nuggets (7-5):
— lost last two games, scoring 94-90 points (check Jokic’s status).
— 0-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
Pistons (7-9):
— 6-4 last ten games SU.
— 7-3 ATS as underdogs.
— under 7-1 on road
Warriors (10-3):
— won 8 of last 10 games SU.
— 6-2 ATS on the road.
— 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 7-1 last eight games
Rockets (10-5):
— won five of last six games SU
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— under 5-2 on road
Pacers (6-8):
— 1-3 SU in their last four games.
— 4-2 ATS as an underdog.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
Clippers (8-7):
— won six of last nine games SU
— 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-4):
— 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS last five games
— 5-1 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS on road.
— over 7-5 last 12 games.
Grizzlies (8-6):
— 6-3 SU last nine games.
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-2 last six games
Heat (6-7):
— 3-5 SU last eight games.
— 5-3 ATS on the road
— over 5-2 last seven games.
Famous birthdays, November 20th:
Veronica Hamel, 81
Louie Dampier, 80
Rick Monday, 79
Richard Masur, 76
Bo Derek, 68
Callie Thorne, 55
Joey Galloway, 53
JD Drew, 49
Tarik Skubal, 28
Bucks (5-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 2-5 ATS on the road.
— under 9-3 last 12 games.
Timberwolves (8-6)
— 5-3 SU last eight games.
— 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Pelicans (4-10):
— lost 10 of last 12 games SU
— 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won last three games, scoring 124 ppg.
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Thunder (11-3):
— 4-3 SU last seven games, after a 7-0 start.
— 4-1 ATS on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
Magic (9-6):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-5 as road underdog.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
76ers (2-11):
— lost last four game SU; 1-6 ATS last seven
— 0-4 ATS as favorite, 2-4 as road underdogs.
— under 6-1 last seven
Suns (9-6):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Trailblazers (6-8):
— won/covered last three games.
— 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Kings (8-7):
— 3-4 SU/2-5 in last seven games.
— 3-6 ATS at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
Spurs (6-8):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Raptors (3-12):
— 1-7 SU in last eight games.
— 10-5 ATS, all as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games
Jazz (3-10):
— 3-4 SU in seven games SU, after an 0-6 start
— 2-4 ATS as home underdog, 4-3 as road dog.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
Wizards (2-11):
— 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS last nine games
— 3-10 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Braves’ pitchers who won a Cy Young Award:
1957— Warren Spahn
1991— Tom Glavine
1993-95— Greg Maddux
1996— John Smoltz
1998— Tom Glavine
2024— Chris Sale
Quote of the Day
“It was expressed to me that I was going to be the two [quarterback]. I don’t know, it’s an interesting situation. Not much I can really say about it besides I’m going to be here for him [Daniel Jones], and we’re still very good friends, believe it or not. I’m going to be here for him, this team needs to get a win. We start winning, everything gets a little better around here.”
Giants’ backup QB Drew Lock
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, which NFL team has gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs?
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
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This year, DePaul is experience team #63, continuity team #355- lot of transfers; they made 15-39 shots on the arc in Tuesday’s 78-69 win over Eastern Illinois. DePaul doesn’t play a good team until December 4th at Texas Tech, but they appear to be vastly improved.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Marlo Thomas, 87
Earl Monroe, 80
Goldie Hawn, 79
Cedric Maxwell, 69
Troy Aikman, 58
Ken Griffey Jr, 55
Michael Strahan, 53
Danny Kanell, 51
Miles Simon, 49
Jena Malone, 40
Justin Tucker, 35
Cooper Rush, 31
Thursday would’ve been the 80th birthday for the great Harold Ramis, who was an actor and a director; he was in Ghostbusters and Stripes. His writing/directing credits include Caddyshack, Second City TV, Groundhog Day, Animal House, among many others. Very funny man.
— Chicago Bears changed offensive coordinators last week; if you have DJ Moore on your fantasy team, you might be happy about that.
Last week, Brown caught 7 passes for 62 yards, with 56 of those yards after that catch- he ran shorter patterns.
In Chicago’s first nine games, Moore had only 176 yards after the catch, 19.6 yards/game.
Looks like the Bears are going to get him the ball quickly and let him do his thing.
— P Nick Martinez was the only potential free agent to accept his $21.05M qualifying offer, turning down the chance to hit the free agent market. Martinez was 10-7, 3.10 in 142.1 IP for the Reds last year, starting in 16 of his 42 appearances.
— There is another Japanese pitcher other than Roki Sasaki who is coming to America next year for his MLB debut.
23-year old Sasaki is highly touted, but 35-year old Tomoyuki Sugano also has an impressive resume, and he will be a lot cheaper to sign, because of his age.
— Ten years ago, 34 major league pitchers threw 200+ innings; this past season, only four pitchers threw 200+ innings.
Logan Gilbert, Seth Lugo, Logan Webb, Zack Wheeler
— San Francisco Giants have a new general manager, Zack Minasian; his brother Perry is the Angels’ GM, his other brother Calvin is the clubhouse manager for the Atlanta Braves.
— Nine years ago, Golden State Warriors started the season 24-0, the best start ever by an NBA team. This year’s Cleveland Cavaliers are 16-1, the 2nd-best start.
— John Stockton was a great point guard for the Utah Jazz; he dished out 17,645 assists in his 19-year Hall of Fame career. His son David Stockton also played at Gonzaga, played in six NBA games several years ago— he is still playing in the G-League, and has given out the 4th-most assists in the history of that league.
Braves’ pitchers who won a Cy Young Award:
1957— Warren Spahn
1991— Tom Glavine
1993-95— Greg Maddux
1996— John Smoltz
1998— Tom Glavine
2024— Chris Sale
Quote of the Day
“It was expressed to me that I was going to be the two [quarterback]. I don’t know, it’s an interesting situation. Not much I can really say about it besides I’m going to be here for him [Daniel Jones], and we’re still very good friends, believe it or not. I’m going to be here for him, this team needs to get a win. We start winning, everything gets a little better around here.”
Giants’ backup QB Drew Lock
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, which NFL team has gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs?
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
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Thursday’s Den: Random stuff on a chilly day……
— DePaul is 5-0 this season, under new coach Chris Holtmann, after going 3-29 last year under the previous coach. Blue Demons have played stiffs (schedule #354) but they’ve beaten the stiffs, a big step forward.This year, DePaul is experience team #63, continuity team #355- lot of transfers; they made 15-39 shots on the arc in Tuesday’s 78-69 win over Eastern Illinois. DePaul doesn’t play a good team until December 4th at Texas Tech, but they appear to be vastly improved.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Marlo Thomas, 87
Earl Monroe, 80
Goldie Hawn, 79
Cedric Maxwell, 69
Troy Aikman, 58
Ken Griffey Jr, 55
Michael Strahan, 53
Danny Kanell, 51
Miles Simon, 49
Jena Malone, 40
Justin Tucker, 35
Cooper Rush, 31
Thursday would’ve been the 80th birthday for the great Harold Ramis, who was an actor and a director; he was in Ghostbusters and Stripes. His writing/directing credits include Caddyshack, Second City TV, Groundhog Day, Animal House, among many others. Very funny man.
— Chicago Bears changed offensive coordinators last week; if you have DJ Moore on your fantasy team, you might be happy about that.
Last week, Brown caught 7 passes for 62 yards, with 56 of those yards after that catch- he ran shorter patterns.
In Chicago’s first nine games, Moore had only 176 yards after the catch, 19.6 yards/game.
Looks like the Bears are going to get him the ball quickly and let him do his thing.
— P Nick Martinez was the only potential free agent to accept his $21.05M qualifying offer, turning down the chance to hit the free agent market. Martinez was 10-7, 3.10 in 142.1 IP for the Reds last year, starting in 16 of his 42 appearances.
— There is another Japanese pitcher other than Roki Sasaki who is coming to America next year for his MLB debut.
23-year old Sasaki is highly touted, but 35-year old Tomoyuki Sugano also has an impressive resume, and he will be a lot cheaper to sign, because of his age.
