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Wednesday, November 19

Thaddeus Young, Minnesota - Out Wed

Young is away from the team following the passing of his mother. He will not return until Sunday.


Hornets F Kidd-Gilchrist, questionable Wednesday

Kidd-Gilchrist has an injured right foot and missed the last three games. He is questionable to return Wednesday against the Pacers.


Worst ATS team, Clippers, look to climb out of hole

Entering the season, not many expected the L.A. Clippers to be the worst team against the spread in the association. The Clip show are an abysmal 1-8 ATS this season with their one lone cover coming just two games ago against the Suns.

The Clippers have been favored in seven of the eight ATS losses this season.


76ers have made it routine of being blown out

Not surprisingly, the Philadelphia 76ers have not been very good this season. Philly has yet to win a single game (0-10 straight up, 4-6 against the spread) and they have been losing games by an average of 16.9 points per game.

That losing margin is 6.4 points more than the next worst team (Lakers: -10.5)
 

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Dunkel

Memphis at Toronto
The Grizzlies (4-1 SU on the road) head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 7-1 in its last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. Toronto is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 501-502: Dallas at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 126.917; Washington 122.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-2 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.001; Cleveland 122.458
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: LA Clippers at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.122; Orlando 115.177
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.723; Philadelphia 117.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 209
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Under

Game 509-510: Charlotte at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.612; Indiana 119.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 181
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2); Under

Game 511-512: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.602; Detroit 119.464
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.417; Brooklyn 119.973
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Memphis at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.312; Toronto 126.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2); Over

Game 517-518: New York at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.870; Minnesota 120.388
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Under

Game 519-520: Oklahoma City at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.078; Denver 114.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+7 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: LA Lakers at Houston (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 113.691; Houston 128.153
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 12; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-12); Under
 

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Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 19

Dallas at Washington, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 11-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Washington: 1-10 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

San Antonio at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
San Antonio: 46-30 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
Cleveland: 3-13 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

LA Clippers at Orlando, 7:05 ET
La Clippers: 1-8 ATS in all games
Orlando: 118-81 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games

Boston at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Boston: 30-15 OVER after playing 2 consecutive games as a home underdog
Philadelphia: 24-9 OVER in home games off a road loss

Charlotte at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 57-76 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Indiana: 17-6 ATS in November games

Phoenix at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 30-14 ATS in road games
Detroit: 7-19 ATS off a home loss

Milwaukee at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 18-7 OVER after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
Brooklyn: 115-77 OVER in home games after a loss by 10 points or more

Memphis at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 2-11 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins
Toronto: 33-19 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over

NY Knicks at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
New York: 71-47 ATS in road games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Minnesota: 1-9 ATSafter allowing 120 points or more

Oklahoma City at Denver, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 21-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
Denver: 107-72 OVER after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots

Los Angeles at Houston, 9:35 ET
Los Angeles: 27-14 OVER in road games after a non-conference game
Houston: 16-6 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
 

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Hoop Trends - Wednesday


November 19, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Knicks are 14-0 ATS (9.32 ppg) since 1998 on the road with no rest after a loss on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Magic are 10-0 OU (12.80 ppg) since Mar 28, 2012 with no more than a day of rest after a double digit win where no more than 15% of their points came at the foul line.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Wizards are 9-0-1 OU (11.70 ppg) since Mar 18, 2014 after Marcin Gortat took fewer than 10 shots.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Lakers are 9-0 ATS (12.50 ppg) as a dog with no rest after a game on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Timberwolves are 0-7 OU (-16.79 ppg) since Jan 19, 2013 at home after Nikola Pekovic scored fewer than 10 points.
 

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet


November 18, 2014


Mavericks (-2, 200 ½) at Wizards – 7:05 PM EST


Dallas wraps up a mini two-game road trip in the Nation’s Capital looking for its fifth straight win. The Mavericks dominated the Hornets on Monday, 107-80, allowing less than 82 points for the third time this season, while easily cashing as four-point road favorites. Dallas has cashed the ‘under’ in six of the past seven games, while Rick Carlisle’s team is 6-2 ATS this season in the favorite role.


Washington tries to keep its winning streak alive as well, coming off three straight victories over Indiana, Detroit, and Orlando. The Wizards have beaten just one team this season that currently owns a record of .500 or better (Milwaukee), while their two losses are by double-digits to the Heat and Raptors. Randy Wittman’s club is just 1-3 ATS at the Verizon Center this season, but is listed as a home underdog for the first time (7-7 SU and 8-6 ATS last season). The Wizards will get a boost in their backcourt as Bradley Beal makes his season debut after missing the first nine games with a wrist injury.


Spurs at Cavaliers (-2 ½, 203) – 7:05 PM EST


A potential NBA Finals preview takes place at Quicken Loans Arena, as the Cavaliers attempt to put a flat effort against the Nuggets behind them. Cleveland lost for the second time this season as a double-digit home favorite, getting tripped up by Denver, 106-97 as 11 ½-point favorites on Monday. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for Cleveland, while scoring less than 100 points for the first time in six games.


