You could probably care less what my opinion is, but as a couple have pointed out you posted over 52 on the philly game so you should indeed count the play as a loss. Tough to swallow your pride and admit to starting 0-3 but you will lose a lot of respect if you are dishonest about your record. That being said, best of luck on the play tonight, I am on it as well
Don't know what ya talking about but I played over philly and won..... as with every sports you have to shop for the best line and it was around 49 when the game started.
IMHO... he just posted what stood out last year... play or not is everyone's decision... not sure why ppl jump on him for posting a play that lost just because he posted a line that was way off.... it's a winner to me that Philly game.
IMHO... he just posted what stood out last year... play or not is everyone's decision... not sure why ppl jump on him for posting a play that lost just because he posted a line that was way off.... it's a winner to me that Philly game.
You guys are right about my Philly.Jax OVER play, but this is why. I posted the line Saturday night, but didn't play the games myself until the next morning when the line was down to 49. I try to post my plays the night before so I can give everyone time to play the next day. FWIT here is my play. Because that was the line I got when I played it, I won and that was what I remembered the line being, even though it wasn't when I posted in my thread. Here is the play I made
8. Bet#: 446619752
Straight Wager 09/07/14 09:43 PDT
Bet $ 211.00 to win $ 191.82 (paid $ 402.82) Result: Wager Won
Jacksonville Jaguars 17 vs Philadelphia Eagles 34 09/07/14 10:05 PDT
Over 49 (-110)
I don't cheat and I have been here long enough for anyone to know I try to keep honest records. So this is what I'm going to do. I don't think anyone followed my advise late Saturday night and everyone got the line that was lower early the next morning. HOWEVER, IF JUST ONE PERSON SAYS HERE THAT THEY FOLLOWED MY PLAY WHEN THE LINE WAS 52 AND THEY LOST, I WILL COUNT THE PLAY AS A LOSS AND SHOW MY RECORD AS 0-3. BUT, BE HONEST PLEASE. IF YOU DID NOT PLAY THE TOTAL AT 52, OR DID NOT EVEN FOLLOW MY PLAY, DON'T SAY HERE THAT YOU DID.
I made a honest mistake, but I will own up to it if anyone lost money going Over 52.
8. Bet#: 446619752
Straight Wager 09/07/14 09:43 PDT
Bet $ 211.00 to win $ 191.82 (paid $ 402.82) Result: Wager Won
Jacksonville Jaguars 17 vs Philadelphia Eagles 34 09/07/14 10:05 PDT
Over 49 (-110)
I don't cheat and I have been here long enough for anyone to know I try to keep honest records. So this is what I'm going to do. I don't think anyone followed my advise late Saturday night and everyone got the line that was lower early the next morning. HOWEVER, IF JUST ONE PERSON SAYS HERE THAT THEY FOLLOWED MY PLAY WHEN THE LINE WAS 52 AND THEY LOST, I WILL COUNT THE PLAY AS A LOSS AND SHOW MY RECORD AS 0-3. BUT, BE HONEST PLEASE. IF YOU DID NOT PLAY THE TOTAL AT 52, OR DID NOT EVEN FOLLOW MY PLAY, DON'T SAY HERE THAT YOU DID.
I made a honest mistake, but I will own up to it if anyone lost money going Over 52.
Listen Punisher. I did not hype anything. All I did was state exactly what happened with these plays last year. Everyone of the plays were posted here in my thread last year and if you were to go back and read the thread, you would see a lot of guys here made a lot of money following these plays and if you can add you would see 80% of my plays were winners. I don't appreciate some cry baby who is new to this forum crying after the fact when losing. If you thought my plays were as you say "hyped" then why the hell did you play them. Pretty stupid playing something you feel was just hype. I suggest you keep your crying to yourself and fade all of my plays next week.
I am trying to continue helping guys to make money, which if you don't understand, is the purpose of this forum and all you are doing is trying to feel important by putting me down. I do feel sorry about anyone who lost money playing my plays this weekend, EXCEPT YOU.
I am trying to continue helping guys to make money, which if you don't understand, is the purpose of this forum and all you are doing is trying to feel important by putting me down. I do feel sorry about anyone who lost money playing my plays this weekend, EXCEPT YOU.
doogieboy. Don't be sorry. I'm not going to say I won when someone did not win, although I appreciate your offer of being OK with my showing the play as a winner. In fact, regardless how fast the second half of the Arizona/Diego game started, asking for 41 points in the second half, probally isn't going to happen.
So, my posted record after the first week will be 0-4. I do hope anyone playing my plays, did go lightly and kept their bets small like I suggested. Obviously, I'm saying to also keep your plays next week smaller than usual, until we see mostly winners or, don't even play them until they start winning again.
So, my posted record after the first week will be 0-4. I do hope anyone playing my plays, did go lightly and kept their bets small like I suggested. Obviously, I'm saying to also keep your plays next week smaller than usual, until we see mostly winners or, don't even play them until they start winning again.
