2016 NCAA Football Systems

[rolltide]

PLAY ON 5-0 or greater away dog vs unbeaten opponent (on TENN)

wins > 4 and losses = 0 and AD and o:losses = 0 and oRSW < 11 SU: 13-13-0 (0.15, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-6-1 (7.17, 76.0%) avg line: 7.0 +6: 22-3-1 (88.0%) -6: 15-11-0 (57.7%) +10: 24-2-0 (92.3%) -10: 9-15-2 (37.5%) O/U: 4-5-0 (1.06, 44.4%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) +10: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -10: 5-4-0 (55.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.2 169.0 32.9 19.3 241.1 1.8 4.2 8.3 7.3 6.4 26.3 Opp 39.1 209.9 28.6 19.8 244.8 2.1 5.7 13.0 6.0 5.8 26.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 TEN TXAM away 7.0 56.0

from Playbook...PLAY ON 5-0 away conference dogs of 3.5+ vs opponent allowing >15 pgg (on TENN)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and AC and line > 3 and otA(ooints) > 15 and season > 1989 SU: 13-9-1 (2.48, 59.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-2-0 (9.39, 91.3%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -6: 15-8-0 (65.2%) +10: 22-1-0 (95.7%) -10: 12-11-0 (52.2%) O/U: 6-8-0 (-3.11, 42.9%) avg total: 59.1 +6: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -6: 8-6-0 (57.1%) +10: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -10: 10-4-0 (71.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 133.4 35.4 21.9 251.9 2.3 5.1 8.7 8.6 6.9 29.4 Opp 36.8 139.1 38.6 24.1 277.5 2.8 4.8 8.3 6.2 7.0 27.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 TEN TXAM away 7.0 56.0

reworked from Playbook...OPPOSE 5-0 away conference favs off a home win that they didn't cover by a bunch (on BC, on ARK, on NAVY, on RUTGERS)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and ACF and p:HW and p:line > -45 and p:ats margin < 34.5 SU: 51-22-1 (8.15, 69.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 23-50-1 (-4.30, 31.5%) avg line: -12.5 +6: 41-33-0 (55.4%) -6: 12-61-1 (16.4%) +10: 47-25-2 (65.3%) -10: 8-66-0 (10.8%) O/U: 12-14-0 (-0.08, 46.2%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 10-16-0 (38.5%) -6: 18-8-0 (69.2%) +10: 5-21-0 (19.2%) -10: 20-6-0 (76.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.9 198.5 29.5 18.3 245.5 1.8 7.9 8.6 7.7 8.5 30.9 Opp 36.8 117.0 31.6 18.5 206.9 1.6 4.8 8.6 3.9 5.3 22.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 ALA ARK away -14.0 50.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 HOU NAVY away -17.0 54.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 MICH RUT away -27.5 54.5 0 Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 CLEM BCOL away -17.0 43.5

OPPOSE 5-0 away favs vs team that won 6+ games last year (on BC, on ARK, on ORE, on NAVY)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and p:H and A and oRSW > 2 and PRSW > 5 and p:margin < 52 and 2 > line > -20.5 and o:wins > 1 SU: 30-20-0 (1.74, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-39-1 (-6.17, 20.4%) avg line: -7.9 +6: 26-24-0 (52.0%) -6: 4-46-0 (8.0%) +10: 32-16-2 (66.7%) -10: 3-47-0 (6.0%) O/U: 7-10-0 (0.03, 41.2%) avg total: 53.7 +6: 6-11-0 (35.3%) -6: 12-5-0 (70.6%) +10: 4-13-0 (23.5%) -10: 12-5-0 (70.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.4 184.2 30.0 17.2 216.0 1.6 6.3 7.1 7.4 6.3 27.5 Opp 39.5 148.1 29.4 16.9 195.7 1.5 7.8 7.6 4.4 6.0 25.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 ALA ARK away -14.0 50.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 HOU NAVY away -17.0 54.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 WAS ORE away -8.5 68.5 0 Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 CLEM BCOL away -17.0 43.5

PLAY ON Kansas State at home off a loss (on KSU)

team = KAST and p:L and season > 1989 and H SU: 39-15-1 (12.04, 72.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-15-0 (6.73, 72.7%) avg line: -5.3 +6: 46-9-0 (83.6%) -6: 33-22-0 (60.0%) +10: 47-8-0 (85.5%) -10: 21-32-2 (39.6%) O/U: 19-7-0 (7.44, 73.1%) avg total: 58.8 +6: 14-12-0 (53.8%) -6: 22-4-0 (84.6%) +10: 13-13-0 (50.0%) -10: 22-4-0 (84.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.0 189.6 25.7 15.5 205.8 1.5 7.6 10.8 9.7 8.8 33.9 Opp 35.5 151.8 34.8 20.8 260.4 2.2 5.6 8.4 6.2 7.5 21.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 KAST TXT home -7.0 71.5

PLAY ON week 6 decent away dog off a loss as dog or tiny fav (on GT, on BALL ST)

game number = 6 and WP > 40 and p:L and AD and line <= 14 and 12 > p:line > -3 and season > 1982 and op:margin < 45 SU: 26-25-0 (0.59, 51.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-10-1 (6.89, 80.0%) avg line: 6.3 +6: 44-7-0 (86.3%) -6: 30-21-0 (58.8%) +10: 46-5-0 (90.2%) -10: 20-30-1 (40.0%) O/U: 7-8-0 (2.80, 46.7%) avg total: 53.1 +6: 6-9-0 (40.0%) -6: 9-6-0 (60.0%) +10: 5-10-0 (33.3%) -10: 9-6-0 (60.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.9 174.9 29.1 15.9 205.3 1.6 5.9 8.1 6.5 5.6 26.4 Opp 40.5 164.9 31.9 18.9 216.5 1.8 5.7 7.9 4.2 7.5 25.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 GTCH PIT away 6.5 53.0

OPPOSE unrested home favs off an OT loss (on BYU)

HF and pvertime > 0 and p:L and line > -29 and rest < 13 SU: 78-42-0 (7.38, 65.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-72-3 (-3.21, 38.5%) avg line: -10.6 +6: 67-51-2 (56.8%) -6: 27-92-1 (22.7%) +10: 83-36-1 (69.7%) -10: 23-97-0 (19.2%) O/U: 35-27-2 (2.90, 56.5%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 26-38-0 (40.6%) -6: 44-20-0 (68.8%) +10: 21-43-0 (32.8%) -10: 47-17-0 (73.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.3 197.3 30.7 18.7 223.7 1.8 6.9 9.0 7.3 7.7 31.1 Opp 35.6 131.5 33.2 17.9 220.1 1.7 5.7 6.3 6.2 6.3 23.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 MCST BYU home -6.0 49.5

PLAY ON good defensive away dogs (on ARMY)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral SU: 187-258-0 (-3.57, 42.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 274-158-13 (2.57, 63.4%) avg line: 6.1 +6: 328-114-3 (74.2%) -6: 184-256-5 (41.8%) +10: 351-92-2 (79.2%) -10: 136-305-4 (30.8%) O/U: 207-230-8 (-0.43, 47.4%) avg total: 50.1 +6: 139-302-4 (31.5%) -6: 274-163-8 (62.7%) +10: 109-334-2 (24.6%) -10: 326-114-5 (74.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 136.5 30.5 17.6 207.9 1.8 5.0 6.5 5.1 6.0 23.1 Opp 37.2 154.2 32.0 18.9 228.6 1.8 5.7 7.8 5.6 7.0 26.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 ARMY DUKE away 4.5 49.0

PLAY ON great running dogs with a good rush defense (on GT)

2 < line < 9.5 and D and otA(o:rushing yards) < 124.8 and op:rushing yards / op:rushes > 5.42 and season > 2010 SU: 64-72-0 (-2.47, 47.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 89-42-5 (3.08, 67.9%) avg line: 5.6 +6: 107-27-2 (79.9%) -6: 59-75-2 (44.0%) +10: 111-24-1 (82.2%) -10: 36-92-8 (28.1%) O/U: 58-75-3 (0.21, 43.6%) avg total: 54.9 +6: 45-91-0 (33.1%) -6: 82-52-2 (61.2%) +10: 33-103-0 (24.3%) -10: 93-42-1 (68.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 146.2 33.8 20.0 233.7 1.6 5.2 6.3 6.6 7.8 26.3 Opp 40.5 179.1 31.8 18.8 235.1 1.6 6.4 8.1 6.0 7.6 28.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 GTCH PIT away 6.5 53.0

