Cnotes NBA October - Novemberr Best Bets-Trends,Stats,News !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

New Orleans at Denver
The Pelicans head to Denver tonight to face a Nuggets team that is 0-8-1 ATS in its last 9 games versus Western Conference opponents. New Orleans is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pelicans favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 21

Game 501-502: Phoenix at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 119.492; Philadelphia 108.153
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Orlando at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.312; Charlotte 115.796
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4; 190
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4); Under

Game 505-506: Detroit at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.011; Atlanta 122.998
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 199 11/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Milwaukee at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.176; Toronto 123.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+8 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Cleveland at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.012; Washington 123.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2); Over

Game 511-512: Boston at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 115.005; Memphis 126.606
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 199
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Under

Game 513-514: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.397; Minnesota 114.682
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Brooklyn at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.214; Oklahoma City 118.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma Cit by 3; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-1); Under

Game 517-518: LA Lakers at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.434; Dallas 126.381
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 9 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: New Orleans at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 123.895; Denver 119.303
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 212
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2); Under

Game 521-522: Utah at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.309; Golden State 126.789
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 11 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Chicago at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.183; Portland 128.859
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 10 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-7 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Friday


November 21, 2014




TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The 76ers are 0-15 ATS (-7.63 ppg) as a dog when their opponent is playing in at least their third straight road game.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Celtics are 0-12 OU (-10.33 ppg) since Apr 13, 2012 on the road after a game where at least 75% of their baskets were assisted.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Jazz are 0-7 OU (-14.79 ppg) since Mar 13, 2013 on the road after Gordon Hayward played fewer than 30 minutes last game.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Warriors are 0-11 ATS (-7.82 ppg) as a favorite when they won and covered as a favorite in each of their last two games.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Lakers are 7-0 OU (11.36 ppg) since Jan 23, 2013 and on the road after Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots on the road last game.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA RATED PICKS


*****.................................21 - 20


DOUBLE PLAYS.....................16 - 20 - 1


TRIPLE PLAYS.......................18 - 15


SLAM DUNK.........................12 - 21


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/20/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/19/14 14-*8-*0 63.64% +*2600 Detail
11/18/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/17/14 9-*9-*0 50.00% -*450 Detail
11/16/14 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
11/15/14 11-*9-*0 55.00% +*550 Detail
11/14/14 10-*10-*0 50.00% -*500 Detail
11/13/14 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3350 Detail
11/12/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/11/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/10/14 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
11/09/14 10-*6-*0 62.50% +*1700 Detail
11/08/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/07/14 7-*15-*0 31.82% -*4750 Detail
11/06/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/05/14 17-*7-*0 70.83% +*4650 Detail
11/04/14 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
11/03/14 3-*9-*0 25.00% -*3450 Detail
11/02/14 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250 Detail
11/01/14 12-*10-*2 54.55% +*500 Detail
Totals 144-*144-*2 50.00% -*7200


Friday, November 21


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Charlotte - Over 191 500


Phoenix - 7:00 PM ET Phoenix -9.5 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 208 500


Detroit - 7:30 PM ET Detroit +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Atlanta - Under 197.5 500


Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -8.5 500
Toronto - Over 199.5 500 *****


Boston - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Over 199 500


San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +10 500 SLAM DUNK
Minnesota - Under 202.5 500


Brooklyn - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn +1.5 500
Oklahoma City - Over 187 500


Cleveland - 8:00 PM ET Washington +1.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Washington - Under 204 500


L.A. Lakers - 8:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +10.5 500 *****
Dallas - Under 215.5 500


New Orleans - 9:00 PM ET New Orleans -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Denver - Under 213 500


Utah - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -12 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 207 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Portland -8 500 SLAM DUNK
Portland - Over 195 500

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Washington 91, Cleveland 78-- Cavaliers are 5-6; 5-0 when game goes over total, 0-6 when it stays under (0-5) or pushes the total (0-1).

-- Texas PG Isaiah Taylor is out 4-6 weeks with broken wrist; Longhorns beat Cal without him, winning the 2K Classic at Madison Square Garden.

-- Adam Laroche goes to the White Sox: $25M for two years, which makes Ryan Zimmerman the Nationals' new 1B.

-- Gardner-Webb 72, Clemson 70-- Tigers lost to Winthrop the other night; could be a long year in Littlejohn Coliseum.

