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Boilermakers looking to stun Wisconsin
November 15, 2016



WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. (AP) With its losing skid at five and any hope for a bowl game eliminated, Purdue is seeking motivation with No. 6 Wisconsin coming to visit on Saturday and then a season-ending Nov. 26 date at rival Indiana.


Interim head coach Gerad Parker has seen his team (3-7, 1-6 Big Ten) play well during the first half against Nebraska, Penn State, Minnesota and Northwestern, only to be outscored 114-17 the rest of the way against those teams.


With lots of uncertainty about the program's future, primarily who will be coaching Purdue in 2017, it would be easy for some players and coaches to go through the motions these final two weeks.


Parker believes there's plenty of reason to be motivated, starting with the Badgers (8-2, 5-2).


''This week is fully and completely about our seniors,'' Parker said Tuesday. ''The staff has continued to work our tails off. The players have as well, and this week is about our seniors playing their last game in Ross-Ade Stadium. It's a chance for those seniors to play an unbelievable football team in Wisconsin. Those guys want to go out the right way.''


Purdue has won only one Big Ten home game - Nebraska in 2015 - during the seniors' careers and is 3-28 overall in conference play since 2013.


''It's been hard,'' Parker said, ''Sadly, the reason we are in this position is because of our past. Everything is contagious. Winning is contagious and losing is contagious. I've wanted to approach this week by week.''


Senior wide receiver Bilal Marshall said the opportunity to stun a top 10 team in his final home game would wipe away some of the frustrations of a four-year career in which Purdue has gone 9-37.


''We have to stick together and not be selfish,'' Marshall said. ''For us seniors, it's our last two weeks, and our last week in Ross-Ade against a big opponent and obviously, we haven't seen the Old Oaken Bucket in forever. For our younger guys, we want to finish strong because no one knows what's going to happen after these last two weeks.''


Sophomore quarterback David Blough leads the Big Ten in passing yards per game at 292.1, but he has been intercepted 16 times, one of the reasons the Boilermakers are tied for 126th among the 128 FBS programs in turnover margin at minus-16. Blough's three interceptions against Northwestern this past Saturday set up 17 Wildcats points in their 45-17 victory.


''We have been in position to succeed and have been coached well, but we haven't executed, especially on my behalf,'' Blough said.


NOTES: Purdue ranks last in Big Ten scoring defense (38.4), last in total defense (466.9 yards), 13th in rushing defense (248.8 yards) and 11th in pass defense (218.1 yards) ... Parker indicated Tuesday that DT Lorenzo Neal, OT Mike Mendez and RB Richie Worship likely will miss the Wisconsin game because of injuries ... Purdue has not beaten Wisconsin in Ross-Ade Stadium since 1997 ... Purdue has not won a game in November since beating Indiana in 2012.
 

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Auburn RB Pettway out for Saturday
November 15, 2016



AUBURN, Ala. (AP) Auburn's injury problems continue to deplete an offense that produced only one touchdown against Georgia, with the biggest playmaker still sidelined and quarterback Sean White questionable.


Coach Gus Malzahn said Tuesday that the Southeastern Conference's leading rusher Kamryn Pettway will miss his second straight game Saturday for the 18th-ranked Tigers against FCS opponent Alabama A&M with a left leg injury. He said he's hoping Pettway will be able to return for the regular season finale against No. 1 Alabama.


Malzahn is taking a wait-and-see approach before determining White's status against Alabama A&M.


White played in the 13-7 loss to Georgia and the second half against Vanderbilt despite an injury to his right, throwing shoulder and struggled badly against the Bulldogs. He said Sunday night that he aggravated the injury during the Georgia game.


''It'll be a kind of day to day, week to week deal,'' Malzahn said. ''Not ready to make a call one way or the other with him. We'll play him when he's healthy.''


White sat out the first half against Vanderbilt because of the injury before coming in and leading the Tigers to the win. He came into the Georgia game as the SEC's top-rated passer. Auburn trailed 13-10 at the half against Vandy without him.


Against Georgia, White was 6-of-20 passing for 27 yards and had an interception returned for a touchdown while the offense produced just 164 total yards. Those numbers include a handful of dropped passes, too, but his first nine attempts after halftime were either intercepted or incomplete.


White's only completions in the second half were two 4-yarders on the final drive. Backup John Franklin III didn't play in the half.


Malzahn said Auburn coaches talked to White at halftime and he could tell by '' that look in his eye'' that the quarterback wanted to play.


''I would have liked to have known if he was worse,'' Malzahn said. ''It would have been good to know. Moving forward, he'll communicate better. He's a tough guy and he's trying to win the game. It's a one-score game, and he felt like he could do it or he'd have said something.''


Those are just the two biggest of a litany of injuries to offensive players.


No. 2 rusher Kerryon Johnson has been nursing an ankle injury, but still gained 99 yards and scored the only offensive touchdown against Georgia. Freshman Malik Miller has missed the last five games with a knee injury, but Malzahn said he is practicing this week.


Safety Johnathan Ford is working at running back, where he started his college career.


Running back Stanton Truitt hurt an ankle early in the Georgia game and will also miss the Alabama A&M game. Malzahn said he's hoping he'll be able to return against Alabama.


H-back Chandler Cox will miss the Alabama A&M game with a leg injury. Receiver/punt returner Marcus Davis is out for the final two regular season games with a shoulder injury.
 

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Wednesday’s games


Ball State lost its last three games, allowing 561 yards, 45 pts/game, but all three of those games were on road- they’re 3-2 SU on road, 3-0 vs spread as road underdogs, with losses on road 30-20 at Indiana, 24-21 at Central Michigan. Cardinals lost five of last seven games with Toledo; favorites are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Toledo is 2-2 as a home favorite this year, winning home games by 35-7-14 points- they lost to Ohio at home. Rockets could be looking ahead to next week’s game with unbeaten Western Michigan. MAC home favorites are 6-15 vs spread this season.


Eastern Michigan became bowl eligible LW after going 7-41 the last four years; Eagles allowed 38 pts/game the last three weeks, but lost last two home games by 15-13 points. EMU covered six of last seven games, is 5-1 as an underdog this year. Northern Illinois won its last eight games with Eagles (6-2 vs spread), running ball for 327.3 yds/game the last three years. NIU is playing first road game in 39 days; they scored 89 points in winning last two games after starting season 1-6. NIU is 2-1 as a favorite this season. MAC home underdogs are 6-10 vs spread.
 

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Wednesday’s six-pack



— Kentucky 69, Michigan State 48— Spartans start out 0-2.




— Baylor 66, Oregon 49— Ducks’ best player didn’t play.




— Indiana State 80, Ball State 74 OT— Good win for Larry Bird’s alma mater




— Dayton 77, Alabama 72— Crimson Tide is lot better than they were last year.




— South Carolina 70, Monmouth 69 OT— Will games like this serve the Hawks well at MAAC tourney in March?




— George Washington 77, Siena 75— Rough day/night for the MAAC, going 1-6, with only win against Dartmouth.




Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….




13) Jared Goff gets his long-awaited first start for the Rams this week against the Dolphins. LA scored one TD on its last 32 drives, so the bar has been set low for improvement over his predecessor.




12) 30 years ago today was November 16, 1986, Jim Everett’s debut with the Rams. He didn’t start, but rallied the Rams back from down 13-0 to lead New England 28-16, but the day didn’t have a happy ending. Patriots scored on a Hail Mary on the last play of the game to win 30-28.




I hope this Sunday has a happier ending.




11) Trivia: Steve Dils started that ’86 game at QB for the Rams, one of only nine games he started for LA.




10) ESPN’s college basketball marathon was last couple nights; very difficult to keep a normal sleep schedule this week. The best games were oddly enough, the 4:15am/6:30am games, from Hawai’i and Hartford.




Long time ago, maybe 25 years ago, friend of mine and I used to joke that “….if ESPN wanted teams to play at 3am, they would”, then it turned out to be true, for at least one night a year.




9) Northeastern 64, UConn 61— Huskies are 0-2 for first time since 1968.




8) New Hampshire 57, Temple 52— Owls lost two players to injuries during the summer, are down this year, but losing to New Hampshire is especially ominous.




7) Gonzaga 69, San Diego State 48— Been long time since the Aztecs got spanked like this; they’ve got lot of injuries right now, and maybe Gonzaga is really good, but this was a bad game.




6) Underdogs were 9-3 vs spread in NFL Sunday, making it a very good day for Las Vegas sportsbooks. Public bets favorites and with eight underdogs winning SU, they had a rough day Sunday.




5) Seattle-New England game on NBC Sunday night was highest-rated Week 10 game since 1998.




4) Giants’ six wins are by a total of 21 points; they’re 3-1 this year in games decided by 3 or less points, after being 2-10 in such games from 2012-15.




