2016 NCAA Football Systems

[Kaboom]

Just realized this applies to E. Mich as well ... (see post #32)

- Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (E MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. (25-5 since 1992.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 3*)

EM QB may be out ?

 

[Kaboom]

EM QB may be out ?

UPGRADED !!! HEADS UP !!!

E MICHIGAN
[QB] 09/09/2016 - Brogan Roback is upgraded to probable, but may not start Saturday vs. Missouri ( Suspension Served )

- Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (E MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.
(25-5 since 1992.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 3*)

 

[mws]

Awesome stuff, Rolltide. And that was a pretty good find by RDTrains. It will be interesting to see how the conflicting angles work out in the Michigan and Ohio State games.

 

[RDTrains]

Awesome stuff, Rolltide. And that was a pretty good find by RDTrains. It will be interesting to see how the conflicting angles work out in the Michigan and Ohio State games.

Currently 76% of the wagers & 80% of spread money is on Mich. That's good enough for me to justify a shot with UCF.

 

[rolltide]

week 2, plays labeled with the asterisks that were not opposed by another system went 8-4

will start with a few from this week's Playbook that I've reworked a bit:

PLAY ON teams in game #2 off a win that won 10+ games last year against non-conference opponent with average defense but off an ATS win (on Michigan State)

game number = 2 and not C and PRSW > 9 and op:ats margin > 0 and opo:division = 1A and p:W and oA(ooints) > 13 and P:margin < 42 SU: 43-7-0 (24.38, 86.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 35-14-1 (6.26, 71.4%) avg line: -18.1 +6: 40-9-1 (81.6%) -6: 24-26-0 (48.0%) +10: 42-7-1 (85.7%) -10: 21-28-1 (42.9%) O/U: 8-13-1 (-6.50, 38.1%) avg total: 55.3 +6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -6: 12-10-0 (54.5%) +10: 3-19-0 (13.6%) -10: 13-9-0 (59.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.1 179.0 33.0 20.9 255.4 2.0 7.3 9.5 8.6 7.3 38.3 Opp 32.7 114.5 35.7 19.7 190.6 2.0 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.9 13.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MCST NOTD away 7.5 52.5

In game #2 PLAY ON home favs off a dog win (on C Mich, on Ark)

game number = 3 and losses = 0 and pW and H and line < -.5 SU: 78-11-0 (20.39, 87.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 59-28-2 (4.78, 67.8%) avg line: -15.6 +6: 66-21-2 (75.9%) -6: 39-50-0 (43.8%) +10: 74-15-0 (83.1%) -10: 33-55-1 (37.5%) O/U: 9-13-0 (-2.32, 40.9%) avg total: 56.2 +6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -6: 15-7-0 (68.2%) +10: 3-19-0 (13.6%) -10: 18-4-0 (81.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.4 229.9 32.0 20.1 247.1 2.0 8.8 11.4 8.7 7.8 35.0 Opp 35.8 123.0 34.0 19.3 212.3 2.3 3.6 4.6 1.8 5.6 14.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ARK TXST home -31.0 58.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 CMCH UNLV home -13.0 55.0

PLAY ON game #2 home teams off a fav loss and facing a team off a home game vs a D1 opponent. (on Northwestern, on Okie State)

p:FL and game number = 3 and H and oRSW > 0 and p:line < -3 and PRSW > 1 and opo:division = 1A and op:H SU: 45-15-1 (13.98, 75.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 43-17-1 (7.07, 71.7%) avg line: -6.9 +6: 49-11-1 (81.7%) -6: 31-28-2 (52.5%) +10: 51-10-0 (83.6%) -10: 25-35-1 (41.7%) O/U: 7-9-0 (-2.34, 43.8%) avg total: 52.2 +6: 6-10-0 (37.5%) -6: 9-7-0 (56.2%) +10: 4-12-0 (25.0%) -10: 10-6-0 (62.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.9 155.4 29.4 16.9 212.2 1.8 6.6 8.6 7.7 7.6 32.3 Opp 32.6 125.6 35.1 20.2 214.2 2.2 4.7 6.6 4.3 3.4 18.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 NORW DUKE home -6.5 43.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OKST PIT home -6.5 59.0

PLAY ON teams off SU loss as a double digit road fav (on New Mexico)

p:AF and p:margin <= 0 and p:line < -9 and not C and line > 3 SU: 13-24-0 (-5.95, 35.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-8-2 (5.76, 77.1%) avg line: 11.7 +6: 32-5-0 (86.5%) -6: 18-18-1 (50.0%) +10: 34-3-0 (91.9%) -10: 12-24-1 (33.3%) O/U: 2-1-0 (-0.17, 66.7%) avg total: 46.5 +6: 2-1-0 (66.7%) -6: 2-1-0 (66.7%) +10: 0-2-1 (0.0%) -10: 2-1-0 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.7 143.3 25.0 13.7 165.3 2.7 5.7 7.0 4.3 3.3 18.4 Opp 31.7 73.3 39.7 24.0 287.3 1.0 5.0 5.0 4.7 11.3 24.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 NMX RUT away 6.0 58.5

now to the regular systems.....