PLAY ON low line away teams scoring >30 ppg (on a bunch)

tA(points) > 30.5 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14 SU: 174-89-0 (4.22, 66.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 179-77-7 (4.13, 69.9%) avg line: -0.1 +6: 206-57-0 (78.3%) -6: 116-140-7 (45.3%) +10: 215-46-2 (82.4%) -10: 85-174-4 (32.8%) O/U: 131-125-7 (1.00, 51.2%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 105-155-3 (40.4%) -6: 162-99-2 (62.1%) +10: 80-180-3 (30.8%) -10: 185-75-3 (71.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.2 187.2 31.8 19.2 236.5 1.4 6.6 9.1 7.5 8.0 32.2 Opp 39.2 164.0 36.6 21.4 255.8 1.9 5.9 7.9 5.6 7.7 28.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 IOWA MIN away -2.0 51.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 AUB MSST away -3.0 53.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 VTCH NCAR away 2.5 62.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 NOTD NCST away 1.0 67.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 MARY PNST away -1.0 57.0 0 Oct 06, 2016 Thursday 6 2016 WKY LTCH away -2.5 68.0

UNDER team after allowing a ton of yards and playing an opponent that outgained last team by >200 (BC/CLEM under)

538 < (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 201 and total <= 62 SU: 25-54-0 (-10.68, 31.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-31-2 (4.18, 59.7%) avg line: 14.9 +6: 60-19-0 (75.9%) -6: 33-45-1 (42.3%) +10: 68-11-0 (86.1%) -10: 26-53-0 (32.9%) O/U: 20-57-2 (-6.16, 26.0%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 14-63-2 (18.2%) -6: 33-42-4 (44.0%) +10: 8-70-1 (10.3%) -10: 44-35-0 (55.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 112.9 31.6 17.5 194.5 1.8 3.1 6.3 3.7 5.4 18.7 Opp 39.3 174.5 30.8 18.9 235.4 2.0 7.3 8.1 8.0 5.7 29.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 CLEM BCOL away -17.0 43.5

PLAY ON big dogs off a conference win vs opponent allowing b2b many points (on TEMPLE)

p:CW and p:margin >= 10 and opoints > 25 and opooints > 30 and D and 13 > line > 5 and conference != P12 and o:ats streak > -4 SU: 48-62-1 (-1.91, 43.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 81-29-1 (6.18, 73.6%) avg line: 8.1 +6: 90-21-0 (81.1%) -6: 56-52-3 (51.9%) +10: 96-14-1 (87.3%) -10: 38-70-3 (35.2%) O/U: 30-31-0 (0.19, 49.2%) avg total: 59.9 +6: 18-41-2 (30.5%) -6: 41-19-1 (68.3%) +10: 12-49-0 (19.7%) -10: 45-15-1 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.3 153.2 33.8 19.7 242.5 1.5 5.9 8.4 5.9 8.3 27.7 Opp 38.5 171.8 33.8 21.2 259.3 1.7 7.3 8.6 6.7 7.8 29.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 06, 2016 Thursday 6 2016 TEM MEM away 10.0 60.5

UNDER small dog or fav that was 22+ dog last year (NT/MARSH under)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line > 21.5 and line < 10.5 and date > 20091101 and P:margin > -45 and total < 76 SU: 27-51-0 (-4.59, 34.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-38-1 (-0.58, 50.6%) avg line: 4.0 +6: 53-25-0 (67.9%) -6: 19-59-0 (24.4%) +10: 57-19-2 (75.0%) -10: 16-60-2 (21.1%) O/U: 20-56-2 (-4.76, 26.3%) avg total: 55.8 +6: 15-62-1 (19.5%) -6: 36-40-2 (47.4%) +10: 12-66-0 (15.4%) -10: 51-25-2 (67.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 147.6 32.4 18.8 232.1 1.9 4.9 7.0 5.7 5.5 23.2 Opp 39.8 186.0 30.5 18.6 223.3 1.7 6.3 8.1 6.5 6.7 27.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 NTX MRSH home 10.0 63.0

OPPOSE conference big fav off a home dog win and playing opponent they did not beat by >TD ATS last year (on BC)

CF and P:W and P:ats margin > -7 and p:HDW and line < -9 and week < 13 SU: 71-16-0 (10.92, 81.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-61-4 (-4.84, 26.5%) avg line: -15.8 +6: 43-43-1 (50.0%) -6: 21-65-1 (24.4%) +10: 58-26-3 (69.0%) -10: 12-74-1 (14.0%) O/U: 15-8-0 (4.33, 65.2%) avg total: 54.8 +6: 11-12-0 (47.8%) -6: 17-6-0 (73.9%) +10: 9-14-0 (39.1%) -10: 17-6-0 (73.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 204.9 32.5 21.1 250.7 1.6 8.4 8.9 7.7 11.3 31.5 Opp 36.3 133.9 32.0 17.8 214.6 1.7 5.4 5.3 7.3 4.3 20.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 CLEM BCOL away -17.0 43.5

OPPOSE favs that needed OT to win as a big fav last week (on SMU)

pvertime > 0 and p:FW and -8.5 > p:line > -28 and F and line < -4 and rest < 14 SU: 49-19-0 (9.62, 72.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-46-2 (-4.34, 30.3%) avg line: -14.0 +6: 39-28-1 (58.2%) -6: 13-55-0 (19.1%) +10: 50-18-0 (73.5%) -10: 5-61-2 (7.6%) O/U: 16-12-2 (-2.15, 57.1%) avg total: 54.8 +6: 10-20-0 (33.3%) -6: 21-9-0 (70.0%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-9-0 (70.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.2 198.6 29.9 19.3 230.0 1.7 7.2 10.0 8.0 7.6 31.7 Opp 33.8 120.4 33.3 18.7 201.7 1.8 5.4 5.1 4.1 5.3 22.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 TLS SMU home -17.0 64.5

OPPOSE teams that just allowed 20+ points to an opponent despite then avg <3 yards per carry in a run-heavy game (in Ga Southern)

po:rushes > 41 and po:rushing yards < 124 and pooints > 19 and game type = RS and p:margin > -25
SU: 56-67-0 (-2.48, 45.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-79-2 (-4.71, 33.6%) avg line: -1.7 +6: 57-62-2 (47.9%) -6: 28-92-1 (23.3%) +10: 74-45-2 (62.2%) -10: 23-96-2 (19.3%) O/U: 62-56-2 (-0.11, 52.5%) avg total: 53.2 +6: 45-75-0 (37.5%) -6: 75-41-4 (64.7%) +10: 34-85-1 (28.6%) -10: 86-33-1 (72.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 147.5 32.5 19.4 227.0 1.8 6.5 7.1 5.5 6.1 25.4 Opp 38.8 157.4 30.0 17.8 217.3 1.5 6.5 8.5 6.0 6.7 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 12, 2016 Wednesday 7 2016 LLAF APP home 0 Oct 05, 2016 Wednesday 6 2016 AKST GSOU home 7.5 54.5

PLAY ON away conference dog or small fav after playing 1AA team two games ago (on Texas State)

game number > 3 and pp:division != ppo:division and p:F and (op:CHD) = False and AC and line > -3.5 and month < 12 SU: 69-106-1 (-3.65, 39.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 114-52-10 (4.28, 68.7%) avg line: 7.9 +6: 141-34-1 (80.6%) -6: 70-101-5 (40.9%) +10: 153-22-1 (87.4%) -10: 56-118-2 (32.2%) O/U: 49-47-1 (-0.16, 51.0%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 36-57-4 (38.7%) -6: 62-34-1 (64.6%) +10: 25-72-0 (25.8%) -10: 68-27-2 (71.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 148.1 31.9 18.7 213.9 1.5 5.9 6.9 6.2 6.6 23.7 Opp 38.0 163.3 34.5 20.7 259.2 1.8 6.5 8.7 6.9 7.2 27.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 TXST GAST away 10.5 60.0

OPPOSE terrible running teams in conference games (on MARYLAND *******)