3) Minnesota Vikings cut kicker Blair Walsh, who missed eight kicks this year and also a big kick in their playoff loss to the Seahawks last year. He is expected to be replaced by former Redskins’ kicker Kai Forbath.




2) Maryland 76, Georgetown 75— Epic gag job by Hoyas, who led by 5 with 0:20 left. Big win for Mark Turgeon; I saw their first game against American and they didn’t look that good. This was an intense game.




1) Bengals/Falcons are only NFL teams who’ve started the same five offensive linemen in every game this season.
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:


11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900
11/15/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50


TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 78 - 701- 7 *****


BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 287-285-12 50.17% -13250


O/U Picks 100-108-4 48.08% -9400
 

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Sharps are closely monitoring these Week 12 college football games


Illinois is averaging 27.3 points per game on 5.7 yards per play at home this year.


Spread to bet now:


Illinois (+10) vs. Iowa



This line opened at +11.5 and was quickly bet down to the key number of +10. This is a major flat spot for Iowa as they just won straight-up 14-13 as a +24 point home underdog versus Michigan, and now the Hawkeyes are laying points on the road. Iowa has only won once by more than 7 points on the road this season.


Illinois is coming off a blowout loss at Wisconsin last week, but the Illini played well in their previous home game, winning outright 31-27 versus Michigan State as a +9.5 point home dog. Illinois is averaging 27.3 points per game on 5.7 yards per play at home this year. The Illini also have a solid rushing attack that averages 5.2 yards per carry in all games this season (versus opponents that allow just 4.7 ypr).


Spread to wait on:


Arizona State (+26.5) at Washington


This line opened at +25 and was quickly bet higher to +26.5. The public will likely play the big favorite, so wait for the possibility of the key numbers of +27 or +28 appearing. Many will expect Washington to bounce back after their first loss of the season, but historically teams that lose their first game this late in the season suffer a letdown. The Huskies might have eliminated themselves from the national playoff picture with their 26-13 home loss versus USC last weekend.


Arizona State has dominated this series, going a perfect 10-0 SU/ATS versus Washington since 2002, and the Sun Devils are catching the Huskies at a good time this week. Despite just a 2-5 SU conference record this season, Arizona State has not lost any game by more than 24 points.


Total to watch:


Oregon at Utah (70.5)



Oregon is just 3-7 SU this season and a terrible 1-8 ATS, but they are 7-3 to the Over. The Ducks have a solid offense that is averaging 37.1 points per game on 6.6 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 28.9 ppg and 5.9 yppl). However, Oregon's defense has been horrendous, allowing 43.5 points per game on 6.5 yards per play (versus opponents that average just 32.9 ppg and 5.8 yppl).


Utah enters this game on a 3-0 Over run, scoring 49 points or more in two of their past three games. Overall, the Utes are averaging 31.2 points per game (versus opponents that allow just 30.8 ppg). Utah should have continued offensive success against an Oregon defense that has allowed 45.7 points per game on the road this season. The Over is a perfect 3-0 the past three years in this head-to-head series with an average of 75 total points scored per game.
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 12


Wednesday, November 16


Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan



Game 307-308
November 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
76.539
Eastern Michigan
81.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 4 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 3
63.5
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(+3); Under


Ball State @ Toledo



Game 305-306
November 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
73.458
Toledo
84.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 11 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 21
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+21); Over









NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 12


Wed – Nov. 16


Ball State at Toledo, 7:00 PM ET

Ball St: 0-7 ATS after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games
Toledo: 76-51 ATS as a favorite


Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan, 8:00 PM ET
N Illinois: 67-41 ATS in road lined games
E Michigan: 17-33 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins








NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 12


Wednesday’s games



Ball State lost its last three games, allowing 561 yards, 45 pts/game, but all three of those games were on road- they’re 3-2 SU on road, 3-0 vs spread as road underdogs, with losses on road 30-20 at Indiana, 24-21 at Central Michigan. Cardinals lost five of last seven games with Toledo; favorites are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Toledo is 2-2 as a home favorite this year, winning home games by 35-7-14 points- they lost to Ohio at home. Rockets could be looking ahead to next week’s game with unbeaten Western Michigan. MAC home favorites are 6-15 vs spread this season.


Eastern Michigan became bowl eligible LW after going 7-41 the last four years; Eagles allowed 38 pts/game the last three weeks, but lost last two home games by 15-13 points. EMU covered six of last seven games, is 5-1 as an underdog this year. Northern Illinois won its last eight games with Eagles (6-2 vs spread), running ball for 327.3 yds/game the last three years. NIU is playing first road game in 39 days; they scored 89 points in winning last two games after starting season 1-6. NIU is 2-1 as a favorite this season. MAC home underdogs are 6-10 vs spread.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 16


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BALL at TOL 07:00 PM


BALL +20.0 *****


O 69.0 *****/I]



NIU at EMU 08:00 PM


NIU -1.0 *****


U 63.0 *****
 

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ACC Report - Week 12
November 15, 2016





2016 ACC STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Boston College 4-6 1-6 3-6-1 4-6


Clemson 9-1 6-1 5-5 4-6


Duke 4-6 1-5 7-3 2-8


Florida State 7-3 4-3 5-4 5-4


Georgia Tech 6-4 3-4 4-4-1 5-3-1


Louisville 9-1 7-1 5-4-1 7-3


Miami (Fla.) 6-4 3-3 6-4 5-5


North Carolina 7-3 5-2 6-4 4-6


North Carolina State 5-5 2-4 7-3 4-5-1


Pittsburgh 6-4 3-3 4-6 9-1


Syracuse 4-6 2-4 4-6 2-8


Virginia 2-8 1-5 4-5-1 3-6-1


Virginia Tech 7-3 5-2 4-6 5-5


Wake Forest 6-4 3-3 6-4 4-6


Louisville at Houston (Thurs. - ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)


Louisville, newly ranked No. 6 in the College Football Playoff rankings, steps out of conference to face Houston. Remember earlier in the season many figured this would be a huge game for Louisville, as Houston was expected to be ranked and perhaps unbeaten by this point? Well, Houston failed to live up to their end of the bargain with losses at Navy and at SMU. The Cougars have failed to cover in five straight entering this contest, and this game could get away from them if they play like they did in their past two wins against UCF and Tulane. Louisville might have been caught looking ahead last week against Wake Forest, as they looked very sluggish until the fourth quarter when they came alive and outscored Wake 34-0 to win 44-12. But the score is certainly not indicative of how close the game was for about 45-50 minutes. Louisville is 1-2-1 ATS in their past four road outings, and 2-4 ATS in their past six games overall.
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Virginia at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)


Virginia has eight losses and they're already thinking about next season. Meanwhille, the Ramblin' Wreck tossed a monkey wrench into the Coastal Division standings with an upset of Virginia Tech last weekend, and they become bowl eligible as a result. Now, they look to improve their bowl situation with a win over a team they are favored to beat by 10 1/2 as of Wednesday morning. The Cavaliers are 6-1-2 ATS in their past nine road games dating back to last season. More importantly, though, and more recently, they're 1-4 ATS in their past five conference battles, 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 1-4 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning overall mark. Something's gotta give, as the Yellow Jackets are 2-5 ATS in their past seven at home and 3-11-1 ATS in their past 15 conference tilts while going 1-4 ATS in their past five aginst teams with a losing overall mark. The favorite is 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 meetings in this series, the home team is 16-4-1 ATS in the past 21 battles and the Cavs are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 trips to Bobby Dodd Stadium in the ATL.


Miami-Florida at North Carolina State (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)


The Hurricanes look to continue their rebound, taking on a Jekyll and Hyde N.C. State team in Raleigh. The Hurricanes started out 4-0 SU/ATS, went 0-4 SU/ATS in their next four, and now they have won and covered their past two. That includes an impressive 51-28 win against Pittsburgh, the team that knocked Clemson from the ranks of the unbeaten last week. Miami has the tools to be a very dangerous team on any given week, but consistency has been key, and complacency when things do not go their way. N.C. State is just one win away from bowl eligibility after a win at Syracuse last weekend, stopping a three-game losing streak which included a loss to a bad Boston College team. Yet, this is also a Wolfpack team which just missed at Clemson, and was sunk late by Florida State two weeks ago. N.C. State can also play with most teams in the nation on any day, but they can be awfully bad some weeks, too. The Wolfpack enter 5-1 ATS in their past six at home, while the 'under' is 5-1 over their past six games.


Connecticut at Boston College (ACC Network, 1:00 p.m.)