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON solid dogs against a good rushing defense (on App St, on Illinois, on aTm)

2 < line < 9.5 and D and otA(o:rushing yards) < 124.8 and op:rushing yards / op:rushes > 5.42 and season > 2010 SU: 62-66-0 (-2.07, 48.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 86-37-5 (3.59, 69.9%) avg line: 5.7 +6: 102-25-1 (80.3%) -6: 57-69-2 (45.2%) +10: 105-22-1 (82.7%) -10: 36-85-7 (29.8%) O/U: 55-70-3 (-0.03, 44.0%) avg total: 55.0 +6: 43-85-0 (33.6%) -6: 78-49-1 (61.4%) +10: 31-97-0 (24.2%) -10: 87-41-0 (68.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 145.6 33.8 19.9 229.8 1.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 7.9 26.5 Opp 40.3 177.6 32.1 19.0 235.6 1.7 6.1 8.3 6.1 7.4 28.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 APP MIAF home 3.5 53.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TXAM AUB away 3.5 54.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ILL WMCH home 3.5 59.5

PLAY ON small dog, home or away, with decent defense not in big blowout game last week (on Vandy, on Pitt, on Illinois, on Michigan St, on BC)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral SU: 183-247-0 (-3.27, 42.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 268-149-13 (2.90, 64.3%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 319-108-3 (74.7%) -6: 180-246-4 (42.3%) +10: 341-87-2 (79.7%) -10: 133-293-4 (31.2%) O/U: 196-226-8 (-0.72, 46.4%) avg total: 50.1 +6: 132-295-3 (30.9%) -6: 263-161-6 (62.0%) +10: 103-325-2 (24.1%) -10: 312-114-4 (73.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.3 136.3 30.5 17.6 207.5 1.8 5.0 6.5 5.1 6.1 23.0 Opp 37.2 154.1 32.1 19.0 226.8 1.8 5.7 7.8 5.5 6.9 26.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 VAN GTCH away 6.5 43.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ILL WMCH home 3.5 59.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MCST NOTD away 7.5 52.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 PIT OKST away 6.5 59.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 BCOL VTCH away 6.5 41.0 OPPOSE unrested home favs off OT loss (on Iowa St) HF and pvertime > 0 and p:L and line > -29 and rest < 13 SU: 75-42-0 (7.01, 64.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 43-71-3 (-3.44, 37.7%) avg line: -10.4 +6: 64-51-2 (55.7%) -6: 26-90-1 (22.4%) +10: 80-36-1 (69.0%) -10: 22-95-0 (18.8%) O/U: 34-26-1 (3.02, 56.7%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 25-36-0 (41.0%) -6: 41-20-0 (67.2%) +10: 21-40-0 (34.4%) -10: 44-17-0 (72.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.2 193.5 31.0 18.9 226.6 1.9 7.0 8.7 7.2 7.6 30.9 Opp 35.5 133.5 32.9 17.9 220.4 1.7 6.0 6.4 6.3 6.3 23.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TCU IWST home -24.5 61.0

PLAY ON high scoring away teams in low lined game vs home team that has an average defense (on a bunch....)

tA(points) > 30.5 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14
SU: 161-83-0 (4.21, 66.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 166-73-5 (4.17, 69.5%) avg line: -0.0 +6: 190-54-0 (77.9%) -6: 109-128-7 (46.0%) +10: 199-43-2 (82.2%) -10: 79-161-4 (32.9%) O/U: 120-117-7 (0.82, 50.6%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 97-144-3 (40.2%) -6: 150-92-2 (62.0%) +10: 74-167-3 (30.7%) -10: 170-71-3 (70.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 185.8 32.0 19.4 237.8 1.4 6.7 8.9 7.5 8.0 32.2 Opp 39.5 165.2 36.5 21.4 254.2 1.9 5.8 8.0 5.6 7.6 28.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TXAM AUB away 3.5 54.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 UCLA BYU away -3.0 49.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 EMCH CHAR away -3.5 66.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WMCH ILL away -3.5 59.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FLST LOU away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OHST OKLA away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ECAR SCAR away 3.5 50.0

OPPOSE home teams off terrible defensive game vs opponent off b2b blowout wins (on So Florida *******)

pooints > 36 and op:margin >= 28 and opp:margin >= 28 and op:H and H and season > 1988
SU: 12-60-0 (-23.43, 16.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-53-0 (-6.41, 26.4%) avg line: 17.0 +6: 36-36-0 (50.0%) -6: 13-57-2 (18.6%) +10: 43-29-0 (59.7%) -10: 11-61-0 (15.3%) O/U: 23-14-0 (5.15, 62.2%) avg total: 60.7 +6: 19-18-0 (51.4%) -6: 27-10-0 (73.0%) +10: 16-21-0 (43.2%) -10: 29-8-0 (78.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 119.4 37.7 20.6 240.5 2.1 4.0 5.7 5.7 5.2 18.8 Opp 40.1 207.6 35.9 22.9 302.3 1.6 12.3 14.4 9.0 8.5 42.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 SYR SFL home 14.5 70.0

OPPOSE very low line teams off a non-cover vs opponent off 2+ straight covers (on Ohio St, on Louisville)

-3 < line < 3 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 1 and season > 2010 and week < 13
SU: 16-54-0 (-9.37, 22.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 14-54-2 (-9.36, 20.6%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 28-40-2 (41.2%) -6: 7-62-1 (10.1%) +10: 36-32-2 (52.9%) -10: 5-65-0 (7.1%) O/U: 33-37-0 (-0.14, 47.1%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 22-48-0 (31.4%) -6: 39-31-0 (55.7%) +10: 20-50-0 (28.6%) -10: 44-25-1 (63.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.0 141.3 36.0 20.3 237.9 1.9 5.2 6.3 4.7 6.2 22.8 Opp 41.6 184.0 29.9 18.2 240.8 1.4 7.7 8.8 7.2 8.1 32.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FLST LOU away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OKLA OHST home 2.0 64.0

UNDER dominant home defensive team with high total (Michigan under, Toledo under)

pooints + ppooints < 22 and (site = home or site = neutral) and opoints > 26 and total >= 52
SU: 96-35-0 (11.60, 73.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-63-4 (1.21, 50.4%) avg line: -10.4 +6: 92-38-1 (70.8%) -6: 44-84-3 (34.4%) +10: 104-24-3 (81.2%) -10: 35-94-2 (27.1%) O/U: 44-84-3 (-3.05, 34.4%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 30-101-0 (22.9%) -6: 64-63-4 (50.4%) +10: 24-106-1 (18.5%) -10: 84-45-2 (65.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.0 184.7 32.7 20.4 258.8 1.8 7.6 9.6 8.2 7.9 33.8 Opp 36.4 135.4 33.8 19.0 227.5 1.8 4.6 6.5 4.6 6.1 22.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MICH COLO home -20.5 57.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TOL FRES home -20.5 56.5