2.87 < tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) < 3.58 and C and 2.92 < otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) < 3.56 and season > 2009 and opo:rushing touchdowns = 0
SU: 5-41-0 (-17.20, 10.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-40-1 (-8.25, 11.1%) avg line: 8.9 +6: 19-25-2 (43.2%) -6: 4-42-0 (8.7%) +10: 24-21-1 (53.3%) -10: 4-42-0 (8.7%) O/U: 23-22-1 (0.59, 51.1%) avg total: 51.4 +6: 18-28-0 (39.1%) -6: 32-14-0 (69.6%) +10: 12-34-0 (26.1%) -10: 35-11-0 (76.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.0 102.1 37.3 20.8 218.7 2.4 2.7 4.8 4.3 5.6 17.4 Opp 42.1 180.0 29.1 18.4 243.7 1.4 9.0 9.0 8.1 8.4 34.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 PNST MARY home 1.0 57.0

OPPOSE huge away favs off a tight home win as tiny fav or dog (on BC, on ORST *******)

p:HW and AF and line < -12 and o:WP > 15 and p:line > -4 and season > 2002
SU: 25-2-0 (7.52, 92.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-23-1 (-8.98, 11.5%) avg line: -16.5 +6: 11-16-0 (40.7%) -6: 0-27-0 (0.0%) +10: 18-9-0 (66.7%) -10: 0-27-0 (0.0%) O/U: 13-8-1 (6.30, 61.9%) avg total: 58.8 +6: 11-11-0 (50.0%) -6: 17-5-0 (77.3%) +10: 10-11-1 (47.6%) -10: 18-4-0 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.1 206.4 32.4 20.0 264.0 1.8 6.7 11.0 7.9 11.4 34.2 Opp 34.7 142.5 37.9 21.9 259.8 2.0 6.4 6.3 6.7 8.2 26.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 CAL ORST away -12.5 70.0 0 Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 CLEM BCOL away -17.0 43.5

OPPOSE away teams off b2b wins allowing a lot of points (on NC State)

pooints > 30 and ppooints > 30 and p:W and A and op:W and day = Saturday SU: 20-101-2 (-20.38, 16.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-86-2 (-8.36, 27.1%) avg line: 12.0 +6: 52-63-5 (45.2%) -6: 19-101-0 (15.8%) +10: 65-52-3 (55.6%) -10: 11-108-1 (9.2%) O/U: 25-27-1 (-0.53, 48.1%) avg total: 60.6 +6: 20-33-0 (37.7%) -6: 31-20-2 (60.8%) +10: 14-38-1 (26.9%) -10: 37-16-0 (69.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.4 126.2 36.3 20.2 241.3 2.1 4.6 6.5 4.7 5.7 19.5 Opp 41.1 209.9 31.9 20.0 266.0 1.5 8.7 12.5 8.8 8.5 39.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 NOTD NCST away 1.0 67.5

OPPOSE conference away dog vs opponent off a double digit win (on OHIO ST)

AD and p:CDW and p:line > 4 and op:margin > 9 and season > 2005 SU: 4-58-0 (-23.50, 6.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-47-2 (-6.73, 21.7%) avg line: 16.8 +6: 22-38-2 (36.7%) -6: 10-52-0 (16.1%) +10: 34-28-0 (54.8%) -10: 5-57-0 (8.1%) O/U: 27-34-1 (0.52, 44.3%) avg total: 53.7 +6: 21-40-1 (34.4%) -6: 40-21-1 (65.6%) +10: 13-47-2 (21.7%) -10: 45-16-1 (73.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.5 119.0 31.3 16.7 176.8 2.3 3.0 4.6 3.4 4.4 15.4 Opp 41.3 217.2 28.9 18.5 240.0 1.7 9.2 12.9 7.4 9.2 38.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 IND OHST away 29.0 61.0

PLAY ON away fav off an away game vs opponent off a fav loss (on GA Southern, on Utah State)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 28-3-0 (16.29, 90.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-6-0 (8.34, 80.6%) avg line: -8.0 +6: 27-4-0 (87.1%) -6: 19-12-0 (61.3%) +10: 28-3-0 (90.3%) -10: 17-14-0 (54.8%) O/U: 12-19-0 (-0.29, 38.7%) avg total: 55.7 +6: 9-21-1 (30.0%) -6: 19-12-0 (61.3%) +10: 8-23-0 (25.8%) -10: 22-9-0 (71.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 45.6 226.6 27.6 17.6 232.2 1.4 7.9 11.1 8.2 8.4 35.9 Opp 33.6 135.1 34.1 17.6 201.5 1.9 4.4 5.3 4.6 5.1 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 UTST COST away -6.0 51.0 0 Oct 05, 2016 Wednesday 6 2016 GSOU AKST away -7.5 54.5

PLAY ON big winning conference home dogs with at least b2b wins (on Eastern Michigan)

WP > 67 and CHD and p:W and pp:W and line >= 7 and season > 1983 and p:ats margin > -4.5 and op:ats margin > -16 SU: 24-69-2 (-7.53, 25.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 67-25-3 (3.79, 72.8%) avg line: 11.3 +6: 73-22-0 (76.8%) -6: 44-51-0 (46.3%) +10: 76-18-1 (80.9%) -10: 31-63-1 (33.0%) O/U: 16-21-1 (0.26, 43.2%) avg total: 55.4 +6: 12-26-0 (31.6%) -6: 25-13-0 (65.8%) +10: 10-28-0 (26.3%) -10: 29-9-0 (76.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 132.3 33.9 19.7 229.7 1.6 4.5 6.4 5.3 7.6 21.6 Opp 40.1 194.4 29.0 18.1 227.4 1.9 5.9 10.1 5.8 9.1 29.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 EMCH TOL home 17.0 67.0

PLAY ON away team with better record and allowed 17 or less in 3 straight (on AUB)

A and pooints <= 17 and ppooints <= 17 and tA(ooints) <= 17 and line > -3.5 and WP > o:WP and season > 2005 and week > 3 SU: 39-39-0 (1.00, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-25-3 (5.10, 66.7%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 60-17-1 (77.9%) -6: 30-45-3 (40.0%) +10: 64-14-0 (82.1%) -10: 26-50-2 (34.2%) O/U: 27-51-0 (-2.62, 34.6%) avg total: 47.8 +6: 15-63-0 (19.2%) -6: 42-34-2 (55.3%) +10: 11-67-0 (14.1%) -10: 53-24-1 (68.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.6 143.4 28.8 16.3 199.5 1.6 4.1 6.8 5.4 6.3 23.1 Opp 35.7 135.0 32.6 19.2 216.5 1.9 4.8 6.1 4.8 5.8 22.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 AUB MSST away -3.0 53.0

PLAY ON away conference teams with recent huge rush performance and b2b games allowing <100 rushing yards (on Ball State)

AC and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and pp:rushing yards > 204 and o:WP > 0 and otA(o:rushing yards) >= 114 SU: 76-14-0 (14.70, 84.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 65-24-1 (6.02, 73.0%) avg line: -8.7 +6: 75-15-0 (83.3%) -6: 45-44-1 (50.6%) +10: 82-8-0 (91.1%) -10: 34-56-0 (37.8%) O/U: 45-44-1 (0.13, 50.6%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 32-57-1 (36.0%) -6: 59-30-1 (66.3%) +10: 23-66-1 (25.8%) -10: 67-22-1 (75.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.1 229.8 26.4 16.6 213.9 1.3 8.8 10.3 8.3 7.9 35.6 Opp 32.4 115.3 36.4 20.4 231.0 1.9 3.9 5.7 4.5 6.5 20.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 BALL CMCH away 12.5 57.0

PLAY ON big conference home dogs vs big winning team (on Eastern Mich)

CHD and streak > 1 and 72 < WP < 100 and line >= 7
SU: 21-39-3 (-5.24, 35.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-15-2 (6.10, 75.4%) avg line: 11.3 +6: 50-13-0 (79.4%) -6: 32-30-1 (51.6%) +10: 51-11-1 (82.3%) -10: 25-38-0 (39.7%) O/U: 8-11-1 (1.32, 42.1%) avg total: 56.7 +6: 6-14-0 (30.0%) -6: 14-6-0 (70.0%) +10: 5-15-0 (25.0%) -10: 15-5-0 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.4 142.9 32.5 18.7 227.7 1.6 3.5 7.7 6.1 8.8 22.6 Opp 38.0 183.6 29.6 18.2 226.4 1.6 5.7 10.5 4.9 8.9 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 EMCH TOL home 17.0 67.0

PLAY ON 3-5 TD conference home favs off huge conference fav win (on OHIO ST)

