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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

--. Florida fired football coach Will Muschamp, but let him say he resigned and he'll coach the rest of the season. No one quits a job that pays that much.

-- Don't feel bad for Muschamp; he'll land as an SEC coordinator and those guys make as much as $1M a year, so he'll still be doing alright, no matter what.

-- San Jose State lost 13-0 at home to Hawai'i Saturday, but never punted; they had three turnovers, missed three FGs, lost ball three times on downs.

-- Seattle-KC game Sunday was first NFL game this year where both teams ran ball for more yards than they passed it. Old-time football.

-- Georgia RB Tood Gurley was suspended for getting some money for signing his name on memorabilia; he came back Saturday, then tore his ACL. Sad thing.

-- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week, are now 36-30 this year after going 4-2 Sunday

**********


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.......

13) Under is 10-3 so far this week, with an alarming shortage of touchdowns; with one game left this week, a total of only 44 TDs were scored by offenses in 13 games, compared to 64 in 13 games last weekend.

Of the four non-offensive TDs scored this week, three of them were scored by Green Bay in its 53-20 win over Philadelphia.

12) Texans 23, Browns 7-- JJ Watt caught a TD pass; Browns came up empty on two red zone drives and fell out of first in AFC North. Houston won Ryan Mallett's first NFL start. Cleveland had a kick return for TD called back by penalty; they were just 3-15 on third down conversions.

11) Bears 21, Vikings 13-- Minnesota led 10-0 early, but Chicago used their WRs' height to their advantage; Jeffery had 135 receiving yards, Marshall 90. Bears won 19 of 28 3rd downs in this game and that was a big part of the difference.

10) Packers 53, Eagles 20-- Philly got drubbed playing on short week, giving up two defensive TDs and a punt return TD. All four Green Bay TD drives were 80+ yards; they've scored 50+ points two games in row and outscored last four visitors to Green Bay by combined score of 128-9 in first half of those games.

9) Chiefs 24, Seahawks 20-- Marshawn Lynch stayed on the bench with trainers at halftime; they worked on a leg injury. He also refused to talk to reporters after game and could be fined $100K by the league. First drive by Chiefs, second drive for Seattle ate up total of 18:01, on 31 plays for 176 yards, which shortened game a great deal.

This game was first NFL contest this year where both teams ran ball for more yards than they passed it. Thats actually hard to believe, but it is true.

8) Falcons 19, Panthers 17-- Atlanta is 4-0 in divisional games, 0-6 against everyone but is now in first place in NFC South. At 4-6. Carolina missed a 46-yard FG with 1:27 left wide left, then had a 63-yarder tipped at the gun. Panthers are 1-7-1 in their last nine games, after starting season 2-0.

7) Bengals 27, Saints 10-- New Orleans has problems, losing second home game in row; this was an odd game where teams combined to convert 17 of 26 on third down, but game stayed under total by 13.5 points, with Saints' longest play only 17 yards. Everyone in AFC North is either 6-4 or 6-3-1; they're killing the NFC South teams-- so far this year, AFC North is 8-1-1 against NFC South (Bucs won at Pittsburgh).

6) Buccaneers 27, Redskins 7-- We're learning that the real star of LY's Texas A&M football team might've been WR Mike Evans, not Johnny Manziel. Evans caught seven balls for 209 yards and two TDs. Washington has a real dilemma with RGIII, who as one patron in the Westgate Theater said Sunday ".....RGIII looks awful today!!!!"

5) Rams 22, Broncos 7-- Rams played perfect defense, offense didn't screw anything up, hit one big play and an upset happened. Odd stat of the day: Rams are now 7-0 vs spread, 6-1 SU when I am in Las Vegas and they were underdog in six of seven games. Maybe I should move here. Ram DBs hit like Hall of Famers in this game.

4) 49ers 16, Giants 10-- When you turn ball over five times on 12 drives, go 3/out on four other drives, you're going to lose. 49ers scored only six points on three red zone drives, didn't recover an onside kick, butchered an easy FG, but escaped with a win. Aldon Smith's return meant a reduced role for Ahmad Brooks, who was not happy.

3) Chargers 13, Raiders 6-- Oakland fumbled on first play; Chargers scored couple plays after that and that was only TD all day. San Diego averaged only 5.0 ypp; they are having problems protecting Rivers, so they're reduced to shorter pass plays. Next week the Rams visit Qualcomm after beating Denver; should be a good game.

Chargers had 15-yard edge in field position in this game; teams with 10+-yard edge in field position are now 54-1 this season.

