Cnote's College Footall Best Bets For August-Sept- Conference Recaps, Trends, Stats!

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, September 20

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Game of the Day: Clemson at Florida State
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Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles (-14.5, 57.5)

Already facing one of the biggest potential hurdles in its national title defense, Florida State will have to take on visiting Clemson with its Heisman Trophy quarterback on the bench. The top-ranked Seminoles will play without Jameis Winston, who was benched for disciplinary reasons after shouting a vulgar phrase on campus Tuesday. Winston's absence, which was originally to be only for the first half but was extended to the full game late Friday following a "continued investigation," opens the door for the No. 24 Tigers to claim their first victory over a top-ranked team.

The Seminoles are riding an 18-game winning streak and have won 15 straight against ACC foes, but Winston's latest off-field transgression has put them in a tough spot against a capable conference opponent. "I did something, so I've got to accept my consequences," Winston said in a press conference Wednesday. "We're going to think about moving forward and winning the game." Sophomore Sean Maguire is expected to make his first career start in place of Winston, who rolled up 444 passing yards in last year's 51-14 win at Clemson.

TV: 8:18 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE HISTORY: At the Westgate LV Superbook, the Noles opened as 20-point faves, but dropped to -12.5 after Winston's full suspension was announced. The total opened at 61.5 but is now 56.5

INJURY REPORT: Clemson - S Travis Blanks (Questionable, knee). Florida State - LB Ukeme Eligwe (Probably, foot).

ABOUT CLEMSON (1-1, 0-0 ACC): The Tigers were shut out in the second half of a season-opening 45-21 loss to Georgia, but they took out their offensive frustrations on South Carolina State two weeks ago, racking up 735 total yards in a 73-7 victory. Quarterback Cole Stoudt has passed for 446 yards and just one touchdown while no running back has more than 82 yards for the Tigers, who need some playmakers to emerge to upset the Seminoles. Clemson will look for star defensive end Vic Beasley to harass Maguire and Winston and add to his 23 career sacks, the most among active FBS players.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (2-0, 0-0): The Seminoles have scored 30 or more points in 17 consecutive games, but that could be put to the test without their star quarterback. Winston's absence also has an impact on receiver Rashad Greene, whose 283 receiving yards are the most in school history through two games. Luckily for the Seminoles, they can lean on a stout defense that has been especially strong against the pass, allowing 137.5 yards per game through the air.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Florida State.
* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Seminoles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
* Home team is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 62 percent of bettors are backing the visiting Tigers.

 

[CNOTES]

Where the action is: Saturday's biggest college football line moves

Week 4 of the college football season is a mix of intriguing non-conference clashes and huge league battles that could shape how the college football playoff tickles out.

And with all that excitement comes a lot of line moves. We talk to Aaron Kessler, sportsbook supervisor at the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas, about the biggest odds adjustments on the board and the reasons behind these moves.

Bowling Green Falcons at Wisconsin Badgers – Open: -21, Move: -27

Bowling Green is coming off a shootout win against Indiana last weekend but will face a much stingier defense in Wisconsin Saturday. Some books have tacked on six points to this spread, with nothing but Badgers money coming in.

“We always get a lot of Wisconsin fans in here,” Kessler tells Covers. “We moved with the market. There isn’t a lot of action on this game but they're (Wisconsin fans) are coming. Not so much for Bowling Green. They don’t have that big a fan base.”

Utah Utes at Michigan Wolverines – Open: -6.5, Move: -3.5

Kessler says this is one of the most popular plays with sharp bettors in Week 4, with wiseguys trimming as much as a field goal off the opening number.

“A lot of wiseguys are on Utah,” he says. “And the public is going to be on them too, seeing how bad Michigan has played.”

Indiana Hoosiers at Missouri Tigers – Open: -17, Move: -14

The Hoosiers and Tigers are primed for a shootout in Week 4, with the total up as high as 72 points for this non-conference contest. Kessler predicts this line will move back up with action coming in on Missouri before kickoff.

“Indiana looks like it can score but the defense just isn’t there,” he says. “It’s tough to beat Missouri in this one. They’re a cover machine and the public comes back to play them every week. We always end up needing the other side in their games, and the other side just can’t get there for us.”

Ball State Cardinals at Toledo Rockets – Open: -9.5, Move: -14

This spread and total are one of big movers of Week 4, with the spread jumping 4.5 points and total dropping from 65.5 to 59 points as of Friday afternoon. Kessler says it’s all sharp money on the Rockets and Under, with Ball State struggling on offense and Toledo failing to slow down opponents on defense.

“All that MAC action early in the week, that’s all wiseguys,” he says. “This is ‘the stoppable force meets the moveable object’.”

Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers – Open: +11.5, Move: +7.5

This Big 12 battle has moved as many as four points, depending on where you play, staying just above a touchdown with a half-point hook. Kessler says bettors are sold on West Virginia after its strong showing against Alabama and with Oklahoma star RB Keith Ford out with a fractured ankle.

“Oklahoma is blowing everyone away but hasn’t really played anyone yet,” Kessler says. “And I don’t think Alabama was prepared for West Virginia. No one is really talking about that.”

California Golden Bears at Arizona Wildcats – Open: -12.5, Move: -7.5

This Pac-12 war has taken early action on the road underdog, cutting the spread to just above a touchdown. Cal has impressed in the first few weeks, but that isn’t too hard after such a poor season in 2013.

“Arizona is a bit of a question mark,” says Kessler. “They haven’t played anyone of note and Cal is looking a lot better than that awful team from last year. But the public dog is never a strong play.”

Other notable moves

Old Dominion at Rice - Open: -10, Move: -6.5

Iowa at Pittsburgh - Open: -5.5, Move: -7

Tulane at Duke - Open: Open: 54.5, Move: 58

Army at Wake Forest - Open: Pick, Move: +2.5

UMass at Penn State - Open: -29.5, Move: -26.5

San Jose State at Minnesota - Open: -6.5, Move: 9.5

Georgia State at Washington - Open: -36.5, Move: -34.5

Middle Tennessee at Memphis - Open: -7.5, Move: -12

Miami at Nebraska - Open: 58.5, Move: 55.5

 

[CNOTES]

Essential Week 4 college football betting tidbits

There is plenty of Top 25 action in Week 4 of the college football schedule. If you're having trouble keeping track of it all, here are some essential betting tidbits for all of those ranked matchups:

(24) Clemson Tigers at (1) Florida State Seminoles (-14.5, 60)

* Clemson hasn't forgotten about its embarrassing loss to the 'Noles last season. "We've tried to remind these guys that we did get embarrassed out here, make no mistake about it," Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris said. "Yes, we've definitely talked about it."

