Which would you choose....

[Acebb]

didnt you see his sick of gambling or whatever it is thread...should tell you what you need to know..lol

This choptalk obviously has no capacity for embarrassment at this point.

Let's help him out:

Example A

10 wagers @ -110 for $100 each

Win 8 = $800
Lose 2 = $220
Profit = $580

Example B
10 wagers @ +100 for $100
8 wins = $800
2 loses = $200
profit = $600 - $60 (10%) $540

Wouldn't it be funny if choptalk could understand that $540 is less than $580?

 

[Acebb]

If anyone picks A they are dumb

People who don't understand math are dumb.

 

[$tinky]

B

And its not close

He's right. Not even remotely close. If the answer was 35% it woudl still be B.

 

[WVJOE]

Where the hell did you freaking geniuses go to school? LMFAO

Here's the CORRECT ANSWER:

If you believe you can pick higher than 68% TAKE OPTION "A"....IF not then TAKE OPTION "B"

I think it's safe to say most people are nowhere near good enough to take option "A"....

 

[Defying]

He's right. Not even remotely close. If the answer was 35% it woudl still be B.

are you serious.. 35% you'd pay back in Winnings so you don't have to play with juice?

 

[$tinky]

One of you guys that insists A is the right answer please set me up an account and you can charge me 20% on wd's but no juice on wagers. We will both post our money up with chop and we will see who quits first?????

any takers?

As a consolation I'll also set you up an account where you can lay -110 and get free WD's.

 

[Acebb]

He's right. Not even remotely close. If the answer was 35% it woudl still be B.

He is spectacularly wrong when you win at 60% or greater.

 

[$tinky]

are you serious.. 35% you'd pay back in Winnings so you don't have to play with juice?

I don't know the exact figures right off hand but I'll put it this way. NO CHANCE in HELL I'd let somebody bet into me and lay no juice but pay 35% on WD's. I'm not certain if 35% is +ev but 10 or 20 is not even close to fair.

You don't have to WD every week for one thing. It's just like the old country con where you give the guy back 10% of his losses weekly. You can easily out run this with good old fashoin juice.

Just like Judge said, if you find a book offering B, run, don't walk because they can't pay.

 

[$tinky]

He is spectacularly wrong when you win at 60% or greater.

no he's not.

 

[WVJOE]

Where the hell did you freaking geniuses go to school? LMFAO

Here's the CORRECT ANSWER:

If you believe you can pick higher than 68% TAKE OPTION "A"....IF not then TAKE OPTION "B"

I think it's safe to say most people are nowhere near good enough to take option "A"....

I apologize...It's 67%...

 

[Acebb]

no he's not.

Math doesn't lie.

Math doesn't support little chippy chop.

Why you keep saying otherwise isn't clear

 

[WVJOE]

He is spectacularly wrong when you win at 60% or greater.

Dude...You're making yourself look pretty stupid with statements like that.... You have to win at 67% or higher to play with the vig vs. playing at 10% of payout. I'm sure it's actually 66.XXXX% but that's close enough. Do the math with 100 different plays and you'll get the picture.

 

[Acebb]

no he's not.

Yes he is.

Example A

10 wagers @ -110 for $100 each

Win 7 = $700
Lose 3 = $330
Profit = $370

Example B
10 wagers @ +100 for $100
7 wins = $700
3 loses = $300
profit = $400 - $40 (10%) $360

$360 is less than $370.

WVJOE is exactly right.

 

[Acebb]

Dude...You're making yourself look pretty stupid with statements like that.... You have to win at 67% or higher to play with the vig vs. playing at 10% of payout. I'm sure it's actually 66.XXXX% but that's close enough. Do the math with 100 different plays and you'll get the picture.

I am saying the exact same thing as you.

I said 60% and meant 70%

 

[$tinky]

Look winning %'s really don't even matter. You goobers that talk about a guy that picks 67%?!?!?!?! Forget all that shit.

I've led you to the water. If you don't want to drink it then my challenge is sitting there waiting on you.

I'd love to show you just how valuable that juice is.

 

[$tinky]

Yes he is.

Example A

10 wagers @ -110 for $100 each

Win 7 = $700
Lose 3 = $330
Profit = $370

Example B
10 wagers @ +100 for $100
7 wins = $700
3 loses = $300
profit = $400 - $40 (10%) $360

$360 is less than $370.

WVJOE is exactly right.

Let's bet on it?

 

[WVJOE]

Look winning %'s really don't even matter. You goobers that talk about a guy that picks 67%?!?!?!?! Forget all that shit.

I've led you to the water. If you don't want to drink it then my challenge is sitting there waiting on you.

I'd love to show you just how valuable that juice is.

What is it your trying to bet on dude? You're saying it's ALWAYS more profitable to pick B over A? Obviously on straight math it is what I said it is. Of course we DID NOT throw in line movements, etc. It was simply take "option A" or "option B". The math is not that complicated there.

I'm POSITIVE you can make a really good argument for Option B by throwing in all kinds of other external factors, but straight up math is just straight up math.

 

[WVJOE]

Meanwhile...Chop is probably having a meltdown as the Saints are getting WHACKED!!!!

 

[$tinky]

Don't talk to me about straight up math.

 

[Illini]

Math doesn't lie.

Math doesn't support little chippy chop.

Why you keep saying otherwise isn't clear

Dude, you have to be the most clueless person I've ever seen on this forum. You make HeatOhio seem smart.