PLAY ON home dogs or tiny fav off b2b wins scoring 39+ in both (on Louisville)

H and line > -2 and p:W and pp:W and points >= 39 and ppoints >= 39 SU: 56-53-0 (-0.94, 51.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 76-32-1 (5.05, 70.4%) avg line: 6.0 +6: 89-20-0 (81.7%) -6: 50-54-5 (48.1%) +10: 93-16-0 (85.3%) -10: 35-71-3 (33.0%) O/U: 17-25-0 (-1.21, 40.5%) avg total: 62.5 +6: 14-27-1 (34.1%) -6: 26-16-0 (61.9%) +10: 12-30-0 (28.6%) -10: 28-14-0 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 157.8 35.8 21.5 250.0 1.8 7.4 7.0 6.7 6.7 27.4 Opp 39.1 187.2 33.6 20.8 273.0 1.8 5.4 9.9 9.4 8.6 28.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 LOU FLST home 2.0 64.0

UNDER after terrible defense vs opponent off dominant yards differential game (Akron/Marshall under *******)

538 < (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 201 and total <= 62
SU: 24-54-0 (-11.17, 30.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-31-2 (3.67, 59.2%) avg line: 14.8 +6: 59-19-0 (75.6%) -6: 32-45-1 (41.6%) +10: 67-11-0 (85.9%) -10: 25-53-0 (32.1%) O/U: 19-57-2 (-6.85, 25.0%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 13-63-2 (17.1%) -6: 32-42-4 (43.2%) +10: 7-70-1 (9.1%) -10: 43-35-0 (55.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 112.5 31.6 17.4 192.1 1.8 3.0 6.0 3.7 5.2 18.1 Opp 39.3 175.3 30.4 18.7 232.7 1.9 7.1 8.2 8.0 5.7 29.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 AKRON MRSH away 17.0 53.5

OVER huge favs off a bye week (Kansas St over, Memphis over)

week - p:week = 2 and H and line < -15 and season > 2009 and (day = Friday or day = Saturday)
SU: 107-6-0 (27.62, 94.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-46-3 (2.32, 58.2%) avg line: -25.3 +6: 77-34-2 (69.4%) -6: 43-65-5 (39.8%) +10: 91-20-2 (82.0%) -10: 37-75-1 (33.0%) O/U: 72-37-2 (2.67, 66.1%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 43-67-1 (39.1%) -6: 82-28-1 (74.5%) +10: 31-76-4 (29.0%) -10: 88-22-1 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.2 248.6 29.5 19.6 266.0 1.4 11.9 14.0 10.6 7.7 44.3 Opp 33.8 110.2 32.7 17.8 200.0 2.1 3.4 4.4 4.2 4.6 16.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KAST FATL home -22.5 48.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MEM KAN home -20.0 59.5

UNDER small dog that lost to this team last year as a huge dog (Tulane/Navy under)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line > 21.5 and line < 10.5 and date > 20091101 and P:margin > -45 and total < 76
SU: 27-49-0 (-4.36, 35.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-36-1 (-0.39, 52.0%) avg line: 4.0 +6: 52-24-0 (68.4%) -6: 19-57-0 (25.0%) +10: 56-18-2 (75.7%) -10: 16-58-2 (21.6%) O/U: 19-55-2 (-5.11, 25.7%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 14-61-1 (18.7%) -6: 35-39-2 (47.3%) +10: 11-65-0 (14.5%) -10: 49-25-2 (66.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.0 144.5 32.9 19.2 235.8 1.9 4.8 7.1 5.6 5.4 23.2 Opp 39.3 180.6 30.9 18.8 226.2 1.7 6.1 8.0 6.5 6.6 27.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TLN NAVY home 6.0 48.0

PLAY ON home favs off 4+ TD win scoring 52+ points not favored by <35 (on Wisconsin -34.5 or less only, on Marshall *******)

points >= 52 and HF and p:HF and line > -35 and p:margin >= 28 and op:margin <= -15 and conference != SEC SU: 52-1-0 (29.68, 98.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-9-0 (9.73, 83.0%) avg line: -20.0 +6: 48-5-0 (90.6%) -6: 29-20-4 (59.2%) +10: 49-4-0 (92.5%) -10: 25-27-1 (48.1%) O/U: 14-9-0 (6.74, 60.9%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 11-12-0 (47.8%) -6: 17-5-1 (77.3%) +10: 9-12-2 (42.9%) -10: 20-2-1 (90.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.1 225.1 30.1 20.8 299.7 1.7 12.0 16.3 12.0 9.1 45.6 Opp 36.4 114.3 32.9 16.8 191.5 1.7 4.4 5.0 2.8 5.2 15.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MRSH AKRON home -17.0 53.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WIS GAST home -34.0 48.5

OPPOSE big dogs off a fav loss playing unbeaten opponent off a big win (on Memphis)

p:FL and D and 29 > line > 9.5 and o:WP = 100 and season > 2010 and op:margin > 7
SU: 2-42-0 (-27.02, 4.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-31-2 (-7.61, 26.2%) avg line: 19.4 +6: 20-24-0 (45.5%) -6: 7-36-1 (16.3%) +10: 24-19-1 (55.8%) -10: 4-40-0 (9.1%) O/U: 21-23-0 (1.48, 47.7%) avg total: 58.1 +6: 17-27-0 (38.6%) -6: 29-13-2 (69.0%) +10: 14-30-0 (31.8%) -10: 35-9-0 (79.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.7 118.0 33.2 18.0 186.8 2.0 3.8 4.7 3.1 4.7 16.3 Opp 43.4 239.7 30.8 20.4 275.8 1.3 10.6 12.6 11.9 8.1 43.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KAN MEM away 20.0 59.5

