hitman's last post corrects the OVERS record to 4 OVERS and 3 UNDERS. Not very good but much much better than last week. Here is what is really interesting. The Inter Conference games go OVER the total a lot more than regular In Conference games. The In Conference games went just 1 or 2 OVERS and 5 UNDERS, depending if the 49 game was a PUSH or an UNDER.
One more game, which I'll post Monday, hopefully with a lower line that the current 54.5 line.
One more game, which I'll post Monday, hopefully with a lower line that the current 54.5 line.
xflrejects. Thanks for the info. They must play most of the I C games the first half of the season. I didn't start to track them until week 9 or 10. From then on in the regular season, those are the ones that went 12-3 for me. 76% the full season. To be honest, even before the bad first week this year, I said I would
would be happy hitting 60%, which I still feel I can.
would be happy hitting 60%, which I still feel I can.
I saw that Kazmania, but the Power of the Inter Conference OVERS was stronger than the Power of Lang. The last three Inter Conference plays all went OVER, making the second week 5 OVERS and 3 UNDERS for a profitable week of over 60% for anyone who stayed with these plays after what happened week one. Still behind but we cut the week 1 losses in half.
Based on info from xflrejects on how these OVER plays did all of last season, plus my record from week 9 to the end of the regular season, it's very likely what happened week one won't repeat. From the lack of replies about a better week 2, I wonder if at least some of you who were hurt playing week 1 didn't give up and played at least half units to get something back from week 2.
Things are looking up and week three has a lot of I C games to pick which ones you want to play, if you don't like all of them. Remember, if you like playing OVERS, a higher percentage of Inter Conference games go OVER than Intra Conference games.
WEEK TWO 5-3
YTD 5-7
Based on info from xflrejects on how these OVER plays did all of last season, plus my record from week 9 to the end of the regular season, it's very likely what happened week one won't repeat. From the lack of replies about a better week 2, I wonder if at least some of you who were hurt playing week 1 didn't give up and played at least half units to get something back from week 2.
Things are looking up and week three has a lot of I C games to pick which ones you want to play, if you don't like all of them. Remember, if you like playing OVERS, a higher percentage of Inter Conference games go OVER than Intra Conference games.
WEEK TWO 5-3
YTD 5-7
HERE ARE THE PLAYS FOR WEEK THREE. There were EIGHT Inter Conference games in Week Two and now in Week Three there is a total of just THREE Inter Conference games and only One game is during the day Sunday, the other Two being night games. If you like playing OVERS, remember, a higher percentage of the Inter Conference games go OVER than when both teams are in the same Conference.
After a very bad week one, going 0-4, last week was much better, with the Inter Conference OVERS going 5-3, the last three games all going OVER. I'm posting both Sunday games now with the current total.
PLAY HOUSTON/NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 41
PLAY PITT/CAROLINA OVER 42
After a very bad week one, going 0-4, last week was much better, with the Inter Conference OVERS going 5-3, the last three games all going OVER. I'm posting both Sunday games now with the current total.
PLAY HOUSTON/NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 41
PLAY PITT/CAROLINA OVER 42
since you're struggling to figure out which games are NFC vs AFC here is an overview for the next few weeks....
or just plug this query in at killersports.com and it will show you the games to play
season=2014 and not C and H
or just plug this query in at killersports.com and it will show you the games to play
season=2014 and not C and H
| Date | Link | Day | Week | Season | Team | Opp | Site | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | Line | Total | SUm | ATSm | OUm | DPS | DPA | SUr | ATSr | OUr | ot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2014 | view | Sunday | 7 | 2014 | Bears | Dolphins | home | | | | | | -6.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 19, 2014 | view | Sunday | 7 | 2014 | Bills | Vikings | home | | | | | | -2.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 12, 2014 | view | Sunday | 6 | 2014 | Bengals | Panthers | home | | | | | | -3.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 12, 2014 | view | Sunday | 6 | 2014 | Buccaneers | Ravens | home | | | | | | -1.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 12, 2014 | view | Sunday | 6 | 2014 | Dolphins | Packers | home | | | | | | 2.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 05, 2014 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2014 | Broncos | Cardinals | home | | | | | | -7.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 05, 2014 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2014 | Cowboys | Texans | home | | | | | | -4.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 05, 2014 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2014 | Fortyniners | Chiefs | home | | | | | | -7.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Oct 05, 2014 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2014 | Lions | Bills | home | | | | | | -7.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 28, 2014 | view | Sunday | 4 | 2014 | Jets | Lions | home | | | | | | 1.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 28, 2014 | view | Sunday | 4 | 2014 | Ravens | Panthers | home | | | | | | -3.0 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 28, 2014 | view | Sunday | 4 | 2014 | Steelers | Buccaneers | home | | | | | | -6.5 | | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 22, 2014 | view | Monday | 3 | 2014 | Jets | Bears | home | | | | | | -3.0 | 45.5 | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 21, 2014 | view | Sunday | 3 | 2014 | Giants | Texans | home | | | | | | -1.0 | 41.5 | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 21, 2014 | view | Sunday | 3 | 2014 | Panthers | Steelers | home | | | | | | -3.5 | 42.0 | | | | | | | | | |
| Sep 21, 2014 | view | Sunday | 3 | 2014 | Seahawks | Broncos | home | | | | | | -5.0 | 48.0 |
Thanks rooltied and yes, I feel like a fool. Just be glad most of you are a lot younger that me. Nevertheless, the system works. If anyone cares, I keep remembering when Seattle was an AFL team and played Denver twice a year. The Bears and Jets don't play until Monday and I'll post it then, with the current total.