CHF and -35 <= line <= -21 and p:CFW and p:margin > 21 and season > 1998 and rest > 5 and (conference = P12 or conference = P10 or conference = BE or conference = B10 or conference = SEC or conference = B12 or conference = ACC) SU: 82-3-0 (32.24, 96.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 65-19-1 (5.44, 77.4%) avg line: -26.8 +6: 70-15-0 (82.4%) -6: 35-44-6 (44.3%) +10: 72-12-1 (85.7%) -10: 27-56-2 (32.5%) O/U: 24-25-0 (0.34, 49.0%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 19-29-1 (39.6%) -6: 31-17-1 (64.6%) +10: 13-35-1 (27.1%) -10: 37-11-1 (77.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.7 220.2 29.8 20.0 276.9 1.4 12.1 11.3 11.9 8.9 44.7 Opp 33.7 113.3 31.9 16.7 175.3 2.1 2.5 4.2 3.0 3.6 12.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 OHST IND home -29.0 61.0

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams that were blown out in first loss (on ARK ST, on WASH ST, on TEMPLE, on SYR, on UCLA, on UNLV)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14 and rest < 26 and date > 20081020 SU: 29-45-0 (-3.96, 39.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-61-1 (-8.03, 16.4%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 29-42-3 (40.8%) -6: 9-65-0 (12.2%) +10: 42-31-1 (57.5%) -10: 6-68-0 (8.1%) O/U: 41-33-0 (1.09, 55.4%) avg total: 56.5 +6: 31-43-0 (41.9%) -6: 49-25-0 (66.2%) +10: 22-50-2 (30.6%) -10: 55-18-1 (75.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 152.2 33.9 20.5 245.9 1.8 5.3 7.6 6.2 7.5 26.8 Opp 39.7 170.9 31.7 19.6 235.4 1.4 7.0 9.6 6.6 7.1 30.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 AZST UCLA home 10.0 61.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 SDST UNLV home -15.0 58.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 STAN WAST home -7.5 57.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 WAKE SYR home -2.0 57.5 0 Oct 06, 2016 Thursday 6 2016 MEM TEM home -10.0 60.5 0 Oct 05, 2016 Wednesday 6 2016 GSOU AKST away -7.5 54.5

OPPOSE previously unbeaten off a loss they can't blame on 4+ turnover differential (on UCLA, on HOUSTON, on TEMPLE, on SYR, on WASH ST, on UNLV)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins > 2 and p:turnovers - po:turnovers < 4 and p:margin < -13 and game type = RS and date > 20081018 SU: 28-45-0 (-5.30, 38.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-60-1 (-8.59, 16.7%) avg line: -3.3 +6: 27-44-2 (38.0%) -6: 10-63-0 (13.7%) +10: 40-33-0 (54.8%) -10: 5-67-1 (6.9%) O/U: 39-34-0 (0.73, 53.4%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 30-43-0 (41.1%) -6: 49-24-0 (67.1%) +10: 21-50-2 (29.6%) -10: 55-17-1 (76.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.8 155.1 33.2 19.9 236.3 1.8 5.4 7.3 6.3 6.7 25.9 Opp 39.8 174.2 31.5 19.5 238.2 1.3 7.1 9.4 7.2 7.1 31.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 AZST UCLA home 10.0 61.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 NAVY HOU home 17.0 54.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 SDST UNLV home -15.0 58.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 STAN WAST home -7.5 57.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 WAKE SYR home -2.0 57.5 0 Oct 06, 2016 Thursday 6 2016 MEM TEM home -10.0 60.5

 

[Kaboom]

RollTide -- Thanks for all the work you do! This thread is gold!!! Please let me know if my posts are getting in the way, and I will shut the hell up!

------
Here's one that has been amazing the last few years:

Play ON Colorado


HF and line < -7.5 and p:W and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2012

SU: 21-1-0 (32.82, 95.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-2-0 (12.57, 90.9%) avg line: -20.2 +6: 20-1-1 (95.2%) -6: 17-4-1 (81.0%) +10: 21-1-0 (95.5%) -10: 13-9-0 (59.1%) O/U: 12-10-0 (0.27, 54.5%) avg total: 57.0 +6: 7-15-0 (31.8%) -6: 15-7-0 (68.2%) +10: 6-16-0 (27.3%) -10: 18-4-0 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.0 235.8 31.9 21.7 270.0 1.1 12.5 13.7 9.3 9.6 45.0 Opp 31.3 101.4 34.1 18.0 204.8 2.5 3.6 4.0 2.1 2.5 12.2

Little help ...please ... sorry ... what does p mean :W and p:line ..... just want to understand it is all ... appreciate any help ?


HF and line < -7.5 and p:W and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2012

 

[rolltide]

HF and line < -7.5 and p:W and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2012

HOME FAV of more than 7.5 points (at least 8) off a win (small p = previous and big W = win) that they were at least 10 point underdog (p:line>9.5 = previous line was more than 9.5 ... thus 10 or more)


so simply Home fav of 8+ off a win as a double digit dog

 

[Kaboom]

HOME FAV of more than 7.5 points (at least 8) off a win (small p = previous and big W = win) that they were at least 10 point underdog (p:line>9.5 = previous line was more than 9.5 ... thus 10 or more)


so simply Home fav of 8+ off a win as a double digit dog

Fantastic !! Thx bud !!

So play the dog when ?

The Fav ( USC ) is off a favorite line the week before of 7 1/2 or more ( favored by -9 vs Ariz St ) and covered vs Dog Colorado who was a double digit dog in previous game of + 9 1/2 or more ( Colo was a dog of + 13 1/2 at Oregon ) and won the game straight up ( they beat Oregon 41 - 38 ....

So this was for last week's game vs Ore st , correct ???

 

[rolltide]

Fantastic !! Thx bud !!

So play the dog when ?

The Fav ( USC ) is off a favorite line the week before of 7 1/2 or more ( favored by -9 vs Ariz St ) and covered vs Dog Colorado who was a double digit dog in previous game of + 9 1/2 or more ( Colo was a dog of + 13 1/2 at Oregon ) and won the game straight up ( they beat Oregon 41 - 38 ....

So this was for last week's game vs Ore st , correct ???

no, this has nothing to do with Colorado vs USC ... the one you are asking about was live last week for Colorado vs Oregon State to play the home fav of 8+ (colorado) coming off a dog win of 10+ (at Oregon)

there is nothing at all in this thread for either USC or Colorado in this week's game

 

[METFAN]

THANK YOU FoR ALL THE EFFORT TO SHARE THIS..I DO HAVE 2 CORRECTIONS

OPPOSE 5-0 away favs vs team that won 6+ games last year (on BC, on ARK, on ORE, on NAVY)

Boston College only won 3 games last yr..I still love them this week

OPPOSE away teams off b2b wins allowing a lot of points (on NC State)..NDame on a 1 game streak. They lost to Duke 2 weeks ago

Thanks Again. I know you must be seeing triple when your done posting all of this

 

[Kaboom]

no, this has nothing to do with Colorado vs USC ... the one you are asking about was live last week for Colorado vs Oregon State to play the home fav of 8+ (colorado) coming off a dog win of 10+ (at Oregon)

there is nothing at all in this thread for either USC or Colorado in this week's game

Thanks Bud ... appreciate the help ! sorry ....

 

[rolltide]

THANK YOU FoR ALL THE EFFORT TO SHARE THIS..I DO HAVE 2 CORRECTIONS

OPPOSE 5-0 away favs vs team that won 6+ games last year (on BC, on ARK, on ORE, on NAVY)

Boston College only won 3 games last yr..I still love them this week

OPPOSE away teams off b2b wins allowing a lot of points (on NC State)..NDame on a 1 game streak. They lost to Duke 2 weeks ago

Thanks Again. I know you must be seeing triple when your done posting all of this

yes you guys can pick my quick reasoning apart all day. as i have now mentioned for the 40th time this year I quickly try to post an explanation and often miss a code or two in description due to time constraints. The games are always correct or they wouldn't come up in the SDQL and if you knew the SDQL the error would be pretty obvious. I will just post SDQL results without description

The correct descriptions would be

OPPOSE 5-0 away favs that won 6+ games vs team that won 3+ games last year

and

OPPOSE away teams off b2b allowing 31+ if both teams are off a win

PLEASE GUYS REMEMBER I QUICKLY TRY TO TYPE AN EXPLANATION IN MIDDLE OF MY WORK DAY

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck this week!!!

 

[1osubucks]

I like the Tennessee data.. .. anything on Colorado this week?

 

[whatwasIthinking]

Rolltide, first TY. I'm starting to see the benefits of trends. I'm currently working on a computer system myself. This is out of this world. I thank you for your time that you put into this. Keep it up. Rooooooooooool Tide.

