2nd half bet system (bowls)

[iluvboguslines]

I have a bad feeling the second half line may have been a sucker line. I say that because Houston has been a great second half team all year. respect your system though just feel like this game may be a bear trap. best bet is the under 32 second half imo.

good luck to all

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Appreciate your opinion iluvboguslines, would have been nice to get it before the Houston TD on the opening drive. Welcome to the RX and feel free to post and track your picks here.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Pitt-Oregon State

NO PLAY

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Bowl season posted plays record

2-4 (-4.7 units)

 

[MikeOxbig]

I wasn't on Air Force only because I didn't get my bet in on time, but I was pulling for my fellow system followers. I'm still very confident that with solid money management that this will be big time profitable.

I just hope none of you dumbasses calls into a national radio show and divulges our little gem to the masses...I've already seen some douche pirating the system and pawning it off as his own over at capperslounge.com. Probably one of you idiots.

Anyway, massive props to Hoos for the lead, and for making Bowl Season interesting again!

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I wasn't on Air Force only because I didn't get my bet in on time, but I was pulling for my fellow system followers. I'm still very confident that with solid money management that this will be big time profitable.

I just hope none of you dumbasses calls into a national radio show and divulges our little gem to the masses...I've already seen some douche pirating the system and pawning it off as his own over at capperslounge.com. Probably one of you idiots.

Anyway, massive props to Hoos for the lead, and for making Bowl Season interesting again!

Sorry about your basketball team yesterday Mike. Still pretty confident they'll beat my Hoosiers, we're awful! Have a Happy New Year's!

Tough loss on AF today, thought we were in good position when they made that 2 point conversion!

 

[thefriedone]

Looks like the Ore St. / Pitt game met the yardage differential and minimum yardage requirements. I made a 2 unit bet on Ore St. as a pick 'em.

 

[MikeOxbig]

Hey Hoos,

My numbers say to take Oregon State in the 2nd half.

Oregon St 192 Total Yards
Pittsburgh 102 Total Yards (per ESPN)

90 yard differential with Pitt falling in the minimum yard range.

Placing a 2 unit play one Oregon St. as a Pick 'Em. Curious as to why you saw this as a No Play...

 

[DatsRight]

This he saw it as a no play because with 50 sec left pitt had the ball and then oregon st ended up driving about 60 more yards, therefore setting it up to be a play

 

[DatsRight]

sorry 1:20 left

 

[maxcaesar]

Thanks for the reply Blind Date! Great information.

miami sam, I've never really "tracked" myself, the only thing I really care about is my Sportsbook balance. I don't have a record, I'll start tracking here when I post plays.

Guys, I did week 13 today. Took about 2 hours to do this. Here's the table:

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 417pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=553 border=0><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 74pt" width=98><COL style="WIDTH: 75pt" width=100><COL style="WIDTH: 32pt" span=2 width=42><COL style="WIDTH: 26pt" width=34><COL style="WIDTH: 75pt" width=100><COL style="WIDTH: 25pt" width=33><COL style="WIDTH: 78pt" width=104><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="WIDTH: 74pt; HEIGHT: 15pt" width=98 height=20>AWAY TEAM</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 75pt" width=100>HOME TEAM</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 32pt" width=42>A YDS</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 32pt" width=42>H YDS</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 26pt" width=34>DIFF</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 75pt" width=100>2H TEAM BET</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 25pt" width=33>SPR</TD><TD style="WIDTH: 78pt" width=104>RES</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Northern Ill</TD><TD>Kent St</TD><TD align=right>226</TD><TD align=right>134</TD><TD align=right>92</TD><TD>Northern Ill</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Ball State</TD><TD>Central Mich</TD><TD align=right>193</TD><TD align=right>188</TD><TD align=right>5</TD><TD>Ball State</TD><TD align=right>-4</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Buffalo</TD><TD>Bowling Green</TD><TD align=right>64</TD><TD align=right>195</TD><TD align=right>131</TD><TD>Bowling Green</TD><TD align=right>-1</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Fresno St</TD><TD>San Jose St</TD><TD align=right>20</TD><TD align=right>113</TD><TD align=right>93</TD><TD>San Jose St</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>West Virginia</TD><TD>Louisville</TD><TD align=right>276</TD><TD align=right>203</TD><TD align=right>73</TD><TD>West Virginia</TD><TD align=right>-6</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>NC State</TD><TD>UNC</TD><TD align=right>176</TD><TD align=right>125</TD><TD align=right>51</TD><TD>NC State</TD><TD align=right>7.5</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Army</TD><TD>Rutgers</TD><TD align=right>112</TD><TD align=right>345</TD><TD align=right>233</TD><TD>Rutgers</TD><TD align=right>-7</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Michigan</TD><TD>Ohio St</TD><TD align=right>79</TD><TD align=right>162</TD><TD align=right>83</TD><TD>Ohio St</TD><TD align=right>-10</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Clemson</TD><TD>Virginia</TD><TD align=right>150</TD><TD align=right>113</TD><TD align=right>37</TD><TD>Clemson</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Tennessee</TD><TD>Vanderbilt</TD><TD align=right>141</TD><TD align=right>14</TD><TD align=right>127</TD><TD>Tennessee</TD><TD align=right>-3</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>UCF</TD><TD>Memphis</TD><TD align=right>173</TD><TD align=right>123</TD><TD align=right>50</TD><TD>UCF</TD><TD align=right>-3</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Syracuse</TD><TD>Notre Dame</TD><TD align=right>159</TD><TD align=right>165</TD><TD align=right>6</TD><TD>Notre Dame</TD><TD align=right>-10</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Colorado St</TD><TD>Wyoming</TD><TD align=right>183</TD><TD align=right>231</TD><TD align=right>48</TD><TD>Wyoming</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Tulane</TD><TD>Tulsa</TD><TD align=right>133</TD><TD align=right>297</TD><TD align=right>164</TD><TD>Tulsa</TD><TD align=right>-11</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Fla Atl</TD><TD>Arkansas St</TD><TD align=right>227</TD><TD align=right>244</TD><TD align=right>17</TD><TD>Arkansas St</TD><TD align=right>-3</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Arkansas</TD><TD>Mississippi St</TD><TD align=right>208</TD><TD align=right>228</TD><TD align=right>20</TD><TD>Mississippi St</TD><TD align=right>1</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Washington</TD><TD>Washington St</TD><TD align=right>128</TD><TD align=right>90</TD><TD align=right>38</TD><TD>Washington</TD><TD align=right>-4</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Illinois</TD><TD>Northwestern</TD><TD align=right>99</TD><TD align=right>228</TD><TD align=right>129</TD><TD>Northwestern</TD><TD align=right>1</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Stanford</TD><TD>California</TD><TD align=right>248</TD><TD align=right>214</TD><TD align=right>34</TD><TD>Stanford</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Boston Coll</TD><TD>Wake Forest</TD><TD align=right>148</TD><TD align=right>49</TD><TD align=right>99</TD><TD>Boston Coll</TD><TD align=right>-2</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Michigan St</TD><TD>Penn St</TD><TD align=right>125</TD><TD align=right>272</TD><TD align=right>147</TD><TD>Penn St</TD><TD align=right>-7</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Mississippi</TD><TD>LSU</TD><TD align=right>241</TD><TD align=right>141</TD><TD align=right>100</TD><TD>Mississippi</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Marshall</TD><TD>Rice</TD><TD align=right>198</TD><TD align=right>147</TD><TD align=right>51</TD><TD>Marshall</TD><TD align=right>3.5</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>UTEP</TD><TD>Houston</TD><TD align=right>261</TD><TD align=right>333</TD><TD align=right>72</TD><TD>Houston</TD><TD align=right>-10</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>North Texas</TD><TD>MTSU</TD><TD align=right>238</TD><TD align=right>400</TD><TD align=right>162</TD><TD>MTSU</TD><TD align=right>-6.5</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Iowa St</TD><TD>Kansas St</TD><TD align=right>314</TD><TD align=right>306</TD><TD align=right>8</TD><TD>Iowa St</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Air Force</TD><TD>TCU</TD><TD align=right>59</TD><TD align=right>306</TD><TD align=right>247</TD><TD>TCU</TD><TD align=right>-8</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Boise St</TD><TD>Nevada</TD><TD align=right>313</TD><TD align=right>133</TD><TD align=right>180</TD><TD>Boise St</TD><TD align=right>-2</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Louisiana Tech</TD><TD>New Mexico St</TD><TD align=right>224</TD><TD align=right>297</TD><TD align=right>73</TD><TD>New Mexico St</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>BYU</TD><TD>Utah</TD><TD align=right>201</TD><TD align=right>316</TD><TD align=right>115</TD><TD>Utah</TD><TD align=right>-2.5</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Duke</TD><TD>Virginia Tech</TD><TD align=right>48</TD><TD align=right>219</TD><TD align=right>171</TD><TD>Virginia Tech</TD><TD align=right>-7.5</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Oregon St</TD><TD>Arizona</TD><TD align=right>142</TD><TD align=right>132</TD><TD align=right>10</TD><TD>Oregon St</TD><TD align=right>3</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>East Carolina</TD><TD>UAB</TD><TD align=right>123</TD><TD align=right>123</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>East Carolina</TD><TD align=right>-4</TD><TD>PUSH</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Iowa</TD><TD>Minnesota</TD><TD align=right>265</TD><TD align=right>29</TD><TD align=right>236</TD><TD>Iowa</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Pittsburgh</TD><TD>Cincinnati</TD><TD align=right>96</TD><TD align=right>188</TD><TD align=right>92</TD><TD>Cincinnati</TD><TD align=right>-3</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>La-Lafayette</TD><TD>Troy</TD><TD align=right>176</TD><TD align=right>251</TD><TD align=right>75</TD><TD>Troy</TD><TD align=right>-4</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>La-Monroe</TD><TD>Fla Intl</TD><TD align=right>224</TD><TD align=right>225</TD><TD align=right>1</TD><TD>Fla Intl</TD><TD align=right>-6.5</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>UNLV</TD><TD>SDSU</TD><TD align=right>139</TD><TD align=right>244</TD><TD align=right>105</TD><TD>SDSU</TD><TD align=right>6</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Florida St</TD><TD>Maryland</TD><TD align=right>165</TD><TD align=right>136</TD><TD align=right>29</TD><TD>Florida St</TD><TD align=right>-1</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Idaho</TD><TD>Hawaii</TD><TD align=right>163</TD><TD align=right>217</TD><TD align=right>54</TD><TD>Hawaii</TD><TD align=right>-11</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Texas Tech</TD><TD>Oklahoma</TD><TD align=right>174</TD><TD align=right>373</TD><TD align=right>199</TD><TD>Oklahoma</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>WON</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20><TD style="HEIGHT: 15pt" height=20>Connecticut</TD><TD>USF</TD><TD align=right>80</TD><TD align=right>142</TD><TD align=right>62</TD><TD>USF</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD>LOST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
So currently, simply taking the team with the yardage edge at half, you will have won 63% of your games! That's a 47-28-2 record.

