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Hoop Trends - Tuesday


November 11, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hornets are 11-0 ATS (15.15 ppg) since Mar 12, 2013 with at least one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hornets are 9-0 OU (15.1 ppg) since Mar 08, 2013 when at least one team is rest and they scored at least 25 points more two games ago than last game.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Magic are 0-9 OU (-16.94 ppg) since Apr 03, 2013 on the road after Nikola Vucevic had a double double in an away loss.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Trail Blazers are 14-0 ATS (7.39 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a double-digit home win in which they allowed less than 40.25% from the field.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Mavericks are 0-10 ATS (-4.25 ppg) as a home favorite after a home game in which they allowed at least 55% from the field.
 

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Inside the Paint - Tuesday


November 11, 2014




After five straight years of missing the playoffs, the Toronto Raptors won the Atlantic Division last season and earned a trip to the postseason. Unfortunately the club lost in the first round to the Nets in seven games.


Fast forward to this season and Toronto is starting to show that it isn’t a fluke. The Raptors have started the season 6-1 both straight up and against the spread.


VegasInsider.com NBA expert Paul Bovi has followed the Raptors closely and has scooped up future tickets on the Canadian club.


He said, “I scooped up the Raptors to win the Atlantic at even money at the beginning of the season and I also played them to win the East and the NBA Finals. Anything can occur over the course of a long season but it’s hard to believe anybody else in their division can challenge them. Point guard Kyle Lowry is living up to his offseason contract and the addition of veteran Lou Williams should only make his game improve. Playing at Air Canada Centre is a tough venue to win at and the Raptors are fortunate to play 11 games in November at home.”


The latest future odds on Toronto per Sportsbook.ag:


NBA Finals – 35/1 (Bet $100 to win $3,500)
Eastern Conference – 10/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,000)
Atlantic Division – 5/11 (Bet $100 to win $45)


Last season, Toronto went 26-15 at home last year and it’s already started 4-0 this season, with wins coming by an average of 17.5 points per game last Wednesday.


On Tuesday, the Raptors will look to stay hot at home when the Magic visit.


Toronto has been installed as an 11-point favorite against Orlando. The Magic have gone 1-3 SU on the road (2-2 ATS) this season, with the one victory coming on a buzzer beater against Philadelphia (91-89).


The Raptors have won eight straight matchup against the Magic, which includes a 108-95 won on Nov. 1 as a six-point road favorite. In two games played in Toronto last season, Orlando lost by 15 points (105-90, 98-83) in each contest.


Including the Magic-Raptors matchup, Tuesday’s card features five more games on tap.


Last night, favorites went 4-1 both SU and ATS while the ‘under’ produced a 3-2 record.


Here’s my quick handicap.


Lakers at Grizzlies: Oddsmakers opened Memphis as an 11-point favorite and the line has dropped to 10 at most shops. The Grizzlies lost their first game of the season on Saturday, falling 93-92 at Milwaukee. Coincidentally, the Lakers won their first game of the year on Sunday as they ran past Charlotte 107-92 as 2 ½-point home underdogs. It’s very clear that L.A. isn’t a good team and the only way it will win games is if they shoot the ball well, which they did against the Hornets (51%). I don’t have an issue laying double digits in the NBA as long as you have a good defensive team. Ironically, the Grizzlies lead the league in points allowed (87.6) while the Lakers (112.7) are ranked last. Last season the Grizzlies went 3-1 in the four head-to-head meetings but the Lakers produced a 3-0-1 record ATS. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in this span.


Thunder at Bucks: This particular game has pass written all over it for me. Oklahoma City and Milwaukee both enter this game off victories and neither club has won back-to-back games all season, which means something has to give in this spot. OKC hasn’t proven it can score on the road and that would make me lean ‘under’ but the opening total received some early money and has jumped from 187 ½ to 190 ½. Since Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are out, it’s hard to consider recent meetings but make a note that Oklahoma City has gone 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five encounters vs. Milwaukee.


Kings at Mavericks: Sacramento has turned some heads this season with its 5-2 record both SU and ATS. The Kings were brought back to life on Sunday as they lost at OKC (101-93) but hard to ignore a 3-1 mark on the road. Dallas hasn’t been a great home favorite in past seasons and it’s started off with a 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS mark this year. The Mavericks couldn’t buy a shot (42%) on Sunday as they were humbled at home to the Heat, 105-96. Despite a 1-3 record against Dallas last season, you could say Sacramento turned the corner. The Kings captured the first meeting before losing the final three by a combined nine points. I would expect a much better effort and focus from the Mavericks tonight, knowing they have two winnable games at home on deck versus Philadelphia and Minnesota. This game has the highest total (207) on the board. The Kings have seen the ‘over’ cash in their last four games while the Mavs are on a 3-0 run to the ‘under.’


Hornets at Trail Blazers: Portland is a tough team to go against at home and this season is no different. The Trail Blazers have gone 4-1 both SU and ATS at the Moda Center and all four victories came by double digits. The Hornets are winless on the road this season, going 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. On Sunday, the club ran out of gas in Los Angeles and dropped a 107-92 decision to the Lakers. Charlotte is listed as a 7 ½-point underdog for this matchup and that’s the highest point-spread they’ve seen all season. The home team won both meetings last season, coincidentally both outcomes were by 30 points. The ‘over’ cashed easily in both games and is on a 4-0 run in this series.


Spurs at Warriors: If Golden State wants to be considered a serious contender, it will have to beat San Antonio, which is something they haven’t done in six straight meetings. During this span, the Spurs have gone 5-1 ATS and three of the victories have come in the Bay Area. San Antonio is on a back-to-back spot and we could see the club rest starters, especially after watching them beat the Clippers 89-85 last night. Oddsmakers are certainly expecting the Spurs to rest, opening the Warriors as five-point favorites and that number already jumped to 7 and 7 ½ at most shops. Last Thursday, the Spurs were blasted by the Rockets 98-81 as 6 ½-point road underdogs on zero days rest as both Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili sat out.
 

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RATED PLAYS:




13 - 15........................................*****


9 - 11.........................................DOUBLE PLAY


15 - 7 ........................................TRIPLE PLAY


7 - 11.........................................SLAM DUNK






Tuesday, November 11


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Orlando - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -11 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Toronto - Under 199 500


L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET L.A. Lakers +9.5 500 *****
Memphis - Under 197.5 500


Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City +3 500
Milwaukee - Under 192 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Sacramento - 8:30 PM ET Sacramento +7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Dallas - Over 205.5 500


Charlotte - 10:00 PM ET Portland -7 500 SLAM DUNK
Portland - Over 191.5 500


San Antonio - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -8 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 197 500 DOUBLE PLAY
 

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***** NBA Previews from The Sports Network ***** Wednesday, November 12 (All times Eastern)

DETROIT PISTONS (2-5) AT WASHINGTON WIZARDS (5-2), 7 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Washington Wizards return home from a two-game roadie for four straight, starting Wednesday night when the Detroit Pistons visit the Verizon Center. The Wiz went 1-1 on the sojourn, losing to the ultra-tough Toronto Raptors on Friday. Washington pulled out a 97-90 victory Saturday night over the Indiana Pacers. "We couldn't make a shot yesterday," All-Star point guard John Wall said after the win on Saturday. "Today we just did a better job moving the ball and getting our defense going." Wall scored 18 points and the Wizards held off Indiana for the second time this week. Nene did a little bit of everything, finishing with 17 points, seven rebounds, five assists and a big steal with 30 seconds remaining that helped the Wizards hold off a late rally by the Pacers. After trailing by as many as 22 points, Indiana had it down to five with under a minute left. Out of a timeout, Chris Copeland tried to break down Nene, but the big man swiped the ball free and chased it down. He found Paul Pierce, who canned two free throws to help secure the game. Kevin Seraphin chipped in 13 points off the bench for Washington, which bounced back from a humbling 19-point loss to Toronto on Friday and had lost 12 straight regular-season games in Indianapolis. The Pistons have dropped two straight after a two-game winning streak. On Sunday, Detroit fell at home to the Utah Jazz by a point, then fell at the United Center, 102-91, Monday night to Central Division rivals, the Chicago Bulls. Derrick Rose returned for the Bulls and Chicago built a 17-point lead in the second half. The Pistons battled to make it a ball game. Josh Smith had 19 points and 11 rebounds to lead the Pistons. Greg Monroe added 16 points and 10 rebounds and D.J. Augustin added 16 points off the bench. Caron Butler's right-corner 3-pointer got the Pistons within 87-84 with 4:41 remaining and they were as close as two minutes later on Augustin's bucket, but scored just three points over the last 2:43. "The second half tonight was a positive for us by and large," said Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy. "But, when you give away the first half and then play better, but still come up short, I can't accept it. You have to play to win." The Pistons have won eight of the last 10 meetings between the two teams and four of their last five in Washington D.C.