Believe it or not, Boston College can still become bowl eligible, and they're favored by a touchdown this weekend in their quest for a fifth victory. UConn has already waved bye-bye to bowl eligibility and all of the vital extra practices that come with that postseason game. Connecticut has been terrible in their past 27 non-conference games, going 6-18-3 ATS, and they're 6-17-3 AST in their past 26 against teams with a losing record and 6-19-1 ATS in their past 26 on the road. The Huskies are also 4-17 ATS in their past 21 on fieldturf. B.C. has covered just one of their past five overall, and they're 1-8-2 ATS in their past 11 at home. However, they are an impressive 4-1-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles.


Duke at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)


Duke picked up a huge win last week against North Carolina, securing the Victory Bell trophy from their rivals from Chapel Hill. Duke still has a lot of work to do if they want to become bowl eligible, and they face a big hurdle in Pittsburgh against a Panthers team which upended Clemson last week. Duke heads into this game 4-0 ATS in their past four ACC games, and 5-0 ATS in their past five overall. They're also 4-1 ATS in their past five away from Wallace Wade Stadium. Meanwhile, Pitt, an eight-point favorite, is just 5-16 ATS in their past 21 at home and 0-5 ATS in their past five home games against a team with a losing road record. Pitt steamrolled Duke 31-13 in Durham last season, lost a 51-48 2 OT thriller in the Steel City in 2014 and lost 58-55 at home Sept. 21, 2013. These teams are very familiar with each other, but Pitt is trending a bit more upward this season


Florida State at Syracuse (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)


Florida State heads to the Carrier Dome looking for their eighth victory of the season. The Seminoles have bounced back with two wins at N.C. State and at home against Boston College after their narrow loss to Clemson Oct. 29. They'll get the best from the Orange, who need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. Syracuse is 4-0 ATS in their past four at home against teams with a winning road record. Florida State is 5-2-1 ATS in their past eight road outings against a team with a losing home record, however, and 5-1 ATS in their past six games in the month of November.


Virginia Tech at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m.)


The Hokies step out of conference after a frustrating and costly loss to Georgia Tech last weekend. Meanwhile, Notre Dame got well by humping up on Army in San Antonio last weekend by a 44-6 count. The Irish kept their slim bowl hopes alive with the win. The Irish have shown flashes of brilliance on offense this season, posting 27 or more points in each of their past three, and eight of their 10 games this season. However, they're 2-5 ATS in their past seven non-conference games. They are 4-0 ATS in their past four home games against a team with a winning road record, though. Va. Tech is a dismal 1-4 ATS in their past five road outings, 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts and 0-7 ATS in their past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. The Irish are favored by just one point as of Wednesday morning. They are just 1-3 SU in their past four games in the shadow of Touchdown Jesus, and 1-3 ATS in those four true home games.


The Citadel at North Carolina (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)


North Carolina steps out of conference, and out of FBS, to take on a good team from The Citadel which is 10-0 overall and 8-0 in the Southern Conference. The Bulldogs have run the football well this season, and that is one area the Tar Heels have had difficulty this season. UNC struggled defensively against James Madison, another run-heavy FCS team, earlier in the season. While UNC is not expected to lose, they might struggle to cover a big number, too. There is no line on the game currently, but check back Saturday AM.


Clemson at Wake Forest (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)


Clemson suffered its first loss of the season last weekend, losing 43-42 to unranked Pittsburgh in Death Valley. But as luck has it, Michigan and Washington also suffered setbacks, and the loss wasn't as costly to the Tigers. Clemson is still ranked No. 4 in the CFP, but cannot afford any additional slip ups. Wake Forest has been one of the biggest surprises in the ACC, already bowl eligible at 6-4. They are more than a three-touchdown underdog at home despite the fact Clemson is a dismal 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight trips to Winston-Salem. The 'under' is 4-1 in the past five meetings at Wake, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall in this series.
 

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Big 12 Report - Week 12
November 15, 2016





2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Baylor 6-3 3-3 2-7 2-7


Iowa State 2-8 1-6 6-4 6-4


Kansas 1-9 0-7 4-6 4-6


Kansas State 5-4 3-3 3-6 4-5


Oklahoma 8-2 7-0 4-6 5-5


Oklahoma State 8-2 6-1 6-4 7-3


Texas 5-5 3-4 6-4 4-6


Texas Christian 5-4 3-3 2-7 5-4


Texas Tech 4-6 2-5 7-3 5-5


West Virginia 8-1 5-1 4-5 3-6




Kansas State at Baylor (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)


K-State heads down to Baylor looking for that all-important sixth victory and bowl eligibility, and they'll face a team which just lost its starting quarterback. QB Seth Russell suffered a gruesome left ankle fracture which required season-ending surgery, so true freshman Zach Smith will take the reins of the offense. The Bears are a 2 1/2-point underdog as of Wednesday morning, and Smith is a bit of an unknown entering the game. He misfired on nine of his 15 attempts last week, but posted 144 yards and a touchdown, too. K-State is 1-4 ATS in their past five road games and 1-5 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning overall record. While Baylor is 29-12 ATS in their past 41 home games, they have covered just once in the past five league games with Russell, and they're 1-4 ATS in their past five overall. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six and the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall.


Oklahoma State at Texas Christian (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)


TCU hosts OK State looking to become bowl eligible in mid-November. In recent seasons, TCU has not only been eligible for a bowl by now, they have been in the playoff conversation. OK State already has eight victories, and they're looking to improve their bowl possibility. They enter as a four-point underdog as of Wednesday morning. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning overall record, while the Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their past six league games and 0-5 ATS in their past five in Fort Worth.


Texas Tech at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)


Texas Tech looks to keep its bowl hopes alive in Ames, and it won't be easy despite Iowa State's 2-8 overall record. The Cyclones have been a tough out this season, even for good teams, going 4-0 ATS in their past four home games and 6-2 ATS in their past eight overall. They're also 5-2 ATS in their past seven Big 12 outings. The Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their past four against teams with a losing overall record, 5-1 ATS in their past six on the road and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 league games. In this series the road team has covered four of the past five. The Red Raiders enter the week as a field goal favorite, and that line is holding steady as of Wednesday morning.


Texas at Kansas (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)


The Longhorns look for bowl eligibility, and they find it in Lawrence. Texas is up to a 23 1/2-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. The Longhorns have had difficult on the road in recent seasons, going 3-7 ATS in their past 10 away from Austin. The Jayhawks are winless against FBS teams this season, and they're just 7-17 ATS in their past 24 overall, 5-13 ATS in their past 18 league games and 3-10 ATS in their past 13 against Texas. The 'under' has cashed in each of the past four meetings in Lawrence, and four of the past five meetings overall in this series. The under is also 23-9 in the past 32 league games for Texas.


Oklahoma at West Virginia (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)


Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown will be rocking Saturday night when Oklahoma pays a visit in what is shaping up as a de facto conference championship game. Oklahoma enters the game with two losses and no hopes of the four-team playoff, but they are unbeaten inside the Big 12. The road hasn't been kida to Oklahoma, however, at least in terms of ATS. They have covered just one of their past five on the road. The Mountaineers are 4-11 ATS in their past 15 against teams with a winning overall record, though, and 6-20 ATS in their past 26 at home against teams with a winning road mark.While trends lately point to the under, the over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series. The under is an impressive 13-4 in the past 17 at home for West Virginia, and 19-7 in their past 26 conference tilts. The over is 13-6-1 in Oklahoma's past 20 road outings, but 4-1 in their past five overall and 4-1 in their past five league outings.
 

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Pac-12 Report - Week 12
November 16, 2016



2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Arizona 2-8 0-7 1-9 6-4


Arizona State 5-5 2-5 5-5 6-4


California 4-6 2-5 4-6 7-3


Colorado 8-2 6-1 9-1 4-6


Oregon 3-7 1-6 1-8-1 7-3


Oregon State 2-8 1-6 7-3 5-5


Southern California 7-3 6-2 6-4 2-8


Stanford 7-3 5-3 6-4 3-7


UCLA 4-6 2-5 4-6 4-5-1


Utah 8-2 5-2 6-4 6-4


Washington 9-1 6-1 5-5 8-2


Washington State 8-2 7-0 6-4 6-4




Oregon at Utah (Pac-12 Network, 2:00 p.m. ET)


Oregon is no longer eligible for a bowl, but they still remain a danger for Utah, especially due to their high-octane offense. Oregon has rolled up 32 or more points in seven of the past eight games. Their problem hasn't been on offense, but it's their inability to stop people on defense. Oregon has allowed 35 or more points in eight of their 10 outings, and they're just 1-8-1 ATS overall. For Utah, they have covered three in a row, and six of their past eight. They emasculated Oregon last season 62-20 in Eugene, and they're hoping to do the same this season. Utah is a 12-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. The 'over' cashed in that game for Utah, and the over is 3-0 in their past three and the over is 6-2 in their past eight outings while going 9-1 in Oregon's past 10 league games and 6-1 in their past seven overall.