PLAY ON SEC home favs off a 3+ TD home fav win scoring >50 (on Auburn)

points > 50 and HF and p:HF and p:margin > 21 and op:margin > -12 and conference = SEC SU: 43-9-0 (22.92, 82.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 36-14-2 (7.16, 72.0%) avg line: -15.8 +6: 40-12-0 (76.9%) -6: 29-23-0 (55.8%) +10: 41-11-0 (78.8%) -10: 24-28-0 (46.2%) O/U: 13-14-2 (-0.38, 48.1%) avg total: 54.3 +6: 9-20-0 (31.0%) -6: 18-11-0 (62.1%) +10: 7-22-0 (24.1%) -10: 19-10-0 (65.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.9 227.2 28.3 18.5 246.7 1.4 10.6 9.0 9.7 8.2 38.2 Opp 32.8 107.3 31.6 16.6 185.2 1.7 3.3 3.3 5.0 3.0 15.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 AUB TXAM home -3.5 54.0

PLAY ON home favs off a blowout shutout win vs opponent off a terrible ATS loss (on Marshall *******)

HF and line > -45.5 and pooints = 0 and points > 38 and op:ats margin < -8
SU: 62-2-1 (24.43, 96.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-13-2 (8.32, 79.4%) avg line: -16.1 +6: 55-10-0 (84.6%) -6: 39-25-1 (60.9%) +10: 60-5-0 (92.3%) -10: 31-33-1 (48.4%) O/U: 14-9-0 (7.59, 60.9%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 12-10-1 (54.5%) -6: 16-7-0 (69.6%) +10: 11-11-1 (50.0%) -10: 19-4-0 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.1 237.3 28.1 18.6 250.5 1.2 8.9 11.4 11.2 9.3 39.2 Opp 32.1 104.8 33.6 18.9 208.7 1.8 4.3 5.5 3.8 4.9 14.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MRSH AKRON home -17.0 53.5

OPPOSE 2+ TD away favs after big home win as dog or tiny favorite (on SJSU if +12.5 or higher, on UTSA *******)

p:HW and AF and line < -12 and o:WP > 15 and p:line > -4 and season > 2002
SU: 22-2-0 (6.29, 91.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-22-1 (-9.60, 4.3%) avg line: -15.9 +6: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -6: 0-24-0 (0.0%) +10: 16-8-0 (66.7%) -10: 0-24-0 (0.0%) O/U: 11-8-0 (6.39, 57.9%) avg total: 58.6 +6: 10-9-0 (52.6%) -6: 14-5-0 (73.7%) +10: 9-9-1 (50.0%) -10: 15-4-0 (78.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.2 203.3 32.0 20.1 256.4 1.6 6.9 10.1 7.7 11.5 33.3 Opp 34.7 148.7 38.7 22.7 272.6 2.1 6.5 6.6 7.0 8.1 27.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 UTAH SJST away -13.0 50.0 0 Sep 16, 2016 Friday 3 2016 AZST UTSA away -19.5 60.0

OPPOSE bad defensive away teams off a win allowing >30 points vs opponent off a win (on Arizona)

pooints > 30 and ppooints > 30 and p:W and A and op:W and day = Saturday
SU: 20-99-2 (-20.48, 16.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-85-2 (-8.49, 26.7%) avg line: 11.9 +6: 51-63-4 (44.7%) -6: 19-99-0 (16.1%) +10: 63-52-3 (54.8%) -10: 11-106-1 (9.4%) O/U: 23-27-1 (-0.92, 46.0%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 18-33-0 (35.3%) -6: 29-20-2 (59.2%) +10: 13-37-1 (26.0%) -10: 35-16-0 (68.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 124.7 35.8 19.9 236.3 2.1 4.5 6.4 4.7 5.4 19.3 Opp 40.8 208.1 32.2 20.0 266.1 1.5 8.6 12.6 8.7 8.1 39.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 HAW ARZ away 32.5

PLAY ON unrested away fav off an away game vs opponent off a fav loss (on Western Kentucky)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 27-3-0 (16.60, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-5-0 (8.93, 83.3%) avg line: -7.7 +6: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -10: 17-13-0 (56.7%) O/U: 12-18-0 (-0.07, 40.0%) avg total: 55.5 +6: 9-20-1 (31.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-9-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.0 229.6 27.5 17.5 231.0 1.3 8.2 11.0 8.2 8.4 36.0 Opp 33.4 136.8 33.8 17.5 196.9 1.9 4.5 5.4 4.3 5.1 19.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WKY MIAO away -17.0 62.5

PLAY ON huge dogs after dominant yards differential game (on Fresno, on Ohio, on North Texas, on Colorado if +20 or higher)

(p:rushing yards + passing yards) - (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) > 199 and D and line > 20
SU: 8-64-0 (-19.31, 11.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 54-17-1 (7.83, 76.1%) avg line: 27.1 +6: 61-10-1 (85.9%) -6: 40-31-1 (56.3%) +10: 64-8-0 (88.9%) -10: 33-39-0 (45.8%) O/U: 30-39-3 (0.26, 43.5%) avg total: 58.3 +6: 22-50-0 (30.6%) -6: 40-29-3 (58.0%) +10: 16-56-0 (22.2%) -10: 51-19-2 (72.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 124.6 34.5 19.6 208.5 1.8 3.9 5.9 4.1 5.3 19.6 Opp 39.3 200.5 32.2 20.8 264.4 1.8 9.0 11.5 8.6 9.3 38.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 NTX FLA away 36.5 49.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 COLO MICH away 20.5 57.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OHU TEN away 27.5 56.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FRES TOL away 20.5 56.5

 

[rolltide]