San Antonio failed to cover its first five games of the season, but is 4-1 ATS the past five contests, including outright ‘dog wins against the Clippers and Warriors. The Spurs haven’t allowed more than 100 points in any of their 10 games, while cashing the ‘under’ in five of six road contests. In the four seasons LeBron James spent in Miami, the Spurs put together a perfect 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS record against the Cavaliers from 2010-14.


Bucks at Nets (-6 ½, 194 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


It’s Jason Kidd’s much anticipated return to Brooklyn after spending just one season running the Nets. Kidd is now the head man in Milwaukee, as the Bucks have made major strides since winning just 15 games last season, going 5-5 through the first 10 games this season. Milwaukee held off New York last night, 117-113 as 1 ½-point home favorites, while scoring at least 100 points for just the second time this season. The high-scoring affair against the Knicks snapped a seven-game ‘under’ streak, while the Bucks improved to 5-1 ATS the past six trips to the court.


Brooklyn has hit the skids of late, dropping four straight games since a promising 4-2 start. The Nets were tripped up by the short-handed Heat on Monday as eight-point favorites, 95-83, the second consecutive game scoring less than 87 points. Brooklyn owned Milwaukee last season, winning all three meetings by at least eight points.


Grizzlies at Raptors (-2 ½, 194) – 7:35 PM EST


The two teams with the best record in their respective conferences meet up in Toronto, as the Grizzlies go for their 11th win in 12 tries. Memphis dominated Houston on Monday, leading by as many as 36 points in a 119-93 blowout of the Rockets to cover for the first time in six games. The Grizzlies have been a terrific defensive team on the road, limiting all five opponents to 93 points or less, but the ‘under’ has hit only three times.


The Raptors continue a seven-game homestand, as Toronto is 4-1 so far with the lone loss coming to Chicago last Thursday night. Dwane Casey’s team hasn’t been tested much this season, playing a heavy home slate while the only two defeats are to the Bulls and Heat. The Raptors are pushing the pace, scoring at least 100 points in nine of 10 games, resulting in seven ‘overs.’


Lakers at Rockets (-12 ½, 210) – 9:35 PM EST


Los Angeles finally broke through on the road by holding off Atlanta on Tuesday, 119-114 as 8 ½-point underdogs to improve to 2-9 on the season. The Lakers shot a blistering 54% from the field, led by Kobe Bryant’s 28 points and Nick Young putting up 17 off the bench in his first game of the season. Byron Scott’s team has drilled the ‘over’ in all five road games, while giving up at least 107 points each time.


The Rockets return home following Monday’s embarrassing 26-point defeat at Memphis, as Houston is 0-3 ATS the past three games. When the Rockets and Lakers met up to open the season at Staples Center, Houston came away with a 108-90 victory, the fourth straight win in the series by at least 14 points. The Rockets are attempting an average of 32 three-pointers a game, but Houston has been an excellent ‘under’ team, cashing in nine of 11 games and all four at Toyota Center.
 

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NBA RATED PICKS


*****.................................19 - 20


DOUBLE PLAYS.....................12 - 20 - 1


TRIPLE PLAYS.......................18 - 13


SLAM DUNK.........................12 - 18


RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/18/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/17/14 9-*9-*0 50.00% -*450 Detail
11/16/14 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
11/15/14 11-*9-*0 55.00% +*550 Detail
11/14/14 10-*10-*0 50.00% -*500 Detail
11/13/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3350 Detail
11/12/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/11/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/10/14 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
11/09/14 10-*6-*0 62.50% +*1700 Detail
11/08/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/07/14 7-*15-*0 31.82% -*4750 Detail
11/06/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail
11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail
Totals 128-*134-*2 48.85% -*9700




Wednesday, November 19


Game Score Status Pick Amount


San Antonio - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio +2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Over 201 500


Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +2.5 500
Indiana - Under 180.5 500


L.A. Clippers - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +4.5 500
Orlando - Over 203 500


Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston -6 500 *****
Philadelphia - Under 211.5 500 *****


Dallas - 7:00 PM ET Dallas -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Washington - Over 202.5 500


Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Milwaukee +6.5 500
Brooklyn - Over 198 500


Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Detroit +2.5 500
Detroit - Under 204.5 500


Memphis - 7:30 PM ET Memphis +3.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Toronto - Over 194 500


New York - 8:00 PM ET New York +1.5 500
Minnesota - Under 204 500 SLAM DUNK


Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma City +7.5 500
Denver - Under 198 500


L.A. Lakers - 9:30 PM ET Houston -11.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Houston - Under 209 500
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 12 upon us.......

-- Washington is 3-8 in its last eleven games as a road underdog.

-- Tennessee covered twice in its last eight road games.

-- Raiders covered three of last 14 tries as a home underdog.