 

[rolltide]

I like the Tennessee data.. .. anything on Colorado this week?

saw one against, nothing for

the one against comes from the killersports newsletter this week (their college system of the week) and here is their full explanation:

From Game 6 on, play ON a conference home team off a home favorite SU win against an undefeated opponent vs. an opponent off a SU win.

SDQL Textgame number>5 and p:FHW and Average(po:W@po:team and po:season)=1 and HC and op:W and date>19911012

System Analysis
We are already at Week Six of the college football season it is really hard to believe time just flies by during the most enjoyable time of the year. Our NCAA Football System of the Week won again last week as we called for a play ON the Wyoming Cowboys plus the six points against the Colorado State Rams. The Cowboys easily came through for us winning outright 38 to 17 over the Rams. Our NCAA Football System of the Week now stands at 4-0 ATS on the season.

This week our college football research looked into teams who are coming off a straight up victory over a previously undefeated team. We wondered would these teams continue to play at a high level or would the emotional cost of that victory leave the winning team flat and lifeless this week.

Would the respective coaching staff have the ability to get them ready both physically and emotionally for another big game especially if this week’s opponent is also coming in off a straight up win in their last game. In the three decades we have been handicapping college football we found that emotion even when it seems obvious that it will play a part and you believe you had read the tea leaves correctly you can easily find yourself on the wrong side.

This is where the SDQL saves the day and answers that question giving us the right side of that emotionally charged equation. The system is almost perfect losing just one time against the spread and that came last season but the system rebounded with another victory which gives us a win percentage of 93. 3 percent against the spread. What we found was after knocking off an unbeaten team as a home favorite, teams back at home facing a conference opponent have been able to coral that emotion and momentum defeating their conference foe even though they were also coming in off a straight up victory in their last game.

Last week the USC Trojans faced off against the Arizona State Sun Devils who were a perfect 4-0 straight up on the season. The Trojans had little trouble taking down the Devils the odds-makers had installed them as nine-point home favorites and they came through winning 41 to 20 against the previously unbeaten Sun Devils. The USC Trojans are home again this week facing Pac 12 Conference foe Colorado Buffalos. The Buffalos make the trip to the City of Angels on Saturday to take on the Men of Troy. Our system tells us the Men of Troy are prepared to take down this conference opponent who is riding high off their win last week.

With the system parameters met and the Trojans emotionally charged for a huge conference game we will lay the four-points the oddsmakers have hung on USC as they roll over the Buffalos on Saturday.

SU: 13-2-0 (25.53, 86.7%)
ATS: 14-1-0 (16.30, 93.3%) avg line: -9.2
O/U: 3-2-0 (8.40, 60.0%) avg total: 51.4
Rushes Rush Yds Passes C ompletionsPassing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 36.2 136.0 29.0 18.8 246.6 1.4 11.2 12.2 4.8 10.8 42.2
Opp 35.6 133.2 34.6 17.2 225.8 1.8 4.8 4.6 5.0 6.4 16.7

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE favorites that have held 4 straight opponents to <125 rushing yards but facing opponent that just outrushed last opponent by >125. (on ARK, on NM, on WYO, on GT) - 12-0 L12

F and season > 2013 and po:rushing yards < 125 and ppo:rushing yards < 125 and pppo:rushing yards < 125 and ppppo:rushing yards < 125 and op:rushing yards - opo:rushing yards > 125 SU: 6-6-0 (-3.25, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-12-0 (-13.08, 0.0%) avg line: -9.8 +6: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -6: 0-12-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-5-1 (54.5%) -10: 0-12-0 (0.0%) O/U: 2-9-1 (-10.04, 18.2%) avg total: 50.5 +6: 2-10-0 (16.7%) -6: 3-9-0 (25.0%) +10: 2-10-0 (16.7%) -10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) F and season > 2009 and po:rushing yards < 125 and ppo:rushing yards < 125 and pppo:rushing yards < 125 and ppppo:rushing yards < 125 and op:rushing yards - opo:rushing yards > 125 SU: 17-12-0 (4.41, 58.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-24-0 (-6.57, 17.2%) avg line: -11.0 +6: 10-18-1 (35.7%) -6: 5-24-0 (17.2%) +10: 18-10-1 (64.3%) -10: 4-25-0 (13.8%) O/U: 12-14-3 (-0.93, 46.2%) avg total: 51.5 +6: 10-19-0 (34.5%) -6: 15-13-1 (53.6%) +10: 7-21-1 (25.0%) -10: 16-13-0 (55.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.2 137.3 31.3 18.5 233.6 2.1 3.9 10.0 6.1 7.5 27.5 Opp 41.7 168.9 27.1 14.9 173.6 1.7 6.4 4.7 4.9 7.1 23.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 ALA ARK away -14.0 49.0 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 PIT GTCH home -6.5 50.5 0 Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 AIR WYO away -11.0 51.5 0 Oct 07, 2016 Friday 6 2016 BOIS NMX away -17.0 61.5

 

[1osubucks]

saw one against, nothing for

the one against comes from the killersports newsletter this week (their college system of the week) and here is their full explanation:

From Game 6 on, play ON a conference home team off a home favorite SU win against an undefeated opponent vs. an opponent off a SU win.

SDQL Textgame number>5 and p:FHW and Average(po:W@po:team and po:season)=1 and HC and op:W and date>19911012

System Analysis
We are already at Week Six of the college football season it is really hard to believe time just flies by during the most enjoyable time of the year. Our NCAA Football System of the Week won again last week as we called for a play ON the Wyoming Cowboys plus the six points against the Colorado State Rams. The Cowboys easily came through for us winning outright 38 to 17 over the Rams. Our NCAA Football System of the Week now stands at 4-0 ATS on the season.

This week our college football research looked into teams who are coming off a straight up victory over a previously undefeated team. We wondered would these teams continue to play at a high level or would the emotional cost of that victory leave the winning team flat and lifeless this week.

Would the respective coaching staff have the ability to get them ready both physically and emotionally for another big game especially if this week’s opponent is also coming in off a straight up win in their last game. In the three decades we have been handicapping college football we found that emotion even when it seems obvious that it will play a part and you believe you had read the tea leaves correctly you can easily find yourself on the wrong side.

This is where the SDQL saves the day and answers that question giving us the right side of that emotionally charged equation. The system is almost perfect losing just one time against the spread and that came last season but the system rebounded with another victory which gives us a win percentage of 93. 3 percent against the spread. What we found was after knocking off an unbeaten team as a home favorite, teams back at home facing a conference opponent have been able to coral that emotion and momentum defeating their conference foe even though they were also coming in off a straight up victory in their last game.

Last week the USC Trojans faced off against the Arizona State Sun Devils who were a perfect 4-0 straight up on the season. The Trojans had little trouble taking down the Devils the odds-makers had installed them as nine-point home favorites and they came through winning 41 to 20 against the previously unbeaten Sun Devils. The USC Trojans are home again this week facing Pac 12 Conference foe Colorado Buffalos. The Buffalos make the trip to the City of Angels on Saturday to take on the Men of Troy. Our system tells us the Men of Troy are prepared to take down this conference opponent who is riding high off their win last week.

With the system parameters met and the Trojans emotionally charged for a huge conference game we will lay the four-points the oddsmakers have hung on USC as they roll over the Buffalos on Saturday.