Albatross. Good question. It was the third of the three totals I played and all I had in my account at Bookmaker at that time was $211. I didn't want to play a higher total at sportsbook.au. I played the other two totals for $220 each.
Actually, I wasn't going to brag about anything but I do but I think Punisher would love seeing I hit this nice parley when Detroit covered tonight. lol. $40 PAID $1904.
Of course I do feel good about this but not as much as I would have if at least one of my totals went over.
Actually, I wasn't going to brag about anything but I do but I think Punisher would love seeing I hit this nice parley when Detroit covered tonight. lol. $40 PAID $1904.
| [ # 182971837 ] PARLAY (6 TEAMS) RR (1P-6T) ( Risking: 40.00 - To Win: 1,904.96 ) | WIN |
| 09/07/2014 12:35 PM | NFL | [485] SAN FRANCISCO -4-105 Score: SAN FRANCISCO(28) - DALLAS(17) | WIN |
| 09/07/2014 04:40 PM | NFL | [487] INDIANAPOLIS +7.5 -110 Score: INDIANAPOLIS(24) - DENVER(31) | WIN |
| 09/08/2014 04:20 PM | NFL | [490] DETROIT -6-120 (B+0.5 ) Score: NY GIANTS(14) - DETROIT(35) | WIN |
| 09/06/2014 12:50 PM | CFB | [339] USC +3-105 Score: USC(13) - STANFORD(10) | WIN |
| 09/06/2014 01:40 PM | CFB | [347] MISSISSIPPI -19.5 -110 Score: MISSISSIPPI(41) - VANDERBILT(3) | WIN |
| 09/06/2014 04:10 PM | CFB | [366] AUBURN -33-110 Score: SAN JOSE STATE(13) - AUBURN(59) | WIN |
Of course I do feel good about this but not as much as I would have if at least one of my totals went over.
Because a couple of guys lost the Jax/Philly OVER, the right thing to do is to show that game as a loss, even though it seems most of you who played the total Sunday AM after the line had dropped did win the play. So, 0-4 for the record, 1-3 for most of you.
There are a lot of Inter Conference games next weekend and because it looks like the easy OVERS may/or may not happen this early in the season, I don't think you should stop playing these plays all together BUT unless you really like any of these OVERS yourself, just don't play the rest of the ones I have posted. Let's see how week 2 does and then we can decide about week 3. FWIW, I am still going to play my OVERS, but for half the amount and will show what happens in my record.
There are a lot of Inter Conference games next weekend and because it looks like the easy OVERS may/or may not happen this early in the season, I don't think you should stop playing these plays all together BUT unless you really like any of these OVERS yourself, just don't play the rest of the ones I have posted. Let's see how week 2 does and then we can decide about week 3. FWIW, I am still going to play my OVERS, but for half the amount and will show what happens in my record.
Try for 20 or 4o every week you will hit at least 3-4 a year. Last week I also hit PHI + OVer + MIA + ATL + BUF for 20 times. I tear my ticket into pieces and sit there watching and talking to other people and wait until the bookie get some time so I cash my single bets ticket, then the fumble on PHI/JAX came up, i CAN'T believe I cash it. Put them back and use clear tape LOL. My local bookie said please keep it until final next time LOL.
hitman. That's LOL for sure. That would be a great bit for a TV show, although probally would have to be a Lottery ticket. Of all sports, the worst one for me is NFL sides. I used to win good on Saturday and give most of it back on Sunday. (this is before I started playing the OVERS) Playing the parleys, let me keep my straight plays smaller, yet still win big when I was right. I also play 5 or 6 team Money Line parleys for a hundred or so and they usually pay over a dime, depending on how high the Money Line is.
I did read something that makes tonights game my first non total NFL play of the season. What did I read?
THIS..."Tight games are the norm in the rivalry, with nine of the last 10 regular-season meetings decided by three points or fewer."
I don't like buying half points, but by doing so for this game, I figural I have a 90% chance of winning or pushing, although I'm going to wait and hope the line goes back to 3 before I buy anything. In any event, MY PLAY IS PITT +3 -135. If you don't like laying -135, which we do all the time in baseball, then just play PITT -2.5, looking for a close game.
I did read something that makes tonights game my first non total NFL play of the season. What did I read?
THIS..."Tight games are the norm in the rivalry, with nine of the last 10 regular-season meetings decided by three points or fewer."
I don't like buying half points, but by doing so for this game, I figural I have a 90% chance of winning or pushing, although I'm going to wait and hope the line goes back to 3 before I buy anything. In any event, MY PLAY IS PITT +3 -135. If you don't like laying -135, which we do all the time in baseball, then just play PITT -2.5, looking for a close game.
After the confusion last week, I did score my four plays 0-4. Although most of you found a better line than the one I posted and did win with the Phillies OVER, like I said, I'm showing that total as a Loss because a few of you did in fact lose that Total.