-- Patriots covered 10 of last 13 non-divisional home games.

-- Jaguars are 5-10 last 15 times they were underdog of 7+ points.

-- Cowboys are 17-6 in game following their last 23 byes.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Pretty sad that Jay Gruden apologized Wednesday for criticizing RGIII for what he said after the loss to Tampa Bay Sunday. In this day and age, speaking your mind only gets you in trouble. People risk their lives to protect our freedoms, but the freedom of speech seems to be slipping away anyway.

12) Bucks 122, Nets 118, 3 OT-- Jason Kidd's return to Brooklyn turned out to be a tremendous game, full of twists/turns and drama. Bucks have a nice young team that has a solid future. OJ Mayo had 21 points in 39 minutes off the bench; Milwaukee was +13 while he was oin the floor, -9 while he was off it.

11) Spurs 92, Cavaliers 90-- Kawhi Leonard held Lebron James to 6-17 from floor as Cleveland fell to 5-5, 2-3 at home. Lebron took only one foul shot the whole game.

10) Celtics 101, 76ers 90-- Sixers are now 0-11, on their way to becoming the worst team in NBA history. 76ers-Knicks in NYC Saturday should be a treat.

9) Timberwolves 115, Knicks 99-- Minnesota was floundering since Ricky Rubio got hurt, but they won easily here. Knicks' starters other than Anthony combined to miss 18 of 26 shots- at least their bench was 17-32. Anthony only took seven shots (7-10).

8) Not sure if this is the right time, but the Knicks are 3-10; there is only so much help PG Calderon will be when he returns soon from his injury. Why exactly did the Knicks pay Phil Jackson $12M a year? He's never constructed a roster before.

7) Suns 88, Pistons 86-- Seven of last nine Detroit games were decided by 4 or less points, or in overtime. Pistons are struggling (3-9) but they're fun to watch.

6) Kent State-Buffalo game was postponed because of the snowstorm in Buffalo; am guessing this game will be re-scheduled on some odd night when ESPN needs some programming. These two teams are starving for mational TV exposure.

5) Raptors 96, Grizzlies 92-- Toronto is 9-2, but eight of 11 games were played at home. Memphis is 10-2 but no one talks about them. What would ABC ever do if the Finals wound up being Memphis-Toronto? Good teams, bad TV ratings.

4) Not sure if it is solely for recruiting appearances, but 69-year old Steve Fisher signed a 3-year contract extentrion with the Aztecs Wednesday. San Diego State was a downtrodden program when Fisher took over; now they regularly lead the West Coast teams in attendance.

3) Gonzaga 94, St Joe's 42-- This game was 48-10 at the half. 48 to freakin' 10. Zags are really good, while Hawks are rebuilding. Spokane isn't a very good place to visit this year if your team is rebuilding.

2) Creighton 65, Oklahoma 63-- Sooners led by 18 early in second half, new-look Bluejays got untracked and stormed from behind to pull the upset. Games like this are why big-name teams don't go out on the road too often before Christmas.

1) Marshawn Lynch got docked $100K for not talking to the media; what he has to do is study some Belichick tapes, when the Patriots' coach fulfills his duty by saying words to the press, while never saying anything of substance. Saves him lot of cash.
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, November 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (6 - 4) at MIAMI (6 - 5) - 11/20/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (8 - 3) at SACRAMENTO (6 - 5) - 11/20/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 20

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won seven of their last nine games (2-2 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost three of last four games. Clippers are 0-4 in game following their last four wins.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last five games (2-1 HU).

Series Records
-- Clippers lost last five visits to Miami by 24-11-18-22-5 points.
-- Chicago won nine of last 12 against the Kings, but lost last two visits to Sacramento by 32-29 points.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Sacramento games went over total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 36-16 ATS: West 30-22
East teams HF vs West: 8-12
East teams HU vs West: 5-5
West teams HF vs East: 9-9
West teams HU vs East: 4-0




NBA

Thursday, November 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the LA Clippers last 16 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 16 games when playing LA Clippers
Miami is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, November 20

Heat F Luol Deng, doubtful Thursday

Deng has a wrist injury and missed Monday's game. He is unlikely to play Thursday against the Clippers.


Mavs, Bucks continue ATS run, are NBA's best bets

The Dallas Mavericks and Milwaukee Bucks extended their winning streaks straight up and against the spread Wednesday night and are now the NBA's best bets.

The Mavericks held on for a 105-102 win against the Washington Wizards, barely covering as 2.5-point road faves. It was their fifth win and cover in a row and are now 9-3 ATS on the season.

The bigger surprise is clearly the Bucks. They won 122-118 straight up, as 6.5-point road dogs in Jason Kidd's return to Brooklyn. It was their sixth cover in their last seven games and they are also 9-3 ATS.


Road teams come through for backers Wednesday night

Teams in the visiting locker rooms had the upper hand on Wednesday night and came through for backers in a big way.

