2016 NCAA Football Systems

mws · Sep 28, 2016

rolltide said:
ugh, backdoor TD on 4th and goal reversed and ball given to Tide at 1" line ... Be happy if Bama gets that call vs aTm or Tenn, don't really need it up 48 on Kent.

Didn't Bama get the same call against Ole Miss?

Knee met shadow, and there was no way to tell when the knee hit the ground. A Rebel TD turned into a FG.

Kaboom · Sep 29, 2016

Any trends this week Tide ?? Appreciate your work !!

rolltide · Sep 29, 2016

mws said:
Didn't Bama get the same call against Ole Miss?

Knee met shadow, and there was no way to tell when the knee hit the ground. A Rebel TD turned into a FG.

call on the field there was no TD so they couldn't overturn it. call on the field vs Kent was a TD so they had to claim clear evidence to overturn

plus, if I'm not mistaken the play you are talking about had just the single angle where another players ankle was in between the runner's knee and the ground.

anyway, the REVERSAL is a big difference...not to mention Kent's was on 4th and goal so drive ended. Ole Miss was on 3rd....

rolltide · Sep 29, 2016

Kaboom said:
Any trends this week Tide ?? Appreciate your work !!

i post every week so no need to ask

small chance i can do it tonight but will be up tomorrow at the latest. busy week

Kaboom · Sep 29, 2016

No problem ...thanks for the heads up

Biz · Sep 29, 2016

Hey Tide, I'll toss one out there. Hope you don't mind.

mws · Sep 29, 2016

rolltide said:
call on the field there was no TD so they couldn't overturn it. call on the field vs Kent was a TD so they had to claim clear evidence to overturn

plus, if I'm not mistaken the play you are talking about had just the single angle where another players ankle was in between the runner's knee and the ground.

anyway, the REVERSAL is a big difference...not to mention Kent's was on 4th and goal so drive ended. Ole Miss was on 3rd....

I changed the channel after the Kent (apparent) TD because I had lost my under. Was shocked to see that the points had come off the board.

rolltide · Sep 30, 2016

sorry so late but crazy week...

PLAY ON conference road team off a fav loss last week but beat a 1AA opponent the previous week (on WYOMING *******) note: fits 16-1 tightener as Colorado St was not a big fav last week

CA and p:line < -1.5 and p:FL and ppo:division = 1A A and 38 > pp:margin > 4

SU:	13-18-0 (-0.16, 41.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	26-3-2 (7.97, 89.7%)	avg line: 8.1	+6: 30-1-0 (96.8%)	-6: 13-16-2 (44.8%)	+10: 30-1-0 (96.8%)	-10: 11-19-1 (36.7%)
O/U:	7-10-0 (-1.68, 41.2%)	avg total: 55.2	+6: 6-11-0 (35.3%)	-6: 11-5-1 (68.8%)	+10: 5-12-0 (29.4%)	-10: 12-5-0 (70.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	41.2	172.2	30.6	17.9	193.9	1.6	7.2	6.6	7.1	6.7	23.5
Opp	39.2	142.1	31.1	16.5	223.2	2.2	7.7	7.9	1.8	8.1	23.7

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	WYO	COST	away						6.5	54.0

PLAY ON rested 2-1 team coming off first loss of season (on Texas) note: also meets 19-4 ATS qualifier

game number = 4 and p:L and losses = 1 and rest > 10 and season > 1993 and p:ats margin < 4.5

SU:	29-17-0 (8.87, 63.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	32-13-1 (7.40, 71.1%)	avg line: -1.5	+6: 40-6-0 (87.0%)	-6: 24-20-2 (54.5%)	+10: 40-4-2 (90.9%)	-10: 17-29-0 (37.0%)
O/U:	13-7-1 (5.50, 65.0%)	avg total: 56.1	+6: 11-10-0 (52.4%)	-6: 16-5-0 (76.2%)	+10: 9-10-2 (47.4%)	-10: 16-4-1 (80.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.5	159.9	35.1	22.7	261.7	2.0	8.7	9.0	8.3	8.1	31.4
Opp	37.1	141.9	32.8	19.1	236.0	1.9	4.0	9.2	6.5	7.8	22.6

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	TEX	OKST	away						2.5	71.5