Washington State at Colorado (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)


Thanks to Washington's loss last week against USC, the Washington State Cougars ascended to the top of the North Division standings. The Cougars still have the Huskies on the schedule in the Apple Cup, their annual rivalry, but they certainly cannot look past the 10th-ranked Buffaloes in Boulder this weekend. Colorado is a 4-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. The Buffaloes are an impressive 9-1 ATS in 10 games this season. Washington State is 9-1 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a winning overall record, and 15-5 ATS in 20 games overall dating back to last season. They're also 7-3 ATS in their past 10 away from the Palouse. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six battles.


Stanford at California (Pac-12 Network, 5:30 p.m. ET)


It's time for the 118th installment of the 'Big Game', and everyone remembers in 1982 when the Stanford band came on the field during 'The Play'. That won't be a problem in Berkeley this season, as the Stanford band has had a travel ban all season and they are not allowed to travel across the bay for this rivalry game. Stanford's offense will be there, however, and they got well last week at Oregon in a 52-27 victory. After struggling through mid-October, the Cardinal have come alive over the past three games averaging 37.3 points per game (PPG). The 'over' for Stanford last week was their first since Oct. 8, a span of five games. Cal is on a three-game slide and they need to win this week and never week against UCLA to qualify for a bowl game. Cal is 1-4 ATS in their past five games, but they are 3-1 ATS in four home games.


Arizona State at Washington (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)


The Huskies look to bounce back after last weekend's setback against USC, and Washington is expected to recover since they're installed as 26 1/2-point favorites as of Wednesday morning. AZ State is on quite the slide, opening the season 5-1 SU, but they have dropped four in a row and need a win this week or next week at rival Arizona to become bowl eligible. The Sun Devils are 1-3 ATS in their past four games, and 0-4 ATS in four road games this season. Washington is also 1-3 ATS in their past four games overall, and last weekend's loss was the first 'under' after a run of six straight 'over' results. The over is 8-2 in 10 games overall for U-Dub. The over has cashed in three in a row for the Sun Devils, thanks mostly to their flagging defense which has allowed an average of 46.7 PPG in the past three outings.


Southern California at UCLA (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)


Years ago the battle of Los Angeles used to be a highly anticipated rivalry game on the national level. Whether it is USC or UCLA not playing at a top level, this game has taken a backseat to some of the other rivalries on the college football schedule. But this is a very heated game on the gridiron, regardless of records, as all of these kids have a deep knowledge of each other from playing against each other, sometimes growing up together, etc. It sounds rather cliche', but you really do need to toss out the record in games like this. Clay Helton lead the Trojans to a giant road win at Washington last weekend, shaking up the CFP, and they are installed as a 10 1/2-point favorite for this one. USC is 4-0 ATS in their past four conference games, but 2-6 ATS in their past eight on the road. Of course, last weekend's game was in Seattle, so that trend proved meaningless. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series, and the Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to the Rose Bowl. Can they prove that trend meaningless, too?


Arizona at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)


Two cellar-dwelling 2-8 clubs take the field at Reser Stadium in Corvallis Saturday night. While Arizona has been in the tank, Oregon State has actually been pretty competitive and a strong play at the betting window. Arizona heads into this game 3-13 ATS in their past 16 dating back to last season, 0-6 ATS in their past six conference games and 0-6 ATS in their past six road games. Oregon State is 4-0 ATS in their past four at home, 5-1 ATS in their past six conference tilts and 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall. The 'over' has been the overwhelming trend for both sides lately, going 5-1 in Arizona's past six road games and 7-2 in their past nine conference battles. The over is 7-3 in Oregon State's past 10 league outings and 5-2 in their past seven aganst teams with a losing record. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Corvallis, and 4-1 in the past five in this series. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their past eight trips to Corvallis while the Wildcats are just 3-12 ATS in the past 15 meetings overall.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOV. 16


Matchup Skinny Edge


BALL STATE at TOLEDO...Ball fading, no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 this season. Though Cards are 4-1 vs. line away TY. Ball had covered three straight in series prior to LY. Rockets 3-2 laying DD TY, 6-2 in role since LY.
Toledo, based on recent trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN... Eagles now 8-1 vs. line last nine TY! NIU surging a bit itself, 3-1-1 vs. line last 4 TY, also 8-1 vs. spread last nine as MAC visitor.
Slight to EMU, based on recent trends.

THURSDAY, NOV. 17


Matchup Skinny Edge


LOUISVILLE at HOUSTON... UH won LY at Papa John’s 34-31, and Cougs 7-0-1 as dog since 2014, 11-1-1 since 2013. Though UH no covers last 5 TY and 0-4-1 vs. line at TDECU Stadium. Just 5-12-1 vs. line at new stadium since 2014. Petrino has only covered 2 of last 6 TY.
Slight to Houston, based on team trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at TROY...Red Wolves rolling again with wins and covers last four TY, they also closed fast in 2015 when covering 6 of last 7. Ark St 23-9 vs. spread last seven games of reg season since 2012. Also 5-1 last six as Sun Belt dog.
Arkansas State, based on recent trends.

FRIDAY, NOV. 19


Matchup Skinny Edge


MEMPHIS at CINCINNATI ...Tuberville 1-7 vs. line last eight TY, on 3-12 spread skid last 15.
Memphis, based on recent Cincy woes.


UNLV at BOISE STATE ...Boise no covers last eight as blue carpet chalk! Rebs just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away, however.
Slight to UNLV, based on Boise blue carpet chalk woes.
 

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SATURDAY, NOV. 20


Matchup Skinny Edge


UCONN at BOSTON COLLEGE... UConn a little better vs. spread on road TY (1-2-2 vs. line) than recent home marks. Diaco only 9-24-2 vs. spread since arriving at UConn in 2014. But BC only 8-14-1 vs. line last 23 on board and 1-9 last 10 vs. spread at Chestnut Hill.
Slight to UConn, based on BC woes.


ULM at APPALACHIAN STATE...ULM 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, but has covered last 2. App has failed to cover its last four at Boone.
Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


UTEP at RICE...Bailiff has won and covered 4 of last 5 vs. UTEP including seven straight series covers at home! Though Owls only 6-12-1 last 19 on board since early 2015.
Rice, based on series trends.


MIAMI-FLA at NC STATE...Richt had dropped 4 in a row SU and vs. line prior to last 2 wins. Heels 5-1 vs. spread at home TY.
NC State, based on recent trends.


TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE...Red Raiders have covered last 5 on Big 12 road. Also 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line last 4 vs. ISU. Cyclones have covered 6 of last 8 TY, however, and last four at Ames.
Slight to Iowa State, based on recent trends.

IOWA at ILLINOIS...Iowa 3-5 vs. line last 8 TY, only 2-2 on road after 13-2 spread mark as visitor prior. Lovie only 1-4 vs. line last five TY at home, but that W was in most-recent vs. Mich State.
Iowa, based on extended trends.

NORTHWESTERN at MINNESOTA...Cats 5-1 vs. line last six TY and last 5 as visitor as well. Minnesota only 1-5 vs. spread at home TY.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at PURDUE...Chryst 8-2 SU and vs. line TY, 10-2 last 12 since late LY. Also covers last seven away from Camp Randall, and covers 9 of last 10 vs. Purdue. Boilermakers 1-7 vs. points last 7 at Ross-Ade, 3-15 last 18 as home dog.
Wisconsin, based on team and series trends.

DUKE at PITT...Cutcliffe 17-5 last 22 as dog after UNC upset. Dog team has covered last three meetings. Panthers 2-7 vs. spread last 9 at home, 0-4 TY as home chalk.
Duke, based on team trends.

UTSA at TEXAS A&M...UTSA 3-2-1 vs. line as dog. Ags no covers last five TY (0-5-1), 5-11-1 vs. points last 16 as Kyle Field chalk.
UTSA, based on team trends.


MARYLAND at NEBRASKA...Durkin only 1-5 vs. line last six TY in debut season for Terps. Also no covers last four on road. Riley on 9-4-1 spread run since late LY but just 4-6-1 as Lincoln chalk since LY.
Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA...Stoops 4-0 SU vs. Holgorsen since WVU entered Big 12 and Sooners covers last 2 in series. Though OU no back-to-back covers yet TY and just 1-4 vs. spread away from home. Holgorsen was 0-3 as dog LY and only 2-5 vs. number last seven TY despite sparkling SU mark.
Slight to Oklahoma, based on team trends.

MTSU at CHARLOTTE...Charlotte has covered alst four as dog TY! Only one cover last seven TY (1-4-2) for Blue Raiders.
Charlotte, based on team trends.

UMASS at BYU...UMass has covered last three TY and is 3-1 as road dog with some good covers in the mix. Sitake 7-3 vs. line TY though Cougs are 0-3 as home chalk.
UMass, based on team trends.


UL-LAFAYETTE at GEORGIA...Kirby Smart 0-2 as home chalk TY, Bulldogs 2-7 last 9 in role.
Slight to ULL, based on recent trends.


