Brainiac’s Winter Sports

[TheBrainiac]

Yeah , thats the pick I was looking for but I dont have an account there hno:

20 January

Biathlon - Women: World Cup 12,5km Mass Start Antholz

Start time : 13.00 CET

Live on Eurosport

Head to head

Becaert S. (FRA) vs Ponza M.(ITA)

My pick is Ponza M. (ITA) to finish ahead of Becaert S. (FRA)

10 units to win 6.5 units at gamebookers


Ponza one of the best shooters around and maybe the best one , yesterday she had one error in pursuit in the very last standing shooting position . Becaert didnt start in Antholz so far but she is not close to being as good as Ponza in shooting . She is not Neuner to close the distance in just running so if she makes few errors Ponza should finish ahead of her because I cant see Ponza making more than 2-3 errors today .

 

[TheBrainiac]

TOP 3

My pick is Magdalena Neuner to place in TOP 3

5 units to win 4.75 units at betfair


Magdalena won the only mass start this season and it wasnt even close . She had 6 errors yesterday and still finished with 1 place shy of top 3 placement . Today in 12.5 km she has a great chance to finish in the first 3 because she has no match in running and nobody is even close to her in that department . If she doesnt make more than 6 errors and not every person will finish with no errors today I see her making it into the TOP 3 .

 

[TheBrainiac]

grrrrrrrr had problems with internet connection , no more picks for women race as its starting now but I have some picks for men race , will try to post them earlier . Lets see your leans for men race guys .
Yes chris ! Lets start printing that money :aktion033

 

[Cobalt]

if some of you guys has bet365: they offer Berger over Olofsson @1.76

that s a nice play anyway, but with the rumors Cobalt picked up yesterday i think it s a must play.

Sorry, I'm late. Just want to say, that it is -like you said- only a rumour! I am not sure what the reporter meant, and when he said it I was not paying close attention - the tv was running in the background ....
GL today!

 

[Cobalt]

Sorry, I'm late. Just want to say, that it is -like you said- only a rumour! I am not sure what the reporter meant, and when he said it I was not paying close attention - the tv was running in the background ....
GL today!

Aha! Lol, just confirmed it - Olofsson is pregnant.

 

[TheBrainiac]

NEUNER OUCH awesome start ... with 2 errors sigh

 

[TheBrainiac]

big 10 units play cashed very easy .

Neuner 4th place , ouch , one error too many .

 

[TheBrainiac]

20 January

Biathlon - Men: World Cup 15km Mass Start Antholz

Start time : 15.30 CET

Head to head

Dmitri Iarochenko vs Maxim Tchoudov

My pick is Maxim Tchoudov to finish ahead of Dmitri Iarochenko

10 units to win 8.5 units at gamebookers


Tchoudov is the best runner in the moment and if he could limit the amount of his errors he would be found in top 5 every time . In 10 km sprint he finished 13 seconds ahead of Iarochenko even with 1 error more !
Yesterday in pursuit Iarochenko finished 20 seconds ahead of Tchoudov but he had 3 errors less than Maxim .
If they have same amount of errors Iarochenko wont stand a chance , 1 error for Maxim Tchoudov and he will still finish ahead of Iarochenko but even with 2 errors more I still see a good chance for him against Iarochenko simply because there are only 2 people who can stay on the same running level as Maxim and that are Bjoerndalen and Greis .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Head to head

Simon Fourcade vs Halvard Hanevold

My pick is Simon Fourcade to finish ahead of Halvard Hanevold

4 units to win 3.24 units at betfair

Fourcade looked really good in both sprint and pursuit finishing 7th and 5th in pursuit yesterday .
Hanevold was just 5 in front of Fourcade but he also had one error less . Yesterday Fourcade finished 31 seconds in front of Hanevold with 1 error less tho . If you combine by races they have 2 errors each but Fourcade was around 25 seconds faster than Hanevold who isnt getting any younger with every year .
In the only mass start so far this season Hanevold had 7 errors while Fourcade only had 2 errors and finished 3 minutes ahead of Hanevold .

 

[TheBrainiac]

*By the way Fourcade finished 8th here in the mass start and Hanevold 18th .

TOP 3

My pick is Michael Greis to finish in the TOP 3

4 units to win 4.80 units at betfair


First place in sprint with no error and third yesterday with 4 errors in pursuit . Greis is in a great form , he had 3 wins in a row until yesterday and he would probably win his 4th straight if he had one error less .
Last year he won that mass start in Antholz and he says he is very motivated today to finish strong once again .

 

[Cobalt]

Oh man, what a day! Where's my head, lol! Aussie Open, Handball EC, Biathlon;.. and African Cup of Nations starting this evening...
And I'm in a bad streak for all January (Nalbandian! That dumbfuck cost me a shitload of cash), leaving my accounts pretty much depleted! Definitely in need of some good hits right now.

Agree with all of your picks - esp. the staking plan. Hope that Tchoudov's shooting is solid today.
Come on, Maxim, Simon, Michael - do it for us degenerates!

 

[chriscol]

i like all the picks, especially Tschudov and Greis if you get some decent value on that

i have

Tschudov- Iaroschenke @1.96

everything is said here

Andreesen over Nielssen @2.04

Both were rested so far. Andreesen should be the better guy judged on past performance

Greis over Bjorndalen @2.04

Something is wrong with Bjorndalen...his shooting is not solid at all. Greis is on a hot streak and top form. he need probably just a better shooting result than Bjorndalen which he should be able to get.

i go for the fun of it with

Winner: Greis @ 4.5
Winner : Tschudov @ 11.5

let the party begin...

 

[TheBrainiac]

indeed many things to choose from , a lot on Ghana to beat Guinea today , I might as well jump in

 

[chriscol]

i ll start a threrad for Handball, so we can excahnge. I am doing really well so far going 7-1 playing mainly the totals

 

[TheBrainiac]

yeah this would be very cool .

 

[Cobalt]

Huh!? Just when I wanted to get my bet on Tchoudov in, the odds jumped above even - Yarochenko now clear fav in that matchup; I wonder why!?
...still logged it in, but.....??

 

[TheBrainiac]

Dunno , somebody placed a large bet on Iarochenko maybe , I am not sure .
Gamebookers have Tchoudov 1.75 and Iarochenko 1.95 where I got Tchoudov at 1.85 and then their odds dropped .
I am not very worried , if Tchoudov doesnt make too many errors he will finish in front of Iarochenko no problem .
You can almost book on Iarochenko to miss like 2 shots in standing shooting position where he is very shaky lately .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Volleyball Women , Russia vs Poland starting right now .

I think Poland wont have many chances against the tall girls from Russia with Gamova and co . Odds are pretty low with 1.35 on Russia but its very close to a banker in my opinion . Game is very important because the winner will qualify for the Olympics .

 

[chriscol]

not betting it , but i agree on the russians

 

[Cobalt]

Don't mention volleyball!
-One of the reasons for my bad bankroll development!
(Especially don't use the words "volleyball" and "banker" in one sentence...please!! I've made very VERY lousy experiences with that combination in the last week!)