2) Cardinals 14, Lions 6-- Arizona is now 9-1 but will be an underdog in Seattle next week. This game had a scoreless second half. Detroit had only 11 first downs, was outgained by 95 yards, averaging only 4.8 ypa, half of what Arizona averaged. Best part about Bruce Arians is that he rarely stops attacking, on offense or defense.

1) Patriots 42, Colts 20-- Brady threw ugly INT at end of first half that let the Colts creep within 14-10, but Patriots were juggernaut in second half, scoring first four times they had ball (31 plays, 272 yards)- they ran ball for 244 yards, were more physical.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 17

Hot Teams
-- Mavericks won/covered four of their last five games.
-- Cavaliers won last four games, covering three (2-1 HF).
-- Orlando covered last six games (4-3 last seven SU).
-- Houston won nine of its ten games (1-0 AU). Memphis won eight of its nine games (1-4 HF).
-- Spurs won three of last four games (0-3 HF).
-- Portland won six of last seven games (4-2 HF). Pelicans won four of last five games (1-2 AU).
-- Bulls won all five road games (1-0 AU). Clippers are 5-3 this month, but 1-7 vs spread (1-5 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Denver lost seven of last eight games (1-3 AU).
-- Hornets lost three of their last four games (3-1H, 0-0 HU).
-- Pistons lost four of last five games (0-4 HF).
-- Miami lost last three games by 6-11-7 points (1-2 AU). .
-- Nets lost last three games, by 8-8-10 points (2-2 HF).
-- Celtics lost five of their last seven games (1-1 HU). Phoenix lost four of its last six games (0-2 AU).
-- 76ers are 0-9, but covered four of their last six games.

Series Records
-- Cavaliers won three in a row against Denver, by 10-8-9 points.
-- Mavericks won nine of last eleven against the Hornets, but lost last two visits to Charlotte.
-- Magic lost four of last five visits to Detroit.
-- Miami beat Nets in five games in playoffs LY, after going 0-4 against Brooklyn in the regular season.
-- Suns won six of last nine games with Boston.
-- Rockets lost six of last seven visits to Memphis.
-- Spurs won their last six games with Philly (5-1 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost eight of last eleven games with Portland.
-- Clippers won last four games with Chicago, three by 17+ points.

Totals
-- Last four Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Dallas games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Orlando road games went over.
-- Four of last five Brooklyn games went over; six of Miami's last seven games stayed under.
-- Last six Boston games went over the total.
-- Eight of nine Houston games stayed under.
-- Seven of nine San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Last five New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Four of last five games for both Bulls, Clippers went over.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 26-14 ATS: West 21-19
East teams HF vs West: 8-8
East teams HU vs West: 3-1
West teams HF vs East: 8-8
West teams HU vs East: 4-0
 

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Monday, November 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Charlotte is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home

7:00 PM
DENVER vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. DETROIT
Orlando is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Orlando

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BROOKLYN
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. BOSTON
Phoenix is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PORTLAND
New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-12-3 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Chicago is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
LA Clippers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Clippers last 15 games at home
 

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Dunkel

Will update ASAP

Dallas at Charlotte
The Mavericks head to Charlotte tonight to face a Hornets team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games versus Southwest Division opponents. Dallas is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Game 501-502: Denver at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.327; Cleveland 125.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+12 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Dallas at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 124.810; Charlotte 118.718
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Orlando at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.542; Detroit 119.921
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line & Total:
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 509-510: Phoenix at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.577; Boston 119.789
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Houston at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.487; Memphis 125.978
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 186
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3); Under

Game 513-514: Philadelphia at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.195; San Antonio 127.399
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 16; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+16); Under

Game 515-516: New Orleans at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line & Total:
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 517-518: Chicago at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line & Total:
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, November 17

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DENVER (2 - 7) at CLEVELAND (5 - 3) - 11/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 145-194 ATS (-68.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 3) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 6) - 11/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 32-62 ATS (-36.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (4 - 7) at DETROIT (3 - 7) - 11/17/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 5) at BROOKLYN (4 - 5) - 11/17/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (5 - 5) at BOSTON (3 - 5) - 11/17/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 107-141 ATS (-48.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 78-116 ATS (-49.6 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (9 - 1) at MEMPHIS (9 - 1) - 11/17/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 69-41 ATS (+23.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 4) - 11/17/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 863-754 ATS (+33.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 681-581 ATS (+41.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 439-367 ATS (+35.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 343-278 ATS (+37.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (5 - 3) at PORTLAND (7 - 3) - 11/17/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 3) - 11/17/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Monday, November 17


Heat G Dwyane Wade, doubtful Monday

Wade has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury and is unlikely to return Monday against the Nets.