SAN DIEGO STATE at WYOMING...SDSU 15-2 vs. line last 17 MW games, Wyo 5-1 vs. line last six TY. But Aztecs 7-1 vs. spread last 8 MW road and blasted Wyo LY at Qualcomm.
Slight to SDSU, based on extended trends.


NEW MEXICO at COLORADO STATE...Davie is 0-4 vs. line against CSU since 2012. Rams 7-1-1 vs. line last nine TY.
Colorado State, based on series trends.


INDIANA at MICHIGAN...For all of the Wolverine hype, note Harbaugh just 7-9 last 16 vs. spread in reg. season. Also just 2-3 vs. spread last 5 at home TY and 2-4 last six overall vs. number. IU 7-2 last nine as DD dog.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA TECH at NOTRE DAME...Irish 4-7 last 11 and 5-9 last 14 vs. number. Fuente only 4-4 vs. line as chalk TY.
Slight to Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.


KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR...Bill Snyder has covered 4 of last 6 in series. Grobe only 2-7 vs. line TY and Bears 3-12 vs. number last 15 reg.-season games.
Kansas State, based on team trends.


VIRGINIA at GEORGIA TECH... UVa 17-8 as dog since 2014. But home team is 5-0-1 vs. line last six meetings.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on series trends.


FLORIDA STATE at SYRACUSE... FSU yet to cover back-to-back games this season. Home team has covered last three meetings. Jimbo just 5-5 as visiting chalk since 2014. Cuse 3-6 as dog TY.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team and series home trends.


OLE MISS at VANDERBILT...Dores have covered 4 of last 6 meetings, and Derek Mason 4-1 as home dog since LY.
Slight to Vandy, based on recent trends.


TEXAS STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE.. Could be rare chalk role for NMSU, 2-2 in role since 2013. Ags 3-0 vs. points in Las Cruces TY. TSU 3-2 vs. line away TY for Withers after 0-6 spread mark away for Fran LY.
New Mexico State, based on team trends.


ARIZONA at OREGON STATE...Rich-Rod only 1-11 last 12 on board. OSU 5-1 vs. line last six TY, and three straight Ws at Corvallis.
Oregon State, based on recent trends.


ARIZONA STATE at WASHINGTON...Note ASU’s non-stellar 0-4 spread mark on road TY. Graham has won and covered last three years vs. Huskies, however.
Washington, based on ASU road negatives.


WASHINGTON STATE at COLORADO...Note that Leach on 16–6 spread uptick since LY, while MacIntyre 9-1 vs. spread TY and 14-3 last 17 since mid 2015. Leach also 9-1 last ten as dog.
Slight to WSU and Leach, based on extended dog marks.


STANFORD at CAL...Big Game! Cal has lost six straight Big Games, only one cover in that stretch. Bears 5-11 vs. line last 16 reg.-season games. Tree’s best role this season has been on road, where it is 4-1 vs. line, and 9-2 last eleven.
Stanford, based on series trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS... UNT 5-3-1 vs. line last nine this season, USM no covers last six or 8 of last 9 TY.
North Texas, based on recent trends.


ODU at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...ODU has covered six of last seven TY. FAU 6-14-1 last 21 on board, 2-11 last 13 vs. spread as host!
Old Dominion, based on recent trends.


BUFFALO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Bulls on 3-11 spread slide since mid 2015. WMU 24-12 vs. number since 2014.
Western Michigan, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at FIU...Fading Marshall 4-6 vs. line TY. Herd is 2-2 as dog, however. FIU 4-2 vs. line under Ron Cooper, though Golden Panthers 4-9-1 last 14 on board.
Slight to Marshall, based on FIU woes.


ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE..Bielema 5-1 vs. line as visitor since LY. Hogs have covered 3 of last 4 vs. MSU.
Arkansas, based on team trends.


HAWAII at FRESNO STATE...Rolovich was 4-1 vs. line away until running into Aztecs. FSU had covered four straight TY before flat-lining at CSU.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.


SOUTH FLORIDA at SMU...USF 65-3-1 vs. line TY and 14-4-1 last 19 reg.-season games, including 38-14 romp over Ponies LY. SMU improved 7-3 vs. line TY though just 7-9 as dog since LY.
USF, based on team trends.


TULSA at UCF...Tulsa has covered last five TY and now 10-2 vs. points away from home since LY for Montgomery. Though Scott Frost has forged quite a turnaround at UCF with 8-2 spread mark TY.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.


TEMPLE at TULANE...Owls have covered nine straight TY and Rhule now 32-16 vs. spread with Temple since 2013. Wave no covers five of last eight TY.
Temple, based on team trends.


OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio 3-8 last 11 vs. line, 8-16 last 24 on board. Revenge for Buckeyes after 17-14 home loss LY. Dantonio has won 3 of last 4 SU vs. Urban, but not same Spartans TY.
Ohio State, based on MSU negatives.


TEXAS at KANSAS... Horns dominating this series as most have lately vs. KU. Recent numbers are DD wins and covers last three years. Jayhawks just 7-15 vs. line since LY for Beaty.
Texas, based on team and series trends.


CLEMSON at WAKE FOREST...Wake has played Clemson tough, covering last two meetings. Clawson 10-3 last 12 as dog, though Deacs just 2-4 vs. spread last six as host. Dabo just 4-8 as visiting chalk since 2014.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.


MISSOURI at TENNESSEE...Ugh! Tigers no SU wins last 11 SEC games. Mizzou no covers last five TY, though Butch only 2-3 vs. line at home TY.
Slight to Tennessee, based on team trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA STATE...Ga So 2-8 vs. spread TY, and was routed at home by GSU LY. State 12-4-1 vs. line last 17 reg.-season games but 4-6-1 last 11 at mostly-empty Georgia Dome.
Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.


USC at UCLA...Bruins had won three straight in series prior to LY’s 40-21 Trojan win. Mora 4-8 last 12 vs. line. Helton on 6-game SU win streak and 5-1 vs. line those, though Troy 2-7 vs. spread last 9 away from Coliseum.
USC, based on recent trends.


OKLAHOMA STATE at TCU...Gundy 3-1 SU and vs. line vs. Patterson since 2012. Frogs just 2-7 vs. spread TY and 0-5 at Fort Worth.
Oklahoma State, based on recent and series trends.


PENN STATE at RUTGERS...James Franklin really rolling with covers last five and 5-0-1 last six (all SU wins). Penn State did not cover all six away from home LY but is 3-1 vs. spread away TY.
Penn State, based on recent trends.


OREGON at UTAH...Utes destroyed Ducks LY 62-20. Oregon only 1-10-1 vs. line last 12 on board and no covers last five away from Eugene. Utes have covered last three at home TY.
Utah, based on recent trends.


AIR FORCE at SAN JOSE STATE...Caragher covers last two and four of last six TY. But Spartans just 16-22 last 38 on line.
Slight to Air Force, based on team trends.


UTAH STATE at NEVADA...Utags 3-12 vs. spread last 15 on board and 1-4 last five as road chalk. Pack 2-8 vs. spread TY.
Slight to Nevada, based on USU woes.


NAVY at EAST CAROLINA...ECU 1-6-1 vs. line last eight TY. Mids 14-6-1 last 21 on board.
Navy, based on team trends.


FLORIDA at LSU...McElwain 0-3 vs. line as visitor TY. Tigers have won and covered last three years in series. Orgeron now 11-4 vs. line as interim coach since 2013 at SC and LSU. Tigers 11-5-1 as Baton Rouge chalk since 2014, 6-2-1 last 9 as SEC home chalk.
LSU, based on team and series trends.
 

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Louisville at Houston
November 16, 2016





Early in the season many thought this late season non-conference matchup between Houston and Louisville would have huge national implications.


Louisville fell short against Clemson to sit outside of the ACC’s championship picture and Houston’s season has unraveled after grabbing headlines in the first month of the season.


Both teams still have a lot at stake in this intriguing Thursday night ESPN battle to kick off a big college football weekend.

Matchup: Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars
Venue: TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 17, 8:00 PM ET
Line: Louisville -14, Over/Under 68
Last Meeting: 2015, Houston (+13½) 34, at Louisville 31


Coming off a 13-1 campaign with an AAC championship and a Peach Bowl win over Florida State expectations were very high for a Houston squad that was almost universally projected to be the top ‘Group of 5’ squad nationally looking for a Cotton Bowl spot and they were considered an outside threat at even making the College Football Playoff. The Cougars lived up to that billing early in the season with a big win over Oklahoma in the opening weekend and then won at Cincinnati in primetime to open the conference season in what looked like one of the most important games of the AAC season.