PLAY ON home teams off a bye week in game #4 that are allowing <21 ppg (on Miami Florida)

game number = 4 and p:W and tA(o

oints) < 21.6 and 14 > rest > 9 and PRSW > 3 and P:margin < 20

SU:	63-25-3 (11.11, 71.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	61-26-1 (5.99, 70.1%)	avg line: -5.1	+6: 71-17-0 (80.7%)	-6: 41-47-0 (46.6%)	+10: 75-13-0 (85.2%)	-10: 34-54-0 (38.6%)
O/U:	10-11-1 (0.05, 47.6%)	avg total: 54.4	+6: 6-15-1 (28.6%)	-6: 15-7-0 (68.2%)	+10: 4-18-0 (18.2%)	-10: 16-5-1 (76.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.6	153.5	36.5	22.9	283.3	2.1	8.3	9.8	4.5	7.2	31.4
Opp	35.8	154.8	33.6	17.7	220.5	2.1	4.8	4.5	6.7	8.7	20.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	MIAF	GTCH	away						-7.0	52.5

OPPOSE home favs of 3 TD or less with regular rest off an OT loss and opponent also regular rest (on Fresno)

HF and p

vertime > 0 and p:L and line > -22 and rest < 13 and p:line < 20.5 and o:rest < 11 and season > 1996

SU:	47-35-0 (2.89, 57.3%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	22-58-2 (-6.14, 27.5%)	avg line: -9.0	+6: 38-43-1 (46.9%)	-6: 12-69-1 (14.8%)	+10: 51-30-1 (63.0%)	-10: 10-72-0 (12.2%)
O/U:	22-20-1 (1.99, 52.4%)	avg total: 52.2	+6: 15-28-0 (34.9%)	-6: 26-17-0 (60.5%)	+10: 14-29-0 (32.6%)	-10: 29-14-0 (67.4%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	42.5	188.9	30.8	18.2	219.5	2.1	6.1	7.7	6.6	7.7	28.0
Opp	34.9	122.4	33.7	18.7	229.3	1.7	6.1	6.3	6.2	6.4	25.1

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	UNLV	FRES	home						-9.5	59.0

PLAY ON 3.5-9.5 dogs with good defense (on STAN only if +3.5 or higher, on CMU only if +3.5 or higher)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(o

assing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral

SU:	187-256-0 (-3.42, 42.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	274-156-13 (2.74, 63.7%)	avg line: 6.2	+6: 328-112-3 (74.5%)	-6: 184-254-5 (42.0%)	+10: 351-90-2 (79.6%)	-10: 136-303-4 (31.0%)
O/U:	205-230-8 (-0.45, 47.1%)	avg total: 50.1	+6: 139-300-4 (31.7%)	-6: 272-163-8 (62.5%)	+10: 109-332-2 (24.7%)	-10: 324-114-5 (74.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.4	136.9	30.5	17.6	208.0	1.8	5.0	6.6	5.1	6.0	23.1
Opp	37.2	153.9	32.1	18.9	228.8	1.8	5.7	7.8	5.6	7.0	26.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	CMCH	WMCH	home						3.5	55.5									0
Sep 30, 2016		Friday	5	2016	STAN	WAS	away						3.5	45.0

rolltide · Sep 30, 2016

OPPOSE favorites not off a bye week after going to OT as a 7.5+ favorite (on STAN, on FRESNO)

p

vertime > 0 and F and p:line < -7 and op:ats margin > -3 and rest < 10

SU:	44-22-0 (8.09, 66.7%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	20-45-1 (-4.08, 30.8%)	avg line: -12.2	+6: 37-27-2 (57.8%)	-6: 16-50-0 (24.2%)	+10: 48-18-0 (72.7%)	-10: 11-54-1 (16.9%)
O/U:	20-11-0 (3.21, 64.5%)	avg total: 54.9	+6: 14-17-0 (45.2%)	-6: 24-7-0 (77.4%)	+10: 12-19-0 (38.7%)	-10: 24-7-0 (77.4%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.9	208.7	29.4	18.8	235.3	1.9	7.0	8.7	8.7	8.5	33.9
Opp	33.7	133.7	31.9	18.3	206.6	1.8	7.0	6.5	4.7	6.4	25.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	UNLV	FRES	home						-9.5	59.0									0
Sep 30, 2016		Friday	5	2016	WAS	STAN	home						-3.5	45.0