* According to a tweet from @JeffGrantSports, the Florida State Seminoles have won their last five games when College GameDay visits campus. They've won by an average margin of 17 points. They'll have do it without Heisman winner Jameis Winston, who originally received a first-half suspension for making lewd comments, but the team has suspended him for the entire game.

Florida Gators at (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (-14, 51)

* According to Yahoo! Sports, Gators coach Will Muschamp is on the hot seat in Gainesville after scraping out a victory against Kentucky last week. "They're all important. They all count for one, so we understand the importance of the game. It's an SEC game," Muschamp said.

* Alabama could get a starter returning on each side of the ball Saturday. Wide receiver DeAndrew White and cornerback Jarrick Williams could return according to head coach Nick Saban.

(3) Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars (+23, 75)

* Ducks QB Marcus Mariota graces this week's cover of Sports Illustrated. The last time he appeared on the cover (Nov. 4, 2013), the Ducks suffered their first loss of the season to Stanford as 10-point faves.

* The Washington State Cougars lead the Nation in passing yards per game with 517. Senior Connor Halliday is tops in the country 1,465 yards passing and 12 touchdown passes (tied with two others).

(4) Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers (+7.5, 64.5)

* This will be the first game that Oklahoma's leading rusher Keith Ford will miss since he was ruled out 2-3 weeks earlier this week.

* West Virginia has suspended their top cornerback, Daryl Worley, earlier in the week. Worley had 17 tackles and intercepted two passes after the first three games of the season.

(7) Texas A&M Aggies at Southern Methodist Mustangs (+33.5, 58.5)

* Kenny Hill has thrown for 1,094 yards and 11 TDs in his first three games, that's 376 yards and three TDs more than Jameis Winston totaled in his first three games last year. Hill is currently 7/1 at Sportsbook.ag to win the Heisman Trophy.

* Redshirt-freshman QB Kolney Cassel makes his first career start for the Mustangs after Neal Burcham went down versus North Texas.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at (8) LSU Tigers (-9, 50)

* Dan Mullen certainly does not forget last year's game against LSU. "Last year late in the third quarter we were driving and missed a field goal, and then they responded with a touchdown," the Bulldogs coach said to media Monday. "They scored 14 points in a minute and a half, and things never go well for you when that happens."

* Nobody can question the toughness of WR Travin Dural. Even though the receiver was in a car accident Sunday morning, requiring a reported 15 stitches, and missing three practices, he will be available for LSU Saturday. Dural has 370 yards and four touchdowns for the Tigers.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at (11) Michigan State Spartans (-45, 52)

*At the very least, first year Eagles coach Chris Creighton has been keeping on the sunny side. ""I really felt as though (the defense) kept us in the game and gave us a chance to win," the coach told the media after surrendering a season-low 367 total yards against the Monarchs.

* Saturday could be a big day for Spartans QB Connor Cook. Through two games this season he is 41-of-60 for 628 yards with five touchdowns.

Troy Trojans at (14) Georgia Bulldogs (-41, 64.5)

* Even though Troy has gotten off to an 0-3 (SU) start for the first time since 1982, it does not seem like there will be shakeups. "Larry [Blakeney] didn't all of a sudden forget how to coach overnight," Troy AD John Hartwell told the media. Hartwell also said that he has "full confidence" in Blakeney.

* The Bulldogs red-zone offense has been a big focus in practice this week. "When we get down there, we’re just kind of stalling out," QB Hutson Mason said this week. "A lot of that is me. I’ve got to read coverage better." Against the Gamecocks, Georgia made six trips to the red zone and managed to score six points.

(16) South Carolina Gamecocks at Vanderbilt Commodores (+21.5, 53.5)

* Steve Spurrier is not letting his guys get caught in the possible trap game against Vandy. "They'll play us tough. At times we look like we know what we're doing, at other times we look pretty average. I'm hoping we can really put together our best game of the year against Vanderbilt."

* Quarterback play has been the bane of Vanderbilt's season so far. Through three games, the revolving door at QB has completed 46.3 percent of their passes with five interceptions.

Bowling Green Falcons at (17) Wisconsin Badgers (-27, 63.5)

* "The definitely like to go fast," is how Wisconsin coach Derek Landisch described Bowling Green. The Falcons ran 113 offensive plays for 571 yards against Indiana last week. That includes 73 pass attempts by James Knapke.

* The bye week came at a good time for the Badgers after an up-and-down performance for the team. "But there's probably 15 to 18 missed tackles in the last game," coach Gary Anderson said to the media. "I'm not going to say we can't have any missed tackles, but we have to tackle well, and if we can do that, this defense can move forward."

Indiana Hoosiers at (19) Missouri Tigers (-13, 71)

* If the Hoosiers have one area they need to improve, it's special teams. Indiana ranks last in the country in both field goals (0-2) and punting (29.20 average).

* Mizzou has finally given up on a piece of their future offense. Coach Gary Pinkel opened his press conference Monday by announcing that redshirt sophomore WR Levi Copelin has been dismissed from the program.

Miami Hurricanes at (22) Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5, 57)

* The Miami Hurricanes will need to start looking for a QB of the future. Only a day after being arrested for DUI and possession of a fake or stolen driver's license, Kevin Olsen dropped out of school.

* Cornhuskers defensive cooridinator John Papuchis has his concerns about the U. "They have great speed at wideout, so I am concerned with balls being thrown over our head, but our guys are aware of it and we have to tackle well to limit explosive plays.”

Virginia Cavaliers at (23) BYU Cougars (-14.5, 47.5)

* The Cavaliers don't open so well on the road. Since 2001, Virginia is 3-10 straight up in its first road game of the season.

* There are a few programs that have a 100 percent scoring rate in the red zone. The Cougars have foiled just one opportunity but are still a good bet to score in the red.The Cougars have scored 13 times (10 touchdowns) in 14 trips inside the red zone so far this season.