Road teams went 7-2-2 against the spread last night, good for a success rate of almost 78 percent. Road favorites went 3-1 ATS and road underdogs went 4-1-2 ATS.

With just two games on tap Thursday the Los Angeles Clippers and the Chicago Bulls will try to keep the trend going in Miami and Sacramento respectively.
 

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Dunkel

LA Clippers at Miami
The Clippers travel to Miami tonight to face a Heat team that is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games versus Western Conference opponents. LA is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 20

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.212; Miami 117.588
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Chicago at Sacramento (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.918; Sacramento 123.303
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over




NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 20

Los Angeles at Miami, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 16-5 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
Miami: 16-29 ATS in home games after playing a road game

Chicago at Sacramento, 10:35 ET
Chicago: 8-20 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
Sacramento: 23-12 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
 

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NBA

Thursday, November 20


Bulls C Pau Gasol, out Thursday

Gasol is dealing with a strained left calf and did not play Monday. He will miss Thursday's game against the Kings.


Bulls PG Derrick Rose, out Thursday

Rose has missed the last two games with a left hamstring injury and will not return Thursday against the Kings.


Heat F Luol Deng, questionable Thursday

Deng has a wrist injury and missed Monday's game. He participated in practice Thursday and could play against the Clippers.


Clippers, Kings open as faves in Thursday doubleheader

The Los Angeles Clippers and the Sacramento Kings opened as favorites for the Thursday night doubleheader.

The Clippers (6-4 SU, 2-8 ATS) opened as 4-point road favorites versus the Heat (6-5 SU/ATS) in Miami. The Clippers have been bet down to -3.

Sacramento (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS), meanwhile opened as a slight 1-point home favorites with the Chicago Bulls (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) in town.
 

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Hoop Trends - Thursday


November 20, 2014






ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Heat are 8-0 ATS (7.25 ppg) since Feb 22, 2011 with 2+ days of rest after a road game where at least 25% of their points came at the foul line.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Bulls are 0-10 OU (-14.3 ppg) since Jan 17, 2009 after a win as an underdog where they trailed by double digits in the game but not by more than two points after three quarters.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- None


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Bulls are 0-7 ATS (-9.07 ppg) since Dec 31, 2012 with rest after a double digit win where they committed fewer than 10 turnovers.


-- The Bulls are 0-8 ATS (-10.38 ppg) since Apr 20, 2014 after a game on the road.
 

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Inside the Paint - Thursday


November 20, 2014




Thursday’s pro basketball slate offers up another double-header on TNT, which features not one but two non-conference affairs. Before we break down the matchups, I wanted to bring up the developing total trend that I mentioned in last week’s “Total Talk” installment.


TNT has had eight games featured on national television this regular season and all eight have gone ‘under’ the total, which includes both results last Thursday.


Tuesday, Oct. 28
Dallas 100 San Antonio 101 (Under 203)
Houston 108 L.A. Lakers 90 (Under 207)


Thursday, Oct. 30
New York 95 Cleveland 90 (Under 204)
Oklahoma City 90 L.A. Clippers 93 (Under 205.5)


Thursday, Nov. 6
San Antonio 81 Houston 98 (Under 179)
Dallas 87 Portland 108 (Under 209.5)


Thursday, Nov. 13
Chicago 100 Toronto 93 (Under 196.5)
Brooklyn 99 Golden State 107 (Under 210.5)


There hasn’t been a great lean for choosing sides as we’ve seen home teams produce a 5-3 record.


Point-spreads have mattered in the televised matchup, with favorites going 6-2 straight up and 4-4 against the spread.


There has only been one game pitting the East vs. West and the Warriors took care of business in last week’s win over the Nets.


Neither game for Thursday had overnight numbers posted due to key injuries, which we’ll touch on below.


L.A. Clippers (6-4 SU, 2-8 ATS) at Miami (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)


This particular non-conference matchup is tough to handicap because of injuries and the recent history between the pair isn’t a factor since LeBron James isn’t with the Heat anymore. With that being said, I would use current form and situations.


After running past Orlando 114-90 on Wednesday as five-point road favorites, the Clippers will be facing a back-to-back spot. Los Angeles has only played on zero days rest once this season and it beat the Lakers 118-111 on Oct. 31 but failed to cover as 12-point road favorites.


Covering numbers has been a major issue for the Clippers this season, who are 2-8 ATS. Prior to last night's victory, their first cover came last Saturday in a 120-107 victory at home against Phoenix. Unfortunately, Doc Rivers’ team was humbled two nights later to the Bulls (105-89).


This will be the second game of a seven-game road trip for the Clippers and the latest quotes from their head coach could have you scratching your head.


“I’ll tell you in seven games,” Rivers said. “Really, I do like going on the road. I think it is an opportunity to find yourself. You can also lose yourself on the road. So we’ll see.”


Including last night’s meeting, Los Angeles has gone 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road and one of those wins came at the Staples Center versus the Lakers.