— Ten years ago, 34 major league pitchers threw 200+ innings; this past season, only four pitchers threw 200+ innings.
Logan Gilbert, Seth Lugo, Logan Webb, Zack Wheeler
— San Francisco Giants have a new general manager, Zack Minasian; his brother Perry is the Angels’ GM, his other brother Calvin is the clubhouse manager for the Atlanta Braves.
— Nine years ago, Golden State Warriors started the season 24-0, the best start ever by an NBA team. This year’s Cleveland Cavaliers are 16-1, the 2nd-best start.
— John Stockton was a great point guard for the Utah Jazz; he dished out 17,645 assists in his 19-year Hall of Fame career. His son David Stockton also played at Gonzaga, played in six NBA games several years ago— he is still playing in the G-League, and has given out the 4th-most assists in the history of that league.
NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, November 21
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday’s game
Steelers (-3.5) @ Browns
Steelers (8-2)
Steelers won/covered their last five games.
Pittsburgh won last two games by total of three points.
Since 2021, Steelers are 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Steelers are 15-7-1 in its last 23 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh is 8-4 ATS in last dozen AFC North road games.
Last six games, Steelers are +9 in turnovers.
Last five games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 84-34 in 2nd half.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Steelers won without a TD last week; they kicked 6 FG’s on 12 drives.
Browns (2-8)
Cleveland lost seven of its last eight games.
Browns are 1-4 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cleveland scored 18 or fewer points in 9 of 10 games.
Browns are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.
Team total: under 9-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
Browns are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Last four games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79-66 yards.
Cleveland is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in nine of ten games.
Browns threw for 320+ yards in two of last three games.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Steelers are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Weather Report
Thursday, November 21
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday’s game
Steelers (-3.5) @ Browns
Steelers (8-2)
Steelers won/covered their last five games.
Pittsburgh won last two games by total of three points.
Since 2021, Steelers are 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Steelers are 15-7-1 in its last 23 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh is 8-4 ATS in last dozen AFC North road games.
Last six games, Steelers are +9 in turnovers.
Last five games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 84-34 in 2nd half.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Steelers won without a TD last week; they kicked 6 FG’s on 12 drives.
Browns (2-8)
Cleveland lost seven of its last eight games.
Browns are 1-4 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cleveland scored 18 or fewer points in 9 of 10 games.
Browns are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.
Team total: under 9-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-4
Browns are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Last four games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79-66 yards.
Cleveland is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in nine of ten games.
Browns threw for 320+ yards in two of last three games.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Steelers are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Top NFL Things To Know
Double Trouble
Big Favorites ThriveDouble-digit favorites are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS this season, marking the first time they’ve been undefeated outright through 11 weeks since 2004 (8-0) and only the second time in the past 40 years.
It’s also the first time since 1950 that double-digit favorites have been undefeated ATS through 11 weeks. This season is tied for the fewest double-digit favorite games through 11 weeks since 1950.
A Season To Forget
Titans Betting HistoryThe Titans are 1-9 against the spread this season, worst record in the NFL…
That is the worst mark for any team thru 11 weeks since the 2007 Ravens & just the second 1-9 ATS start thru 11 weeks in the last 30 years
Titans 1-9 ATS Start Among Worst in NFL
Regular Dog
Purdy's Streak BrokenBrock Purdy has made 37 career starts entering this week. He’s only been listed as an underdog once, against the 49ers in the 2022-23 playoffs where he got hurt and Philly won 31-7. Purdy has gone his first 31 career regular season starts as a favorite, with that streak now breaking this week vs. Packers.
A Different Era
Passing The Game ByeTeams to throw for 300 or more passing yards this season are just 16-20-2 ATS (44.4%). Over a full season, that would be the lowest ATS mark since 2003 and the 3rd-lowest in the Wild Card era.
This season, when a team throws for 200 yards or less, they are 73-68-2 ATS. Only five seasons have ended a year above .500 ATS for sub-par passing teams.
Jerry's Nightmare
Cowboys Can't Lose AgainThe Cowboys have lost five consecutive games both SU and ATS entering this week. That hasn’t happened in Dallas since 2010. The last time they lost 6 straight both SU and ATS? Back in 1988-89, when they lost 7 games SU and ATS.
The Cowboys rarely close as big underdogs against Washington. In the last 20 years, they’ve closed +4 or higher just once – back in 2007 at +9. 2000 is the last time Dallas closed as a double-digit underdog vs. Washington (+10.5 that day).
All About Halves
Different But The SameNo team has seen a difference in their 1H and 2H play this year. The Texans are 10-1 against the first half spread, best mark of any team in the NFL. That 10-1 1H ATS mark is the best start for any team in the last 20 years.
Will Levis is 0-5 SU/ATS in divisional games, failing to cover the spread by 8.8 PPG. Since 2003, only two QBs are 0-5 ATS or worse vs. divisional opponents – Will Levis and Zach Mettenberger, both for the Titans.
Bo Knows
Broncos On Their WayDenver finally did it. With a win total of 5.5, they are now 6-5 SU this season and have eclipsed their preseason win total for the first time since 2015. The Broncos had gone under their win total in four straight years and were 0-7-1 to their win total over since 2016. They had last gone over their win total back in 2015 when they won the Super Bowl with Peyton Manning.
Jim and John
Harbaugh's On Monday NightThe Harbaugh brothers on Monday Night Football are a combined 20-8 SU and 19-9 ATS as head coaches, both top-10 in ATS profitability. Where they've done the most damage is on the road — the spot for John Harbaugh and the Ravens, where they are 16-5 ATS on MNF.
Chargers aren’t historically great home teams. Entering this matchup, they’ve covered three in a row at home for the first time since the 2014 season. They haven’t covered the spread in 4 straight home games since the 2007 season.
Best NFL Week 12 betting trends
The trend: The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games
The trend: The Bucs are 11-3 ATS on the road since the start of last season
The trend: The Panthers have lost by an average of 22 points against teams who currently have a winning record
The trend: The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games
The trend: The Dolphins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games when favored by seven or more points
The trend: The Texans are 10-1 ATS in the first half
The trend: The Lions are 18-7 ATS as a favorite since the start of last season
The trend: The Broncos 1st half O/U record on the road + the Raiders 1st half O/U record at home is 9-1 to the Over
The trend: The 49ers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog
The trend: Geno Smith has thrown nine interceptions in six home games this season
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
NFL Streaks Betting System #13: NFL teams that have lost at least their last five games outright have gone 11-64 SU and 48-26-1 ATS (64.9%) as double-digit road underdogs since ’06.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+10.5 at WAS)
Miami is on 9-2-1 ATS run hosting New England
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-7.5 vs. NE)
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 37-16 since 2021, 69.8%, +19.4 Units, 36.6% ROI, Grade 70)
System Match (PLAY UNDER ALL): TB-NYG (o/u at 41.5), ARI-SEA (o/u at 47.5)
LA Chargers are 11-2 Under the total in the last 13 Monday Night Football appearances
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-LAC (o/u at 50)
Teams that win by 35 points or more in a home or neutral field game have not been good bets in the follow-up contest, going 22-17 SU but 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%) when favored in their last 39 opportunities.
System Match (FADE): DETROIT (-7.5 at IND)
BALTIMORE is 13-12 SU and 18-6 ATS vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% since 2020
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-2.5 at LAC)
DENVER is 17-3 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-LVR (o/u at 41)
Since the start of the 2004 season, veteran starting quarterbacks playing their first seasons with new teams have performed terribly in the road favorite role, 43-34 SU but 28-48-1 ATS (36.8%).
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS projections: HOUSTON -8 vs. TEN (+3.5 difference)
NFL Streaks Betting System #13: NFL teams that have lost at least their last five games outright have gone 11-64 SU and 48-26-1 ATS (64.9%) as double-digit road underdogs since ’06.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+10.5 at WAS)
Miami is on 9-2-1 ATS run hosting New England
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-7.5 vs. NE)
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 37-16 since 2021, 69.8%, +19.4 Units, 36.6% ROI, Grade 70)
System Match (PLAY UNDER ALL): TB-NYG (o/u at 41.5), ARI-SEA (o/u at 47.5)
LA Chargers are 11-2 Under the total in the last 13 Monday Night Football appearances
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-LAC (o/u at 50)
Teams that win by 35 points or more in a home or neutral field game have not been good bets in the follow-up contest, going 22-17 SU but 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%) when favored in their last 39 opportunities.