OVER winless week 3 team that won 6 or less games last year, playing another D1A team

week = 3 and wins = 0 and PRSW < 7 and season > 2007 and H and o:division = 1A
SU: 18-26-0 (-3.93, 40.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-20-2 (-1.75, 52.4%) avg line: 2.2 +6: 28-16-0 (63.6%) -6: 12-32-0 (27.3%) +10: 31-13-0 (70.5%) -10: 8-35-1 (18.6%) O/U: 31-10-1 (6.51, 75.6%) avg total: 53.1 +6: 21-21-0 (50.0%) -6: 35-6-1 (85.4%) +10: 13-28-1 (31.7%) -10: 37-5-0 (88.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.4 152.5 32.6 18.6 242.1 1.9 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.5 27.6 Opp 38.5 160.6 33.1 20.2 253.8 2.0 6.0 9.7 8.5 6.8 31.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KAST FATL home -22.5 48.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KTKY NMST home -19.0 64.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MAS FINT home 0.0 46.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MIAO WKY home 17.0 62.5 0 Sep 16, 2016 Friday 3 2016 RICE BAY home 30.5 65.5

 

[Kaboom]

Love this thread bro ... not sure why it's not getting the recognition it deserves ?

Solid info ! Appreciate the time and efforts !

 

[TheFalls]

It does...This stuff is gold...but I feel like last week was around breakeven at best.

 

[Kaboom]

PLAY ON solid dogs against a good rushing defense (on App St, on Illinois, on aTm)

2 < line < 9.5 and D and otA(o:rushing yards) < 124.8 and op:rushing yards / op:rushes > 5.42 and season > 2010 SU: 62-66-0 (-2.07, 48.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 86-37-5 (3.59, 69.9%) avg line: 5.7 +6: 102-25-1 (80.3%) -6: 57-69-2 (45.2%) +10: 105-22-1 (82.7%) -10: 36-85-7 (29.8%) O/U: 55-70-3 (-0.03, 44.0%) avg total: 55.0 +6: 43-85-0 (33.6%) -6: 78-49-1 (61.4%) +10: 31-97-0 (24.2%) -10: 87-41-0 (68.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 145.6 33.8 19.9 229.8 1.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 7.9 26.5 Opp 40.3 177.6 32.1 19.0 235.6 1.7 6.1 8.3 6.1 7.4 28.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 APP MIAF home 3.5 53.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TXAM AUB away 3.5 54.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ILL WMCH home 3.5 59.5

PLAY ON small dog, home or away, with decent defense not in big blowout game last week (on Vandy, on Pitt, on Illinois, on Michigan St, on BC)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral SU: 183-247-0 (-3.27, 42.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 268-149-13 (2.90, 64.3%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 319-108-3 (74.7%) -6: 180-246-4 (42.3%) +10: 341-87-2 (79.7%) -10: 133-293-4 (31.2%) O/U: 196-226-8 (-0.72, 46.4%) avg total: 50.1 +6: 132-295-3 (30.9%) -6: 263-161-6 (62.0%) +10: 103-325-2 (24.1%) -10: 312-114-4 (73.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.3 136.3 30.5 17.6 207.5 1.8 5.0 6.5 5.1 6.1 23.0 Opp 37.2 154.1 32.1 19.0 226.8 1.8 5.7 7.8 5.5 6.9 26.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 VAN GTCH away 6.5 43.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ILL WMCH home 3.5 59.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MCST NOTD away 7.5 52.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 PIT OKST away 6.5 59.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 BCOL VTCH away 6.5 41.0 OPPOSE unrested home favs off OT loss (on Iowa St) HF and pvertime > 0 and p:L and line > -29 and rest < 13 SU: 75-42-0 (7.01, 64.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 43-71-3 (-3.44, 37.7%) avg line: -10.4 +6: 64-51-2 (55.7%) -6: 26-90-1 (22.4%) +10: 80-36-1 (69.0%) -10: 22-95-0 (18.8%) O/U: 34-26-1 (3.02, 56.7%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 25-36-0 (41.0%) -6: 41-20-0 (67.2%) +10: 21-40-0 (34.4%) -10: 44-17-0 (72.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.2 193.5 31.0 18.9 226.6 1.9 7.0 8.7 7.2 7.6 30.9 Opp 35.5 133.5 32.9 17.9 220.4 1.7 6.0 6.4 6.3 6.3 23.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TCU IWST home -24.5 61.0

PLAY ON high scoring away teams in low lined game vs home team that has an average defense (on a bunch....)

tA(points) > 30.5 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14
SU: 161-83-0 (4.21, 66.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 166-73-5 (4.17, 69.5%) avg line: -0.0 +6: 190-54-0 (77.9%) -6: 109-128-7 (46.0%) +10: 199-43-2 (82.2%) -10: 79-161-4 (32.9%) O/U: 120-117-7 (0.82, 50.6%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 97-144-3 (40.2%) -6: 150-92-2 (62.0%) +10: 74-167-3 (30.7%) -10: 170-71-3 (70.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 185.8 32.0 19.4 237.8 1.4 6.7 8.9 7.5 8.0 32.2 Opp 39.5 165.2 36.5 21.4 254.2 1.9 5.8 8.0 5.6 7.6 28.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TXAM AUB away 3.5 54.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 UCLA BYU away -3.0 49.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 EMCH CHAR away -3.5 66.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WMCH ILL away -3.5 59.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FLST LOU away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OHST OKLA away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 ECAR SCAR away 3.5 50.0