-- West Virginia 70, Boston College 66-- Mountaineers face UConn in Puerto Rico final Sunday night; they were down 11 at half in this game.

-- Hawai'i 74, Pittsburgh70-- Bad loss for Panthers; good win for the Big West.

**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.........

13) Knicks’ PG Jose Calderon hasn’t played yet but he practiced Friday and is expected to play tonight against the 0-12 76ers. Calderon will help the Knicks but they're 3-10, which means they have multiple problems that go beyond point guard, but he will help move the ball better.

12) In case you care about such things, over is 26-9 in NFL primetime games.

11) 16 of 32 NFL teams have started their backup QB at least once this season and there are still six weeks left.

10) Patriots signed RB LaGarrette Blount about 45 seconds after the Steelers released him. Blount has a fairly long rap sheet of not being a great guy, not sure why the Pats want him (again), especially since they’re not playing the Steelers this year unless they meet in the playoffs. Not sure if he’s a big help on special teams, that could be part of it.

9) Closer look at Giancarlo Stanton’s contract: $10M a year for the first three years, then it ramps up to $26M a year for the next three and $32M a year for the seven after that. Maybe Jeffrey Loria plans to sell and won’t be around to give Stanton the really big bucks, or maybe he’ll just trade him to the Dodgers (Stanton is from LA and would no doubt waive his no-trade to go back there) once time comes.

8) Bovada has Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy as the betting favorite to replace Will Muschamp as the next football coach at Florida.

7) Next Cuban baseball sensation is OF named Yasmani Tomas, who will capitalize on the Cespedes/Abreu success to make very big money when he signs. Lot of teams have been prominently mentioned as suitors, most notably the Phillies and recently the Braves.

6) These are facts, do with them what you want: Redskins are averaging 347 yards a game when RGIII plays, 394 when someone else plays.

5) Just realized that former Ohio State football coach Jim Tressel now works at Youngstown State, where he was a highly successful coach; he’s not coaching there anymore, he’s not the AD, he’s the freakin’ school President. Saw a pic of him with a kid in a Penguin costume, which caught my eye.

4) Golfer named John Hahn picked a great time, the last day of European Tour Q School, to shoot a 58 and get his Tour card for next year. He was using preferred lies, but 58 is 58. Good for him.

3) This is what my Las Vegas trips sometimes wind up like: It is Tuesday morning, I’m waiting to go to the airport to go home, sitting by myself at a casino bar, playing video poker and listening to Jeff Van Gundy broadcast the Northern Iowa-SF Austin game. How cool is it that Van Gundy was in Nacogdoches, TX doing an obscure college game on a Tuesday morning?

2) Never realized until this week that Alex Rodriguez signed two separate 10-year contracts in his career, which were worth a combined $527M. How about that? Its good to be him, or his agent.

1) I’m not much for politics, but I’d feel better for our country if we did as much for soldiers returning from active duty as we do for illegal immigrants—I’m pretty sure they deserve it.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 22

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won four of last six games, covered eight of last nine.
-- Indiana won four of its last five games (0-2 HU). Suns won five of last seven games (2-2-1 AF).
-- Raptors won eight of their last nine games (0-1 AU).
-- Mavericks won/covered their last six games (5-1 SU on road).
-- Spurs won/covered six of their last seven games (1-3 HF).
-- Washington won eight of last ten games (3-0 AF). Bucks won five of their last seven games (1-1 HU).
-- Utah won three of its last four home games (2-2 HU).

Cold Teams
-- Heat lost four of their last five games (3-2 SUA).
-- Cleveland lost last three games, scoring 88.3 ppg (2-3 HF).
-- Knicks lost nine of last ten games (1-3 HF). 76ers are now 0-12, 1-4 vs spread in last five (1-5 AU).
-- Minnesota lost six of its last seven games (1-1 HU). Sacramento lost its last three away games (0-1 AF).
-- Rockets lost last two games, scored 84.7 ppg in last three (3-2H).
-- Nets lost five of their last six games (3-3 AU).
-- Pelicans lost three of last four road games (0-1 AF).

