Game of the day: Rockets at Warriors by covers
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-10.5, 220)
Warriors lead series 1-0
Center Dwight Howard is listed as questionable as the Houston Rockets attempt to even the Western Conference finals when they visit the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Howard played just 26 minutes in Game 1 after suffering a left knee injury and an MRI exam performed Wednesday determined the injury was a sprain.
The Rockets had to use a smaller lineup for much of the opening game and that played into the hands of the Warriors, who recovered from a 16-point, second-quarter deficit to post a 110-106 victory. NBA MVP Stephen Curry had 34 points and knocked down six 3-pointers to fuel Golden State and has made 20 3-pointers over the last three games. NBA runner-up James Harden was stellar for the Rockets with 28 points, 11 rebounds, nine assists and four steals and has scored at least 20 points in all 13 games this postseason. “Game 1 slipped away from us,” Harden told reporters. “We had several opportunities to win the game, didn’t happen, so I think we’ll look at some film, we’ll go from there and correct some things basically that were on us and just be better in Game 2.”
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
LINE HISTORY: Most books, both online and in Vegas, opened the line at GS -10/220. The spread has since been bet to GS -10.5.
INJURY REPORT: Rockets - C Dwight Howard (Ques-Knee), G K.J. McDaniels (Out-Wrist) Warriors - C Ognjen Kuzmic (Ques-Ankle)
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It was shocking to see Golden State come out flat in Game 1, especially since they were facing a Houston team off an emotionally grueling 7-game series against the Los Angeles Clippers. Apparently the Rockets were able to carry over that momentum into the first half of play, while the extended layoff hurt Golden State. After getting down by 16 points in the second quarter, the Warriors proceeded to out-score the Rockets 77-57 over the final 31 minutes of the game. It will be interesting to see if Golden State is now the team that can carry momentum into Game 2, or if the Rockets bounce back off the loss." - Covers Expert Steve Merril
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We anticipated that all the players that lost backing the Warriors in the opener would be back on them again so we opened a point higher for Game 2. Early action has seen around 70 percent on Houston, and most of that has been sharp money, but I don't expect us to drop down to -10 at any point. For the total, the majority of early bets has been on the under but we've adjusted up a half point to 220, so that should tell you something." - John Lester, Senior Lines Manager at Bookmaker.eu
ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Howard suffered what was originally termed a bruised knee when teammate Josh Smith came crashing into his leg and he said afterwards that the injury was “very painful.” Undersized Clint Capela filled in but Houston coach Kevin McHale is aware he needs Howard on the floor for his club to have a chance at knocking off top-seeded Golden State. “Hopefully Dwight is healthy and we can play big,” McHale told reporters. “We didn’t have that option with Dwight out.”
ABOUT THE WARRIORS: While Curry continues to dazzle in the postseason and lead the way, forward Draymond Green is a valuable piece to the puzzle. The 6-7 Green had 13 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists in the opener and saw a lot of time at center and can also guard players on the perimeter. “Draymond is one of the best defensive players in the league because he can guard low-post guys and perimeter guys,” Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. “He can switch onto James Harden, he can guard Dwight Howard. Doesn’t mean he’s always going to get a stop, but he’s always going to put up a fight, and he’s got a chance.”
TRENDS:
*Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
*Over is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
*Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 overall.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 66.35 percent of Covers users are backing the Rockets with 55 percent on the under.