System Match (FADE): DETROIT (-7.5 at IND)
BALTIMORE is 13-12 SU and 18-6 ATS vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% since 2020
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-2.5 at LAC)
DENVER is 17-3 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-LVR (o/u at 41)
Since the start of the 2004 season, veteran starting quarterbacks playing their first seasons with new teams have performed terribly in the road favorite role, 43-34 SU but 28-48-1 ATS (36.8%).
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS projections: HOUSTON -8 vs. TEN (+3.5 difference)
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Steelers are 51-12-1 SU in their last 64 games against Cleveland
Steelers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games
Steelers are 13-5 ATS and SU in their last 18 games on the road.
Steelers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 divisional games
UNDER is 8-3 past 11 meetings here
Browns are 2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS past 12 games
Browns have won 6 straight Thursdays and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 TNF
UNDER is 5-1-1 past 7 Browns games as home dogs
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU and ATS in its last nine divisional matchups
Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 35-39 SU and 42-30-2 ATS (58.3%) in the last 74.
System Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 24-22 SU but 15-29-2 ATS (34.1%). Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 and later are 40-25 SU and 38-25-2 ATS (60.3%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 5-20 SU and 8-17 ATS (32%) in their last 25, scoring just 15.3 PPG. In terms of totals, 16 of the last 23 (69.6%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
Systems Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs PIT), also PLAY UNDER in PIT-CLE (o/u at 37)
A long-running trend of Thursday night home-field advantage being crucial in divisional games has turned lately, with these hosts going 19-17 SU but 14-22 ATS (38.9%) since the start of the 2019 season. Prior to that, divisional hosts were on an amazing 17-2-1 ATS run.
System Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last four seasons, going 25-32 SU and 20-36-1 ATS (35.7%).
System Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Good TNF Team Trends
Cleveland 6 straight wins, 4-1-1 ATS
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs PIT)
Bad TNF Team Trends
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU and ATS in the last five
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
PITTSBURGH at (112) CLEVELAND
* Under the total is 8-3 in the last 11 of the PIT-CLE series at Cleveland
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total
Thursday, Nov. 21
8:20pm ET on Prime Video
Russell Wilson vs. Jameis Winston
The Steelers have never won a road, divisional Thursday Night Football game. They're 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS all-time and 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS under Mike Tomlin. Tomlin is 2-8 SU on the road on TNF.
In 2024 with the Steelers, Russ is actually 2-0 SU/ATS in night games, beating both the Jets and Giants at home in Pittsburgh.
Since the start of the 2022 season, Jameis has covered just one of his last six starts.
In Jameis’ four coldest NFL starts, his teams have scored 12, 20, 19, 10.
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland +3.5, Total 36
Steelers are 2-11 SU in their last 13 Thursday road gamesSteelers are 51-12-1 SU in their last 64 games against Cleveland
Steelers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games
Steelers are 13-5 ATS and SU in their last 18 games on the road.
Steelers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 divisional games
UNDER is 8-3 past 11 meetings here
Browns are 2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS past 12 games
Browns have won 6 straight Thursdays and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 TNF
UNDER is 5-1-1 past 7 Browns games as home dogs
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU and ATS in its last nine divisional matchups
Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 35-39 SU and 42-30-2 ATS (58.3%) in the last 74.
System Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 24-22 SU but 15-29-2 ATS (34.1%). Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 and later are 40-25 SU and 38-25-2 ATS (60.3%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 5-20 SU and 8-17 ATS (32%) in their last 25, scoring just 15.3 PPG. In terms of totals, 16 of the last 23 (69.6%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
Systems Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs PIT), also PLAY UNDER in PIT-CLE (o/u at 37)
A long-running trend of Thursday night home-field advantage being crucial in divisional games has turned lately, with these hosts going 19-17 SU but 14-22 ATS (38.9%) since the start of the 2019 season. Prior to that, divisional hosts were on an amazing 17-2-1 ATS run.
System Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last four seasons, going 25-32 SU and 20-36-1 ATS (35.7%).
System Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs. PIT)
Good TNF Team Trends
Cleveland 6 straight wins, 4-1-1 ATS
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 vs PIT)
Bad TNF Team Trends
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU and ATS in the last five
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3.5 at CLE)
PITTSBURGH at (112) CLEVELAND
* Under the total is 8-3 in the last 11 of the PIT-CLE series at Cleveland
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total
Thursday, Nov. 21
8:20pm ET on Prime Video
Russell Wilson vs. Jameis Winston
Tomlin Struggles
➤On the road on any game played on a Thursday, the Steelers are 5-17 SU and 9-13 ATS in franchise history. Since 1980, they are 3-14 SU and 5-12 ATS.The Steelers have never won a road, divisional Thursday Night Football game. They're 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS all-time and 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS under Mike Tomlin. Tomlin is 2-8 SU on the road on TNF.
Steelers Stumble After Facing Ravens
➤Steelers have had to play a night game directly after facing the Ravens three times since 2020 and they are 0-3 SU/ATS. Between 2007-19, Steelers went 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in this spot to begin Tomlin’s career with Pittsburgh.Russell Wilson: Night Game Peaks and Valleys
➤Russell Wilson started his career 24-7-3 ATS in night games with the Seahawks, between 2012-18. Since then, he is 9-16 ATS in night games. The 24-7-3 ATS mark was best in the NFL. The 8-16 ATS mark is second-worst of 90 QBs, ahead of only Tom Brady.In 2024 with the Steelers, Russ is actually 2-0 SU/ATS in night games, beating both the Jets and Giants at home in Pittsburgh.
Thursday Night Road Troubles for Pittsburgh
➤Thursday night road games have not been friendly to Tomlin and the Steelers. In his career, they are 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS. The Steelers have won just one game outright in this spot since 2008.Browns Shine Bright at Night
➤At home in night games, the Browns have been dangerous under Kevin Stefanski. They are 5-2 SU and ATS, winning and covering three in a row entering this matchup.AFC North Underdogs: A Bettor's Dream
➤Underdogs in AFC North divisional games have been a cash cow. They're 48-31 ATS (61%) since 2018, best of any division, they're .500 ATS or better in 7 straight seasons and they are 26-16 ATS since 2021.Jameis Winston and Tight Spreads Don't Mix
➤One of Jameis Winston’s Achilles heels has been playing tight spread games. In his career, he is 19-31-3 ATS when the spread is four or fewer points either way. Of 140 QBs since 2003, he's the least profitable ATS.Since the start of the 2022 season, Jameis has covered just one of his last six starts.
Jameis vs. the Cold: A Tough Test
➤Jameis Winston has started 73 games in his NFL career, he has only started 5 games below 50°, with no games at 40° or colder. TNF is expected to be around 40° as of now.In Jameis’ four coldest NFL starts, his teams have scored 12, 20, 19, 10.
Browns' Defense: From Best to Bust
➤The Browns are allowing a yards per attempt average of 7.8 on defense, which is the 4th-worst mark in the NFL. Last year, that was 5.89, the second-best mark in the league. Even in 2022, it was 6.83 and in 2021, it was 6.44.Steelers Seek Revenge Against Browns
➤The Steelers lost to the Browns both SU and ATS in their last meeting back in November of last year. Pittsburgh hasn’t lost consecutive games SU & ATS vs. Cleveland since 1999 and 2000.Short Rest Spells Trouble for Steelers
➤Steelers are off a win as underdogs last week. Since 2003, teams coming off a SU win as dogs, who are on short rest the next week are just 98-126-10 ATS (44%).Low Totals and the Under Trend
➤NFL totals of 37 or less are 33-15-1 (69%) to the under since 2020. Those low totals are also 28-19-2 to the first half under in that span, but just 2-6-1 in 2024.NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !
11/21/2024.....................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/17/2024...................10 - 8 - 0....................55.55%......................+ 6.00
11/14/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/11/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2024...................3 - 14 - 0.....................17.64%......................- 62.00
11/07/2024......................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024.....................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS........................29 - 30 - 1.....................49.15%......................- 20.00
11/21/2024.....................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/17/2024...................10 - 8 - 0....................55.55%......................+ 6.00
11/14/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/11/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2024...................3 - 14 - 0.....................17.64%......................- 62.00
11/07/2024......................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024.....................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50
TOTALS........................29 - 30 - 1.....................49.15%......................- 20.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
Top six college basketball conferences:
1- SEC
2- Big X
3- Big 18
4- Big East
5- ACC
6- Mountain West
Quote of the Day
“Be helpful. When you see a person without a smile, give him yours.”
Zig Zigler
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, who was their QB?
Hint: He is still active in the NFL
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.
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Browns drove 45 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:54 left.
Steelers had scored two TD’s in 1:42 span to take a 19-18 lead.
Steelers’ first five drives: 32 plays, 157 yards, 3 points.
Cleveland led 10-3 at halftime.
Only second time this year Cleveland scored more than 18 points.
Loss ends Pittsburgh’s five-game winning streak.
WR Jeudy caught six passes for 85 yards on a snowy night.
Steelers were 7-16 on third down, Cleveland 1-10.
Browns did convert all four tries on 4th down.
Last two games, Steelers scored two TD’s on 21 drives.
— Georgia Tech 30, NC State 29
Tech drove 75 yards in 1:08, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
NC State had taken a 29-23 on a touchdown with 1:30 left.
Wolfpack ran ball for 253 yards (8.7 yards/carry), but still lost.
— Shohei Ohtani won MVP in National League, despite only being a DH and having Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman as teammates. Ohtani hit 54 homers, stole 59 bases; he is the first-ever 50-50 guy, I get that, but make the award Player of the Year then.
Aaron Judge won MVP in the American League; he hit 58 homers, knocked in 144 runs, had an OPS of 1.159. Judge makes $40M a year; the Mets are offering Juan Soto $47M a year. Stay tuned for that drama.
— Diamondbacks’ 2B Ketel Marte finished third in MVP voting, so he gets a $3M raise next year, from $16M to $19M. Hope he buys his agent a new car.
— Random trivia: The last time there was a major league game that went extra innings, with both pitchers throwing a complete game, was July 23, 1986 in Anaheim, Brewers-Angels.
Danny Darwin, Kirk McCaskill were the two pitchers; Brian Downing hit a walk-off homer for the Angels. Game only took 2:22 to play.
— While writing that paragraph, it dawned on me that about a week after that game, I was in Anaheim Stadium, for a free scrimmage with the Rams-Chargers. Got to see Dan Fouts throw a football, saw Eric Dickerson, Dieter Brock and the Rams. That was fun, and it was a few days after my first-ever trip to Las Vegas.
— A friend of the website, Mr Bell, sent me some NFL trends to ponder:
Lions are 8-2 ATS on first half lines
Houston Texans are 10-1 ATS in first half
Dallas has gone over 1.5 field goals made in eight of ten games.
Any field goal over 47.5 yards in Dallas games: 9-1 (if Aubrey kicks)
Chargers 7-1-1 in first half last nine games.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Jack Reynolds, 77
Greg Luzinski, 74
Jamie Lee Curtis, 66
Mark Malone, 66
Steve DeOssie, 62
Hugh Millen, 61
Benoit Benjamin, 60
Mark Ruffalo, 57
James Thomas, 44
Jonny Gomes, 44
Scarlett Johansson, 40
Brock Osweiler, 34
Thursday college basketball notes:
— Baylor 99, St John’s 98, 2OT
Jeremy Roach drained a 3-pointer for the Bears’ walk-off win.
St John’s led by 18 late in first half.
Baylor was 15-29 on the arc, St John’s 14-24.
— Oregon 78, Oregon State 75
These rivals parted ways when the Ducks bolted to the Big 18; too bad.
Beavers led by 12 with 11:49 left in game; they had 17 offensive boards.
Oregon State is playing in the WCC this year; that’ll be interesting.
— Drake 80, Miami 69
Drake has a new coach, who brought four players with him from D2 Northwest Missouri State; Bulldogs shot 59% inside the arc, beat an ACC team.
One small problem; Drake plays FAU Friday and three of their starters played 39 or 40:00 in this game.
— Seton Hall 69, VCU 66 OT
VCU led by 8 with 11:22 left in game; they were only 9-37 on the arc.
Seton Hall shot 37% inside arc, had 18 turnovers; not good.
They said on TV “Seton Hall doesn’t have a point guard” Also not good.
— FAU 86, Oklahoma State 78
Owls were 35-49 on the foul line; 49 FT’s in a college game is a lot.
FAU outscored the Cowboys 52-39 in second half.
FAU had split its previous two games, both of which went to OT.
— Teams scoring highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
Indiana State
Utah
Furman
Akron
Niagara
— Teams whose roster has the least continuity:
West Virginia
Tennessee-Martin
Niagara
Missouri State
IU Indy
Top six college basketball conferences:
1- SEC
2- Big X
3- Big 18
4- Big East
5- ACC
6- Mountain West
Quote of the Day
“Be helpful. When you see a person without a smile, give him yours.”
Zig Zigler
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, who was their QB?
Hint: He is still active in the NFL
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.
*********************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….
— Browns 24, Steelers 19Browns drove 45 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:54 left.
Steelers had scored two TD’s in 1:42 span to take a 19-18 lead.
Steelers’ first five drives: 32 plays, 157 yards, 3 points.
Cleveland led 10-3 at halftime.
Only second time this year Cleveland scored more than 18 points.
Loss ends Pittsburgh’s five-game winning streak.
WR Jeudy caught six passes for 85 yards on a snowy night.
Steelers were 7-16 on third down, Cleveland 1-10.
Browns did convert all four tries on 4th down.
Last two games, Steelers scored two TD’s on 21 drives.
— Georgia Tech 30, NC State 29
Tech drove 75 yards in 1:08, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
NC State had taken a 29-23 on a touchdown with 1:30 left.
Wolfpack ran ball for 253 yards (8.7 yards/carry), but still lost.
— Shohei Ohtani won MVP in National League, despite only being a DH and having Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman as teammates. Ohtani hit 54 homers, stole 59 bases; he is the first-ever 50-50 guy, I get that, but make the award Player of the Year then.
Aaron Judge won MVP in the American League; he hit 58 homers, knocked in 144 runs, had an OPS of 1.159. Judge makes $40M a year; the Mets are offering Juan Soto $47M a year. Stay tuned for that drama.
— Diamondbacks’ 2B Ketel Marte finished third in MVP voting, so he gets a $3M raise next year, from $16M to $19M. Hope he buys his agent a new car.
— Random trivia: The last time there was a major league game that went extra innings, with both pitchers throwing a complete game, was July 23, 1986 in Anaheim, Brewers-Angels.
Danny Darwin, Kirk McCaskill were the two pitchers; Brian Downing hit a walk-off homer for the Angels. Game only took 2:22 to play.
— While writing that paragraph, it dawned on me that about a week after that game, I was in Anaheim Stadium, for a free scrimmage with the Rams-Chargers. Got to see Dan Fouts throw a football, saw Eric Dickerson, Dieter Brock and the Rams. That was fun, and it was a few days after my first-ever trip to Las Vegas.
— A friend of the website, Mr Bell, sent me some NFL trends to ponder:
Lions are 8-2 ATS on first half lines
Houston Texans are 10-1 ATS in first half
Dallas has gone over 1.5 field goals made in eight of ten games.
Any field goal over 47.5 yards in Dallas games: 9-1 (if Aubrey kicks)
Chargers 7-1-1 in first half last nine games.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Jack Reynolds, 77
Greg Luzinski, 74
Jamie Lee Curtis, 66
Mark Malone, 66
Steve DeOssie, 62
Hugh Millen, 61
Benoit Benjamin, 60
Mark Ruffalo, 57
James Thomas, 44
Jonny Gomes, 44
Scarlett Johansson, 40
Brock Osweiler, 34
Thursday college basketball notes:
— Baylor 99, St John’s 98, 2OT
Jeremy Roach drained a 3-pointer for the Bears’ walk-off win.