Series Records
-- Heat won their last eight games with Orlando.
-- Suns won six of last eight games with Indiana.
-- Raptors won three of last four games with Cleveland.
-- Knicks won ten of last thirteen games with Philly.
-- Kings are 5-4 in their last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Mavericks won 12 of last 15 games with Houston.
-- Nets lost last five visits to Alamo by 3-12-20-31-21 points.
-- Wizards won six of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Jazz won five of last seven games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Miami games stayed under total; seven of last nine Magic games went over.
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Cavaliers are 5-0 if game goes over, 0-6 if it goes under/pushes. Over is 3-0 in Toronto's road games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in New York's last five games. Last five 76er games went under the total.
-- Last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- 10 of 12 Houston games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Brooklyn games stayed under.,
-- Last three Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Pelican games went over total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Orlando covered two of three if it played night before.
-- Phoenix is 0-2 if it played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 2-1 if they played night before. Toronto is 1-1.
-- 76ers are 1-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 1-2 if it played night before.
-- Dallas is 1-0 if it played night before.
-- Spurs are 1-2 if they played night before.
-- Washington is 3-0 if it played night before, 2-1 vs spread. Milwaukee is 2-2 if it played night before.
-- New Orleans is 2-0 if it played night before. Utah is 0-3.

East vs West
SU: West 40-17 ATS: West 34-23
East teams HF vs West: 8-12
East teams HU vs West: 5-6
West teams HF vs East: 11-10
West teams HU vs East: 5-0

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, November 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ORLANDO
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 9 games

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW YORK
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
Dallas is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 14 games

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Sacramento's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Sacramento

8:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. SAN ANTONIO
Brooklyn is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

9:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. UTAH
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 22

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MIAMI (6 - 6) at ORLANDO (6 - 8) - 11/22/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (8 - 5) at INDIANA (5 - 7) - 11/22/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 142-100 ATS (+32.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (10 - 2) at CLEVELAND (5 - 6) - 11/22/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 130-175 ATS (-62.5 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (0 - 12) at NEW YORK (3 - 10) - 11/22/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-29 ATS (+23.1 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
NEW YORK is 41-54 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (7 - 5) at MINNESOTA (3 - 8) - 11/22/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (10 - 3) at HOUSTON (9 - 3) - 11/22/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (5 - 7) at SAN ANTONIO (8 - 4) - 11/22/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 866-754 ATS (+36.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 683-581 ATS (+43.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 440-367 ATS (+36.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 345-278 ATS (+39.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (8 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (7 - 6) - 11/22/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-131 ATS (-51.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 123-166 ATS (-59.6 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (6 - 5) at UTAH (5 - 8) - 11/22/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
UTAH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Dallas at Houston
The Maverick head to Houston tonight where they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus the Rockets. Dallas is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Game 701-702: Miami at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 112.943; Orlando 118.729
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 192
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1); Over

Game 703-704: Phoenix at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 119.763; Indiana 119.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2); Under

Game 705-706: Toronto at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.085; Cleveland 128.516
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Over

Game 707-708: Philadelphia at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 105.998; New York 115.254
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 11 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+11 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Sacramento at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 117.374; Minnesota 115.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 9; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9); Over

Game 711-712: Dallas at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 128.787; Houston 122.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under

Game 713-714: Brooklyn at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.242; San Antonio 131.569
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 194
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-10); Over

Game 715-716: Washington at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.330; Milwaukee 122.365
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: New Orleans at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.572; Utah 118.237
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3; 201
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3); Over

 

[CNOTES]

nba rated picks


*****.................................22 - 21


double plays.....................19 - 21 - 1


triple plays.......................19 - 17


slam dunk.........................13 - 24


Saturday, November 22


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Phoenix - 7:00 PM ET Phoenix -2 500 SLAM DUNK
Indiana - Over 196 500


Miami - 7:00 PM ET Orlando -1 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Orlando - Over 192 500


Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Under 206.5 500


Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Philadelphia +11.5 500
New York - Over 199.5 500


Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas -2.5 500 *****
Houston - Over 203 500


Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +9 500 *****
Minnesota - Over 210.5 500


Washington - 8:30 PM ET Washington -3.5 500
Milwaukee - Under 194 500


Brooklyn - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -10 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Antonio - Under 193.5 500


New Orleans - 9:00 PM ET New Orleans -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah - Under 201 500

 

[CNOTES]

NBA SBPI Ratings - (11/20/14)


November 20, 2014




Now that we are at least 10 games into the season for each team let’s take a first glance at the NBA SportsBoss Power Index (SBPI).


As a reminder this model uses the Four Factors analysis as a basis to measure team effectiveness & efficiency in key statistical areas. New this season I have added in a solid metric for SOS, along with adjusting the ratings to better tie into my indices in other sports where higher marks are better scores (if you look back at last season I used the reverse for the NBA where lower grades were better).