PLAY ON road teams within 3.5 of pk'em scoring >30 ppg vs home team allowing >14 ppg (on a bunch...team listed on left side)

tA(points) > 30.5 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(o

oints) > 14

SU:	167-84-0 (4.25, 66.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	171-74-6 (4.16, 69.8%)	avg line: -0.1	+6: 196-55-0 (78.1%)	-6: 113-131-7 (46.3%)	+10: 205-44-2 (82.3%)	-10: 83-164-4 (33.6%)
O/U:	123-121-7 (0.72, 50.4%)	avg total: 59.3	+6: 98-150-3 (39.5%)	-6: 153-96-2 (61.4%)	+10: 75-173-3 (30.2%)	-10: 176-72-3 (71.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	41.1	185.9	31.9	19.3	237.2	1.4	6.7	9.0	7.4	7.9	32.1
Opp	39.4	164.7	36.5	21.4	253.8	1.9	5.8	8.0	5.6	7.5	27.9

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	EMCH	BOWL	away	2.5	66.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	WMCH	CMCH	away	-3.5	55.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	CFL	ECAR	away	3.0	61.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	TEN	GEO	away	-3.0	52.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	TLN	MAS	away	-2.5	42.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	OHU	MIAO	away	-2.5	52.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	TEX	OKST	away	2.5	71.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	MIN	PNST	away	3.0	56.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	OKLA	TCU	away	-3.5	69.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	ORE	WAST	away	-1.5	75.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	KAST	WVA	away	3.0	54.0	0
Sep 30, 2016	Friday	5	2016	TOL	BYU	away	3.5	52.0

OPPOSE teams within 2.5 of pk'em off non-cover vs opponent off 2+ straight covers (on WAZZOU, on UMASS, on MIA OH, on UTAH, on EMU)

-3 < line < 3 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 1 and season > 2010 and week < 13

SU:	16-56-0 (-10.00, 22.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	14-56-2 (-9.96, 20.0%)	avg line: 0.0	+6: 28-42-2 (40.0%)	-6: 7-64-1 (9.9%)	+10: 36-34-2 (51.4%)	-10: 5-67-0 (6.9%)
O/U:	35-37-0 (0.15, 48.6%)	avg total: 55.5	+6: 23-49-0 (31.9%)	-6: 41-31-0 (56.9%)	+10: 21-51-0 (29.2%)	-10: 46-25-1 (64.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.0	142.2	35.8	20.1	236.0	1.9	5.2	6.4	4.7	6.1	22.8
Opp	41.8	187.3	29.7	18.1	239.2	1.4	7.9	9.2	7.3	8.1	32.8

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	BOWL	EMCH	home	-2.5	66.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	CAL	UTAH	home	-2.0	67.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	TLN	MAS	away	-2.5	42.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	OHU	MIAO	away	-2.5	52.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	ORE	WAST	away	-1.5	75.5

PLAY ON favs off a loss scoring 6 or less points (on MICH ST)

A and line < -2.5 and wins > 0 and p:L and p

oints < 7 and season > 1995

SU:	58-8-0 (12.86, 87.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	41-21-4 (4.87, 66.1%)	avg line: -8.0	+6: 55-10-1 (84.6%)	-6: 27-39-0 (40.9%)	+10: 59-6-1 (90.8%)	-10: 24-41-1 (36.9%)
O/U:	12-12-0 (-0.58, 50.0%)	avg total: 49.2	+6: 10-14-0 (41.7%)	-6: 15-9-0 (62.5%)	+10: 6-17-1 (26.1%)	-10: 15-8-1 (65.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.5	218.4	26.4	15.3	190.9	1.5	7.0	9.5	7.1	8.0	29.7
Opp	31.6	105.9	35.5	20.1	198.9	2.3	6.1	3.8	3.0	4.0	16.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	MCST	IND	away						-6.5	52.5

UNDER very good team as home dog playing opponent that won 8+ games last year (LVILLE/CLEM under, TCU/OKLA under) 2-13 o/u since 2014 season

WP > 65 and streak >= 2 and H and line > -2 and PRSW > 7 and season > 2005 and o

RSW > 7 and tA(points) < 45

SU:	26-55-0 (-4.70, 32.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	38-42-1 (-0.03, 47.5%)	avg line: 4.7	+6: 54-26-1 (67.5%)	-6: 24-57-0 (29.6%)	+10: 58-22-1 (72.5%)	-10: 17-63-1 (21.2%)
O/U:	23-57-1 (-5.72, 28.8%)	avg total: 54.1	+6: 15-65-1 (18.8%)	-6: 39-41-1 (48.8%)	+10: 11-70-0 (13.6%)	-10: 45-36-0 (55.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.1	147.0	31.3	18.0	217.0	2.1	5.1	5.7	5.1	5.7	21.8
Opp	38.3	172.8	30.3	17.8	213.4	1.7	5.6	7.5	5.7	7.3	26.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	CLEM	LOU	home						2.0	68.0									0
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	TCU	OKLA	home						3.5	69.5