INDIANA PACERS (2-6) AT MIAMI HEAT (5-2), 7:30 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - When the Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat tangled in recent seasons, it was required viewing. One summer made the matchup a little less appealing, but the two squads will duke it out Wednesday night at AmericanAirlines Arena in South Beach. These two met in the Eastern Conference Finals the last two seasons and the series were entertaining. Everything changed this offseason. LeBron James left the Heat to try and save the city of Cleveland Cavaliers. Pat Riley and the Heat brass replaced him as best they could and the results have been solid. Miami is tied for the lead in the Southeast Division. The Pacers lost Lance Stephenson, a skilled play-maker, premiere defender and master agitator. Then, Paul George's horrific leg injury with USA Basketball left the Pacers in shambles. "That's the nature of pro sports right now, is teams turn over very quickly, much more rapidly than it was 15, 20 years ago, certainly," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra told the Sun Sentinel. "And you have to be able to adapt the best that you can in this business. So both teams look quite a bit different than they did in the Eastern Conference finals last year." The Heat have won two in a row after a pair of losses. The four-time reigning Eastern Conference champs dispatched the Minnesota Timberwolves at home on Friday, then earned a terrific victory Saturday night. Miami beat the Dallas Mavericks in Big D, 105-96. Luol Deng turned in his best game as a member of the Miami Heat, scoring 30 points. Deng's previous high this season was 18, but he filled it up against the Mavs as Miami's new Big Three all contributed to the victory. Dwyane Wade supplied 20 points with 10 assists and Chris Bosh posted 20 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat. "We wanted to come up with a much tougher mindset to make plays and keep our head in the game collectively and just find a way to close out the game," said Spoelstra. "The ball was moving and it was encouraging to see." The Pacers halted a six-game losing streak with a 97-86 home victory over the Utah Jazz on Monday night. Roy Hibbert scored a season-high 29 points two days after leaving a game with an injured knee. Hibbert scored 11 of his 29 points in the first quarter after suffering a knee bruise in the first quarter of Saturday's game against Washington. A.J. Price scored 22 points off the bench four days after the banged-up Pacers signed him to bolster their depleted backcourt. Price, who played his first three NBA seasons with the Pacers from 2009-12, made two 3-pointers during a 13-2 run in the fourth quarter that turned a three-point deficit into an eight-point lead. "He obviously gave us a big-time lift tonight," said Pacers Frank Vogel, who expects the team to re-sign Price when his 10-day contract is up as long as the team still needs bodies. Solomon Hill added 13 points and Lavoy Allen scored 12 with a game-high 15 rebounds off the bench. The Pacers, who avoided what would have been their longest losing streak in five years, are still without David West, George Hill, CJ Watson and Rodney Stuckey. CJ Miles missed the last two with a migraine. The home team has won the last nine regular-season meetings between these two. Indiana has lost six in a row and is 2-13 in its last 15 regular-season matchups down in South Beach.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (2-6) AT BOSTON CELTICS (3-3), 7:30 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Boston Celtics will try to extend their winning streak to three games Wednesday night when they welcome the struggling Oklahoma City Thunder to TD Garden. The Celtics defeated the Indiana Pacers at home on Friday, then picked up their most impressive victory of the season on Saturday - a 106-101 road win over the Chicago Bulls. Evan Turner started in place of Rajon Rondo and totaled 19 points, six assists and five rebounds in the win. Rondo sat out after having screws removed from his surgically repaired left hand Saturday morning, and Marcus Smart began mending a sprained left ankle he suffered in Friday's win over the Pacers. "Screws were irritating me a little bit," admitted Rondo. The Celtics shot 52 percent from the floor and saw seven players score in double figures. Kelly Olynyk contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds, and Jeff Green added 14. The C's led by 16 after three quarters, but the Bulls rallied. It was a three- point game with a minute to go, but Olynyk made 1-of-2 at the foul line with 45.8 seconds remaining. Chicago scored at the other end, but Olynyk came down with a huge offensive rebound and stayed inbounds to extend Boston's next possession. Turner was fouled with 17.7 ticks left and made both free throws, and Jimmy Butler missed an elbow jumper to all but seal the outcome. "We weathered the storm and made some plays," Olynyk said. "We found a way." The Celtics will host LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers, then the Phoenix Suns on this homestand. The Thunder ended a three-game slide on Sunday, but laid an egg on Tuesday night in Milwaukee. OKC fell to the Bucks, 85-78, for its lowest regular- season offensive output since April 16, 2012. "We didn't make shots," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "Not one guy is trying to go out there and miss shots, but we can help ourselves make shots by moving our bodies and moving the basketball." Reggie Jackson poured in a career-high 29 points for Oklahoma City, while Serge Ibaka and Anthony Morrow tallied 12 and 10, respectively. Steven Adams pulled down 10 rebounds in the loss. The Thunder have dropped four of their last five overall and their last seven straight on the road dating back to last season. The Thunder have won three straight against the Celtics and six of the previous seven meetings. Oklahoma City has taken four of its last five matchups in Boston.

UTAH JAZZ (3-5) AT ATLANTA HAWKS (3-3), 7:30 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Atlanta Hawks got back to .500 and will try to post a winning record for the first time all season when the Utah Jazz come to Philips Arena Wednesday night. The Hawks knotted their record thanks to a home-and-home sweep of the New York Knicks over a three-day span. Atlanta won by seven at home on Saturday, then left Madison Square Garden with a 91-85 victory on Monday. Paul Millsap had 19 points for the Hawks. Kyle Korver netted 17 points to go with eight rebounds and Al Horford posted 12 points and six boards in the win. "We feel like our record should be better already. A few games we lost at the end of games because we weren't focused at the end of games," Millsap said. Dennis Schroeder scored 14 for the reserves on Monday and head coach Mike Budenholzer has shortened his bench a bit. That second unit may have to expand a bit on Tuesday as the Hawks, who went 27-for-28 from the foul line Monday, may be without DeMarre Carroll (groin strain) and Mike Scott (low back contusion). Carroll is listed as doubtful, while Scott is questionable. Schroeder played more minutes than starter Jeff Teague and was on the floor for critical fourth-quarter minutes. The Jazz will be playing game three of a five-game eastern road trip. They started with a one-point win in Detroit, but fell in Indiana, 97-86, to the Pacers on Monday. Indianapolis native Gordon Hayward poured in 30 points for Utah. Enes Kanter had 18 points and Derrick Favors scored 13 in the loss. "Got to credit them, they hit some tough shots, they battled," Hayward said. The starting frontline was good for the Jazz, but the rest of the team, especially the starting backcourt, struggled badly from the field. Alec Burks (9) and Trey Burke (5) combined to shoot 6-for-25 from the field for a terrible 24 percent shooting night. To contrast, Hayward, Favors and Kanter went 23-for-36 for a 63.8 percent shooting night, while the rest of the Jazz shot 9-for-38. The Jazz will visit the New York Knicks on Friday, then travel north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. The Hawks have won six straight against the Jazz and nine of the last 10 meetings. Utah has dropped three straight and six of the last seven in Atlanta.

ORLANDO MAGIC (2-6) AT NEW YORK KNICKS (2-6), 7:30 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The New York Knicks will try to snap a five-game losing streak Wednesday night when they welcome the Orlando Magic to Madison Square Garden. The Knicks haven't won in 10 days when they beat the Charlotte Hornets at MSG. Since, New York is 0-2 at home and 0-3 on the road, but there is one consistent variable in its troubled start. The offense. Head coach Derek Fisher implemented team president, Phil Jackson's vaunted triangle offense. The Knicks have yet to score 100 points in a game and rank dead last at 91.1 ppg. Commissioner Adam Silver even weighed in on the Knicks, saying it looked like they were having some trouble with the triangle offense. Jackson dismissed the words, but the Knicks are reeling. They lost both ends of a home-and-home series with the Atlanta Hawks over a three-day span. The Knicks fell by seven in Atlanta on Friday, then lost, 91-85, at home on Monday. Carmelo Anthony tallied 25 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, Iman Shumpert supplied 18 points and Tim Hardaway Jr. added 15 for New York. Anthony was 11-of-25 from the field. He's now taken at least 20 shots in his last six games, but has just shot 50 percent or better just once. "We've just gotta stay with it, stay focused, stay positive as a team," Anthony said. The Knicks welcome the Denver Nuggets on Friday, then hit the road for five of their next six. The Magic lost a heartbreaker in Toronto Tuesday night, falling to the red-hot Raptors, 104-100. Evan Fournier paced Orlando with 24 points while Tobias Harris went for 23 points and 13 rebounds. Nikola Vucevic scored 18 points with eight rebounds and six assists and Channing Frye hit five 3-pointers for the Magic, who only got 14 points from their bench. "This was a test for us," said Magic head coach Jacque Vaughn. "We played this team ten days ago. Were we more prepared, were we a better team, were we smarter than the first time we played them? It was a good challenge for us tonight." Toronto trailed 83-72 through three quarters, but Lou Williams and Patrick Patterson hit consecutive threes to cap a swift 11-0 run that tied the game. Fournier's corner trey out of a timeout briefly silenced the crowd and the Magic led until 6:36, when Patterson sank another long ball to give the Raptors their first lead since the first quarter. The lead was one when Patterson was fouled with 11.8 seconds left and split the pair of free throws, setting up Harris' final look at the basket. He didn't get a great attempt off thanks to great defense from James Johnson. Wednesday's game ends a three-game road trip for the Magic. The Knicks took two of three from Orlando last season and are 8-1 in their last nine against the Magic. The two squads split the last 10 meetings in New York City. Orlando has lost four in a row at MSG.