Here is where each team stands through last night’s action:


PERFORMANCE RATINGS (AS OF 11/20/14)
Category Offense Defense Total SOS ADJ SU
Team Rank Rank Rank Rating Rank Record
Memphis 3 2 1 170.7 1 10-2
Dallas 2 21 4 144.7 2 9-3
Toronto 3 16 3 143.9 3 9-2
L.A. Clippers 7 12 8 143.1 4 6-4
Houston 11 3 2 142.2 5 9-3
Portland 5 19 5 141.5 6 8-3
San Antonio 26 1 10 139.8 7 7-4
Sacramento 14 14 13 139.8 8 6-5
Cleveland 6 14 5 137.3 9 5-5
Golden State 19 8 12 136.1 10 8-2
Minnesota 11 10 9 136.1 11 3-7
Washington 16 7 10 133.7 12 7-3
Chicago 7 11 5 131.2 13 8-3
Utah 7 25 14 129.9 14 5-7
L.A. Lakers 1 30 19 128.0 15 3-9
Boston 15 17 15 126.8 16 4-6
Indiana 24 4 15 125.9 17 5-7
New Orleans 10 27 18 124.6 18 6-4
Charlotte 27 6 19 122.6 19 4-8
Milwaukee 25 4 17 117.8 20 7-5
Miami 16 21 21 117.1 21 6-5
Detroit 22 9 22 110.0 22 3-9
Phoenix 22 19 26 108.3 23 7-5
Atlanta 20 23 24 107.5 24 5-5
Denver 13 28 23 107.5 25 4-7
Brooklyn 16 26 25 105.1 26 4-7
Orlando 28 12 27 98.1 27 5-8
Oklahoma City 29 17 28 93.3 28 3-10
Philadelphia 30 23 30 80.0 29 0-11
New York 21 29 29 79.3 30 3-10


Let’s take a closer look at the above ratings, and provide some color behind a few teams that “stand out” for seemingly rating higher or lower than expected.


Memphis: The Grizzlies have the best record in the NBA & also lead the SBPI by a decent margin. Right now I would have them as approximately 4pt favorites over the Rockets on a neutral floor – these teams met in Memphis recently with game going off as Memphis -4.5; my model would have set that # closer to -8.5 & the Grizzlies went on to paste the Rockets by 20+. Their biggest weakness at this point is EFG%, an area they figure to struggle in more times than not because of the makeup of their roster. That is the precise reason the Grizzlies are an annual tough out in the playoffs but at the end of the day they fail to score enough to truly challenge the elite in the Western Conference.


Toronto:The Raptors are the only Eastern Conference team with 2 losses or fewer, and they narrowly handled a depleted Grizzlies roster last night at home. With the injury losses Indiana has suffered, the slow growth the Cavaliers figure to endure & the uncertain status of Bulls PG Derrick Rose this season the Raptors may be very well positioned come May to make a run at their first NBA Finals berth.


Western Conference: Of the top 15 teams in the above ratings 11 are from the West, and that does not include Phoenix or Oklahoma City, a pair of teams that clearly have designs on making a playoff run this season.


Minnesota: The only sub .500 team in the Top 13 are the Wolves & they have been steadily dropping in the ratings since PG Ricky Rubio went down early this season. They must ratchet up their defense a FEW levels to continue competing in the rugged Western Conference.


Oklahoma City, Philadelphia, New York: The three teams with the worst record in the NBA check in as the three worst in the SBPI as well. Now we know OKC will be a threat very shortly once Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant return from injury – but the other two figure to be among the worst handful of teams all season long, with the 76ers in prime position to secure the top pick in the 2015 NBA Draft.


Next let’s dive into the Power Ratings which use the Performance Rankings as a base:


POWER RATINGS (AS OF 3/31/14)
Team Home Road
Memphis 117.5 113.0
Toronto 113.2 109.2
Portland 112.9 108.9
Dallas 113.3 109.3
Golden State 112.1 108.1
Atlanta 108.1 104.1
Washington 111.8 107.8
New Orleans 110.5 106.5
Milwaukee 109.5 105.5
San Antonio 112.1 108.6
Charlotte 109.2 106.2
Houston 112.0 109.0
Sacramento 111.6 108.6
Utah 110.2 107.2
L.A. Clippers 111.6 109.1
Phoenix 106.7 104.2
Miami 107.9 105.4
Brooklyn 106.2 103.7
Minnesota 110.6 108.1
Indiana 108.7 106.7
Oklahoma City 104.1 102.1
Chicago 109.4 107.4
Cleveland 110.3 108.3
Denver 106.1 104.1
Orlando 104.8 102.8
Boston 108.8 106.8
Detroit 106.4 104.4
New York 102.1 100.1
L.A. Lakers 109.0 107.0
Philadelphia 102.2 100.2


These are actual Power Ratings that can be used when handicapping nightly matchups.


