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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 11


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BC at FSU 07:30 PM


BC +21.0 *****


U 47.0 *****
 

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Florida State tops BC, 'over' comes in late
November 11, 2016



TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) Florida State has had its share of struggles in Atlantic Coast Conference play. On Friday night, the Seminoles took advantage of Boston College's timely visit for their most-complete game of the season.


The 20th-ranked Seminoles grabbed the early lead and cruised to a 45-7 victory.


Florida State has had to play from behind a lot in conference play. In their previous six conference games it had scored first only once and had trailed by double digits in five.


That is why coach Jimbo Fisher said it felt weird for his team to be in control early against the Eagles.


''We need to play from ahead and finish and we did all of those things (on Friday),'' Fisher said.


The Seminoles (7-3, 4-3 ACC, No. 18 CFP) took control by scoring on their first two drives and led 14-0 at the end of the first quarter. They had been outscored 31-3 in the first 15 minutes in the previous five games.


A 6-yard TD reception by Auden Tate marked the first time FSU had scored on its opening drive since Sept. 24 at South Florida.


Dalvin Cook and Deondre Francois paced the offense. Cook rushed for 108 yards on 18 carries with a touchdown and Francois tied a season high with three touchdown passes.


Cook became only the second Seminoles back to go over 100 yards in 15 meetings against the Eagles and the first since Ricky Williams had 109 yards in 1980. He also joined Clemson's Wayne Gallman as the only ACC backs to go over the century mark against the Eagles this season.


''They were getting wore down from our passing game that we could see the long runs starting to come, especially the touchdown,'' Cook said.


Francois completed nine of his first 11 passes and finished 16 of 24 for 183 yards. The freshman suffered a bruised shoulder late in the third quarter and did not return.


The Eagles (4-6, 1-5) had three first downs on their first two drives before having nine straight three-and-outs and not getting another first down until midway through the fourth quarter. They averted a shutout with 3:21 remaining in the fourth quarter on a 1-yard touchdown run by Richard Wilson. The only other bright spot was a pair of sacks by Harold Landry, which gives him 11 for the season.


''We weren't able to move the ball which caused our defense to stay on the field too long,'' Boston College coach Steve Addazio said. ''We play a lot of good teams which will make us better in the long run. We just need to find a way to get momentum.''

CLOSING IN ON RECORD



Cook appeared like he was going to pass Warrick Dunn as Florida State's career rushing leader, but Fisher decided to rest Cook in the fourth quarter with the Seminoles up 35-0.


The junior needs 19 yards to break Dunn's mark of 3,959 yards


''It is going to be nice when I do it regardless. The feeling is going to be there to hold that record,'' Cook said.


Cook said he talked to Dunn before the Oct. 29 game against Clemson, but none of the discussions were about the record.


Fisher said that he knew Cook was close to the record, but did not want to risk injury.

POLL IMPLICATIONS



Florida State dropped a spot after last Saturday's come-from-behind victory at North Carolina State, but it should go up a couple spots after its most convincing victory of the season.

THE TAKEAWAY



Boston College: This is the first time since 2003 the Eagles have faced three ranked teams in a season. Based on the results, they might be hoping it doesn't happen anytime soon. No. 3 Clemson, No. 5 Louisville and 20th-ranked FSU outscored the Eagles 153-24.


Florida State: Quarterback Sean Maguire was able to get in on Senior Night and threw a pair of touchdowns. Maguire went into preseason practices as the starter but suffered a broken foot the first week. ''I was extremely happy,'' said Fisher of Maguire. ''He goes in and performs every time he goes in with a lot of heart and a lot of toughness.''

UP NEXT



Boston College: The Eagles step outside of conference play to host Connecticut. This will be the first meeting between the two Northeast schools since 2004.


Florida State: The Seminoles close out the ACC portion of their schedule at Syracuse. They have won eight straight over the Orange.
 

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Saturday’s six-pack


— Arizona 65, Michigan State 63— Wildcats were down 17-2 at start of the game.


— Temple 97, LaSalle 92 OT— Interesting crosstown rivalry game in Philly.


— 76ers 109, Pacers 105 OT— Sixers are last NBA team to win a game this year.


— Indiana 103, Kansas 99 OT— The national title game should be half as good a game as this one.
— Texas 78, I
ncarnate Word 73— Is CIW a sleeper in Southland Conference?


— Notable upsets Friday:


Nicholls State 79, Boston College 73
Wagner 67, UConn 58
Albany 87, Penn State 81
Chattanooga 82, Tennessee 69




Saturday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..


13) Once they get rolling later on this season and they will if they stay healthy, Golden State games will be unwatchable on League Pass, because they’re going to kill a lot of teams. If a game is 70-42 at the half, I ain’t watching the second half


On the other hand, the Lakers have become fun to watch with Luke Walton coaching in the post-Kobe era. Players seem to be enjoying the freedom to play that Walton has given them.


12) Steph Curry went 0-10 behind the arc against the Lakers last week, then 13-17 in his next game, setting the NBA record for most 3’s in a game. In next two games since then, Curry is 11-21 so a 3-game stretch of 24-38 on 3-pointers isn’t too bad.


11) There is a commercial on TV where the football coach at Dartmouth has these motorized dummies that move around the field- the team uses them to practice tackling, rather than tackling teammates and risking injuries.


Utah 49, Arizona State 26– Someone at Arizona State needs to buy about ten of those dummies, because they’re a horrible defensive team. Awful.


10) There was a conversation during the T’wolves-Nets game Tuesday night, where Nets announcers were talking about how coach Kenny Atkinson has to tell players what is a good shot for them and what isn’t. It varies, obviously, from player to player.


You would think by the time a guy gets to the NBA he would know what a good shot is, but kids are so young now when they become pros that they haven’t been coached enough to know.


9) Minnesota star Karl-Anthony Towns doesn’t turn 21 until next week; he is really good. Timberwolves have several good, young players and are lot of fun to watch.


8) Election Day is a dry day in Kentucky; can’t buy alcohol.


7) Theo Epstein’s first job in baseball was as an intern with the Orioles; the man who hired him? Calvin Hill, a fellow Yale alum and a great running back in the NFL- he is also Grant Hill’s dad and back then had a job in the Orioles’ front office.


6) In case you were wondering, New Jersey is the most densely populated state in the country.


5) No offense to anyone, but if I want to go out to eat for pancakes, I ain’t going to Burger King. Simple as that.


4) From 2012-15, Eastern Michigan’s football team was 7-41, and some connected to the school wanted to drop football. This year, the Eagles are 6-4 and bowl eligible- their only other appearance in a bowl game was back in 1987. Good for them.


3) What do the Cleveland Browns’ defensive coaches do during halftime? Over their last six games, in opponents’ first drive of the second half, they’ve run 45 plays for 437 yards and six TDs. No bueno.


2) Red flag for the Seahawks; they haven’t scored a second half TD in their last three games.


1) Sacramento Kings’ new arena is totally solar-powered, the first one ever, but shouldn’t the first solar-powered arena have been the ones the (Phoenix) Suns play in? I’m asking for a friend.
 

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Saturday’s best 13 games


Clemson is 9-0 and appears to have clear road to making 4-team playoff, but the way it is set up, teams have to keep running up scores to impress committee. Tigers beat Syracuse 54-0 LW, are 0-2 as home favorites this year, 13-14-1 in last 28 games as HF. Pitt allowed 90 points in losing last two games, allowed 31+ in seven of last eight games. Panthers are 1-2 as road underdogs this year, 5-3 overall under Narduzzi- they split four road games this year, with average total of 77.8 in those games. ACC home favorites are 10-13 vs spread. Clemson QB Watson dinged up his throwing shoulder LW- check status.


Navy is 3-0 at home this year, scoring 38.7 pts/game in wins by 4-6-14 points; Middies ran ball for 469 yards in LY’s 49-21 (-13) win over Tulsa; total yardage was 529-356. Navy won 28-27 over Notre Dame in Jacksonville LW- they’ve run ball for 300+ yards in last four games. Tulsa won its last three games, running ball for 330+ yards in all three games; Hurricane split their four road games this year, allowing 39.3 pts/game on foreign soil- they’re 11-4 vs spread in last 15 road games. Average total in their last six games is 79.3. AAC home underdogs are 6-6 vs spread.


Oklahoma State won its last seven games with Texas Tech (6-1 vs spread), scoring 58.4 pts/game in last five meetings. OSU won 70-53 LY. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in Tech’s last six visits to Stillwater. Red Raiders scored 40 pts/game in losing two of three road games (average total, 85.3)- they’ve scored 50+ four times but are only 2-2 in those games. Cowboys won last five games overall, scoring 42.4 pts/game- they’re 15-8 in last 23 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year. OSU gave up 345 rushing yards LW but survived 43-37 at K-State. Big X home favorites are 9-8 vs spread.


Air Force is 7-3-1 in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year; Flyboys clinched another Commander-in-Chief trophy LW, beating Army- they won eight of last ten games with Colorado State, with home side winning last four; Rams lost last six visits here, with dogs covering four of the six. Falcons covered only one of last five games overall. Rams won three of last four games, covered six of last seven; they’re 3-0 as a road underdog this year, losing by 7-5 points, with only win at UNLV. Mountain West home favorites are 8-11 vs spread. Four of last five Air Force games went over total.


Auburn won its last six games, winning its two road games, 38-14 at Miss State, 40-29 at Ole Miss; Tigers ran ball for 337.3 yards/game in last four SEC games. Auburn is 5-2 as road favorite under Malzahn, 2-0 this year. Georgia lost its two SEC home games by total of four points- they won eight of last ten games with Auburn; favorites covered six of last seven. Auburn lost its last four visits between hedges, losing last two by combined 79-14. Dawgs are home underdog for just 5th time in last 11 years (2-1-1). SEC home underdogs are 11-6 vs spread. Last three Georgia stayed under the total.


Kentucky had won three games in row before losing 27-24 at gun to Georgia LW; Wildcats are 7-9 as road underdogs under Stoops, 2-1 this year. Tennessee is 2-3 in SEC, scoring 28.2 pts/game; they snapped 3-game skid with win over I-AA team LW. Vols are 18-1 in its last 19 games with Kentucky, losing 50-16/52-21 last two years; they’re 7-9 as home favorites under Jones, 1-2 this year. Wildcats are 2-7 vs spread in last nine visits to Knoxville, 0-4 last four years. Tennessee gained 163-297 TY in last two SEC games. SEC home favorites are 12-6 vs spread. Five of last six Kentucky games stayed under the total.


South Carolina coach Muschamp was 28-21 in four years as Florida coach, 17-15 in SEC games; Gamecocks won four of last six games with Gators; three of last five were decided by 5 or less points. Carolina won two of last three visits here- they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to Swamp. Gators are 4-0 at home, outscoring foes 101-29 (2-2 as home favorite); they’re 8-15 in last 23 games as home favorite, 2-2 this year. Gamecocks are on road for first time since Sept 24; they’re 1-2 as road underdogs, scoring 12.3 pts/game but are 3-0 since bye, scoring 29.7 pts/game. SEC home favorites are 12-6 vs spread.


Arkansas is 6-3, allowing 45+ points in all three losses; Hogs are 5-2 in last seven games as a home underdog, 2-1 this year- they allowed 264+ RY in three losses, held opponents under 200 RY in their wins. LSU scored 14-13-0 points in its three losses- they got blanked at home by Alabama LW. Tigers need to bounce back vs Razorback squad that beat Tigers 31-14/17-0 last two years; LSU lost three of last four visits here. Underdog covered last four series games. LSU is 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games as a road favorite. Arkansas is SEC home underdogs are 11-6 vs spread.


Oregon lost six of last seven games and allowed 35 points in only win; they’ve allowed 270+ RY in five of last six games. are 11-3 in last 14 games with Stanford; underdogs covered six of last eight meetings. Cardinal lost six of last seven visits here; five of six losses were by 21+ points. Stanford has only 454 TY combined in last four games; they won last two games while running for 602 yards, allowing 10-15 points over Pac-12 stiffs Arizona/OSU. Cardinal is 15-9 as road favorite under Shaw, 2-0 this year; they’re 3-1 on road this year, with only loss at Washington. Pac-12 home underdogs are 9-5 vs spread.


Washington is 6-0 in Pac-12 games, with four of last five wins by 24+ points; Huskies are 9-5 as home favorites under Petersen, 3-1 this year. USC won its last five games after a 1-3 start, scoring 45+ points in last three. Trojans are 2-8 as road underdogs last five years, 0-2 this season. Underdogs covered seven of last nine USC-Washington games, including last four played in Seattle- Trojans won four of last five visits here. Huskies are 3-2 in last five series games, but gained less than 300 TY in six of last seven meetings. Pac-12 home favorites are 13-9 vs spread.


