tough day yetserday.
no time for write ups today but here are saturday s plays
Holland- Japan: Holland -1 @1.90 !! 2 units!!
too much space for holland. mismatch
Denmark- Cameroon: Denmark pk @1.80
Well organised solid european team with strong defense vs. african team, showing nothing in first match and internal trouble
Australia- Ghana over 4.5 yellows @ 2.10
teams playing very physical and ref is known for giving bookings.
BOL to all
no time for write ups today but here are saturday s plays
Holland- Japan: Holland -1 @1.90 !! 2 units!!
too much space for holland. mismatch
Denmark- Cameroon: Denmark pk @1.80
Well organised solid european team with strong defense vs. african team, showing nothing in first match and internal trouble
Australia- Ghana over 4.5 yellows @ 2.10
teams playing very physical and ref is known for giving bookings.
BOL to all
i am actually not so sure about the draw...it not what both teams really need. it s more important to keep it low scoring, meaning nt loosing by more than one. If Mex wins by 1 goal France has to win at least 4-0, if Uruguay wins 1-0 France has to win at least by 4 goals. and i doubt that France is able to do that. Both Mex and Uru have a motivation to win to avoid Argentina in next round. so it should be a "safety first match" with both teams hoping for a lucky punch. still it can end in a draw that way and if for some reason france is leading by HT with 2 goals they might agree on a draw...but then again it will be a low scoring draw...i see most value in a 0-0,1-0 or max 1-1 szenario
Italy- New Zealand: Italy -1.5 @ 1.89
OK New Zealand got a luck last shot draw in first match and Italy didnt look to impressive, but the just fished match of Paraguay-Slovakia showed how to judge these. NZ not a good team at all. they will go with the same defensive approach vs. Slovakia, but Italy is posing another level of thread. Italy needs this win to have a fairly easy last match vs. Slovakia. Italy usually gets results they need and i expect a solid performance here, with NZ not able to score.
Italy -4 corner @ 1.95 !! 2 units!!
NZ gave away 10 corner to slovakia and they will play the same defensive style today. they showed to have a tendency to allow corner. Italy got 8 themsleves in first match..so there was some offense vs. Paraguay as well..should be an easy one.
OK New Zealand got a luck last shot draw in first match and Italy didnt look to impressive, but the just fished match of Paraguay-Slovakia showed how to judge these. NZ not a good team at all. they will go with the same defensive approach vs. Slovakia, but Italy is posing another level of thread. Italy needs this win to have a fairly easy last match vs. Slovakia. Italy usually gets results they need and i expect a solid performance here, with NZ not able to score.
Italy -4 corner @ 1.95 !! 2 units!!
NZ gave away 10 corner to slovakia and they will play the same defensive style today. they showed to have a tendency to allow corner. Italy got 8 themsleves in first match..so there was some offense vs. Paraguay as well..should be an easy one.
pretty easy winner on the corner prop. something like 14-0...still italy was a loser.
Brazil- IC: Brazil -0.5 @ 1.80
Brazil is not a team that will crush teams, but with the line move to -0.5 i like them over an african team any time..drogba cant beat them alone and Brazil is a totally different class than Portugal.
BOL to all
Brazil- IC: Brazil -0.5 @ 1.80
Brazil is not a team that will crush teams, but with the line move to -0.5 i like them over an african team any time..drogba cant beat them alone and Brazil is a totally different class than Portugal.
BOL to all
after the italy match
regular plays 12-13 (-4.10 units) pushes recorded as no rec
Props: 7-6 (+0.66 units) pushes recorded as no record
pending futures
Argentina to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.75 (currently 6)
Algeria to score less than 2.5 goals in WC @ 1.85 (currently 0)
Group B total under 14.5 goals @ 1.95 (currently 11)
Germany to get more than 5.5 points @ 1.67 !! 2 units!! (currently 3)
Ghana under 3.5 goals in WC @ 1.89 (currently 2)
Holland to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.93 (currently 6)
Brazil to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.85 (currently 3)
Honduras to get under 1.5 points in group stage @ 1.67 (currently 0)
Group E total over 14.5 goals @ 1.87 (curently 7)
Group F total under 15.5 goals @ 1.85 (currently 8)
Group H total over 16 goals @ 1.87 (currently 2)
Props: 7-6 (+0.66 units) pushes recorded as no record
pending futures
Argentina to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.75 (currently 6)
Algeria to score less than 2.5 goals in WC @ 1.85 (currently 0)
Group B total under 14.5 goals @ 1.95 (currently 11)
Germany to get more than 5.5 points @ 1.67 !! 2 units!! (currently 3)
Ghana under 3.5 goals in WC @ 1.89 (currently 2)
Holland to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.93 (currently 6)
Brazil to get more than 6.5 points in group stage @ 1.85 (currently 3)
Honduras to get under 1.5 points in group stage @ 1.67 (currently 0)
Group E total over 14.5 goals @ 1.87 (curently 7)
Group F total under 15.5 goals @ 1.85 (currently 8)
Group H total over 16 goals @ 1.87 (currently 2)
Portugal- N Korea under 2,2.5 @ 2.05
i just dont trust Portugalto get a convincing win here. they have shown lack of creativity and firepower thru whole qualification as well as in first match vs. IC...so why should it change here? N Korea has shown vs. Brazil that they are playing a style that frustrates opposition. this is absolutely the worst setup for this Portugal team. they might be licky to get a win, but i see major struggles and few goals.