How good are bookmakers at setting odds?


Twelve of the 30 teams in the NBA are currently playing to within one game of .500 in their ATS record.


There are three ways I find this information useful:


-- Finding teams that are skewed drastically in one direction & play for them to come back towards .500. Of course you need to find great “spots” to execute that strategy, however, I do feel passing on say a team facing the Knicks is smarter than playing against the Knicks at this point. Many will disagree with that strategy but remember, its ALWAYS OK to pass on a game.


-- Finding teams whose ATS record does not match up with the SBPI ratings above. A good example of this would be Milwaukee, who is playing as the 20th best team according to my ratings yet sits at 9-3 ATS. Their lines may become inflated by the slightest of margins so their ATS record comes back towards the median, however, there are truly not playing as well as the public most likely perceives because of that ATS record.


-- Locating teams whose home/road game skews are big at this early point in the season. As we get deeper into a season we get a better feel for every team because they will have significant sample sizes in both home & road games; right now however teams like Toronto and Portland have played eight home games through Nov. 20 while San Antonio has played just four.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 23

Hot Teams
-- Memphis won 11 of first 13 games (3-4 HF). Clippers won/covered three of last four games (0-1 AU).
-- Trailblazers won last six games (0-1 AF).
-- Warriors won last four games, covered last three (2-1 AF).
-- Nuggets won four of their last five games (0-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost four of their last five games (1-2 HU).
-- Miami lost four of its last six games (1-3 last four HF). Hornets lost their last four games (3-2-1 AU).
-- Oklahoma City lost last five games, three of which were at home (4-1 HU).
-- Lakers lost five of their six home games (3-3 HU).

Series Records
-- Clippers lost six of their last seven games with Memphis.
-- Celtics lost last three games with Portland by 6-13-8 points.
-- Hornets beat Miami 96-89 Nov 5, ending 19-game series skid.
--Thunder won nine of last eleven games with Golden State.
-- Nuggets won their last six games with the Lakers.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Clipper-Memphis games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Celtic games went over total; last three Portland games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Four of five Golden State road games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Denver games.

Back-to-Backs
-- Miami is 3-1 when it played the night before.

East vs West
SU: West 42-17 ATS: West 36-23
East teams HF vs West: 8-12
East teams HU vs West: 5-7
West teams HF vs East: 12-10
West teams HU vs East: 5-0




NBA

Sunday, November 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games

6:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Portland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games

6:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MIAMI
Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 1-20 SU in its last 21 games when playing Miami
Miami is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

9:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
LA Lakers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Sunday, November 23


Dwyane Wade, Miami - Ques Sun

Wade has missed the last five games with a hamstring injury and is questionable to play Sunday against the Hornets.


Road teams clean up at betting window Saturday

Road teams had a good night for bettors, posting a record against the spread of 7-2 in Saturday's nine games. Away faves went 5-1 ATS, while road underdogs went 2-1 on the evening.

The only road teams that failed to cover the spread were the Dallas Mavericks (as 4-point favorites at the Houston Rockets) and the Brooklyn Nets (as 10-point road dogs at the San Antonio Spurs).

Visitors have the edge in the season-to-date record as well, improving to 103-86-3 following Saturday's results.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at Memphis
The Grizzlies host the Clippers (7-4 SU) tonight and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against teams with a winning SU record. Memphis is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 23

Game 501-502: Portland at Boston (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 125.991; Boston 118.065
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-5 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Charlotte at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 116.092; Miami 118.568
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: LA Clippers at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.205; Memphis 128.546
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 198
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3); Over

Game 507-508: Golden State at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.557; Oklahoma City 117.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+8 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Denver at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.275; LA Lakers 117.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (9 - 3) at BOSTON (4 - 7) - 11/23/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 107-142 ATS (-49.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (4 - 9) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 11/23/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 12-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (7 - 4) at MEMPHIS (11 - 2) - 11/23/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (9 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 11) - 11/23/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 301-251 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (5 - 7) at LA LAKERS (3 - 10) - 11/23/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 131-169 ATS (-54.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA Power Poll

Division Rankings


The best divison in any sport, including college football's SEC West, makes up four of the top seven in these NBA rankings and sees the Pelicans checking in at No. 12. Meanwhile, the league's worst is certainly the Atlantic, which houses four teams among the bottom 10, including the two weakest squads. If you take the Raptors away, the rest of the division is a combined 11-34 entering Friday's action.


