Cnotes NL 2024-2025 Schedule, Best Bets, Opinons, News !

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Teams that have gone the longest since their last Super Bowl win:
1969- Jets
1974- Dolphins
1984- Raiders
1986- Bears
1992- Commanders
1995- 49ers
12 of the 32 teams have never won a Super Bowl

Quote of the Day
“My biggest takeaway from this is that we need to protect the rule of law.”
MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow, talking about next week’s election

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; how many times was there a Game 7?

Tuesday’s quiz
Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Monday’s quiz
Rex Ryan was the Jets’ coach the last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— World Series, Game 4:

New York 11, Dodgers 4
Volpe’s grand slam in third inning put New York ahead for good.
Freddie Freeman has now homered in six consecutive World Series games.
New York broke the game open with five runs in the 8th inning.
Game 5 is Wednesday night.

— It is a little strange that Juan Soto has a career on-base %age of .421, but has batted leadoff only twice in his career. You’d think a .421 on-base %age would scream out “leadoff hitter!!!”

— Louisiana 23, Texas State 17
Ragin’ Cajuns led 14-6 at half, kicked three FG’s in second half.
Cajuns QB Wooldridge was 18-28/252 passing, with a TD.
ULL outgained Texas State 423-378; they were +2 in turnovers.

— Florida International 34, New Mexico State 13
FIU outscored New Mexico State 27-7 in second half.
WR Rivers caught 11 passes for 295 yards, 3 TDs.
FIU outgained the Aggies, 438-246.

— Sam Houston 9, Louisiana Tech 3
Ducker’s 40-yard TD run was the game’s only touchdown
Tech outgained Sam Houston 312-268, but turned ball over four times.
Bearkats improve to 7-2; Tech drops to 3-5.

— Indianapolis Colts are switching back to 39-year old Joe Flacco to play this QB this week against Minnesota.
Flacco completed 65.7% of his passes in his two starts (1-1), with 7 TD’s, one INT. Anthony Richardson completed 44.4% of his passes in his six starts (3-3), with 4 TD’s, 7 INT’s.

— Minnesota Vikings acquired LT Cam Robinson from Jacksonville, in exchange for a 5th-round draft pick. Minnesota left tackle Christian Darrisaw got hurt last week, is out for the year.

— Houston Texans’ WR Stefon Diggs had a non-contact knee injury last week, isn’t expected to play Thursday when the Texans visit the Jets. Diggs has caught 47 passes for 496 and 3 TD’s for Houston this season.

— New Jersey Jets tried out six kickers Tuesday, with K Greg Zuerlein having struggled recently; they play on Thursday, so a decision will be made soon.

— Famous birthdays, October 30:
Jim Perry, 89
Henry Winkler, 79
Phil Chenier, 74
Harry Hamlin, 72
Kevin Pollak, 67
Danny Tartabull, 62
Ty Detmer, 57
Marco Scutaro, 49
Trent Edwards, 41
Marcus Mariota, 31
Devin Booker, 28
Wenceel Perez, 25

— NFL divisional trends, in non-divisional games:

NFC East teams are 12-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 0-4 ATS as home underdogs.
They’re 8-4 ATS as road underdogs.

NFC North teams are 18-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 10-3 ATS as home favorites.
They’re 5-3 ATS as underdogs.

NFC South teams are 6-13 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-9 ATS at home.
They’re 5-9 ATS as underdogs.

NFC West teams are 9-11-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 5-8 ATS as underdogs.

AFC East teams are 6-15-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-5 ATS as home favorites.
They’re 2-8 ATS as road underdogs.

AFC North teams are 15-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 10-4 ATS on the road.
They’re 6-3 ATS as underdogs.

AFC South teams are 9-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-5 ATS as road underdogs.

AFC West teams are 13-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 9-2 ATS on the road.
They’re 7-3 ATS as a favorite.

— Nuggets 144, Nets 139 OT
Brooklyn led 72-63 at halftime.
Nikola Jokic scored 29 points, had 18 rebounds, 16 assists.

— Mavericks 120, Timberwolves 114
Kyrie Irving scored 35 points, was 6-8 on the arc.
Luka Doncic scored 24, had 8 rebounds and 8 assists.

— Kings 113, Jazz 96
Domantas Sabonis scored 28 points, had 11 rebounds.
Sacramento was minus-6 in the 14:00 he was on the bench.
Utah drops to 0-4 with the loss.

— Monday in South Dakota, the Sanford Pentagon will host a pretty good tripleheader of college basketball:
Charleston-Southern Illinois, noon
Saint Louis-Santa Clara, 3:00
McNeese State-South Dakota State, 6:00

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams playing the fastest tempo:
— Chicago Bulls
— Oklahoma City Thunder
— Memphis Grizzlies
— Washington Wizards
— Philadelphia 76ers
— Atlanta Hawks

Quote of the Day
“I am no savior. I am here to be a great leader and to be a great teammate and to do my job the best of my ability. And do I feel confident in what I can do? Absolutely. I feel confident in what I can do. I feel confident in what I can bring to our team. And that’s exciting, right? But to save us or anything like that, that’s not me.”
Saints’ QB Derek Carr

Thursday’s quiz
Who was football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban?

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; there has never been a Game 6 or 7, there have been only five Game 5’s.

Tuesday’s quiz
Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Dodgers 7, New York 6
Dodgers win their 8th World Series title.
Dodgers trailed 5-0 after four innings.
Dodgers scored five (all unearned) runs in the 5th inning.
Freddie Freeman is the World Series MVP.
In the history of the World Series, teams trailing by 5+ runs were 6-227.
Now they’re 7-227.
113 days until the first exhibition game in 2025.

— Jacksonville State 31, Liberty 21
RB Stewart ran for 232 yards and four TD’s.
Gamecocks ran ball for 363 yards (7.4 yards/carry).
Game was 14-14 at halftime.
Liberty lost its second game in a row after a 5-0 start.

— Western Kentucky 31, Kennesaw State 14
WKU QB Veltkamp threw for 276 yards, three TD’s.
Hilltoppers are bowl eligible for the sixth year in a row.
WKU outgained Kennesaw, 462-272.

— USC’s basketball team practiced outdoors Wednesday, at Venice Beach; I’ve been there a couple times, great place with lot of shops, restaurants, vendors, not the kind of place you’d expect to see a college basketball practice.
Living is Los Angeles must be tremendous, there is legit fun to have every day.

— White Sox named 42-year old Will Venable their new manager; he played nine years in the major leagues, has been a big league coach since 2017.
White Sox lost 121 games this season, three years after they won the AL Central, but they have some solid prospects on the way, maybe getting there next year and 2026.

— There aren’t any NBA games this coming Tuesday because it is Election Day and it is important that everyone votes.
My polling place is the building where I went to grade school, over 50 years ago; I enjoy going in and taking a look around. It is also important to vote, but looking around is fun.
From 1933-49, there were no elections in Germany, because they weren’t a democracy; it is important that our country remain a democracy, another reason why I’ll vote Tuesday.