SU: 13-2-0 (25.53, 86.7%)
ATS: 14-1-0 (16.30, 93.3%) avg line: -9.2
O/U: 3-2-0 (8.40, 60.0%) avg total: 51.4
Rushes Rush Yds Passes C ompletionsPassing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 36.2 136.0 29.0 18.8 246.6 1.4 11.2 12.2 4.8 10.8 42.2
Opp 35.6 133.2 34.6 17.2 225.8 1.8 4.8 4.6 5.0 6.4 16.7

thanks

 

[rolltide]

rarely can i ever match Marc Lawrence's numbers but since i founds his picks on the services section figured I would run them for you to see if they are accurate

Mark Lawrence Preferred Picks

Florida State (+3) 4u
Florida State (Game 361). Edges - Seminoles: 11-2 SU versus undefeated foes last five years, including 6-0 ATS when FSU is off an ATS loss. Hurricanes: 1-5-1 ATS as favorites following a win over Georgia Tech; and head coach Mark Richt is 2-7 ATS as a home favorite off a win versus a foe off a SU favorite loss. We cement the play this this beauty directly from our Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any college football road dog or favorite of 3 or less points off a SU home loss as a favorite of 10 or more points if they scored more than 10 points in the loss and win 10 or more games last season if they are facing a foe off a win of 14 or less points that won 8 or fewer games last season. That's because these teams are 9-2 SU and 11-0 ATS in this role since 1980

dbase goes back to 1980 but i can come up with a 0-loss scenario at least but not 11 covers

A and -3 <= line <= 3 and p:HFL and p:line <= -10 and op:margin <= 14 and op:W and oRSW <= 8 and PRSW >= 10 and points >= 10
SU: 7-1-0 (11.00, 87.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-0-1 (10.56, 100.0%) avg line: -0.4 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 3-5-0 (37.5%) O/U: 1-4-0 (-5.90, 20.0%) avg total: 53.1 +6: 1-4-0 (20.0%) -6: 2-3-0 (40.0%) +10: 0-5-0 (0.0%) -10: 2-3-0 (40.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.2 220.2 24.8 15.2 202.2 0.6 4.6 9.6 9.8 6.2 29.1 Opp 34.0 118.4 43.4 25.2 271.0 1.4 1.8 3.2 6.0 6.0 18.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 FLST MIAF away 3.0 64.5

Tennessee (+7) 3u
Tennessee Volunteers (Game 377). Edges - Volunteers: 4-2-1 SU and 5-2 ATS away off away in conference road games versus undefeated foes. Aggies: 1-5 ATS before a conference road revenge game. We cement the play with this beauty from our powerful database: 5-0 college football favorites in Game Six are 0-5 ATS since 1980 when facing a 5-0 opponents that won 9 or more games last season.

close but is is really 4-1 as South Carolina covered last situation vs Georgia

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and oRSW > 8 and o:losses = 0 and o:wins = 5 and FC
SU: 3-2-0 (2.60, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-4-0 (-2.50, 20.0%) avg line: -5.1 +6: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -6: 1-4-0 (20.0%) +10: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -10: 1-4-0 (20.0%) O/U: 1-1-0 (5.50, 50.0%) avg total: 55.5 +6: 1-1-0 (50.0%) -6: 1-1-0 (50.0%) +10: 1-1-0 (50.0%) -10: 1-1-0 (50.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.5 139.0 25.5 17.0 274.5 1.0 14.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 25.8 Opp 35.5 138.0 33.0 19.5 193.0 0.5 1.5 8.5 5.0 11.0 23.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 TXAM TEN home -7.0 57.5

Oregon (+9) 3u
Oregon (Game 386) Edges - Ducks: 5-0 ATS as home dogs taking less than 20 points. Huskies: 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS last twelve games n this series, including 0-4 SUATS off a win; and 0-5 ATS in last five PAC 12 games when seeking revenge. The database cement this dominating dog noting that 5-0 conference road favorites of 14 or less points in Game Six are 0-16-1 ATS since 1980 if they beat the beat the spread by 14 or more points but not more than 35 or more points in their last game and are facing a .250 or greater opponent.

i got 2-12-1 with Florida covering at Missouri last year

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and line >= -14 and ACF and 35 > p:ats margin >= 14 and o:WP >= 25 and game number = 6
SU: 9-6-0 (-0.07, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-12-1 (-6.53, 14.3%) avg line: -6.5 +6: 10-5-0 (66.7%) -6: 1-14-0 (6.7%) +10: 10-5-0 (66.7%) -10: 1-14-0 (6.7%) O/U: 2-4-0 (1.00, 33.3%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -6: 4-2-0 (66.7%) +10: 1-5-0 (16.7%) -10: 4-2-0 (66.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.3 149.2 30.7 19.8 239.5 1.7 5.7 7.2 8.8 6.2 22.1 Opp 33.8 138.2 35.7 17.8 215.0 1.8 7.5 11.0 2.3 6.2 22.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2016 Saturday 6 2016 WAS ORE away -9.0 69.5

 

[rolltide]

Then and now ... GOY lines from summer vs current line


Alabama -8.5 vs -14 (huge move to Bama of 5.5 points)
Tennessee -5 vs +7 (crazy move for aTm of 12 points vs unbeaten Tenn)
UCLA -4 vs -9 (big move of 5 points for two teams that are pretty much what was expected)
Florida St -7 vs +3 (10 point swing for a team that has 0 decent wins)
Notre Dame -6 vs +3 (9 point swing for a team that has played worst schedule in nation)
Oregon -2 vs +10 (lotta love for U dub with a 12 point swing)
Oklahoma -12 vs -13.5
Auburn pk vs -2

 

[vanessa31]

How's the system been doing lately?

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE 5-0 away favs vs opponent that won at home my <45 and playing a 4+ win team from last year and 2+ this year (on INDY)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and p:H and A and line < 2 and oRSW > 3 and p:margin < 46 and tA(o:margin) > -31 and o:wins > 1 SU: 22-19-0 (1.22, 53.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-33-1 (-6.43, 17.5%) avg line: -7.6 +6: 20-20-1 (50.0%) -6: 4-37-0 (9.8%) +10: 26-13-2 (66.7%) -10: 3-38-0 (7.3%) O/U: 6-9-0 (0.83, 40.0%) avg total: 52.8 +6: 4-11-0 (26.7%) -6: 11-4-0 (73.3%) +10: 2-13-0 (13.3%) -10: 11-4-0 (73.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.7 168.9 31.5 18.4 223.7 1.6 6.2 6.9 7.9 5.7 27.9 Opp 39.7 159.1 29.9 16.2 190.4 1.7 7.9 7.5 4.3 6.2 26.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 NEB IND away -3.5 56.5

PLAY ON away dog, decent team, off a home loss in a tight lined game (on MINN)

game number = 6 and WP > 40 and p:L and AD and line <= 14 and 12 > p:line > -3 and season > 1982 and op:margin < 45 SU: 26-26-0 (0.52, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-10-1 (6.83, 80.4%) avg line: 6.3 +6: 45-7-0 (86.5%) -6: 30-22-0 (57.7%) +10: 47-5-0 (90.4%) -10: 20-31-1 (39.2%) O/U: 8-8-0 (3.78, 50.0%) avg total: 53.0 +6: 7-9-0 (43.8%) -6: 10-6-0 (62.5%) +10: 6-10-0 (37.5%) -10: 10-6-0 (62.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.1 179.0 27.9 15.4 200.6 1.5 5.7 8.7 6.1 6.1 26.6 Opp 40.6 168.0 31.2 18.6 214.9 1.8 5.8 8.2 4.1 7.9 26.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 MIN MARY away 6.5 49.5

game 6 OPPOSE 5-0 favs of <3 TD that won 6+ games last year vs opponent that won 4+ last year and 2+ this year (on WISC, on INDY)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and p:H and A and oRSW > 3 and PRSW > 5 and p:margin < 52 and 2 > line > -20.5 and o:wins > 1 SU: 27-21-0 (1.50, 56.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-37-1 (-6.21, 21.3%) avg line: -7.7 +6: 24-24-0 (50.0%) -6: 4-44-0 (8.3%) +10: 30-16-2 (65.2%) -10: 3-45-0 (6.2%) O/U: 10-10-0 (4.30, 50.0%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 9-11-0 (45.0%) -6: 15-5-0 (75.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 15-5-0 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.2 194.9 30.2 17.9 229.4 1.6 7.6 8.2 8.1 7.0 28.9 Opp 40.6 156.3 29.4 16.8 199.1 1.6 7.5 7.8 5.8 5.7 27.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 NEB IND away -3.5 56.5 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 OHST WIS away -10.0 44.0

OPPOSE 3-2 teams in a non-conf game that started year 3-0 (on GT, on ND)

wins = 3 and losses = 2 and p:L and pp:L and not C and division = o:division SU: 7-8-0 (-2.60, 46.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-12-0 (-8.63, 20.0%) avg line: -6.0 +6: 5-10-0 (33.3%) -6: 2-13-0 (13.3%) +10: 8-7-0 (53.3%) -10: 2-13-0 (13.3%) O/U: 7-4-0 (3.27, 63.6%) avg total: 50.2 +6: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -6: 10-1-0 (90.9%) +10: 1-10-0 (9.1%) -10: 11-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.5 184.3 27.9 16.9 208.6 1.7 6.2 7.3 5.3 8.5 22.7 Opp 34.8 148.1 31.0 18.8 206.2 2.2 6.0 8.9 4.5 6.8 25.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 GSOU GTCH away 10.5 47.0 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 STAN NOTD away 3.0 54.0