1) Southwest
2) Pacific
3) Central
4) Southeast
5) Northwest
6) Atlantic


Playoff Projections


Eastern Conference
1. Chicago
2. Toronto
3. Cleveland
4. Washington
5. Miami
6. Atlanta
7. Charlotte
8. Brooklyn


Western Conference
1. Memphis
2. L.A. Clippers
3. Portland
4. Golden State
5. San Antonio
6. Houston
7. Dallas
8. Phoenix


First Team All-NBA
F- LeBron James, Cleveland
F- Anthony Davis, New Orleans
C- Dwight Howard, Houston
G- Chris Paul, L.A. Clippers
G- Stephen Curry, Golden State


Second Team All-NBA
F- Blake Griffin, L.A. Clippers
F- LaMarcus Aldridge, Portland
C- Marc Gasol, Memphis
G- Damian Lillard, Portland
G- James Harden, Houston


Third Team All-NBA
F- Carmelo Anthony, New York
F- Zach Randolph, Memphis
C- DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento
G- Tony Parker, San Antonio
G- Klay Thompson, Golden State


2014-15 NBA Finals Prediction


San Antonio over Chicago - Presuming every key figure remains healthy throughout the postseason, we'll see the Spurs remain basketball's best team. Their projected opponent will open some eyebrows, but I'd agree with James that the Cavaliers do indeed have a long way to go before they have the goods to win it all. The Bulls will be more disciplined defensively, have solid depth and a deep, smart, unselfish frontcourt that will get their hands dirty and be a force on both ends of the floor come May and June. Derrick Rose will hopefully be bouncing around running the show, providing the requisite hunger necessary to extend Cleveland's championship drought at least another season. Of course, the Cavs won't go quietly, giving San Antonio's repeat bid a major boost as it awaits a tired Eastern Conference champ.


POWER RANKINGS


Rank Team Betting Notes (2014 Record) Last Week


1 San Antonio Spurs (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) 1


2 Memphis Grizzlies (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) 2


3 Golden State Warriors (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) 3


4 Toronto Raptors (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) 6


5 Portland Trail Blazers (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS) 5


6 Dallas Mavericks (9-3 SU, 8-3-1 ATS) 12


7 Houston Rockets (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) 4


8 Chicago Bulls (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) 7


9 Los Angeles Clippers (7-4 SU, 3-8 ATS) 9


10 Washington Wizards (7-3, 4-6 ATS) 11


11 Cleveland Cavaliers (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) 8


12 New Orleans Pelicans (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) 15


13 Sacramento Kings (7-5 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) 14


14 Phoenix Suns (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) 10


15 Atlanta Hawks (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) 17


16 Milwaukee Bucks (7-5 SU, 9-3 ATS) 19


17 Miami Heat (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS) 13


18 Utah Jazz (5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS) 22


19 Denver Nuggets (4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS) 28


20 Indiana Pacers (5-7 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) 24


21 Brooklyn Nets (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS) 16


22 Charlotte Hornets (4-8 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) 18


23 Orlando Magic (5-8 SU, 8-5 ATS) 23


24 Oklahoma City Thunder (3-10 SU, 7-6 ATS) 20


25 Boston Celtics (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) 21


26 Los Angeles Lakers (3-9 SU, 7-5 ATS) 29


27 Minnesota Timberwolves (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS) 25


28 Detroit Pistons (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS) 26


29 New York Knicks (3-10 SU, 3-10 ATS) 27


30 Philadelphia 76ers (0-11 SU, 4-7 ATS) 30

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Sunday, November 23


Game Score Status Pick Amount


L.A. Clippers - 6:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers +3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Over 198 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Portland - 6:00 PM ET Portland -5.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Over 211.5 500