Now the queston is what do we do now? There are six Inter Conference games tomorrow. There are three ways to play them. Stay with them and bet the same unit size as last year or last week, cut you unit size by at least half, or just watch and don't play them at all.
To help you decide what to do, I went back to the first two week of last season. After looking at last year, Week One had only two Inter Conference games, which spilt, one Over with 45 points and one Under with 35 points. All the Sunday games in Week One went just 5 Over and 8 Under.
Now for where we are now, Week 2. All games went 7 Over and 6 Under, better than Week One; however, there were four I C games which went 3 Over with 47, 63 and 64 points and just one game Under with 35 points. Week 2 seems to dispute the feeling that early in the season games tend to be low scoring.
To get a better picture, I decided to go also back to Week 3 last year. There were 7 I C games which went 5 Over with 58, 64, 59, 52 and 63 points and just 2 Under with 26 and 29 points. However, looking at all the Week 3 Sunday games, there were just 6 Overs and 8 Unders. Looking at all the Sunday games the first three weeks, the Overs and Unders were a crapshoot, with about half going Over and Half going Under. But here comes the good part. Most of the Inter Conference games went Over, with 9 going Over and just 4 going Under. So last year, after just a 1-1 first week, the next two weeks the Overs were 8-3.
Now it looks like a good chance Week 1 was the bad week for Overs and that's it. The next two weeks are Inter Conference Over money makers. I was going to suggest we all pass this week, but seeing what happened last year, I would think at least half the Inter Conference games should go Over Sunday. I'm going to still play all six Inter Conference Games Over for a full unit. If you don't feel comfortable with my thinking, then please, cut these plays to just one half unit. This way you can't get hurt as bad but will make some money if the Overs do as well as last year.
HERE ARE THE SIX INTER CONFERENCE OVER GAMES FOR SUNDAY. It's now late Saturday here and I have to use the lines that are available now for record keeping, even though the lines could be lower in the morning when most of you will play these. Games start at 10 AM here and I won't have time to post this in the morning. These totals are from Bookmaker.
JACKSONVILLE/WASHINGTON PLAY OVER 42
DALLAS/TENNESSEE PLAY OVER 49
NEW ENGLAND/MINNY PLAY OVER 48.5
NEW ORLEANS/CLEVELAND PLAY OVER 48
ATLANTA/CINC. PLAY OVER 48.5
NY JETS/GREEN BAY PLAY OVER 46.
Now the queston is what do we do now? There are six Inter Conference games tomorrow. There are three ways to play them. Stay with them and bet the same unit size as last year or last week, cut you unit size by at least half, or just watch and don't play them at all.
To help you decide what to do, I went back to the first two week of last season. After looking at last year, Week One had only two Inter Conference games, which spilt, one Over with 45 points and one Under with 35 points. All the Sunday games in Week One went just 5 Over and 8 Under.
Now for where we are now, Week 2. All games went 7 Over and 6 Under, better than Week One; however, there were four I C games which went 3 Over with 47, 63 and 64 points and just one game Under with 35 points. Week 2 seems to dispute the feeling that early in the season games tend to be low scoring.
To get a better picture, I decided to go also back to Week 3 last year. There were 7 I C games which went 5 Over with 58, 64, 59, 52 and 63 points and just 2 Under with 26 and 29 points. However, looking at all the Week 3 Sunday games, there were just 6 Overs and 8 Unders. Looking at all the Sunday games the first three weeks, the Overs and Unders were a crapshoot, with about half going Over and Half going Under. But here comes the good part. Most of the Inter Conference games went Over, with 9 going Over and just 4 going Under. So last year, after just a 1-1 first week, the next two weeks the Overs were 8-3.
Now it looks like a good chance Week 1 was the bad week for Overs and that's it. The next two weeks are Inter Conference Over money makers. I was going to suggest we all pass this week, but seeing what happened last year, I would think at least half the Inter Conference games should go Over Sunday. I'm going to still play all six Inter Conference Games Over for a full unit. If you don't feel comfortable with my thinking, then please, cut these plays to just one half unit. This way you can't get hurt as bad but will make some money if the Overs do as well as last year.
HERE ARE THE SIX INTER CONFERENCE OVER GAMES FOR SUNDAY. It's now late Saturday here and I have to use the lines that are available now for record keeping, even though the lines could be lower in the morning when most of you will play these. Games start at 10 AM here and I won't have time to post this in the morning. These totals are from Bookmaker.
JACKSONVILLE/WASHINGTON PLAY OVER 42
DALLAS/TENNESSEE PLAY OVER 49
NEW ENGLAND/MINNY PLAY OVER 48.5
NEW ORLEANS/CLEVELAND PLAY OVER 48
ATLANTA/CINC. PLAY OVER 48.5
NY JETS/GREEN BAY PLAY OVER 46.