— RIP to the popular actress Teri Garr, who passed away this week at age 79.
She was in Tootsie, Mr Mom, Let It Ride, Young Frankenstein; she was nominated for an Oscar for her role in Tootsie. Garr’s quick wit got her a lot of gigs on late-night talk shows with Johnny Carson, David Letterman. Funny lady.
RIP, ma’am.

— Famous birthdays, October 31
Jane Pauley, 74
John Lucas, 71
Mike Gallego, 64
Bill Fralic, 62
Fred McGriff, 61
Antonio Davis, 56
Steve Trachsel, 54
Mike Napoli, 43
Tony Kemp, 33

— College football trends, in conference games:

— AAC home favorites are 11-5 ATS
— ACC home underdogs are 5-8 ATS

— Big X home favorites are 10-15 ATS
Big X home underdogs are 1-4 ATS
Big X home teams are 11-19 ATS

— Big 18 home favorites are 17-13 ATS
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9

— MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS
MAC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS

— Mountain West home favorites are 6-4 ATS
Mountain West home underdogs are 3-7 ATS

— SEC home favorites are 3-16 ATS
SEC home underdogs are 9-5 ATS

— Sun Belt home favorites are 9-7 ATS
Sun Belt home underdogs are 6-4 ATS.

— This week is Week 9 in the NFL; Detroit Lions are playing in Green Bay, their first outdoor game this season.

— Steph Curry sprained his ankle the other night; he’ll be re-evaluated Friday. Warriors beat New Orleans on consecutive nights without him; Pelicans led Tuesday’s game by 20 early on.

— Saw a commercial for a gameshow that Travis Kelce hosts on Amazon; he also has a cereal with him and his brother on the box. Dating Taylor Swift has its benefits.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, October 31

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 9

Thursday’s game
Texans @ Jets (-2)
Texans (6-2)
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Houston gave up 34-24 points in its two losses.
Last three games, Texans are +7 in turnovers.
Team total: under 6-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-1


Texans are 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog,
Houston is 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 16-9 as an NFL starter.
Houston is 9-8-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two weeks, Texans were outscored 20-9 in second half.
AFC South underdogs are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Jets (2-6)
Jets are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five games.
Jets gave up 23-37-25 points in three games since coaching change.
Jets are 0-6 scoring less than 24 points.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0 last four


Jets are 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Jets are 15-21 ATS last 36 games coming off a loss.
Last three weeks, Jets were outscored 45-12 in 2nd half.
Jets are 5-12-1 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Jets converted only 20 of last 66 third down plays.
AFC East teams are 6-15-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Texans won two of their last three visits to New Jersey.


Sunday’s games
Dolphins @ Bills (-6.5)
Dolphins (2-5)
Dolphins lost five of their last six games, last two by 1-5 points.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28 in losses.
Dolphins threw for 227 yards with Tagovailoa back in lineup LW.
Tagovailoa is 33-22 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3


Miami is 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.
Last two weeks, Dolphins were outscored 34-14 in 2nd half.
Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in last 10 AFC East road games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-9 ATS in games coming off a loss
Under is 5-2 in their games this season.


Bills (6-2)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (6-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last four opponents 64-16 in second half.
Last three games, Bills are +6 in turnovers (7-1).
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Buffalo is 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 27-19-1 ATS in last 47 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 74-37 as NFL starter.
Buffalo is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine AFC East home games.
Last three Buffalo games went over the total.


Bills (+2.5) won 31-10 at Miami in Week 2.
Bills won 14 of last 16 series games.
Dolphins lost their last eight visits (3-5 ATS) to Buffalo.


Broncos @ Ravens (-9)
Broncos (5-3)
Denver won/covered five of its last six games.
Broncos outscored last seven opponents 83-31 in second half.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-3 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Denver is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Denver is 21-16-1 ATS in last 38 games as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-5.
Under Payton, Denver is 7-6 ATS coming off a win.
Broncos’ last four games went over the total.
AFC West road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Ravens (5-3)
Baltimore is 5-1 SU/ATS in its last six games.
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS last five games coming off a loss.
Ravens scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-23-24 in losses.
Ravens have outscored opponents 119-71 in first half.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-1


Ravens are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 65-26 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 2-3 when they run for less than 200 yards.
Last four games, Ravens allowed 14 TD’s on 41 drives.
Ravens are 5-0 when they allow 7+ yards/pass attempt.
AFC North home favorites are 4-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Ravens won last three meetings, by a combined 60-30.
Broncos are 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Baltimore.
Last four series games stayed under the total.


Chargers (-2) @ Browns
Chargers (4-3)
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last six games, Chargers outscored foes 75-26 in 1st half.
Last three games, opponents are 7-34 on third down.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1


Chargers are 7-4-2 ATS last 13 games as road favorites.
Chargers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Chargers are 14-18-4 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 34-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-1 in their first seven games.
AFC West favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Browns (2-6)
QB Winston threw for 334 yards, 3 TD’s LW, his first start in two years.
QB Winston is 35-46 as an NFL starter.
Last week was first time Cleveland scored 20+ points this season.
Team total: under 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4


Browns are 6-3-1 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Browns gained 401 yards LW, by far their most this season.
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in seven of eight games.
AFC North underdogs are 6-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..


Chargers won last four meetings, scoring 33.5 ppg.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Last three series games went over the total.


Saints (-7) @ Panthers
Saints (2-6)
New Orleans lost its last six games, last four by 13-24-13-18 points.
Saints are 1-5 against spread in last six games.
Last three games, New Orleans was outscored 71-13 in second half.
Team total: over 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3


Saints are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Last three weeks, Saints were outscored 61-10 in second half.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-16-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-4 TY).
Saints are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 NFC South road games.
Rookie QB Rattler is 0-3 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-3 in their games this season.


Panthers (1-7)
Carolina is 0-5 SU/ATS in its last five games.
Carolina is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a home dog (0-3 TY).
Panthers gave up 20+ points in first half in seven of eight games.
QB Young lost his starts 47-10/26-3/28-14
Team total: under 5-2-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-1


Carolina is 4-15-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Last four weeks, Panthers allowed 7.5/9.9/7.5/8.0/7.3 yards/pass play.
Over is 6-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 52-103 on third down.
Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 NFC South home games.
Last three games, Carolina was outscored 45-20 in 2nd half.


Saints smoked Carolina 47-10 in season opener (379-193 TY)
New Orleans won 13 of last 17 meetings.
Saints are 5-2 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Charlotte.
Under is 6-1 in last seven games.


Raiders @ Bengals (-8)
Raiders (2-6)
Raiders have 17 turnovers in eight games (minus-13).
Raiders lost their last four games, by 16-19-5-7 points.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19-5-7.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3


Raiders are 20-13 ATS last 33 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 17-20-1 ATS in last 38 games following a loss.
Raiders haven’t led a game at halftime since Week 1.
QB Minshew is 17-26 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Last five games, Raiders averaged 5.6 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
AFC West road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-division games.