LOS ANGELES LAKERS (1-6) AT NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (3-3), 8 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Los Angeles Lakers will try again for their second win of the season Wednesday against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie Kin Center. After claiming victory versus Charlotte on Sunday, the Lakers dropped a 107-102 decision in Memphis Tuesday night. NBA leading scorer Kobe Bryant (26.7 ppg) had 28 points and Carlos Boozer scored a season-high 20 points with eight rebounds. Wesley Johnson (15), Jordan Hill (13) and Jeremy Lin (12) all scored in double digits for the Lakers, who fell to 1-6 on the season and shot 47.1 percent. The Lakers only made 7-of-22 3-pointers and Bryant hit on just three of his 10 attempts from beyond the arc. Hill had 14 boards in defeat. "We just had to keep fighting," said Lakers big man Ed Davis. "We were in the game at halftime. We came out, they had a good start. We made a comeback and gave ourselves a chance to win, we just couldn't finish it out." The Lakers are playing five of seven games on the road and didn't have guard Wayne Ellington against the Grizzlies after his father was shot and killed on Sunday in Philadelphia. Forward Ryan Kelly (hamstring) did not play Tuesday and is questionable. He has appeared in just one game this season. Los Angeles will return home for two tough games versus San Antonio and Golden State before hitting the road for three more games. LA is 0-3 as the visitor this season. The Pelicans are home for two games versus Los Angeles and Minnesota, and had a two-game winning streak stopped with Monday's 118-111 road loss to LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. James and Kyrie Irving had 32 points apiece, while the Pelicans were led by Ryan Anderson's 32 points off the bench. Anderson made 8-of-12 3-pointers and Anthony Davis contributed 27 points, 14 rebounds and three blocks for New Orleans, which has lost three of five games and gave up 67 points in the second half. "Our defense got us tonight. We didn't play much," said Pelicans coach Monty Williams. "And our shot selection was poor." Tyreke Evans had 10 assists, but shot just 2-of-14 from the field for six points before fouling out late. Jrue Holiday scored 16 points in the loss. The Pelicans went 2-1 against the Lakers last season, but Los Angeles has won 12 of the previous 14 matchups between the teams. The Lakers have won eight of their past 10 trips to the Big Easy.

BROOKLYN NETS (4-2) AT PHOENIX SUNS (4-3), 9 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Brooklyn Nets will play three straight and six of their next eight games on the road, starting with Wednesday's contest against the Phoenix Suns at US Airways Center. The Nets went 3-1 on a recent homestand and won for the fourth time in five tries with Sunday's 104-96 triumph versus the Orlando Magic. Bojan Bogdanovic and Deron Williams scored 22 and 18 points, respectively, while Joe Johnson added 13 points. Bogdanovic's 22 points were a career high. The game was tied with 5:55 remaining when Nets coach Lionel Hollins subbed in Bogdanovic, Johnson and Kevin Garnett for Mirza Teletovic, Jarrett Jack and Mason Plumlee. "We had a lot more intensity and quickness," Hollins said of his team after the substitutions. "We matched up better with them." Brook Lopez netted 12 points and has scored in double figures in all four games he's appeared in this season. Williams was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Week for games played from Nov. 3-9, and has recorded 15 or more points and six or more assists in all six games. Johnson posted his 4,000th career rebound on Sunday, becoming the seventh player in NBA history to record 17,000 points, 4,000 rebounds, 4,000 assists and 1,600 3-pointers. He also sprouted off on Tuesday, lamenting the Nets as "selfish." The Nets are third in the NBA in fourth quarter scoring (26.2). Phoenix ended a two-game slide the last time out in a 107-95 victory over the Golden State Warriors. It was Golden State's first loss of the season following a 5-0 start. The Suns put the Warriors away with a 36-16 advantage in the fourth quarter and were led by Isaiah Thomas's 22 points off the bench. Thomas went 13-of-14 from the foul line. "I was just making plays," said Thomas. "I was trying to be aggressive and I would get in the lane and just make a play. Guys were open and they knocked down shots. It started at the defensive end though, we got stops and got out running." Gerald Green and Goran Dragic scored 19 points apiece and Marcus Morris ended with 17 for the Suns, who shot 43 percent and scored 30 points off 27 Golden State turnovers. Phoenix, which is averaging 41.4 ppg off the bench, is 4-3 this season and 1-2 on a four-game homestand, which comes to an end Friday versus Charlotte. The Suns lost both meetings with Brooklyn last season and are winless in the last five games in this series. The Nets go for their fourth straight win in the desert, but are 4-16 in the last 20 trips there.

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (5-3) AT DENVER NUGGETS (1-5), 9 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The Portland Trail Blazers will play the Denver Nuggets again when the Northwest rivals collide Wednesday at the Pepsi Center. The division-leading Blazers defeated the Nuggets, 116-100, on Sunday and were led by LaMarcus Aldridge's 28 points and nine rebounds. Wesley Matthews scored 21 points for Portland, which has won five in a row against the Nuggets. Portland, though, has lost 18 of the past 21 games in the Rocky Mountains. The Trail Blazers will make a quick turnaround after Tuesday's 102-100 triumph versus the Charlotte Hornets. Gary Neal's game-tying basket came after the buzzer sounded and the Blazers escaped with the win, They were led by Damian Lillard's 29 points and seven assists, while Aldridge was a force with 25 points to go along with 14 rebounds. "We just had to keep playing," Lillard said. "They came out and shot the ball really well. We played physical." Matthews scored 16 points for Portland, which has won four of five games. Portland, which is averaging 102.4 ppg and allowing only 95.3 ppg, was without swingman Nicolas Batum (knee contusion) and he is questionable against the Nuggets. The Nuggets are 29th in opponents' scoring at 108.0 ppg and have lost five in a row after opening the season with a win. In Sunday's loss to the Blazers, Kenneth Faried ended with 19 points, seven rebounds and three blocks. "It was a battle of who could get the most offensive boards and make the most of opportunities when they got them," said Faried. Arron Afflalo and Ty Lawson each scored 18 points, and Timofey Mozgov had seven points to go along with his season-best 16 rebounds. Lawson missed the loss to Cleveland last Friday with an ankle injury and dished out eight assists against Portland. After hosting the Blazers, the Nuggets will head east for three games against Indiana, New York and Cleveland. They are 0-3 on the road and 1-2 at home.