Texas is 4-0 at home, scoring 38.3 pts/game; Longhorns are 5-2-1 as home favorites under Strong, 2-0 this year- they allowed 71 points, 1,106 TY in winning last two games. West Virginia split its two true road games, losing at Oklahoma State two weeks ago; Mountaineers are a dog for first time this year; they’re 6-7 as road dogs under Holgorsen. West Virginia/Texas split last four meetings (1-1 in each stadium) with an average total of 71.8. WV lost 33-16, won 48-45 in last two visits here. Big X home favorites are 9-8 vs spread. Under is 4-1 in last five West Virginia games, 4-0 in Longhorns’ last four games.


Baylor lost its last two games after a 6-0 start, allowing 688 RY and 97 points; have to question their mental state, given chaos around program- they’re underdog for first time this year, are 4-2 as road dogs the last five years. Oklahoma won its last six games, scoring 48.5 pts/game; they’re 12-9 as home favorites the last four years, 2-1 this year. Sooners ran ball for 260+ yards in four of last six games. Bears lost eight of last nine visits to Norman, but covered eight of those nine anyway. Underdogs are 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games; Bears are 3-2 in last five meetings overall. Big X home favorites are 9-8 vs spread.


South Florida is 7-2 but allowed 91 points, 636 rushing yards in last two games, vs Temple-Navy. Bulls are 2-1 on road, with average total, 68.7. USF is 4-2 as road favorite under Taggart, 2-1 this year. Memphis won last three games with USF by 7-11-13 points; Bulls split last two trips to Memphis, losing 31-20, winning 21-16. Tigers are 3-1 at home this year, with only loss to Tulsa; Memphis allowed 169 or less RY in its wins, 263+ in its losses- they’re 6-0 allowing less than 42 points. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. AAC home underdogs are 6-6 vs spread.


football picks
Wyoming Cowboys, -7.5
 

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Saturday's SEC Tip Sheet
November 11, 2016




**Auburn at Georgia**



-- Auburn remains alive for everything going into this Saturday’s SEC showdown between the hedges with Georgia. As of late Friday afternoon, most books had Auburn (7-2 straight up, 7-2 against the spread) installed as a 10-point favorite with a total of 48. Gamblers could take UGA on the money line for a monster +320 return (risk $100 to win $320).


-- Since 2002, Georgia (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has only been a home underdog three times. The Bulldogs covered in their lone home ‘dog spot this year, taking the cash as 3.5-point ‘dogs in a 34-31 home loss to Tennessee.


-- Georgia had lost four of its last five games going into Lexington last week, but it knocked off Kentucky 27-24 as a 2.5-point road favorite. The 51 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 52-point tally. Rodrigo Blankenship booted a walk-off 25-yard field goal to secure the victory as time expired. Blankenship had already connected on three kicks from 49, 42 and 25 yards out. UGA enjoyed a 460-308 advantage over UK in total yards, but three lost fumbles allowed the Wildcats to hang around. True freshman QB Jacob Eason completed 17-of-31 passes for 245 yards and one TD without an interception. Sony Michel ran for 127 yards and one TD on 19 totes, while Nick Chubb finished with 85 rushing yards on 21 attempts.


-- Eason has been up and down, but he has all the makings of a QB who will play on Sundays for a long time. He has connected on 53.3 percent of his passes for 1,754 yards with an 11/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Isaiah McKenzie has 32 receptions for 459 yards and six TDs.


-- Chubb has rushed for a team-best 691 yards and five TDs while averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Michel has 487 rushing yards and two TDs with a 5.1 YPC average.


-- Auburn has won six consecutive games while cashing tickets at a 5-1 ATS clip. Gus Malzahn’s squad has been particularly sharp on the road, winning 38-14 at Mississippi St. and 40-29 at Ole Miss.


-- Auburn was fortunate to capture a 23-16 win over Vanderbilt last week as a 23.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The Tigers played the first half without starting QB Sean White, who had not practiced all week due to a shoulder injury. However, with Vandy ahead 13-10 at intermission, White gave it a go in the second half. He completed 10-of-13 passes for 106 yards and one TD without an interception. Kamryn Pettway rushed 25 times for 173 yards, but he pulled up lame with a hamstring injury on a long run that would’ve been a TD to put the game on ice. But when Pettway went down, Vandy’s defense held and forced a field-goal attempt. That kick was blocked on a sensational play by Zach Cunningham, who timed it perfect and leaped over the offensive guard without making contact and easily blocked the attempt. Then the Commodores penetrated into Auburn territory in the final minute thanks to a first-down pass off a deflection on a fourth-and-18 play. But Kyle Shurmur, who played the best game of his career, made his only mistake and was intercepted inside the red zone. Nevertheless, Vandy easily took the cash as the double-digit ‘dog.


-- White has been the SEC’s biggest surprise. He has completed 69.1 percent of his passes for 1,617 yards with a 9/2 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 145 yards and a pair of scores. White’s favorite target is Tony Stevens, who has 24 receptions for 408 yards and three TDs.


-- Pettway leads the SEC in rushing with 1,106 yards and seven TDs. He averages 6.4 YPC. Pettway is listed as ‘questionable’ at UGA and will likely be a game-time decision. If he can’t go, the ground game should be in good hands with Kerryon Johnson, who has rushed for 616 yards and nine TDs while averaging 4.9 YPC.


-- Auburn has compiled a 5-2 spread record in seven games as a road favorite during Malzahn’s tenure.


-- UGA has lost two of its three home games both SU and ATS this year.


-- Georgia is ranked 16th in the country in total defense and 20th in rush defense.


-- The ‘under’ has cashed at a 6-3 overall clip for UGA, going 2-1 in its three home outings. The Bulldogs have seen their games average combined scores of 49.6 points per game.


-- The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for Auburn, 1-1 in its road assignments.


-- Kickoff in Athens is slated for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

LSU at Arkansas**



-- As of late Friday afternoon, most spots had LSU (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) installed as a seven-point road favorite with a total of 46. The Razorbacks were available to win outright for a payout in the +240 neighborhood.


-- Arkansas (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) bounced back from its worst loss during Bret Bielema’s tenure to spank Florida 31-10 as a 3.5-point home underdog last week. The 41 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 44-point total. Santos Ramirez put the Razorbacks on the board first with a 24-yard pick-six off of Luke Del Rio on the Gators’ first play from scrimmage. Rawleigh Williams rushed for 148 yards and two TDs on 26 carries, while Austin Allen threw for 243 yards and one TD. Drew Morgan had a game-high seven receptions for 95 yards and one TD.


-- Arkansas is 5-2 ATS with four outright victories in its last seven games as a home ‘dog. The Hogs have won five of six home games this year while going 3-3 ATS. The only defeat at home came to top-ranked Alabama.


-- Arkansas junior QB Austin Allen has completed 61.8 percent of his passes for 2,291 yards with a 19/8 TD-INT ratio. He throws to one of the nation’s best and most underrated group of WRs led by Morgan, who has hauled in 48 receptions for 515 yards and three TDs. Jared Cornelius has 24 catches for 465 yards and four TDs, while Keon Hatcher has 29 grabs for 441 yards and five TDs. Jeremy Sprinkle has made 23 catches for 266 yards and four TDs after replacing Chargers’ rookie Hunter Henry at the tight end position.


-- Williams has rushed for 955 yards and seven TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC. Devwah Whaley is a solid back-up, producing 383 yards and one score while averaging 5.4 YPC.


-- LSU is off a heartbreaking 10-0 loss to Alabama as a seven-point home underdog. The defense was spectacular, but the offense was a train wreck and special teams didn’t help much, either. The offense produced merely six first downs, 125 total yards and 33 rushing yards on 27 attempts. Leonard Fournette was limited to 35 rushing yards on 17 carries. The game remained scoreless until Alabama freshman QB Jalen Hurts ran for a 21-yard score with 13:08 remaining in the fourth quarter. The Crimson Tide tacked on a 25-yard field goal from Adam Griffith to put the game on ice with 2:41 left. The Tigers have now lost six in a row to Alabama.


-- Before falling to the Tide, LSU had won three straight games since the dismissal of Les Miles following an 18-13 loss at Auburn. Interim head coach Ed Orgeron remain in the mix as a candidate for the full-time gig, but he won’t be much longer if the Tigers can’t get a victory in Fayetteville. Orgeron led them to home wins over Missouri (42-7), So. Miss (45-10) and Ole Miss (38-21), but this will be their first game on the road with ‘Coach O’ calling the shots. They haven’t left Baton Rouge since the loss on The Plains, and their only other road outing was the 16-14 loss to Wisconsin at Lambeau Field in the opener.


-- Fournette missed three games, but he returned against the Rebels to rush for a school-record 284 yards and three TDs on just 16 carries. For the season, Fournette has 705 rushing yards and five TDs with a 7.0 YPC average. He also has 13 catches for 102 yards. Derrius Guice has rushed for 629 yards and seven TDs while averaging 7.9 YPC.


-- Purdue grad transfer Danny Etling has been the starting QB since Week 3. Etling has connected on 58.5 percent of his throws for 1,221 yards with a 7/4 TD-INT ratio.


-- Arkansas has dominated LSU in the last two meetings, including a 31-14 win in Baton Rouge last year. When they collided in Fayetteville two seasons ago, the Hogs dealt out cream-cheese treatment in the form of a 17-0 clubbing.


-- The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for Arkansas, 5-1 in its home games. The Hogs have seen their games average combined scores of 59.9 PPG.


-- The ‘under’ is 6-0-2 overall for the Tigers, who have seen their games average combined scores of 40.5 PPG.


-- ESPN will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**



-- Florida is somehow a double-digit home favorite vs. South Carolina. The Gators have limped to a 3-6 spread record in nine double-digit ‘chalk’ spots since Jim McElwain took over for his counterpart this weekend, Will Muschamp. The Gamecocks have ripped off three consecutive wins since Muschamp made the best decision of his head-coaching career. With South Carolina going into an open date with a 2-4 record, Muschamp elected to take the redshirt off of four-star freshman recruit Jake Bentley, who has responded by playing lights out and leading the ‘Cocks to three straight wins. Bentley has completed 73.0 percent of his passes for 622 yards and six TDs without an interception. Indeed, there’s just a tad bit of irony in the fact that Muschamp returns to The Swamp with what appears to be a beautiful QB situation set up not just for the present, but also for the next 2-3 seasons. Don’t bring up the phrase ‘QB situation’ in Gainesville these days. That’s because we’re now deep into the seventh season of UF getting deplorable play at the most important position on the field. Since Tim Tebow graduated in 2009, the following players have taken snaps: Trey Burton, Jordan Reed, John Brantley, Jeff Driskel, Jacoby Brissett, Tyler Murphy, Skyler Mornhingweg, Treon Harris, Will Grier, Luke Del Rio and Austin Appleby. None has enjoyed any sustained success like former UF QBs such as Steve Spurrier, John Reaves, Wayne Peace, Kerwin Bell, Shane Matthews, Danny Wuerffel, Doug Johnson, Rex Grossman, Chris Leak and Tebow.


-- Adding to UF’s woes is a laundry list of injured players. Before getting spanked 31-10 at Arkansas, UF had the nation’s second-ranked defense. However, that unit won’t have its two leading tacklers against USC. Senior LB Jarrad Davis (ankle) and Alex Anzalone (broken forearm) are ‘out’ along with Del Rio (shoulder) and starting junior center Cam Dillard. In addition, sophomore DE CeCe Jefferson will be a game-time decision. Austin Appleby will get his third start of the season. The grad transfer from Purdue has three TD passes compared to just one interception. CBS will have the kick from Steve Spurrier Field at noon Eastern.


-- If my remarks above didn’t make it clear, I’m all over South Carolina catching the double-digit number. And as much as it pains me to say it, nobody should be shocked if the Gamecocks cash money-line tickets in the +350ish range.


-- Regardless of whether his team wins or loses, Muschamp will – as always – be a class act on Saturday. (Yes, I don’t dock anyone class points when they angrily cuss at refs after they make incompetent calls.)


-- VegasInsider.com learned early Friday that Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze has decided to take the redshirt off of five-star freshman recruit Shea Patterson and start him Saturday night at Texas A&M. With star senior QB Chad Kelly suffering a season-ending injury in last week’s non-covering home win over Ga. Southern, the 4-5 Rebels were left to make a tough call. But was it really that difficult to go this way? First of all, if Patterson is ‘as advertised,’ he’s not going to be around for a fourth year anyway. Secondly, with probation looming, most of the momentum earned during Freeze’s tenure basically evaporates if Ole Miss doesn’t go bowling. These are three extremely important games remaining on the regular-season slate, and the Rebels have to win two of them to get invited to the postseason. They are 10-point ‘dogs to the Aggies, who fell from No. 4 in the College Football rankings after losing 35-28 at Mississippi St. as 10.5-point road ‘chalk’ last week.


-- The loss was costly for Kevin Sumlin’s team in more ways than one. Trevor Knight, who was enjoying a banner season after transferring over from Oklahoma, sustained a season-ending shoulder injury against the Bulldogs.


-- Ole Miss owns a 6-3 spread record in nine games as a road ‘dog on Freeze’s watch.