(25) North Carolina Tar Heels at East Carolina Pirates (-3, 67)

* UNC will be missing a key piece of their offensive line when they take on the Pirates. RG Landon Turner will miss the game with an undisclosed injury. Last year when the Tar Heels played ECU, the Pirates racked up over 600 yards of offense.

* East Carolina has no use for looking in the past. "Each team's personality is different. We don't have to bring it up because of what we keep preaching," head coach Ruffin McNeill told the media Monday. "I'm anxious to dive into the film a little more because they got onto a great streak at the end of last year."

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, September 20


Winston now suspended for entire Clemson game

Late Friday night Florida State announced that Jameis Winston would not be suspended the first half of their game against Clemson, but rather the entire game. The news comes less than 24 hours before Seminoles back-up Sean Maguire makes his first ever collegiate start.

Florida State opened the game as 20-point home favorites and then dropped to -17 after the Heisman winners first half suspension. With the news that Winston will sit the entire game the line has dropped to -12.5 according to the Westgate LV Superbook.

"For the full game, Winston has to be worth four points against most teams," a spokesman for GTBets.eu told Covers earlier this week.

After the initial line drop Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag told Covers, "the action Florida State is all on the moneyline at 82 percent while the the spread is seeing all Tigers action as Clemson is getting 94 percent to cover."

The total for the Seminoles-Tigers clash has been dropping drastically after opening at 63.5, the line now sits at 56.5 per the Westgate LV Superbook.


Bowling Green coming off prolific offensive game

Maybe they are not the media darlings of the MAC, but Bowling Green put on an offensive performance in their last game.

The Falcons ran 113 offensive plays for 571 yards against Indiana in Week 3. That includes a large day from QB James Knapke who went 46-for-73 with 395 yards and three touchdowns.

Bowling Green (+27) travels to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers Saturday.


Badgers still not playing up to potential

Wisconsin has been on a roller coaster this season between a four-point loss to LSU and a 37-3 drubbing of Western Illinois. However, the team has yet to really focus on defense.

"There's probably 15 to 18 missed tackles in the last game," coach Gary Anderson said to the media. "I'm not going to say we can't have any missed tackles, but we have to tackle well, and if we can do that, this defense can move forward."

The Badgers will get their chance to tackle as 27-point home favorites against Bowling Green Saturday.


Poor QB play has been downfall for Vanderbilt

Though Vanderbilt has several areas they need to work on, the quarterback position has been the worst for the team. Three different passers have amassed a 46.3 completion percentage with 5-to-1 INT-to-TD ratio.

The Commordores are currently 21.5-point home dogs against South Carolina Saturday.


Georgia's practice focused on red zone offense

The Georgia Bulldogs may have just barely lost to South Carolina last week, but their red zone offense did nothing to keep them in the game. In six trips to the red zone, the Bulldogs managed a total of six points against the Gamecocks.

"When we get down there, we’re just kind of stalling out," QB Hutson Mason said this week. "A lot of that is me. I’ve got to read coverage better."

Georgia hosts Troy this week as 41-point faves.


Despite car accident, Dural will be avaliable

It will be less than one week after a nasty car accident, but WR Travin Dural will be available for LSU Saturday.

Early this past Sunday, Dural was in a car accident that reportedly caused the sophomore to receive 15 stitches and miss three of the teams practices this week.

Dural has 370 yards and four touchdowns for the Tigers this season.


Freshman to start for SMU versus Aggies

With starting QB Neal Burcham out for the Mustangs, SMU will be turning to redshirt-freshaman Kolney Cassel against Texas A&M.

Cassel was a three-star rated recruit coming out of high school where he posted a 58.5 completion percentage for 2697 yards with 27 touchdowns and six interceptions in his senior season.

Cassel has tallied 154 yards and one touchdown in spot duty this season.


Alabama could see two starters return to lineup

It seems that the dominant Alabama Crimson Tide could be getting even stronger this week. Both WR DeAndrew White and CB Jarrick Williams could be returning to the lineup according to Nick Saban.

Both players started in the season opener against WVU, with White tallying six receptions and 73 yards.

The Crimson Tide are currently 14-point home faves against Florida Saturday.


Clemson keeps loss to Seminoles in mind

Less than a year ago, Clemson got embarrassed by Florida State 51-14. That is not a memory easily forgotten in the Tigers locker room.

"We've tried to remind these guys that we did get embarrassed out here, make no mistake about it," Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris said. "Yes, we've definitely talked about it."

Clemson gets a break as Jameis Winston will be suspended for the game Saturday. Winston torched the Tigers for 444 yards and three touchdowns in last seasons beat-down.


Sooners to be without leading rusher

The Oklahoma Sooners will be without leading rusher Keith Ford this week. It was announced earlier this week that the RB would be out 2-3 weeks.

The No.4 ranked team in the nation has used a committee approach to their backfield with three back over 100 yards rushing, but Ford leads the teams in touchdowns with five.

The Sooners travel to West Virginia as 7.5 faves.


Mullen does not forget how close Bulldogs were

Even though the last meeting between Mississippi State and LSU looked like a beatdown on paper, a 59-26 Tigers victory, it was a surprisingly close game. Bulldogs head coach Dan Mullen does not forget how close that game was.

"Last year late in the third quarter we were driving and missed a field goal, and then they responded with a touchdown," the Bulldogs coach said to media Monday. "They scored 14 points in a minute and a half, and things never go well for you when that happens."

Mississippi State are 9-point road dogs Saturday.


Troy confident despite worst start in 32 years

A 0-3 record straight-up (1-2 against the spread) does not have Troy panicking. Despite the teams worst start since 1982, there does not appear to be shakeups on the horizon.

"Larry [Blakeney] didn't all of a sudden forget how to coach overnight," Troy athletic director John Hartwell told the media. Hartwell went on to say that he has "full confidence" in Blakeney.

The Trojans have an uphill battle as 41-point road dogs versus Georgia Saturday.


Spurrier: "We look pretty average"

Despite South Carolina topping Georgia last week, Steve Spurrier is not letting his team rest on their laurels.