HOUSTON ROCKETS (6-1) VS. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (2-4), 10 P.M. (SportsNetwork.com) - The NBA will put its product on the line Wednesday at Mexico City Arena, where the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves will tip off in the league's expanded NBA Global Games schedule. "We are very proud to once again represent the NBA in Mexico," said Timberwolves President Chris Wright. "This is a great opportunity for the NBA and the Minnesota Timberwolves to continue the incredible growth of our international fan base. The Mexico City fans were phenomenal last year and we look forward to visiting them again this season." The Timberwolves were scheduled to play the San Antonio Spurs in Mexico City, Mexico last season, but the game was postponed because of smoky conditions inside the arena. A generator malfunction sent smoke pouring into the building and the arena was evacuated about 45 minutes prior to tip off. The last regular-season NBA game in Mexico was on Dec. 6, 1997, when the Rockets beat the Dallas Mavericks. Minnesota is 2-4 on the season and went 1-2 on a recent road trip, which culminated with Saturday's 102-92 loss at Miami. Nikola Pekovic posted 19 points and 11 rebounds, and Thaddeus Young supplied 16 points and six boards for Minnesota, which was without its young point guard Ricky Rubio for the first time this season. Rubio is dealing with an ankle injury. "We battled," Wolves coach Flip Saunders said. "We got a couple of groups together that played hard. That was a positive to build on." Rookie Andrew Wiggins scored 10 points in defeat. The Rockets started the season 6-0 and came back to earth with Saturday's 98-87 loss to the Golden State Warriors. The two teams were both undefeated. Stephen Curry scored 14 of his game-high 34 points in the fourth quarter to lead the Warriors, while James Harden paced the Rockets with 22 points and Isaiah Canaan ended with 21. Terrence Jones (leg) missed his third straight game, Patrick Beverley (hamstring) has been held out in four of five games and Dwight Howard was a late scratch with flu-like symptoms. "Tonight was just a tough game in general missing three of our starters," Harden said. Jones and Beverly are still out and Howard should be back Wednesday. Howard is posting an average of 19.7 points and 11.5 rebounds. Houston went 3-1 against Minnesota last season and has won 20 of the past 26 matchups with the T-Wolves. 11/12 10:03:20 ET
 

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Dunkel

Portland at Denver
The Trail Blazers head to Denver tonight where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Nuggets. Portland is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Trail Blazers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 12

Game 701-702: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.251; Washington 119.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Utah at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.992; Atlanta 123.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 12; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Under

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.354; Boston 116.312
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.982; Miami 125.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8); Over

Game 709-710: Orlando at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.938; New York 119.808
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8; 185
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 711-712: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.323; New Orleans 124.888
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 12 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-10 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Portland at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.926; Denver 117.347
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 120.000; Phoenix 123.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+5 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Houston at Minnesota (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 126.290; Minnesota 117.674
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Under
 

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Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 12

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DETROIT (2 - 5) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 11/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 323-391 ATS (-107.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 92-129 ATS (-49.9 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (3 - 5) at ATLANTA (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (2 - 6) at BOSTON (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 299-248 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
BOSTON is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 78-115 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (2 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 2) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 101-134 ATS (-46.4 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 10-10 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 11-9 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (2 - 6) at NEW YORK (2 - 6) - 11/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (1 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 160-210 ATS (-71.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (5 - 3) at DENVER (1 - 5) - 11/12/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (4 - 2) at PHOENIX (4 - 3) - 11/12/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (6 - 1) vs. MINNESOTA (2 - 4) - 11/12/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 12

Hot Teams
-- Washington won five of last six games (1-1 HF).
-- Hawks won both their home games (0-1-1 HF). Utah covered four of its last six games (2-2 AU).
-- Celtics won last two games by total of 8 points (1-1 HF).
-- Miami won five of its seven games (3-1 HF).
-- Portland won four of last five games, is 0-2 SU on road.
-- Nets won four of their last five games (1-1 AU).
-- Rockets won six of their seven games (5-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost five of its seven games (0-7 vs spread).
-- Oklahoma City lost four of its last five games.
-- Pacers lost six of last seven games, covered three of last four.
-- Knicks lost their last five games (1-3-1 vs spread). Orlando lost six of eight games but covered four of last five.
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games, but covered last three. Pelicans lost three of last five games (2-1 HF).
-- Nuggets lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Suns lost three of their last five games (1-1 HF).
-- Minnesota lost last two games by 9-10 points (3-1 as dog).

Series Records
-- Pistons won eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Hawks won six in row, nine of last ten games with Utah.
-- Celtics lost six of last seven games with Oklahoma City.
-- Heat beat Indiana in six games in LY's playoffs.
-- Knicks won eight of last nine games with Orlando.
-- Lakers won 12 of last 15 games with Pelicans
-- Portland won last five games with Denver; they beat Nuggets 116-100 at home Sunday.
-- Suns lost their last five games with Brooklyn.
-- Rockets won four of last five games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Three of last four Detroit games went over.
-- Four of six Atlanta games went over total.
-- Last four Boston games went over the total. Under is 6-1-1 in Thunder games this season.
-- Last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 15-1-1 in last seventeen Magic-Knick games.
-- Five of last six Laker games went over total.
-- Last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Brooklyn games went over total.
-- All seven Houston games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 17-10 ATS: West 14-13
East teams HF vs West: 6-4
East teams HU vs West: 3-1
West teams HF vs East: 5-4
West teams HU vs East: 4-0
 

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Wednesday, November 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Detroit

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BOSTON
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 17 games
Boston is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. MIAMI
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. NEW YORK
Orlando is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Lakers are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games on the road
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 18 games at home

9:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Phoenix is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland

10:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
 

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Wednesday, November 12


Under scoarching with Zarba calling action

Offense has not been easy to come by in games with Zach Zarba officiating this season. In the six games Zarba has called, the over/under record is 1-5.

The average combined score of games that Zarba calls this season is 186.3 points

Zarba will be calling the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves with the total currently set at 201.


Home team on fire with Cutler overseeing action

Though the NBA season is young, home teams have been on fore when referee Kevin Cutler is calling the action. In all five of Cutler's games officiating, the home team has gone 5-0 straight-up and 3-2 against the spread.

Cutler will be overseeing the game between the Jazz and Hawks in Atlanta Wednesday.


Pistons still winless ATS, face Wizards as dogs

The Detroit Pistons are one of only two teams this season that have yet to cover in a single game. The Pistons have failed to cover their games by an average of four points this season, but have only missed their first ATS win by less than two points four times.

Detroit is averaging 91.9 points per game while allowing 96.7 ppg.

The Pistons are currently 6-point road dogs against the Washington Wizards Wednesday.


Nelson injured in win, but appears to be OK

Lost in the euphoria of Dirk Nowitzki’s milestone and the Dallas Mavericks’ amazing comeback win over the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday was an injury to point guard Jameer Nelson. The 11-year veteran went down hard late in the third quarter and limed off the court holding the back of his right leg.


Raptors second unit is pushing starters

During the regular season, a strong bench can propel a team a long way. The play of Toronto’s strong group of reserves is part of the reason why the team is off to a franchise-best 6-1 start. Each of the primary backups have spent considerable time as starters earlier in their careers, which means both that Toronto’s second unit will be more talented than most opponents’ reserves and that the starters will get pushed for playing time, benefiting everyone on the roster in the long run.


Orr has been automatic for visiting teams

When J.T. Orr takes to the court to call the Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets game tonight, he will be bringing a hot trend. In the four games Orr has officiated this season, the home team is 0-4 straight up and against the spread.

In fact games have no been close as home teams have been outscored by a margin of 15.8 points per game.


Big line jump in Blazers-Nuggets matchup

There was a huge line jump in a Northwest Division showdown between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets (1-5 SU/ATS) opened as 1-point home dogs but were quickly bet a whopping 3.5-point to now sit at Denver -2.5.

Portland (5-3 SU/ATS) are expected to be without small forward Nicolas Batum for the next couple of games with an ankle injury.
 

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet


November 12, 2014




Pistons at Wizards (-6 ½, 191) – 7:05 PM EST


Washington returns home after splitting a pair of road games at Toronto and Indiana, as the Wizards have fattened up so far on sub .500 competition on their way to a 5-2 mark. In all five victories, the Wizards have allowed less than 100 points, while knocking off the Bucks and Pacers at home. Randy Wittman’s team has gone ‘over’ the total in both game at the Verizon Center, even though the Wizards needed overtime to hit one of the ‘overs’ against the Pacers.


The Pistons are one of two teams in the league that has failed to cover a game yet this season, posting an 0-7 ATS record. Detroit has dropped two in a row since a modest two-game winning streak against New York and Milwaukee. Stan Van Gundy’s club has failed to reach the 100-point mark yet this season, while the Pistons and Wizards split four games last season.


Jazz at Hawks (-7, 198 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


Utah continues a five-game road trip after beating Detroit and falling at Indiana on a back-to-back set. The Jazz has alternated wins and losses in their past seven games, while covering in four of their previous six contests. Utah will look to turn around its luck against Atlanta, losing seven of the last nine meetings in the series, including three straight defeats at Philips Arena.


Atlanta has slugged its way to a 3-3 record, capped off by a home-and-home sweep of New York. The Hawks held off the Knicks on Monday night in Manhattan, 91-85 as two-point favorites, while putting together their best defense effort of the season. Last season, the Hawks compiled a 2-6 ATS record as a home favorite off a road win, while playing in this role for the first time this season.


Thunder at Celtics (-5 ½, 197 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


Oklahoma City remains winless on the road following last night’s 85-78 defeat at Milwaukee as three-point underdogs. The Thunder is 0-5 away from home, while scoring less than 90 points in all five road setbacks (1-4 ATS). OKC shot just 33% from the floor on Tuesday night, as outside of Reggie Jackson’s 29 points on 12-of-21 shooting, the rest of the Thunder starting five converted on only 8-of-40 attempts from the field.