Bulls PG Derrick Rose, doubtful Monday

Rose missed the last game with a left hamstring injury and is unlikely to play Monday against the Clippers.


Wolves shopping Corey Brewer

The Minnesota Timberwolves, fresh off heavy back-to-back losses in New Orleans and Dallas and in the latest indication of their growing focus on the future, are in active trade discussions with multiple contending teams pursuing veteran swingman Corey Brewer, according to league sources.


Wolves shopping Corey Brewer

The Minnesota Timberwolves, fresh off heavy back-to-back losses in New Orleans and Dallas and in the latest indication of their growing focus on the future, are in active trade discussions with multiple contending teams pursuing veteran swingman Corey Brewer, according to league sources.


Raymond Felton ban to start Monday

The Dallas Mavericks plan for guard Raymond Felton to begin serving his four-game suspension during Monday's game against the Charlotte Hornets, coach Rick Carlisle said. The NBA announced Felton's suspension, which stems from his guilty plea to gun charges in New York from last season, in August.
 

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NBA RATED PICKS


*****.................................18 - 20


DOUBLE PLAYS.....................10 - 17 - 1


TRIPLE PLAYS.......................16 - 13


SLAM DUNK.........................11 - 17




( RATED PICKS AND OPINONS )


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/16/14 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
11/15/14 11-*9-*0 55.00% +*550 Detail
11/14/14 10-*10-*0 50.00% -*500 Detail
11/13/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3350 Detail
11/12/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/11/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/10/14 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
11/09/14 10-*6-*0 62.50% +*1700 Detail
11/08/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/07/14 7-*15-*0 31.82% -*4750 Detail
11/06/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail
11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail
Totals 116-*120-*2 49.15% -*8000


Monday, November 17


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Dallas - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +3.5 500 *****
Charlotte - Under 200.5 500


Denver - 7:00 PM ET Denver +11.5 500
Cleveland - Over 216.5 500


Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Boston +2 500
Boston - Over 216 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Miami - 7:30 PM ET Brooklyn -5.5 500
Brooklyn - Over 196 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Orlando - 7:30 PM ET Orlando +4 500 SLAM DUNK
Detroit - Under 191 500


Houston - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -4 500 *****
Memphis - Under 186.5 500


Philadelphia - 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia +16 500
San Antonio - Under 195.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


New Orleans - 10:00 PM ET Portland -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland - Under 203 500


Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Chicago +5.5 500
L.A. Clippers - Over 198.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting college football games this weekend........

-- K-State @ West Virginia-- Better than average Thursday night game.

-- Minnesota @ Nebraska-- Huskers are 11-point favorite that allowed Badgers to run for 581 yards last week; what do you think their practices are like this week?

-- Wisconsin @ Iowa-- Can QB Stave hit some big passes against Hawkeye defense that undoubtedly will focus on RB Gordon.

-- Ole Miss @ Arkansas-- Bielema got SEC monkey off his back last week, now the Rebels come to town with a better offense than LSU's. Interesting game.

-- Arizona @ Utah-- Wildcats find way to win every week; their kicker used to be the manager of the womens' soccer team. He won the Washington game Saturday.

-- USC @ UCLA-- Mora's third year with Bruins, third different USC head coach he is going up against in this rivalry game.

**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Our bottom 5, top 8 in NFL....

32) Raiders-- Oakland has now lost 16 games in row, but are 5-5 vs spread this year. Their last win was at Houston, last home win against the Steelers.

31) Jaguars-- Outscored 46-13 in the first half of last three games; they had bye this week, are 3-1 in last four post-bye games.

30) Jets-- Were outscored 65-21 in last two post-bye games; have winnable game this week in Buffalo. Jets are 3-8-1 in last 12 games as divisional road underdog.

29) Titans-- Only win since season opener was 16-14 over Jaguars. Mettenberger is promising, but three of bottom four on this list are playing rookie QBs.

28) Redskins-- When the head coach starts criticizing the starting QB in the media, there are problems. Either that, or he's not going to be the starter much longer. Making it dicier is fact that they traded a boatload of draft picks to take RGIII. Whoops.

8) Cowboys-- Do broken backs heal in two weeks? Didn't think so. Four of their last six games are divisional games- they also play the Colts. Dallas lost three of its last four post-bye games.

7) Chiefs-- Won last five games, three by 4 or less points. Scored 30.8 ppg in winning last four home games, after losing season opener to Tennessee.

6) Colts-- Got pushed around by Patriots Sunday night; they're only 6-4, one game up on the Texans in AFC South. Finish with three road games in last four weeks.