"[Vanderbilt will] play us tough. At times we look like we know what we're doing, at other times we look pretty average," Spurrier said this week. " I'm hoping we can really put together our best game of the year against Vanderbilt."

The Gamecocks are currently 21.5-point road faves.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, September 20


Iowa-Pitt to be playing against high winds

The Iowa Hawkeyes will travel to Heinz Field to play Pitt Saturday, but the winds may be the biggest enemy of all. Winds are expected to be constantly blowing above 12 miles per hour and as high as 15 mph.

Iowa and Pitt's total is currently set at 47.


Cornhuskers kicker crashes motorcycle, breaks collarbone

Nebraska kicker Mauro Bondi broke his collarbone Thursday night when he crashed his motorcycle in Lincoln.

Bondi failed to navigate a turn in the northwest part of the city around 6:30 p.m., according to the Journal Star. Bondi hit a curb and ran off the road. A passer-by assisted him to his apartment where a roommate took him to a hospital.

Police cited the 21-year-old with negligent driving and riding without a motorcycle license. Police said alcohol was not a factor in the crash. Bondi was wearing a helmet.

His status for Saturday's game is uncertain. The Cornhuskers host the Miami Hurricanes

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, September 20


Spartan Stadium to be wet and windy

The in-state rivalry game between Eastern Michigan and Michigan State is expected to be a messy one. The forecast calls for a 60 percent chance of thundershowers with winds gusting upwards of 13 miles per hour.

The total for the Eagles and Spartans is currently 52.5.

 

[CNOTES]

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Wyoming Cowboys

This week: -4 vs. Florida Atlantic

Wyoming is coming off a 48-14 loss at Oregon last Saturday (it covered the spread as a 42-point underdog), but the bottom line is that the Cowboys tested themselves against the toughest competition. Head coach Craig Bohl called the 34-point setback “not acceptable,” but he emphasized that facing the Ducks’ high-powered spread offense will only help down the road. Going up against Marcus Mariota should also have been a beneficial lesson in advance of running into Florida Atlanticl dual-threat quarterback Jaquez Johnson.

Florida Atlantic has endured a difficult non-conference schedule, as well (it has losses to Nebraska and Alabama). The 1-2 Owls, though, have been outscored 117-57 through three contests. That’s a lot. And speaking of a lot, check out their travel route: they are making a trek of more than 2,100 miles from Boca Raton, Fla. to Laramie, Wyo.

Team to beware: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns

This week: +16 at Boise State

Louisiana-Lafayette has given up 104 points in its last two games and in neither contest did the team come within single digits of covering the spread. On the other side of the ball, head coach Mark Hudspeth says quarterback Terrance Broadway has been pressing. The 2013 Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year is averaging two interceptions per game (six in three) after averaging just one last season (12 in 12).

Boise State, which has run 118 passing plays and 118 running plays through two games, is beating defenses however necessary. Jay Ajayi had 459 rushing yards after two outings before Connecticut stuffed the box, at which point the Broncos torched the Huskies for three touchdowns through the air in a 38-21 victory. Boise State has never faced ULL before, but head coach Bryan Harsin will know what to expect after facing the Ragin’ Cajuns last year while he was at Arkansas State.

Total team: Idaho Vandals

This week: 54 at Ohio

Idaho’s defense has been horrendous this season, with 83 points surrendered in its first two outings—losses to Louisiana-Monroe and Western Michigan. ULM racked up 534 yards and WMU gained 486. The over is 8-1 in Idaho’s last nine overall, 5-1 in its last six non-conference games, and 4-1 in its last five road games.

Ohio receiver Chase Cochran hauled in a 53-yard pass on his team’s first play from scrimmage last weekend against Marshall. The senior now has 13 receptions of 40 yards or more during his career. As for the running game, head coach Frank Solich said earlier this week that the Bobcats have more depth there than ever before and he plans to continue using a rotation of at least four backs. Solich indicated that A.J. Ouellette (11 carries, 69 yards this season) would be most likely to see an increased workload.

 

[ChefZeke]

thankz for everything you do for this forum!

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Saturday, September 20


Over trending at Sanford Stadium

One stadium that has enjoyed some high offensive output is Sanford Stadium. In Georgia's last 10 games at home, the over has paid out eight times.

During that span, the Bulldogs have averaged 43 points per game, with a combined average of 64 ppg.

Georgia hosts Troy with a total of 64 Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday- Friday's Rated Games:

*****-------------------------------1 - 1

Double Plays--------------------------0 - 2

Triple Plays---------------------------0 - 0

LIGHTS OUT.....................................0 - 0

Overall Rated Plays

28- 20......................................*****

17 - 15.....................................DOUBLE PLAY

14 - 10 ....................................TRIPLE PLAY

5 - 6 ....................................LIGHTS OUT

Over all picks Opinions and Rated Games

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/19/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
09/18/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/13/14 34-*21-*0 61.82% +*5450 Detail
09/12/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/11/14 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
09/06/14 31-*34-*0 47.69% -*3200 Detail
09/05/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
09/04/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/01/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail

Totals 73-*67-*0 52.14% -*350



Rated Games and Opinons Till 7pm Eastern

Saturday, September 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Eastern Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Michigan State -44 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Michigan State -

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa +7 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Pittsburgh -

Old Dominion - 12:00 PM ET Old Dominion +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Rice -

Georgia Tech - 12:00 PM ET Georgia Tech +7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Virginia Tech -

Bowling Green - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin -27 500 *****
Wisconsin -

Troy - 12:00 PM ET Troy +41 500
Georgia -

Tulane - 12:30 PM ET Duke -16.5 500 *****
Duke -

Maryland - 12:30 PM ET Maryland +2.5 500 *****
Syracuse -

Hawaii - 2:00 PM ET Hawaii +8 500
Colorado -

Marshall - 2:00 PM ET Akron +9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Akron -

Utah - 3:30 PM ET Michigan -3.5 500
Michigan -

North Carolina - 3:30 PM ET North Carolina +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
East Carolina -

Army - 3:30 PM ET Army -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Wake Forest -

Virginia - 3:30 PM ET Virginia +14.5 500 *****
Brigham Young -

Florida - 3:30 PM ET Florida +14 500 *****
Alabama -

Louisville - 3:30 PM ET Florida International +26 500
Florida International -

Central Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan +3.5 500 *****
Kansas -

