Have you considered this problem?
Greetings mon, and best wishes to you.
I've seen many, many postings (some of which are on this board) where people seem to fervently believe that because cash is king, any settlement will take place by virtue of a stock swap. The speculation seems to be 3-5 Qs for 1 JPM. There's an awful lot of kumbaya-hype around this ... But nobody's addressing this problem: were such a swap to take place, then it would effectively result in WMI being merged into JPM. While WAMU, the bank might very well be reorganized and continue to effectively operate ... WMI will be toast.
But if that were to happen then WMI would be owned by JPM and all of the former WMI execs that participated in the legal proceedings against JPM would be a great risk of losing their new employment. In fact, I'd think that outcome to be absolutely certain; especially in light of the highly disaparaging nature of the bankruptcy counterclaims ("allegations of fraud, illegal conversion", "theft" etc.), as well as the DC proceedings. Moreover, I would think these to be people who have succeeded in climbing very treacherous corporate ladders in the past; and in that regard they would know what's coming. Indeed, they've probably done the same thing to others when WMI acquired companies in the past.
In order for a stock swap to be carried out, these same highly sophisticated people would have to agree to 'walk the plank' as it were, and accept an outcome that would result in their being jettisoned from the ranks of corporate power, influence and wealth. How likely is it that they would go willingly into such a dark predicament? NONE I think. So why has everyone drank the Kool-Aid on the stock swap outcome? There's a BIG-TIME disconnect somewhere here. Or maybe I'm just not understanding something that's very fundamental and very important.
Have you thought about this behavioral obstacle? And if so, why are you still so optimistic in light of it?
Your response would be greatly appreciated, as the board's kinda gone listless.
Kind regards,
bobmarley