5) Seahawks-- You get feeling they're not enjoying their season too much; Pat Riley calls it "The Disease of Me" when everyone takes credit for the team's success, when it shouldn't matter who gets the credit. They need Marshawn Lynch, but he seems like a royal pain in the butt at times.

4) Broncos-- Averaging 34.6 ppg at home, where they play this week for first time in four weeks. They brought Richie Incognito in for a reason; they need help on the OL to protect their QB, who is immobile. they didn't sign him, but it was a signal they're not comfortable with their OL.

3) Packers-- On serious roll right now; they're crushing teams at home. Their game in two weeks with New England could be interesting; later they visit Buffalo/Tampa in consecutive weeks, an interesting weather contrast.

2) Patriots-- Healthy Gronkowski turned their offense into a steamroller; in their last three games, they scored 51-43-42 points. Right now they'd be #1 seed in AFC- only team within game of New England are the Chiefs, who own tie-breakers with Pats.

1) Cardinals-- How in God's name is this team getting 6.5 points in Seattle this week, when they're 9-1? Stanton is as good as Palmer, but public perception is against them because they're not a popular team. This should be a good game.
 

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Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Utah
The Thunder head to Utah tonight to face a Jazz team that is 3-9-2 ATS in its last 14 home games. Oklahoma City is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 18

Game 701-702: LA Lakers at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.814; Atlanta 119.458
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: New York at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.129; Milwaukee 121.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-3); Over

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 116.883; Utah 115.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: New Orleans at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.217; Sacramento 124.981
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 200
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 18

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LA LAKERS (1 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 4) - 11/18/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
ATLANTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (3 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (5 - 5) - 11/18/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 8) at UTAH (4 - 7) - 11/18/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 301-249 ATS (+27.1 Units) in all games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 4) at SACRAMENTO (6 - 4) - 11/18/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 161-212 ATS (-72.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 18

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won four of their last five games (1-2-1 HF).
-- Bucks won three of last four games (1-1 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost nine of first ten games (2-2 AU).
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games (2-1-1 AU).
-- Thunder lost three of their last four games (2-4 AU). Jazz also lost three of last four games (2-2 H, 0-0 F).
-- Kings lost three of last four games, but covered seven of last nine (1-0 HF). Pelicans won/covered once in four road games (1-3 AU).

Series Records
-- Lakers lost four of last five visits to Atlanta, losing last two by 4-14.
-- Knicks won eight of last nine games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won nine of last twelve games with Utah.
-- Kings won four of last five games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Laker games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Oklahoma City games this year.
-- Five of last six New Orleans games went over.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 30-15 ATS: West 24-21
East teams HF vs West: 8-9
East teams HU vs West: 3-3
West teams HF vs East: 9-9
West teams HU vs East: 4-0





NBA

Tuesday, November 18

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. ATLANTA
LA Lakers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Atlanta
LA Lakers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Utah is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

10:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
 

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NBA

Tuesday, November 18


Hornets F Kidd-Gilchrist, questionable Wednesday

Kidd-Gilchrist has an injured right foot and missed the last three games. He is questionable to return Wednesday against the Pacers.


Mavericks, Trail Blazers are NBA's best bets

Both the Dallas Mavericks and the Portland Trail Blazers extended their win and cover streaks Monday night and are now the best bets in the NBA at 8-3 against the spread.

The Mavs went into Charlotte and crushed the Hornets 107-80 as 4-point road faves for their fourth straight win and cover.

Meanwhile, the Blazers defeated New Orleans 102-93 as 3.5-point home favorites for their fifth straight win. It was the Blazers third straight cover and they have covered the spread in seven of their past eight games.


Clippers fall to Bulls, are the Association's worst bet

The Los Angeles Clippers continue to fail to meet expectations this season after their 105-89 loss to the Chicago Bulls Monday night and they continue to be the NBA's worst bet.

The Clippers, who closed as 7-point homes favorites, struggled to keep up with a Chicago team with no Derrick Rose and Pau Gasol in the second half and have now fallen to 1-8 against the spread this season. Good for dead last in the NBA.

It doesn't get any easier for the Clippers who open a seven-game road trip in Orlando Wednesday.


Road teams, under trending Monday night

Road teams and the under where the best bets if you were laying in NBA action on Monday night.

Teams on the road went 6-3 against the spread Monday night, good for a success rate of almost 67 percent. Meanwhile the under also went 6-3.
 

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NBA roundup: Kings file protest over loss

The NBA announced Monday that the Sacramento Kings have protested the team's 111-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov. 13 at FedExForum.

The basis for the Kings' protest is that guard Courtney Lee's game-winning shot should have been disqualified as having been made after time expired.