Texas A&M - 3:30 PM ET Texas A&M -34 500 LIGHTS OUT
Southern Methodist -

Rutgers - 3:30 PM ET Rutgers +7 500
Navy -

San Jose State - 4:00 PM ET Minnesota -10 500
Minnesota -

Indiana - 4:00 PM ET Missouri -13 500 *****
Missouri -

Massachusetts - 4:00 PM ET Massachusetts +27 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Penn State -

Texas State - 4:00 PM ET Texas State +12.5 500 *****
Illinois -

Florida Atlantic - 4:00 PM ET Wyoming -3.5 500 *****
Wyoming -

Georgia State - 6:00 PM ET Washington -34.5 500
Washington -

 

[CNOTES]

Hope you didn't miss the early action:




NCAAF Eastern Michigan 14 Michigan State -44 500 WON +500
Michigan State 73

NCAAF Tulane 13 Duke -16.5 500 WON +500
Duke 47

NCAAF Maryland 34 Maryland +2.5 500 WON +500
Syracuse 20

NCAAF Iowa 24 Iowa +7 500 WON +500
Pittsburgh 20

NCAAF Old Dominion 45 Old Dominion +6.5 500 WON +500
Rice 42

NCAAF Georgia Tech 27 Georgia Tech +7.5 500 WON +500
Virginia Tech 24

NCAAF Bowling Green 17 Wisconsin -27 500 WON +500
Wisconsin 68

NCAAF Troy 0 Troy +41 500 LOSS -550
Georgia 66

 

[indiana]

C/note.........nicely done..........continued success for the rest of the day..........indy

 

[CNOTES]

Evening Rated Plays and Opinions:


Northern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Arkansas -13 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Arkansas -

Mississippi State - 7:00 PM ET Mississippi State +7 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Louisiana State -

Idaho - 7:00 PM ET Ohio -12.5 500
Ohio -

Middle Tennessee - 7:00 PM ET Memphis -13 500
Memphis -

Utah State - 7:00 PM ET Arkansas State -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Arkansas State -

Miami (Ohio) - 7:00 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +29 500 *****
Cincinnati -

Appalachian State - 7:00 PM ET Appalachian State -2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Southern Mississippi -

Ball State - 7:00 PM ET Ball State +13.5 500
Toledo -

Georgia Southern - 7:30 PM ET Georgia Southern -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
South Alabama -

South Carolina - 7:30 PM ET South Carolina -23 500 LIGHTS OUT
Vanderbilt -

Oklahoma - 7:30 PM ET West Virginia +7.5 500 *****
West Virginia -

Clemson - 8:00 PM ET Florida State -10.5 500 LIGHTS OUT
Florida State -

UNLV - 8:00 PM ET UNLV +21 500
Houston -

Miami - 8:00 PM ET Miami +7.5 500 *****
Nebraska -

New Mexico - 8:00 PM ET New Mexico -3.5 500
New Mexico State -

California - 10:00 PM ET California +8 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Arizona -

San Diego State - 10:30 PM ET Oregon State -10 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Oregon State -

Oregon - 10:30 PM ET Washington State +23 500
Washington State -

UL Lafayette - 10:30 PM ET UL Lafayette +17.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boise State -

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's Rated Games:

*****-------------------------------6 - 4

Double Plays--------------------------6 - 2

Triple Plays---------------------------4 - 3

LIGHTS OUT.....................................1 - 2

Saturdays Total on Rated Plays..........17 - 11 60.71 %

Overall Rated Plays

34- 24.....................................*****

23 - 17.....................................DOUBLE PLAY

18 - 13 ....................................TRIPLE PLAY

6 - 8 ....................................LIGHTS OUT

81 - 62.................56.64%



Over all picks Opinions and Rated Games

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/20/14 22-*22-*0 50.00% -*1100 Detail

09/19/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail

09/18/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

09/13/14 34-*21-*0 61.82% +*5450 Detail

09/12/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

09/11/14 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail

09/06/14 31-*34-*0 47.69% -*3200 Detail

09/05/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail

09/04/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

09/01/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail

Totals 95-*89-*0 51.63% -*1450

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.....

13) Florida State 23, Clemson 17 OT-- Sean Maguire was 21-39/305 in his first college start, tossing a 74-yard TD pass that tied the game in the fourth quarter. On Monday he goes back to the bench, until Jameis Winston's next incident. This was a bad loss for Clemson, which missed a 22-yard FG, fumbled in the last 2:00 when the game was tied and they were in easy FG range.

Great night for Jimbo Fisher, who did some serious coaching this week.

12) Utah 26, Michigan 10-- Speculation will now run rampant about Brady Hoke's job status. Jim Harbaugh, Les Miles. There was lot of bad weather in the midwest; three Big 14 home games were delayed by weather yesterday.

11) Rough day for the MAC:
Michigan State 73, Eastern Michigan 14
Wisconsin 68, Bowling Green 17
Penn State 48, UMass 7
Arkansas 52, Northern Illinois 14

MAC's only non-league I-A win Saturday was Ohio 36, Idaho 24. Oy.

10) Arizona 49, Cal 45-- Wildcats trailed 45-30 with 4:00 left, scored three TDs to pull a miraculous comeback, winning on a 47-yard Hail Mary at the gun. Cal led by 28-6 at half, 31-13 after three quarters yet somehow lost.

9) Alabama 42, Florida 21-- Total yardage was 645-200 Bama; Sims passed for 445 yards in his fourth college start. If this season finishes up with Lane Kiffin getting another head coaching job, the only way it can be justified is if he replaces Charlie Weis at Kansas (hey, the Jayhawks beat Central Michigan!!!).

8) East Carolina 70, North Carolina 41-- Tar Heels have an awful defense; they're in lousy shape, they can't tackle, simply terrible.

That said, my least favorite football rule is the stupid rule that you have to leave the game if your helmet comes off. It should be if you intentionally take it off, then you have to leave for a play. The current rule is nonsensical.

7) Southern Mississippi 31, Appalachian State 30-- ASU scored a TD with 0:06 left, then had the tying PAT blocked. With six seconds left. In a 31-30 game.

