anyone that keeps the barn from hoisting a trophy is OK in my book! congratsCongrats on the Lady Sooners winning their 3rd national championship in softball...Patty Gasso is a hell of a coach. One of Castiglione's better hires at OU. She got it done with mostly a freshman/sophomore team.
I'm also liking WV this year. They are on the "good year" of their Big 12 scheduling with TCU, OU and Baylor all at home. Definitely top 5 potential. They also catch TTU in a bit of a sandwich spot. That will be a big game for them if they want to move into the top 5. With an experienced QB like Skyler Howard I like their chances of pulling off a couple of road wins..That's low for wvu...I look for us to be in the upper half......one thing I find interesting..the wvu ad tried to resign holgs to a longer deal but he passed on it hoping to resign after this year. Basically if he wins less than 7 everyone will want him out and he knows it. To roll the dice like this he must think they will be ok.....7 home games, basically 8 when you add the neutral game in dc...
Clover, you have to consider the conference they are in. The Big 12 is the best offensive conference in the country. The only conference I would consider as good or better on offense is the Pac-12. So EVERY team is going to give up a ton of yards. WV actually gave up just 389 ypg last year. Which ranked them 3rd in defense in the Big 12 behind only OU and Texas. They held their opponents to 64 yards below their season totals LY. I don't expect them to be near that good this year, but I expect their offense to be much improved. Especially in the passing game. The team that i don't think has any business being placed in front of them is KSU. I think WV will beat KSU at home to at least claim the 6th spot. If they can get just one upset on the road they'll most likely move into the 5th spot...West Virginia at No. 7 looks about right to me. Their defense gave up 400 yards per game last
year and have very little experience coming back. The offense is going to have to score a ton of
points to cover for what I believe will be a very weak defense.
Just my take..........
WV does have 2 games that I think could make or break their season. The Mizzou game you mentioned and their Big 12 opener at home vs KSU. If WV drops either of those games I don't think it looks very good for them or Holgersen. I also tend to favor WV over a Mizzou team with a first year coach. Most teams who lose a longtime coach take a hit in their first year under a new coach. I also think this could possibly be Snyder's last year at KSU if he doesn't get things turned around. KSU is on Phil Steele's most improved list, so I could be wrong about them. The Cats are always a wildcard in the Big 12. But they have to make some big improvements in areas and keep people healthy. They gave up 50+ points 3 times last year, and literally had to outscore every one of their opponents except Kansas, and beat WV by one point in the last game of the year to become bowl eligible. I'm not crazy about any of their QB's, but they are more experienced. As usual, with all of the JUCO's they have, I won't know how good they really are until I see them play.Good points GS......especially about the conference and offense.
Interesting opener with Missouri. Tigers have a good defense but questionable offense.
Mounties have a good offense with questionable defense.
Off hand I can't remember the line but I would tend to favor WV straight up since they
have home field advantage.
Sidenote: SaturdayEdge...check it out guys, GS and others present some good info.
I agree, OU could be a little sleepy going into that TCU game. Although Stoops should know better by now. And the last time the Sooners went to Ft. Worth they lost. The one thing I'll be looking at early with TCU is their offensive play. I don't care what anybody says, there's no way TCU is going to replace Boykin, Green & Doctsun and continue to crank out 40+ points a game. The QB play will determin how far they go. Kenny Hill looked good at A&M, and Foster Sawyer has a year under his belt after replacing Boykin in a couple of games. But neither of these QB's are a guarantee. And they won't be as good as Boykin. They do still have some very talented skill players, but with their defense being much better this year, I expect TCU to be in a few more lower scoring games than they have the last couple of years. When they play Arkansas my money is going to be on TCU if it's around a pickem game. The Frogs are 13-7 ATS in non-conference games, and 10-1 straight up in non-conference games (Arkansas). Plus the home field and coaching advantage will belong to TCU. But I agree, it will be a very physical game between 2 old SWC foes. As for their schedule, round robin schedules are by far the toughest to get through unscathed. It's why I'm against a CG. But as schedules go, TCU's bye weeks are well placed. Their game at Baylor will be tough. TCU is 0-5 straight up as an away underdog. I've already played the over 8.5 wins for this team. Even if they lose to both Baylor and OU, they still have some wiggle room and can trip up one more time and still get to 9 wins. Very doable in my opinion. Especially given that they'll have the best defense in the conference.If the TCU schedule works right, they may catch OU (Oct 1) looking ahead to UT in Dallas with an extra day. They always seem to play OU tough though. And the bye in November before Okie St and UT might be beneficial as well. But they are going to have a physical game against the Hogs early that may test them.
I think privately GP would tell you that this is going to be one of his best defenses in FTW. Both QB's have multiple years in the offensive system which will be a plus, but I think the role will be to distribute the ball. As you mentioned, they have a lot of really good skill players returning.I agree, OU could be a little sleepy going into that TCU game. Although Stoops should know better by now. And the last time the Sooners went to Ft. Worth they lost. The one thing I'll be looking at early with TCU is their offensive play. I don't care what anybody says, there's no way TCU is going to replace Boykin, Green & Doctsun and continue to crank out 40+ points a game. The QB play will determin how far they go. Kenny Hill looked good at A&M, and Foster Sawyer has a year under his belt after replacing Boykin in a couple of games. But neither of these QB's are a guarantee. And they won't be as good as Boykin. They do still have some very talented skill players, but with their defense being much better this year, I expect TCU to be in a few more lower scoring games than they have the last couple of years. When they play Arkansas my money is going to be on TCU if it's around a pickem game. The Frogs are 13-7 ATS in non-conference games, and 10-1 straight up in non-conference games (Arkansas). Plus the home field and coaching advantage will belong to TCU. But I agree, it will be a very physical game between 2 old SWC foes. As for their schedule, round robin schedules are by far the toughest to get through unscathed. It's why I'm against a CG. But as schedules go, TCU's bye weeks are well placed. Their game at Baylor will be tough. TCU is 0-5 straight up as an away underdog. I've already played the over 8.5 wins for this team. Even if they lose to both Baylor and OU, they still have some wiggle room and can trip up one more time and still get to 9 wins. Very doable in my opinion. Especially given that they'll have the best defense in the conference.