With a 5-0 start Houston was already ranked #6 in the AP Poll and it seemed to be a foregone conclusion that the Cougars would run away with the AAC title meaning this November non-conference game with Louisville would determine whether or not Houston could potentially get the call to an even bigger stage in the bowl season.

The Cougars were stunned with a turnover-filled performance at Navy in early October with a 46-40 result and in an instant almost all of the season goals went up in smoke as Navy was now the team to beat in the AAC West. Houston would go on to lose again at SMU with a shocking 38-16 result to effectively end any hopes of winning the division title. At 8-2 the Cougars are still having a fine season but two difficult games remain with this non-conference test vs. Louisville and next week’s finale at Memphis.

Senior quarterback Greg Ward, Jr. opened the season as a potential Heisman Trophy sleeper and his great game vs. Oklahoma made that look like a serious possibility. He missed the game with Lamar with a shoulder injury and that injury was aggravated in last week’s win over Tulane for Houston’s homecoming. Ward has been cleared to play this week but his back-up Kyle Postma was also injured last week and has been ruled out for the season as freshman D’Eriq King will be next in line if Ward has any setbacks.

The other big storyline for Houston is head coach Tom Herman, who early in the season was universally acclaimed as the top major conference head coaching candidate with last season’s success in his first season in Houston and the great start to this season. Herman certainly feels like a long shot to be back with the Cougars next season and rumors of taking over at Texas this off-season seem to have some traction. That has possibly been a distraction for the team in what has been a disappointing run in the middle of the season with the Cougars riding a 0-5 ATS run in the last five games.

Houston is 5-0 S/U at home this season not counting the opener vs. Oklahoma that was played in Houston but at NRG Stadium. The Cougars went 8-0 S/U at home last season but that run will be put to a major test Thursday night. Last season Houston faced Louisville in the second week of the season and got the upset posting 462 yards with great balance and taking advantage of four Louisville turnovers while also getting a 100-yard kickoff return touchdown in the third quarter. That game also came off a very tough opening loss for the Cardinals who played tight with then #6 ranked Auburn with Louisville also looking at a huge ACC opener with Clemson coming up the following Thursday night as the scheduling situation may have helped spark the upset in what clearly was a huge game for Houston.

This season Louisville opened ranked #19 in the preseason AP poll but was considered to be a clear step behind Florida State and Clemson in the ACC Atlantic picture. The Cardinals scored 132 point in the first two games of the season vs. marginal competition and then made a loud statement in the ACC opener crushing then #2 ranked Florida State 63-20. That win propelled the Cardinals to #3 in the AP Poll and Lamar Jackson jumped onto the Heisman Trophy shortlist.

Louisville used three different quarterbacks last season and through some ups-and-downs Jackson emerged as the best option, providing a great threat on the ground to offset inconsistent results in the air. After starting last season 0-3 Louisville wound up 8-5 closing the season with a Music City Bowl win over Texas A&M. Few saw the huge 2016 season from Jackson coming as he was once a 100/1 candidate and now 1/50 is a common price in what is likely to be one of the least surprising Heisman votes in several years. Jackson has rushed for over 1,300 yards with 19 touchdowns while throwing for 27 more though he is completing just 58 percent of his passes and has had some inconsistent stretches.

Louisville’s schedule has been very weak overall and as such the 9-1 Cardinals find themselves on the outside looking in for the current College Football Playoff rankings that were released Tuesday night. Many projected Louisville would move into the top four after all the upsets last week but Louisville is sitting at #5 and the Clemson team that handed the Cardinals their only loss is ahead of them. The Clemson/Louisville game was one of the best games of the season that could have gone either way but Clemson ultimately won that game and they will get to play in the ACC Championship unless they lose to Wake Forest this week.

Louisville can assume Alabama will stay in the top four and the Big Ten will sort itself out with one candidate emerging as moving into the top four is still a realistic possibility even though two teams making the field from the same division will be a new precedent in the short history of the playoff. The Cardinals would be at risk to potentially be passed in the final rankings if a clear Big XII or Pac-12 champion emerges and the Big Ten has some scenarios where two teams would be considered as well. This game with Houston will be the last opportunity for Louisville to make its case to the committee as next week’s game with Kentucky won’t carry as much weight and Louisville will most likely be idle on championship weekend while other candidates will have an opportunity to make a case.

For both Houston and Louisville this game carries a great deal of importance and this is certainly one of the more intriguing Thursday night college football games of the season. While Houston has much less at stake than they hoped, Herman and the Cougars have proven themselves in big games the past two seasons and Houston has an elite run defense that has allowed just 93 yards per game on 2.8 yards per carry to counter the impressive rushing attack for the Cardinals. As dominant has Louisville’s season numbers are they have had several close calls this season with narrow escapes vs. Duke and Virginia in ACC play and they even trailed last week in the 4th quarter despite pulling away for a 44-12 final vs. Wake Forest.

Historical Trends:


-- Louisville is 7-5 S/U but 5-7 ATS in this series going back to 1984, failing to cover in both recent meetings with a 20-13 home win in 2013 and a 34-31 home loss early last season.


-- Louisville is just 15-29-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite going back to 2007 including going 4-8-1 ATS on the road, though 2-1-1 in four instances this season.


-- Houston is 14-1 ATS as an underdog going back to November of 2012 posting eight S/U upsets in that span including going 5-0 S/U and ATS as an underdog since winning the Armed Forces Bowl after the 2014 season.


-- This line is poised to be the highest underdog spread for Houston since the 2013 meeting at Louisville and the biggest home underdog spread since hosting Louisville in 2004.


-- Houston has won S/U in 14 consecutive home games though they are just 5-9 ATS in that run though often playing as a heavy favorite.


-- Louisville is on a 25-15-2 ATS run in road games though going just 3-5-1 ATS in the last nine instances and covering in just one of the past four road games this season.
 

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UNLV at Boise State
November 16, 2016





Boise State (9-1 straight up, 3-7 against the spread) went into Week 11 needing help to have a chance to get to the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. UNLV, the Broncos’ counterpart when they collide Friday night on the blue carpet, provided just that.


You see, Boise St. essentially fell two games back of Wyoming in the MWC’s Mountain Division with a 30-28 loss to the Cowboys as a 14-point road favorite on Oct. 29. With Wyoming owning the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Broncos, they were essentially two games out with four weeks left in the regular season.


But when UNLV (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) produced its best performance of the season last week, stunning Wyoming 69-66 in triple overtime, it created a three-way tie for first place atop the MWC Mtn. standings. Harsin’s team is joined by New Mexico and Wyoming as each school is sporting 5-1 records in league play.


Boise State smashed the Lobos 49-21 in Albuquerque, while UNM closes the regular season at home with the Cowboys. Therefore, if BSU can beat UNLV and avenge a home loss to Air Force from last year when it travels to Colorado Springs next Friday, the Broncos will face San Diego State in the MWC Championship Game.


First, though, BSU must take care of business on Friday night against the Rebels. As of early Wednesday, most books had the Broncos installed as 28-point home favorites with a total of 66. Gamblers could back UNLV to pull a shocker for a 30/1 payout at SBG Global and 5Dimes.eu.


BSU is unbeaten in five home games at Albertsons Stadium this year to improve to 16-2 on the smurf turf since Bryan Harsin took over for Chris Petersen in 2014. The Broncos have limped to a 0-5 spread record at home, however, and they’re an abysmal 6-12 versus the number in 18 home games on Harsin’s watch. Going back even further, BSU is an atrocious 11-26 ATS since its final home game of the 2010 campaign.


Boise State played BYU and a pair of Pac-12 teams in non-conference play. The Broncos beat a Washington State squad that has won eight in a row since then by a 31-28 count as 12.5-point home ‘chalk’ in Week 2. They also went to Corvallis and beat Oregon St. 38-24, in addition to edging the Cougars 28-27 at home.

BSU is at home vs. UNLV on a short week, which would normally mean I’d give the host school an extra point or two toward the line because its short preparation time wouldn’t be hindered by travel. We can throw that standard thought process out the window in this spot, however, because the Broncos played at Hawaii last week.


Harsin’s team captured a 52-16 win over the Warriors at Aloha Stadium as a 21.5-point road favorite. The 68 combined points went ‘over’ the 62.5-point total when Hawaii scored a TD with 12:05 remaining.


Brett Rypien completed 18-of-22 throws for 338 yards and four TDs without an interception. Junior RB Jeremy McNichols rushed for 153 yards and two scores on 16 attempts, while Cedrick Wilson had seven receptions for 141 yards and one TD. Thomas Sperbeck hauld in five catches for 114 yards and two TDs, while McNichols had three grabs for 29 yards.


For the season, Rypien has connected on 65.0 percent of his passes for 2,916 yards with a 22/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Sperbeck is his favorite target for a second straight year. The senior WR has become the school’s all-time leader in receiving yards (3,352) by bringing down 62 receptions for 1,023 yards and nine TDs. Sperbeck has also thrown three TD passes on three attempts off of trick plays.