Under the protest procedures in the NBA Constitution, Memphis and Sacramento each will have an opportunity to submit evidence in support of its position and the protest will be decided by Dec. 2.

With just 0.3 of a second showing on the clock, Grizzlies guard Vince Carter threw an overhead inbounds pass from the side of the court to under the basket. Lee raced to meet the ball and tossed it in, looking over his shoulder to see if the red light on the backboard had come on yet. It hadn't.

The officials spent several minutes reviewing the play. The Kings' bench believed that Ryan Hollins, who was guarding Carter, had tipped the pass.

--The Phoenix Suns recalled two rookies, guard Tyler Ennis and forward T.J. Warren, from the Bakersfield Jam of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-3, 175-pound Ennis, the 18th overall pick of the 2014 draft from Syracuse, has appeared in two games with the Suns this season. Warren (6-8, 230), the 14th overall selection from North Carolina State, has played in one game with the Suns.

--The Sacramento Kings recalled rookie forward Eric Moreland from Reno of the NBA Development League.

The 6-foot-10, 218-pound Moreland, who played at Oregon State, was assigned to Reno on Nov. 4 and played in two games for the Bighorns. He totaled 30 points with 26 rebounds, three assists, five steals and one block in 58 minutes in starting both games.

--The Cleveland Cavaliers recalled rookie center Alex Kirk from the Canton Charge of the NBA Development League.

The 7-foot, 245-pound Kirk, 23, has appeared in two games for the Cavs this season, scoring two points.

-- The Los Angeles Lakers will be without forward Ryan Kelly for at least six weeks after he tore his right hamstring on Sunday night against the Golden State Warriors.

Kelly was examined on Monday morning when an ultrasound revealed the injury.

He has appeared in three games this season and averaged 3.7 points a game.
 

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NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 18

LA Lakers at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
LA Lakers: 23-9 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Atlanta: 14-27 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

New York at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
New York: 34-20 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
Milwaukee: 64-92 ATS in home games off a road win

Oklahoma City at Utah, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 53-29 ATS off a home loss
Utah: 6-16 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games

New Orleans at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
New Orleans: 19-9 OVER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Sacramento: 8-19 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins
 

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Hoop Trends - Tuesday


November 18, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bucks are 0-14 ATS (-10.32 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 20% of their points from the free throw line.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Kings are 0-10 OU (-8.70 ppg) since Mar 06, 2007 as a favorite with rest after a win where their field goal to turnover ratio was at least eight.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Lakers are 0-9 ATS (-8.11 ppg) since Nov 30, 2010 on the road after Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots in a home loss


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Lakers are 2-20 ATS as a dog after a game in which they scored less than 13.5% of their points from the three-point line.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Knicks are 7-0 OU (16.50 ppg) since Mar 16, 2012 after JR Smith increased his scoring by at least 15 points last game at home over the game prior.
 

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Tuesday's Tip Sheet


November 18, 2014


Road teams dominated last night in the NBA, posting a 6-3 SU/ATS record, including the Nuggets pulling off a major upset of the Cavaliers as 12 ½-point underdogs, 106-97. The ‘under’ cashed in six of the nine games, including the two late tips between the Pelicans/Blazers and Bulls/Clippers. Only four games take place tonight on the NBA card, led off by the Lakers going for just their second win of the season in Atlanta.


Lakers at Hawks (-9 ½, 212) – 7:05 PM EST


It’s been a train wreck through 10 games for the Purple and Gold so far, as Los Angeles has won just one time. The Lakers begin a three-game road trip tonight after getting blown out at home by the Spurs and Warriors. How bad has L.A.’s defense been so far? Byron Scott’s team has allowed at least 107 points in eight of nine losses, but the Lakers managed a pair of backdoor covers on its most recent road swing at Memphis and New Orleans. Los Angeles owns a perfect 4-0 mark to the ‘over’ on the highway, while going 7-3 to the ‘over’ in 10 games overall this season.


The Hawks haven’t lost yet at Philips Arena, posting a 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS record. However, Atlanta looks to bounce back after getting run out at Cleveland on Saturday, 127-94, as the Cavs dropped 71 points in the first half. The Hawks converted just 3-of-22 three-pointers, while Cleveland drilled 19-of-31 attempts from downtown. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for the Hawks, who enter tonight’s action putting up at least 100 points in all four home victories.


The home team has won nine of the past 10 meetings, as the Hawks are 4-1 against the Lakers in the previous five matchups at Philips Arena.