-- After getting out of RedStick unscathed with a 10-0 victory compliments of a spectacular defensive performance, top-ranked and undefeated Alabama moves on from LSU to a home game with Mississippi St. at noon Eastern on ESPN. Most spots have the Tide tagged as a 29-point home favorite.


-- Tennessee is a 14-point home favorite vs. Kentucky. If the Vols can win out (they won’t because I believe they’re going to lose to Vandy), they’ll win the SEC East if UF loses one of its two remaining league games (vs. USC and at LSU). Butch Jones has indicated that RB Alvin Kamara will return to the lineup vs. UK. Also, there’s a chance CB Cam Sutton may play for the first time since getting injured in a 28-19 home win over Ohio in Week 3. Malik Foreman remains a question mark.
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 11


Saturday, November 13


Southern Utah @ Brigham Young


Game 219-220
November 12, 2016 @ 3:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
64.010
Brigham Young
103.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 39 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 31
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-31); Under


San Diego St @ Nevada


Game 217-218
November 12, 2016 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
97.509
Nevada
67.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 29 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 23 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-23 1/2); Over


New Mexico @ Utah State


Game 215-216
November 12, 2016 @ 10:15 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
75.621
Utah State
81.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 6 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 2 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-2 1/2); Over


Colorado @ Arizona


Game 213-214
November 12, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
96.123
Arizona
83.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 13
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 16 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+16 1/2); Under


Tulane @ Houston


Game 211-212
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
78.108
Houston
93.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 16
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 24 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+24 1/2); Over


Michigan @ Iowa


Game 209-210
November 12, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
110.599
Iowa
96.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 14
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 22
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+22); Under


South Florida @ Memphis


Game 207-208
November 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
97.113
Memphis
87.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 9
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 3
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(-3); Over


Vanderbilt @ Missouri


Game 205-206
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
87.440
Missouri
83.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 4
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+3 1/2); Over


LA-Monroe @ Georgia State


Game 203-204
November 12, 2016 @ 2:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
61.799
Georgia State
76.433
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 12
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-12); Under


Minnesota @ Nebraska


Game 201-202
November 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
89.625
Nebraska
93.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 4
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 7
48
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7); Under


Baylor @ Oklahoma


Game 199-200
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
92.295
Oklahoma
110.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 18 1/2
86
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 15 1/2
80
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-15 1/2); Over


West Virginia @ Texas


Game 197-198
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
103.802
Texas
96.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 7 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 2
64
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+2); Over


Middle Tennessee St @ Marshall


Game 195-196
November 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
73.543
Marshall
70.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 3
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 9 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(+9 1/2); Under


Boise State @ Hawaii


Game 193-194
November 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
89.365
Hawaii
76.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 13 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 18
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hawaii
(+18); Over


UTEP @ Florida Atlantic


Game 191-192
November 12, 2016 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
64.941
Florida Atlantic
64.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UTEP
Even
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+3 1/2); Under


Oregon State @ UCLA


Game 189-190
November 12, 2016 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oregon State
85.654
UCLA
96.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 10 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 12 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+12 1/2); Under


USC @ Washington


Game 187-188
November 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
USC
105.902
Washington
119.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
62
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-8 1/2); Over


Idaho @ Texas State


Game 185-186
November 12, 2016 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
74.227
Texas State
62.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 11 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 7 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(-7 1/2); Over


California @ Washington St


Game 183-184
November 12, 2016 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
California
85.875
Washington St
106.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 20 1/2
88
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 14 1/2
83
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-14 1/2); Over


TX-San Antonio @ Louisiana Tech


Game 181-182
November 12, 2016 @ 3:29 pm


Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
70.955
Louisiana Tech
98.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 28
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 22
72
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(-22); Under


Miami-FL @ Virginia


Game 179-180
November 12, 2016 @ 2:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
101.772
Virginia
83.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 18 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 10
54
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-10); Over


Rutgers @ Michigan State


Game 177-178
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
74.648
Michigan State
84.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 10
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 15
57
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+15); Under


Southern Miss @ Old Dominion


Game 175-176
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
69.032
Old Dominion
77.876
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Old Dominion
by 9
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Old Dominion
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
N/A


Army @ Notre Dame


Game 173-174
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Army
74.635
Notre Dame
92.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 17 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 13 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-13 1/2); Under


Stanford @ Oregon


Game 173-174
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
97.483
Oregon
90.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 7
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 3
57
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-3); Over


LSU @ Arkansas


Game 169-170
November 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LSU
107.541
Arkansas
103.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 4 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 7
46
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+7); Over


South Carolina @ Florida


Game 167-168
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
87.069
Florida
96.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 9 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 12
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+12); Under


Kentucky @ Tennessee


Game 165-166
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
87.149
Tennessee
96.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 10
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 14
60
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+14); Under


Illinois @ Wisconsin


Game 163-164
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
80.475
Wisconsin
108.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 28 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 26
39
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-26); Over


Auburn @ Georgia


Game 161-162
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
102.465
Georgia
96.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 5 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 10 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(+10 1/2); Over


Appalachian St @ Troy


Game 159-160
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
89.733
Troy
87.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
Pick
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
Under


North Texas @ Western Kentucky


Game 157-158
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
72.318
Western Kentucky
95.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 23
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 29
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+29); Over


Mississippi St @ Alabama


Game 155-156
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
90.842
Alabama
122.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 31 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 28 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-28 1/2); Under


Colorado State @ Air Force


Game 153-154
November 12, 2016 @ 10:15 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
77.371
Air Force
90.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 13 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 5
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-5); Under


Wyoming @ UNLV


Game 151-152
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
87.100
UNLV
70.568
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 16 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 7 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(-7 1/2); Over


New Mexico St @ Arkansas St


Game 149-150
November 12, 2016 @ 3:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
60.996
Arkansas St
84.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 24
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 19
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-19); Over


Rice @ Charlotte


Game 147-148
November 12, 2016 @ 2:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Rice
62.042
Charlotte
65.986
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 4
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 10 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+10 1/2); Under


Mississippi @ Texas A&M


Game 145-146
November 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
97.641
Texas A&M
103.067
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 5 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 10 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(+10 1/2); Over


Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State


Game 143-144
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
87.922
Oklahoma State
109.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 21 1/2
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 12 1/2
90
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-12 1/2); Under


Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech


Game 141-142
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
92.271
Virginia Tech
97.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 14
55
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+14); Over


NC State @ Syracuse


Game 139-140
November 12, 2016 @ 12:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
NC State
82.769
Syracuse
87.375
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 4 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 5
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+5); N/A


Miami of Ohio @ Buffalo


Game 137-138
November 12, 2016 @ 1:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
79.652
Buffalo
64.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 15
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 10 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(-10 1/2); Under


Tulsa @ Navy


Game 135-136
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
94.324
Navy
96.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 2
70
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+2); Over


SMU @ East Carolina


Game 133-134
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
SMU
75.550
East Carolina
81.073
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 5 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Carolina
by 7 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(+7 1/2); Over


Iowa State @ Kansas


Game 131-132
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
84.645
Kansas
76.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 8
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 10
56
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+10); Under


Wake Forest @ Louisville


Game 129-130
November 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
85.640
Louisville
112.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 27
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 35 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+35 1/2); Under


Penn State @ Indiana


Game 127-128
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
97.166
Indiana
95.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 1 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 7 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7 1/2); Over


Ohio State @ Maryland


Game 125-126
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
116.872
Maryland
83.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 33 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 28 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-28 1/2); Over


Cincinnati @ Central Florida


Game 123-124
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
77.423
Central Florida
93.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 16 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 12
51
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-12); Under


Pittsburgh @ Clemson


Game 121-122
November 12, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
95.107
Clemson
109.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 15
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 21
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+21); Over


Northwestern @ Purdue


Game 119-120
November 12, 2016 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
90.675
Purdue
83.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 7 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 13 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(+13 1/2); Under
 

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Messages
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College football four-point stance: Week 11 pointspread picks and prediction


Joe Fortenbaugh was 4-0 ATS last Saturday, is 10-2 ATS the last three weeks of college football, and sits 25-15 ATS (62.5%) with his picks on the NCAAF season.


Give me one good reason why I shouldn’t bet on Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines in their matchup with Iowa this weekend.


No rush, I’ve got all the time in the world.


Perhaps the most buttoned-up program in college football outside of Nick Saban’s Alabama Crimson Tide, the Wolverines have been an absolute wrecking ball in Year 2 of the Harbaugh administration.


Through nine outings, Michigan is obliterating the opposition by an average of 37.3 points per game and now finds itself just 12 quarters - including one big showdown with Ohio State - away from a spot in the four-team playoff.


Those are preciously the results one should expect from a defensive unit that ranks tops in the country in yardage (246.0 yds/gm) and points (10.7 pts/gm) surrendered per game this season.


As for the Hawkeyes, well, what can you say? Iowa’s 2016 resume includes a loss to FCS North Dakota State (23-21) as a 14.5-point home favorite, a squeaker of a victory against a lousy 2-7 Rutgers squad (14-7), and back-to-back defeats at the hands of Wisconsin (17-9) and Penn State (41-14).


Further, the Hawkeyes are an abysmal 1-9-1 ATS over their last 11 home games, 1-5 ATS over their last six games following a loss and 2-5 ATS over their last seven showdowns with Michigan.


But I’m still open to any and all reasons as to why I shouldn’t love a Michigan blowout on Saturday.


Pick: Michigan -21.5




Wyoming Cowboys at UNLV Rebels



When: Saturday, November 12 at 3:00 p.m. ET
Spread: Wyoming -7.5


If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.


We’ve been all over the Cowboys and vastly underrated head coach Craig Bohl this season and for good reason. After a 2-2 start to the 2016 campaign, Wyoming has ripped off five straight victories by an average of 12.8 points per game.


What’s even more impressive is that the Cowboys have covered the spread in each of those five aforementioned outings while beating the closing spread by an average of 17.2 points per game.


UNLV may have the luxury of an extra week of rest heading into this matchup, but the Rebels are coming off back-to-back losses to Colorado State and San Jose State, two showdowns in which UNLV was listed as a favorite. The Rebels are now 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season and we don’t see much of a reason to believe that this will be the week in which the program gets back on track.


Be advised that Wyoming is 4-1 ATS over its last five games against UNLV, while the Rebels are 0-6 ATS over their last six showdowns against teams with a winning record and 3-9 ATS over their last 12 conference outings.


Pick: Wyoming -7.5




Minnesota Golden Gophers at Nebraska Cornhuskers



When: Saturday, November 12 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Nebraska -7


Blink and you may have missed it, but thanks to four straight victories, Minnesota has very quietly compiled an impressive 7-2 record that has the Golden Gophers tied with both Wisconsin and Nebraska atop the Big Ten’s Western division at 4-2.


But here’s the kicker: the Golden Gophers are in the driver’s seat and control their own destiny heading into the program’s final three regular season battles of the 2016 campaign.


Nebraska, on the other hand, is reeling in a big-time way after suffering back-to-back defeats at Wisconsin (23-17) and at Ohio State (62-3) following a perfect 7-0 start to the season.


If the wheels falling off the bus at the worst possible time wasn’t enough to issue a “Sell Order” on the Cornhuskers, don’t forget that quarterback Tommy Armstrong exited last Saturday night’s blowout defeat at Ohio State on a stretcher. Armstrong is currently in the school’s concussion protocol and may be unable to go for this matchup with the Gophers.


Minnesota is 5-0-1 ATS over its last six road dates and 21-5 ATS over its last 26 games played in the month of November, while Nebraska is 2-5 ATS over it last seven home games against teams with a winning road record.


Pick: Minnesota +7




California Golden Bears at Washington State Cougars



When: Saturday, November 12 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Total: 83


After hanging 614 yards and 69 points on Rich Rodriguez’s Arizona Wildcats last Saturday night, the red-hot Washington State Cougars - winners of seven straight - are no doubt foaming at the mouth over this weekend’s showdown with a California defense that has surrendered 51.7 points per game over its last four outings.


The Golden Bears’ defensive unit has been absolutely brutal in 2016, which is the primary reason why the Over has cashed in seven of Cal’s nine games this season. But Cal’s offense, led by transfer quarterback Davis Webb, has been no slouch when it comes to flying up and down the gridiron on a weekly basis.


The Bears are averaging 39.6 points per game on the season, but should experience an uptick in the scoring department Saturday night thanks to the return of wide receiver Chad Hansen, who has notched a ridiculous 64 receptions for 840 yards and nine scores in just seven contests this year.


These two teams have combined to average an insane 164 plays per game in 2016. To put that in perspective, last Saturday night’s SEC showdown between Alabama and LSU featured a total of 121 offensive snaps. More plays = more offense = more points.


To that simple equation, the Over is 5-1 in Washington State’s last six games overall and 10-4 in the Cougars’ last 14 home showdowns, while the Over is 5-1 in Cal’s last six road dates and 6-1 in the Bears’ last seven outings following an ATS loss.