But we can do better!

If we eliminate the blowouts (50% when differential is 233 or above) and the even yardage (63% when differential is 70 or below - still not bad!), then we will have gone 27-8 the past 4 weeks which is 77%!

I've also noticed something else looking at the stats. You really want to find games where both teams are moving the ball. When both teams are above 188 yards, the team with the yardage edge covers in the 2nd half 92% of the time (12-1)!

Want a larger sample size? Take the formula from earlier, where we ignore the blowouts and ignore the even yardage. Take out the games where there is a team 64 yards or below, and we are 26-3 (90%)!

Lets get ready for CMU-FAU tonight!

Like what your doing here hoosiers. I was wondering what site you used to get the second half lines for previous weeks? I haven't found a site that keeps a historical database of all the second half lines.

 

[MikeOxbig]

Holy shit... is that the fucking VILLAGE PEOPLE rocking it at halftime?!?!?

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Oregon State got late yards to make it a play. Sorry people I dozed off for a bit and didn't notice it. I saw like a 30 yard differential with 2 minutes to go and classified it as a no play. The play is below.

Official play:

Oregon St PK 2 units (Sportsbook.com)

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Thanks to the people who have been reading the instructions on how to do this system and got their bets in. I'm awake now so I won't miss the Vandy-BC game. Looking like a Vandy play but as we saw here, much can change!

 

[MikeOxbig]

Sorry about your basketball team yesterday Mike. Still pretty confident they'll beat my Hoosiers, we're awful! Have a Happy New Year's!

Tough loss on AF today, thought we were in good position when they made that 2 point conversion!

Even though I hail from Boilermaker country, I went to Butler, so "My Team" is the Bulldogs. Purdue is a close second, then every other D-I, D-II, D-III, and NAIA basketball program...then just MAYBE I'll root for the Hoosiers. (But I doubt it.)

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Vandy-BC

No play

 

[MikeOxbig]

Can Maeveo take ANOTHER god damn sack?!?! Jesus dude...mix in some foot speed or GET RID OF THE BALL...

Cost us a ton of yards and a field goal...

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Pushed in the Oregon St game, lost in the AF game.

Posted record now 2-4-1 (-4.7 units).

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Like what your doing here hoosiers. I was wondering what site you used to get the second half lines for previous weeks? I haven't found a site that keeps a historical database of all the second half lines.

I don't have a "database", I go to VegasInsider.com and click the "matchups" and the "line movements".

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Looking like a 1 unit play for Kansas unless Minnesota gets 57 yards in the last minute.

Be careful though, since I started this thread teams with the yardage edge have been 2-8-2.

However I love this play. Probably will be Kansas -3.