Knicks at Bucks (-3, 189 ½) – 8:05 PM EST


Believe it or not, New York owned a 2-1 record to start the season, which included an upset of Cleveland as 13-point road underdogs. The Knicks went on to drop seven consecutive games before knocking off the Nuggets, 109-93 as 1 ½-point favorites on Sunday, as New York limited Denver to just eight points in the second quarter. Derek Fisher’s squad heads to the Midwest for a back-to-back set that continues to Minnesota on Wednesday, as the Knicks have lost three straight road games since beating the Cavaliers.


The Bucks return home after a splitting a pair of games in the Sunshine State, capped off by a 91-84 victory at Miami as five-point underdogs. Milwaukee has cashed the ‘under’ in seven straight contests, including a perfect 4-0 ‘under’ mark at home. Jason Kidd’s team isn’t listed as a favorite that often, but the Bucks have won and covered in both opportunities this season against the 76ers and Thunder.


Last season, the Knicks grabbed three of four meetings from the Bucks, while the two teams split a pair of matchups at BMO Harris Center.


Thunder at Jazz (-4, 189) – 9:05 PM EST


Utah returns home following a 2-3 road trip, as the Jazz are listed as a favorite against the Thunder for the first time since February 2011. Quin Snyder’s club has been an up and down from a betting standpoint, putting together a 6-5 ATS record, while laying points for the first time this season. Obviously if Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were playing for OKC tonight, the Thunder would be favored, but the Jazz looks to improve on a 2-2 SU/ATS home mark, which includes wins over the Suns and Cavaliers.


Oklahoma City heads back on the road tonight after dropping pair of home contests to Detroit and Houston, but the Thunder improved to 4-0 ATS as a home ‘dog in Sunday’s 69-65 setback to the Rockets. The Thunder has won just once in five tries away from Chesapeake Energy Arena, while going 0-3 SU/ATS in the front end of a back-to-back set, as they head to Denver on Wednesday night.


Previous series history doesn’t mean much heading into tonight with Durant and Westbrook sidelined, but the Thunder won three of four matchups from the Jazz last season, while Utah has covered four of the past five home meetings with OKC, all as an underdog.


Pelicans at Kings (-3 ½, 200) – 10:05 PM EST


New Orleans plays with no rest tonight after blowing a 16-point lead in last night’s 102-93 setback at Portland as 3 ½-point underdogs. The Pelicans were outscored in the fourth quarter, 34-13, as Anthony Davis put up another solid game for New Orleans in the loss with 31 points and 11 rebounds. New Orleans has struggled on the road this season, dropping three of four games away from the Big Easy, with their only away victory coming at San Antonio as seven-point ‘dogs.


Sacramento overcame a pair of road meltdowns at Dallas and Memphis to hold off San Antonio on Saturday as short home ‘dogs, 94-91. The Kings have won three straight games at Sleep Train Arena following an opening night loss to the Warriors, while laying points at home for just the second time this season. Sacramento has put up several solid defensive efforts at home against playoff competition, limiting the Warriors, Blazers, and Spurs all to 95 points or less.


The Kings grabbed three of the final four meetings from the Pelicans last season, while limiting New Orleans to 97 points or fewer in all three victories.
 

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NBA RATED PICKS


*****.................................18 - 20


DOUBLE PLAYS.....................11 - 19 - 1


TRIPLE PLAYS.......................18 - 13


SLAM DUNK.........................12 - 17




Tuesday, November 18


Game Score Status Pick Amount


L.A. Lakers - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Atlanta - Under 213.5 500


New York - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee -2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Under 191.5 500


Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma City +3 500 *****
Utah - Under 186.5 500 *****


New Orleans - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento -2.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Sacramento - Over 201.5 500


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/17/14 9-*9-*0 50.00% -*450 Detail
11/16/14 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
11/15/14 11-*9-*0 55.00% +*550 Detail
11/14/14 10-*10-*0 50.00% -*500 Detail
11/13/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3350 Detail
11/12/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/11/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/10/14 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
11/09/14 10-*6-*0 62.50% +*1700 Detail
11/08/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/07/14 7-*15-*0 31.82% -*4750 Detail
11/06/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail
11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail
Totals 125-*129-*2 49.21% -*8450
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 12 rapidly approaching.......

-- Chiefs covered their last six games as a road favorite.

-- Chicago is 2-12-2 in its last sixteen home games.

-- Colts covered 10 of last 14 divisional home games.

-- Giants covered five of last 16 divisional home games.

-- Seattle covered 15 of its last 22 as a home favorite.

-- Ravens covered seven of last nine games on Monday night. New Orleans covered five of its last six.

**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random post-vacation thoughts........

13) If you're in Las Vegas for a football Sunday, go to the Westgate Hotel, watch games in the theater there; can see all the games easily, bet on them and its a relaxing, almost quiet atmosphere. Plenty of room. I highly recommend it.