UNDER home or neutral team with great defense in high total game vs opponent that just allowed 27+ (CLEM/LVILLE under)

po

oints + ppo

oints < 22 and (site = home or site = neutral) and op

oints > 26 and total >= 52

SU:	98-36-0 (11.58, 73.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	65-65-4 (1.20, 50.0%)	avg line: -10.4	+6: 94-39-1 (70.7%)	-6: 45-86-3 (34.4%)	+10: 107-24-3 (81.7%)	-10: 36-96-2 (27.3%)
O/U:	46-85-3 (-2.96, 35.1%)	avg total: 58.9	+6: 32-102-0 (23.9%)	-6: 66-64-4 (50.8%)	+10: 26-107-1 (19.5%)	-10: 86-46-2 (65.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.1	184.9	32.5	20.2	257.2	1.8	7.6	9.6	8.2	7.9	33.8
Opp	36.3	134.2	33.8	19.0	228.1	1.8	4.8	6.4	4.6	6.1	22.2

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	CLEM	LOU	home						2.0	68.0

OPPOSE bad running conference teams vs good rush defense (on MIN, on aTm)

3.51 > tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) > 2.87 and C and 2.91 < otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) < 3.55 and season > 2009 and opo:rushing touchdowns > 0

SU:	21-54-0 (-11.12, 28.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	29-45-1 (-0.79, 39.2%)	avg line: 10.3	+6: 49-24-2 (67.1%)	-6: 20-55-0 (26.7%)	+10: 58-16-1 (78.4%)	-10: 15-58-2 (20.5%)
O/U:	38-37-0 (-0.25, 50.7%)	avg total: 52.3	+6: 23-50-2 (31.5%)	-6: 46-27-2 (63.0%)	+10: 16-57-2 (21.9%)	-10: 52-21-2 (71.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	33.6	108.0	35.4	19.7	226.8	2.1	4.8	5.7	4.5	5.1	20.4
Opp	39.6	175.6	33.1	20.1	241.2	1.7	8.3	8.1	7.7	7.1	31.6

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	PNST	MIN	home						-3.0	56.0									0
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	SCAR	TXAM	home						17.5	47.5

PLAY ON away conference dogs off a shutout win (on KANSAS ST)

CA and 0 < line < 16.5 and po

oints = 0 and o:WP > 67 and date > 19861001 and week < 13

SU:	25-33-1 (-3.41, 43.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	41-17-1 (4.43, 70.7%)	avg line: 7.8	+6: 47-11-1 (81.0%)	-6: 26-33-0 (44.1%)	+10: 49-10-0 (83.1%)	-10: 21-37-1 (36.2%)
O/U:	6-11-2 (-4.82, 35.3%)	avg total: 46.1	+6: 1-18-0 (5.3%)	-6: 12-7-0 (63.2%)	+10: 1-18-0 (5.3%)	-10: 14-5-0 (73.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.1	121.5	31.0	17.8	208.5	1.4	3.5	5.5	4.6	4.1	18.8
Opp	37.1	156.5	29.3	16.7	202.6	1.8	4.8	5.6	6.3	6.4	22.2

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	KAST	WVA	away						3.0	54.0

OPPOSE big fav after OT fav win where they were 2-4 score favorites (on PURDUE)

p

vertime > 0 and p:FW and -8.5 > p:line > -28 and F and line < -4 and game type != CH

SU:	49-19-0 (9.68, 72.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	19-47-2 (-4.61, 28.8%)	avg line: -14.3	+6: 38-29-1 (56.7%)	-6: 12-56-0 (17.6%)	+10: 50-18-0 (73.5%)	-10: 5-61-2 (7.6%)
O/U:	16-14-1 (-2.10, 53.3%)	avg total: 55.2	+6: 11-20-0 (35.5%)	-6: 20-11-0 (64.5%)	+10: 9-22-0 (29.0%)	-10: 21-10-0 (67.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	40.8	195.5	30.3	19.6	234.1	1.6	7.1	10.0	8.7	7.4	32.0
Opp	33.4	119.6	33.4	19.3	211.1	1.9	5.4	5.2	4.5	4.8	22.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	MARY	PUR	home						-10.5	56.0