Bengals (3-5)
Bengals are 0-4 SU at home, losing by 6-5-3-20 points.
Road team is 6-0 ATS this year when Bengals are favored.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Team total: over 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-1


Bengals are 9-6-2 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
QB Burrow is 37-29-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 20-10-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Bengals ran ball 45 times for only 117 yards.
AFC North home favorites are 4-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Cincinnati won five of last six series games.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 6-2-1 in last nine meetings.


Commanders (-3.5) @ Giants
Commanders (6-2)
Washington won LW on a 52-yard Hail Mary on last play of the game.
Rookie QB Daniels is 6-2 as an NFL starter.
Commanders won/covered six of their last seven games.
Last three games, Commanders scored six TD’s, tried 12 FG’s on 28 drives.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 38 of last 74 third down plays.
Commanders are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 4-1 ATS in last fie games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Washington ran ball for 200+ yards in four of its five wins.
Over is 5-2 in Washington games this year.


Giants (2-4)
Giants lost last three games, scoring two TD’s on 33 drives.
Giants are 0-4 at home (1-3 ATS), scoring one TD on 41 drives.
Giants lost their home games, by 22-5-10-25 points.
Team total: under 5-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3


Under Daboll, Giants are 8-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-8-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Giants are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC East road games.
QB Jones is 25-43-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-2 in their games this season.


Commanders kicked 7 FG’s, edged Giants 21-18 at home in Week 2.
Washington outgained Giants 425-304 in that game.
Giants are 7-3-1 SU in last 11 meetings.
Commanders are 1-3-1 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to the Garden State.


Cowboys @ Falcons (-3)
Cowboys (3-4)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47-30 in losses.
Road team won/covered six of their seven games.
Last two games, Cowboys gave up 8 TD’s on 21 drives.
Dallas is 11-6 ATS in last 167 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3


Dallas is 7-7 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-50 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3/8.8 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 5-2 in Dallas games this season.
Cowboys are 3-5 ATS in last 8 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC East road underdogs are 8-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Falcons (5-3)
Atlanta won four of its last five games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Four of Falcons’ last five games went over the total.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0-1 last five


Atlanta lost three of their four home games SU.
Falcons are 9-14-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
QB Cousins is 81-74-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South home teams are 2-9 ATS in non-divisional games.


Dallas won/covered last three series games.
Cowboys are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Patriots @ Titans (-3)
Patriots (2-6)
Patriots snapped their six-game losing skid last week.
Last seven games, New England was outscored 103-50 in first half.
Last three weeks, Patriots were outscored 49-24 in first half.
Team total: under 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3


NE is 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 31-45 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
QB Brissett is 19-34 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC East road underdogs are 2-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Titans (1-6)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; their win was 31-12.
Tennessee is minus-13 in turnovers, with only 3 takeaways.
Titans outgained Detroit 416-225 LW, lost 52-14- their special teams suck.
Team total: under 6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2-2


Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in last five games as a favorite (0-2 TY).
Titans has trailed in only two of their seven games at halftime.
Tennessee has been outscored 111-43 in second half.
Titans are 1-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Rudolph is 8-7-1 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in games coming off a loss.
AFC South teams are 9-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


New England is 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS last ten series games.
Patriots split their last four visits to Nashville.
Over is 6-2-1 in last nine meetings.


Bears @ Cardinals (-1)
Bears (4-3)
Bears scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16-15 in losses.
Chicago lost LW on a 52-yard Hail Mary on last play of game.
Bears have outscored opponents 99-54 in second half.
Team total: over 3-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-0


Under Eberflus, Bears are 9-12-1 ATS on the road.
Chicago is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-9-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Last four games, Chicago was +5 in turnovers (7-2).
Last four games, Bears are 14 of 43 on third down.
Three of Bears’ last four games went over the total.
NFC North road teams are 8-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Cardinals (4-4)
Arizona is 3-1 SU in last four games, winning by 1-2-1 points.
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS last ten games coming off a win.
In its three wins, Arizona outscored foes 62-30 in second half.
Team total: under 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 4-4


QB Murray is 32-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 2-2 SU at home, scoring 13-14-17 in last three home tilts.
Arizona is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last six games, opponents are 45-76 on third down.
Cardinals trailed at halftime in five of last six games.
NFC West home teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split their last six meetings.
Bears won last three visits to Arizona, by 1-15-2 points.
Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.


Jaguars @ Eagles (-7.5)
Jaguars (2-6)
Coach Pederson returns to Philly (won SB in 2017).
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
This is Jaguars’ first true road game since Week 4.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Jaguars are 6-2 ATS last 8 games as a road underdog.
Last six games, Jaguars gave up 23 TD’s on 59 drives.
QB Lawrence is 23-37 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Jaguars are 10-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South road underdogs are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Eagles (5-2)
Eagles won their last three games, scoring 28-37 points in last two.
Last three games, Eagles allowed 2 TD’s on 28 drives.
Philly outgained last three opponents, 1,007-643.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1 last five


Philly is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-12-1 ATS at home.
QB Hurts is 41-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
NFC East home favorites are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Eagles won/covered last four series games.
Jaguars lost last three visits to Philly, by 8-6-17 points.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Lions (-3.5) @ Packers
Lions (6-1)
Week 9, this is Detroit’s first game outdoors this season.
Lions scored 42-47-31-52 points last three games (21 TDs on 43 drives).
Last two games, Detroit converted only six of 19 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 10 of last 34 third down plays.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2


Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-1 ATS last seven NFC North road games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 18-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions special teams were so good LW, the offense didn’t need to do much
Lions have outscored opponents 34-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff turned his ankle in practice (check status).


Packers (6-2)
QB Love (groin) didn’t practice Wednesday; check status.
Packers won their last four games, scoring 28 ppg.
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Green Bay outscored last five foes 83-39 in second half.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.
Green Bay is 17-14-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Packers are 10-6 ATS in last 16 NFC North home games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Last three games, Packers were outscored 30-9 in last 2:00 of half.


Detroit won four of last six series games.
Lions are 4-3 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Lambeau.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Rams (-1) @ Seahawks
Rams (3-4)
Rams scored 27-20-30 points in wins, 20-10-18-19 in losses
Five of their seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Under McVay, Rams are 37-46-2 ATS coming off a win.
This is Rams’ first game outdoors since Week 4.
Team total: under 5-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3


Rams threw for 8.2 yards/attempt with WRs Kupp/Pukua back LW.
Rams allowed 24+ points in five of seven games.
Rams are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last four games, opponents are 9-39 on third down.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.


Seahawks (4-4)
Seattle allowed 42-29-36-31 points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seattle is 6-5 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Seahawks are 19-15 ATS last 34 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2


QB Smith is 34-41 as an NFL starter, 22-22 with Seattle.
Last four games, opponents converted 28-58 third down plays.
Seattle is 14-17-3 ATS in last 34 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 6-2 in their games this season.
Last four weeks, opponents ran ball for 180.5 yards/game.
Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in last 10 NFC West home games.


Rams won five of last seven series games.
Rams are 4-3 SU/4-2-1 ATS in last seven visits to Seattle.
Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.