Rajon Rondo is expected back in the Celtics’ lineup after missing Saturday’s underdog victory at Chicago with a hand injury. Boston has pushed the pace this season by hitting the ‘over’ in five of six games, while scoring at least 100 points five times. Seven Celtics scored in double-figures in the 106-101 win over the Bulls without Rondo and Marcus Smart, as the rookie from Oklahoma State will be sidelined for two-to-three weeks with an ankle injury.


Pacers at Heat (-8 ½, 189 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


Last season, these two teams played for the Eastern Conference Championship. Now, both squads will be lucky to get out of the first round of the playoffs. Miami is a likely playoff squad, while Indiana may have problems getting to 30 wins, as the Pacers are just 2-6 so far and dealing with a myriad of injuries. The Pacers did snap a six-game skid in Monday’s 97-86 home victory over the Jazz, as Frank Vogel’s team still hasn’t eclipsed the 100-point mark this season.


The Heat hasn’t suffered (yet) from LeBron James’ departure, going 5-2 through seven games, which includes an impressive victory at Dallas as eight-point underdogs on Sunday. Miami shot 55% from the floor, while Luol Deng scored 30 points on 13-of-19 shooting. The Heat is riding a four-game ‘under’ streak, while scoring at least 100 points all five wins this season.


Magic at Knicks (-6 ½, 190 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


New York is listed in the rare favorite role tonight, as the Knicks have limped to a 2-6 SU/ATS start. Since upsetting the Cavaliers as a 13-point underdog in the second game of the season, the Knicks are 1-5 in the past six games, while not busting the 100-point mark yet in eight contests. New York is 0-4 ATS at Madison Square Garden, while failing to cash in its lone home win over Charlotte.


The Magic have played better of late, covering four of their past five in spite of last night’s 104-100 setback at Toronto as 11-point underdogs. Orlando squandered an 11-point lead heading into the fourth quarter at Toronto, and lost despite making 12 three-pointers. The Magic has played a tough schedule so far, taking on four teams already that made the playoffs last season, while beating two non-playoff teams, the 76ers and Timberwolves.


Lakers at Pelicans (-10 ½, 208) – 8:05 PM EST


Los Angeles continues its road trip tonight, as the Lakers have managed consecutive covers following Tuesday’s 107-102 loss at Memphis as 10-point underdogs. The Lakers shot well enough to hang with the Grizzlies (47%), but Memphis hit 52% of its shots to send L.A. to its sixth loss in seven games. Last season, the Lakers lost two of three meetings with the Pelicans, including an 11-point loss in New Orleans last November.


The Pelicans return to the Big Easy after splitting a pair of tough road games at San Antonio and Cleveland. New Orleans put up a season-high 111 points at Cleveland on Monday, but couldn’t hold onto a 12-point lead, despite a 32-point effort off the bench from Ryan Anderson. The Pelicans have won two of three games at home so far, as Monty Williams’ team has an excellent opportunity to improve to 5-3 with the Lakers and Timberwolves on their homecourt in the next three days.


Blazers (-2 ½, 209) at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST


These division rivals meet for the second time in four days, as Portland ripped Denver on Sunday, 116-100 to cover as nine-point favorites. The venue shifts to the Pepsi Center, as the Nuggets look for any kind of spark to snap a five-game losing streak. Since allowing 79 points in the season-opening victory over the Pistons, the Nuggets have given up at least 100 points in all five losses, while going 3-1-1 to the ‘over’ in this span.


The Blazers erased a 23-point deficit in last night’s 102-100 triumph over the Hornets, but Portland didn’t pick up the cover as 6 ½-point favorites. Nicolas Batum is expected to sit out again for the Blazers after missing last night’s victory with a leg injury. From 2004 through the end of the 2013 season, Portland dropped 17 of 18 visits to the Pepsi Center, but the Blazers rebounded last season by winning both matchups in Denver.


Nets at Suns (-5 ½, 206 ½) – 9:05 PM EST


Brooklyn ventures west for a three-game road trip, looking to capitalize off a 3-1 homestand. Four of the Nets’ five wins have come by double-digits, as Brooklyn failed to cover in a 104-96 victory over the Magic as 8 ½-point favorites on Sunday. The Nets swept the season series from the Suns last season, including an overtime victory in Phoenix last November.


The Suns snapped a two-game skid in Sunday’s 107-95 victory over the previously unbeaten Warriors, who were without second-leading scorer Klay Thompson. Phoenix outscored Golden State, 36-16 in the fourth quarter, one game after the Suns squandered an 11-point fourth leader in a double-overtime loss to the Kings. Last season, the Suns won 10 of 15 home games against Eastern Conference foes, while facing an Eastern team for the first time this season.


Rockets (-7, 200 ½) at Wolves – 10:05 PM EST


Houston and Minnesota head to Mexico City for a late tipoff, as the Rockets try to rebound from their first loss of the season. Dwight Howard missed Saturday’s defeat to Golden State with the flu, as the Rockets shot only 35% from the floor and converted on 10-of-42 attempts from three-point range in a 98-87 setback. Even though Houston was incredibly ineffective offensively, Kevin McHale’s team still hasn’t given up over 100 points this season during its 6-1 start.


Minnesota turned into an early surprise for bettors with a 4-0 ATS record, but the Wolves failed to cover in their past two losses to the Magic and Heat. To make matters worse, point guard Ricky Rubio is sidelined for nearly two months with an ankle injury suffered in the overtime loss at Orlando last Friday. This is technically a home game for the Wolves, but Minnesota had its issues with Houston last season by losing three of four meetings.
 

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Kobe trade rumors swirl


November 11, 2014


DYSFUNCTION JUNCTION AT STAPLES CENTER


Rewind to the summer of 1973. The basketball world was stunned by Wilt Chamberlain's announcement that he was jumping from the L.A. Lakers to the ABA's San Diego Conquistadors as player-coach. The Lakers would sue, claiming Wilt still owed them the option year of his contract. But the Lakers were just partly successful in their legal challenge, as Chamberlain was only barred from playing for the Qs...not coaching the ABA team. So, Wilt, to the disbelief of many, became a head coach, albeit in the ABA.


Basketball insiders were startled. Including the great Jerry West, Wilt's teammate with the Lakers. While this writer attended former Southern Cal head coach Bob Boyd's basketball camp that summer at Occidental College, West was the guest speaker one day, and during a question-and-answer session, West was asked, predictably, about his reaction to Chamberlain becoming a head coach. "That," said West, "I would like to see."


Whatever, Wilt was gone and a bright era of Laker greatness was coming to an end, too. West, into his mid 30s but still able to score better than 20 ppg, was having trouble staying healthy and would play only 31 games in the subsequent 1973-74 campaign. Minus Wilt, the Lakers would make a trade for a big man on the eve of the season, in September, when GM Pete Newell sent F Jim McMillian to the Buffalo Braves in a straight-up swap for third-year C Elmore Smith. For a while, the shot-swatting Smith appeared to be a very serviceable alternative to a later-career Wilt, and HC Bill Sharman was able to steer the Lake Show into the playoffs, where they would be dispatched in the first round when losing in five to the Bucks.


West, however, having played in a limited number of games, would retire after that campaign, and all the Lakers would then have left from their title team of three years earlier would be Sharman, star G Gail Goodrich and backup G named...Pat Riley. The 1974-75 season would thus be a difficult one, with a late 1960s St. Louis Hawks reunion of C Zelmo Beaty and F Bill Bridges part of a new, jerry-rigged cast of Laker characters. Los Angeles would limp home at 30-52, its worst record since relocating from Minneapolis in 1959.


But the Lake Show would quickly recalibrate the next season when Newell engineered a massive trade that brought Kareem Abdul-Jabbar back to L.A. (with none other than Elmore Smith one of several dealt away to the Bucks), where he played collegiately with UCLA. Even with Kareem, the Laker roster was still thin, with the likes of Cornell Warner, Don Ford, and/or Corky Calhoun often paired with Abdul-Jabbar on the frontline, but a new seed had been planted around which a forest could grow, as the Lakers improved 10 wins and barely missed the playoffs. Sharman, who had started to lose his voice in the 1972 playoffs, would retire to the front office after that season to be replaced by West as the head coach. With the still-dominant Abdul-Jabbar in the middle, the Lakers quickly climbed back to relevance, adding extra pieces every year until Magic Johnson arrived for the 1979-80 season and proved the final ingredient in a championship mix that would endure for the duration of the '80s.