6) South Florida 17, UConn 14-- Huskies' first TD on a rainy night was a classic Football Follies play: USF is up 14-0 near end of the half, they throw a pass on sideline, right to a receiver, but he bobbles it into the hands of a UConn defender who runs for an unlikely TD. Huskies had six first downs the whole night; this was a terrible game.

5) South Carolina 48, Vanderbilt 34-- Commodores ran two kicks back for TDs, and still lost by 14 points. James Franklin was smart getting out of town. Vandy is a very difficult job to win at. Spurrier won by two TDs and was miserable after.

4) Wake Forest 24, Army 21-- Over last decade, Army is 0-7 as a road favorite.

3) New Mexico 38, New Mexico State 35-- Lobos completed only eight passes in this game, but four different players completed at least one. State had 507-499 edge in total yardage; Lobos ran ball for 432 yards, needed TD with 0:27 left to win.

2) Georgia Tech 27, Virginia Tech 24-- Yellow Jackets scored ten points in last 2:03, handing Hokies their second straight home loss after winning at Ohio State.

1) Oregon 38, Washington State 31-- #21 on Wazzu is River Cracraft, who has great hands in the Wes Welker-mold. Ducks were challenged in this game, but Coogs are little bit talent-shy on defensive side of ball.

 

[CNOTES]

Here is my Rated Plays in College Football on Thursdays & Friday Nights ( For Those Who Are Interested In These Nights )


Thursdays Night Games:

08/28.........South Carolina - 9.5 ***** ( Loser ) 28 - 52

08/28........ Tulsa - 6 Double Play ( Winner ) 28 - 21

08/28........ Ole Miss - 10 ***** ( Winner ) Boise St. Over 51.5 ***** 35 - 13

08/28........ Temple + 11.0 ***** ( Winner ) 37 - 7

08/28........ Rutgers + 7.5 ***** ( Winner ) 41 - 38


09/04....... Arizona - 7 Triple Play ( Loser ) Texas S.A. Under 54.5 Triple Play ( Winner ) 26 - 23

09/11....... North Texas - 3.5 Double Play ( Loser ) Louisiana Tech Over 48.0 Double Play ( Winner ) 21 - 42

09/11........ Houston + 17.0 ***** ( Winner ) BYU Under 53.5 ***** ( Winner ) 25 - 33

09/18........ Kansas St. + 7 ***** ( Winner ) Auburn Over 64 ***** ( Loser )_ 14 - 20


*****............... 7 - 3

Double Play......... 2 - 1

Triple Play........... 1 - 0

Lights Out........... 0 - 0

Rated Totals........10 - 4...........71.42 %

Sides..................6 - 3

Total..................3 - 2


-------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday Night Games


08/29..................BYU - 15.5 ***** ( Winner ) UCONN Under 54.5 ***** ( Winner ) 35 -10

08/29..................Jacksonville St. + 14.5 ***** ( Loser ) 7 - 45

08/29..................Bowling Green - 6.5 Double Play ( Loser ) 31 - 59

08/29..................Colorado - 2.5 Triple Play ( Loser ) 17 - 31

08/29..................Houston 1 10 Lights Out ( Winner ) 7 - 27

08/29..................UNLV + 23.5 Double Play ( Loser ) 13 - 58

09/05..................Pittsburgh - 5.5 Triple Play ( Winner ) Boston College Under 49.5 Triple Play 30 -20

09/05..................Washingtone St. - 3.0 ***** ( Loser ) Nevada Over 47.0 Double Play 13 - 24

09/12..................Baylor - 32.0 Lights Out ( Winner ) Buffalo Under 69.0 Triple Play ( Winner ) 63 - 21

09/12..................Cincy - 9.5 ***** ( Winner ) Toledo Under 58.0 Double play ( Loser ) 58 - 34

09/19..................UConn + 2.5 Double Play ( Loser ) S. Florida Over 43.5 ***** ( Loser ) 14 - 17

09/26..................???????????????????????


]*****..................................3 - 3

Double Play ...........................0 - 5

Triple Play..............................1 - 3

Lights Out..............................2 - 0

Rated Games.........................6 - 11...........35.29 %


Sides.............5 - 6

Totals............1 - 5

 

[CNOTES]

College Betting Recap - Week 4

September 21, 2014


College Football Week 4 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 43-11

Against the Spread 31-23

Wager Home-Away

Straight Up 37-17

Against the Spread 33-21


Wager Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 20-24

The largest underdog to cash
Northwestern State (+23, ML +1250) at Louisiana Tech, 30-27

The largest favorite to cash
Michigan State (-43.5) vs Eastern Michigan, 73-14

Top 25 Notes

-- All eyes were on Tallahassee with top-ranked Florida State suspending QB Jameis Winston for spewing an offensive obscenity earlier this week on campus. It didn't go too well early on, with Clemson holding a 10-3 lead at half. They had the ball with less than two minutes left in regulation, tied 17-17. However, they coughed it up deep in FSU territory, and the Seminoles recovered. That was a seminal moment, as they held for OT, stopped the Tigers on their initial drive and finished off their ACC rivals with a TD.

-- Stashed away in Pullman, and supposedly playing in a game they should easily have won, Oregon had a close shave in Pullman against Washington State. The Ducks survived 38-31, but the Cougars definitely earned their respect.

-- Alabama looked to be on upset alert for a while, but they ended up pulling away from pesky Florida, and actually doubled them up 42-21. For a while, though, it was much closer than that score might indicate.

-- One SEC heavyweight wasn't as lucky at home. Louisiana State was this weekend's Top 10 victim, losing in Death Valley to Mississippi State by a 34-29 count. The Bulldogs are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, including 2-0 SU/ATS on the road.

-- The weekend kicked off with Auburn hitting the road for Manhattan and a date with Kansas State. Auburn's 12-game cover streak came to an end with a late K-State score, but the Tigers survived a road game against a quality opponent, 20-14.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- Lately things haven't been too great for the Big Ten, but this was actually a very good week for the conference. The Big Ten went 12-1 SU, with Michigan the only conference member with an 'L'. They were dropped at home by Utah and head coach Brady Hoke is now 1-6 in non-conference games against Power 5 conference. The heat is definitely getting turned up in Ann Arbor on his seat. The Jekyll and Hyde of the conference, Iowa, picked up a nice road win at previously unbeaten Pittsburgh, and Indiana dropped SEC representative Missouri in Columbia for an early-afternoon stunner.