Colts @ Vikings (-6)
Colts (4-4)
Indy won four of its last six games (5-0-1 ATS)
All eight Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 6-1-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: over 3-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


Colts are 7-7-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Indy is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
QB Flacco is 114-89 as an NFL starter, 1-1 with Colts.
Colts are 5-7 ATS last 12 games vs NFC teams.
Last three weeks, Colts outscored opponents 33-13 in second half.
Colts scored 34-20 points in Flacco’s two starts TY.
AFC South road underdogs are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings (5-2)
Minnesota lost its last two games, after a 5-0 start.
Vikings allowed 29+ points in three of last four games.
Vikings have outscored opponents 110-59 in first half.
Vikings are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 6-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3


QB Darnold is 26-37 as an NFL starter, 5-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in last six games as home favorite.
Minnesota has 15 takeaways in seven games (+5 turnovers).
NFC North home teams are 10-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Last four games, Vikings were outscored 58-34 in second half.


Indianapolis won five of last six series games.
Colts are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Monday’s game
Buccaneers @ Chiefs (-8.5)
Buccaneers (4-4)
Buccaneers are 2-3 in last five games, despite scoring 34.2 ppg.
Bucs scored 20 TD’s on their last 52 drives.
Tampa Bay is 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2


Tampa Bay lost star WRs Evans/Godwin to injury in Week 7
Bucs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 46-52 as an NFL starter, 14-13 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s last five games went over the total.
Bucs are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last three games (minus-4).


Chiefs (7-0)
Chiefs won their first seven games, going 4-3 ATS.
Kansas City is 7-0 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Chiefs trailed at halftime in three of the seven games.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2


Chiefs are 16-18 ATS in last 34 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 10-3 ATS in last 13 regular season games vs NFC teams.
QB Mahomes is 97-25 as an NFL starter.
Last five games, Chiefs are 41-74 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 83-50 in second half.
Four of Chiefs’ last five games stayed under the total.


Chiefs won last two meetings, 27-24/41-31.
Bucs beat Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl, four years ago.
Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

 

[ozzy44]

Top NFL Things To Know​

Something Is Off​

Jets Favored vs. Texans
We may see the Jets close as favorites this week vs. Texans. In a team's 9th game or later, this could be just the 7th time since 1990 a team with a win pct 50+ pct pts lower is listed as a favorite.

The previous six teams listed as the favorite in that spot went 6-0 SU and 4-0-2 ATS.

Also worth noting, the Jets and Giants are now a combined 4-33 straight-up playing at night in prime time since 2019.

---

AFC Least​

Division Struggles
Here is how divisions have performed ATS this year vs. teams outside their division.

The best? NFC North at 18-7 ATS, AFC West at 14-6 ATS

The worst? AFC East at 5-15-1 ATS, NFC South at 6-14 ATS

The AFC East’s 5-15-1 ATS mark through 8 weeks is the 2nd-worst in the Wild Card era (since 1990), ahead of just the AFC Central in 2000 at 3-10 ATS.

---

Best vs. Best​

LaFleur & Campbell
The Packers are 2-1 SU/ATS as dogs this season. Matt LaFleur is 24-11 ATS (69%) as an underdog, the best percentage for any coach in the Super Bowl era. LaFleur is also 20-15 SU as a dog (+$1,695 on $100 bet).

In the regular season, Dan Campbell is 45-25 ATS (64%) as coach of the Dolphins and Lions. That 64% win pct is the best for any head coach with a minimum 20 games in the Super Bowl era.

The Lions are 41-17 ATS (70.7%) in the regular season over the past four years — the best three-year ATS stretch since 2016-18 NE and, as of now, the best four-year ATS stretch for any team in the Wild Card era since 1990.

---

Big Dog For You​

Cashing Outright
Big underdogs are barking so far this season.

Dogs of +200 or higher: 15-24 SU (+$1,556), 23-14-2 ATS

Dogs of +250 or higher: 9-11 SU (+$1,557), 12-7-1 ATS

The 15 SU wins by dogs of +200 or higher is T-most through 8 weeks in the last 20 years.

---

Off 8 Mile​

Impact After Facing Lions
Teams after facing the Lions are 0-6 SU/ATS this season, failing to cover by an average of 19.3 PPG and 14-25 ATS over the last three seasons – the least profitable previous opponent ATS in the NFL. Top 3: DET, HOU, SF

---

Public Strikes Back​

Turn Around
The betting public (51%+ of tickets) are 57-59-3 ATS (49%) this season, with a $100 bettor down $711. We’ve seen a turn in the last three weeks.

Public by week:

Weeks 6-8: 29-13-1 ATS, 69% (Teams with 66%+ tickets are 21-6-1 ATS)

Weeks 1-5: 48-69-2 ATS, 41%

---

First Half Issues​

Carolina Slow Starts
The reason for Carolina’s struggles of late have been starting slow. They are 1-14 against the first-half spread in their last 15 games overall, worst mark in the NFL in that span.

Bryce Young has now lost 11 consecutive games against the first-half spread with the Panthers.

---

Passing Is Down​

Still Covering
Passing hasn’t equaled on-field success so far this season. Teams to pass for 200 yards or fewer are 54-50-2 ATS this year. That would be the 3rd-highest ATS win pct over a full season since 1990.

---

Absolute Zero​

Eagles 1Q Woes
A stat that feels impossible. Through seven games, the Eagles haven’t scored a point in the first quarter. They are 0-7 against the first-quarter spread, the only team in the NFL without a 1Q ATS cover this year.

Dating back to last season, the Eagles haven’t scored a point in the 1Q in 9 straight games. The last game they did was against the Cardinals – a 12-yard TD pass from Jalen Hurts to Julio Jones.

---

Two Sides​

Good and the Bad
This season, Caleb Williams is 7-0 against the second-half spread. The only undefeated QBs 2H ATS (min. 2 starts) are Joe Flacco (2-0) and Russell Wilson (2-0).

On the road, on a Sunday, the Bears have lost 18 consecutive games dating back to the day after Christmas in 2021 – won by Nick Foles – Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Trevor Siemian, Tyson Bagent, and Caleb Williams have all lost since Foles' win.

 

[ozzy44]

Best NFL Week 9 betting trends​

The trend: The Texans have gone Under in 16 of their last 22 regular season games

The trend: Kirk Cousins has thrown at least one interception in every Falcons’ home game this season

The trend: The Dolphins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games

The trend: The Raiders haven’t covered a spread in Cincinnati since 1991

The trend: No Chargers game this season has reached the 40-point mark

The trend: The Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite

The trend: Giants’ home games this season have an average combined score of just 31 points

The trend: Panthers games are 8-0 to the first half Over this season

The trend: The Ravens are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of seven or more

The trend: The Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite

The trend: Eight of the Bears’ last nine road games have gone Under

The trend: Under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has gone an amazing 17-4 ATS as an underdog of three points or more.