Miami snapped a three-game losing skid on Monday with a 95-83 victory at Brooklyn as an eight-point underdog. The Heat didn’t have Dwyane Wade (hamstring) and Luol Deng (wrist) in the lineup on Monday and both players are currently listed as ‘doubtful’ for Thursday.


Wade has already missed three games this season and the team has gone 1-2 in those contests. With the All-Star active, the Heat are 5-3.


Total bettors looking for a lean in this game could go ‘under’ in this spot. Miami has shot the ball well from the field (46.5%) and 3-point land (38.8%) too but the pace has been super slow. The Heat are averaging 75.1 shots per game, which is the lowest in the league. Los Angeles is at 79.2 attempts, which is ranked 26th.


Miami has gone 3-3 both SU and ATS at home this season and will enter tonight’s game looking to snap a two-game skid at American Airlines Arena. The Heat have gone 2-1 both SU and ATS versus the West his season.


As mentioned above, past history shouldn’t be used strongly but make a note that the Heat have won the last three encounters against the Clippers.


Oddsmakers sent out Los Angeles as a four-point road favorite this morning and the number has dropped to 3 at most shops. The total is hovering between 198 and 199 points.


Chicago (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) at Sacramento (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS)


The Bulls began their annual circus trip on Monday with a dominating 105-89 victory over the Clipppers as seven-point underdogs. Chicago trailed 50-48 at halftime but outscored L.A. 57-39 in the final two quarters. What was even more impressive about the Bulls’ win on Monday is that Derrick Rose (hamstring) and Pau Gasol (calf) sat out. Both players are expected to miss tonight's game as well.


Sacramento opened some eyes this season by starting off with a 5-1 record. Unfortunately, this year’s Kings have looked like the same-old Kings lately as they’ve dropped four of their last five and some of the losses were ugly. In setbacks to the Mavericks and Grizzlies last week, Sacramento blew 20-point leads on the road in both contests.


This past Tuesday, Sacramento opened up a 54-45 halftime lead against New Orleans at home. Unfortunately they ran out of gas again and lost 106-100 to the Pelicans as three-point home favorites.


DeMarcus Cousins (22.5 PPG, 11.6 RPG) and Rudy Gay (21.8 PPG) have been playing at a high level for the Kings this season and you could argue that they form the best frontcourt in the league, ranked second in points (69.4 PPG) and first in boards(37.9 RPG). Gay has been deemed 'questionable' for Thursday due to an Achilles injury.


The main issue for the Kings is depth in their backcourt. Darren Collison was a nice pickup at point guard but second-year player Ben McLemore is still raw and the loss of Isiah Thomas to the Suns has been their gain. The Kings backcourt is averaging 33.2 PPG, which is ranked 29th in the NBA.


Chicago continues to impress me each season and it’s easy to see why head coach Tom Thobodeau is considered one of the best in the game. The Bulls have six players averaging double figures and All-Star center Joakim Noah (8.2 PPG) isn’t one of them. Derrick Rose has only played in five games, never more than 32 minutes, and the Bulls are 4-1 in those games. Without Rose, the team is 4-2.


If you want to find a good NBA team, then look for one that wins on the road. Chicago is 6-0 as a visitor this season and it captured closed calls against inferior teams in Minnesota (106-105) and Philadelphia (118-115), which is a sign of a good team to me.


Kings should have confidence for this matchup since they destroyed the Bulls in their last two meetings at home by 42 and 29 points.


Sacramento has been installed as a short one-point home favorite over Chicago. The total is 196.
 

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Thursday, November 20


Game Score Status Pick Amount


L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET Miami +4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Miami - Under 198.5 500 SLAM DUNK


Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Sacramento -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Sacramento - Under 196 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Raiders 24, Chiefs 20-- Oakland ends 16-game losing skid on a rainy night.

-- Clippers 110, Heat 93-- LA wins first two games of eastern swing.

-- Cal 73, Syracuse 59-- Could be long year for inexperienced Orange

-- Texas 71, Iowa 57-- Hawkeyes led by six at the half.

-- Indiana 74, SMU 68-- When do the Mustangs start winning?

-- Niagara 61, St Peter's 59-- Purple Eagles win first conference tilt of year.

**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend......

13) Jets-Bills game was moved to Detroit; game will be 7:00 Monday night. Bills haven't practiced the last two days- there's still a driving ban in parts of Buffalo. Jim Kelly said there is as much as seven feet of snow at his house in suburban Buffalo.

12) Arizona has been one of the most interesting teams this season, lot of close finishes. Wildcats are at Utah this week, a week after Utes won in OT at Stanford.

11) Broncos have been strong after a loss in Manning era; Miami won four of its last five games and looks to be catching a break with weather (sunny/43 is forecasted) on Sunday. Interesting game in Denver.

10) Arkansas got the SEC monkey off Bret Bielema’s back last week; now he goes for two in a row, but the Ole Miss offense is better than LSU’s. Not many easy outs (Vandy, maybe Kentucky now) in the SEC this season.