St John’s led by 18 late in first half.
Baylor was 15-29 on the arc, St John’s 14-24.
— Oregon 78, Oregon State 75
These rivals parted ways when the Ducks bolted to the Big 18; too bad.
Beavers led by 12 with 11:49 left in game; they had 17 offensive boards.
Oregon State is playing in the WCC this year; that’ll be interesting.
— Drake 80, Miami 69
Drake has a new coach, who brought four players with him from D2 Northwest Missouri State; Bulldogs shot 59% inside the arc, beat an ACC team.
One small problem; Drake plays FAU Friday and three of their starters played 39 or 40:00 in this game.
— Seton Hall 69, VCU 66 OT
VCU led by 8 with 11:22 left in game; they were only 9-37 on the arc.
Seton Hall shot 37% inside arc, had 18 turnovers; not good.
They said on TV “Seton Hall doesn’t have a point guard” Also not good.
— FAU 86, Oklahoma State 78
Owls were 35-49 on the foul line; 49 FT’s in a college game is a lot.
FAU outscored the Cowboys 52-39 in second half.
FAU had split its previous two games, both of which went to OT.
— Teams scoring highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
Indiana State
Utah
Furman
Akron
Niagara
— Teams whose roster has the least continuity:
West Virginia
Tennessee-Martin
Niagara
Missouri State
IU Indy
Saturday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams shooting the best behind the arc:
48.8%- Houston
48%- Nevada
45.9%- Memphis
45.8%- Kennesaw State
44.9%- Cincinnati
44%- Sam Houston State
Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), who was the last team to win a Super Bowl?
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.
**************************************
Duke led 34-27 at halftime. won fairly easily.
Blue Devils avenged LY’s 78-73 home loss to Arizona.
Wildcats lost their last two games, after beating a couple of stiffs.
— Pittsburgh 74, LSU 63
Bayou Bengals led 28-27 at halftime.
Pitt is 6-0, is shooting 60.8% inside the arc.
Pitt-Wisconsin is another interesting game Sunday.
— Vanderbilt 76, Seton Hall 60
Commodores shot 66.7% inside arc, 10-27 on arc (1.15 points/possession)
Vandy’s new coach Byington was 56-15 the last two years, at James Madison.
Vanderbilt-Drake is an interesting game on Sunday’s card.
— Tennessee 77, Baylor 62
Vols improve to 6-0; they led 31-9 early on, 47-24 at halftime.
This is closest game Tennessee has had so far.
Vols have rebounded 40.4% of their missed shots (#9 in country)
— Nebraska 74, Creighton 63
Cornhuskers were a 10-point underdog; they thrashed Creighton.
Nebraska was +10 in turnovers; 2nd time in three years they upset the Bluejays.
— Utah State 77, Iowa 69
Aggies out-rebounded Iowa, 47-31; they had 15 offensive boards.
Utah State is 5-0; they’re on their 4th coach in five years, their 6th coach in 11 years, and they only had one losing season the last ten years. Unusual program.
— Nevada 64, VCU 61
VCU led by 15 early in second half.
Nevada survived shooting 15-26 on the foul line.
VCU lost its first two games in Charleston this weekend, both by 3 points.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Dale Sveum, 61
Steve Alford, 60
Vin Baker, 53
Malik Rose, 50
Jonathan Papelbon, 44
Justin Turner, 40
Ross Stripling, 35
Tyler Wade, 30
Gavin Lux, 27
— Drake 75, Florida Atlantic 63
Drake is 5-0; four of their starters played for a D2 team last year.
Bulldogs were 10-25 on arc; they play Vanderbilt in Charleston title game Sunday.
— Elon 84, Notre Dame 77
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Elon shot 61% inside the arc.
Elon outscored Notre Dame 43-31 in second half.
— Mississippi State 84, SMU 79
SMU led by 13 early in game.
Mustangs lost despite shooting 66.7% inside arc, 23-34 on foul line.
Miss State is 5-0, with solid wins over Utah, SMU.
— Bradley 77, Wright State 74
Bradley outscored Raiders 11-5 over the final 4:04.
Braves start four seniors; they’re #33 in continuity.
Bradley-Middle Tennessee is title game in this tournament Sunday.
NFL/baseball notes………
— Giants benched QB Daniel Jones this week; he asked the team to release him, and they did, even though their salary cap would’ve been better off had they kept him until next June- they would’ve saved $30.5M on the 2025 salary cap had they done that.
Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 1-1 in playoff games, 3-13 the last two years.
— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy is out for this week’s game in Green Bay. Brandon Allen gets the start at QB; he is 2-7 as an NFL starter (Broncos/Bengals) with his last start in 2021.
— NFL flexed the Week 16 Broncos-Chargers game from Sunday to Thursday night, replacing the Browns-Bengals game, good news for fans in Cincinnati. A December 19 night game in Ohio doesn’t sound like that much fun.
— Cincinnati Reds acquired P Brady Singer from Kansas City for 2B Jonathan India, OF Joey Wiemer
Singer was 9-13, 3.71 in 28 starts for the Royals LY; he started 127 games in five years with Kansas City.
India hit .248 with 15 homers LY; he was Rookie of the Year in 2021.
— P Dustin May, who missed most of the last two years with injuries, signed a one-year deal with the Dodgers for $2,135,000. May is eligible for free agency after next season.
College basketball teams shooting the best behind the arc:
48.8%- Houston
48%- Nevada
45.9%- Memphis
45.8%- Kennesaw State
44.9%- Cincinnati
44%- Sam Houston State
Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), who was the last team to win a Super Bowl?
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.
**************************************
Saturday’s Den: College basketball is heating up……..
— Duke 69, Arizona 55Duke led 34-27 at halftime. won fairly easily.
Blue Devils avenged LY’s 78-73 home loss to Arizona.
Wildcats lost their last two games, after beating a couple of stiffs.
— Pittsburgh 74, LSU 63
Bayou Bengals led 28-27 at halftime.
Pitt is 6-0, is shooting 60.8% inside the arc.
Pitt-Wisconsin is another interesting game Sunday.
— Vanderbilt 76, Seton Hall 60
Commodores shot 66.7% inside arc, 10-27 on arc (1.15 points/possession)
Vandy’s new coach Byington was 56-15 the last two years, at James Madison.
Vanderbilt-Drake is an interesting game on Sunday’s card.
— Tennessee 77, Baylor 62
Vols improve to 6-0; they led 31-9 early on, 47-24 at halftime.
This is closest game Tennessee has had so far.
Vols have rebounded 40.4% of their missed shots (#9 in country)
— Nebraska 74, Creighton 63
Cornhuskers were a 10-point underdog; they thrashed Creighton.
Nebraska was +10 in turnovers; 2nd time in three years they upset the Bluejays.
— Utah State 77, Iowa 69
Aggies out-rebounded Iowa, 47-31; they had 15 offensive boards.
Utah State is 5-0; they’re on their 4th coach in five years, their 6th coach in 11 years, and they only had one losing season the last ten years. Unusual program.
— Nevada 64, VCU 61
VCU led by 15 early in second half.
Nevada survived shooting 15-26 on the foul line.
VCU lost its first two games in Charleston this weekend, both by 3 points.
— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Dale Sveum, 61
Steve Alford, 60
Vin Baker, 53
Malik Rose, 50
Jonathan Papelbon, 44
Justin Turner, 40
Ross Stripling, 35
Tyler Wade, 30
Gavin Lux, 27
— Drake 75, Florida Atlantic 63
Drake is 5-0; four of their starters played for a D2 team last year.
Bulldogs were 10-25 on arc; they play Vanderbilt in Charleston title game Sunday.
— Elon 84, Notre Dame 77
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Elon shot 61% inside the arc.
Elon outscored Notre Dame 43-31 in second half.
— Mississippi State 84, SMU 79
SMU led by 13 early in game.
Mustangs lost despite shooting 66.7% inside arc, 23-34 on foul line.