-- The Big 12 had a rather quiet weekend. As mentioned, K-State lost at home Thursday. There were just three other conference members in action Saturday, and two played each other in Morgantown. West Virginia gave Indiana look-a-like Oklahoma a scare, but the Sooners eventually prevailed and covered, 45-33.

-- As mentioned, it wasn't great for the SEC Saturday. LSU and Mizzou lost outright at home as favorites, and South Carolina scratched out an uninspired win at Vanderbilt. However, it wasn't all bad, as Georgia throttled Troy 66-0, and Arkansas looked pretty impressive, as did Texas A&M. And don't overlook Bama's passing of their first test. That was a quality win.

-- In the ACC, Duke spanked Tulane to open the season 4-0 for the first time in 20 years. They'll put their unblemished record on the line in Miami next weekend. The Hurricanes were dropped in Nebraska 41-31, and will be angry. ... Another stunner happened in Blacksburg, as Virginia Tech has lost back-to-back home games since their big upset at Ohio State. Head coach Frank Beamer lost for just the fourth time in 23 conference home openers, as Georgia Tech's Paul Johnson beat the Hokies for just the second time since 2008. And North Carolina embarrassed the conference at East Carolina, having a 70-spot hung on them at Dowdy-Ficklen.

-- And in case you missed it late night, words can't really describe what happened in Tucson, but we'll try. California led 45-42 with one play to go. Arizona QB Anu Solomon had his prayers answered on a Hail Mary with no time remaining, stunning the Bears 49-45. While that was amazing, the game featured 44 total points in the first 45 minutes, and 50 points in the final quarter.

Mid-Major Report

-- The Sun Belt Conference had a difficult weekend, at least straight up. The league went just 2-8 SU, but ended up a respectable 6-4 ATS. Don't sleep on Georgia Southern, as the Eagles squared their record at 2-2 while posting a 4-0 ATS mark. Remember, they nearly took out N.C. State on opening weekend, losing in Raleigh 24-23.

-- How about a little love for the AAC? We haven't discussed them much this season, but East Carolina certainly carried the flag well, drumming UNC at home. UCF isn't the same this season, but they pounded an inferior FCS foe and covered, as did Temple. Memphis is off to a 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS start, and Cincinnati is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.

-- Rough week for Conference USA. What happened in Ruston? Louisiana Tech entered as a 23-point favorite against FCS opponent Northwestern State, but they fell 30-27 at home. The Bulldogs entered 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS, including a dominating road win last time out at North Texas Sept. 11. ... To make matters worse, Florida Atlantic stumbled late against Wyoming, as a field goal with :15 left sunk them 20-19. And Florida International? They took it on the chin again, losing 34-3 at home to Louisville. They've been outscored by the Cardinals 106-3 in the past two seasons.

-- Independents went 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS, with Brigham Young as the only Indy to pick up a straight-up win over Virginia.

Bad Beats

-- If you had Cal on the moneyline, condolences. No one deserves that kind of punishment. See above.

-- It wasn't quite as painful as the Cal loss, but Clemson moneyline bettors likely said their fair share of bad words to make what Jameis Winston said earlier in the week look 'G' rated. The Tigers had this one in the bag, and then let it out.

-- Anyone who had 'over' (55.5) in Rutgers-Navy was left shaking their head. The Scarlet Knights led 31-17 heading into the fourth quarter, and then the offensive spigot was shut off. The final period was the lowest scoring of the game, with just one Navy TD at 5:26. Losing by a half-point or 40 points still counts the same, but it hurts WAY more.

-- It was a slight bad beat if you had the 'under' (61.5) in Texas State-Illinois. It was 32-28 with 3:08 left before the teams combined for 17 points in the final 188 seconds. However, Illinois (-10.5) side bettors thought they had a late cover when the home team went up 42-28 on an interception return for TD, only to have Texas State drive the field for a late score with 72 seconds left in regulation for the backdoor cover. It's like losing twice.

-- Speaking of like losing twice, 'over' (46) bettors were given a second chance when Utah State-Arkansas went to overtime. But the Red Wolves outscored the Aggies 7-0 for an anti-climactic extra session. Hope dashed.

-- Lastly, how about Old Dominion? In a C-USA game with Rice, they allowed a game-tying touchdown with 65 seconds left, making it 42-42. But the Monarchs booted a game-winning 25-yard field goal with zeroes on the clock to win 45-42. ODU is now 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS, but 2-0 ATS on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 4

September 21, 2014


Week 4 of the 2014 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the rankings and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1) Florida State (W-L vs. Clemson 23-17)
The Noles looked like nothing more than an average team without Jameis Winston against Clemson.

2) Alabama (W-W vs. Florida 42-21)
Had the Tide not turned the ball over four times, they would have beaten Florida by 40.

3) Oregon (W-L vs. Washington State 38-31)
The Oregon defense came up big at the end when it needed to, but Marcus Mariota had another fantastic day and is clearly the Heisman frontrunner.

4) Oklahoma (W-W vs. West Virginia 45-33)
Four TDs for Samaje Perine along with 242 yards shows that the Sooners have a new big time back in their backfield.

5) Auburn (W-L vs. Kansas State 20-14)
Auburn was the first of the Top 5 teams to struggle this week after winning by just six at KSU.

6) Baylor (Bye)

7) Texas A&M (W-W vs. SMU 58-6)
The real competition begins next week for the Aggies in the SEC.

8) LSU (L-L vs. Mississippi State 34-29)
The Tigers tried to rally, but they fell into too much of a hole against MSU.

9) Notre Dame (Bye)

10) UCLA (Bye)

11) Michigan State (W-W vs. Eastern Michigan 73-14)
Scoring double digits in all four quarters is a rarity for Michigan State. Giving up double digits in all four quarters is nothing new for Eastern Michigan.

12) Ole Miss (Bye)

13) Arizona State (Bye)

14) Georgia (W-W vs. Troy 66-0)
UGA really needed an easy one after the dismal performance against South Carolina two weeks ago.