OPPOSE home teams off terrible defensive game vs opponent off b2b blowout wins (on So Florida *******)

pooints > 36 and op:margin >= 28 and opp:margin >= 28 and op:H and H and season > 1988
SU: 12-60-0 (-23.43, 16.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-53-0 (-6.41, 26.4%) avg line: 17.0 +6: 36-36-0 (50.0%) -6: 13-57-2 (18.6%) +10: 43-29-0 (59.7%) -10: 11-61-0 (15.3%) O/U: 23-14-0 (5.15, 62.2%) avg total: 60.7 +6: 19-18-0 (51.4%) -6: 27-10-0 (73.0%) +10: 16-21-0 (43.2%) -10: 29-8-0 (78.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 119.4 37.7 20.6 240.5 2.1 4.0 5.7 5.7 5.2 18.8 Opp 40.1 207.6 35.9 22.9 302.3 1.6 12.3 14.4 9.0 8.5 42.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 SYR SFL home 14.5 70.0

OPPOSE very low line teams off a non-cover vs opponent off 2+ straight covers (on Ohio St, on Louisville)

-3 < line < 3 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 1 and season > 2010 and week < 13
SU: 16-54-0 (-9.37, 22.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 14-54-2 (-9.36, 20.6%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 28-40-2 (41.2%) -6: 7-62-1 (10.1%) +10: 36-32-2 (52.9%) -10: 5-65-0 (7.1%) O/U: 33-37-0 (-0.14, 47.1%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 22-48-0 (31.4%) -6: 39-31-0 (55.7%) +10: 20-50-0 (28.6%) -10: 44-25-1 (63.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.0 141.3 36.0 20.3 237.9 1.9 5.2 6.3 4.7 6.2 22.8 Opp 41.6 184.0 29.9 18.2 240.8 1.4 7.7 8.8 7.2 8.1 32.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FLST LOU away -2.0 64.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OKLA OHST home 2.0 64.0

UNDER dominant home defensive team with high total (Michigan under, Toledo under)

pooints + ppooints < 22 and (site = home or site = neutral) and opoints > 26 and total >= 52
SU: 96-35-0 (11.60, 73.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-63-4 (1.21, 50.4%) avg line: -10.4 +6: 92-38-1 (70.8%) -6: 44-84-3 (34.4%) +10: 104-24-3 (81.2%) -10: 35-94-2 (27.1%) O/U: 44-84-3 (-3.05, 34.4%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 30-101-0 (22.9%) -6: 64-63-4 (50.4%) +10: 24-106-1 (18.5%) -10: 84-45-2 (65.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.0 184.7 32.7 20.4 258.8 1.8 7.6 9.6 8.2 7.9 33.8 Opp 36.4 135.4 33.8 19.0 227.5 1.8 4.6 6.5 4.6 6.1 22.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MICH COLO home -20.5 57.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TOL FRES home -20.5 56.5

PLAY ON home dogs or tiny fav off b2b wins scoring 39+ in both (on Louisville)

H and line > -2 and p:W and pp:W and points >= 39 and ppoints >= 39 SU: 56-53-0 (-0.94, 51.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 76-32-1 (5.05, 70.4%) avg line: 6.0 +6: 89-20-0 (81.7%) -6: 50-54-5 (48.1%) +10: 93-16-0 (85.3%) -10: 35-71-3 (33.0%) O/U: 17-25-0 (-1.21, 40.5%) avg total: 62.5 +6: 14-27-1 (34.1%) -6: 26-16-0 (61.9%) +10: 12-30-0 (28.6%) -10: 28-14-0 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 157.8 35.8 21.5 250.0 1.8 7.4 7.0 6.7 6.7 27.4 Opp 39.1 187.2 33.6 20.8 273.0 1.8 5.4 9.9 9.4 8.6 28.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 LOU FLST home 2.0 64.0

UNDER after terrible defense vs opponent off dominant yards differential game (Akron/Marshall under *******)

538 < (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 201 and total <= 62
SU: 24-54-0 (-11.17, 30.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-31-2 (3.67, 59.2%) avg line: 14.8 +6: 59-19-0 (75.6%) -6: 32-45-1 (41.6%) +10: 67-11-0 (85.9%) -10: 25-53-0 (32.1%) O/U: 19-57-2 (-6.85, 25.0%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 13-63-2 (17.1%) -6: 32-42-4 (43.2%) +10: 7-70-1 (9.1%) -10: 43-35-0 (55.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 112.5 31.6 17.4 192.1 1.8 3.0 6.0 3.7 5.2 18.1 Opp 39.3 175.3 30.4 18.7 232.7 1.9 7.1 8.2 8.0 5.7 29.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 AKRON MRSH away 17.0 53.5

OVER huge favs off a bye week (Kansas St over, Memphis over)

week - p:week = 2 and H and line < -15 and season > 2009 and (day = Friday or day = Saturday)
SU: 107-6-0 (27.62, 94.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-46-3 (2.32, 58.2%) avg line: -25.3 +6: 77-34-2 (69.4%) -6: 43-65-5 (39.8%) +10: 91-20-2 (82.0%) -10: 37-75-1 (33.0%) O/U: 72-37-2 (2.67, 66.1%) avg total: 58.2 +6: 43-67-1 (39.1%) -6: 82-28-1 (74.5%) +10: 31-76-4 (29.0%) -10: 88-22-1 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.2 248.6 29.5 19.6 266.0 1.4 11.9 14.0 10.6 7.7 44.3 Opp 33.8 110.2 32.7 17.8 200.0 2.1 3.4 4.4 4.2 4.6 16.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KAST FATL home -22.5 48.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MEM KAN home -20.0 59.5

UNDER small dog that lost to this team last year as a huge dog (Tulane/Navy under)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line > 21.5 and line < 10.5 and date > 20091101 and P:margin > -45 and total < 76
SU: 27-49-0 (-4.36, 35.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-36-1 (-0.39, 52.0%) avg line: 4.0 +6: 52-24-0 (68.4%) -6: 19-57-0 (25.0%) +10: 56-18-2 (75.7%) -10: 16-58-2 (21.6%) O/U: 19-55-2 (-5.11, 25.7%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 14-61-1 (18.7%) -6: 35-39-2 (47.3%) +10: 11-65-0 (14.5%) -10: 49-25-2 (66.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.0 144.5 32.9 19.2 235.8 1.9 4.8 7.1 5.6 5.4 23.2 Opp 39.3 180.6 30.9 18.8 226.2 1.7 6.1 8.0 6.5 6.6 27.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 TLN NAVY home 6.0 48.0

