The Inter Conference Game Saturday went OVER, making those plays 31-27. There are three Inter Conference games Sunday, although it's up to you if you want to play them. Prime Time Games went 1-2 last week, counting Monday nights game as two losses.
INTER CONFERENCE GAMES SUNDAY 31-27
MINNY/MIAMI OVER 41.5
CLEVELAND/CAROLINA OVER 40.5
INDY/DALLAS OVER 54.5
THURSDAY PRIME TIME HOME TEAM 11-4
NY GIANTS/ST. LOUIS OVER 43
SUNDAY PRIME TIME GAME 12-3
SEATTLE/ARIZONA OVER 36
Summary thru week 14
Inter Conference Overs
Last week 0-2
Weeks 2 thru 13: 30-27
All Prime Time Overs
Last week 1-2
YTD: 34-11
ALL PLAYS: 64-38
INTER CONFERENCE GAMES SUNDAY 31-27
MINNY/MIAMI OVER 41.5
CLEVELAND/CAROLINA OVER 40.5
INDY/DALLAS OVER 54.5
THURSDAY PRIME TIME HOME TEAM 11-4
NY GIANTS/ST. LOUIS OVER 43
SUNDAY PRIME TIME GAME 12-3
SEATTLE/ARIZONA OVER 36
Summary thru week 14
Inter Conference Overs
Last week 0-2
Weeks 2 thru 13: 30-27
All Prime Time Overs
Last week 1-2
YTD: 34-11
ALL PLAYS: 64-38
The point of keeping records is to give an indication what happens if you play these. Week one was an abnormally because it was the first week. Should I post these next season, I will start with week two, although I may just post the Prime Time Plays because we know they win big, the last two weeks notwithstanding.
Why was it an anomaly? Because they lost? What about the last few weeks? Should we exclude those too? Were those anomalies?
You can't back-fit data, it makes the results worthless.
"The point of keeping records is to give an indication what happens if you play these." Which is precisely why you don't cherry pick weeks. I can guarantee you, if week 1 went 4-1 you wouldn't have excluded that week from your records. Saying its week 1 is a convenient excuse to back-fit data.
Its already been shown that the only anomaly (I'm assuming that's what you meant) was last year, that was the only thing abnormal. As I and others have pointed out, it is not a longterm profitable method for playing Overs. Its been posted previously in this thread what the records long term have been.
Same thing for PT Overs. This year is an aberration, the best in the last 10 years. Last year 28-21. Last 12 years, including this year, 266-241. This is for any game that started at 7pm EST or later. There are many "systems" that are good short term, but for any system to be meaningful you need consistent year to year wins. Neither of these have done that. Now, the last 2 years have been good, so perhaps it will continue. That's the only thing "we" know.
As for Thursday home team, next week over? Again, whats the long term record? I'm not gonna dig that up, but I would doubt that it isn't anything more than a recent phenomenon.
You trumpeted in your thread title how your overs went 80% last year, now you are backing off and telling people to essentially not to play them. Often times people get excited over what they think is a great angle, and sometimes they are. But it takes more than a 1 year, or any other short time period, to make them reliable.
You can't back-fit data, it makes the results worthless.
"The point of keeping records is to give an indication what happens if you play these." Which is precisely why you don't cherry pick weeks. I can guarantee you, if week 1 went 4-1 you wouldn't have excluded that week from your records. Saying its week 1 is a convenient excuse to back-fit data.
Its already been shown that the only anomaly (I'm assuming that's what you meant) was last year, that was the only thing abnormal. As I and others have pointed out, it is not a longterm profitable method for playing Overs. Its been posted previously in this thread what the records long term have been.
Same thing for PT Overs. This year is an aberration, the best in the last 10 years. Last year 28-21. Last 12 years, including this year, 266-241. This is for any game that started at 7pm EST or later. There are many "systems" that are good short term, but for any system to be meaningful you need consistent year to year wins. Neither of these have done that. Now, the last 2 years have been good, so perhaps it will continue. That's the only thing "we" know.
As for Thursday home team, next week over? Again, whats the long term record? I'm not gonna dig that up, but I would doubt that it isn't anything more than a recent phenomenon.
You trumpeted in your thread title how your overs went 80% last year, now you are backing off and telling people to essentially not to play them. Often times people get excited over what they think is a great angle, and sometimes they are. But it takes more than a 1 year, or any other short time period, to make them reliable.
biz. Why are you posting this same stuff again. We all read your post #114 and #117 in this thread and I even acknowledged some of what you wrote. There is no need to repeat it, you made your point back then. Or do you enjoy trying to make others look bad, or yourself look good, like you did yesterday correcting boss415 spelling. You wrote "PS: Its spelled cOAching, not cOUching."
Why would you question my telling people not to play the Inter Conference Overs any longer. What I was doing was saying because they have not followed last years winnings, it would be best to stop playing them anymore until we see if that changes. Isn't that what you want to see.
As for the Prime Time Games, the Giants/Rams game did go Over with tonights Prime Time game left for today.
Why would you question my telling people not to play the Inter Conference Overs any longer. What I was doing was saying because they have not followed last years winnings, it would be best to stop playing them anymore until we see if that changes. Isn't that what you want to see.
As for the Prime Time Games, the Giants/Rams game did go Over with tonights Prime Time game left for today.
Ok.
Why do you keep omitting Week 1, calling it an anomaly?? You mention that whenever its record keeping time.
You're the one that continually says week 1 doesn't count. It does. People that blindly tailed this overs system lost money on it. My point in repeating it, is to let people know that they shouldn't blindly follow systems based on short term success. So when you repeat your record, and conveniently dismiss week 1, I don't want people new to the thread to get the wrong idea. Post the entire record, all weeks. You never said don't play week 1 before the season started. Next year, when you put that disclaimer in, then don't count it. But you can't dismiss it after the fact, just because it lost.
As for boss415, he was making a ridiculous comment about Harbaugh. Why do you care what I said to him?
I don't make others look bad, they do a good enough job all by themselves.
Why do you keep omitting Week 1, calling it an anomaly?? You mention that whenever its record keeping time.
You're the one that continually says week 1 doesn't count. It does. People that blindly tailed this overs system lost money on it. My point in repeating it, is to let people know that they shouldn't blindly follow systems based on short term success. So when you repeat your record, and conveniently dismiss week 1, I don't want people new to the thread to get the wrong idea. Post the entire record, all weeks. You never said don't play week 1 before the season started. Next year, when you put that disclaimer in, then don't count it. But you can't dismiss it after the fact, just because it lost.
As for boss415, he was making a ridiculous comment about Harbaugh. Why do you care what I said to him?
I don't make others look bad, they do a good enough job all by themselves.
Thanks Biz. You were right about the Inter Conference Plays. They may not be worth playing next season, although I may still post them just to see how they do. If I do track them, I will not start until week two.
Now the good news. The Prime Time OVERS swept last week, going 3- 0, making them 37-11 for the season. These will be plays next season, until they prove me wrong. Just one last Prime Time OVER left and that is the Thursday Home Team Next Game OVER.
THURSDAY PRIME TIME HOME TEAM 12-4
PLAY JAX/HOUSTON OVER 40
Now the good news. The Prime Time OVERS swept last week, going 3- 0, making them 37-11 for the season. These will be plays next season, until they prove me wrong. Just one last Prime Time OVER left and that is the Thursday Home Team Next Game OVER.
THURSDAY PRIME TIME HOME TEAM 12-4
PLAY JAX/HOUSTON OVER 40