The trend: The Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 divisional games

The trend: The Colts have covered the spread in six straight games

The trend: The Bucs have gone Over in five straight games

 

[ozzy44]

Week 9 NFL Betting Trends:​

These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

New Orleans is 16-1 ATS in the last 17 road rematches
System Match: PLAY NEW ORLEANS (-7.5 at CAR)

NFL Streaks Betting System #11: NFL teams that have won their last five games outright or more have gone 50-12 SU and 39-21-2 ATS (65%) since 2003 as road favorites against divisional opponents.
System Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-3.5 at GB)

Play on home teams in their pre-bye week game when it comes Week 8 or later on the NFL annual schedule. (Record: 68-34-2 ATS since 2010, 66.7%, +30.6 Units, 30% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND (+2 vs. LAC), SEATTLE (+2 vs. LAR), GREEN BAY (+3.5 vs. DET)

NY Jets are 2-15 SU while going 4-13 ATS in the last 17 primetime games
System Match: FADE NY JETS (-1.5 vs HOU)

* JACKSONVILLE is on a horrific 4-36 SU and 8-32 ATS skid vs. teams with better records since 2011
System Match: FADE JACKSONVILLE (+7.5 at PHI)

* DENVER is 17-2 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017
System Match: PLAY UNDER in DEN-BAL (o/u at 45.5)

* Over the total is 8-1-1 in the last 10 MIA-BUF matchups at Buffalo
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in MIA-BUF (o/u at 49)

* KANSAS CITY’s Andy Reid is on 9-0 Under the total streak vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-KC (o/u at 45.5)

Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 18 games, going 18-114 SU and 50-78-4 ATS (39.1%).
System Match (FADE): DENVER (+9 at BAL)

Team-Specific Situational NFL Betting Trends​

These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* ATLANTA is 55-45 SU but 36-64 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2012
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-2.5 vs. DAL)
* ATLANTA is on 9-14 SU and 5-18 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
System Match: FADE ATLANTA (-2.5 vs. DAL)

* CAROLINA is 5-17 SU and 4-18 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2017
System Match: FADE CAROLINA (+7.5 vs. NO)

* CINCINNATI is 69-56 SU and 76-49 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012
System Match: PLAY CINCINNATI (-7 vs. LVR)

* DENVER is 17-2 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017
System Match: PLAY UNDER in DEN-BAL (o/u at 45.5)

* DETROIT is 12-4 SU and 14-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit win since 2018
* DETROIT is on 15-9 SU and 19-5 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record
Systems Match: PLAY DETROIT (-3.5 at GB)

* INDIANAPOLIS is 16-14 SU and 23-7 ATS vs. elite teams with point differentials of >=+4.5 PPG since 2015
System Match: PLAY INDIANAPOLIS (+5 at MIN)

* JACKSONVILLE is 8-46 SU and 12-41 ATS versus NFC foes since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is on a horrific 4-36 SU and 8-32 ATS skid vs. teams with better records since 2011
System Match: FADE JACKSONVILLE (+7.5 at PHI)
* JACKSONVILLE is on 14-1 Under the total surge when coming off a loss to NFC foe
System Match: PLAY UNDER in JAX-PHI (o/u at 45.5)

* KANSAS CITY is 70-37 Under the total as a home favorite since 2010
System Match: PLAY UNDER in TB-KC (o/u at 45.5)

* LA CHARGERS are 60-27 Under the total when coming off an outright win since 2013
* LA CHARGERS are on 21-6 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are on 12-0 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
Systems Match: PLAY UNDER in LAC-CLE (o/u at 43)

* MINNESOTA is 27-17 SU and 29-13 ATS versus AFC opponents since 2014
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-5 vs. IND)
* MINNESOTA is 17-11 SU but only 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite
System Match: FADE MINNESOTA (-5 vs. IND)

* NY GIANTS are 15-24 SU but 24-13 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2011
System Match: PLAY NY GIANTS (+3.5 vs WAS)
* NY GIANTS are 22-3 Under the total as home underdogs since 2020
System Match: PLAY UNDER in WAS-NYG (o/u at 43.5)

* NY JETS are 7-25 SU and 9-21 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2012
* NY JETS are on 7-20 SU and 5-21 ATS skid when coming off an upset loss since 2011
Systems Match: FADE NY JETS (-1.5 vs. HOU)

* TAMPA BAY is on 24-8 Over the total surge as a single-digit road underdog
System Match: PLAY OVER in TB-KC (o/u at 45.5)

* TENNESSEE is on 5-20 SU and 6-19 ATS skid in Sunday games
System Match: FADE TENNESSEE (-3.5 vs. NE)

BLOWOUT GAMES ARE RED FLAGS
NFL teams that win by 35 points or more in a home or neutral field game have not been good bets in the follow-up contest, going 21-17 SU but 12-25-1 ATS (32.4%) when favored in their last 38 opportunities.
System Match: FADE DETROIT (-3.5 at GB)


These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(311) HOUSTON at (312) NY JETS
* Underdogs are on 6-0-1 ATS run in the HOU-NYJ series
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON ATS

(469) CHICAGO at (470) ARIZONA
* Over the total is 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the CHI-ARI series
System Match: PLAY OVER the total

(459) DALLAS at (460) ATLANTA
* Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the DAL-ATL series in Atlanta
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total

(461) DENVER at (462) BALTIMORE
* The last four games of the DEN-BAL series went Under the total
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total

(473) DETROIT at (474) GREEN BAY
* Road teams have won the last three SU and ATS in the DET-GB rivalry
System Match: PLAY DETROIT ATS

(465) INDIANAPOLIS at (466) MINNESOTA
* INDIANAPOLIS has won the last five ATS vs. Minnesota
System Match: PLAY INDIANAPOLIS ATS

(475) JACKSONVILLE at (476) PHILADELPHIA
* PHILADELPHIA has won the last four ATS vs. Jacksonville
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA ATS

(453) LA CHARGERS at (454) CLEVELAND
* Underdogs are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 of the LAC-CLE series
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND ATS

(471) LA RAMS at (472) SEATTLE
* LA RAMS have won the last four ATS at Seattle
System Match: PLAY LA RAMS ATS

(463) LAS VEGAS at (464) CINCINNATI
* CINCINNATI is on a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS run hosting Raiders
System Match: PLAY CINCINNATI ATS

(457) MIAMI at (458) BUFFALO
* Over the total is 8-1-1 in the last 10 MIA-BUF matchups at Buffalo
System Match: PLAY OVER the total

(451) NEW ENGLAND at (452) TENNESSEE
* Favorites are 8-4-1 ATS in the last 13 of the NE-TEN series
System Match: PLAY TENNESSEE ATS

(455) NEW ORLEANS at (456) CAROLINA
* The last four games of the NO-CAR rivalry in Carolina went Under the total
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total

(467) WASHINGTON at (468) NY GIANTS
* Under the total is 6-0-1 in the last seven of the WAS-NYG series at New York
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total(477)

TAMPA BAY at (478) KANSAS CITY
* Underdogs are on a 5-1-1 ATS run in the TB-KC series
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY ATS

 

[ozzy44]

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Houston @ New York Jets -2, Total 42​

Texans 9-2 SU past 11 conference games

Jets are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Thursday, 1-6 ATS past 7

Jets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the favorite.