PLAY ON Big12 home dog vs team winning less than 2/3 of their games (on TCU)

conference = B12 and HD and o:WP < 66 and p:W and date > 20001001

SU:	19-6-0 (1.92, 76.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	21-4-0 (7.38, 84.0%)	avg line: 5.5	+6: 22-3-0 (88.0%)	-6: 19-5-1 (79.2%)	+10: 22-3-0 (88.0%)	-10: 8-15-2 (34.8%)
O/U:	6-8-0 (-4.75, 42.9%)	avg total: 56.2	+6: 5-9-0 (35.7%)	-6: 6-8-0 (42.9%)	+10: 3-10-1 (23.1%)	-10: 7-7-0 (50.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	44.4	176.1	31.2	17.3	209.1	1.5	6.0	6.1	7.7	5.5	25.3
Opp	36.9	169.5	35.6	20.5	231.2	1.4	5.2	8.9	4.9	6.9	23.4

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	TCU	OKLA	home						3.5	69.5

OPPOSE teams off a 2+ OT loss not in b2b away games (on SO MISS *******) 4-23 ATS L27

p

vertime >= 2 and p:L and (A and p:A) = False and p:line > -10

SU:	19-42-0 (-7.33, 31.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	15-44-0 (-7.20, 25.4%)	avg line: 0.8	+6: 23-33-3 (41.1%)	-6: 10-49-0 (16.9%)	+10: 32-26-1 (55.2%)	-10: 9-50-0 (15.3%)
O/U:	5-6-0 (-1.55, 45.5%)	avg total: 55.8	+6: 3-8-0 (27.3%)	-6: 8-3-0 (72.7%)	+10: 0-10-1 (0.0%)	-10: 9-2-0 (81.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.9	155.1	35.7	21.2	237.8	1.9	8.5	7.7	3.1	4.9	23.4
Opp	33.4	152.9	32.9	19.4	236.1	2.0	5.4	9.5	6.2	9.0	30.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	RICE	SMIS	away						24.5	59.0

PLAY ON away dogs allowing >17 ppg and allowed >17 in b2b games, and have better record than opponent (on TOLEDO, on MEMPHIS)

A and po

oints <= 17 and ppo

oints <= 17 and tA(o

oints) <= 17 and line > -3.5 and WP > o:WP and season > 2005 and week > 3

SU:	39-37-0 (1.32, 51.3%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	49-24-3 (5.26, 67.1%)	avg line: 3.9	+6: 58-17-1 (77.3%)	-6: 30-43-3 (41.1%)	+10: 62-14-0 (81.6%)	-10: 26-48-2 (35.1%)
O/U:	25-51-0 (-3.51, 32.9%)	avg total: 47.5	+6: 13-63-0 (17.1%)	-6: 40-34-2 (54.1%)	+10: 10-66-0 (13.2%)	-10: 51-24-1 (68.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.6	143.1	28.5	15.9	193.3	1.6	4.1	6.8	5.1	6.2	22.6
Opp	35.4	130.5	32.6	19.1	214.2	1.9	4.4	6.1	4.6	5.5	21.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	MEM	MIS	away						14.5	69.0									0
Sep 30, 2016		Friday	5	2016	TOL	BYU	away						3.5	52.0

PLAY ON away conference teams with bad rushing defense YTD but off b2b great rush defense games (on ARIZONA)

AC and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and o:WP > 0 and otA(o:rushing yards) >= 114 and pp:rushing yards > 192

SU:	82-16-0 (14.43, 83.7%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	70-27-1 (5.77, 72.2%)	avg line: -8.7	+6: 80-18-0 (81.6%)	-6: 46-51-1 (47.4%)	+10: 87-11-0 (88.8%)	-10: 35-63-0 (35.7%)
O/U:	52-45-1 (1.26, 53.6%)	avg total: 56.1	+6: 36-61-1 (37.1%)	-6: 66-31-1 (68.0%)	+10: 26-71-1 (26.8%)	-10: 74-23-1 (76.3%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.7	226.9	26.6	16.9	216.6	1.3	8.8	10.4	8.3	8.2	35.9
Opp	32.4	113.8	36.9	21.0	238.2	1.9	4.1	6.1	4.7	6.4	21.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	ARZ	UCLA	away						13.5	58.5

