Correct Updated Record Thanks to HigherthanaDogflyinkilla actually reading the post.
1st Round Results Going into Sunday MAY 2nd
Favorites are 29-15 (66%)Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 20-23-1 (46%)Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 31-13 SU (70%)
Home Teams are 20-23-1 ATS (46%)
Home Favorites are 18-20-1 ATS (47.3%)
Home Dogs are 3-3 ATS (50%)
Road Dogs are 20-18-1 ATS (52.6%)
Road Favorites are 3-3 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 21-23 (52.2% UNDER)
Money Makers
Denver 5-0
Clev 4-0
Philly 4-2
Dallas 4-1
Chicago 3-3-1
Money Burners
Det 0-4
Orlando 2-4
New Orl 0-5
Boston 3-3-1
OVERS
San Ant/Dall 4-1
Boston/Chicago 6-1
UNDERS
Clev/Det 3-1
Atl/Mia 4-2
Orl/Phil 4-2
Laker/Utah 3-2
Port/Hst 4-2
Denver/NO 3-2
Comments
One game left, Atlanta-5 at Miami.
HM Teams have been winning 70% SU, but not covering 46%ATS
Pointspread into play 11 times in 44 games (25%) Avg is 15%
A much higher than expected pointspread determining the outcomes of games appears to be the linemaker adjusting HM Favorites up. HM teams that in the past were giving 3 are now giving 5 and losing by 4 on average.
The purpose of this post is so that the reader can have an objective view of what is happening in the playoffs. Armed with the facts of what is ocurring, the reader can then reason objectively and leave the subjective opinions or guesses to the less informed. For example: You either back moneymakers or pass and you either bet against moneyburners or pass.
Can you see where the money is at? Have you bet any of the Money Makers? Bet any Home teams on the ML? Taken any RD Dogs with the points? Stayed away from the moneyburners or even better, bet against them? If not, you'll have till June to cash in on what is happening right before your eyes.
If you decide to bet a hot category, consider betting all games in that category rather than to trying to cherry pick.
Manage your bankroll this goes through June. The playoffs are about picking your spots. The money is there. GL
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1st Round Results Going into Sunday MAY 2nd
Favorites are 29-15 (66%)Straight Up (SU)
Favorites are 20-23-1 (46%)Against the Spread (ATS)
Home Teams have gone 31-13 SU (70%)
Home Teams are 20-23-1 ATS (46%)
Home Favorites are 18-20-1 ATS (47.3%)
Home Dogs are 3-3 ATS (50%)
Road Dogs are 20-18-1 ATS (52.6%)
Road Favorites are 3-3 (50%)
The 'Over/Under' is 21-23 (52.2% UNDER)
Money Makers
Denver 5-0
Clev 4-0
Philly 4-2
Dallas 4-1
Chicago 3-3-1
Money Burners
Det 0-4
Orlando 2-4
New Orl 0-5
Boston 3-3-1
OVERS
San Ant/Dall 4-1
Boston/Chicago 6-1
UNDERS
Clev/Det 3-1
Atl/Mia 4-2
Orl/Phil 4-2
Laker/Utah 3-2
Port/Hst 4-2
Denver/NO 3-2
Comments
One game left, Atlanta-5 at Miami.
HM Teams have been winning 70% SU, but not covering 46%ATS
Pointspread into play 11 times in 44 games (25%) Avg is 15%
A much higher than expected pointspread determining the outcomes of games appears to be the linemaker adjusting HM Favorites up. HM teams that in the past were giving 3 are now giving 5 and losing by 4 on average.
The purpose of this post is so that the reader can have an objective view of what is happening in the playoffs. Armed with the facts of what is ocurring, the reader can then reason objectively and leave the subjective opinions or guesses to the less informed. For example: You either back moneymakers or pass and you either bet against moneyburners or pass.
Can you see where the money is at? Have you bet any of the Money Makers? Bet any Home teams on the ML? Taken any RD Dogs with the points? Stayed away from the moneyburners or even better, bet against them? If not, you'll have till June to cash in on what is happening right before your eyes.
If you decide to bet a hot category, consider betting all games in that category rather than to trying to cherry pick.
Manage your bankroll this goes through June. The playoffs are about picking your spots. The money is there. GL
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