Fast forward to summer, 2004. After losing in the Finals to the Pistons ("the first five-game sweep in playoff history," according to sports talk host Jim Rome), the Lakers, two years removed from their last of three straight titles, began to disassemble. Coach Phil Jackson would retire. Shaquille O'Neal would be traded to the Heat. Rudy Tomjanovich was hired as the new head coach. The roster, then with Kobe Bryant (who had clashed with Shaq) as the unquestioned headliner, was otherwise talent-shy, with a supporting cast featuring the likes of G Chucky Atkins and C Chris Mihm. Kobe and new running mate Lamar Odom (acquired from the Heat in the Shaq trade) would eventually miss time due to injury, and Tomjanovich, citing health reasons, would resign halfway through the season. With longtime Jackson aide Frank Hamblen assuming the coaching reins, the Lakers would collapse down the stretch and finish 34-48...their first losing season since 1993-94 (when Magic Johnson would assume coaching duties in an ill-fated experiment during the final month of the campaign).


Jackson, however, would be lured back to the bench the next season, and would quickly rebuild the Lakers into a title contender once more. The Lake Show would get back to the playoffs in Jackson's first two years of his second tour of duty, then emerge as a serious championship threat in Jackson's third season (2007-08) when reacquiring G Derek Fisher, a key cog in Jackson's title winners from earlier in the decade, and frontliner Pau Gasol, the final piece added in a midseason trade with Memphis. The following year the Lakers would win the NBA title and, for good measure, do it again in 2009-10. But when the Lake Show was swept out of the playoffs by Dallas the following year, Jackson would step down once more.


Still, Laker fans believed their team would quickly make adjustments as needed on the fly. After all, hadn't the Lake Show always recovered quickly from any bumpy seasons?


We mention all of the above, and the quick bounce-backs the Lakers have always made from rare poor seasons in the past, because something feels entirely different about the new plight of the Lake Show. Last year the team dipped to 27-55, its worst record of the 55-year L.A. era. And there are early indicators that there will be no quick recovery this season, either. In fact, if early performances are indicative, the Lakers appear hard-pressed to reach the 27 wins they recorded a year ago. Moreover, if the first week of the new season is any indicator, this Laker edition would appear to be the worst in the Western Conference...perhaps by a good margin.


Now, the Lake Show is making news for all of the wrong reasons. But it is still making news, more so than many playoff-caliber teams, much of it triggered by a recent article that appeared in ESPN The Magazine and written by Henry Abbott, which has become one of the most-discussed editorial pieces about the NBA--or any sport--in recent memory.


The focus of the Abbott piece was Kobe, also the name of the story. And Abbott would hardly portray Bryant in a flattering light


The response to the Abbott story has been a bit curious, given that no one is really disputing much about Kobe that appears in the piece. Abbott, however, has come under a lot of fire from various corners about running a piece that liberally quotes unnamed sources. Judging by some of the reaction to the Abbott piece, however, one might think that Abbott is the only journalist who would dare to quote unnamed sources.


Earlier in this football season, we did a comprehensive review of a story written for SB Nation last April by Steven Godfrey entitled Meet The Bag Man, a review of the seedy side of college football recruiting. Godfrey would also cite numerous unnamed sources throughout his story.


To the uninitiated, we remind you that "unnamed sources" do not mean fabrication of fact, or unreliability of information. There are various ways a reporter can seek confirmation of information without revealing names. In fact, laws protect writers who wish confidentiality of their sources. Courts cannot compel a journalist to reveal the identity of an anonymous source for a story. The right is based on a recognition that without a strong guarantee of anonymity, many people would be deterred from coming forward and sharing information of public interest with journalists. As a result, problems such as corruption or crime might go undetected and unchallenged, to the ultimate detriment of society as a whole.


Now, the Kobe Bryant piece by Abbott in ESPN The Magazine has no real impact on society as a whole (aside from those Laker fans who thought the piece to be blasphemous). But Abbott, like Steven Godfrey, is merely the latest in a long line of journalists that might stretch around the equator who have cited unnamed sources and have been perfectly within their journalistic rights to do so. Indeed, perhaps the most decorated piece of investigative journalism in American history, Watergate and All The President's Men by Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein, made liberal use of unnamed and deep background sources.


So, if nothing else, Abbott is in good company in the unnamed sources category.


Abbott, however, was not uncovering a lot of new information in his piece, especially the thrust of the article about Kobe's boorishness and insufferability. It has been well known for years that the self-absorbed Bryant is a pill. And while we believe Abbott was pretty spot-on about everything he said about Kobe, Abbott might have erred when suggesting that Bryant was the main cause of the Lakers' downfall. While the Kobe factor figures large in the Lake Show's current dilemma, it is not the only reason the franchise is reeling at the moment.


Many Laker fans believe the first contributing factor to the current plight of the franchise was dealt by the NBA when nixing the trade for Chris Paul from New Orleans three years ago. We do not deny that Laker fans, who believe that the blockade of the trade was done spitefully by a league which had become tired of Laker successes and one-sided deals made in L.A.'s favor in the past, might have a point. But the then-called Hornets were at the time a ward of the league, and the owners, led by Mark Cuban and others, had every right to veto the deal and seek another, perhaps better, trade for New Orleans. After all, the other NBA owners were technically the owners of the Hornets in late 2011. New Orleans GM Dell Demps, like all GMs, would need approval from ownership to make a deal, and Mark Cuban and the rest were within their rights to ask Demps to continue to shop Paul.


Shortly thereafter, Paul was dealt to the Clippers, a cruel blow to Laker fans who will never stop believing the league had it in for the team.


Regardless of opinions of the Paul trade/non-trade, it did seem to mark the next point, after Jackson's second retirement, where the Lakers began to lose traction. Since then, most of the personnel and coaching moves have backfired. As well as front office developments in L.A., starting with the February, 2013 passing of franchise patriarch Jerry Buss, who ceded command of the franchise to son Jimmy (who has final say on basketball matters) and daughter Jeanie...who also happens to be Phil Jackson's fiancee.


There is a litany of Laker mis-steps over the past two years, beginning with the aborted courtship of Jackson after HC Mike Brown was dismissed in November of 2012, to the attempts at signing Dwight Howard to a long-term contract, to the feet-dragging at naming a replacement for HC Mike D'Antoni, who resigned after the 2013-14 campaign, preceding months of indecision before Byron Scott was hired as coach. Pursuit of significant free agents went nowhere last summer, which the Abbott story claims might have something to do with Bryant. (Perhaps the most illustrative installment of the Abbott piece was Laker GM Mitch Kupchak's disappointment at not being able to make the proper push for Howard, wrecked in part by a petulant Bryant at a key face-to-face meeting with big Dwight). Still, much of the present Laker mess can also be pinned away from Bryant and upon the current franchise structure that begins with Jim Buss and works downward.


Kobe? As Abbott suggests, he's a major impediment moving forward as well, although we believe he is far from the only problem case in the Laker organization.


We have to wonder, however, what the end game is going to be with Kobe, in the first year of a two-year, $48 million deal. In five decades of watching hoops, we hardly recall a situation looking so disjointed as the current Laker plight, with Bryant in the eye of the hurricane. A brooding Kobe seems to be operating outside of whatever parameters new HC Scott has tried to put in place with the current edition of the Lakers


In the Lake Show's most recent game last Tuesday vs. Phoenix, the aging Bryant hoisted 37 shots, missing 24 of them. Even with an injury-plagued roster (more on that in a moment), we hardly believe this is what Scott has designed for whatever lineup he puts on the floor. As much, or more, than ever, Kobe is simply taking the ball and acting oblivious to teammates, forcing countless bad shots and, outwardly at least, showing no remorse for doing so. The body language for the Lakers is mostly awful, as it is apparent that no one is going to tell Bryant not to shoot so much. Kobe's expressions during the game are also illuminating, with Kobe rarely looking at teammates in the sideline huddle, and seeming to tune out whatever Scott is saying. This hardly looks like a pleasant situation for any player on the team, or coach on the bench.


As the losses mount (the Lakers were 1-5 through Sunday), we wonder what the reaction will be of Bryant, who cannot be enamored at the prospect of being the centerpiece of what might be the league's worst team (though the 76ers, also still winless entering the weekend, might offer an argument). Help is not forthcoming for the current edition of the Lakers, either, especially with promising Kentucky rookie PF Julius Randle out for rest of the season with a broken leg suffered on opening night vs. the Rockets, and vet G Steve Nash (whose contributions were going to be hard to gauge) also sidelined for the season due to a back injury. Explosive wing Nick Young, the Lakers' most entertaining component aside from Bryant, is out, perhaps until early December, with a thumb injury.


(As for the rookie Randle, his leg injury might be only part of the story with him, as it has been revealed that many teams were scared off Randle in last June's draft because of concerns over his foot, dating back to his high school days and another potential problem for the former Kentucky bruiser when and if he gets back on the floor.)