Pick: Over 83


Last week: 4-0 ATS
Season: 25-15 ATS (62.5%)
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:


11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100


TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 66 - 59 - 6 *****


BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 263-257-11 50.58% -9850


O/U Picks 100-105-4 48.78% -7750
 

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 11

Sat – Nov. 12

First post

Northwestern at Purdue, 12:00 PM ET
Northwestern: 43-23 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
Purdue: 1-8 ATS in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest

Pittsburgh at Clemson, 3:30 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers
Clemson: 2-10 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

Cincinnati at Central Florida, 12:00 PM ET
Cincinnati: 1-5 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56
C Florida: 6-1 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Ohio State at Maryland, 3:30 PM ET
Ohio State: 70-45 ATS in road lined games
Maryland: 10-2 UNDER in home games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game

Penn State at Indiana, 12:00 PM ET
Penn St: 1-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Indiana: 8-20 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Wake Forest at Louisville, 7:00 PM ET
Wake Forest: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
Louisville: 8-22 ATS in home games after playing 3 straight conference games

Iowa State at Kansas, 12:00 PM ET
Iowa St: 6-0 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Kansas: 9-21 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games

SMU at East Carolina, 12:00 PM ET
SMU: 13-3 OVER after playing a game at home
East Carolina: 5-14 ATS after playing a conference game

Tulsa at Navy, 12:00 PM ET
Tulsa: 14-4 OVER after playing a conference game
Navy: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite

Miami Ohio at Buffalo, 1:00 PM ET
Miami OH: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games
Buffalo: 27-45 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

North Carolina State at Syracuse, 12:30 PM ET
N Carolina St: 14-29 ATS as a road favorite
Syracuse: 27-12 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech, 3:30 PM ET
Georgia Tech: 2-11 ATS against conference opponents
Virginia Tech: 16-6 UNDER against conference opponents

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, 3:30 PM ET
Texas Tech: 22-9 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
Oklahoma St: 11-3 OVER after playing a conference game

Mississippi at Texas AM, 7:30 PM ET
Mississippi: 10-1 UNDER in road lined games
Texas AM: 1-9 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Rice at Charlotte, 2:00 PM ET
Rice: 21-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
Charlotte: 2-9 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

New Mexico State at Arkansas State, 3:00 PM ET
New Mexico St: 8-23 ATS in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63
Arkansas St: 18-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

Wyoming at UNLV, 3:30 PM ET
Wyoming: 14-2 UNDER in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4
UNLV: 13-31 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers

Colorado State at Air Force, 10:15 PM ET
Colorado St: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
Air Force: 12-4 OVER when playing with 6 or less days rest

Mississippi State at Alabama, 12:00 PM ET
Mississippi St: 11-0 ATS after playing a game at home
Alabama: 25-46 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

North Texas at Western Kentucky, 3:30 PM ET
N Texas: 5-17 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31
W Kentucky: 6-0 ATS after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers

Appalachian State at Troy, 3:30 PM ET
Appalachian St: 1-8 ATS after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half
Troy: 12-3 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored

Auburn at Georgia, 3:30 PM ET
Auburn: 15-4 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Georgia: 11-25 ATS in home games off a road win

Illinois at Wisconsin, 3:30 PM ET
Illinois: 32-51 ATS after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game
Wisconsin: 19-8 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

Kentucky at Tennessee, 12:00 PM ET
Kentucky: 5-18 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Tennessee: 8-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

South Carolina at Florida, 12:00 PM ET
S Carolina: 13-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42
Florida: 0-7 ATS in home games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

LSU at Arkansas, 7:00 PM ET
LSU: 9-1 ATS in road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game
Arkansas: 24-10 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

Stanford at Oregon, 4:00 PM ET
Stanford: 9-2 ATS after playing a game at home
Oregon: 1-7 ATS in all lined games

Army at Notre Dame, 3:30 PM ET
Army: 23-39 ATS in weeks 10 through 13
Notre Dame: 4-2 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

Southern Miss at Old Dominion, 3:30 PM ET
S Miss: 13-4 UNDER after having lost 3 out of their last 4
Old Dominion: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

Rutgers at Michigan State, 12:00 PM ET
Rutgers: 14-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Michigan St: 14-28 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite

Miami FL at Virginia, 2:00 PM ET
Miami FL: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14
Virginia: 11-24 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game

Tex San Antonio at Louisiana Tech, 3:30 PM ET
Tex San Antonio: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog
Louisiana Tech: 11-3 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

California at Washington State, 10:30 PM ET
California: 0-6 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63
Washington St: 9-2 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game

Idaho at Texas State, 4:00 PM ET
Idaho: 9-2 ATS after playing a conference game
Texas St: 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

USC at Washington, 7:30 PM ET
USC: 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6
Washington: 8-1 OVER off a win against a conference rival

Oregon State at UCLA, 9:00 PM ET
Oregon St: 7-1 ATS as an underdog
UCLA: 1-9 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders
 

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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet and odds: Week 11

Colorado take their Top 10 defense to Arizona. They'll have to cover 15.5-points, but are 4-0 ATS on the road this season.

We're on to Week 11 of the college football season and the full slate of games can be tough to navigate for bettors. So we bring you our Top 25 betting cheat sheet to handicap the best games of the day.

Baylor at No. 11 Oklahoma (-16, 80)

* The Bears' season is teetering after back-to-back losses at Texas (35-34) and last week at home to TCU (62-22), a contest that saw Baylor surrender 688 yards, including 431 rushing. Senior Shock Linwood, who has rotated with Terence Williams and JaMycal Hasty for the lead running back role, has rushed for 594 yards through eight games this season to give him a school career record 4,056, but he was suspended for this week's game by acting head coach Jim Grobe after a sideline dustup with a graduate-assistant coach. The Bears will need a big game from senior quarterback Seth Russell who has passed for 1,978 yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions while also rushing for 436 yards and eight touchdowns so far this season and will be going against an Oklahoma defense that ranks 122nd nationally in passing yards allowed per game (297.7).

* Junior quarterback Baker Mayfield, who finished fourth in Heisman Trophy balloting a year ago, is having another outstanding season, completing 71.2 percent of his passes for 2,912 yards and 31 touchdowns against only six interceptions. It helps when you have a wide receiver like explosive senior Dede Westbrook, who has 40 catches for 1,012 yards and 12 touchdowns since the start of Big 12 play on Oct. 1, and a running back duo like Joe Mixon (813 yards, 5 TDs) and Samaje Perine (475 yards, 6 TDs), to work with. The Sooners' defense, which has started 22 different players this season due to a rash of injuries, is led by junior outside linebacker Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, who ranks third in the Big 12 and 20th nationally with an average of 0.9 sacks per game, and cornerback Jordan Thomas, who ranks second in the nation with 1.7 passes defended per game.

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma opened as 14.5-point home favorites and as the week went along the spread has risen to 16. The total opened at 80 and has remained at that number all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oklahoma.

Mississippi State vs No.1 Alabama (-28.5, 55)

* Sophomore quarterback Nick Fitzgerald accounted for four touchdowns (two passing, two rushing) and passed for 209 yards and rushed for 182 as the Bulldogs cruised up and down the field against Texas A&M. Fitzgerald has thrown for 1,705 yards and 16 touchdowns and rushed for 839 yards and eight scores and his favorite target is senior wideout Fred Ross (54 receptions for 641 yards), who leads the SEC with nine touchdown catches and has caught at least one pass in 31 consecutive contests. Senior defensive end A.J. Jefferson is fifth in school history with 34.5 tackles for loss - including 10 this season - while senior middle linebacker Richie Brown has a team-best 76 tackles.

* The Crimson Tide allow just 13.2 points per game and dominated LSU's offense in their first game without standout senior strong safety Eddie Jackson (broken leg). Sophomore Minkah Fitzpatrick was moved from cornerback to strong safety and he recorded his team-leading fourth interception of the season, while senior defensive end Jonathan Allen and senior outside linebacker Tim Williams share the team lead with seven sacks. Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts is effectively guiding the offense and has passed for 1,656 yards and 11 touchdowns and added 635 yards and 10 scores on the ground.

LINE HISTORY: The Crimson Tide opened as 29-point home favorites and by Thursday has dropped to 28.5. The total opened at 55.5 and went down to 55. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Alabama.

No.16 West Virginia at Texas (-2, 64)

* The Mountaineers may be without running back Rushel Shell (503 yards, five touchdowns), who missed last week with an ankle injury, but a balanced offense was sparked last week by rushing efforts from Justin Crawford (129 yards) and Kennedy McKoy (127). Quarterback Skyler Howard, who had a 260-yard, three touchdown game last week, has completed 65.1 percent of his passes for 2,293 yards and 16 TDs. The senior connected for 104 yards to Daikiel Shorts and 102 to Shelton Gibson against Kansas.

* The Longhorns may have salvaged their season on the recent strength of their improved defensive play after coach Charlie Strong took control of the play-calling four games ago. Foreman surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark in 10 straight games and with 1,446 yards this season averages 180.8 per game. The effectiveness of freshman quarterback Shane Buechele (2,257 yards, 19 touchdowns) to set up the run game could be as effective as Oklahoma State's Mason Rudolph in leading the Cowboys to victory over West Virginia two weeks ago.

LINE HISTORY: Texas opened as 1.5-point home favorites and the spread moved up to 2.5 before settling back to 2. The total opened at 64 and has yet to move. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games
Under is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games following a straight up win
Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall

No.10 Penn State at Indiana (7.5, 59.5)

* Barkley (conference-leading 1,055 yards rushing, 13 total touchdowns), rushed for 167 yards and scored twice last week in the 41-14 win over Iowa. McSorley (55.6 completion percentage, 14 TDs, three interceptions) is second in the Big Ten in yards per attempt (8.5) and interception percentage (1.2) and has found a new deep threat in Saeed Blacknall, who has three catches for 96 yards in the last three weeks. Led by a revitalized and deep front seven, the Lions have yielded a combined 76 yards rushing the past two weeks, marking the first time Penn State had ever held back-to-back Big Ten opponents to fewer than 50 yards rushing.

* Lagow, a 6-6 junior, passed for 394 yards and three TDs in last week’s 33-27 victory over Rutgers but also threw two of his 13 interceptions on the season. Wide receivers Nick Westbrook (78.7 yards per game) and Ricky Jones (75.7) rank in the top five in the Big Ten, while Devine Redding is sixth in the league with 793 rushing yards - good for a 4.8 average. Linebacker Tegray Scales ranks second in FBS with 7.1 solo tackles per game, defensive back Rashard Fant leads the country with 1.8 passes defended per game and linebacker Marcus Oliver ranks tied for fifth in FBS with 0.44 forced fumbles per game.

LINE HISTORY: Penn State opened the week as 6.5-point road favorites and that spread was up to 7.5 by Thursday. The total opened a 58.5 went up to 59.5 before dropping to 58. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Nittany Lions are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings

Pittsburgh at No. 2 Clemson (20.5, 65.5)

* The Panthers are tough in the trenches, as they lean on star running back James Conner on offense and do an excellent job of shutting down opposing ground games. The Panthers also boast one of the nation’s top return men in Quadree Henderson, who leads the nation in kickoff return average (33.8 yards) and kickoff return touchdowns (three). Defensive end Ejuan Price anchors the defense and ranks third in the nation in sacks (1.0) and tackles for loss (1.78) per game.

* The Tigers suffered a scare when star quarterback Deshaun Watson left last week’s game with a bruised right shoulder, but it looks as though he will be ready to go Saturday. Watson is the catalyst for an electric offense that also features a dangerous running back in Wayne Gallman. The Tigers are equally as impressive on defense and especially tough against the pass, but if they have a slight weakness it is stopping the run (132.8 yards allowed per game), which could be a problem against Conner and the Panthers.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as 20-point home favorites and the line has crept up to 20.5/ The total opened at 66.5 and quickly jumped to 67 and than came down a full point to 66 as of Thursday. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 8-0 in Panthers last 8 games overall
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games

Georgia Tech at No. 14 Virginia Tech (-14, 55)

* Running back Clinton Lynch is one of the more explosive players in the ACC, averaging 17.2 yards per touch (298 yards rushing on 28 carries; 12 receptions for 389 yards) and scoring a touchdown in each of the past four games. Thomas, who is expected to play Saturday, rushed for 82 yards and passed for 144 yards last week after recording 459 yards of total offense against Duke on Oct. 29. But the defense gave up 9.1 yards per play against North Carolina and has surrendered 35 points or more in four of the past five games.

* The Hokies average 444.4 yards of total offense per game, topping 450 yards six times in nine games, and have scored 39 points per game in their seven victories. A trio of receivers – Bucky Hodges, Isaiah Ford and Cam Phillips – have combined for 119 receptions for 1,753 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Evans has passed for 21 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Virginia Tech’s defense ranks 18th nationally in points allowed per game (20.2).