Miss State is 5-0, with solid wins over Utah, SMU.
— Bradley 77, Wright State 74
Bradley outscored Raiders 11-5 over the final 4:04.
Braves start four seniors; they’re #33 in continuity.
Bradley-Middle Tennessee is title game in this tournament Sunday.
NFL/baseball notes………
— Giants benched QB Daniel Jones this week; he asked the team to release him, and they did, even though their salary cap would’ve been better off had they kept him until next June- they would’ve saved $30.5M on the 2025 salary cap had they done that.
Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 1-1 in playoff games, 3-13 the last two years.
— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy is out for this week’s game in Green Bay. Brandon Allen gets the start at QB; he is 2-7 as an NFL starter (Broncos/Bengals) with his last start in 2021.
— NFL flexed the Week 16 Broncos-Chargers game from Sunday to Thursday night, replacing the Browns-Bengals game, good news for fans in Cincinnati. A December 19 night game in Ohio doesn’t sound like that much fun.
— Cincinnati Reds acquired P Brady Singer from Kansas City for 2B Jonathan India, OF Joey Wiemer
Singer was 9-13, 3.71 in 28 starts for the Royals LY; he started 127 games in five years with Kansas City.
India hit .248 with 15 homers LY; he was Rookie of the Year in 2021.
— P Dustin May, who missed most of the last two years with injuries, signed a one-year deal with the Dodgers for $2,135,000. May is eligible for free agency after next season.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Buccaneers (-5.5) @ Giants
Buccaneers (4-6)
Bucs lost last four games, last three by 5-6-3 points.
Buccaneers are 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven post-bye games.
Team total: over 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2
Bucs are 7-9 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
QB Mayfield is 46-54 as an NFL starter, 14-15 with Buccaneers.
Six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games went over the total.
Bucs are 2-2 SU on road TY, with both wins in domes.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last five games (minus-2).
NFC South favorites are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants (2-8)
Giants benched QB Jones; DeVito (3-3 as starter LY) gets nod here.
Giants lost last five games, last three by 8-5-3 points.
Giants are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0 last four
Last five games, Giants were outscored 61-19 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-7-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-10-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
NFC East dogs are 8-10 ATS in non-divisional games, 0-5 at home.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Tampa Bay won last two meetings, 30-10/25-23.
Buccaneers lost three of last four visits here.
Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Chiefs (-10.5) @ Panthers
Chiefs (9-1)
Chiefs lost for first time LW; they’re 0-4 ATS last four games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chiefs were held to 85.3 rushing yards/game.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four
Chiefs are 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 games as a road favorite.
QB Mahomes is 99-26 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 10-4 ATS last 14 regular season games vs AFC teams.
Chiefs have only two takeaways in last four games (minus-2).
Chiefs have outscored opponents 116-81 in second half.
Three of Chiefs’ last four games went over the total.
AFC West favorites are 11-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Panthers (3-7)
Carolina won its last two games, after a 1-7 start.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Last six games, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers.
QB Young is 4-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
Carolina is 6-4 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
Carolina is 6-6 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Over is 7-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ last two opponents are were 9-30 on third down.
Carolina is 6-13 ATS last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South home underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs won last three series games, by 2-3-6 points.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Cowboys @ Commanders (-10.5)
Cowboys (3-7)
Dallas lost last five games, giving up 47-30-27-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last five games, Cowboys gave up 19 TD’s on 52 drives.
Dallas is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 6-1 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Short week for Cowboys after Monday night’s home loss.
Dallas is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-3 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys averaged 1.5/5.3 yards/pass attempt in Rush’s two starts.
Under is 4-2 in last six Dallas games.
Dallas is 13-9 ATS in last 22 NFC East road games.
Commanders (7-4)
Washington lost last two games, after a 7-2 start.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-4 as an NFL starter.
Last two games, Commanders ran ball for only 60-93 yards.
Last six games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 8-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-5
Washington allowed 37-30-28-26 points in their losses.
Last four games, Washington was outscored 67-36 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 2-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 NFC East home games.
Last four games, Washington gave up 182 rushing yards/game.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Dallas won four of last five series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Washington.
Three of last four series games stayed under the total.
Patriots @ Dolphins (-7)
Patriots (3-8)
Patriots split their last four games (3-1 ATS).
Last four games, New England outscored foes 50-36 in 2nd half.
Last two weeks, Patriots gained 328/382, their 2nd/3rd best weeks TY.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four
NE is 10-21-1 ATS in last 32 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-47 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-1 in their true road games.
Patriots are 6-7 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
Dolphins (4-6)
Dolphins won last two games, giving up 15-19 points.
Miami is 0-5 when it gives up 20+ points, 4-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 29-48 on 3rd down last four games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 35-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four
Miami is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Last five weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 53-25 in 1st half, but went 2-3.
Dolphins are 27-19 ATS in last 46 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in last 13 AFC East home games.
Dolphins (-1) won 15-10 in Foxboro in Week 5.
Miami trailed 7-3 at half; Huntley/Brissett were the QB’s.
Dolphins won six of last seven series games.
New England is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
Titans @ Texans (-7.5)
Titans (2-8)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with seven takeaways.
Last two games, Titans were outscored 29-10 in first half.
Team total: under 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-3
Tennessee is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee has been outscored 146-76 in second half.
QB Levis is 4-12 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Titans are 9-6 ATS in last 15 AFC South road games.
Texans (7-4)
Houston is 2-3 in last five games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, Texans are 3-3, despite being +11 in turnovers.
Houston is 2-4 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1 last seven
Short week for Texans after Monday’s win in Dallas.
Texans are 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Houston is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 17-11 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
Texans are 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Texans won/covered four of last five series games, 17-10/21-19
Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
Under is 5-0 in last five meetings.
Lions (-7) @ Colts
Lions (9-1)
Detroit won its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
Last four games, Lions outscored opponents 67-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 21 of last 71 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Under Campbell, Lions are 7-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 20-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 79-55-1 as an NFL starter, 35-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 16-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (4-6)
Indy lost 3 of last 4 games, are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games,
Colts are 2-5 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played nine games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Team total: under 5-4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2 last six
QB Richardson (6-5 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 14-12 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Colts converted 19 of last 63 third down plays.
Over is 3-2 in Colts home games.
AFC South underdogs are 9-14 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Lions are 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS last five visits to Indy.
Last four meetings went over the total.
Vikings (-3.5) @ Bears
Vikings (8-2)
Minnesota won its last two games, giving up 13-7-13 points.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Third straight week on road for Vikings, traditional red flag.
Vikings are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Minnesota is 7-2-2 ATS in last 11 games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 20 takeaways in 10 games (+3 turnovers).
Vikings are 7-6 ATS in last 13 NFC North road games.
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS on the road this season.
QB Darnold is 28-37 as an NFL starter, 7-2 with Vikings.
Bears (4-6)
Bears lost last four games, scoring 15-9-3-19 points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator last week.
Chicago then lost 20-19, getting FG blocked on last play.
Bears were 9-16 on third down LW, an improvement.
Last three games, Bears were outscored 27-9 in second half.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-2
Under Eberflus, Bears are 12-8-1 ATS at home.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 NFC North home games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 12-13-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last seven games, Chicago was +9 in turnovers (11-2).
Minnesota is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Vikings won/covered their last four visits to Chicago
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Broncos (-6) @ Raiders
Broncos (6-5)
Denver is 5-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last four weeks, Broncos converted 30-55 third down plays.
Broncos are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Team total: over 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4
Denver is 3-3 SU on road this year (underdog in 5 of 6 games).
Denver is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
In wins, Broncos are +6 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-7 ATS coming off a win
Five of Broncos’ last seven games went over the total.
Denver is 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC West road games.
Raiders (2-7)
Raiders are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six games
Raiders have 20 turnovers in ten games (minus-15).
Raiders are 5-2 ATS last seven AFC West home games.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
Raiders are 13-13-1 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
In 4 of last 6 games, Raiders gave up 20+ points, just in 2nd half.