Meanwhile,, now that I'm back home, lets catch up on some things......
12) Damn I hate cold weather; get off the plane and its 25 degrees out, this after a week in the desert, where it was in the low 40's some nights. Feel bad for the people in Buffalo, who were already socked with a big winter storm. No bueno.

11) Giancarlo Stanton got $325M for 13 years from the Marlins; now that they've done that, how about moving the 20-foot tall CF fence in from 418 feet away, so that your best player doesn't look disgusted when he hits shots 410 feet that get caught? Its hard to believe Stanton will play his whole career as a Marlin....

10) Peyton Manning has played 42 regular season games with Denver: they scored 30+ points in 30 of 42 games, less than 20 twice; Sunday against the Rams and a 17-9 win at Kansas City couple years ago. Great job by Gregg Williams' defense Sunday.

9) Kentucky 72, Kansas 40-- This raises the question of whether Wildcats will lose a game, especially in a weakened SEC where Mizzou lost to UMKC, Ole Miss lost to Charleston Southern, Auburn lost by 30+ at Colorado.

8) Adrian Peterson is done for this season; lot of these athletes have kids out of wedlock with multiple women, so now they have to be wary of ex-girlfriends they had kids with who are embittered that the guy has moved on. Does Peterson still have to pay child support now that he is not getting paid anymore this year?

7) Russell Martin gets $82M for five years from Toronto. Martin is 31, he grew up in Montreal and the Blue Jays need a catcher. He made $8.5M this past year. Always risky to give a 30+-year old catcher big money-- this hurts the Pirates.

6) Miami 69, Florida 67-- Terrific win for Jim Larranaga that will speak very loudly on Selection Sunday. This rewards Miami for having PG Angel Rodriguez sit out last year when he could've played after transferring from Kansas State, but last year Miami wasn't as good. Now this year, the Hurricanes have a shot at a very big year.

5) Westgate Hotel is switching from Coke to Pepsi, so they were out of 20-ounce bottles of Coke this week, not good for me. Wonder how much money that is worth to Pepsi, getting one hotel like that to switch. Keep in mind they have several restaurants in the hotel, including a Pizza Hut and a great deli in the back of the sportsbook.

4) Rockets-Thunder played a game Sunday where no player in the game shot 50% or higher from the floor. None of them. Last time that happened? 1986.

3) Watched Wofford's win over Iona in the ESPN hoop marathon; wonder how much that helps either the Terriers or the weakened Southern Conference, which has been hurt badly by defections (Davidson/Charleston/Elon) the last couple years.

2) In Ken Whisenhunt's last 58 games as a head coach, which is 3.5 years, he's used nine different starting QB's. Nine. Thats a lot.

1) Over is 25-9 in NFL primetime games. No idea why, but it is what it is.
 

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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

The Virginia Tech Hokies got one of multiple monkeys off their backs last weekend, knocking off a ranked Duke team 17-16 as 3.5-point road underdogs in Durham. The win snapped a three-game slide and was just the Hokies’ third win since the middle of September. It also served as a splash of cold water on Frank Beamer’s blazing-hot office chair. Virginia Tech has a rivalry game with Virginia in two weeks, setting up the dreaded “lookahead letdown” spot when it travels to Wake Forest as 15-point road chalk Saturday.

The local media in Blacksburg is feeding into this situational spot, bombarding Beamer with questions about the Thanksgiving Day matchup with the Cavaliers and ignoring the challenge the Demon Deacons present this weekend – despite the coach’s best efforts to keep his team focused on Wake Forest. Virginia Tech is developing a bad habit of suffering a letdown after beating ranked opponents. It lost to Maryland after stunning No. 14 Miami last season and fell to East Carolina following its upset over No. 8 Ohio State back in Week 3.

Lookahead spot

The Toronto Raptors have picked up where they left off last season, parlaying a long-awaited playoff appearance into a strong 8-2 (7-3 ATS) start to the schedule. Toronto has a busy week with a string of three games in four nights starting Wednesday with a home stand against the Memphis Grizzlies and finishing with a massive matchup with LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday. In between those two games are the lowly Milwaukee Bucks Friday night.

Milwaukee is on the rise, with a big win at Miami Sunday giving Bucks backers their seventh ATS win in the last 10 games, heading into Tuesday’s date with New York. Milwaukee is cut from a similar cloth as the Raptors, depending on a stingy defense that is giving up just 92.6 points (fourth in NBA) on 41.8 percent shooting (third in NBA) per game. With Toronto eager to measure itself against the Cavs Saturday, the Raptors could get caught looking past the Bucks Friday.