PLAY ON home favs off 4+ TD win scoring 52+ points not favored by <35 (on Wisconsin -34.5 or less only, on Marshall *******)

points >= 52 and HF and p:HF and line > -35 and p:margin >= 28 and op:margin <= -15 and conference != SEC SU: 52-1-0 (29.68, 98.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-9-0 (9.73, 83.0%) avg line: -20.0 +6: 48-5-0 (90.6%) -6: 29-20-4 (59.2%) +10: 49-4-0 (92.5%) -10: 25-27-1 (48.1%) O/U: 14-9-0 (6.74, 60.9%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 11-12-0 (47.8%) -6: 17-5-1 (77.3%) +10: 9-12-2 (42.9%) -10: 20-2-1 (90.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.1 225.1 30.1 20.8 299.7 1.7 12.0 16.3 12.0 9.1 45.6 Opp 36.4 114.3 32.9 16.8 191.5 1.7 4.4 5.0 2.8 5.2 15.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MRSH AKRON home -17.0 53.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WIS GAST home -34.0 48.5

OPPOSE big dogs off a fav loss playing unbeaten opponent off a big win (on Memphis)

p:FL and D and 29 > line > 9.5 and o:WP = 100 and season > 2010 and op:margin > 7
SU: 2-42-0 (-27.02, 4.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-31-2 (-7.61, 26.2%) avg line: 19.4 +6: 20-24-0 (45.5%) -6: 7-36-1 (16.3%) +10: 24-19-1 (55.8%) -10: 4-40-0 (9.1%) O/U: 21-23-0 (1.48, 47.7%) avg total: 58.1 +6: 17-27-0 (38.6%) -6: 29-13-2 (69.0%) +10: 14-30-0 (31.8%) -10: 35-9-0 (79.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.7 118.0 33.2 18.0 186.8 2.0 3.8 4.7 3.1 4.7 16.3 Opp 43.4 239.7 30.8 20.4 275.8 1.3 10.6 12.6 11.9 8.1 43.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 KAN MEM away 20.0 59.5

PLAY ON SEC home favs off a 3+ TD home fav win scoring >50 (on Auburn)

points > 50 and HF and p:HF and p:margin > 21 and op:margin > -12 and conference = SEC SU: 43-9-0 (22.92, 82.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 36-14-2 (7.16, 72.0%) avg line: -15.8 +6: 40-12-0 (76.9%) -6: 29-23-0 (55.8%) +10: 41-11-0 (78.8%) -10: 24-28-0 (46.2%) O/U: 13-14-2 (-0.38, 48.1%) avg total: 54.3 +6: 9-20-0 (31.0%) -6: 18-11-0 (62.1%) +10: 7-22-0 (24.1%) -10: 19-10-0 (65.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.9 227.2 28.3 18.5 246.7 1.4 10.6 9.0 9.7 8.2 38.2 Opp 32.8 107.3 31.6 16.6 185.2 1.7 3.3 3.3 5.0 3.0 15.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 AUB TXAM home -3.5 54.0

PLAY ON home favs off a blowout shutout win vs opponent off a terrible ATS loss (on Marshall *******)

HF and line > -45.5 and pooints = 0 and points > 38 and op:ats margin < -8
SU: 62-2-1 (24.43, 96.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-13-2 (8.32, 79.4%) avg line: -16.1 +6: 55-10-0 (84.6%) -6: 39-25-1 (60.9%) +10: 60-5-0 (92.3%) -10: 31-33-1 (48.4%) O/U: 14-9-0 (7.59, 60.9%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 12-10-1 (54.5%) -6: 16-7-0 (69.6%) +10: 11-11-1 (50.0%) -10: 19-4-0 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.1 237.3 28.1 18.6 250.5 1.2 8.9 11.4 11.2 9.3 39.2 Opp 32.1 104.8 33.6 18.9 208.7 1.8 4.3 5.5 3.8 4.9 14.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 MRSH AKRON home -17.0 53.5

OPPOSE 2+ TD away favs after big home win as dog or tiny favorite (on SJSU if +12.5 or higher, on UTSA *******)

p:HW and AF and line < -12 and o:WP > 15 and p:line > -4 and season > 2002
SU: 22-2-0 (6.29, 91.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-22-1 (-9.60, 4.3%) avg line: -15.9 +6: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -6: 0-24-0 (0.0%) +10: 16-8-0 (66.7%) -10: 0-24-0 (0.0%) O/U: 11-8-0 (6.39, 57.9%) avg total: 58.6 +6: 10-9-0 (52.6%) -6: 14-5-0 (73.7%) +10: 9-9-1 (50.0%) -10: 15-4-0 (78.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.2 203.3 32.0 20.1 256.4 1.6 6.9 10.1 7.7 11.5 33.3 Opp 34.7 148.7 38.7 22.7 272.6 2.1 6.5 6.6 7.0 8.1 27.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 UTAH SJST away -13.0 50.0 0 Sep 16, 2016 Friday 3 2016 AZST UTSA away -19.5 60.0

OPPOSE bad defensive away teams off a win allowing >30 points vs opponent off a win (on Arizona)

pooints > 30 and ppooints > 30 and p:W and A and op:W and day = Saturday
SU: 20-99-2 (-20.48, 16.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-85-2 (-8.49, 26.7%) avg line: 11.9 +6: 51-63-4 (44.7%) -6: 19-99-0 (16.1%) +10: 63-52-3 (54.8%) -10: 11-106-1 (9.4%) O/U: 23-27-1 (-0.92, 46.0%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 18-33-0 (35.3%) -6: 29-20-2 (59.2%) +10: 13-37-1 (26.0%) -10: 35-16-0 (68.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 124.7 35.8 19.9 236.3 2.1 4.5 6.4 4.7 5.4 19.3 Opp 40.8 208.1 32.2 20.0 266.1 1.5 8.6 12.6 8.7 8.1 39.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 HAW ARZ away 32.5