Meanwhile, new roster pieces are yet to provide much help, with PG Jeremy Lin's contributions negligible to date and vet PF Carlos Boozer looking more and more past his sell-by date, and a subpar replacement for Pau Gasol, who left for the Bulls in free agency over the summer. The Laker defense, one of the league's worst last season, has been abysmal, as the team has allowed a whopping 117 ppg in its first five games. The offense has also been inefficient; Bryant, though gunning indiscriminately, also seems to be the only Laker willing to fire a 3-point shot, which has become an increasingly important offensive component in the modern-day NBA.


Handicapping-wise, we have to get used to the odd new reality that the Lakers are going to be largely overlooked by many teams. The Lake Show might be able to catch a lot of disinterested foes on an off night. Which is why we are not quite ready to say that the Lakers are a full-blown go-against proposition. There could be several nights like last Friday, when the Clippers were going through the motions for most of the game before finally getting serious in the final few minutes to pull away to a 118-111 win...which wasn't quite enough to cover a hefty pointspread. It would be no surprise if that scenario to repeats several times in the coming weeks and months with the Lake Show.


Meanwhile, the rumor mill has something else to whirr about now, too, as Bryant's name is suddenly coming up in trade whispers. The most popular at the moment is that the Knicks, with their many Laker connections featuring Jackson as the team president and Derek Fisher the new head coach, would be a possible landing spot for Kobe, as New York could also package expiring contracts (including Amar'e Stoudemire) back to L.A. to make a salary fit for any deal. Big Apple tabloids are certainly suggesting as much, and dreaming of a Kobe-Carmelo Anthony pairing ('Melo is supposedly on good terms with Kobe, thought we wonder how those two would co-exist with only one ball on the court). But there is nothing to indicate this is more than just idle speculation from various sports writers who are making the mistaken assumption that just because something could happen, that it will. Kobe's massive contract also makes him effectively, though not completely, untradeable, with only a few teams (like the Knicks) able to provide contract fits/swaps necessary.


Still, the Lakers, as most insiders seem to indicate, are going to be unlikely to deal Bryant as long as he remains a reason for Lake Show fans to tune into the games on the Time Warner Sports Channel, now in the second year of a mega-bucks deal with the Lakers. But much of the team's compensation from the TV deal is based upon ratings (which were fourth in the NBA last season, even with the 27-55 record). Even with the losses mounting, Kobe's presence still pulls viewers, and the Lakers need TV sets tuned into the Time Warner channel to reap their biggest rewards. Dealing away Bryant, so the thought goes in L.A., would jeopardize revenues from Time Warner, which was a reason many believe that Jim Buss decided to give Kobe a big-bucks extension, figuring it necessary to keep the TV ratings at an acceptable level.


Which brings us to another angle on the Lakers plight. The Lake Show is the main income source for the Buss family, not some high-risk part of an extensive portfolio as other NBA teams are for the several billionaire owners in the league. The Buss family is not as well-heeled as Mark Cuban, or new Clippers owner Steve Ballmer. Indeed, it is fact that the Lakers are known to not pay their non-player and coaching employees very well at all. It is something of a shoestring operation because some of the financial limitations of the Buss family, at least in comparison with other NBA ownership situations.


What we will find out in the next couple of months, however, is if Kobe (or specifically his agent Rob Pelinka) might be quietly shopping for a deal outside of Los Angeles. Though Bryant has outwardly denied interest in playing anywhere else, he also realizes his dream of a sixth NBA title ring is now futile with the Lakers, who are years away from building another contender. We would keep our eyes on this situation, as we have a hard time believing Bryant is enjoying being a part of the current mess with the Lakers any more than his current teammates like having to co-exist with Kobe, who is likely to become more insufferable if the team careens toward 60 (or more) losses. We certainly could not blame Kobe, or Pelinka, for shopping, as the L.A. situation detriorates.


Meanwhile, what of the Buss clan? At some point, Jim and Jeanie might decide that the glory days are not going to return anytime soon, and that all it would take to receive a windfall that would likely exceed two billion dollars (or maybe considerably more) would be to put the team on the market. The feeding frenzy for the Lakers brand might exceed what was recently paid in Los Angeles for other franchises like the Dodgers and Clippers combined.


Whether they publicly admit as much, the temptation to sell is bound to strike the Buss clan soon (if it hasn't already). The pressure is also likely to begin ratcheting up from a fan base that will soon become angry as it realizes the franchise is not in competent hands. It does not sit well with anyone in "Laker Nation" that the Lake Show could continue to lose ground against the Staples Center-sharing Clippers, now the featured hoops show in town.


Our advice to Lakers fans? The bad times have just begun. The situation appears toxic. A divorce from Kobe might be the best thing for all parties involved. Is it really worth it to Lakers fans having Kobe as the centerpiece of this mess?
 

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NBA


RATED PLAYS:




14 - 15........................................*****


9 - 13 - 1.........................................DOUBLE PLAY


16 - 8 ........................................TRIPLE PLAY


7 - 12.........................................SLAM DUNK




Date WLT Pct Net Units Record


11/11/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail


11/10/14 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail


11/09/14 10-*6-*0 62.50% +*1700 Detail


11/08/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail


11/07/14 7-*15-*0 31.82% -*4750 Detail


11/06/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail


11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail


11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail


11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail


11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail


11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail


Totals 81-*81-*2 50.00% -*4050




Wednesday, November 12


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Detroit +6 500
Washington - Under 192 500


Utah - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -7.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Atlanta - Over 198 500


Oklahoma City - 7:30 PM ET Boston -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Over 197 500


Indiana - 7:30 PM ET Miami -8 500
Miami - Under 187.5 500


Orlando - 7:30 PM ET New York -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
New York - Over 192.5 500


L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -10.5 500 *****
New Orleans - Over 210 500


Portland - 9:00 PM ET Portland +3 500 *****
Denver - Over 209 500


Brooklyn - 9:00 PM ET Brooklyn +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Phoenix - Over 205 500


Houston - 10:00 PM ET Houston -6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Under 203 500 TRIPLE PLAY
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title next spring........

2-1-- Kentucky-- Their second unit would be a top 25 team.

7-1-- Arizona-- Senior point guard is unusual these days at this level.

10-1-- Duke, Wisconsin-- Duke has more talent; Badgers have more experience.

15-1-- Florida, Kansas, North Carolina-- Jayhawks have really young team.

20-1-- Gonzaga-- This is best team Mark Few has had in Spokane.

25-1-- Louisville, Texas-- Longhorns were a surprise team last year.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert....

13) What does it say that one of Drew Brees' kids was on the Superdome field after the Saints' game Sunday, wearing a #43 jersey? Think Brees misses Darren Sproles?

12) Chiefs' WRs have yet to catch a TD pass this season; every other team's WRs have caught at least three touchdowns.

11) Bills have to be sick about losing at home to the Chiefs; in a 17-13 game, they scored two field goals on four trips to the KC red zone. No bueno.

10) NFL officials lightened up on the defensive penalties in Week 10, with average of 2.83 first downs via penalty per game last week, down about 1.5 a game from what had been the season average this year.

9) Redskins have scored only two TDs on drives of less than 60 yards, least in NFL; Jets and Rams are next with three each. Baltimore (13) has scored the most.

8) By way of contrast, 10 of Cleveland's 22 TDs came on drives of less than 60 yards, meaning their defense/special teams are setting the offense up in great shape.

7) Odd stat of day: Raiders are 0-9, Houston lost their last 14 games last year, which means that Oakland backup QB Matt Schaub is on a 23-game NFL losing streak.

6) Something to follow while watching the Giants this week; the team that won field position this season won all nine Giant games.

5) When was last time someone tore the goalposts down after beating Iowa State? Fans at Kansas did last week; thats how awful their football team is. Usually if you lose to Iowa State, your coach starts packing his bags for his next job.

4) I told you being a window washer is a bad job; couple guys had to be rescued off the side of a building in New York City, up on 50th floor or so. Not sure how much those guys get paid, but it ain't near enough.

3) Victor Martinez re-upped for four years to be the Tigers' DH, good news for Detroit fans and more importantly, for my fantasy baseball team.

2) ESPN's NBA pregame show is way better now with Avery Johnson and Jalen Rose as studio analysts. It had been unwatchable the last couple years.

1) Denver Nuggets fired George Karl because he always lost in the first round of the playoffs; no such worries anymore- Denver is terrible, losing its last six games of the year, not even covering a spread in any of the six games. Only way they'll watch any playoff games in Denver this season is on TV, where Karl now works.
 