Schedule spot

Normally, college coaches are begging their players to get to bed early. However, this week, it may be in Phil Martelli’s best interest to have his guys burning the midnight oil. Martelli’s St. Joseph’s Hawks make a cross-country trip to Gonzaga Wednesday, part of the preseason NIT Season Tip-Off Tournament. That game goes at 8 p.m. local time in Spokane – 11 p.m. back in Philadelphia.

The Hawks don’t have much down time to prepare for the grueling travel sked. St. Joe’s took a 52-49 win at Drexel Monday, leaving Tuesday to travel to Washington and settle in before hitting the floor at McCarthey Athletic Center, where the Zags have covered in five straight home games. The frantic cross-country travel and late tip could have the Hawks gassed before the whistle even blows Wednesday.
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 19

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DALLAS (8 - 3) at WASHINGTON (7 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 134-99 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 277-224 ATS (+30.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-131 ATS (-52.1 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (6 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 4) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 864-754 ATS (+34.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 288-228 ATS (+37.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (5 - 4) at ORLANDO (5 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 211-266 ATS (-81.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 198-250 ATS (-77.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (3 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 10) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (4 - 7) at INDIANA (4 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (6 - 5) at DETROIT (3 - 8) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DETROIT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (6 - 5) at BROOKLYN (4 - 6) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (10 - 1) at TORONTO (8 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (3 - 9) at MINNESOTA (2 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 9) at DENVER (3 - 7) - 11/19/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 301-250 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (2 - 9) at HOUSTON (9 - 2) - 11/19/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 87-119 ATS (-43.9 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 19

Hot Teams
-- Indiana won/covered three of last four games (2-2 HF).
-- Orlando won three of last four games, covered last seven.
-- Cavaliers/Spurs both won four of last five games (2-2 HF/2-1 AU).
-- Dallas won/covered its last four games (2-0 AF). Washington is 7-1 in its last eight games (4-0H, 0-2U- both A).
-- Bucks won four of their last five games (4-2 AU).
-- Memphis won its last four games (1-0 AU). Toronto won six of its last seven games (5-2 HF).
-- Rockets won nine of first eleven games (2-2 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost last two games, by 25-27 points (3-2 AU).
-- Clippers are 3-4 in last seven games SU, 1-8 vs spread this season.
-- 76ers are 0-10, but covered last three home games. Celtics lost last three games, by 15-1-4 points (1-2A, 0-0 AF).
-- Nets lost their last four games (2-3 HF).
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games (2-3H, 0-0 HU). Phoenix is 3-4 in its last seven games (1-2 AF).
-- Knicks lost eight of their last nine games (2-2-1 AU). Minnesota lost its last five games, misses injured PG Rubio (1-0 HF).
-- Denver lost seven of last nine games (1-2 HF).
-- Thunder lost four of last five games (2-5 AU).
-- Lakers lost four of last five games (3-0 last three AU).

Series Records
-- Spurs won last nine games against (Lebron-less) Cleveland.
-- Pacers won 15 of last 17 games with Charlotte.
-- Clippers lost eight of last eleven games with Magic, but won two of last three visits to Orlando, where Doc Rivers lives.
-- 76ers are 5-3 in their last eight games with Boston.
-- Mavericks won lst eight games with Wizards, winning last five visits to Washington by 11-1-6-9-9 points.
-- Nets won last five games with Milwaukee; this is Jason Kidd's return to Brooklyn after jumping ship on Nets last spring.
-- Home side won last seven Phoenix-Detroit games; Suns lost last three visits to Motor City, by 1-40-2 points.
-- Raptors swept Memphis LY by 16-13 points, after losing eight of its previous nine to Grizzlies.
-- Knicks won five of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Denver.
-- Lakers lost last four games with Houston, all by 14+ points.

Totals
-- Eight of ten San Antonio games stayed under total. Four of last five Cleveland games went over.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games went over.
-- Last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Detroit home games went over.
-- Seven of ten Toronto games went over.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Denver games.
-- Nine of eleven Houston games stayed under; eight of last ten Laker games went over.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 31-15 ATS: West 25-21
East teams HF vs West: 8-10
East teams HU vs West: 3-3
West teams HF vs East: 9-9
West teams HU vs East: 4-0
 

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Wednesday, November 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
San Antonio is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. ORLANDO
LA Clippers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 13 games on the road
Orlando is 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
Charlotte is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TORONTO
Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. BROOKLYN
Milwaukee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DETROIT
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
Oklahoma City is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oklahoma City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

9:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games at home

 

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