PLAY ON unrested away fav off an away game vs opponent off a fav loss (on Western Kentucky)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 27-3-0 (16.60, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-5-0 (8.93, 83.3%) avg line: -7.7 +6: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 27-3-0 (90.0%) -10: 17-13-0 (56.7%) O/U: 12-18-0 (-0.07, 40.0%) avg total: 55.5 +6: 9-20-1 (31.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-9-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.0 229.6 27.5 17.5 231.0 1.3 8.2 11.0 8.2 8.4 36.0 Opp 33.4 136.8 33.8 17.5 196.9 1.9 4.5 5.4 4.3 5.1 19.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 WKY MIAO away -17.0 62.5

PLAY ON huge dogs after dominant yards differential game (on Fresno, on Ohio, on North Texas, on Colorado if +20 or higher)

(p:rushing yards + passing yards) - (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) > 199 and D and line > 20
SU: 8-64-0 (-19.31, 11.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 54-17-1 (7.83, 76.1%) avg line: 27.1 +6: 61-10-1 (85.9%) -6: 40-31-1 (56.3%) +10: 64-8-0 (88.9%) -10: 33-39-0 (45.8%) O/U: 30-39-3 (0.26, 43.5%) avg total: 58.3 +6: 22-50-0 (30.6%) -6: 40-29-3 (58.0%) +10: 16-56-0 (22.2%) -10: 51-19-2 (72.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 124.6 34.5 19.6 208.5 1.8 3.9 5.9 4.1 5.3 19.6 Opp 39.3 200.5 32.2 20.8 264.4 1.8 9.0 11.5 8.6 9.3 38.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 NTX FLA away 36.5 49.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 COLO MICH away 20.5 57.0 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 OHU TEN away 27.5 56.5 0 Sep 17, 2016 Saturday 3 2016 FRES TOL away 20.5 56.5

Quick Question ... One of your plays had UTSA and San Jose St ... was that trend hitting at 96% / 22 -1 ATS ? Thank you bro !

 

[rolltide]

It does...This stuff is gold...but I feel like last week was around breakeven at best.

i explained in first post of thread that i will designate the best plays (IMO) with highlighted asterisks and those are the ones to focus on unless there is another system opposing that team. Last week those teams went 8-4 ... this week is

UTSA +22 won
South Florida
AKR/MRSH under
Marshall
San Jose State (if stays +12.5 or higher....+12 or lower is a no play)
(and Wisconsin but only -34.5 or less. -35 or higher is a no play)

Quick Question ... One of your plays had UTSA and San Jose St ... was that trend hitting at 96% / 22 -1 ATS ? Thank you bro !

yes, is also a subset where the big away fav after winning as a home dog was 0-16-1 ATS before last night, so 0-17-1 now. If SJSU stay at least +12.5 underdog they qualify in that 23-1-1 ATS situation but WILL NOT qualify in the 17-0-1 subset. If line drops to +12 or lower this is a NO PLAY so tonight is very line dependent. Only play at +12.5 or higher

 

[Georgiaboy]

good stuff

 

[Kaboom]

i explained in first post of thread that i will designate the best plays (IMO) with highlighted asterisks and those are the ones to focus on unless there is another system opposing that team. Last week those teams went 8-4 ... this week is

UTSA +22 won
South Florida
AKR/MRSH under
Marshall
San Jose State (if stays +12.5 or higher....+12 or lower is a no play)
(and Wisconsin but only -34.5 or less. -35 or higher is a no play)


yes, is also a subset where the big away fav after winning as a home dog was 0-16-1 ATS before last night, so 0-17-1 now. If SJSU stay at least +12.5 underdog they qualify in that 23-1-1 ATS situation but WILL NOT qualify in the 17-0-1 subset. If line drops to +12 or lower this is a NO PLAY so tonight is very line dependent. Only play at +12.5 or higher

Awesome ... thank you buddy ... GL TODAY ! Appreciate all the work !!!

 

[rolltide]

vs the summer lines:
Oklahoma -6.5 now +1
Alabama -6 now -10
LSU -11 now -13
Notre Dame -6 now -7
Stanford -6 now -7.5
Nebraska pk now -3
Florida State -3 now -1
UCLA -2 now -3.5

that is one serious move in the Oklahoma game...especially when you can get +3 -120 at bovada

 

[mws]

Thanks for the UTSA angle. It looked solid, and I played it.

 

[doogieboy]

PLAY ON home favs off 4+ TD win scoring 52+ points not favored by <35 (on Wisconsin -34.5 or less only, on Marshall *******)

This dont make sense does it? ...not fav by less than 35 but yet you want Wisconsin only if fav less than 35....you got the less than sign incorrect maybe ....or am I wrong??

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck today!!!

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON home favs off 4+ TD win scoring 52+ points not favored by <35 (on Wisconsin -34.5 or less only, on Marshall *******)

This dont make sense does it? ...not fav by less than 35 but yet you want Wisconsin only if fav less than 35....you got the less than sign incorrect maybe ....or am I wrong??

yes sign should say "not favored by 35+"

in sdql language it reads ">-35" because the higher the negative the lower the spread...

anyway line is 35.5 or 36 now so won't be a fit unless there is some dramatic line shift in next 2 hours which is doubtful

 

[doogieboy]

Ok thanks. I had not looked at the line or would have known it's a moot point now&#55357;&#56832;

 

[Bandit007]

Great stuff rolltide. I really appreciate the time you take to do this for the members of the forum.