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If both are documented at 55%, the answer is neither. There's no advantage either way. I recommend you consult a statistics professor if you don't believe me. I've tried to explain this every way I can.
I understand the cold hard math statistics. But the cold, cruel, Real world of sports betting is more than just math and statistics.
If we're talking about just arbing, of course hard math applies, nothing else. Betting Sports is more than just cold hard math. If it was just "math", there would be alot more winners then there are. Plenty of math experts, not as many winning sports bettors.
 
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I understand the cold hard math statistics. But the cold, cruel, Real world of sports betting is more than just math and statistics.

Clearly you don't even understand basic concepts, as your comments to date have exposed your stupidity on the issue.
 
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Vitterd: "Michelangelo has had such a shitty year betting baseball so far, that means he has an
advantage with any future baseball bets this year"


BWHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHHA

You can't make up how utterly retarded this is. And, he's sticking with it!!!

And Guesstard is agreeing with him!!! BWHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHHAHA
 

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Another lie, you going to try for 30 lies for today?

You always tell people how smart you are but you're at least partially retarded. You yell " lie" like a mental patient when you can't even list a single lie.

Get a new gameplan or just admit you're a troll.
 

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I have a Masters Degree in a math intensive field, you don't need to consult anyone - this is junior high level math.

I wasn't saying it wasn't. I was just speaking about how polarizing such a simple concept is.

This one fired people up.
 
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You always tell people how smart you are but you're at least partially retarded. You yell " lie" like a mental patient when you can't even list a single lie.

Get a new gameplan or just admit you're a troll.

Do you need glasses idiot? Are you lacking in reading comprehension? (YES)
 
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I wasn't saying it wasn't. I was just speaking about how polarizing such a simple concept is.

This one fired people up.

I'd have a lot more respect for people who are wrong, if they'd at least make an effort to understand what the smarter and more educated people are trying to say, but it's (as right way Willie points out) literally like talking to a brick wall.
 

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What does religion have to do with you being retarded? I'm just calling a spade a spade.

Acknowledge that you are wrong, it will be cathartic for you.
Like I Said in the main thread. When I can be on the side of a super sharp Sports bettor like NFL Trends, on a betting question, or someone like you, who spouts "math" and roulette wheel reasoning, and transfers it to sports betting, I'll pick being on Trends' side. Every time. Even if a math textbook thinks I'm wrong. I'll take real world knowledge and experience.
Your Fake Religious aspect is calling people idiots and retards if they disagree with you.
This is an incredibly stupid topic. Vit has challenged Mich to a bet in any sport, from the beginning of a season. Will Mich accept? That's what matters.
 

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I'd have a lot more respect for people who are wrong, if they'd at least make an effort to understand what the smarter and more educated people are trying to say, but it's (as right way Willie points out) literally like talking to a brick wall.

Smarter and more educated:):)

you might be the dumbest person in this entire forum.
 
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Like I Said in the main thread. When I can be on the side of a super sharp Sports bettor like NFL Trends, on a betting question, or someone like you, who spouts "math" and roulette wheel reasoning, and transfers it to sports betting, I'll pick being on Trends' side. Every time. Even if a math textbook thinks I'm wrong. I'll take real world knowledge and experience.
Your Fake Religious aspect is calling people idiots and retards if they disagree with you.
This is an incredibly stupid topic. Vit has challenged Mich to a bet in any sport, from the beginning of a season. Will Mich accept? That's what matters.

Again that's where you continue to expose how utterly stupid you are. An independent event, is an independent event. DUHH DUHHHHHH DUHHHHHHHHH
 

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Vitterd: "Michelangelo has had such a shitty year betting baseball so far, that means he has an
advantage with any future baseball bets this year"


BWHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHHA

You can't make up how utterly retarded this is. And, he's sticking with it!!!

And Guesstard is agreeing with him!!! BWHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHHAHA
So are NFL Trends, the sharpest guy here, and many other experienced Sports Bettors.
BWHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHHAHA
 

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He does not think he would be +EV in this situation, so he's not taking the bet.

But if he claims to be a better handicapper, then it is +EV. And choosing to pass on a +EV bet because he's expecting past performance is suddenly "due" to flip is gambler's fallacy. It really is that simple.
 

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