OPPOSE 5-1 teams off a loss seeking revenge vs good defensive team (on ALA)

wins = 5 and losses = 1 and p:L and H and P:L and otA(ooints) < 22 and season > 1981 and P:season = season -1 SU: 5-9-0 (-6.86, 35.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-12-0 (-7.29, 14.3%) avg line: -0.4 +6: 5-7-2 (41.7%) -6: 2-12-0 (14.3%) +10: 9-5-0 (64.3%) -10: 1-13-0 (7.1%) O/U: 4-2-0 (5.33, 66.7%) avg total: 50.7 +6: 4-2-0 (66.7%) -6: 4-2-0 (66.7%) +10: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -10: 5-1-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 117.2 37.0 21.2 219.0 3.0 3.5 7.2 2.3 6.2 21.5 Opp 38.3 158.7 32.2 20.7 235.0 1.0 2.8 10.2 9.8 9.7 28.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 TEN ALA home 13.0 57.5

OPPOSE 5-0 conference team with extra rest and off a conference win (on KANS, on INDY)

wins = 5 and losses = 0 and C and p:C and rest > 7 and tA(ooints) < 22.8 and season > 1988 SU: 13-15-2 (0.53, 46.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-24-0 (-10.18, 20.0%) avg line: -10.7 +6: 10-20-0 (33.3%) -6: 4-25-1 (13.8%) +10: 13-17-0 (43.3%) -10: 3-27-0 (10.0%) O/U: 6-3-0 (3.78, 66.7%) avg total: 51.2 +6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -6: 7-2-0 (77.8%) +10: 2-7-0 (22.2%) -10: 7-2-0 (77.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.8 155.9 36.8 20.6 255.7 2.2 7.1 7.4 5.3 7.1 25.2 Opp 42.4 178.3 25.0 14.3 163.1 1.2 8.7 8.4 6.3 4.6 24.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 BAY KAN home -34.5 67.0 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 NEB IND away -3.5 56.5

PLAY ON high scoring away teams within 3.5 of pk'em vs opponent that doesn't have dominant defense (on Pitt, on Neb, on WKY, on Temple, on CMU) - only WKY meets the 155-54 qualifier ********

tA(points) > 30.5 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14
SU: 177-92-0 (4.23, 65.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 182-80-7 (4.12, 69.5%) avg line: -0.1 +6: 211-58-0 (78.4%) -6: 119-143-7 (45.4%) +10: 220-47-2 (82.4%) -10: 87-178-4 (32.8%) O/U: 132-130-7 (0.76, 50.4%) avg total: 59.2 +6: 106-160-3 (39.8%) -6: 165-102-2 (61.8%) +10: 81-185-3 (30.5%) -10: 188-78-3 (70.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.3 186.4 31.6 19.1 234.6 1.4 6.6 9.1 7.4 8.0 32.1 Opp 39.2 163.8 36.4 21.3 254.1 1.9 5.9 7.8 5.7 7.6 27.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 TEM CFL away 3.0 55.0 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 NEB IND away -3.5 56.5 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 WKY MTEN away 2.5 73.5 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 CMCH NIL away -2.5 66.0 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 PIT VIR away -3.0 61.0

OPPOSE low line team off non-cover vs opponent off at least b2b covers (on NoILL, on TX TECH)

3 < line < 3 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 1 and season > 2010 and week < 13 SU: 18-58-0 (-9.67, 23.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-58-2 (-9.64, 21.6%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 31-43-2 (41.9%) -6: 7-68-1 (9.3%) +10: 39-35-2 (52.7%) -10: 5-71-0 (6.6%) O/U: 36-40-0 (-0.39, 47.4%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 24-52-0 (31.6%) -6: 42-34-0 (55.3%) +10: 21-55-0 (27.6%) -10: 47-28-1 (62.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.9 143.2 35.8 20.1 236.7 1.8 5.2 6.2 4.8 6.3 23.0 Opp 41.7 187.1 30.1 18.4 241.3 1.4 7.7 9.2 7.2 8.2 32.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 CMCH NIL away -2.5 66.0 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 WVA TXT away -1.0 83.0

UNDER good home dog that won >7 games last year (AKR/WMICH under)

WP > 65 and streak >= 2 and H and line > -2 and PRSW > 7 and season > 2005 and oRSW > 7 and tA(points) < 45 SU: 27-56-0 (-4.59, 32.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-43-1 (0.02, 47.6%) avg line: 4.6 +6: 56-26-1 (68.3%) -6: 25-58-0 (30.1%) +10: 60-22-1 (73.2%) -10: 17-65-1 (20.7%) O/U: 25-57-1 (-5.07, 30.5%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 17-65-1 (20.7%) -6: 41-41-1 (50.0%) +10: 13-70-0 (15.7%) -10: 47-36-0 (56.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.9 146.7 31.4 18.1 220.8 2.1 5.2 6.0 5.0 6.0 22.4 Opp 38.6 175.0 30.4 17.9 215.1 1.6 5.6 7.7 5.9 7.3 27.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 AKRON WMCH home 10.5 69.5

UNDER team after allowing ton of yards vs opponent that outgained their last opponent >200 yards, total 62 or less (KST/OU under if 62 or less)

538 < (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 201 and total <= 62 SU: 26-54-0 (-9.97, 32.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-31-2 (4.48, 60.3%) avg line: 14.5 +6: 61-19-0 (76.2%) -6: 34-45-1 (43.0%) +10: 69-11-0 (86.2%) -10: 27-53-0 (33.8%) O/U: 21-57-2 (-5.80, 26.9%) avg total: 54.1 +6: 15-63-2 (19.2%) -6: 34-42-4 (44.7%) +10: 9-70-1 (11.4%) -10: 45-35-0 (56.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 114.3 31.5 17.5 195.5 1.8 3.3 6.2 3.9 5.6 19.1 Opp 39.4 174.3 30.7 18.8 233.7 2.0 7.2 8.0 8.0 5.6 29.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 KAST OKLA away 10.5 61.0

UNDER small dog of 10 or less that was huge dog of 22+ last year (on APP/ULL under, ORST/UTAH under if line <=10)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line > 21.5 and line < 10.5 and date > 20091101 and P:margin > -45 and total < 76
SU: 27-51-0 (-4.59, 34.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-38-1 (-0.58, 50.6%) avg line: 4.0 +6: 53-25-0 (67.9%) -6: 19-59-0 (24.4%) +10: 57-19-2 (75.0%) -10: 16-60-2 (21.1%) O/U: 20-56-2 (-4.76, 26.3%) avg total: 55.8 +6: 15-62-1 (19.5%) -6: 36-40-2 (47.4%) +10: 12-66-0 (15.4%) -10: 51-25-2 (67.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 147.6 32.4 18.8 232.1 1.9 4.9 7.0 5.7 5.5 23.2 Opp 39.8 186.0 30.5 18.6 223.3 1.7 6.3 8.1 6.5 6.7 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 ORST UTAH home 9.0 48.5 0 Oct 12, 2016 Wednesday 7 2016 LLAF APP home 10.0 48.5

PLAY ON away dog off fav game and 2 games removed from playing 1AA team (on WKY)

game number > 3 and pp:division != ppo:division and p:F and (op:CHD) = False and AC and line > -3.5 and month < 12
SU: 69-107-1 (-3.75, 39.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 114-53-10 (4.20, 68.3%) avg line: 7.9 +6: 141-35-1 (80.1%) -6: 70-102-5 (40.7%) +10: 153-22-2 (87.4%) -10: 56-119-2 (32.0%) O/U: 49-47-2 (-0.16, 51.0%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 36-58-4 (38.3%) -6: 63-34-1 (64.9%) +10: 25-73-0 (25.5%) -10: 69-27-2 (71.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 147.8 32.0 18.8 214.8 1.5 6.0 6.8 6.2 6.5 23.7 Opp 38.0 163.6 34.6 20.7 260.1 1.8 6.4 8.9 7.0 7.1 27.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 WKY MTEN away 2.5 73.5 0

OPPOSE bad running teams vs great rush defenses (on TROY, on VA TECH, on SD STATE *******)