QB Minshew is 17-28 as an NFL starter.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Last seven games, Raiders averaged 5.8 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Las Vegas is 17-21-1 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Raiders (+3) lost 34-18 at Denver in Week 5.
Broncos had lost their previous nine series games.
Denver is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight road series games.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
49ers @ Packers (-2.5)
49ers (5-5)
49ers are 1-4 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers held last three opponents to 292-215-289 yards.
49ers are 0-4 when they gain less than 400 yards.
49ers are 6-3 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-1
49ers are 11-5 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
49ers are an underdog for first time this season.
QB Purdy is 26-10 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
49ers are 2-4 in game decided by 6 or fewer points.
Packers (7-3)
Packers won five of last six games (0-4 ATS in last four).
Green Bay’s last three wins were by 1-3-2 points.
Green Bay outscored last seven foes 107-55 in second half.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 7-2 last nine
GB is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Packers are 19-15-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
Green Bay blocked FG on last play LW, preserving 20-19 win.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Last four games, Green Bay has a minus-4 turnover ratio.
Last five games, Packers were outscored 47-9 in last 2:00 of half.
San Francisco won four of last six series games. .
49ers are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Lambeau.
Over is 9-4 in last 13 meetings.
Cardinals (-1) @ Seahawks
Cardinals (6-4)
Arizona won/covered last four games, scoring 28-29-31 in last three.
Cardinals are 5-7 ATS last dozen games coming off a win.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
QB Murray is 34-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals scored 12 TD’s on their last 34 drives.
Arizona is 13-9 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
Cardinals outscored last two opponents 60-15.
In those games, Arizona outscored foes 15-0 in second half.
Seahawks (5-5)
Seahawks lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 3-8 ATS last 11 NFC West home games.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
QB Smith is 35-42 as an NFL starter, 23-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 8-10-1 in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle is 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC West home games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Seattle is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Seahawks are 10-3 SU/6-6-1 ATS in last 13 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Eagles (-2.5) @ Rams
Eagles (8-2)
Eagles are 6-0 SU/4-2 in their last six games.
Last six games, Eagles allowed 6 TD’s on 62 drives.
Philly outgained last five opponents, 2,236-1,268.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1 last six
Eagles outscored last five opponents 57-26 in first half.
Philly is 5-1 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last four games, Eagles are +8 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 44-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
NFC East favorites are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams (5-5)
Rams won four of their last five games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Eight of their ten games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last three games, Rams are only 8-33 on third down.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1-1 last six
Rams are 6-3-1 last ten games as a home underdog.
Last five games, Rams are +6 in turnovers.
Rams are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Rams are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
NFC West underdogs are 7-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Philadelphia won seven of last eight series games.
Eagles won/covered last five road series games.
Over is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Monday’s game
Ravens @ Chargers (-1.5)
Ravens (7-4)
Baltimore split its last four games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 7-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 28
Ravens are 4-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Ravens lost LW but didn’t give up a TD (Steelers had 6 FGs)
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3
Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 9-2 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 68-27 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 19-5 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore road games this season.
Last six weeks, Ravens threw for 8.8+ yards/pass attempt four times.
Chargers (7-3)
Chargers won/covered their last four games.
LA scored 23+ points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last seven games, Chargers outscored foes 132-42 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
Chargers are 12-9-1 ATS last 21 games as home favorites.
Last six games, opponents are 21-74 on third down.
Chargers are 17-18-4 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 37-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their first ten games.
Chargers are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Obviously, the two head coaches are brothers.
Baltimore won five of last six meetings.
Ravens are won/covered last two road series games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Buccaneers (-5.5) @ Giants
Buccaneers (4-6)
Bucs lost last four games, last three by 5-6-3 points.
Buccaneers are 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven post-bye games.
Team total: over 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2
Bucs are 7-9 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
QB Mayfield is 46-54 as an NFL starter, 14-15 with Buccaneers.
Six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games went over the total.
Bucs are 2-2 SU on road TY, with both wins in domes.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last five games (minus-2).
NFC South favorites are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants (2-8)
Giants benched QB Jones; DeVito (3-3 as starter LY) gets nod here.
Giants lost last five games, last three by 8-5-3 points.
Giants are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0 last four
Last five games, Giants were outscored 61-19 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-7-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-10-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
NFC East dogs are 8-10 ATS in non-divisional games, 0-5 at home.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Tampa Bay won last two meetings, 30-10/25-23.
Buccaneers lost three of last four visits here.
Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Chiefs (-10.5) @ Panthers
Chiefs (9-1)
Chiefs lost for first time LW; they’re 0-4 ATS last four games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chiefs were held to 85.3 rushing yards/game.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four
Chiefs are 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 games as a road favorite.
QB Mahomes is 99-26 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 10-4 ATS last 14 regular season games vs AFC teams.
Chiefs have only two takeaways in last four games (minus-2).
Chiefs have outscored opponents 116-81 in second half.
Three of Chiefs’ last four games went over the total.
AFC West favorites are 11-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Panthers (3-7)
Carolina won its last two games, after a 1-7 start.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Last six games, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers.
QB Young is 4-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
Carolina is 6-4 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
Carolina is 6-6 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Over is 7-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ last two opponents are were 9-30 on third down.
Carolina is 6-13 ATS last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South home underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs won last three series games, by 2-3-6 points.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Cowboys @ Commanders (-10.5)
Cowboys (3-7)
Dallas lost last five games, giving up 47-30-27-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last five games, Cowboys gave up 19 TD’s on 52 drives.
Dallas is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 6-1 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Short week for Cowboys after Monday night’s home loss.
Dallas is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-3 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys averaged 1.5/5.3 yards/pass attempt in Rush’s two starts.
Under is 4-2 in last six Dallas games.
Dallas is 13-9 ATS in last 22 NFC East road games.
Commanders (7-4)
Washington lost last two games, after a 7-2 start.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-4 as an NFL starter.
Last two games, Commanders ran ball for only 60-93 yards.
Last six games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 8-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-5
Washington allowed 37-30-28-26 points in their losses.
Last four games, Washington was outscored 67-36 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 2-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 NFC East home games.
Last four games, Washington gave up 182 rushing yards/game.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Dallas won four of last five series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Washington.
Three of last four series games stayed under the total.
Patriots @ Dolphins (-7)
Patriots (3-8)
Patriots split their last four games (3-1 ATS).
Last four games, New England outscored foes 50-36 in 2nd half.
Last two weeks, Patriots gained 328/382, their 2nd/3rd best weeks TY.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four
NE is 10-21-1 ATS in last 32 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-47 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-1 in their true road games.
Patriots are 6-7 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.
Dolphins (4-6)
Dolphins won last two games, giving up 15-19 points.
Miami is 0-5 when it gives up 20+ points, 4-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 29-48 on 3rd down last four games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 35-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four
Miami is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Last five weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 53-25 in 1st half, but went 2-3.
Dolphins are 27-19 ATS in last 46 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in last 13 AFC East home games.
Dolphins (-1) won 15-10 in Foxboro in Week 5.
Miami trailed 7-3 at half; Huntley/Brissett were the QB’s.
Dolphins won six of last seven series games.
New England is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
Titans @ Texans (-7.5)
Titans (2-8)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with seven takeaways.
Last two games, Titans were outscored 29-10 in first half.
Team total: under 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-3
Tennessee is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee has been outscored 146-76 in second half.
QB Levis is 4-12 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Titans are 9-6 ATS in last 15 AFC South road games.
Texans (7-4)
Houston is 2-3 in last five games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, Texans are 3-3, despite being +11 in turnovers.
Houston is 2-4 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1 last seven
Short week for Texans after Monday’s win in Dallas.
Texans are 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Houston is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 17-11 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
Texans are 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Texans won/covered four of last five series games, 17-10/21-19
Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
Under is 5-0 in last five meetings.
Lions (-7) @ Colts
Lions (9-1)
Detroit won its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
Last four games, Lions outscored opponents 67-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 21 of last 71 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Under Campbell, Lions are 7-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 20-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 79-55-1 as an NFL starter, 35-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 16-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (4-6)
Indy lost 3 of last 4 games, are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games,
Colts are 2-5 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played nine games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Team total: under 5-4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2 last six
QB Richardson (6-5 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 14-12 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Colts converted 19 of last 63 third down plays.