Texans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog

Jets are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games.

Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Houston.

NY Jets are 2-15 SU while going 4-13 ATS in the last 17 primetime games
System Match: FADE NY JETS (-1.5 vs HOU)

HOUSTON at NY JETS
* Underdogs are on 6-0-1 ATS run in the HOU-NYJ series
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON ATS

Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 35-36 SU and 41-28-2 ATS (59.4%) in the last 71.
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON (+1.5 at NYJ)


There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 24-22 SU but 15-29-2 ATS (34.1%). Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 and later are 37-25 SU and 36-24-2 ATS (60%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match: PLAY NY JETS (-1.5 vs. HOU)

Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last four seasons, going 24-32 SU and 19-36-1 ATS (34.5%).
System Match: FADE NY JETS (-1.5 vs. HOU)

Bad TNF Team Trends
Houston 3-7 SU and ATS in the last 10
System Match: FADE HOUSTON (+1.5 at NYJ)

NY Jets 1-6 SU and ATS in the last seven, allowed 28.9 PPG
System Match: FADE NY JETS (-1.5 vs. HOU)

Over the total TNF Team Trends
NY Jets 6-3 OVER in L9
System Match: PLAY OVER in HOU-NYJ (o/u at 42)

 

[indiana]

C/notes and U/dog.........here's to an enjoyable weekend guys......
thank you for all you do.....much appreciated.........indy

 

[CNOTES]

Good Luck to you Indy............

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 31​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
HOU at NYJ		HOU +2.0 O 42.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/31/2024.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%................- 11.00
10/28/2024.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%.................+ 0.00
10/27/2024.................9 - 5 - 0..................64.28%.................+ 17.50
10/24/2024.................2 - 0 - 0................100.00%.................+ 10.00
10/21/2024.................2 - 2 - 0..................50.00%.................- 1,00
10/20/2024.................2 - 4 - 0..................33.33%.................- 12.00
10/14/2024.................0 - 2 - 0..................00.00%.................- 11.00
10/13/2024.................5 - 9 - 2..................35.71%.................- 20.00
10/10/2024.................1 - 1 - 0..................50.00%..................- 0.50
10/06/2024...............7 - 10 - 0.................41.17%..................- 20.00
10/03/2024..................0 - 2 - 0.................00.00%..................-11.00

TOTALS.....................29- 38- 2..................43.28%..................-59.00

***************************************************

SEPT.TOTALS.............48 - 46 - 2..................51.06%...................- 19.50
OCTOBER...................29 - 38 - 2..................43.28%...................- 59.00

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams playing the slowest tempo:
— San Antonio Spurs
— New York Knicks
— Houston Rockets
— Miami Heat
— Minnesota Timberwolves
— Detroit Pistons

Quote of the Day
“Today you are YOU, that is TRUER than true.
There is NO ONE alive who is YOUER than YOU!!”
Dr Seuss

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, what number did Beatty’s character wear?

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban.

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; there has never been a Game 6 or 7, there have been only five Game 5’s.

********************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..​

Kind of an unusual Halloween at Armadillo World HQ; I had plenty of candy to hand out, since the weather here has been great, but my doorbell only rang once all night.
What makes it weird is when the doorbell rang, there were 15-16 kids outside, all with the same couple of adults. Nice kids; the older ones all said thank you. I was just glad the candy went to good use; they wound up with almost half the candy I had here.
Thought more kids would be around; I live in a suburban neighborhood, and it was warm out.

— Jets 21, Texans 13
Jets’ win snaps their five-game losing skid.
Jets in first half: 23 plays, 79 yards, no points
Jets in second half: 31 plays, 220 yards, 21 points
WR Wilson caught nine passes for 90 yards, two TD’s.
Houston led 7-0 at halftime.
Last three weeks, Texans were outscored 41-15 in second half.
Houston QB Stroud completed only 11-31 passes, was sacked 8 times.
Jets would’ve scored TD in first half, but the genius carrying the ball had to show off and dropped the ball before he crossed the goal line- it was his first NFL carry.

— Early season NBA trends (thru Wednesday’s games):
Home favorites are 17-20 ATS
Home underdogs are 16-13 ATS
Teams playing 2nd night in row: 14-9 ATS
Over is 5-0 in Atlanta games.
Over is 4-1 in Toronto games.
Over is 4-1 in Orlando games.
Under is 4-1 in Detroit games.

— Tulane 34, Charlotte 3
Green Wave led 10-3 at halftime.
Tulane has now won six games in a row.
Green Wave was 11-16 on third down, Charlotte 1-9.
Tulane ran 78 plays, Charlotte 44.

— Baseball trade: Braves traded OF Jorge Soler to the Angels for P Griffin Canning.
Soler had an .849 OPS in 49 games with the Braves LY, after he came over from the Giants.
Canning was 6-13, 5.19 in 31 starts for the Angels last year.

— This is first time since 1988 that Oklahoma’s football team has lost three consecutive games by 10+ points.

— Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has it in his contract that he can’t play golf, among other sports; when Philly owner Jeff Lurie played golf with Barack Obama recently, Hurts apparently just rode along in a golf cart all day.

— Orlando Magic star Paolo Banchero scored 50 points Monday, but he tore an oblique muscle in Wednesday’s game and is now out at least 4-6 weeks.

— Famous birthdays, November 1st
Joe Caldwell, 83
Tom Mack, 81
Ted Hendricks, 77
Kent Graham, 56
Toni Collette, 52
Jake Voskuhl, 47
Coco Crisp, 45
Stephen Vogt, 40
Brent Rooker, 30

— Random NHL trend:
When an NHL team is playing a second consecutive night on the road, over is 10-4 in those games.

— Five NHL franchises that are worth the most:
$3.66B- Toronto Maple Leafs
$3.25B- New York Rangers
$2.93B- Montreal Canadiens
$2.67B- Boston Bruins
$2.5B- Los Angeles Kings

— Random trivia: Billy Joel, the great musician, had a 22-2 record as a Golden Gloves boxer when he was a kid; he broke his nose in the 24th fight, and that was it for his boxing career.

— Chris Davis is the new athletic director at Georgia Southern; when he was in college at Miami (FL), he spent some time as Ibis, the Hurricanes’ mascot.

— A’s will play home games in Sacramento the next three years; last year, from June 23-July 12, the average high temperature in Sacramento was 103.8.
Groundskeepers are going to have their hands full, keeping that field in good shape, since the A’s are sharing the stadium with the Giants’ AAA farm team.

— DePaul/Georgetown’s basketball teams were a combined 2-38 in conference games last year; to try and improve their teams’ confidence, both teams have seven games in November, with all 14 games on their home floors.