UNDER small conf or Pac10 teams off double digit away dog win and high total (COLO under, TROY under)

total < 66.5 and p:ADW and C and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2005 and (conference = AAC or conference = MWC or conference = WAC or conference = MAC or conference = SBC or conference = P12 or conference = P10 or conference = BE or conference = USA)

SU:	54-45-0 (2.45, 54.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	50-47-2 (1.66, 51.5%)	avg line: -0.8	+6: 70-28-1 (71.4%)	-6: 32-66-1 (32.7%)	+10: 76-21-2 (78.4%)	-10: 25-73-1 (25.5%)
O/U:	28-69-2 (-3.93, 28.9%)	avg total: 53.3	+6: 23-76-0 (23.2%)	-6: 48-51-0 (48.5%)	+10: 17-81-1 (17.3%)	-10: 68-28-3 (70.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.3	149.8	31.5	18.4	217.4	1.6	5.2	8.1	6.5	6.1	25.9
Opp	38.0	164.8	32.3	18.5	221.0	2.0	6.0	6.3	4.8	6.2	23.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	COLO	ORST	home						-18.5	61.0									0
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	IDA	TROY	home						13.5	59.0

PLAY ON home dogs or tiny favs off b2b2b games scoring 40+ points (on CAL if no larger than 3 point fav)

H and line > -3.5 and p

oints > 39 and pp

oints > 39 and ppp

oints > 39

SU:	19-15-0 (-0.21, 55.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	25-8-1 (3.93, 75.8%)	avg line: 4.1	+6: 28-6-0 (82.4%)	-6: 12-21-1 (36.4%)	+10: 28-6-0 (82.4%)	-10: 8-26-0 (23.5%)
O/U:	8-8-0 (0.81, 50.0%)	avg total: 61.8	+6: 6-10-0 (37.5%)	-6: 10-6-0 (62.5%)	+10: 4-12-0 (25.0%)	-10: 11-5-0 (68.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	34.7	159.4	37.0	22.1	243.8	2.2	7.0	6.6	8.4	6.8	29.7
Opp	42.6	194.0	30.9	18.4	222.1	2.3	6.8	9.5	7.7	9.4	29.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 01, 2016		Saturday	5	2016	CAL	UTAH	home						-2.0	67.0

OPPOSE teams that lost first game of season by getting blown out (on MIA FL, on CIN, on TENN)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14 and rest < 20 and date > 20081020

SU:	27-43-0 (-4.90, 38.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	10-59-1 (-8.56, 14.5%)	avg line: -3.7	+6: 27-41-2 (39.7%)	-6: 8-62-0 (11.4%)	+10: 38-31-1 (55.1%)	-10: 5-65-0 (7.1%)
O/U:	38-32-0 (1.01, 54.3%)	avg total: 56.3	+6: 30-40-0 (42.9%)	-6: 46-24-0 (65.7%)	+10: 21-47-2 (30.9%)	-10: 51-18-1 (73.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.0	146.2	34.4	20.8	249.4	1.8	5.0	7.5	6.0	7.6	26.2
Opp	40.0	173.1	32.1	19.8	236.1	1.3	7.2	9.5	6.7	7.2	31.1

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Oct 05, 2016	Wednesday	6	2016	GSOU	AKST	away			0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	ARK	ALCN	home			0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	SFL	CIN	away	-5.5	59.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	GEO	TEN	home	3.0	52.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	GTCH	MIAF	home	7.0	52.5

OPPOSE previously undefeated teams that lost due to many turnovers (on MIA FL, on TEN, on CIN, on WMU)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins > 2 and p:turnovers - po:turnovers < 4 and p:margin < -13 and game type = RS and date > 20081018

SU:	26-42-0 (-5.85, 38.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	10-57-1 (-8.77, 14.9%)	avg line: -2.9	+6: 25-42-1 (37.3%)	-6: 9-59-0 (13.2%)	+10: 36-32-0 (52.9%)	-10: 4-63-1 (6.0%)
O/U:	35-33-0 (0.64, 51.5%)	avg total: 56.2	+6: 29-39-0 (42.6%)	-6: 45-23-0 (66.2%)	+10: 20-46-2 (30.3%)	-10: 50-17-1 (74.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.3	149.9	33.8	20.2	240.2	1.9	5.2	7.3	6.1	6.8	25.5
Opp	40.1	175.5	32.0	19.8	240.1	1.3	7.3	9.1	7.3	7.1	31.4