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Dunkel

Sacramento at Memphis
The Kings head to Memphis tonight following a 106-98 loss at Dallas and come into the contest with a 10-3-1 ATS record in their last 14 games following a SU defeat. Sacramento is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13

Game 501-502: Chicago at Toronto (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.297; Toronto 127.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Sacramento at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 120.588; Memphis 123.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.921; Dallas 124.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 13; 209
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-13); Under

Game 507-508: Brooklyn at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.550; Golden State 127.103
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+9); Over




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 13

Hot Teams
-- Grizzlies won six of their last seven games (1-2 H).
-- Toronto won its last five games (4-1 vs spread). Bulls won five of last six games (0-0 U).
-- Dallas won five of its last seven games (2-2 HF).
-- Nets won four of last six games (1-2 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Sacramento lost last two games, both by 8 points, after winning its previous five games.
-- 76ers are 0-7, but covered three of last four games.
-- Golden State lost last two games after winning first five (2-1 HF).

Series Records
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 games with Memphis.
-- Raptors won four of last six games with Chicago.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games with Dallas (1-6 vs spread).
-- Nets lost three of last four games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Five of last six Memphis games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Chicago games went over.
-- Mavericks' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Brooklyn games went over the total.

Back-to-Backs
--

East vs West
SU: West 19-11 ATS: West 17-13
East teams HF vs West: 6-6
East teams HU vs West: 3-1
West teams HF vs East: 6-4
West teams HU vs East: 4-0




NBA

Thursday, November 13

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
 

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Thursday, November 13


Road teams, underdogs have huge night on hardcourt

On a night were eight of the nine games played in the NBA had the road teams listed as underdogs, those dogs came through huge for their backers.

Underdogs on the whole went 7-2 against the spread Wednesday night, while road underdogs did even better going 7-1 ATS. But the most impressive trend of the night was road teams, going an incredible 8-1 ATS.

There are four more road dogs on the schedule Thursday night, Sacramento (+6.5) at Memphis, Chicago (+2.5) at Toronto, Philadelphia (+13) at Dallas and Brooklyn (+9) at Golden State.


76ers PF Nerlens Noel, questionable Thursday

Noel has missed the last two games with a left ankle sprain but is expected to return to play against the Mavericks on Thursday.
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (6 - 2) at TORONTO (7 - 1) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (5 - 3) at MEMPHIS (7 - 1) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (0 - 7) at DALLAS (5 - 3) - 11/13/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 101-76 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (4 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (5 - 2) - 11/13/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Hoop Trends - Thursday


November 13, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Warriors are 0-10 ATS (-8.05 ppg) since Nov 10, 2003 at home after a home game where they attempted at least 15 fewer field goals than their opponent.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The 76ers are 0-16 OU (-11.1 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 on the road when they shot less than 40% from the field last game, if they are not playing rested vs. unrested.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Mavericks are 10-0 OU (16.45 ppg) since Feb 03, 2014 after irk Nowitzki was the Mavericks’ high scorer at home.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Warriors are 12-0 ATS (10.75 ppg) after a loss in which Draymond Green scored fewer than 10 points.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS (-8.81 ppg) since Feb 28, 2014 as a home favorite after a win.
 

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Inside the Paint - Thursday


November 13, 2014




Thursday’s pro basketball card features four games on tap, which includes the weekly double-header on TNT. For those of you who have read my weekly “Total Talk” column in the NFL, you’re well aware that I like to dig up trends and possible situations.


With that being said, I believe we’re due for a great back-and-forth shootout on Thursday, especially in one of the nationally televised battles.


I understand the sample size isn’t great but you can see that the guys on TNT have been more entertaining to watch this season than the play on the court.


Tuesday, Oct. 28
Dallas 100 San Antonio 101 (Under 203)
Houston 108 L.A. Lakers 90 (Under 207)


Thursday, Oct. 30
New York 95 Cleveland 90 (Under 204)
Oklahoma City 90 L.A. Clippers 93 (Under 205.5)


Thursday, Nov. 6
San Antonio 81 Houston 98 (Under 179)
Dallas 87 Portland 108 (Under 209.5)


Looking above, you can see that the ‘under’ has produced a 6-0 mark in the first six games on TNT.


Does that mean that the ‘over’ will cash in both games tonight?


Last night, the ‘over’ produced a 7-1-1 record while favorites went 5-4 straight up and 2-7 against the spread.


Let’s handicap the card.


Chicago at Toronto (TNT, 8:05 p.m.)


The Raptors (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) have looked sharp this season and will enter Thursday’s matchup with a five-game winning streak intact. Most betting shops have installed Toronto as a 2 ½-point home favorite over Chicago, which is the first time the Bulls are catching points this season. Also, it should be noted that the Bulls have actually been better on the road (4-0) this season than at home (2-2).


Toronto has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home, the lone non-cover coming in Tuesday’s 104-100 win against Orlando as an 11-point favorite.


These teams went 2-2 in their four regular season encounters last season and the road team captured all four wins. The ‘under’ went 3-1 and the lone ‘over’ barely got there.


Tonight’s total is much higher (195) than the numbers we saw last season and both the Bulls (5-2) and Raptors (6-2) have been ‘over’ teams so far.


Brooklyn at Golden State (TNT, 10:35 p.m.)


We apologize to those of you who bet the Nets (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) last night against the Suns. After scoring 63 points in the first, Brooklyn (+4.5) ran out of gas in the second and managed 41 points in the final two quarters. Phoenix captured a 112-104 win and was helped with a 12-for-12 performance from the free throw line in the fourth quarter.


Things don’t get easier for Brooklyn tonight as it visits Golden State (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS). The Warriors will be looking to avoid a three-game losing skid after getting humbled by the Suns (107-9) on Sunday and Spurs (113-100) on Tuesday.


Golden State has been listed as nine-point favorite and while that number seems inflated, it’s become apparent that the Warriors are bullies, especially at home. Four of Golden State’s five wins have been by double digits, which tells you that it covers when it wins.


This will be the first back-to-back spot for the Nets this season. Last year, Brooklyn was 5-14 SU and 7-12 ATS on zero days.


The ‘over’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the pair and the oddsmakers are expecting another shootout in this spot, opening Thursday’s total at 205.


Other Games


Sacramento (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) at Memphis (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS): Including three wins last season, the Grizzlies have captured seven straight (4-3 ATS) against the Kings and if you go back 20 games, Memphis is 16-4 (12-8 ATS) in the last 20 meetings. The Grizzlies are listed as 6 ½-point favorites, which tells you Sacramento is gaining a little more respect at the betting counter. After opening the season 5-1, the Kings have dropped two straight and Tuesday’s loss at Dallas (106-98) saw the club blow a 20-point lead. The Grizzlies are great defensive club but they’ve had trouble covering numbers, especially as a favorite (2-4 ATS). The total for this game opened 190 ½. Make a note that the ‘under’ cashed in all three encounters between the pair last season.


Philadelphia (0-7 SU, 3-4 ATS) at Dallas (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS): The oddsmakers are telling you this game is a mismatch as they opened the Mavericks as 15-point home favorites. The 76ers actually received some action and the line has settled between 13 and 14 points. Dallas swept both regular season matchups last year but Philadelphia went 2-0 ATS as the losses were by 12 and three points. Philadelphia has gone 5-25 SU and 10-20 ATS in its last 30 games versus the Western Conference. Surprisingly, four of those wins came on the road. Dating back to last season, Dallas is 20-10 SU and 11-18-1 ATS as a home favorite, which includes a 2-1 SU and 0-2-1 ATS this November.
 

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RATED PLAYS:




15- 16........................................*****


9 - 14 - 1.........................................DOUBLE PLAY


16 - 10 ........................................TRIPLE PLAY


7 - 13.........................................SLAM DUNK






Thursday, November 13


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Under 189 500


Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Toronto -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Over 195.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Philadelphia- 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia +13.5 500 *****
Dallas - Over 210.5 500 *****


Brooklyn - 10:30 PM ET Brooklyn +10.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Golden State - Over 209.5 500 SLAM DUNK
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, November 14

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MILWAUKEE (4 - 4) at ORLANDO (3 - 6) - 11/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 6) at INDIANA (3 - 6) - 11/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 188-137 ATS (+37.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 142-99 ATS (+33.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 3) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 101-135 ATS (-47.5 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (3 - 6) at NEW YORK (2 - 7) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (3 - 3) at BOSTON (3 - 4) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 3) - 11/14/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 160-211 ATS (-72.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 8) at HOUSTON (7 - 1) - 11/14/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 276-215 ATS (+39.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (2 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 6) - 11/14/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 300-248 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (3 - 5) at PHOENIX (5 - 3) - 11/14/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (4 - 3) at LA LAKERS (1 - 7) - 11/14/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 862-753 ATS (+33.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 680-580 ATS (+42.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 342-278 ATS (+36.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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