2.87 < tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) < 3.58 and C and 2.92 < otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) < 3.56 and season > 2009 and opo:rushing touchdowns = 0
SU: 6-41-0 (-16.32, 12.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-40-1 (-7.54, 13.0%) avg line: 8.8 +6: 20-25-2 (44.4%) -6: 5-42-0 (10.6%) +10: 25-21-1 (54.3%) -10: 5-42-0 (10.6%) O/U: 23-23-1 (0.49, 50.0%) avg total: 51.5 +6: 18-29-0 (38.3%) -6: 33-14-0 (70.2%) +10: 12-35-0 (25.5%) -10: 36-11-0 (76.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.6 108.0 36.9 20.5 217.3 2.4 2.8 5.0 4.3 5.6 17.9 Opp 42.0 179.8 28.8 18.2 240.6 1.4 8.9 9.0 7.9 8.2 34.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 SYR VTCH home 19.5 67.5 0 Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 GAST TROY away 17.0 54.0 0 Oct 14, 2016 Friday 7 2016 FRES SDST home 16.5 53.5

OPPOSE big away favs off home win as small fav or dog (on UMASS *******)

p:HW and AF and line < -12 and o:WP > 15 and p:line > -4 and season > 2002 SU: 26-3-0 (8.48, 89.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-24-1 (-7.93, 14.3%) avg line: -16.4 +6: 12-17-0 (41.4%) -6: 1-28-0 (3.4%) +10: 19-10-0 (65.5%) -10: 1-28-0 (3.4%) O/U: 15-8-1 (7.56, 65.2%) avg total: 58.7 +6: 13-11-0 (54.2%) -6: 19-5-0 (79.2%) +10: 12-11-1 (52.2%) -10: 20-4-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.9 211.8 32.7 20.0 258.7 1.7 7.0 10.5 8.1 12.3 35.3 Opp 35.9 156.9 36.7 21.1 245.7 2.0 6.4 6.1 7.1 7.8 26.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 LTCH MAS away -14.0 62.0

OPPOSE away team after allowing b2b 31 points and both teams off a win (on IDAHO)

pooints > 30 and ppooints > 30 and p:W and A and op:W and day = Saturday SU: 20-102-2 (-20.27, 16.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-87-2 (-8.33, 26.9%) avg line: 11.9 +6: 53-63-5 (45.7%) -6: 19-102-0 (15.7%) +10: 66-52-3 (55.9%) -10: 11-109-1 (9.2%) O/U: 25-28-1 (-1.33, 47.2%) avg total: 60.5 +6: 20-34-0 (37.0%) -6: 31-21-2 (59.6%) +10: 14-39-1 (26.4%) -10: 37-17-0 (68.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.5 125.0 36.1 20.0 237.9 2.1 4.5 6.3 4.7 5.6 19.4 Opp 41.3 208.9 31.6 19.7 261.8 1.5 8.6 12.3 8.6 8.4 39.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 NMST IDA away 5.0 68.0

OPPOSE away dog after big home dog win vs opponent off double digit win (on BOISE)

AD and p:CDW and p:line > 4 and op:margin > 9 and season > 2005
SU: 4-59-0 (-23.46, 6.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 14-47-2 (-6.51, 23.0%) avg line: 17.0 +6: 23-38-2 (37.7%) -6: 11-52-0 (17.5%) +10: 35-28-0 (55.6%) -10: 5-58-0 (7.9%) O/U: 27-35-1 (0.44, 43.5%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 21-41-1 (33.9%) -6: 41-21-1 (66.1%) +10: 13-48-2 (21.3%) -10: 46-16-1 (74.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.6 118.7 31.2 16.7 176.9 2.3 3.0 4.6 3.5 4.3 15.4 Opp 41.4 218.4 28.7 18.4 237.6 1.7 9.1 13.0 7.4 9.2 38.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 COST BOIS away 31.5 59.0

OPPOSE team not in b2b away games after 2+ OT loss (on ALA)

pvertime >= 2 and p:L and (A and p:A) = False and p:line > -10 SU: 19-43-0 (-7.47, 30.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-44-0 (-6.93, 26.7%) avg line: 1.2 +6: 24-33-3 (42.1%) -6: 11-49-0 (18.3%) +10: 33-26-1 (55.9%) -10: 9-51-0 (15.0%) O/U: 6-6-0 (-0.33, 50.0%) avg total: 56.1 +6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) -6: 9-3-0 (75.0%) +10: 1-10-1 (9.1%) -10: 10-2-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.3 157.2 34.4 20.8 231.8 1.8 7.8 7.7 3.4 5.7 23.5 Opp 33.4 149.4 33.2 19.8 265.7 2.1 5.2 9.6 7.4 9.1 31.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 TEN ALA home 13.0 57.5

UNDER mid-major team off a double digit SU dog win (CHAR/FIU under)

total < 66.5 and p:ADW and C and p:line > 9.5 and season > 2005 and (conference = AAC or conference = MWC or conference = WAC or conference = MAC or conference = SBC or conference = P12 or conference = P10 or conference = BE or conference = USA) SU: 55-46-0 (2.60, 54.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 51-48-2 (1.78, 51.5%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 71-29-1 (71.0%) -6: 33-67-1 (33.0%) +10: 78-21-2 (78.8%) -10: 26-74-1 (26.0%) O/U: 28-71-2 (-4.01, 28.3%) avg total: 53.4 +6: 23-78-0 (22.8%) -6: 49-52-0 (48.5%) +10: 17-83-1 (17.0%) -10: 69-29-3 (70.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 150.1 31.5 18.4 217.9 1.6 5.2 8.2 6.4 6.1 26.0 Opp 37.9 164.3 32.4 18.6 221.3 2.0 6.0 6.2 4.9 6.1 23.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 CHAR FINT home 5.5 56.5

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams blown out in first loss (on MIN)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14 and rest < 26 and date > 20081020
SU: 33-47-0 (-3.40, 41.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-64-1 (-7.64, 19.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 33-44-3 (42.9%) -6: 11-69-0 (13.8%) +10: 47-32-1 (59.5%) -10: 8-72-0 (10.0%) O/U: 43-37-0 (0.39, 53.8%) avg total: 56.4 +6: 31-49-0 (38.8%) -6: 52-28-0 (65.0%) +10: 22-56-2 (28.2%) -10: 58-21-1 (73.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.8 151.9 33.4 20.2 242.0 1.8 5.2 7.4 6.5 7.5 26.7 Opp 39.3 168.1 32.1 19.8 237.8 1.5 6.7 9.4 6.5 7.1 30.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 MARY MIN home -6.5 49.5

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams that cannot blame loss on turnover differential (on MIN)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins > 2 and p:turnovers - po:turnovers < 4 and p:margin < -13 and game type = RS and date > 20081018
SU: 33-46-0 (-4.54, 41.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-62-1 (-7.76, 20.5%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 32-45-2 (41.6%) -6: 13-66-0 (16.5%) +10: 45-34-0 (57.0%) -10: 8-70-1 (10.3%) O/U: 42-37-0 (0.51, 53.2%) avg total: 56.3 +6: 31-48-0 (39.2%) -6: 52-27-0 (65.8%) +10: 22-55-2 (28.6%) -10: 58-20-1 (74.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.3 156.4 32.5 19.6 231.5 1.8 5.3 7.2 6.7 6.8 26.2 Opp 39.2 168.4 32.2 19.8 242.7 1.4 6.9 9.2 7.1 7.2 30.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 MARY MIN home -6.5 49.5

 

[rolltide]

vs. GOY summer lines:
Tennessee -1 to +13 (Bama -14 diff)
BYU pk to -7 (BYU -7 diff)
Ole Miss -1 to -7.5 (Miss -6.5 diff)
Southern Cal -3 to -8 (USC -5 diff)
Ohio St -6 to -10 (OSU -4 diff)
Notre Dame -3 to -3 no diff

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE teams that have been shutout in b2b games (on ILL)

points = 0 and ppoints = 0 and line < 35 and date > 20031105
SU: 0-13-0 (-20.69, 0.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-11-0 (-8.85, 15.4%) avg line: 11.8 +6: 5-7-1 (41.7%) -6: 2-11-0 (15.4%) +10: 8-5-0 (61.5%) -10: 1-12-0 (7.7%) O/U: 7-2-0 (8.56, 77.8%) avg total: 43.6 +6: 5-4-0 (55.6%) -6: 8-1-0 (88.9%) +10: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -10: 8-1-0 (88.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.0 97.1 32.3 17.1 188.1 2.7 1.6 4.2 2.9 6.3 14.2 Opp 40.4 175.2 23.6 14.9 209.0 1.0 7.2 10.0 10.7 9.2 34.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2016 Saturday 7 2016 RUT ILL home 6.0