15) Stanford (Bye)

16) South Carolina (W-L vs. Vanderbilt 48-24)
There were some scary moments when it was 14-0 early, but the Gamecocks rallied to outscore Vandy 48-20 down the stretch.

17) Wisconsin (W-W vs. Bowling Green 68-17)
The Badgers rumbled for a Big Ten record 644 yards against a hapless BGSU team.

18) Ohio State (Bye)

19) Missouri (L-L vs. Indiana 31-27)
Shame on the Tigers for not being able to put away a bad Indiana team.

20) Kansas State (L-W vs. Auburn 20-14)
K-State felt as though it had its sign stolen against Auburn, and that's why it was beaten.

21) USC (Bye)

22) Nebraska (W-W vs. Miami 41-31)
Take away the McNeese State game, and the Huskers have legitimately been a Top 10 type of team.

23) BYU (W-L vs. Virginia 41-33)
Could the Cougs be on the warpath to the college football playoff?

24) Clemson (L-W vs. Florida State 23-17)
The Tigers will long kick themselves in a game where they absolutely were better than the No. 1 team in the land.

25) North Carolina (L-L vs. East Carolina 70-41)
There's never an excuse to allow over 700 yards of offense in any game against any team.

 

[CNOTES]

AP Expanded Top 25

September 21, 2014


The Top Twenty Five teams in The Associated Press expanded college football poll, with first-place votes in parentheses, records through Sept. 20, points based on 25 points for a first place vote through one point for a 25th place vote, previous ranking, record vs. top 25 teams at time of game, record of opponents played, and extra points:


Record Pts Pv T25 Rec. Extra Points

1. Florida St. (34) 3-0 1,439 1 1-0 3-3 Winston watched from bench

2. Oregon (12) 4-0 1,400 2 1-0 8-3 Won a squeaker in Pullman

3. Alabama (6) 4-0 1,377 3 0-0 7-4 Sims 445 yds passing vs. Fla

4. Oklahoma (4) 4-0 1,343 4 0-0 7-3 RB Perine 242 yards, 4 TDs

5. Auburn 3-0 1,268 5 1-0 6-1 11-0-1 vs. La. Tech

6. Texas A&M (4) 4-0 1,232 6 1-0 6-4 2-3 in SEC plays vs. Backs

7. Baylor 3-0 1,143 7 0-0 4-4 6-6 vs. Cyclones

8. Notre Dame 3-0 967 9 0-0 4-4 3-3 vs. Orangemen

9. Michigan St. 2-1 905 11 0-1 6-2 73: Most points since 1989

10. Mississippi 3-0 889 10 0-0 5-4 18-2 at home vs. Tigers

11. UCLA 3-0 806 12 0-0 5-2 Who's the QB vs. Sun Devils?

12. Georgia 2-1 789 13 0-1 3-5 10-4 vs. Vols since 2000

13. South Carolina 3-1 764 14 1-1 9-2 2-2 vs. Mizzou

14. Mississippi St. 4-0 706 NR 1-0 8-2 Held off LSU rally for upset

15. Arizona St. 3-0 702 15 0-0 3-5 11-18-1 vs. Bruins

16. Stanford 2-1 564 16 0-1 3-3 7-3 last 10 vs. Huskies

17. LSU 3-1 541 8 1-0 8-2 Gave up 570 yards vs. MSU

18. Southern Cal 2-1 459 17 1-0 5-3 Next: OSU & ASU at home

19. Wisconsin 2-1 451 19 0-1 6-3 Record 644 yards rushing

20. BYU 4-0 376 21 0-0 6-5 Best start since 2008

21. Nebraska 4-0 296 24 0-0 5-5 8-2-1 vs. Illini

22. Ohio St. 2-1 196 23 0-0 3-5 13-2 vs. Bearcats

23. East Carolina 3-1 180 NR 1-1 7-4 Last ranking: 9-21-08

24. Oklahoma St. 2-1 132 25 0-1 6-1 10-8 at home vs. Red Raiders

25. Kansas St. 2-1 131 20 0-1 6-1 1-1 vs. Miners

Others receiving votes: Duke 86, Penn St. 81, Clemson 48, TCU 35, Marshall 33, Utah 31, Washington 30, Georgia Tech 22, Boston College 19, West Virginia 15, Cincinnati 11, Arizona 9, Arkansas 9, Missouri 5, Oregon St. 5, N. Dakota St. 3, Indiana 1, Pittsburgh 1.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF line watch: Grab Arkansas closer to kickoff

Spread to bet now

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals (-20.5)

Louisville was featured in this space last week, and the Cardinals warrant the ink again this week. Louisville waxed Florida International 34-3 last Saturday, so they return home with momentum. Louisville opened as 21-point favorites over Wake Forest, so lay the three touchdowns now before the line goes up.

Wake Forest is a team in transition. The Demon Deacons are in their first year under head coach Dave Clawson, and he’s installing his pass-heavy schemes. They’ve been competitive thus far, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule. Louisville has too much offense, and with head coach Bobby Petrino’s knack for running up scores, bettors should play this game now in order to get the best of the number.


Spread to wait on

Arkansas Razorbacks (+8.5) at Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites, and the initial money has come in on Arkansas, driving the line down to the current price of 8.5 and 9 in some spots. However, when the recreational bettors get involved later this week, this line is likely to tick upward.

Arkansas is remembered for last year’s miserable 3-9 SU season, so public bettors are reluctant to back the Razorbacks. That will be true in this game against No. 7 Texas A&M who is known for their high-scoring offense. The Aggies have won their four games by a combined score of 221-47 this season, so the betting public will be all over the Aggies as a single digit favorite. Wait this game out, and take Arkansas closer to kick off.


Total to watch

Northwestern Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions

Northwestern’s offense has disappointed thus far; the Wildcats have only scored 24, 15, and 24 points in their three games. They’ve played all three of their games at home, and the pressure to perform has been too much. In their first road game, we can expect a looser and more aggressive approach.

Penn State’s defense has been stout so far this season, but the Nittany Lions have played an awful slate of opposing offenses. Penn State’s offense finally broke out with 48 points last week versus Massachusetts after facing strong opposing defenses earlier this month. Northwestern’s defense is poor, so expect another good offensive game from Penn State. The seasonal numbers will skew the oddsmakers total on this game, so it might be set lower than it should be.