LINE HISTORY: The Hokies opened the week as 13.5- home favorites and has risen to 14. The total opened at 55 and hasn’t moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Over is 5-0 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games overall
Over is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 home games.
Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

No. 9 Auburn at Georgia (10,48)

* The Tigers dodged Vanderbilt’s upset bid thanks in part to their defense, which held the Commodores to three points and 135 yards of total offense in the second half. Pettway has averaged 192.5 rushing yards per game with six touchdowns in his past four games, and has topped 100 yards six times in eight games this season. White looked solid in completing 10-of-13 passes for 106 yards and a touchdown after the offense struggled under John Franklin III in the first two quarters.

* The Bulldogs rebounded from a dreadful offensive performance against Florida (164 yards of total offense), finishing with 460 yards against the Wildcats as Eason completed 17-of-31 passes for 245 yards. Georgia’s rushing attack has sputtered throughout much of the season, but Sony Michel (127 yards) and Nick Chubb (85 yards) combined to average 5.3 yards per carry last week. Georgia’s defense ranks third in the SEC against the run (118.2 yards per game), but faces a strong test against the nation’s third-best rushing attack (Auburn averages 299.8 yards rushing per contest).

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened the week as 10-point home favorites and as of Thursday that number hasn’t moved. The total opened at 48 and remains at that number. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Texas Tech at No.13 Oklahoma State (-12.5, 90)

* Mahomes (31 TDs, eight INTs) leads the country with 3,886 passing yards while the Red Raiders average 485.8 passing yards (first in FBS), 46.2 points (fourth) and 587.1 total yards (second). Jonathan Giles is tied for the Big 12 lead with 12 touchdown receptions and is second with 60 catches and 982 yards. The Red Raiders, who allow 236 rushing yards, rank 124th nationally in scoring defense (41.8) and 126th in total defense (533.9).

* Mason Rudolph (2,989 yards, 22 TDs, four INTs) is second in the league in passing and has two of the league's leading receivers. James Washington (50 catches, 974 yards, eight TDs) and Jalen McCleskey (57 catches, 670 yards, six TDs) rank third and eighth, respectively, in yards per game. The Cowboys lead the Big 12 in turnover margin (plus-8) after forcing 11 during the win streak.

LINE HISTORY: The Cowboys opened as 12-point home favorites and has inched up half point to 12.5. The total opened at 90 and has yet to move. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games in November.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

No. 5 Ohio State at Maryland (29.5, 57.5)

* Senior quarterback J.T. Barrett has 21 touchdowns and four interceptions, including four TDs without a pick against Nebraska. He has gone three straight games without an interception and likely will continue to target Samuel, who has 29 catches over the last four outings. Barrett needs two total touchdowns to break the Big Ten record set by ex-Purdue star Drew Brees (95).

* The Terrapins' 4-0 start is barely a memory at this point following a 1-4 stretch capped by a hideous 59-3 loss to Michigan last weekend. Maryland trailed 35-0 at halftime, promnpting Durkin to say: "It's disheartening that we didn't compete. It's hard for me to say that and to even acknowledge that." Quarterback Perry Hills is day-to-day with a shoulder injury, giving Caleb Rowe another shot under center if Hills can't go.

LINE HISTORY: The Buckeyes’ opened the week as 28-point road favorites and after an initial drop the line has been moving up to 29.5. The total opened at 57.5 and hasn’t moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-2 in Buckeyes last 10 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Illinois at No.7 Wisconsin (26.5, 39)

* The Fighting Illini haven't won back-to-back conference games since the final two of 2014, but are in position after knocking off Michigan State last week, 31-27, getting a career-high 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns from running back Kendrick Foster. The Badgers will present an immense challenge for the Illinois run game, as their run defense is tops in the Big Ten and No. 5 in the nation at 101.2 rushing yards surrendered per game. If the Fighting Illini choose to air it out against Wisconsin, they may have to do so without leading receiver Malik Turner, who missed Saturday's game with a concussion.

* The Badgers could be shorthanded on offense as well, as right tackle Jacob Maxwell and fullback Austin Ramesh remain questionable with right shoulder injuries. On the defensive side, nose guard Olive Sagapolu will miss his fourth straight game due to injury and that side of the ball was already banged up after starting inside linebackers Chris Orr and Jack Cichy were lost for the season because of injuries. T.J. Edwards, Ryan Connelly and Leon Jacobs have stepped in and kept the defense humming along.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with Wisconsin as 26.5-home favorites and an over of 39, neither number has moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Under is 6-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games following a straight up win.

Wake Forest at No. 6 Louisville (34.5, 54.5)

* With Clawson announcing this week that opening-day starter Kendall Hinton would miss the rest of the season with a setback in his sprained left knee, quarterback John Walford (11 total TDs, seven interceptions) will lead the Deacons the rest of the way and is coming off his first interception-free game in four contests. Cameron Glenn (four tackles, a fumble recovery and an interception) and Jessie Bates (four tackles, an interception, a pass breakup) took home the conference’s Defensive Back and Rookie of the Week honors, respectively, for their performances last week. Defensive end Duke Ejiofor and linebacker Marquel Lee are one of two duos across the country to rank inside the top 12 in tackles for loss (13 apiece).

* Jackson accounted for seven scores (four passing, three running) for the third time this season - no other player in FBS has done it more than once - to give him a NCAA-best 45 total scores for the season, while his 30-point-per-game average is higher than the scoring average for 70 FBS teams. Running back Brandon Radcliff has 627 yards and has a legitimate shot at giving the Cardinals their first set of 1,000-yard rushers in the same season in school history. Linebacker James Hearns moved into a three-way tie for first in the country by forcing his fifth fumble last week and leads the team with six sacks, while sophomore cornerback Jaire Alexander is tied for second in the country with five interceptions.

LINE HISTORY: Louisville opened as 33-point home favorites over the visiting Demon Deacons and by Thursday that number was bumped up to 34.5. The total opened at 54.5 and hasn’t moved. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

No. 22 Boise State at Hawaii (17.5, 63.5)

* The Broncos fell behind in the Mountain Division with a 30-28 loss at Wyoming on Oct. 29 in which they were outgained on the ground 215-159. Boise State made rushing the focus last week against San Jose State and piled up 298 yards on the ground in the 45-31 victory as Jeremy McNichols (159 yards, two TDs) got some help from freshman Alexander Mattison (100 yards, 1 TD). Quarterback Brett Rypien, who did not throw a TD pass and was intercepted once at Wyoming, bounced back as well by posting a season-best 76.2 completion percentage with three TDs and no picks.

* McNichols and Mattison should not have much trouble finding running lanes against the Rainbow Warriors defense, which is being gashed for an average of 259.2 yards on the ground - 124th in FBS. Hawaii quarterback Dru Brown was intercepted a total of three times in his first eight games and matched that number last week at San Diego State, when he was replaced by Aaron Zwahlen after throwing his third pick. Zwahlen, a freshman, went 3-for-10 for 32 yards and an interception in the first action of his college career.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 17.5-road favorites and briefly dropped to 17 before retiring to 17.5. The total hit the board at 63.5 and that number has been fine with bettors all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in November.
Over is 8-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 6-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

No. 24 Louisiana State at No. 25 Arkansas (7, 46.5)

* Tigers seniors will leave the program having never beaten Alabama after the team was shut out for the first time since a 17-0 loss at Arkansas on Nov. 15, 2014. Star running back Leonard Fournette, then a freshman, rushed for a career-low nine yards in that 2014 game and failed to crack 100 in a home loss to the Razorbacks last season, making Arkansas and Alabama the lone SEC teams that regularly prevent him from taking over the game. Quarterback Danny Etling suffered through his worst game of the season last week, completing 11-of-24 passes for 92 yards and an interception.

* The Razorbacks were crushed 56-3 at Auburn on Oct. 22 and used the bye the following week to focus on the defense. Arkansas did not allow an offensive touchdown in the win over Florida and cut its rushing yards allowed from 543 against Auburn to 12 against the Gators after mixing up the personnel along the line during the bye. The Razorbacks offense goes as running back Rawleigh Williams III goes, and he is averaging 151.3 yards in the last three wins and 49 yards in the last three losses.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as 6.5-road favorites and was bet up to 7.5 before settling at 7 when this cheat sheet was put together. The total opened at 46 and has risen a half point to 46.5. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Razorbacks last 6 home games.

No. 20 Southern California at No. 4 Washington (-9.5, 62.5)

* Darnold has thrown 18 touchdown pass and topped 300 yards three times during the winning streak that has displayed that the Trojans have a star quarterback in the making. Overall, he has passed for 1,874 yards and 20 touchdowns against four interceptions and he is mixing well with standout junior wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has 48 receptions for 641 yards and eight touchdowns. Sophomore inside linebacker Cameron Smith leads the defense with 63 tackles while sophomore outside linebacker Gustin Porter has a team-best 7.5 tackles for losses.

* Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning matched his own school record with six touchdown passes in last week's win over California and he also holds the single-season mark of 34 passing scores. Browning, who has passed for 2,273 yards, regularly teams up with junior wideouts John Ross (44 reception, 14 touchdowns) and Dante Pettis (37 catches, 11 scores), while sophomore running back Myles Gaskins (952 yards) is closing in on his second consecutive 1,000-yard season. The defense suffered a huge blow with news that senior outside linebacker Joe Mathis (team-best five sacks) is done for the campaign and needs shoulder surgery.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 8.5-home favorites and throughout the week was up and down before settling at 9. The total opened at 62 and has been bet up half a point to 62.5. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Mississippi at No. 8 Texas A&M (-10, 54.5)

* Pellerin went 1-of-5 for 19 yards and an interception in relief of Kelly last week. "I think that with a week of practice it can be expanded from what you saw the other night, but will it be what Chad (Kelly) has done? Probably not," Rebels coach Hugh Freeze told reporters. "Regardless of who goes at quarterback whether it is him, (Markell) Pack, whoever, Jeremy Liggins, Shea Patterson, it would be crazy for us to expect to carry the whole playbook into this game. We need to pick the things we really like and the things he feels good about, (Jason) Pellerin, and his preparation and go with those." Pellerin will try to lean on running back Akeem Judd, who ran for a career-high 139 yards last week.

* Knight sparked the Aggies offense as much with his legs (10 rushing TDs) as with his arm (13 passing TDs), and Jake Hubenak will be asked to run a similar offense. "Jake's not as fast but is effective," Sumlin told reporters. "Will probably change some of the things we do a little bit. Although many are designed runs, some of them weren't. Trevor had the ability to take the ball down and do some things. QB read game isn't the same for everybody." Hubenak went 11-of-17 for 222 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in relief last week but totaled just two yards on seven carries.

LINE HISTORY: Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites and the total hit the betting board at 54.5 and neither number has moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 3-0-1 in Rebels last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 13-2-1 in Rebels last 16 games on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Aggies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Minnesota at No. 19 Nebraska (-7, 48)

* Sophomore running back Rodney Smith leads the conference with 13 rushing touchdowns and has topped 100 yards in every game during the winning streak, finding the end zone eight times over that stretch. Mitch Leidner (1,505 passing yards, 12 total TDs), who is the only quarterback in school history to pass and run for at least 30 touchdowns, accumulated a season-high 305 total yards and scored a pair of rushing touchdowns in last week's triumph. The Gophers will be shorthanded on defense this week as Cody Poock (shoulder) will undergo season-ending surgery in the near future, while fellow linebacker Nick Rallis must sit out the first half Saturday as a result of the targeting penalty that led to his ejection near the end of last week's win.

* If Armstrong is unable to pass concussion protocol in time, the Cornhuskers would turn to senior Ryker Fyfe, who went 5-of-18 for 52 yards with an interception against Ohio State and does not pose nearly the same kind of running threat (16 career carries for 20 yards) as Armstrong. Cethan Carter returned from a three-game absence due to an elbow injury and was one of only three players to catch a pass versus Ohio State; the senior has 52 career receptions and could work his way up to second place on the school's all-time list among tight ends if he can manage 16 more catches over the final four games. Senior safety Nate Gerry finished with a season-high tying nine tackles and needs 30 more to pass Mike Brown (287; 1996-99) for the most by a defensive back in school history.

LINE HISTORY: The Cornhuskers’ opened as 7-point home favorites and the total opened on the board at 48 and have held firm all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Golden Gophers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Gophers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-0 in Cornhuskers last 5 games following a straight up loss.

No. 3 Michigan at Iowa (21.5, 50.5)

* Speight was named the Big Ten co-Offensive Player of the Week after completing 19-of-24 passes for a career-high 362 yards and two touchdowns in the lopsided win against Maryland. Jake Butt continues to make his case for the Mackey Award, catching five passes for 76 yards against the Terrapins to break the Wolverines' all-time record for receiving yards by a tight end, passing the legendary Jim Mandich, who accumulated 1,508 from 1967-69. Amara Darboh, who had four receptions for 77 yards and a touchdown last weekend, was added to the 15-man shortlist for the Biletnikoff Award, given to the most outstanding receiver in college football.