Over is 3-2 in Colts home games.
AFC South underdogs are 9-14 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Lions are 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS last five visits to Indy.
Last four meetings went over the total.
Vikings (-3.5) @ Bears
Vikings (8-2)
Minnesota won its last two games, giving up 13-7-13 points.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Third straight week on road for Vikings, traditional red flag.
Vikings are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3
Minnesota is 7-2-2 ATS in last 11 games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 20 takeaways in 10 games (+3 turnovers).
Vikings are 7-6 ATS in last 13 NFC North road games.
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS on the road this season.
QB Darnold is 28-37 as an NFL starter, 7-2 with Vikings.
Bears (4-6)
Bears lost last four games, scoring 15-9-3-19 points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator last week.
Chicago then lost 20-19, getting FG blocked on last play.
Bears were 9-16 on third down LW, an improvement.
Last three games, Bears were outscored 27-9 in second half.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-2
Under Eberflus, Bears are 12-8-1 ATS at home.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 NFC North home games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 12-13-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last seven games, Chicago was +9 in turnovers (11-2).
Minnesota is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Vikings won/covered their last four visits to Chicago
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Broncos (-6) @ Raiders
Broncos (6-5)
Denver is 5-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last four weeks, Broncos converted 30-55 third down plays.
Broncos are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Team total: over 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4
Denver is 3-3 SU on road this year (underdog in 5 of 6 games).
Denver is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
In wins, Broncos are +6 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-7 ATS coming off a win
Five of Broncos’ last seven games went over the total.
Denver is 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC West road games.
Raiders (2-7)
Raiders are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six games
Raiders have 20 turnovers in ten games (minus-15).
Raiders are 5-2 ATS last seven AFC West home games.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
Raiders are 13-13-1 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
In 4 of last 6 games, Raiders gave up 20+ points, just in 2nd half.
QB Minshew is 17-28 as an NFL starter.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Last seven games, Raiders averaged 5.8 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Las Vegas is 17-21-1 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Raiders (+3) lost 34-18 at Denver in Week 5.
Broncos had lost their previous nine series games.
Denver is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight road series games.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
49ers @ Packers (-2.5)
49ers (5-5)
49ers are 1-4 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers held last three opponents to 292-215-289 yards.
49ers are 0-4 when they gain less than 400 yards.
49ers are 6-3 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-1
49ers are 11-5 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
49ers are an underdog for first time this season.
QB Purdy is 26-10 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
49ers are 2-4 in game decided by 6 or fewer points.
Packers (7-3)
Packers won five of last six games (0-4 ATS in last four).
Green Bay’s last three wins were by 1-3-2 points.
Green Bay outscored last seven foes 107-55 in second half.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 7-2 last nine
GB is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Packers are 19-15-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
Green Bay blocked FG on last play LW, preserving 20-19 win.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Last four games, Green Bay has a minus-4 turnover ratio.
Last five games, Packers were outscored 47-9 in last 2:00 of half.
San Francisco won four of last six series games. .
49ers are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Lambeau.
Over is 9-4 in last 13 meetings.
Cardinals (-1) @ Seahawks
Cardinals (6-4)
Arizona won/covered last four games, scoring 28-29-31 in last three.
Cardinals are 5-7 ATS last dozen games coming off a win.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4
QB Murray is 34-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals scored 12 TD’s on their last 34 drives.
Arizona is 13-9 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
Cardinals outscored last two opponents 60-15.
In those games, Arizona outscored foes 15-0 in second half.
Seahawks (5-5)
Seahawks lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 3-8 ATS last 11 NFC West home games.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3
QB Smith is 35-42 as an NFL starter, 23-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 8-10-1 in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle is 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC West home games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Seattle is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Seahawks are 10-3 SU/6-6-1 ATS in last 13 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Eagles (-2.5) @ Rams
Eagles (8-2)
Eagles are 6-0 SU/4-2 in their last six games.
Last six games, Eagles allowed 6 TD’s on 62 drives.
Philly outgained last five opponents, 2,236-1,268.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1 last six
Eagles outscored last five opponents 57-26 in first half.
Philly is 5-1 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last four games, Eagles are +8 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 44-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
NFC East favorites are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Rams (5-5)
Rams won four of their last five games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Eight of their ten games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last three games, Rams are only 8-33 on third down.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1-1 last six
Rams are 6-3-1 last ten games as a home underdog.
Last five games, Rams are +6 in turnovers.
Rams are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Rams are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
NFC West underdogs are 7-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Philadelphia won seven of last eight series games.
Eagles won/covered last five road series games.
Over is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Monday’s game
Ravens @ Chargers (-1.5)
Ravens (7-4)
Baltimore split its last four games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 7-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 28
Ravens are 4-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Ravens lost LW but didn’t give up a TD (Steelers had 6 FGs)
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3
Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 9-2 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 68-27 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 19-5 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore road games this season.
Last six weeks, Ravens threw for 8.8+ yards/pass attempt four times.
Chargers (7-3)
Chargers won/covered their last four games.
LA scored 23+ points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last seven games, Chargers outscored foes 132-42 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1
Chargers are 12-9-1 ATS last 21 games as home favorites.
Last six games, opponents are 21-74 on third down.
Chargers are 17-18-4 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 37-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their first ten games.
Chargers are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Obviously, the two head coaches are brothers.
Baltimore won five of last six meetings.
Ravens are won/covered last two road series games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.
Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
****************************************
As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.
— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.
— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.
— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.
— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.
— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.
— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.
— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14
Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69
Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!
— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.
— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.
— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23
More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25
Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.
— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.
— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.
— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.
— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.
— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.
Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday……..
Seven top 25 teams lost Saturday.As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.
— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.
— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.
— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.
— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.
— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.
— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.
— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14
Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69
Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!
— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.
— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.
— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23
More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25
Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.
— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.
— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.
— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.
— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.
— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
Westgate NFL SuperContest Picks, Odds & Standings from Las Vegas
| 2024 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST WEEK 12 11/19/24 – 11/25/24 | ||
|---|---|---|
| OFFICIAL LINES/ODDS FOR WEEK 12 | WEEK 12 PICKS BY # OF TEAMS SELECTED | |
| HOME TEAM IN CAPS Steelers -3.5 vs. BROWNS Lions -7 vs. COLTS Chiefs -11 vs. PANTHERS Vikings -3 vs. BEARS COMMANDERS -10.5 vs. Cowboys Buccaneers -6 vs. NY GIANTS DOLPHINS -7 vs. Patriots TEXANS -7.5 vs. Titans Broncos -5.5 vs. RAIDERS Cardinals -1 vs. SEAHAWKS PACKERS -2 vs. 49ers Eagles -3 vs. RAMS Ravens -3 vs.CHARGERS | GB 616 DEN 353 MIN 305 TB 303 LAC 280 DET 272 MIA 271 SEA 269 LAR 237 ARI 230 IND 230 PHI 221 BAL 200 CHI 174 WAS 170 CAR 166 TOP 5 YTD RECORD 24-30-1 | NYG 150 LV 141 HOU 141 TEN 140 KC 138 NE 137 DAL 129 SF 117 PIT 95 CLE 55 CIN 0 BUF 0 ATL 0 JAX 0 NYJ 0 NO 0 RECORD LAST WEEK 2-3 |
| TOP 10 SUPERCONTEST PLAYER PICKS AND STANDING | ||
| MEYER LANDSCAPING – W38 L16 LW 4-1 Week 12 Picks: DET TB MIA HOU DEN TA2 RG – W38 L16 LW 4-1 Week 12 Picks: PIT KC CHI HOU DEN COMMON CENTS – W38 L17 LW 4-1 Week 12 Picks: PIT MIN MIA DEN PHI 2ND AND 20 – W37 L16 LW 3-2 Week 12 Picks: DAL MIA ARI GB BAL MAYBE TOMORROW 4 – W37 L17 LW 2-3 Week 12 Picks: DET MIN NE ARI GB |