— NFL teams who have gone over total a lot:
Ravens, over 7-1
Bucs/Panthers, over 6-2
Cowboys, over 5-2

NFL teams who have stayed under total a lot:
Chargers, under 6-1
Texans/Giants, 6-2
Dolphins, under 5-2

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Early season scoring leaders in the NBA:
31.5— Nikola Jokic, Den/Tyrese Maxey, Phil
30.6— Anthony Davis, LAL
30.4— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.2— Jayson Tatum, Bos
30.0— Anthony Edwards, Minn
29.0— Paolo Banchero, Orl

Quote of the Day
“I’m at a loss for words. I didn’t have anything to do with this championship, but it feels like I have the best feeling in the world……..I think there’s just a lot more happiness, honestly. Just so happy to be able to celebrate finally. That parade was for this season, and I feel that this season was unique in its own, and we’re going to celebrate accordingly. But 2020, too — it’s a long time coming. We had a long time coming for this parade.”
Clayton Kershaw

Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. What well-known actor took over as president in those two episodes?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, Beatty’s character wears number 16. Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB in real life when the movie was made.

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..​

— $3,458,211,026
Almost $3,5 BILLION dollars; seems like a lot of money.
Since 2010, thats how much money the Bronx Bombers have spent on players’ salaries; 15 seasons, a total of $3,458,211,026, works out to a little more than $230,547,400 a year.
For their $3,458,211,026, Bronx has been in the World Series once, lost 4-1, so they’ve won one World Series game in 15 years. Overall, since 2010, they’re 39-43 in playoff games. They won the AL East six times in those 15 years, made playoffs 11 times.

— World Series titles the last 15 years:
3- Giants
2- Red Sox, Astros, Dodgers
1- Braves, Cubs, Royals, Cardinals, Rangers, Nationals
10 teams have won a championship since 2010.

— I root for the Oakland/Sacramento/Las Vegas A’s, a team that is famous because the cheap bastards who’ve owned the team for the last 25 years don’t try to win.
They made a movie with Brad Pitt because the A’s made the playoffs every year from 2000-03, despite their small payroll, but the A’s haven’t won a World Series since 1989, and it is doubtful they ever will again.
That said, I’m pretty sure if they gave Billy Beane $230,547,400 a year for 15 years, he’d win a World Series. Maybe two.

— UConn 34, Georgia State 27
Huskies ran ball 43 times for 271 yards (6.3/carry)
UConn led 13-10 at half.
Jim Mora Jr’s Huskies are 6-3, bowl eligible.

— South Florida 44, Florida Atlantic 21
FAU led 14-7 at halftime.
South Florida scored the last 30 points of the game.
USF was only 4-14 on third down, 3-3 on 4th down.

— Boise State 56, San Diego State 24
Broncos led 35-10 at halftime.
Boise State outgained the Aztecs, 541-256
Broncos have won six in a row since a 37-34 loss at Oregon.

— Minnesota 119, Denver 116
Minnesota scored the last ten points of the game.
Edwards scored 29 points for the Timberwolves.
Jokic had 26 points, 13 assists, 9 assists for Denver.

— Famous birthdays, November 2nd
Ron Reed, 82
Stefanie Powers, 82
Tom Paciorek, 78
Mark May, 65
Willie McGee, 65
David Schwimmer, 58
Danny Amendola, 39
Jimmy Garoppolo, 33
Jordan Love, 26
Parker Meadows, 25

— Jacoby Brissett has had an interesting NFL career, playing QB for five teams in nine years. Someday he can write a very interesting book.
His last five seasons:
2020- Threw 8 passes as a backup for the Colts.
2021- was 2-3 as a starter for Miami; he threw 225 passes.
2022- 4-7 as a starter for Cleveland; he threw 369 passes.
2023- threw 23 passes in three games as a backup for Washington
2024- 1-4 as a starter for New England; he’s thrown 159 passes.

— Teams playing the Chicago Bears this season have gone under their team total in all seven games.

— Grand Canyon Antelopes are moving from the WAC to the Mountain West; they don’t have football, so this move strengthens the Mountain West’s basketball profile. Grand Canyon is 94-32 in four years under Bryce Drew, making the NCAA’s in three of those four years.

— Baseball stuff
Free agency starts officially next week, but couple things happened Friday:
P Blake Snell opted out of his contract with the Giants, walking away from the $47M he would have banked had he opted in. Snell was 5-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts LY, throwing a no-hitter, but 20 starts isn’t enough when you’re making $31M/year.
1B Rhys Hoskins exercised his $18M option for 2025 in Milwaukee; he could’ve taken $4M to take a hike, but he’s smart. Hoskins hit .214 last year, but had 26 HRs, 82 RBI.

— Miami Heat-Washington Wizards are playing a game in Mexico Saturday.

— Florida 6, Dallas 4- Teams are playing in Finland this weekend, long way from home.

— I’m looking forward to next week; lot of stuff going on. College basketball starts, the NFL has its trade deadline and we’ll find out if our country is still a democracy. Not sure I got those three things in the proper order of importance, but next week will be interesting.
I like going to vote, seriously, I do. Mentioned the other day that Germany didn’t have any elections from 1933-49, because they became a dictatorship. I’m hoping that this year isn’t the last time I vote.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Warriors 127, Rockets 121 OT- Warriors led by 31 points in first half.
— Raptors 131, Kings 128 OT- Toronto retired Vince Carter’s #15 jersey.
— Cavaliers 114, Bucks 113- Donovan Mitchell hit a jumper with 0:00.3 left.
— Nuggets 129, Jazz 103- Utah is 0-6, NBA’s only winless team.
— Grizzlies 124, 76ers 107- Philly lost for fourth time in five games.
— Thunder 105, Clippers 92- Thunder outscored LA 24-14 in 4th quarter.

Quote of the Day
“They both played their behinds off. They always do. They have a unique chemistry……those two guys, as much as they’re gaining all those accolades, they don’t talk about it. It’s not the end-all, be-all for them.”
Miami coach Mario Cristobal, talking about his offense after a 53-31 win over Duke

Sunday’s quiz
Which team did Gerrit Cole break into the major leagues with?

Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. John Goodman’s character took over as president in those two episodes.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, Beatty’s character wears number 16. Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB in real life when the movie was made.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday………​

Don’t forget to turn your clocks back!!!!!
(spring ahead, fall back)
— Georgia 34, Florida 20
Gators led 13-6 at halftime.
Game was 20-20 with 5:00 left; Dawgs then scored 2 TD’s in a 0:58 span.
Georgia outgained Florida, 455-228.

— Vanderbilt 17, Auburn 7
Commodores are 6-3, bowl eligible for first time since 2018.
Auburn is 3-6; they outgained the Commodores, 327-227.
Last time Vandy beat Alabama/Auburn in same season: 1955.

— Ohio State 20, Penn State 13
Buckeyes ran for 176 yards, outgained Penn State, 358-270.
Penn State’s only TD was a pick-6 in first quarter- they led 10-0.
James Franklin is 4-17 vs Michigan/Ohio State, 1-10 against Buckeyes.

— Ole Miss 63, Arkansas 31
QB Dart threw for 515 yards, six TD’s.
WR Watkins caught 8 passes for 254 yards, 5 TD’s.
Ole Miss gained 694 yards, averaged 16.5 yards/pass attempt.