* Offensive tackle Cole Croston, who has missed two games with an ankle sprain this season, wasn't listed on the depth chart and will likely be replaced by Ike Boettger on Saturday. Freshman offensive tackle Brett Waechter has left the team due to stomach issues which have plagued him during practice and workouts over the last few years. Starting running back LeShun Daniels Jr. was held to 18 yards on 10 carries in the loss to Penn State, and has rushed for over 100 yards only once in his last seven games while Akrum Wadley managed just 28 yards on nine attempts against the Nittany Lions.

LINE HISTORY: Michigan opened as 18.5-point road favorites and by the end of the week the number rose up all to 21.5. The total opened at 50.5 and was bet up to 51.5 and has since settled at 50.5 Friday morning. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 games in November.
Over is 6-0 in Hawkeyes last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

No. 12 Colorado at Arizona (15.5, 58)

* Quarterback Sefo Liufau has seen more pressure in the last two games, and only has completed 31-of-55 passes for 278 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions – his first two of the season with both coming a week ago Thursday against UCLA. Lindsay ranks third in the conference with 90.9 rushing yards per game, and his 11 total TDs rank fifth. Defensively, the Buffaloes are led by linebacker Kenneth Olugbode (fourth in the Pac-12 with 7.7 tackles per game) and rank first in Pac-12 total defense (296.9 yards allowed) and second in scoring defense (17.2 points surrendered).

* The Wildcats rotated quarterbacks Brandon Dawkins, Anu Solomon and Khalil Tate last week at Washington State, hoping to generate some offense but only managed seven points and 286 total yards in a 62-point blowout loss. Senior tailback Samajie Grant has started the last two games and has run for 141 yards on 27 carries while wideout Nate Phillips (21 receptions, 233 yards) now has caught a pass in 42 consecutive games – tied for the fifth-longest streak in the nation. Senior linebacker Paul Magloire Jr. has a team-leading 58 tackles and 5.5 tackles for loss for Arizona, which ranks 10th in the conference in scoring defense (37.1 points) and ninth in total defense (475.2 yards).

LINE HISTORY: Colorado opened as 15-point road favorites and that line crept higher to 15.5 on Tuesday morning and held firm. The total hit the betting board at 57.5 and has been bet up to 58. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Buffaloes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Buffaloes last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

California at No. 23 Washington State (-14.5, 83.5)

* The Golden Bears were 1-for-14 on third down in last week’s loss to Washington despite the return of wide receiver Chad Hansen, who made five catches for 70 yards and his ninth touchdown after missing the previous two games due to injury. Freshmen receivers Demetris Robertson and Melquise Stovall have combined for nine TDs, but the team needs more production from running backs Khalfani Muhammad and Tre Watson after the duo has failed to reach the end zone in two straight games. Safety Khari Vanderbilt has made a team-high 60 tackles, but the defensive line has struggled to pressure the quarterback all season.

* Coach Mike Leach’s squad opened with losses to Eastern Washington and Boise State but now has a shot at playing in the Rose Bowl for the first time since 2002. While Leach is known for his Air Raid offense, he’s used a more balanced attack this season with the rushing trio of Jamal Morrow, Gerard Wicks and James Williams averaging 228.7 all-purpose yards while scoring a total of 27 touchdowns. The defense held Arizona to 158 rushing yards last week despite the absence of starting nose tackle Robert Barber, who has been suspended indefinitely for an off-campus incident.

LINE HISTORY: The Cougars opened the week as 15-point home favorites and was quickly bet down half point to 14.5 and has held firm. The total was opened at 83.5 and didn’t move all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-1 in Golden Bears last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
 

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NCAAF

Saturday, November 12

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NCAAF Game of the Day: USC at Washington
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Washington finally reached the Top 4 in the CFP Rankings this week, but face a tough task to stay there as they host a hot USC team this Saturday.

No. 20 USC Trojans at No. 4 Washington Huskies (-9.5, 62.5)

Fourth-ranked Washington is in good position in terms of the College Football Playoff but faces a big hurdle with red-hot USC arriving in Seattle for Saturday's Pac-12 contest. The Trojans have won five consecutive contests and have soared with redshirt freshman Sam Darnold as the starting quarterback and will represent a big test for a Huskies' defense allowing 17 points per game.

If things had gone differently following the 2013 season, third-year Washington coach Chris Petersen might be standing on the Trojans' sideline for this showdown. But Petersen didn't click with then-USC athletic director Pat Haden during the interview process and the job went to then-Huskies coach Steve Sarkisian - which opened the door for Petersen to leave Boise State for Washington. "It's just like recruiting: Fit's got to be right on both sides," Peterson told ESPN.com. "I think it was, you know, kind of obvious after talking. You've got to have your way and know the strengths and weaknesses and the details of everything you're doing." Clay Helton is now trying to guide the Trojans back to relevancy and the team has won by an average of 21 points during the winning streak.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 8.5-point home favorites and that number has dropped as low as 8 and as high as 9.5, before settling at 9 Friday afternoon. The total hit the board at 62 and has been bet up to 62.5. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Southern California - CB Johathan Lockett (doubtful, hip), RB Aca’Cedric Ware (questionable, ankle), RB Justin Davis (questionable, ankle), QB Matt Fink (questionable, ankle), DT Noah Jefferson (questionable, academics), JuJu Smith-Schuster (probable, back), Iman Marshall (probable, hamstring)

Washington - WR Brayden Lenius (questionable, undisclosed), LB Joe Mathis (out for season, foot)

WEATHER REPORT: There is a 80 percent chance of rain showers at kickoff Saturday night at Husky Stadium, decreasing to 16 percent later in the game. Temperatures will be in the 50’s with winds at 20 mph at kickoff.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "USC returned 10 starters on offense this season with their only loss being QB Cody Kessler who is now with the Cleveland Browns. However, that one loss was costly as the Trojans' offense struggled in September. However, USC has now turned things around and the Trojans have scored at least 41 points or more in four of their past five games. USC has averaged 40 points in their past five games, compared to averaging just 22 points in their first four games this season."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened 4th ranked Washington as a -8 point favorite over PAC12 rival USC but got up to as high as -9 with the public backing Washington. We have since moved back to Washington -8.5 as we took some sharp action on the underdog Trojans to cover. As we sit right now we have just over 60 percent of the action on Washington to cover."

ABOUT USC (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS, 2-7 O/U): Darnold has thrown 18 touchdown pass and topped 300 yards three times during the winning streak that has displayed that the Trojans have a star quarterback in the making. Overall, he has passed for 1,874 yards and 20 touchdowns against four interceptions and he is mixing well with standout junior wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has 48 receptions for 641 yards and eight touchdowns. Sophomore inside linebacker Cameron Smith leads the defense with 63 tackles while sophomore outside linebacker Gustin Porter has a team-best 7.5 tackles for losses.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS, 8-1 O/U): Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning matched his own school record with six touchdown passes in last week's win over California and he also holds the single-season mark of 34 passing scores. Browning, who has passed for 2,273 yards, regularly teams up with junior wideouts John Ross (44 reception, 14 touchdowns) and Dante Pettis (37 catches, 11 scores), while sophomore running back Myles Gaskins (952 yards) is closing in on his second consecutive 1,000-yard season. The defense suffered a huge blow with news that senior outside linebacker Joe Mathis (team-best five sacks) is done for the campaign and needs shoulder surgery.

TRENDS:

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public loves the home favorite with 65 percent of wagers. The over is also getting a lot of love with 71 percent taking the over.
 

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Best Bets - Week 11
November 10, 2016



Last week's college football best bets swept the board without any sweating. Washington came out to make a statement to the selection committee as predicted, and TCU dominated a deflated Baylor team coming off their first loss.


That makes it two straight weeks of sweeping the board with these CFB best bets and hopefully the good times keep rolling with this week's selections.


Best Bet #1: Stanford/Oregon Over 57


Betting Stanford games 'over' has largely been a losing proposition this year as the Cardinal enter this week's game with a 2-7 O/U mark. But after a 10-5 home loss to Colorado a few weeks back, things have started to trend upwards for this offense with 34 and 26 points in their two games since.


Stanford's hopes of making the playoffs or even a Pac-12 Conference game have long been dashed, but this program will still go bowling somewhere and they'll need to have their offense at least capable of pulling their own weight in that game.


Enter a trip to Oregon to face a Ducks defense that has been torched by everyone this year and there's a good chance we see plenty of points this week.


Oregon has allowed 35+ points in seven straight games and that run includes all six conference games they've played.


The talent just simply isn't there this year for the Ducks and while Oregon fans have grown accustomed to seeing their team have success for years in high-scoring affairs, this year the offense simply can't make up for all the mistakes the defense makes.


You aren't going to win too many games giving up 35 points per game they've become the cure for any opponent that's been struggling offensively.


Furthermore, for as solid as Stanford's defense has looked the majority of the year, Oregon still knows how to put up points and will have success as well.


Last year the Ducks put up 38 points on Stanford as 8.5-point road underdogs, and Oregon has always been a much better point producing machine at home. The Ducks are a perfect 3-0 O/U at home against conference foes this year and that undefeated record shouldn't change this week.


Eight of the past 10 meetings between these two programs have cashed 'over' tickets and only once did the total close at a lower number than 56.5. The Ducks have also lost the yardage battle – on the ground and in the air – in all but one Pac-12 game so far this year, so look for Stanford to move up and down the field on the Ducks like everyone else has.


The fact that this is the highest total for a Stanford game this year should stand out as a sign we will see some points, especially when you consider that the previous highest mark of 56.5 against Washington State was one of Stanford's two 'overs' on the year.


Best Bet #2: Illinois/Wisconsin Over 39.5


Wisconsin is another team like Stanford that has been a favorite of 'under' bettors this year (2-7 O/U), as they've got a tremendous defense and prefer to win games with a ground and pound attack. The Badgers are laying 26.5 points at home this week against a bad Illinois team and a total like this suggests the Illini won't score a touchdown.


But that hasn't happened all year for Illinois, and after going through numerous grueling games the past month, I expect this Wisconsin defense to let up a little bit here.


Three of the past four meetings between these two programs have cashed 'over' tickets, and all of Wisconsin's true home games this year have finished with at least 40 points.


The Badgers will get to 30+ points themselves here against a Illini defense that has struggled against top tier competition and this number is simply too low not to make this play.


One TD by Illinois at any point gives this play a good chance to cash, and with the number having moved up to its current state after opening at 38.5 despite VegasInsider showing that nearly 70% of the money has come in on the 'under' already suggests that going against the grain is correct here.
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WVU at TEX 12:00 PM

TEX +0.0 *****


CIN at UCF 12:00 PM


UCF -10.5


RUTG at MSU 12:00 PM


RUTG +15.5 *****


SMU at ECU 12:00 PM


SMU +7.0


TLSA at NAVY 12:00 PM


NAVY -3.0 *****


NW at PUR 12:00 PM


NW -13.5 *****


PSU at IND 12:00 PM


IND +7.0 *****


SOCAR at FLA 12:00 PM


FLA -11.5 *****


UK at TENN 12:00 PM


UK +14.0


MSST at ALA 12:00 PM


ALA -28.5 ( SEC BLOW OUT SHUT OUT GOY )


BAY at OKLA 12:00 PM


OKLA -17.5 *****


ISU at KU 12:00 PM


ISU -10.5 *****


NCST at SYR 12:30 PM


SYR +7.0


M-OH at BUFF 01:00 PM

M-OH -10.0 ( MAC ROAD FAVORITE OF THE DAY )


RICE at CHAR 02:00 PM


CHAR -13.0 *****


ULM at GSU 02:00 PM


GSU -12.0


MIA at UVA 02:00 PM


UVA +10.5
 

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MID-DAY GAMES:


NMSU at ARST 03:00 PM


ARST -18.0


PITT at CLEM 03:30 PM


CLEM -21.5 ( ACC BLOW OUT )


UTSA at LT 03:30 PM


LT -21.5 *****


TULN at HOU 03:30 PM


TULN +24.5 *****


SOMIS at ODU 03:30 PM


ODU -2.5 *****


WYO at UNLV 03:30 PM


WYO -8.5 *****


ILL at WIS 03:30 PM


WIS -24.0


OSU at MD 03:30 PM

OSU -29.5


VAN at MIZZ 03:30 PM


VAN +3.5


AUB at UGA 03:30 PM


AUB -10.0 *****


UNT at WKU 03:30 PM


UNT +28.5


APP at TROY 03:30 PM


APP +2.0 *****


ND at ARMY 03:30 PM

ARMY +14.0


TTU at OKST 03:30 PM


OKST -11.0


GT at VT 03:30 PM


VT -14.0 *****
 

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IDHO at TXST 04:00 PM


TXST +10.0 *****


STAN at ORE 04:00 PM


ORE +3.0


UTEP at FAU 06:00 PM


FAU -4.0 *****






GOOD LUCK CYA LATER FOR THE EVENING GAMES
 

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MTU at MRSH 07:00 PM


MRSH +8.0


O 60.0



LSU at ARK 07:00 PM

ARK +9.5 *****


U 46.5 *****



MINN at NEB 07:30 PM


MINN +6.0 ( BIG 10 UNDERDOG )


USC at WASH 07:30 PM


WASH -10.0 ( PAC 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR )


MISS at TAM 07:30 PM


MISS +8.0


MICH at IOWA 08:00 PM

IOWA +23.0 *****



ORST at UCLA 09:00 PM

ORST +10.5 *****


COLO at ARIZ 10:00 PM


COLO -17.5 ( PAC 12 BLOW OUT )


UNM at USU 10:15 PM


USU +1.0


CSU at AFA 10:15 PM


CSU +8.0


SDSU at NEV 10:30 PM


SDSU -21.5 *****


CAL at WSU 10:30 PM


WSU -17.0 *****
 

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Top 25 Capsules
November 12, 2016



IOWA CITY, Iowa (AP) Freshman Keith Duncan kicked a 33-yard field goal as time expired and Iowa stunned second-ranked Michigan 14-13 on Saturday night, damaging the Wolverines' playoff hopes.