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total	ot
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	ARK	ALCN	home			0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	SFL	CIN	away	-5.5	59.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	CMCH	WMCH	home	3.5	55.5	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	GEO	TEN	home	3.0	52.0	0
Oct 01, 2016	Saturday	5	2016	GTCH	MIAF	home	7.0	52.5

rolltide · Sep 30, 2016

Biz said:
Hey Tide, I'll toss one out there. Hope you don't mind.

sure, fire away

doogieboy · Sep 30, 2016

Mia at GT not a home game

indiana · Sep 30, 2016

R/tide.........appreciate the info..........BOL with your action this week.............indy

Biz · Sep 30, 2016

Here ya go Tide.

PLAY ON: Road Dog (3-10), Good Rush Team (114+/gm)/Good Rush Defense (<113/gm), Game 4+. ON Stanford

3 <= line < 10 and tA(rushing yards) >= 114 and tA(o:rushing yards) <= 113 and game number >= 4 and A and season >= 2010

SU:	61-72-0 (-1.40, 45.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	88-39-6 (4.23, 69.3%)	avg line: 5.6	+6: 104-28-1 (78.8%)	-6: 55-73-5 (43.0%)	+10: 110-23-0 (82.7%)	-10: 43-87-3 (33.1%)
O/U:	61-70-2 (0.17, 46.6%)	avg total: 51.5	+6: 47-85-1 (35.6%)	-6: 79-51-3 (60.8%)	+10: 36-97-0 (27.1%)	-10: 95-35-3 (73.1%)

Sep 30, 2016

Friday

5

2016

STAN

WAS

away

3.5

45.0

Without Season Filter:

3 <= line < 10 and tA(rushing yards) >= 114 and tA(o:rushing yards) <= 113 and game number >= 4 and A

SU:	103-129-0 (-2.24, 44.4%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	149-75-8 (3.48, 66.5%)	avg line: 5.7	+6: 180-51-1 (77.9%)	-6: 94-131-7 (41.8%)	+10: 187-45-0 (80.6%)	-10: 72-155-5 (31.7%)
O/U:	106-124-2 (-0.06, 46.1%)	avg total: 50.7	+6: 78-153-1 (33.8%)	-6: 138-90-4 (60.5%)	+10: 58-173-1 (25.1%)	-10: 162-65-5 (71.4%)

whatwasIthinking · Sep 30, 2016

Wow! Some very interesting info. GL

mws · Oct 1, 2016

RollTide -- Thanks for all the work you do! This thread is gold!!! Please let me know if my posts are getting in the way, and I will shut the hell up!

------
Here's one that has been amazing the last few years:

Play ON Colorado

HF and line < -7.5 and p:W and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2012

SU:	21-1-0 (32.82, 95.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	20-2-0 (12.57, 90.9%)	avg line: -20.2	+6: 20-1-1 (95.2%)	-6: 17-4-1 (81.0%)	+10: 21-1-0 (95.5%)	-10: 13-9-0 (59.1%)
O/U:	12-10-0 (0.27, 54.5%)	avg total: 57.0	+6: 7-15-0 (31.8%)	-6: 15-7-0 (68.2%)	+10: 6-16-0 (27.3%)	-10: 18-4-0 (81.8%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	44.0	235.8	31.9	21.7	270.0	1.1	12.5	13.7	9.3	9.6	45.0
Opp	31.3	101.4	34.1	18.0	204.8	2.5	3.6	4.0	2.1	2.5	12.2

Iamthegreatcornholio · Oct 1, 2016

Let's go
Thanks for the plays all of you
Colorado looks good so far

rolltide · Oct 1, 2016

no system behind it but have to hit over 58 big in PITT/MARSHALL

Haystacks · Oct 2, 2016

Literally fell down on that last TD.... Sweet over win in Pitt thanks tide

rolltide · Oct 2, 2016

mws said:
Here's one that has been amazing the last few years:

Play ON Colorado

HF and line < -7.5 and p:W and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2012

very nice one there...thx for sharing. I had something similar in post #65 on Troy last week but Colo didn't show up as it was based on previous game being a non-conference match.

I will note yours as well

1osubucks · Oct 2, 2016

tide thanks for posting these again this year

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