9) Giants lost their last five games and haven’t covered any of them; now the hated Cowboys come calling a few weeks after they beat Big Blue 31-21 in JerryWorld. How much did the bye week help Romo’s ailing back?

8) Miami went all-out last week and came up short against Florida State; much like LSU last week at Arkansas, the Hurricanes go on road this week to face a lesser but dangerous opponent in Virginia. Winning a letdown road game with a freshman QB has never been an easy day in college football.

7) I’ve basically given up predicting how the Bengals will play from week/week; they’re so erratic. Houston is improved this year at 5-5, winning Mallett’s first start last week in Cleveland. Dalton played college ball at TCU; will a trip back to the Lone Star State help his game any?

6) Saturday night, the 0-11 76ers visit the 3-10 Knicks, in Philly’s best chance in a while to actually win a game. Why are the Knicks paying Phil Jackson $12M a year? How are they any better now than they were the last two years?

5) Saints lost their last two home games, now host a Raven squad that won the Super Bowl last time they visited Bourbon Street. This should be a fun game to watch.

4) Stanford-Cal is a fierce rivalry; Cardinal seem to be declining, while Golden Bears are getting better, though only on offense. Speaking of Cal, shouldn’t Jack Nicklaus’ grandson have gone to Cal instead of Florida State? After all, he is the Golden Bear.

3) Lions head to Foxboro after they were held without a TD by the Cardinals. New England has been a juggernaut since Gronkowski got healthy, scoring 40+ points in their last three games.

2) USC-UCLA is a terrific rivalry; neither team wears white jerseys. UCLA always wears the light blue jerseys, Trojans wear the cardinal and gold. Third different HC in three years for USC, but Sarkisian looks a guy who will get their ship headed back towards the top, once he gets back to 85 scholarship players.

1) 9-1 Cardinals are getting 6.5 points from a 6-4 Seattle team this week. Redbirds won in Seattle in Week 16 LY. Going to be interesting to see how they fare out in the elements this year. Drew Stanton is a real good backup QB, but if something happens to him, the wheels are going to fall off the Redbird Express.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 21

Hot Teams
-- Toronto won seven of last eight games (6-2 HF). Bucks won five of last six games (5-2 AU).
-- Wizards won seven of last nine games (0-3 U).
-- Memphis won four of last five games (2-4 HF).
-- Spurs won/covered five of their last six games (1-2 AF).
-- Mavericks won/covered their last five games (4-2 HF). Lakers are 2-0 with Nick Young back in lineup (4-0 last four AU).
-- New Orleans won five of last seven games (2-3A, 0-0 AF). Nuggets won three of last four games (0-1 HU).
-- Warriors won eight of first ten games (3-2 HF). Utah covered seven of its last ten games (4-3 AU).
-- Portland won last five games (5-2 HF). Bulls won seven of their last ten games (2-1 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost last two games, allowing 120.5 ppg (1-3-1 HF). Detroit lost six of last seven games, but covered last three on road.
-- Cleveland lost last two games, by 9-2 points (1-3 AF).
-- Celtics lost three of last four games (2-1 AU).
-- Minnesota lost five of its last six games (1-0 HU).
-- Oklahoma City lost last four games (0-1 HF). Nets lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).

Series Records
-- Pistons lost ten of last eleven visits to Atlanta (5-3-1 last nine against the spread).
-- Raptors were 4-0 vs Milwaukee LY, winning by 7-22-4-10 points.
-- Cavaliers won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Grizzlies won last four games vs Boston by 10-4-7-7 points.
-- Spurs lost four of last five visits to Minnesota.
-- Thunder lost three of last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Lakers were 0-3 vs Dallas LY, losing by 19-23-12 points.
-- Home side won last nine Pelican-Hugget games; New Orleans lost last five visits to Denver, by 13-24-15-9-30 points.
-- Warriors won all four games with Utah LY by average of 14 points.
-- Bulls lost six in a row to the Blazers; they've lost last five visits to Portland, losing by 42-4-6-8-3 points.

Totals
-- Last three Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Cleveland road games.
-- Seven of last eight Boston games went over.
-- Under is 9-2 in Spur games. Last four Minnesota games went over.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Thunder games. Five of last seven Brooklyn games went over.
-- Six of last eight Dallas games stayed under. Eight of last 12 Laker tilts went over.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Denver games.
-- Three of last four Warrior games went over.
-- Six of eight Portland home games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 38-16 ATS: West 32-22
East teams HF vs West: 8-12
East teams HU vs West: 5-6
West teams HF vs East: 9-9
West teams HU vs East: 5-0
 

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Friday, November 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games
Philadelphia is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Phoenix
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 16 games on the road
Charlotte is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 16 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. MEMPHIS
Boston is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio's last 13 games
Minnesota is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. DALLAS
LA Lakers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
LA Lakers are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

9:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DENVER
New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

10:30 PM
UTAH vs. GOLDEN STATE
Utah is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 13 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Golden State's last 13 games when playing at home against Utah

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

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Friday's Tip Sheet


November 21, 2014


Bucks at Raptors (-8 ½, 198) – 7:35 PM EST


Two of the more profitable teams through the first three weeks of the season hook up at the Air Canada Center. Milwaukee won its fifth game in six tries in Wednesday’s wild 122-118 victory at Brooklyn in triple overtime as 6 ½-point underdogs. The Bucks had gone seven straight games cashing the ‘under’ prior to back-to-back ‘overs’ against the Knicks and Nets. Jason Kidd’s team owns a solid 5-2 ATS record away from BMO Harris Center, which includes three outright wins as an underdog.


The Raptors conclude a seven-game homestand, looking for a 6-1 finish before heading to Cleveland on Saturday night. Toronto rallied past a short-handed Memphis squad in Wednesday’s 96-92 triumph, just the second time in 11 games the Raps have been limited to below 100 points. Since starting the season at 6-1 ATS, Dwane Casey’s club has failed to cover in three of the past four games, while the Raptors attempt to maintain their domination of the Bucks after winning all four meetings last season.


Cavaliers (-1 ½, 205) at Wizards – 8:05 PM EST


The Cavs and Wizards restart a rivalry that saw Cleveland knock out Washington in three consecutive postseasons from 2005-2007. Cleveland hits the highway following consecutive home losses to Denver and San Antonio, as the Cavs fell in the final seconds to the Spurs on Wednesday in a potential NBA Finals matchup, 92-90. LeBron James turned the ball over on the final possession as the Cavs fell to 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS on the season, which includes a 1-3 ATS mark as a road favorite.


Washington saw its three-game winning streak come to a halt in Wednesday’s 105-102 home defeat to Dallas as 2 ½-point underdogs. Bradley Beal returned after missing the first nine games with a wrist injury, scoring a team-high 21 points on 9-of-17 shooting off the bench. The Wizards have struggled to cover numbers of late, going 1-5 ATS the last six games, including four straight non-covers at Verizon Center.


Lakers at Mavericks (-9 ½, 217 ½) – 8:35 PM EST


Los Angeles started the season at 1-9, but the Lakers have caught fire of late with back-to-back road underdog wins at Atlanta and Houston. The Lakers cashed as 10-point underdogs in a 98-92 victory over the Rockets on Wednesday, as Nick Young averaged 16.5 points per game in the two wins in the back-to-back set. Not only did the Lakers cash their first ‘under’ in six tries on the road, but Byron Scott’s team allowed less than 100 points for the first time away from Staples Center.


The Mavericks won their fifth straight game in Wednesday’s three-point triumph at Washington, as Dallas returns home for just one contest prior to Saturday’s showdown in Houston with the Rockets. Rick Carlisle’s club has covered five in a row, while going 4-2 ATS this season as a favorite of seven points or more. The Mavs cruised past the Lakers in all three meetings last season, winning each matchup by double-digits.


Pelicans (-2 ½, 211 ½) at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST


New Orleans continues its four-game road swing after splitting the first two contests at Portland and Sacramento. The Pelicans rallied past the Kings on Tuesday, 106-100 to win their second away game of the season in five tries. Anthony Davis keeps putting up MVP-type numbers by scoring 28 points and pulling down nine rebounds against the Kings, as New Orleans cashed the ‘over’ for the sixth time in seven games.


The Nuggets are slowly coming back to life following a 1-6 start, as Denver has won three of its past four contests. Brian Shaw’s team avenged an early season loss to the Thunder by beating Oklahoma City on Wednesday at home, 107-100, while eclipsing the 100-point mark for the eighth time in the past nine games. Denver has beaten New Orleans five straight times at the Pepsi Center dating back to March 2012, while these two teams split four meetings last season.


Jazz at Warriors (-11 ½, 209) – 10:35 PM EST


Golden State is playing for the first time since Sunday, when the Warriors knocked off the Lakers at Staples Center, 136-115 as eight-point road favorites. The Warriors hit the East Coast after tonight’s game against the Jazz, as Steve Kerr’s squad hopes to avoid a letdown spot. Golden State is 4-1 at Oracle Arena this season, but is 2-2 ATS as a favorite of eight points or more. Last season, the Warriors pulled off the four-game sweep of the Jazz, as Utah broke the 90-point mark just once.


The Jazz have seen their ups and downs during a 5-7 start, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS off a win. Utah is in that position tonight after beating Oklahoma City on Tuesday, 98-81 as three-point home favorites, limiting the Thunder to 35% shooting from the floor. The Jazz are playing their third road game against a Western Conference foe tonight following a recent five-game trip through the Eastern Conference, as Quin Snyder’s team is 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS against the West.