BOL to all
i just dont trust Portugalto get a convincing win here. they have shown lack of creativity and firepower thru whole qualification as well as in first match vs. IC...so why should it change here? N Korea has shown vs. Brazil that they are playing a style that frustrates opposition. this is absolutely the worst setup for this Portugal team. they might be licky to get a win, but i see major struggles and few goals.
BOL to all
Spain- Honduras: Spain -2 @ 1.85 !! 2units!!
after the chile win, it will now all come down to goal difference.
assumed that swiss will beat honduras..spain has to win in last match vs. Chile so all teams end up on 6 point. then it comes down to goal difference and spain has at least better the 1-0 win of CHile vs. Honduras.
Having seen how dominant Chile was vs. Honduras i have no doubt Spain is able to score at least 2, more likely 3 or 4 now that they have to.
BOL to all
after the chile win, it will now all come down to goal difference.
assumed that swiss will beat honduras..spain has to win in last match vs. Chile so all teams end up on 6 point. then it comes down to goal difference and spain has at least better the 1-0 win of CHile vs. Honduras.
Having seen how dominant Chile was vs. Honduras i have no doubt Spain is able to score at least 2, more likely 3 or 4 now that they have to.
BOL to all
If Spain scores 5 or more goals, I get 80-1 on this match today. It does not matter how many Hond scores, if any.
Would love it to be 3-0, 4-0, or especially 5-0, 5-1
I'm something like 1-19 L19 on my score props. Maybe I get lucky for once, don't think so. Looks like I will be 1-22 L22. Just the way my luck goes
I get 80-1 if the score ends 5 or greater to whatever. For example, if either team gets 5 goals or more (team total) 5-0, 5-1, 5-2, 5-3, 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 7-0, 7-1, 7-2 etc., I win 80-1 on my ticket
. It does not matter what the loser gets, if any. I need to have one team score at least 5 goals. Will not happen
hno:, but something worth trying~~:<<
. It does not matter what the loser gets, if any. I need to have one team score at least 5 goals. Will not happenhno:, but something worth trying~~:<<now the interesting games start:
Argentina- Greece: Greece +1 @ 1.92
Argentina is basically thru and will clinch first spot with a draw. they will play with a few substitutes, but even with everybody talking about how strong these substitutes are it shows the intention Argentina has. clinch first spot with as less efford as possible and dont risk injuries. Greece needs a win in some help. they will start again very defensive..that s already annonced by coach Rehagel..it s what made them succesful and they will not change it only because they need a win. they will play tight in the back and that will be tough to break for Arg. even if ARG scores first i dont expect them to run up the score..why should they? and if Greece realises early they are out (maybe because Korea leads) they will just go for an respectable result and not open everything up...a tight one with a chance for a draw.
France- S Africa. no play
will stay away..no idea what kind of french team will turn up, if they turn up at all...
Uruguay- Mex: under 1.5 @ 1.90 ...will post later a safety-net on 1-1 draw exact score when i find some odds.
will it be a draw? maybe, but most of all both teams will play it safe, because if they keep it to a one goal difference France has to win by at least 4 and i doubt that...teams will only agree on a draw if at a late stage (around 60 min) it s tied and France is 2 or 3-0 up...therefore it could also end on a 1-1, but i expect more of an 0-0,1-0 game
Korea- Nigeria: over 2 @ 1.80
Korea in the driver seat, but to be absolutely sure needs a win, Nigeria advances with a win if ARG wins also. So both will go for it. 2 goals should be possible.