— Miami 53, Duke 31
Duke led 28-17 with 8:00 left in third quarter.
Miami QB Ward was 25-41/400 passing, with 5 TD’s.
Hurricanes are 9-0, with Ga Tech, Wake Forest, Syracuse left

— Upsets of the Week:
Hawai’i (+14) 21, Fresno State 20
Texas Tech (+13.5) 23, Iowa State 22
Houston (+13.5) 24, Kansas State 19
Rice (+10.5) 24, Navy 10
Louisville (+10.5) 33, Clemson 21
Wyoming (+7.5) 49, New Mexico 45
Tex-San Antonio (+7) 44, Memphis 36
Vanderbilt (+7) 17, Auburn 7

— Washington 26, USC 21
USC is 4-5 this year, 6-10 in last 16 games overall.
Washington led 20-7 at halftime, trailed 21-20 after 3rd quarter.
Trojans outgained Huskies, 459-375, but were minus-3 in turnovers.

— Texas Tech 23, Iowa State 22
Tech drove 71 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:20 left.
Cyclones had taken a 22-17 on a 44-yard TD pass with 2:11 left.
Iowa State would’ve been 8-0 for the first time ever.

— Northwestern 26, Purdue 20 OT
With game 20-20 in OT, Purdue declined to try a FG, went for it on 4th-and-6 but failed, then Northwestern scored on a walk-off 22-yard TD pass.
1-7 Purdue lost in overtime for second time in last three games.
Purdue has lost seven games in a row, their longest skid since 2016.

— Syracuse 38, Virginia Tech 31 OT
Hokies led 14-0 in 1st quarter, 21-3 midway thru third quarter.
Syracuse tied game on a TD with 0:29 left in regulation.
Tech has lost 11 games in a row that were decided by 8 or fewer points.

— Famous birthdays, November 2nd
Dwight Evans, 73
Dennis Miller, 71
Phil Simms, 69
Steve Johnson, 67
Paul Quantrill, 56
Kyle Seager, 37
Damien Woody, 37
Colin Kaepernick, 37
Ty Lawson, 37

— Wyoming 49, New Mexico 45
Lobos led 45-35 after three quarters; it was 35-35 at halftime.
Wyoming QB Anderson threw for 342 yards, 3 TDs in his first college start.
Total yardage was 604-576, Wyoming.

— Texas-San Antonio 44, Memphis 36
Game was 24-24 at halftime.
UTSA QB McCown has thrown for 714 yards, 8 TD’s in his last two games.
Memphis was minus-2 in turnovers, had 12 penalties for 86 yards.

— Rice 24, Navy 10
Navy lost for second game in a row, after their 6-0 start.
EJ Warner threw for 239 yards and a touchdown.
Owls were a 13.5-point underdog; this was first game since they fired their coach.

— Toledo 29, Eastern Michigan 28
Down 29-22, EMU threw 36-yard TD pass on last play of the game.
Eagles went for 2 points and the win, but they didn’t get it.
Eagles lost after leading 19-7 after third quarter.

— SMU 48, Pittsburgh 25
Mustangs led previously-unbeaten Pitt 31-3 at halftime.
RB Smith ran for 161 yards and two TD’s.
SMU is 8-1, 5-0 in their first season in the ACC.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Sunday, November 3

 

[Udog]

 

[ozzy44]

Westgate NFL SuperContest Picks, Odds & Standings from Las Vegas​

2024 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST WEEK 9 10/29/24 – 11/04/24
OFFICIAL LINES/ODDS FOR WEEK 9	WEEK 9 PICKS BY # OF TEAMS SELECTED
HOME TEAM IN CAPS NY JETS -2 vs. Texans TITANS -3.5 vs. Patriots Chargers -2 vs. BROWNS Saints -7 vs. PANTHERS BILLS -6 vs. Dolphins FALCONS -2.5 vs. Cowboys RAVENS -9 vs. Broncos BENGALS -7 vs. Raiders VIKINGS -5.5 vs. Colts Commanders -3.5 vs. NY GIANTS CARDINALS E vs. Bears Rams -1.5 vs. SEAHAWKS Lions -3 vs. PACKERS EAGLES -7.5 vs. Jaguars CHIEFS -9 vs. Buccaneers	ARI 385 BUF 339 WAS 334 LAR 329 ATL 310 GB 306 CLE 268 IND 243 DEN 236 MIN 198 DET 194 LAC 191 NE 180 TB 169 NYG 167 NO 156 TOP 5 YTD RECORD 16-23-1	MIA 153 PHI 147 DAL 141 CIN 139 BAL 138 JAX 131 SEA 131 CHI 112 TEN 94 LV 89 NYJ 84 CAR 80 KC 64 HOU 42 SF 0 PIT 0 RECORD LAST WEEK 2-3
TOP 10 SUPERCONTEST PLAYER PICKS AND STANDING
MEYER LANDSCAPING – W29 L10 LW 5-0 Week 9 Picks: BUF ATL MIN WAS PHI KENOCOP – W28 L11 LW 2-3 Week 9 Picks: BUF IND WAS LAR DET BOOROO – W28 L12 LW 5-0 Week 9 Picks: DAL CIN MIN SEA GB CBPB – W28 L12 LW 4-1 Week 9 Picks: NO BUF MIN WAS LAR TA2 RG – W27 L12 LW 4-1 Week 9 Picks: DAL CIN IND WAS TB LOCA LOSERS – W27 L12 LW 4-1 Week 9 Picks: BUF MIN WAS LAR DET MAYBE TOMORROW 4 – W27 L12 LW 4-1 Week 9 Picks: NE LV WAS ARI JAX BIG LOUS BOYS – W27 L12 LW 4-1 Week 9 Picks: CLE MIA DAL SEA GB DAMN I AM GOOD – W27 L12 LW 3-2 Week 9 Picks: NYJ CLE MIA IND CHI RAIDERNATION 2 – W27 L12 LW 3-2 Week 9 Picks: LAC ATL WAS ARI DET

 

[ozzy44]

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NO at CAR	01:00 PM	CAR +7.0 U 43.5	+500 +500
MIA at BUF	01:00 PM	MIA +6.0 O 49.0	+500 +500
WAS at NYG	01:00 PM	WAS -4.0 U 44.0	+500 +500
DAL at ATL	01:00 PM	DAL +3.5 O 52.0	+500 +500
LAC at CLE	01:00 PM	LAC -1.5 U 42.0	+500 +500
DEN at BAL	01:00 PM	BAL -9.0 U 46.5	+500 +500
NE at TEN	01:00 PM	TEN -3.5 U 38.5	+500 +500
LV at CIN	01:00 PM	LV +8.0 O 45.0	+500 +500
JAC at PHI	04:05 PM	JAC +7.5 O 45.5	+500 +500
CHI at ARI	04:05 PM	ARI -2.0 U 44.5	+500 +500
LA at SEA	04:25 PM	LA -1.0 O 48.0	+500 +500
DET at GB	04:25 PM	GB +2.5 U 48.0	+500 +500
IND at MIN	08:20 PM	IND +5.0 O 47.0	+500 +500