Comments
Road Dogs are 5-0 ATS. No Home Team, Favorite or Home Favorite has covered ATS. Trend continues? Or is it time to play ALL the Home teams and Favorites; seeking a return to the mean? Your call.
Lakers quietly have turned into a UNDER machine.
Moneymaker Denver lost their first ATS game. Moneymaker Cleveland lost their second ATS in a row.
Conference Championship going into Sunday 5/24
Favorites are 2-3 Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 0-5 Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 2-3 SU
Home Teams are 0-5 ATS
Home Favorites are 0-5 ATS
Road Dogs are 5-0 ATS
Home Dogs are 0-0 ATS
Road Favorites are 0-0 ATS
The 'Over/Under' is 2-3 (60% UNDER)
Money Makers ALL PLAYOFFS
Denver 12-1
Clev 7-2-1
Money Burners ALL PLAYOFFS
Orlando 7-7
Lakers 7-8
OVERS ALL PLAYOFFS
No team has more OVERS than UNDERS
UNDERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Lakers 11-4
Orl 9-6
Clev 6-4
Denver 7-6
Round 1
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Round 2
Pointspread into play 2 times in 23 games (4.6%) Avg is 15%
Conference Championship
Pointspread into play 2 times in 5 games (40%) Avg is 15%
Overall
Pointspread into play 15 times in 73 games (20.5%) Avg is 15%
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/861640
2nd Round Final Results
Favorites are 16-7 (69.5%) Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 14-8-1 (63%) Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 15-8 SU (65%)
Home Teams are 14-8-1 ATS (63%)
Home Favorites are 12-6 ATS (66%)
Road Dogs are 6-12 ATS (33%)
Home Dogs are 2-2-1 ATS (50%)
Road Favorites are 2-2-1 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 9-14 (60.8% UNDER)
Money Makers ALL PLAYOFFS
Denver 10-0
Clev 7-0-1
Money Burners ALL PLAYOFFS
Orlando 5-7
Boston 5-7-1
Lakers 6-6
Houst 6-7
OVERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Boston 8-6
Denver 6-4
UNDERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Clev 6-2
Orl 9-4
Hst 9-4
Laker 8-4
Comments
Home team SU, HM Team Fav ATS and UNDER is where the money has been.
Denver and Cleveland Undefeated against the spread indicates linemaker is UNDERSTIMATING their potential.
Round 1
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Round 2
Pointspread into play 2 times in 23 games (4.6%) Avg is 15%
Pointspread Overall
Pointspread into play 13 times in 68 games (19%) Avg is 15%
Companion link, see Round II game by game:
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/856368
1st Round Final Results
Favorites are 30-15 (66%)Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 21-23-1 (47%)Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 32-13 SU (71%)
Home Teams are 21-23-1 ATS (47%)
Home Favorites are 19-20-1 ATS (48.7%)
Home Dogs are 3-3 ATS (50%)
Road Dogs are 20-19-1 ATS (51.2%)
Road Favorites are 3-3 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 21-24 (53.3% UNDER)
Money Makers
Denver 5-0
Clev 4-0
Philly 4-2
Dallas 4-1
Atlanta 4-3
Money Burners
Det 0-4
Orlando 2-4
New Orl 0-5
Boston 3-3-1
Miami 3-4
OVERS
San Ant/Dall 4-1
Boston/Chicago 6-1
UNDERS
Clev/Det 3-1
Atl/Mia 5-2
Orl/Phil 4-2
Laker/Utah 3-2
Port/Hst 4-2
Denver/NO 3-2
Comments
HM Teams went 71% SU, but failed to cover at a 47%ATS rate
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Companion link (See each individual game)
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/850750
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Road Dogs are 5-0 ATS. No Home Team, Favorite or Home Favorite has covered ATS. Trend continues? Or is it time to play ALL the Home teams and Favorites; seeking a return to the mean? Your call.
Lakers quietly have turned into a UNDER machine.
Moneymaker Denver lost their first ATS game. Moneymaker Cleveland lost their second ATS in a row.
Conference Championship going into Sunday 5/24
Favorites are 2-3 Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 0-5 Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 2-3 SU
Home Teams are 0-5 ATS
Home Favorites are 0-5 ATS
Road Dogs are 5-0 ATS
Home Dogs are 0-0 ATS
Road Favorites are 0-0 ATS
The 'Over/Under' is 2-3 (60% UNDER)
Money Makers ALL PLAYOFFS
Denver 12-1
Clev 7-2-1
Money Burners ALL PLAYOFFS
Orlando 7-7
Lakers 7-8
OVERS ALL PLAYOFFS
No team has more OVERS than UNDERS
UNDERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Lakers 11-4
Orl 9-6
Clev 6-4
Denver 7-6
Round 1
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Round 2
Pointspread into play 2 times in 23 games (4.6%) Avg is 15%
Conference Championship
Pointspread into play 2 times in 5 games (40%) Avg is 15%
Overall
Pointspread into play 15 times in 73 games (20.5%) Avg is 15%
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/861640
2nd Round Final Results
Favorites are 16-7 (69.5%) Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 14-8-1 (63%) Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 15-8 SU (65%)
Home Teams are 14-8-1 ATS (63%)
Home Favorites are 12-6 ATS (66%)
Road Dogs are 6-12 ATS (33%)
Home Dogs are 2-2-1 ATS (50%)
Road Favorites are 2-2-1 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 9-14 (60.8% UNDER)
Money Makers ALL PLAYOFFS
Denver 10-0
Clev 7-0-1
Money Burners ALL PLAYOFFS
Orlando 5-7
Boston 5-7-1
Lakers 6-6
Houst 6-7
OVERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Boston 8-6
Denver 6-4
UNDERS ALL PLAYOFFS
Clev 6-2
Orl 9-4
Hst 9-4
Laker 8-4
Comments
Home team SU, HM Team Fav ATS and UNDER is where the money has been.
Denver and Cleveland Undefeated against the spread indicates linemaker is UNDERSTIMATING their potential.
Round 1
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Round 2
Pointspread into play 2 times in 23 games (4.6%) Avg is 15%
Pointspread Overall
Pointspread into play 13 times in 68 games (19%) Avg is 15%
Companion link, see Round II game by game:
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/856368
1st Round Final Results
Favorites are 30-15 (66%)Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 21-23-1 (47%)Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 32-13 SU (71%)
Home Teams are 21-23-1 ATS (47%)
Home Favorites are 19-20-1 ATS (48.7%)
Home Dogs are 3-3 ATS (50%)
Road Dogs are 20-19-1 ATS (51.2%)
Road Favorites are 3-3 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 21-24 (53.3% UNDER)
Money Makers
Denver 5-0
Clev 4-0
Philly 4-2
Dallas 4-1
Atlanta 4-3
Money Burners
Det 0-4
Orlando 2-4
New Orl 0-5
Boston 3-3-1
Miami 3-4
OVERS
San Ant/Dall 4-1
Boston/Chicago 6-1
UNDERS
Clev/Det 3-1
Atl/Mia 5-2
Orl/Phil 4-2
Laker/Utah 3-2
Port/Hst 4-2
Denver/NO 3-2
Comments
HM Teams went 71% SU, but failed to cover at a 47%ATS rate
Pointspread into play 11 times in 45 games (24%) Avg is 15%
Companion link (See each individual game)
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/story.cfm/story/850750
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