Akrum Wadley had 115 yards rushing for the Hawkeyes (6-4, 4-3 Big Ten) in their first victory over a top-five team in six years.


Michigan (9-1, 6-1, No. 3 CFP) appeared to have the game wrapped up on Channing Stribling's interception with 1:54 left. But the Hawkeyes' defense stuffed the Wolverines, and a facemask penalty put Iowa at Michigan's 36 with 1:23 to go.


Duncan then drilled the ball through the uprights from nearly the exact same spot where Daniel Murray hit the winner eight years ago to knock Penn State out of the national title picture.


But Michigan is still very much alive, in part because No. 3 Clemson and No. 4 Washington also lost Saturday.

PITTSBURGH 43, NO. 3 CLEMSON 42



CLEMSON, S.C. (AP) - Chris Blewitt made a 48-yard field goal with 6 seconds left and Pittsburgh stunned Clemson 43-42, spoiling a record-setting day for quarterback Deshaun Watson and complicating the Tigers' path back to the College Football Playoff.


It was the biggest win for the Panthers (5-4, 3-4 Atlantic Coast Conference) since knocking off then-No. 2 West Virginia 13-9 in 2007.


Watson threw for an ACC-record 580 yards and three touchdowns. But his third interception gave Pitt the chance to crawl back from a 42-34 deficit. After Saleem Brightwell's pick and 70-yard return, James Conner finished the drive with a 20-yard TD run.


The Panthers' defense, which gave up 630 yards, stopped Wayne Gallman short on third and fourth down to take the ball with 58 seconds left. Two passes to Scott Orndoff put Pitt within range and Blewitt nailed the kick to send the Panthers into a frenzy.


SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 26, NO. 4 WASHINGTON 13


SEATTLE (AP) - Sam Darnold threw for 287 yards and two touchdowns and Southern California upset Washington, snapping the Huskies' 12-game winning streak and damaging their College Football Playoff hopes.


Darnold was outstanding against one of the top defenses in the Pac-12, showing why USC has surged since he became the starter. Darnold's lofted pass over linebacker D.J. Beavers and into the arms of tight end Daniel Imatorbhebhe for an 8-yard touchdown strike in the opening moments of the fourth quarter gave USC an 11-point lead that Washington (9-1, 6-1 Pac-12, No. 4 CFP) couldn't overcome.


Ronald Jones II added 93 yards rushing and a touchdown. USC (7-3, 6-2, No. 20 CFP) won its sixth straight. The Trojans also kept alive their slim hopes of winning the Pac-12 South.


Darreus Rogers had six catches for 84 yards and a touchdown, while Imatorbhebhe added five catches for 78 yards. Washington lost starting middle linebacker Azeem Victor in the second quarter to a lower right leg injury that required an air cast and a cart to take the Huskies' leading tackler off the field. But his absence was felt more in the pass game where USC exploited the middle of the field.


Washington quarterback Jake Browning was 17 of 36 for 259 yards, including a 70-yard scoring pass to John Ross. Ross finished with eight catches for 154 yards.

NO. 1 ALABAMA 51, MISSISSIPPI STATE 3



TUSCALOOSA, Ala. (AP) - Jalen Hurts passed for career highs of 347 yards and four touchdowns and ran for 100 yards in less than three quarters in Alabama victory over Mississippi State.


The freshman quarterback's prolific performance wiped out any concerns that the Crimson Tide (10-0, 7-0 Southeastern Conference, No. 1 CFP) would have a letdown after a bruising win at No. 19 LSU. Instead, Hurts turned in his best game and the defense denied Mississippi State (4-6, 2-4) the end zone on nine trips across midfield.


Hurts is the first Alabama player to have 300 yards passing and 100 yards rushing in the same game.


Hurts completed 28 of 37 passes and rushed for a fifth touchdown before being replaced by Cooper Bateman late in the third quarter. The career performance was marred by an interception and fumble, but the Tide's dominating defense made sure the miscues didn't matter too much.


ArDarius Stewart was the biggest beneficiary of the passing revival, scoring three touchdowns. Stewart gained 156 yards on eight catches, including a 67-yard sprint on a jet sweep.


NO. 5 LOUISVILLE 44, WAKE FOREST 12


LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) - Brandon Radcliff ran for three touchdowns during Louisville's 41-point second half, and the Cardinals routed Wake Forest despite a relatively quiet night from Lamar Jackson.


Louisville (9-1, 7-1 Atlantic Coast Conference, No. 6 CFP) trailed 12-0 behind three lost first-half fumbles before shutting down the Demon Deacons, holding them to just 37 yards after halftime. That opened the door for Radcliff to run for 141 yards and TDs of 55, 7 and 19 yards.


Jackson appeared headed for his first scoreless game since Nov. 14 against Virginia before completing a 2-yard pass to Cole Hikutini with 4:05 left for one of Louisville's five touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Ronald Walker also had a 31-yard interception return for a TD in the final period, and Malik Williams added a 2-yard run with 50 seconds left.


Jackson rushed for a game-high 153 yards on 22 carries, but he was held to 145 yards passing.


NO. 6 OHIO STATE 62, MARYLAND 3


COLLEGE PARK, Md. (AP) - J.T. Barrett accounted for four touchdowns, Curtis Samuel scored three TDs and Ohio State enjoyed another lopsided victory.


Coming off a 62-3 roput of then-No. 10 Nebraska, the Buckeyes led 21-3 after the first quarter and 45-3 at halftime. Unlike last week, this blowout was no surprise because it came against a struggling team with quarterback issues and a porous defense.


Ohio State (9-1, 6-1 Big Ten, No. 5 CFP) has won three straight to remain in contention for the Big Ten title and, more importantly, a berth in the College Football Playoff. Maryland (5-5, 2-5) has been outscored 121-6 over the last two weeks and given up 163 points during its three-game losing streak.


With Barrett and Samuel leading the way, the Buckeyes eliminated any potential drama by scoring touchdowns on three of their four possessions in the first quarter.

NO. 7 WISCONSIN 48, ILLINOIS 3



MADISON, Wis. (AP) - Corey Clement ran for 123 yards and three touchdowns and Wisconsin intercepted four of Illinois quarterback Jeff George Jr.'s passes.


Dare Ogunbowale added 103 yards on seven carries for the Badgers (8-2, 5-2 Big Ten, No. 7 CFP). They rushed for a season-high 363 yards as a team.


Safety Leo Musso had two interceptions for the Badgers.


Wisconsin led by 18 after the first quarter with two scores from Clement, and 31-3 at the half on a homecoming weekend at Camp Randall Stadium. Illinois (3-7, 2-5) had just 60 yards and three first downs in the second half.


GEORGIA 13, NO. 8 AUBURN 7

ATHENS, Ga. (AP) - Rodrigo Blankenship kicked two fourth-quarter field goals and Georgia's defense shut down Auburn in the second half.


The loss ended Auburn's Southeastern Conference championship hopes and knocked the Tigers (7-3, 5-2 SEC, No. 9 CFP) out of consideration for a spot in the playoff.


The Tigers couldn't overcome the loss of star running back Kamryn Pettway, the nation's No. 4 rusher who hurt his left leg on a long run in last week against Vanderbilt.


Auburn was held to 32 yards in the second half and 164 overall.


Georgia (6-4, 4-4) earned its biggest win under first-year coach Kirby Smart. After Blankenship's 21-yard field goal with 2:25 remaining, Auburn was stopped on four downs, triggering a celebration in the stands and on Georgia's sideline.


NO. 9 OKLAHOMA 45, NO. 25 BAYLOR 24


NORMAN, Okla. (AP) - Baker Mayfield passed for 300 yards and two touchdowns and ran for another score to help Oklahoma beat Baylor.


The Sooners (8-2, 7-0 Big 12, No. 11 CFP) won their seventh in a row overall and 15th straight in Big 12 play. Joe Mixon had 187 yards from scrimmage and Samaje Perine ran for 100 yards and two touchdowns after missing three games with a pulled muscle in his right leg for Oklahoma .


Baylor (6-3, 3-3) had hoped to bounce back after a 62-22 loss to TCU. Instead, the Bears are on their first three-game losing streak since the middle of the 2012 season.


Baylor quarterback Seth Russell severely dislocated his left ankle and was carted off the field with 5:48 left in the third quarter.

MISSISSIPPI 29, NO. 10 TEXAS A&M 28



COLLEGE STATION, Texas (AP) - Shea Patterson threw for 338 yards and two touchdowns in his debut and Gary Wunderlich made a 39-yard field goal with 37 seconds left to lift Mississippi past Texas A&M.


The Rebels pulled the redshirt off Patterson, the highly regarded recruit, to start in place of Chad Kelly, who suffered a season-ending knee injury last week.


Mississippi (5-5, 2-4 Southeastern Conference) trailed by 15 entering the fourth quarter before Patterson got going.


A 13-yard touchdown reception by Josh Reynolds put A&M up 28-19. Patterson then connected with Van Jefferson on a 32-yard reception for his second TD pass of the quarter to cut the lead to 28-26 with 5:17 remaining. A&M (7-3, 4-3) had to punt and Patterson moved the offense into position for Wunderlich's game-winning field goal.


The Aggies had a chance to win it late, but Jake Hubenak's pass was intercepted by Deontay Anderson to secure the victory. Hubenak was making his first start this season in place of Trevor Knight, who injured his shoulder last week.

NO. 11 WEST VIRGINIA 24, TEXAS 20



AUSTIN, Texas (AP) - Kennedy McCoy ran for two touchdowns and West Virginia's defense withstood a final pass attempt into the end zone to hold off Texas.


Skyler Howard passed for 269 yards and a touchdown to help West Virginia (8-1, 5-1 Big 12, No. 16 CFP) keep its conference title hopes alive. The Mountaineers gave up 167 yards rushing to D'Onta Foreman but kept him out of the the end zone.


Texas (5-5, 3-4) had one last shot to win on the final play when Shane Buechele lobbed a pass high into the end zone but it floated too far and incomplete. Game officials checked replay to see if West Virginia had too many players on the field, but confirmed the play and the game was over.

NO. 12 PENN STATE 45, INDIANA 31



BLOOMINGTON, Ind. (AP) - Saquon Barkley ran for two go-ahead touchdowns in the fourth quarter, helping Penn State beat Indiana.


Barkley was held to 20 yards on 20 carries though the first three quarters. But the Big Ten's top rusher stepped up in the final period, and the Nittany Lions (8-2, 6-1, No. 10 CFP) keep pace with No. 2 Michigan in the East Division with their sixth consecutive victory.


First, Barkley found a hole for a 4-yard TD run that made it 28-24. After Indiana regained the lead on Richard Lagow's 40-yard touchdown pass to Nick Westbrook, Barkley ran over a defender for a 2-yard score with 3:58 left. Penn State sealed the win with a 9-yard fumble return for a TD with 29 seconds left.


Indiana (5-5, 3-4) had won two in a row.


NO. 17 OKLAHOMA STATE 45, TEXAS TECH 44


STILLWATER, Okla. (AP) - Clayton Hatfield missed the extra point after Quinton White's 1-yard scoring run for Texas Tech with 1:39 left, and Oklahoma State escaped with the victory.


Texas Tech (4-6, 2-5 Big 12) appeared to have overcome a 10-point deficit when White spun into the end zone on third-and-goal, but Hatfield's kick sailed wide right, leaving the Red Raiders down by one.


After Oklahoma State (8-2, 6-1, No. 13 CFP) recovered the onside kick attempt, the Cowboys marched quickly into the red zone, and resisted Tech's attempts to let them score before running out the clock.


Mason Rudolph threw for 395 yards and two touchdowns on 20-of-28 passing for Oklahoma State, and Justice Hill had 126 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. James Washington registered six receptions for 158 yards, including an 82-yard TD catch with 6 seconds left in the third quarter that put the Cowboys ahead 45-35. Tech's Patrick Mahomes completed 34 of 51 passes for 344 yards and three touchdowns


GEORGIA TECH 30, NO. 18 VIRGINIA TECH 20


BLACKSBURG, Va. (AP) - Georgia Tech backup quarterback Matthew Jordan rushed for 121 yards and two touchdowns to lead the Yellow Jackets past Virginia Tech.