Charlotte - 6:00 PM ET Charlotte +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Miami - Under 187 500


Golden State - 7:00 PM ET Golden State -8 500 *****
Oklahoma City - Under 194 500


Denver - 9:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
L.A. Lakers - Over 218.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Monday


November 24, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS (-9.68 ppg) since Dec 17, 2007 with rest after a loss after a home favorite where they led by double digits.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Hornets are 0-10 OU (-16.3 ppg) since Jan 19, 2008 at home with no rest and a total under 206 after a loss where no more than 15% of their points came at the foul line.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Mavericks are 14-0 ATS (11.4 ppg) since Jan 29, 2011 if they are not playing rested vs. unrested after Tyson Chandler had at least 12 points and 10 boards last game.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- None


ACTIVE TRENDS:


The Knicks are 7-0 OU (6.93 ppg) since Dec 05, 2013 on the road after Amare Stoudemire shot better than 66% from the field at home.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 24

Hot Teams
-- Orlando covered its last six games (7-1 AU).
-- Portland won last seven games, covered last five (1-1 AF).
-- Clippers are 4-0 SU in game following a win (3-1 AF).
-- Toronto won nine of last ten games, covered last four (7-2 HF). Suns won last four games (3-0-1 vs spread, 0-1 AU).
-- Rockets won nine of their first twelve games (2-3 HF).
-- Dallas won/covered six of its last seven games (5-2 HF). Indiana covered all five of its road games (4-2 SU last six).

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost last four games, scoring 89.5 ppg (2-4 HF).
-- 76ers lost their first thirteen games (3-3 HU).
-- Hornets lost their last five games (0-3-2 vs spread, 0-1 HU).
-- Knicks lost nine of their last eleven games (2-3-1 AU).
-- Bulls/Jazz both lost three of their last four games.

Series Records
-- Cavaliers won their last seven games with Orlando.
-- Portland won four of last six games with the 76ers.
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games with Charlotte.
-- Suns won eight of their last eleven games with Toronto.
-- Knicks lost their last nine games with Houston.
-- Dallas is 7-4 in last 11 games with Pacers, 4-2 in last six at Indiana.
-- Bulls won six of their last seven games with Utah.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Orlando games went over total.
-- Last six Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Clipper games.
-- Last three Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- 11 of 13 Houston games stayed under the total. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten New York games.
-- Five of last six Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Chicago games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Portland is 2-0 when it played the night before.
-- Clippers are 3-0 SU (1-2 F) if they played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 43-17 ATS: West 37-23
East teams HF vs West: 8-12
East teams HU vs West: 5-8
West teams HF vs East: 12-10
West teams HU vs East: 5-0

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, November 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CLEVELAND
Orlando is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Houston
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

8:30 PM
INDIANA vs. DALLAS
Indiana is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Indiana
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Chicago

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (6 - 9) at CLEVELAND (5 - 7) - 11/24/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (10 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 13) - 11/24/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (7 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 10) - 11/24/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 212-266 ATS (-80.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 199-250 ATS (-76.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (9 - 5) at TORONTO (11 - 2) - 11/24/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 10) at HOUSTON (10 - 3) - 11/24/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (5 - 8) at DALLAS (10 - 4) - 11/24/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 5) at UTAH (5 - 9) - 11/24/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Phoenix at Toronto
The Suns head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus Western Conference opponents. Toronto is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Game 701-702: Orlando at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.726; Cleveland 120.603
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Over

Game 703-704: Portland at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 125.398; Philadelphia 108.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 17 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-12 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Charlotte (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.029; Charlotte 123.312
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Phoenix at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.963; Toronto 130.339
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over

Game 709-710: New York at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.224; Houston 124.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Indiana at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.269; Dallas 125.976
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+12 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Chicago at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.872; Utah 117.164
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, November 24

Orlando at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Orlando: N/A
Cleveland: N/A

Portland at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Portland: 8-0 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game.
Philadelphia: 14-28 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game.

Los Angeles at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Los Angeles: 10-0 ATS in road games off a road loss
Charlotte: 26-43 ATS off 2 or more BB losses.

Phoenix at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 28-12 ATS in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots
Toronto: 12-2 ATS when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game

New York at Houston, 8:05 ET
New York: N/A
Houston: N/A

Indiana at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Indiana: N/A
Dallas: N/A

Chicago at Utah, 9:05 ET
Chicago: N/A
Utah: N/A