In any event, here are all the plays for Sunday. I kept the totals I used last night. What is important is that a higher percentage of the Inter Conference games go OVER the total, than when both teams are from the same conference.
PLAY HOUSTON/NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 41
PLAY DENVER/SEATTLE OVER 48
PLAY PITT/CAROLINA OVER 42
In any event, here are all the plays for Sunday. I kept the totals I used last night. What is important is that a higher percentage of the Inter Conference games go OVER the total, than when both teams are from the same conference.
PLAY HOUSTON/NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 41
PLAY DENVER/SEATTLE OVER 48
PLAY PITT/CAROLINA OVER 42
Here's a wrinkle that will bring the volume of plays way down, but the win % up. Add one more filter. The inter-conference game must be played in a dome. I backtested this for 4 years and the % was close to 70%.
Probably something to do with teams not familiar with each other playing on a fast surface. Advantage offense.
Probably something to do with teams not familiar with each other playing on a fast surface. Advantage offense.
Cutler. Interesting and thanks for posting. I'm thinking of adding an extra half unit when I play inside games. Were you also able to see the overall percentage for all Inter Conference games, inside and outside.
Todays early OVER is a joke. The Giant's as usual fumble on the one yard line. Good buy 7 points. Then, for good measure, they muff a field goal attempt. Good buy 3 points. Oh, can't forget Ryan Fitzpatrick's QB rating is the lowest I have ever seen. 1.8!!! God, the Giant's are bad.
Todays early OVER is a joke. The Giant's as usual fumble on the one yard line. Good buy 7 points. Then, for good measure, they muff a field goal attempt. Good buy 3 points. Oh, can't forget Ryan Fitzpatrick's QB rating is the lowest I have ever seen. 1.8!!! God, the Giant's are bad.
Over Play for Monday
The Monday night game tonight is a play. Sunday was a good day, winning with Houston/Giants and Pitt/Carolina, but losing with San Diego/Seattle by just two points. This makes weeks two and three, 7 winners and just 4 losers, after the disaster of week 1 when all four Inter Conference games stayed Under. Any of you who kept playing these totals, after losing all four week one plays are almost back to even, just one play below .500. Based on last years games, the OVERS got stronger as the season progressed and I don't see a repeat of week one when all four plays stayed Under.
TONIGHT PLAY CHICAGO/JETS OVER 44.5
WEEK THREE 2-1
YTD 7-8
The Monday night game tonight is a play. Sunday was a good day, winning with Houston/Giants and Pitt/Carolina, but losing with San Diego/Seattle by just two points. This makes weeks two and three, 7 winners and just 4 losers, after the disaster of week 1 when all four Inter Conference games stayed Under. Any of you who kept playing these totals, after losing all four week one plays are almost back to even, just one play below .500. Based on last years games, the OVERS got stronger as the season progressed and I don't see a repeat of week one when all four plays stayed Under.
TONIGHT PLAY CHICAGO/JETS OVER 44.5
WEEK THREE 2-1
YTD 7-8
Thanks Voodoo.......... I do wonder how many stuck with this after my bad first week. Hopefully, some did stay after I posted that past info led me to feel the bad first week was an isolated instance. So far it looks that way. After tonights OVER win, my plays are back to even at 8-8, but for just this week and last week, my OVER plays have gone 8-4. Based on info from last season, I feel good about the weeks to come.
SUMMARY
YEAR TO DATE 8-8
THIS WEEK 3-1
SUMMARY
YEAR TO DATE 8-8
THIS WEEK 3-1
Last year was very good, year previous to that not bad. The 8 years prior to those 2 are losing or very small winning years. Perhaps this is a recent trend that will keep winning, just letting you know that it is a fairly recent phenomenon.
| 2013-14 | 49-15 | ||
| 2012-13 | 36-28 | | |
| 2011-12 | 29-34 | ||
| 2010-11 | 36-28 | ||
| 2009-10 | 26-37 | ||
| 2008-09 | 31-32 | ||
| 2007-08 | 33-30 | ||
| 2006-07 | 30-31 | ||
| 2005-06 | 33-30 | ||
| 2004-05 | 35-29 | ||
| 2003-04 | 33-30 |