McNichols has rushed for 1,369 yards, surpassing his 1,337-yard total from his sophomore campaign in 2015. The junior RB has 18 rushing TDs with a 5.7 yards-per-carry average. McNichols also has 31 catches for 428 yards and four TDs. Wilson has 44 catches for 827 yards and nine TDs.


UNLV’s huge win over Wyoming kept its bowl hopes alive for another week, but the victory was bittersweet due to the season-ending injury sustained by Devonte Boyd. The junior WR broke his arm yet continued to play against the Cowboys and had a key 17-yard catch in double OT. Boyd’s season is over after making a team-best 45 catches for 746 yards and four TDs.


Wyoming needed a TD from its defense and special teams just to have a chance late in the fourth quarter. On the final play of regulation, Josh Allen found Tanner Gentry for a 19-yard scoring strike and the subsequent extra point knotted the score at 52-52 to force the extra sessions.


In the third OT, UNLV secured the victory with Nicolai Bornand’s 40-yard game-winning field goal. The Rebels scored in the first OTs on a pair of TD passes from Kurt Palandech, who completed 20-of-32 passes for 252 yards and three TDs without an interception. Boyd had 10 receptions for 127 yards, while Palandech also rushed 16 times for 157 yards and one TD.


Xzaviar Campbell rushed for 83 yards and one TD on 19 carries. He also had two receptions for 18 yards and one TD. David Greene ran for 70 yards and a pair of scores on 14 attempts, while Jericho Flowers produced 92 yards on five ‘touches’ (two rushes, three catches).


Palandech was making his first start of the year against the Cowboys after Johnny Stanton went down with a knee injury that has him out for an indefinite period of time. Palandech has played in just two games, completing 30-of-55 passes for 413 yards with a 4/1 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 197 yards and two TDs while averaging 7.9 YPC.


UNLV was without its leading rusher Lexington Thomas vs. Wyoming due to an ankle injury, but he’s expected back in the starting lineup Friday. Thomas has rushed for 632 yards and eight TDs with a 5.3 YPC average. He was actually passed by freshman RB Charles Williams in rushing yards last week. Williams’ 64 rushing yards against the Cowboys brought his season total to 665. He has three rushing scores and a 5.8 YPC average.


UNLV has lost four of its five road games while going 2-3 ATS. Since Sanchez took over before last season, the Rebels have posted a 5-3 spread record in eight games as road underdogs.


When these schools met at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas last season, BSU cruised to a 55-27 win to take the cash as a 21-point road favorite. The 82 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 53.5-point total. Rypien threw for 469 yards and two TDs without an interception, while McNichols rushed for 122 yards and one TD on 22 carries. Sperbeck had 10 receptions for 163 yards for the winners, while Boyd had 10 catches for 116 yards in the losing effort.


The ‘under’ is 6-4 overall for BSU, 4-1 in its five home outings. However, it has seen back-to-back ‘overs.’ The Broncos have seen their games average combined scores of 58.5 points per game. This is their second-highest total of the year. The ‘over’ has a 3-2 record in their five previous games with totals in the 60s.


The ‘over’ has been a money maker for UNLV all year, cashing at an 8-2 overall clip. The Rebels have seen the ‘over’ go 3-2 in their five road assignments. They’ve watched their games average combined scores of 69.8 PPG. We should note, however, that this is the highest total they’ve seen all season. The ‘over’ has gone 3-0 in their three games with totals in the 60s. UNLV’s highest total previously was in its opener when the 76 combined points soared ‘over ‘the 63.5-point tally in a 63-13 home win over Jackson State.


Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- There’s one other game on Friday’s card with Cincinnati taking on Memphis at Nippert Stadium on the CBS Sports College Network at 8:00 p.m. Eastern. As of Wednesday, the Tigers were 7.5-point road favorites with a total of 57.5 points. The Bearcats were +250 on the money line. Tommy Tuberville’s team has had a rough year, limping to a 4-6 SU record and a 2-8 ATS mark. UC must win its last two regular-season games or it will be left out of the postseason for the first time since 2010. The Bearcats have lost three in a row both SU and ATS, scoring only 19 points in those three defeats. Memphis (6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS) has failed to cover the number in six of its last seven games, including last week’s 49-42 loss to South Florida as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Tigers had a great chance to force overtime, but the referees didn’t throw a flag on a fourth-and-goal play when a USF defender clearly committed pass interference.


-- Since Tuberville took over in 2013, Cincy has compiled a 3-4 spread record in seven games as a home underdog. However, the Bearcats are 1-3 both SU and ATS in four such spots this season.


-- The ‘under’ has been the play in Cincy games this season, hitting at a remarkable 9-0-1 overall clip. On the flip side, the ‘over’ is on a 6-2 run in Memphis games since the Tigers saw the ‘under’ prevailed in its first two games.


-- Colorado and Temple share the nation’s best ATS record (9-1), while Alabama, Wisconsin, UCF, Eastern Michigan and Colorado State are 8-2 versus the number.


-- Arizona has the nation’s worst ATS record (1-9), while Oregon has limped to a 1-8-1 ATS ledger.


-- The ‘over’ has hit in nine consecutive games for Pittsburgh. The Panthers, who are off last week’s 43-42 win at Clemson as 21.5-point road underdogs, play host to Duke this week as eight-point favorites (as of Wednesday). They’ll do so without star safety Jordan Whitehead, who broke his arm against Clemson and will miss the next two games. Whitehead, who led Pitt with 109 tackles last year and has a team-best 65 tackles this season, might be able to return for his team’s bowl game. He had also recorded 1.5 tackles for loss, one forced fumble, one fumble recovery, two passes broken up and a 59-yard pick-six.


-- Duke has covered the spread in five straight games. Since David Cutcliffe took over in 2008, the Blue Devils have compiled a 21-16-1 spread record in 38 games as road underdogs, including a 3-1 ATS mark in four such spots this year.


-- Syracuse sophomore QB Eric Dungey (15/7 TD-INT, 2,679 passing yards) is ‘doubtful’ (concussion) for Saturday’s home game vs. FSU. The Seminoles were favored by 21 points on Wednesday.


-- South Florida junior QB Quinton Flowers enjoyed a performance for the ages during his team’s 49-42 win at Memphis as a three-point road favorite last week. Flowers connected on 24-of-29 throws for 263 yards and two TDs without an interception He also ran for 210 yards and three TDs on 20 attempts, including the game-winning score on a 22-yard scamper with 1:46 remaining. Flowers’ score resulted in the fifth lead change of a thrilling game at the Liberty Bowl.


-- Utah State has failed to cover the number in five consecutive games. The ‘over’ had hit in four in a row for the Aggies until they lost 24-21 at home to New Mexico and the 45 combined points went ‘under’ the 57-point total.


-- Air Force is mired in a 1-5 ATS slump, while the ‘over’ is on a 5-1 run for the Falcons in their last six outings. They play at San Jose State in Week 12.
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


NFL trends with Week 11 on the way…….


— Saints are 10-4 vs spread in their last 14 games.


— Chicago is 3-11 vs spread in its last 14 games.


— Browns are 6-16-1 in their last 23 games as an underdog.


— Cowboys won/covered their last eight games.


— New England is 32-11 coming off a loss.


— Colts are 9-2 coming off a bye.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFL’s top 9, bottom 4 teams……



32) Browns— Hurting Steelers come to Lake Erie this week needing a win. Chances are they will get it. Cleveland was outscored 60-8 in second half of its last three games.


31) 49ers— They’ve lost eight games in a row (1-7 vs spread); now Tom Brady is coming back near his hometown this week, so very little shot that New England will let down. Not good.


30) Jaguars— Offensive coordinator they fired few weeks ago is rumored to be candidate to be the new coach at Purdue. Jacksonville is -12 in turnovers the last five games.


29) Bears— Read few different national writers Monday speculating that Jay Cutler’s days in the Windy City may be numbered. Usually when there is speculation, someone has tipped off the person doing the speculating.


9) Dolphins— Won/covered last four games, picked Rivers off four times, just in 4th quarter last Sunday. Interesting game in the Coliseum this week, against the Rams in Jared Goff’s NFL debut.


8) Giants— Six wins by total of 21 points; they’re finding ways to win close games, just like they found ways to lose close games the last three years.


7) Chiefs— They’re 18-3 in their last 21 games, but they’ve also scored only one offensive TD in their last two games.


6) Broncos— 3-3 in last six games after a 4-0 start; if the defense doesn’t force turnovers, they are going to struggle.


5) Falcons— Bye week comes after their worst offensive game of the year. At 6-3, Atlanta is in good shape to return to the playoffs for first time in four years.


4) Seahawks— Wilson looked more nimble in Foxboro last week; if he is mobile, then Seahawks are very good.