Jordan made his first career start in place of an injured Justin Thomas, helping make the Yellow Jackets (6-4, 3-4 Atlantic Coast Conference) bowl eligible. He repeatedly gashed the Hokies' defense, carrying 32 times and scoring on runs of 53 and 3 yards.


Marcus Marshall added 143 yards rushing and a score.


Virginia Tech (7-3, 5-2, No. 14 CFP) missed a chance to clinch the ACC's Coastal Division.


NO. 19 LSU 38, ARKANSAS 10


FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. (AP) - Derrius Guice rushed for a career-high 252 yards, Leonard Fournette added three touchdowns and LSU improved to 4-1 under interim coach Ed Orgeron.


LSU (6-3, 4-2 Southeastern Conference, No. 24 CFP) was coming off a 10-0 loss to No. 1 Alabama.


Guice rushed for two touchdowns on 21 carries, and his 96-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the longest in school history. Fournette scored on runs of 7, 7 and 3 yards, and had 98 yards rushing.


The Tigers outgained Arkansas (6-4, 2-4, No. 25 CFP) 547-291 in total yardage, and LSU quarterback Danny Etling finished 10-of-16 passing for 157 yards.

NO. 21 NEBRASKA 24, MINNESOTA 17



LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) - Tommy Armstrong Jr. led a 91-yard tiebreaking touchdown drive after being helped off the field with an ankle injury the previous series, and Kieron Williams' interception with 1:29 left secured Nebraska's victory.


Armstrong, knocked unconscious in last week's loss at Ohio State, was cleared to start against the Gophers and was playing one of his best games in weeks when he injured his left ankle on a quarterback sneak late in the third quarter.


He came back to loud cheers on the Cornhuskers' early in the fourth and scored the go-ahead touchdown on a 13-yard run with 7:17 left. He stumbled into the end zone, came up hobbling again and was carried to the sideline by two offensive linemen.


Williams' intercepted Mitch Leidner's tipped pass after the Gophers had driven to the Nebraska 17, and backup quarterback Ryker Fyfe took the final snaps as the Huskers (8-2, 5-2 Big Ten) won for the first time in three games and a week after getting humiliated 62-3 at Ohio State.


Minnesota (7-3, 4-3) had its four-game win streak ended.

NO. 22 FLORIDA 20, SOUTH CAROLINA 7



GAINESVILLE, Fla. (AP) - Austin Appleby threw two touchdown passes, Jordan Scarlett ran for a career-high 134 yards and Florida beat South Carolina and former coach Will Muschamp, moving closer to clinching the Southeastern Conference's Eastern Division.


The banged-up Gators (7-2, 5-2) can secure a spot in the league title game by winning at LSU next week. It might be a long shot given Florida's injury situation.


Coach Jim McElwain lost nine starters the last two weeks, including four against the Gamecocks (5-5, 3-5). Safety Marcus Maye (shoulder), defensive end Bryan Cox Jr. (ankle), center Tyler Jordan (ankle) and right tackle David Sharpe (leg) all left the game and did not return.


NO. 24 BOISE ST 52, HAWAII 16


HONOLULU (AP) - Brett Rypien passed for 338 yards and four touchdowns for Boise State.


The Broncos (9-1, 5-1 Mountain West, No. 22 CFP) racked up a season-high 603 yards of total offense, 403 of them coming before halftime. Jeremy Nichols, the nation's leading scorer, ran for 153 yards on 16 carries and scored on runs of 36 and 5 yards. Rypien finished 18-of-22 passing.


Cedrick Wilson had seven receptions and 141 yards with a touchdown, and Thomas Sperbeck added five grabs for 114 yards and two scores. Paul Harris ran for 145 yards for Hawaii (4-7, 3-4).
 

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Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up the first part of the weekend


Wrapping up the first part of the sports weekend……..
13) Pitt 43, Clemson 42— Watson was 52-70/580 passing, but threw three INTs and Clemson didn’t score in 4th quarter. Panthers kicked 48-yard FG with 0:06 left to send everyone in Death Valley home unhappy.


12) UNLV 69, Wyoming 66 OT— Weird game. Rebels ran for 401 yards, totally dominated with their running game but still needed OT to beat lackluster Wyoming team that turned ball over four times. UNLV’s basketball team lost 76-68 Friday nite; the football team outscored them.


11) USC 26, Washington 13— Trojans are now 7-3 after a 1-3 start and Clay Helton has fought off the critics to lead his team to a decent season. Total upheaval in the top five this week, with Clemson, Washington, Michigan all losing Saturday. As for the Huskies, if your school color is purple, then wear purple jerseys (not black) for the biggest game of your season.


10) Miami Oh 35, Buffalo 24— Red Hawks started out this season 0-6, after being 5-19 the last two years, but have righted ship, won five games in a row and if they win their last game, they’ll be 6-6 and bowl eligible. Won’t be a great bowl, but when you were 0-6, any bowl will do. Three of their five wins came on the road; impressive turnaround.


9) Iowa 14, Michigan 13— Wolverines have now lost their last four visits to Iowa City, hadn’t won at Iowa since 2005. True freshman made a 33-yard FG at the gun to win it, in a game where neither side had 250 total yards. Kirk Ferentz had five state troopers around him after the game; I bet Iowa’s governor isn’t protected that well.


8) Albany 87, Penn State 81— Great Danes were supposed to open the season at Duke, but due to NY State not allowing anyone in state employ to do business in North Carolina because of the LGBT/bathroom issue, that game was cancelled and Albany scheduled Penn State instead, and they scored a solid road win.


7) Penn State 45, Indiana 31— Hoosiers (+7) led 31-28 with 5:00 left; Penn State scored a TD with 3:58 left, kicked a FG with 1:07 left that pushed the spread, but then, with 0:29 left, Penn State ran a fumble in from nine yards out for the covering TD, in a very brutal beat for Indiana backers.


6) South Florida 49, Memphis 42— After watching this game, I’m half-thinking that USF doesn’t have an actual offense; they just line up in spread, snap the ball and junior QB Flowers runs amok and makes something happen out of the chaos. Bulls have a lot of fast guys, but no wonder Florida State beat ‘em by three TD’s- they can match USF’s speed.


5) Georgia 13, Auburn 7— Hard to cover a 10.5-point spread if you score 7. Auburn gained a total of 164 yards on 54 plays- they had zero first downs in the second half. Some of these teams in the AAC, Big 12 get that in the first quarter of games. The SEC title game is going to be awful, probably a 20+ pointspread with Alabama ready to crush whoever shows up.


4) West Virginia 24, Texas 20— Mountaineers have four road games this year: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Texas and Iowa State— why are they in the Big X? It makes no sense for them not to play Va Tech, Pitt, Penn State, Maryland, Virginia- the teams close to them. Texas is 5-5 and people have to be wondering why they fired Mack Brown.


3) Louisville 44, Wake Forest 12— Deacons led this game 12-3 at the half, 12-10 after three quarters, so what we have here is a misleading final score.


2) Oklahoma 45, Baylor 24— Bears were 6-0 but have now lost three games in row, giving up 914 rushing yards and 142 points. Wonder if they’ll go to a bowl game. given the off-field issues the program has.


1) Ole Miss 29, Texas A&M 28— Freshman QB Shea Patterson, in his first college start, was 25-42/338 passing, as he rallied Rebels from down 21-6 for the unlikely win. You win on the road with a freshman making his first college start in November, that is solid coaching, especially since the kid drove the bus with his passing, he just didn’t hand off and manage the game.
 

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Saturday's best
November 12, 2016



STARS


-Jalen Hurts passed for career highs of 347 yards and four TDs, and rushed for 100 yards in less than three quarters in top-ranked Tide's 51-3 rout of Mississippi State.


-DeShaun Watson, Clemson, threw for an ACC record 580 yards and three TDs in the third-ranked Tigers' 43-42 loss to Pittsburgh.


-J.T. Barrett, Ohio State, accounted for four TDs to help the sixth-ranked Buckeyes rout Maryland 62-3.


-Derrius Guice, LSU, rushed for a career-high 252 yards to lead the No. 19 Tigers to a 38-10 win over Arkansas.


-Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma, passed for 300 yards and two TDs and ran for another score to help the No. 9 Sooners defeat No. 25 Baylor 45-24.


-Noah Johnson, Alcorn State, threw for seven TDs and 285 yards on 12 completions in a 61-7 win over Mississippi Valley State.


-Quinton Flowers, South Florida, accounted for five TDs and 473 yards in a 49-42 win over Memphis.


-Joshua Dobbs, Tennessee, accounted for 370 yards and five TDs as the Vols defeated Kentucky 49-36.


-Brandon Radcliff, Louisville, rushed for 141 yards and three TDs to help the No. 5 Cardinals roar past Wake Forest 44-12.


-Kurt Palandech, UNLV, accounted for 409 yards and four TDs in a 69-66 win over Wyoming.


-Alex Jeske, Dayton, accounted for 377 yards and six TDs in a 59-31 victory over Marist.


- Lenard Tillery, Southern, rushed for 245 yards on 29 carries in a 44-34 win over Prairie View A&M.


-lijah Ibitokun-Hanks, Albany, ran for a program-record 298 yards and three TDs in a 36-25 win over New Hampshire.


-Chris Walker, Cornell, ran for 230 yards and three TDs in a 42-40 win over Columbia.


-Tarik Cohen, North Carolina A&T, ran for 221 yards and two TDs in a 45-14 win over Delaware State.


-Thomas Koufie, Louisiana-Monroe, set a school record with five TDs and ran for 201 yards in a 37-23 win over Georgia State.


---


PLAYOFF SHAKEUP


Top-ranked Alabama easily won its game. The other three at the top of the College Football Playoff rankings all lost.


This is where the season gets interesting.


Chris Blewitt made a 48-yard field goal with six seconds left as the Panthers stunned No. 3 Clemson 43-42 for the first playoff shakeup game.


Later on Saturday, Sam Darnold threw for 287 yards and two touchdowns in a 26-13 win over No. 4 Washington , helping the Trojans snap the Huskies' 12-game winning streak.


Then No. 4 Michigan went down, losing 14-13 to Iowa on Keith Duncan's 33-yard field goal as time expired.


In case that wasn't enough, No. 8 Texas A&M, No. 9 Auburn and No. 14 Virginia Tech all lost, too.


---


HURTS LEADS TIDE


Alabama coach Nick Saban held a film session with Jalen Hurts this week to point out a few things to his young quarterback.


Hurts was clearly paying attention.


The freshman passed for career highs of 347 yards and four touchdowns and rushed for 100 yards in less than three quarters in No. 1 Alabama's 51-3 rout of Mississippi State. It put on display the potential of a passing game that had lately seemed the closest thing to a weakness for the Crimson Tide.


The win - coupled with Auburn's surprising loss at Georgia - also meant Alabama clinched the SEC West title.


Hurts' prolific performance wiped out any concerns that the Tide would have a letdown after a bruising win at No. 19 LSU. Instead, Hurts turned in his best game and the defense denied Mississippi State the end zone on nine trips across midfield.


Hurts is the first Alabama player to have 300 yards passing and 100 yards rushing in the same game, and he was flirting with both those milestones by halftime.


---


NUMBERS


12-Years since Oregon last had a losing record . The Ducks are 3-7 after a 52-27 loss to Stanford.


23-Games of Rhode Island's road losing streak before beating Elon 44-14.


59-Career rushing touchdowns by Fordham's Chase Edmonds , breaking the Patriot League record.


67-Points by Eastern Kentucky in its win over Austin Peay, matching a 91-year-old school record .


---


KEY INJURIES


No. 4 Washington and No. 25 Baylor lost key players to injuries.


Baylor quarterback Seth Russell is expected to miss the rest of the season after severely dislocating his left ankle during Saturday's 45-24 loss to No. 9 Oklahoma.


Replays of the gruesome injury showed his foot pointing straight to the side instead of forward. Russell missed much of last season after breaking a bone in his neck.


Washington linebacker Azeem Victor was carted off the field with his right leg stabilized after going down with an injury in the second quarter against Southern California.


Victor's leg twisted awkwardly as he helped stop USC's Justin Davis on a routine running play. Victor stayed down and medical staff for Washington rushed out to attend to him. His leg was placed in an air cast and he was sitting up in the cart as he was driven off the field.


---


MOUNT UNION'S STREAK ENDS


Mount Union's 112-game, NCAA record-setting winning streak is over.


Anthony Moeglin threw a 24-yard, go-ahead touchdown pass to William Woods with 39 seconds left, lifting John Carroll to a 31-28 win over the Purple Raiders.


The Division III powerhouse hadn't lost since Oct. 22, 2005, when a setback to Ohio Northern ended a 110-game winning streak that also lasted longer than a decade.
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:


11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900


TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 77 - 70 - 7 *****


BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 286-284-12 50.18% -13200


O/U Picks 100-108-4 48.08% -9400
 

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