Bulls at Blazers – 10:35 PM EST


Chicago travels up the West Coast for the second of a back-to-back set after falling at Sacramento last night, 103-88 as three-point underdogs. Derrick Rose and Pau Gasol sat out with injury, as both Chicago starters are questionable for tonight. The Bulls suffered their first road loss in seven tries, while Tom Thibodeau’s club hasn’t dropped consecutive games yet this season. Rose returns to the scene where he ripped up his knee last November at the Moda Center, putting him on the shelf for the remainder of the 2014 season.


The Blazers have quietly won five straight games, while owning a solid 7-1 record at home. Terry Stotts’ squad is a covering machine of late, cashing seven of the past eight games overall, including Monday’s comeback victory over New Orleans, erasing a 16-point deficit in a 102-93 victory as 2 ½-point favorites. Portland hasn’t allowed more than 100 points at home this season, which has equated into a 6-2 mark to the ‘under’ at the Moda Center.
 

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Short Sheet

Friday, November 21

Phoenix at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Phoenix: 30-15 ATS in road games
Philadelphia: 16-29 ATS in home games

Orlando at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 11-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs
Charlotte: 40-65 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog

Detroit at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 32-19 OVER as an underdog
Atlanta: 3-15 ATS when playing with 2 days rest

Milwaukee at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 112-83 ATS in road games against Atlantic division opponents
Toronto: 73-101 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games

Cleveland at Washington, 8:05 ET
Cleveland: 25-12 ATS against Southeast division opponents
Washington: 18-30 ATS in home games

Boston at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Boston: n/a
Memphis: n/a

San Antonio at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
San Antonio: 14-3 UNDER in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Minnesota: 21-9 UNDER as a home underdog

Brooklyn at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Brooklyn: 7-20 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
Oklahoma City: 60-42 ATS in home games

Los Angeles at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Los Angeles: 43-25 OVER as a road underdog
Dallas: 58-40 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins

New Orleans at Denver, 9:05 ET
New Orleans: 9-21 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200
Denver: 133-92 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Utah at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Utah: 11-23 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Golden State: 26-10 ATS in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Chicago at Portland, 10:35 ET
Chicago: n/a
Portland: n/a
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, November 21

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PHOENIX (7 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 11) - 11/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (5 - 8) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 8) - 11/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (3 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 5) - 11/21/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (7 - 5) at TORONTO (9 - 2) - 11/21/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 46-77 ATS (-38.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
TORONTO is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (5 - 5) at WASHINGTON (7 - 3) - 11/21/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 92-131 ATS (-52.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 124-164 ATS (-56.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (4 - 6) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2) - 11/21/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (7 - 4) at MINNESOTA (3 - 7) - 11/21/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 865-754 ATS (+35.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 682-581 ATS (+42.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 289-228 ATS (+38.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 344-278 ATS (+38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (4 - 7) at OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 10) - 11/21/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 301-250 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 123-83 ATS (+31.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (3 - 9) at DALLAS (9 - 3) - 11/21/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 277-224 ATS (+30.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (6 - 4) at DENVER (4 - 7) - 11/21/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 162-212 ATS (-71.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
DENVER is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (5 - 7) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 2) - 11/21/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 4) at PORTLAND (8 - 3) - 11/21/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Friday, November 21


Trail Blazers the hottest ATS play in the league

There may be no hotter team in the NBA than the Portland Trail Blazers. In the past eight games, the Blazers are 7-1 straight up and against the spread.

Portland has been dominating teams and have an average margin of victory of +11.25 over the eight game streak.


Magic have been stellar against the spread

The Orlando Magic may be inconsistent on the court, but there is no doubt they have been dominant at the window. Orlando is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games.

The Magic have covered games by an average of nine points during their hot ATS streak.


Pau Gasol, Chicago - Ques Fri

Gasol is dealing with a strained left calf and has missed the last two games. He is questionable Friday against the Trail Blazers.


Derrick Rose, Chicago - Ques Fri

Rose has missed the last three games with a left hamstring injury and is questionable to return Friday against the Trail Blazers.


Dwyane Wade, Miami - Ques Sat

Wade has missed the last four games with a hamstring injury and is questionable to return Saturday against the Hornets.


Stomach virus could force seven Griz players out

A stomach virus has hit the Memphis Grizzlies' locker room, and as a result, there's a good chance they're going to be shorthanded once again when they host the Boston Celtics in Tennessee Friday.

Five Grizzlies players were forced to sit out of Wednesday's 96-92 loss to the Toronto Raptors, and according to CBS Boston, that number could reach seven Friday. Courtney Lee, Tony Allen, Beno Udrih, Jon Leuer and Jarnell Stokes were the five that were unable to participate versus the Raps, and now Kosta Koufos and Quincy Pondexter have been affected and are listed as questionable ahead of tip-off.

The Griz (10-2 SU) sit atop of the Western Conference ahead of the contest and have covered half of their games so far this season. The Celtics are currently 6-point road dogs with a total of 199.
 

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