biz. I have been told this before, although it's not as bad as some would think. Leaving last year out, which was an unbelievable plus 34 games, all the other plays were up by 13 games. Allowing for the juice on the losing plays, playing every game every year, would have lost 16 units. Now if last year was an indication of future plays, including last year in these records would have meant the total of all plays for every year would have up by 47 games. Allowing for the juice on the losers, playing all the games would have been plus 16 units.
Plus 16 units is not a lot, BUT I believe the past two years do tell us what to expect with future plays. There have been a lot of rule changes the past few years and most of the changes were made to protect the offensive players. As an example, I have seen a lot more "illegal use of the hands" by the defense and every time this is called, the team on offense gets a first down, keeping drives alive. Also, ask yourself, are you seeing more personal fouls called and do you notice how much longer drives seem to last.
Basically, all I'm saying is more defensive penalties are keeping offensive drives alive which means more points scored. It might have been possible the first week this year all went Under because the refs were not used to throwing flags on some of the new penalties.
biz. Where in the East Bay are you. i'm in Walnut Creek.
Plus 16 units is not a lot, BUT I believe the past two years do tell us what to expect with future plays. There have been a lot of rule changes the past few years and most of the changes were made to protect the offensive players. As an example, I have seen a lot more "illegal use of the hands" by the defense and every time this is called, the team on offense gets a first down, keeping drives alive. Also, ask yourself, are you seeing more personal fouls called and do you notice how much longer drives seem to last.
Basically, all I'm saying is more defensive penalties are keeping offensive drives alive which means more points scored. It might have been possible the first week this year all went Under because the refs were not used to throwing flags on some of the new penalties.
biz. Where in the East Bay are you. i'm in Walnut Creek.
I agree it may be a new trend, due to rule changes etc... It's important to get on a trend early to maximize the wins. You may very well be right and this trend continues.I am mainly a system/angle player. I am always reevaluating them to see if they are consistent winners, had ups and downs, etc..I am in San Leandro. Lived in East Bay entire life. Big Oakland sports fan going back to 1970. Heading out to the game tomorrow for the home finale
Biz. I was going to say, bring the A's some luck but Lester giving up 3 runs, means the A's need more than luck. I can't stand the over platooning the A's keep doing. Melvin dosen't even look at the spilts. Moss hit's much better against left handers, yet he sits when they pitch. Vogt, who has a good average, is sitting. Anyway, this is a football thread.
biz, you sound like you can almost walk to the A's games. I grew up in San Francisco, and moved to Walnut Creek a long time ago. Used to go the Niners games back at Kezar, when they had ticket takers. They left the gates open half way thru the third quarter, so would see a lot of fourth quarters for free.
biz, you sound like you can almost walk to the A's games. I grew up in San Francisco, and moved to Walnut Creek a long time ago. Used to go the Niners games back at Kezar, when they had ticket takers. They left the gates open half way thru the third quarter, so would see a lot of fourth quarters for free.
If you are new to this thread, you might want to read some of my earlier posts where I try to explain why I feel last years high percentage of Inter Conference OVERS was more the rule than the exception. I also posted the OVER/UNDER records of the games where both teams are from the same conference, in order to show players who like to play OVERS that the Inter Conference OVERS hit at a much higher percentage than games when both teams are from the same Conference.
This weekend there are only three Inter Conference games and they are all early games starting at 10AM PDT. Hitting two out of three OVERS, will put us a little ahead, after the terrible first week. All totals are from Bookmaker Saturday night. You may get better lines Sunday but I post these now, rather than too close to kickoff because the games start early here.
PLAY BALTIMORE/CAROLINA OVER 42
PLAY NY JETS/DETROIT OVER 44.5
PLAY PITTSBURGH/TAMPA BAY OVER 45.5
LAST WEEK 3-1
WEEK ONE 0-4
WEEK TWO 5-3
YTD 8-8
This weekend there are only three Inter Conference games and they are all early games starting at 10AM PDT. Hitting two out of three OVERS, will put us a little ahead, after the terrible first week. All totals are from Bookmaker Saturday night. You may get better lines Sunday but I post these now, rather than too close to kickoff because the games start early here.
PLAY BALTIMORE/CAROLINA OVER 42
PLAY NY JETS/DETROIT OVER 44.5
PLAY PITTSBURGH/TAMPA BAY OVER 45.5
LAST WEEK 3-1
WEEK ONE 0-4
WEEK TWO 5-3
YTD 8-8
On These Interconference OVERS Each & Every Week!
Sometimes Ugly Looking Plays, But I Play Them Regardless!
Time For A 3-0 Week!
-----ShotDoc-----
Sometimes Ugly Looking Plays, But I Play Them Regardless!
Time For A 3-0 Week!
-----ShotDoc-----
Thanks Shot Doctor. A 3-0 week would further prove week one was just a fluke. You are right about Ugly looking plays. To me, the Detroit/Jets OVER looks bad, but with the Jets great run defense, maybe Detroit will end up passing more, which stops the clock.
Two of the lhe line changes from last night, are lower today, better for anyone playing these today. Pitt/TBay went down a full point. Detroit/Jets went down a half point. Baltimore/Carolina was the only up move, up by a half point. Of course, for the record, I use the totals I posted last night. Lets hope none of this even matters.
Two of the lhe line changes from last night, are lower today, better for anyone playing these today. Pitt/TBay went down a full point. Detroit/Jets went down a half point. Baltimore/Carolina was the only up move, up by a half point. Of course, for the record, I use the totals I posted last night. Lets hope none of this even matters.
Just checked in to update the record. Jas7, wish you were right. 3-0 would have been nice and yes Detroit/Jets did come close, but 2-1 is still 66%, which I and I hope all of you would take anytime. Here's where we are after Week Four.
I'm keeping Week One separate because it was the first week and some of the things I expected from the refs, didn't happen as much as during the later weeks. They really started throwing defensive flags the next week. I think it's more important to give you an idea of what to expect, based on the last three weeks all winning at a 66% rate. At least anyone who stayed with the plays after losing the first week are finally out of the hole.
Last Week: 2-1
Week One: 0-4
Weeks Two thru Four: 10-5
All Picks: 10-9
I'm keeping Week One separate because it was the first week and some of the things I expected from the refs, didn't happen as much as during the later weeks. They really started throwing defensive flags the next week. I think it's more important to give you an idea of what to expect, based on the last three weeks all winning at a 66% rate. At least anyone who stayed with the plays after losing the first week are finally out of the hole.
Last Week: 2-1
Week One: 0-4
Weeks Two thru Four: 10-5
All Picks: 10-9