Argentina- Greece: Greece +1 @ 1.92
Argentina is basically thru and will clinch first spot with a draw. they will play with a few substitutes, but even with everybody talking about how strong these substitutes are it shows the intention Argentina has. clinch first spot with as less efford as possible and dont risk injuries. Greece needs a win in some help. they will start again very defensive..that s already annonced by coach Rehagel..it s what made them succesful and they will not change it only because they need a win. they will play tight in the back and that will be tough to break for Arg. even if ARG scores first i dont expect them to run up the score..why should they? and if Greece realises early they are out (maybe because Korea leads) they will just go for an respectable result and not open everything up...a tight one with a chance for a draw.
France- S Africa. no play
will stay away..no idea what kind of french team will turn up, if they turn up at all...
Uruguay- Mex: under 1.5 @ 1.90 ...will post later a safety-net on 1-1 draw exact score when i find some odds.
will it be a draw? maybe, but most of all both teams will play it safe, because if they keep it to a one goal difference France has to win by at least 4 and i doubt that...teams will only agree on a draw if at a late stage (around 60 min) it s tied and France is 2 or 3-0 up...therefore it could also end on a 1-1, but i expect more of an 0-0,1-0 game
Korea- Nigeria: over 2 @ 1.80
Korea in the driver seat, but to be absolutely sure needs a win, Nigeria advances with a win if ARG wins also. So both will go for it. 2 goals should be possible.
props:
France- S.Africa: over 4 yellow cards @ 1.90: The referree is known to be a big time over guy. even if kassai only had 3 bookings in Brazil-Korea match.
France has a chance to get very frustrated here too, which should help
France -1.5 corner @ 1.85
so far France had 7-1 and 4-0 corners in matches they not even really dominated. S.Afrika had 3-4 and 4-5...which shows they have a tendeny to give up a few. Also the french numbers show that they have a defense which does not give away corner.
France- S. Africa: total over 5 offside @ 1.82
France had 4-5 and 3-4 offsides, while S.Africa had 4-6 and 3-2 offsides. both teams seem to run offside a lot..all games went over why not this one.
Argentina- Greece under 4 yellow @1.84
again we have irmatov in charge who is an under referee. also shown in 2 games already this WC. ARG will try to avoid bookings anyway.
Arg- Greece under 6 offsides @ 1.80
SO far ARG had 0-0 and 4-0 offsides, while Greece had 4-1 and 1-0 ...both offenses seem clever enough not to stay offsides and more important both defenses have a tendency to put others offsides (they allowed a combined 1 offside in 4 matches)
Korea- Nigeria: Korea pk corners @ 1.90 !! 2 units!! and over 10 corner @ 1.95
Korea s corners so far 6-11 and 2-6, Nigeria 4-10 and 3-11...this is basically a bet of Nigeria giving up more corners than Korea gaining them...it s an alarming number to give up more than 10 corners every game...this should also lead to an easy over
Mexico- Uruguay: under 8.5 corners @ 1.80
as i expect a slow game here i cant see many corners.
BOL to all
France- S.Africa: over 4 yellow cards @ 1.90: The referree is known to be a big time over guy. even if kassai only had 3 bookings in Brazil-Korea match.
France has a chance to get very frustrated here too, which should help
France -1.5 corner @ 1.85
so far France had 7-1 and 4-0 corners in matches they not even really dominated. S.Afrika had 3-4 and 4-5...which shows they have a tendeny to give up a few. Also the french numbers show that they have a defense which does not give away corner.
France- S. Africa: total over 5 offside @ 1.82
France had 4-5 and 3-4 offsides, while S.Africa had 4-6 and 3-2 offsides. both teams seem to run offside a lot..all games went over why not this one.
Argentina- Greece under 4 yellow @1.84
again we have irmatov in charge who is an under referee. also shown in 2 games already this WC. ARG will try to avoid bookings anyway.
Arg- Greece under 6 offsides @ 1.80
SO far ARG had 0-0 and 4-0 offsides, while Greece had 4-1 and 1-0 ...both offenses seem clever enough not to stay offsides and more important both defenses have a tendency to put others offsides (they allowed a combined 1 offside in 4 matches)
Korea- Nigeria: Korea pk corners @ 1.90 !! 2 units!! and over 10 corner @ 1.95
Korea s corners so far 6-11 and 2-6, Nigeria 4-10 and 3-11...this is basically a bet of Nigeria giving up more corners than Korea gaining them...it s an alarming number to give up more than 10 corners every game...this should also lead to an easy over
Mexico- Uruguay: under 8.5 corners @ 1.80
as i expect a slow game here i cant see many corners.
BOL to all