3) Raiders— Haven’t been in the playoffs since 2002, when they lost the Super Bowl to the Bucs, but right now, they’re as good as anyone.


2) Patriots— Still think they’re the best team, but if Gronkowski is out for any length of time, then no.


1) Cowboys— Not often an NFL QB holds a news conference to say his former backup deserves to be the starter. Thats how well Dak Prescott is playing this season- he might be the MVP if the season ended today.
 

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Dunkel

Week 12

Thursday, November 17

Arkansas St @ Troy

Game 313-314
November 17, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
79.933
Troy
91.439
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 11 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 9
55
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-9); Over

Louisville @ Houston

Game 311-312
November 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
112.314
Houston
95.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 16 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 14
69
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-14); Under

Houston Baptist @ Incarnate Word

Game 505-506
November 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Baptist
43.802
Incarnate Word
48.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Incarnate Word
by 5
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston Baptist
by 2 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Incarnate Word
(+2 1/2); Over

SE Louisiana @ Nicholls St

Game 503-504
November 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Louisiana
59.158
Nicholls St
63.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nicholls St
by 4 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nicholls St
by 2 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nicholls St
(-2 1/2); Under

Liberty @ Coastal Carolina

Game 501-502
November 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
66.816
Coastal Carolina
66.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
Even
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 6 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(+6 1/2); Over


Friday, November 18

UNLV @ Boise State

Game 317-318
November 18, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
71.820
Boise State
95.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 24
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 28 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+28 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Cincinnati

Game 315-316
November 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
83.996
Cincinnati
84.902
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+7 1/2); Over

East Washington @ Portland St

Game 507-508
November 18, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Washington
85.466
Portland St
61.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 24
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 20 1/2
82 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Washington
(-20 1/2); Under
 

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Short Sheet

Week 12

Thurs – Nov. 17

Louisville at Houston, 8:00 PM ET
Louisville: 33-17 OVER in road games after playing 2 straight conference games
Houston: 9-21 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Arkansas State at Troy, 9:30 PM ET
Arkansas St: 10-2 ATS after playing a conference game
Troy: 3-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56


Fri – Nov. 18

Memphis at Cincinnati, 8:00 PM ET
Memphis: 0-6 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games
Cincinnati: 10-2 UNDER off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival

UNLV at Boise State, 9:00 PM ET
UNLV: 7-22 ATS after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
Boise St: 16-4 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 12


Thursday’s games



Louisville won its last five games since Clemson loss by average score of 41-14; Cardinals were upset 34-31 at home by Houston LY- they beat Cougars 20-13 in ’13- this is their first visit here since 2004. Cardinals are 3-2 as road favorites this year, with wins by 34-31-7-45 points, plus the 42-36 loss at Clemson. Houston started season by upsetting Oklahoma, but later lost at Navy, SMU and is 0-5 vs spread in its last five games. Cougars passed for 320+ yards in five of first six games, but have been under 260 in last four. ACC non-conference road favorites are 5-3 vs spread; AAC home underdogs are 3-4.


Troy is 8-1, with only loss 30-24 at Clemson; they covered only one of last four games, are 2-2 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 46-10-21-4 points- they had tough 28-24 win over Appalachian State five days ago, while ASU cruised in its game Saturday. Arkansas State won its last three games with Troy, beating Trojans 41-34 in each of last two meetings; teams split last four meetings played here. ASU won/covered its last five games after an 0-4 start, with only road win in that stretch 31-16 (-4.5) at Georgia State. Sun Belt home favorites are 7-11 vs spread in league play this year.

Friday’s games



Memphis beat Cincinnati 53-46/41-14 last two years; underdogs covered four of last five series games. Bearcats lost LY despite gaining 752 yards in game, 620 in air. Tigers lost three of last four games after a 5-1 start; they’re 2-2 on road, 1-2 as road favorite this year, winning 24-14 at Tulane, 51-7 at SMU. Cincinnati is 1-7 vs spread in its last eight games, 0-3 as a home underdog this year, losing 40-16 to Houston, 45-20 to USF, 20-3 to BYU- they were outscored 44-6 in losing last two games without scoring a TD. AAC home underdogs are 6-7 vs spread in league play this year.


UNLV is 4-6 after outlasting Wyoming 69-66 in OT LW; Rebels ran ball for 401 yards- they’ve scored 41+ points in all four wins, averaged 20.8 in losses. UNLV is 2-3 as road underdog this year, wth only SU win at Hawai’i; their road losses are by 21-23-19-6 points. Boise State threw for 473 yards outgained UNLV 705-457 in 55-27 win in Las Vegas LY; Broncos are 1-4 vs spread in last five games, 0-5 as a home favorite this year- their home wins are by 3-11-5-1-14 points. Mountain West home favorites are 8-13 vs spread in league play this year. UNLV’s best WR Boyd broke his arm last week, is out for year.
 

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NCAAF


Thursday, November 17



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAAF Game of the Day: Louisville at Houston
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson continues to shatter records on a near-weekly basis.


No. 5 Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars (+14.5, 68.5)



Ever since a six-point loss at Clemson on Oct. 1, Louisville knew it was going to need a number of upsets to happen to teams in front of them in the rankings in order to re-enter the College Football Playoff discussion, and most of them came to fruition last weekend. The Cardinals hope to take advantage of their good fortune and impress the CFP committee with a resume-building win Thursday when they attempt to end Houston's 14-game home winning streak.


Michigan, Clemson and Washington - three teams ahead of then-No. 6 Louisville (now No. 3) in the coaches' poll before Saturday - all fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last weekend, putting the Cardinals in a much more favorable position -- moving from No. 6 to No. 5 in the CFP rankings -- to play for a national championship should they win out. For the first 45 minutes of its last contest, Louisville appeared to be on the verge of joining the aforementioned top-five teams before piling up 34 points in the fourth quarter en route to a 44-12 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. The Cougars lost two of their first three games in October to fall out of the Top 25, but they have seemingly righted the ship with back-to-back wins. Houston served notice early last season that it was ready to wreak havoc on the big boys of college football, forcing four turnovers and blocking a potential tying field goal in the final minute to pull off a 34-31 upset at Louisville.


TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Louisville opened as 14-point road favorites and was bet up half-point to 14.5. The over opened at 69 and has been lowered to 68.5. Check out the complete line history here.


INJURY REPORT:


Louisville - RB L.J. Scott (questionable, hamstring)


Houston - QB Greg Ward Jr. (probable, shoulder), WR Ra’Shaad Samples (questionable, concussion), WR Isaiah Johnson (questionable, concussion), OL Na’Ty Rodgers (questionable, ankle), QB Kyle Postma (out of season, arm).


WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for TDECU Stadium is calling for partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-70’s, and minimal winds.


WHAT SHARPS SAY: While most pundits thought this would be a battle of undefeated teams before the season began, it is still a prime time showdown between top teams from the AAC and the ACC. Houston will look to preserve its spotless 13-0 home field record under Tom Herman, while Louisville is looking to stay on the cusp in the race for a top four spot in this year’s College Football Playoffs. It will all come down to which of the two quarterbacks, the Cougars’ Greg Ward or the Cardinals’ Lamar Jackson, steps up and delivers.


ABOUT LOUISVILLE (9-1 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 7-3 O/U) Quarterback Lamar Jackson continued to shatter records on a near-weekly basis last Saturday, breaking Teddy Bridgewater's single-season school record of 4,048 offensive yards and tying another single-season school mark with his seventh 100-yard rushing effort. While the Heisman Trophy frontrunner was limited to season lows in total yards (298) and touchdowns responsible for (one), senior running back Brandon Radcliff sparked Louisville's 41-point second-half explosion with a career-high three TDs and rushed for 141 yards, giving the Cardinals a pair of 100-yard rushers in the same game for a school-record third time this season. Devonte Fields matched a personal best with three sacks Saturday, while fellow linebacker James Hearns added a career-high two of Louisville's season-high seven sacks.


ABOUT HOUSTON (8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U)Quarterback Greg Ward Jr. joined Case Keenum (20,114) and Kevin Kolb (13,715) as the only players in school history to amass 10,000 yards of total offense last weekend, and he moved into a second-place tie with Kolb (26) for the most wins by a Cougars quarterback. Junior wide receiver Linell Bonner caught nine passes for 97 yards Saturday, marking the fifth time this season he has managed at least eight receptions and 97 yards in the same game. Freshman defensive tackle Ed Oliver continued to wreak havoc in last weekend's 30-18 win over Tulane, recording his FBS-best (among defensive linemen) sixth pass breakup while adding 1.5 tackles for loss to give him 16.5 for the season.


TRENDS:


* Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. ACC.
* Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CONSENSUS:
The betting public is split 50/50 on the spread. The over is another story with 73% grabbing the over.
 

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